Post

colword.std
colword.std
Show original
聪明钱站哪边 $BTC 的 OI 从 8 号 84.5 亿一路缩到 13 号 79.8 亿,五天跑了 3.94 亿美金。每天都是净流出,最多的一天 12 号跑了 1.98 亿。今天终于拐头进了 7700 万,但跟跑掉的比就是九牛一毛。不过 ETF 那边三周灌了 38 亿进来,机构在买散户在跑,这个背离后面要么机构认错,要么散户被甩下车。 $ETH 反而净流入 8200 万,9/11 和 9/12 分别进了 7100 万和 2.02 亿,虽然今天也跑了 9600 万,但整周还是正的。费率方面 $BTC 均值 0.006%,$ETH 只有 0.0028%,$ETH 多头交的保护费比 $BTC 少一半。更有意思的是 $ETH 在 9/10 费率转负到 -0.0023%,空头反过来给多头付钱,做空的比做多还多,结果 $ETH 硬是涨回来了,空头被反埋。
colword.std
colword.std
Returns vs. drawdowns—who is more stubborn? $BTC rose from 79,075 on the 8th to today's 77,556, down 1.92%, dropping from the swing high of 79,860 to the 76,000 round number, with a maximum drawdown of 4.83%. Fortunately, 76,000 failed to break through three times, so I managed to hold on; otherwise, the lower side would have been hard to predict. $ETH rose 0.92% from 2488 to 2511, which doesn't look like much, but on 9/11, it jumped directly from 2437 to 2666, a 9.4% intraday gain. Although it was rebounded, it at least closed in the red. $ETH's maximum drawdown was actually larger than $BTC, with a 9.85% drawdown from 2666 to 2403, because on 9/10, it fell from 2522 to 2403—a big bearish candlestick. But a big drawdown doesn't mean a big loss—$ETH annualized volatility is 36.4% versus $BTC 22.2%. $ETH is naturally fickle, and when it crashes, it bounces quickly. From 2403 to 2666 takes just two days. $BTC dragging it out for five days and still hasn't bounced back—that's the real pain.

Disclaimer: OKX Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more

Replies

No comments yet. Be the first to reply!