福禄寿炒币版
福禄寿炒币版
牛熊现货周期信仰者，一定能炒币致富！
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Wow! Brent crude oil futures hit $110 intraday
When Trump was asked about inflation
He claimed: oil prices will drop soon
How will they drop?
Missiles fired by the Houthi militants towards Saudi Arabia are still flying
The House of Representatives introduced a bipartisan bill called the "Prohibit Corrupt Russian Oil Transactions Act"
Ukraine has been sabotaging Russia's energy facilities
Putin: Will respond to Ukraine's attacks on Russian energy and logistics facilities
Honestly, I'm kind of thinking about reducing my spot holdings...
CPI and PPI data are getting worse one after another
$BTC dropped below 80000 and immediately bounced back
Is it a real drop that can't go lower or is it brewing something fierce?
#美国CPI超预期升至3.7%，今晚PPI再迎考验 A wave of wailing! The US CPI exceeded expectations, Japanese and South Korean stock markets plunged, and South Korea triggered a circuit breaker. The geopolitical situation remains unsettled: according to US media reports, the US has formulated a new plan to strike Iran, possibly using the "Mother of All Bombs" for the first time in combat against Iran; Zelensky announced the resumption of attacks on Russian refineries. Brent crude oil is around $104/barrel, energy prices remain high, making it difficult to ease inflation and interest rate pressures, and the macro environment remains pessimistic.
I don't know how the market will move next, and no one can predict with 100% accuracy. I continue to maintain half spot and half U positions. Currently, I don't see a foundation to support a sustained bull market; with an unstable foundation, it's hard to build a tall house. I've been waiting for an opportunity brought by extreme panic; it may not appear, but if it does, I'll go all in on the bloodied chips.
Iranian officials say they are intensifying attacks on commercial ships near the Strait of Hormuz and plan to expand the scope of these attacks. This strait is a crucial global energy transportation route; if ship passage is obstructed, oil transportation and insurance costs will rise, making it harder for oil prices to fall. Iran's calculation is straightforward: maintaining high oil prices forces Americans to spend more at the gas pump, increasing voter dissatisfaction with Trump and affecting the U.S. midterm elections in November.
Small Iran, so detestable, deliberately targeting the weak spot of the "King of Understanding". Trump is now in a difficult position: if he doesn't strike, Iran continues attacking ships and oil prices remain high; if he strikes, it could provoke larger-scale retaliation, pushing oil prices even higher. This time, the "King of Understanding" truly experiences the dilemma of being caught between a rock and a hard place.
Last Friday, when chatting with group members about the market, I expressed my judgment. BTC is very likely to continue fluctuating within the large range of $20,000 to $30,000, and this phase may last for a long time. My position has also been maintained as half spot and half U, retaining market exposure while leaving room for future opportunities. Investing requires discipline and patience. Sticking to position rules is more important than rushing to judge every rise and fall. $BTC
Wang Xingxing said that the biggest mistake he made in the past decade or so was not trusting AI enough. Now his team has deployed GPT-6 on robots for testing, and he judges that the critical point for embodied intelligence could arrive as soon as within one or two years.
We may still be underestimating the future of AI. When AI steps out of the screen and starts working in factories, warehouses, and homes, the economic value it can create will be much greater than today. Behind this is not only a transformation of productivity but also the potential to nurture a batch of huge wealth opportunities.
In Web3, many engage in speculation, but few are willing to spend years investing. For ordinary investors, stocks in the embodied intelligence industry chain are worth serious study. Besides complete machine companies, key component fields such as joints, reducers, and sensors may also produce large companies and create great wealth.
Russia-Ukraine progress: Trump announced that the Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire takes effect immediately. Zelensky welcomed it and said that the Ukrainian military has received relevant orders, but Ukrainian energy facilities are still under attack. Putin has not yet clearly confirmed and it is unknown what calculations he is making. If the ceasefire can be implemented, it would be good news for energy prices and inflation, but the more critical variable remains in the Middle East. Only when the Middle East situation truly eases and energy supply is restored can inflationary pressure be expected to further ease.
5.5 USD is a key resistance level repeatedly tested by NEAR. The current price has reached 5.9 USD. The focus now is on whether it can hold above this level after the breakout and whether it can form effective support during a pullback. If the resistance successfully converts into support, the medium-term upside potential is expected to further open up, with the next stage targeting double digits. $NEAR
There are no eternal friends, only eternal interests. Trump: Suggests Ukraine appoint a new leader, implying Zelensky has psychological shadows. Trump not only demands Ukraine change its leader but also calls for stopping attacks on Russian refineries; Zelensky criticizes the US-Russia diesel deal as funding Russia's war. For Trump, whether Russian refineries can supply normally affects domestic living costs and election pressure. Little Zelensky, you are being somewhat immature!
福禄寿炒币版
There are no eternal enemies, only eternal interests. Trump announced a diesel supply arrangement with Putin, under which Russia will supply 300,000 tons, 500,000 tons, and 1 million tons of diesel in October, November, and December respectively. The US simultaneously eased related sanctions, allowing Russian diesel imports until April next year, and Russia will also lift diesel export restrictions ahead of schedule.
The consensus reached by both sides is driven by practical needs. The US hopes to increase supply to lower transportation and agricultural costs, easing inflation and election pressures; Russia needs to expand energy exports, increase revenue, and seek room for sanction relief. The US exchanges market access for supply, while Russia trades energy for income and bargaining chips. When the cost of confrontation begins to affect each side's core interests, cooperation finds its foundation.
For the market, if the additional supply can drive energy prices to continue falling, it will help ease inflationary pressures and provide more room for monetary policy, which is a positive signal for the US stock and crypto markets.
There are no eternal enemies, only eternal interests. Trump announced a diesel supply arrangement with Putin, under which Russia will supply 300,000 tons, 500,000 tons, and 1 million tons of diesel in October, November, and December respectively. The US simultaneously eased related sanctions, allowing Russian diesel imports until April next year, and Russia will also lift diesel export restrictions ahead of schedule.
The consensus reached by both sides is driven by practical needs. The US hopes to increase supply to lower transportation and agricultural costs, easing inflation and election pressures; Russia needs to expand energy exports, increase revenue, and seek room for sanction relief. The US exchanges market access for supply, while Russia trades energy for income and bargaining chips. When the cost of confrontation begins to affect each side's core interests, cooperation finds its foundation.
For the market, if the additional supply can drive energy prices to continue falling, it will help ease inflationary pressures and provide more room for monetary policy, which is a positive signal for the US stock and crypto markets.