#CPI与PPI公布在即,加息预期迎考验
The upcoming release of CPI and PPI is key to verifying whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates again this year. The market focuses on core CPI and PPI, as the overall CPI influenced by oil prices has limited reference value.
Inflation exceeds expectations: rate hike expectations rise, U.S. Treasury bonds and the dollar strengthen, risk assets come under pressure.
Data meets expectations: expectations remain unchanged, assets continue to fluctuate and trade.
Inflation clearly declines: expectations for further rate hikes are dismissed, yields fall, and risk asset sentiment recovers.
The current market's main contention is whether to raise rates again, not to trade rate cuts.
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