$BTC $ETH $SOL Conclusion first We are currently near the end of the bear market. Even to be cautious, you should build a position of 30% Large funds prioritize BTC/ETH/SOL/OKB If you don't have much capital, you can lay in some quality altcoins like ENA/AAVE/PUMP Currently, I have opened a live contract trading on OK Planet, challenging to turn 10,000 into 100,000. Of course, I don't recommend everyone to trade contracts. My large positions are all spot. But without live trading, it's not as engaging. After all, talking is no match for actual operation I hope brothers can help by following me, I will definitely follow back Let's all get rich together

$BTC 81000-82000 lifeline If the lifeline breaks, there will be no 92000 in October The market's high point won't be too high. If 81000-82000 doesn't break, then it will fluctuate between 82000-88000, which is the price at the end of September This has already played out in the past two days A 4000-point fluctuation between 87000-83000 If 81000-82000 doesn't break, there may still be a high point in October, possibly 88000 or even 90000. 87500 corresponds to 79500 at the end of last August 88000 corresponds to 81000 at the end of last August 83000 corresponds to 76000 last month 82000 corresponds to 75000 last month Going long must use protection with a stop loss at 82000 because of the fear that if it goes down, it won't come back up, Low leverage shorting doesn't require a stop loss because even if you are 5x short and forcibly closed at 17000 points, it's still above 102,000, so no need to worry

$BTC Is BTC done rising? Is it a bear retracement or just a correction? In yesterday's tweet, it was mentioned that BTC falling below 84500 could mean the start of a correction. This afternoon, it dropped to the support range of 82600-83400 and then stopped falling. The price movement of BTC in the next few days is very important and will determine the trend for October and November. If it cannot break above 85000 for a long time, it means that at least the retracement for the rise from 74967 to 87395 has begun. The retracement for 74967-87395 should not break below the Gann angle line 2/1 (80300-80900). If it breaks below this range and cannot recover, caution is needed as the retracement level may expand to cover the entire black segment shown in the chart. Since the low point of 57800 on July 1st, the black segment's rise lasted 82 days with an increase of 51.84%. We captured most of this rise and also made additional contract swing trades. The upcoming correction is an opportunity; after finding the end of the correction, the next wave of increase will most likely exceed the black segment.

$BTC If the BTC price drops further, we have four potential positions for adding to our holdings below, which are: 81500-76700 73200-71500 70200-67900 66600-62500 Where do you think it will go? They are ranked by color from light to dark according to the advantages of their positions, meaning the darker the color, the better the position and the larger the possible allocation. Among them, 73200-71500 is both in a dense order area and near the ma200 support line, so it has relatively better support and is our core area for adding to holdings.

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$BTC After this surge, BTC has pulled back, just tracing out the two key zones above and below. The shaded areas in the chart represent resistance and support levels: Below: $80,000–$83,000, which had been suppressing the price before but has now turned into support after the breakout; Above: $86,500–$90,000, the platform broken at the start of the year, now becoming a resistance zone again. Currently, BTC pushed into the upper resistance zone but was pushed back near $84,000, indicating that selling pressure here remains significant. The lower support held, so this pullback is a normal confirmation after the breakout. There is still a chance to challenge the $86,500–$90,000 range again; however, if it falls below $80,000 again, it means this breakout was likely not valid, and the price will probably return to the consolidation range from a month ago. Next, I will watch if the lower shaded area can hold as support. If it holds, I remain bullish; if not, I will lower my expectations for now.

$BTC Last night BTC dropped from 87K all the way down to 83.5K. Many people's first reaction was that this round of the market is over, but looking at US Treasury, crude oil, spot, and futures data together, this looks more like a typical long deleveraging; the Crypto structure itself is not broken yet. BTC fell about 2.6%, while Binance perpetual OI dropped from about $9.24 billion to $8.28 billion, a direct 10% decrease in 24 hours. Price fell, OI dropped significantly, and funding rates returned to zero, which looks more like long leverage being cleaned out. If it were a new round of trend shorting, the more dangerous combination would usually be price falling, OI increasing, and funding rates continuing to turn negative. So 84K is quite critical. According to the latest on-chain data from Glassnode, 84K–85K is exactly the largest supply concentration area for long-term holders. The truly important mid-term cost support below is around 77K, and the MVRV resistance above is at 96.7K. In other words, if 84K holds, this round of structural repair is still intact, and we can still look to retest 90K–92K, then 95K–97K. If 84K breaks, first watch 82K and 80K. If it effectively breaks below 77K later, then the trend market can be considered over.

$BTC Last night's sharp drop was mainly due to the repeated failure to break through 87,000, combined with the US September composite PMI rising to 58.4, which reignited market concerns about interest rates staying high, triggering concentrated deleveraging among bulls. S&P Global But this is not yet a bearish trend: Open Interest (OI) dropped from 103.5K to 98.4K in the past 24 hours, a decrease of about 5%, and the funding rate is also close to zero. The price drop accompanied by a simultaneous large OI decline indicates that it was mainly long positions closing and liquidations, not large-scale active short position additions. Binance perpetual data 1) The main direction is still to buy the dip Currently, the price is around 84,200, just retesting the 4-hour EMA21 and the previous breakout support. Watch 83,500-84,200; if it stops falling on the 1-hour chart and reclaims 84,200, small long positions can be taken. Stop loss: 82,800 Target: 86,000; if broken, look to 87,200 2) Only if it breaks below here does it indicate the correction is not over If the 4-hour close falls below 83,000, cancel long positions. The next effective support is at 81,500-82,200, but do not chase shorts at the current level. Summary: Last night was a cleanup of leveraged longs, not a direct trend reversal to bearish; today look for long opportunities around 83,500-84,200, and abandon longs if it breaks below 83,000.

$BTC Bitcoin cycle analysis: Risks are driven up, the peak is approaching, and the pullback is getting closer! A month ago, Bitcoin was ignored by everyone. I personally mentioned that breaking through the 50-week moving average was just a matter of time, buy on dips, and the pullback is a golden opportunity. Now Bitcoin has risen to a high of 87,000, firmly above the 50-week moving average, and everyone believes the bull market has arrived. Yes, the bull market is here, but it never goes smoothly. Historically, from breaking through the 50-week moving average to reaching a new all-time high usually takes 6-8 months. From the current 85,000 to the new high of 120,000, there is less than 40,000 space, but it will take half a year! This means volatility, pullbacks, and consolidation are inevitable. In this rally, latecomer retail investors have finally woken up, starting to believe in the eternal bull market and that new highs are imminent. However, the daily-level 1-2-3-4-5 wave (see previous post) has most likely been completed or is about to be completed. Open interest (total positions) has already started to surge, and retail investors are beginning to FOMO. More importantly, according to the cycle model, at the end of September to early October, Bitcoin will reach the 20-week cycle peak, as shown in the chart. Every time Bitcoin hits a major cycle peak, a decent pullback follows. In view of this, I have already advised shorting in the group and placed orders near 88,100 (daily-level fishhook strong resistance) to continue adding shorts. At the same time, spot and long positions remain unchanged; shorting is just to hedge risk. I believe this is a bull market shakeout to weed out weak retail investors, then continue to rally! I will look for support levels to go long again during the panic of the next pullback.