[$BTC Unable to hold above 80,000 for two consecutive weeks—Is it really dropping, or is it being held back by 'uncertainty'? 】
BTC repeatedly tested between 77,574 and 78,800, failing to break above 80,000 for two consecutive weeks. On the surface, it seems to be a suppression of rate hike expectations (the probability of a 25 basis point hike in September soared from 37% to 60%+), but more subtly is Trump's call for rate cuts, the market betting on rate hikes, and the Fed caught in the middle. The uncertainty of the policy path is more unsettling for the market than the outcome.
But don't be pessimistic. On-chain data shows that on September 4, short-term holders made an unrealized profit of $9.07 billion (a high since 2016), with low-cost chips holding steady and no large-scale sell-offs. Short-term weakness and long-term resilience are happening simultaneously.
The next watershed is a clear signal—the outcome of the Federal Reserve's decision or the tug-of-war. The moment uncertainty disappears, the direction will be decided.
DYOR does not constitute investment advice.
#BTC与黄金90日相关性升至 +0.50 #AI需求升温, Samsung SK Hynix's inventory is less than 10 days #ZEC升至加密货币市值前十$ETH$ZEC
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