#FOMCRateCallThisWeek
Hot
About FOMCRateCallThisWeek
The Fed's September rate decision lands Sept 16 at 18:00 UTC. Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and HSBC have shifted to a 25bps hike; 86 of 101 economists in a Reuters survey agree, market pricing near 90%. If delivered, fed funds moves to 3.75%-4.00%. Key data: August PPI 5.4% YoY, CPI 0.4% MoM. Goldman sees this as the Fed avoiding a pricing reversal rather than reacting to worsening fundamentals. Trump remains opposed. If the Fed holds, how it explains the inflation-policy gap will be watched.
Hot
Latest
FOMCRateCallThisWeek Popular posts
Pinned
On the eve of the Federal Reserve restarting rate hikes, the market is still betting on a dovish Powell
Original | Odaily Planet Daily (@OdailyChina)
Author | Golem (@web3_golem)
The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision on September 16 Eastern Time (September 17, 2:00 AM Beijing Time). According to data released last week by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month in August, higher than economists' expected 0.2%. The market generally expects the Fed to announce a 25 basis point rate hike at this meeting.
As of press time, the probabili
Crypto just got another reality check.
The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points, and the reaction in crypto was immediate.
$BTC → swung around the $75K–$76K area
$ETH → moved between roughly $2.37K and $2.43K
$SOL → was slightly higher after the decision.
What caught my attention isn't just the rate hike.
It's how differently these assets are reacting to the same environment.
Bitcoin is dealing with macro pressure.
Ethereum is trying to hold its position while risk appetite changes.
Solana is still attracting attention despite the broader uncertainty.
This is why I don't look at crypto as one single market.
Three assets can face the same headline and still tell three different stories.
Now I'm watching the reaction after the initial volatility.
The first move gets attention.
The next move usually tells you more.
#CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #FOMCRateCallThisWeek
This time it's really different.
Originally, the market was still betting on "no change," but in the past few days expectations suddenly reversed, and now the market has priced in a 25 basis point rate hike at a very high level.
On September 15-16, the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting will take place. What’s really worth watching is not "whether to raise rates," but: after the rate hike, will they continue to raise?#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates
“CLARITY Act won’t pass, so $BTC is going to dump further.”
“FOMC is expected to hike rates tomorrow, so BTC will dump even harder.”
What they’re missing is that markets price in expectations before the news actually hits. That’s why BTC is selling off ahead of the announcements.
By the time the headlines give everyone a reason to sell, the market may have already absorbed the move—and those late sellers could simply be selling into the bids that form the bottom.
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek
FED DAY THE 25BPS ISN’T THE REAL STORY
Markets are heavily pricing a 25bps hike to 3.75%–4.00%.
The real focus:
• Dot Plot
• Vote split
• Warsh’s wording
Hawkish guidance could pressure risk assets. A softer “calibration” message could support them.
$BTC is already defensive near $76K, with heavy ETF outflows and liquidations.
2:00 PM ET: Fed decision.
2:30 PM ET: Warsh presser.
Watch the reaction closely.$ETH $ZEC @OKX中文 @OKX成长学院 #FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #DailyOrbit
92.4%! Markets are heavily pricing a 25bp September rate hike.
The bigger risk is what comes next: October expectations are also pointing toward further tightening, keeping pressure on liquidity and risk assets.
For $BTC and $ETH, the key isn’t just the hike—it’s the Fed’s guidance. A hawkish tone could add selling pressure, while a less-hawkish message may ease some of the pressure.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates
BTC AND GOLD ARE WAITING ON THE FED
$BTC is hovering around $75.8K after the recent crypto pullback, with the Senate’s CLARITY Act setback adding another layer of uncertainty.
Gold is telling a different story, reclaiming $4,300/oz as Treasury yields and oil cool ahead of the Fed decision.
Two different markets, one major catalyst.
The next move may come from the Fed so I’m watching the reaction, not trying to predict it.
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek
“CLARITY won’t pass, so $BTC will dump.”
“FOMC could hike rates, so BTC will dump even harder.”
But here’s the catch: markets price expectations before the headline arrives.
If traders are already positioning for bad news, the selling can happen before the event.
So when the actual headline drops, the market may already have absorbed much of the fear.
The real question isn’t just what happens next.
It’s whether the market has already priced it in.
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #BTC
IBRAHIM1crypto
“The Clarity Act won’t pass, so $BTC is going to dump further.”
“A rate hike is expected tomorrow with FOMC, so BTC is going to dump even more.”
Little do they know, the market has already priced in those expectations. That’s why it’s dumping BEFORE the news is released.
By the time the news gives the crowd a reason to sell, they are already selling into the very bids that mark the bottom.#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49
🚨 $BTC ENTERS THE FED DECISION WITH $75K IN FOCUS
Bitcoin is hovering near $75.8K after yesterday’s sharp sell-off, with markets pricing around a 93% chance of a 25-bps Fed hike today.
The bigger question is the Fed’s guidance. A hawkish tone could pressure risk assets, while softer signals may shift market sentiment quickly.
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49
Crypto Market Update Sept. 15
Crypto is turning defensive ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC decision, while the CLARITY Act just suffered a major Senate setback.
$BTC around $76K–$77K
$76K is the key floor. Lose it decisively and downside risk increases. Reclaim $78K, then $80K, and the structure improves.#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates
MARKET RESET — TWO SHOCKS AT ONCE
$BTC $75.68K, $ETH $2.40K, $SOL $97.13K. But this is more than just a pullback. The CLARITY Act just failed to advance in a Senate procedural vote, while markets await the FOMC decision on September 16.
With the regulatory catalyst weakening + the Fed becoming the key variable, capital may remain cautious. The question now isn’t “where is the bottom?” but “when will liquidity return?”