鹰击长空2026
鹰击长空2026
长风破浪会有时，直挂云帆济沧海。
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Contract funds have started to flow back, there is a rebound, but it’s too early to say the trend has reversed!
From the capital data, $BTC and $ETH show clear short- to mid-term inflows, with net inflows of $832 million and $257 million respectively in 24 hours. However, over 30 days, both still show net outflows of $7.236 billion and $7.822 billion respectively. Short-term capital replenishment and mid- to long-term capital withdrawal coexist, so the market is not yet fully bullish.
$BTC: Short-term funds dominate, with continuous net inflows from 1 hour to 24 hours, indicating that buyers are gaining strength in the battle between bulls and bears. My judgment is short-term bullish, but beware of a pullback after the rebound; do not chase the rally, wait for a pullback confirmation.
$ETH: Short-term capital inflow is strong, with a 24-hour net inflow of $257 million, but a 30-day net outflow of $7.822 billion, so capital recovery still needs time. Short-term rebound is possible, but whether it can sustain depends on whether subsequent funds continue.
$SOL: 24-hour net outflow of $3.55 million, short-term capital performance is volatile, currently lacking clear sustained inflow signals. Without capital support, no rush to bottom-fish.
$ZEC: 24-hour net inflow of $48.77 million, but short-term funds show outflows from 5 to 30 minutes, indicating weakening short-term support. Continue to observe if funds can turn positive again; do not blindly chase highs.
Trader’s conclusion: Prioritize $BTC and $ETH in the short term, watch $SOL for now, and wait for $ZEC to stabilize funds again.
Focus tonight on the US stock market opening to determine the trading rhythm for $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL.
📈 Long conditions:
After the Nasdaq opens and continues to strengthen, $BTC breaks through the near 1-hour high with volume, closes firmly on the 15-minute chart, and only go long again if the pullback holds above that level. Follow only if $ETH and $SOL also strengthen simultaneously.
📉 Short conditions:
Nasdaq spikes then falls back, $BTC breaks below the near 1-hour low, and if the rebound fails to recover, consider shorting. If $ETH and $SOL weaken simultaneously, the bearish signal is clearer.
⚠️ Execution discipline:
Set stop loss beyond the pullback low or rebound high.
Take profit first at 1.5R, then at 2R.
Control single trade risk at 0.5%–1% of account equity.
If US stocks and crypto markets diverge, stay on the sidelines.
Trading sequence: Nasdaq sets risk direction, BTC confirms trend, ETH and SOL filter opportunities. Enter only after a breakout, do not preemptively bet on direction.
Maji is losing again! Total losses are approaching 37 million USD, still holding on with 28.64x leverage!
Maji Huang Licheng is really having a hard time this round.
As of now, the account's total loss has reached 36.9275 million USD, with an additional loss of 2,851.46 USD in the past 24 hours, a loss of 622,800 USD in the last 7 days, and a loss of 5,309,100 USD in the last 30 days.
Looking at the current position, it's even more alarming:
Position direction: Long on $ETH.
Position size: 1600 ETH.
Average entry price: 2407.59 USD.
Position value: 3.852 million USD.
Leverage: 28.64x full margin.
Liquidation price: 2370.86 USD.
Available margin: 0 USD.
The most dangerous thing is not how much unrealized loss there is, but the combination of high leverage and zero available margin, which severely limits the position's risk resistance. If ETH continues to drop, the account pressure will only increase.
From previously having tens of millions in unrealized gains to now nearly 37 million USD in cumulative losses, Maji's capital curve is a costly lesson in risk management.
My judgment: This $ETH long position has entered a high-risk zone. Next, watch closely the liquidation line at 2370.86 USD; don't just focus on rebounds, and don't mistake holding the position for a strategy.
The market never lacks opportunities; what is truly scarce is the capital that survives to wait for the next opportunity.
$BTC and $ETH are falling back in sync; the real difference is who is selling and who is holding through the dip!
The latest OKX market data shows $BTC dropping from 83149 to 82461, and $ETH falling from around 2446 to 2427. Both are weakening, but the capital structure is clearly diverging.
$BTC is relatively stronger. There is an active net inflow of about 1.2 million USD over 3 hours, and open contracts have increased by about 2.5% in 24 hours. However, there is an active net outflow of about 13.93 million USD over 6 hours, so the capital signals are inconsistent and it cannot be directly concluded that institutions are accumulating.
$ETH requires more caution. There is an active net outflow of about 25.07 million USD over 3 hours, the daily RSI is only 39.5, and it has broken below the 4-hour MA50 (2457). Short-term selling pressure is obvious, and the rebound strength is temporarily weaker than BTC.
Trading rhythm:
$BTC: Watch support at 81784—82000, rebound first targets 83150—83245.
$ETH: Watch 2418—2402, only after reclaiming 2457 is there a chance to further target 2493.
If support fails, don’t stubbornly hold; do not chase longs for now, wait for price stabilization before acting.
My judgment: BTC is stronger than ETH, but neither is at a point for blind buying. First see if support holds, then decide whether to enter. The market has no shortage of opportunities, but patience and discipline are what’s lacking.
#SpaceX上市后首份完整季度财报将揭晓
$SpaceX will release its Q3 2026 earnings report in Beijing time early morning on October 21. This is the company's second quarterly report since going public, with the market focusing on three key points: Starlink growth, AI business progress, and whether the massive capital expenditures can translate into actual returns.
Last quarter, SpaceX's revenue reached $7.8 billion, a year-over-year increase of about 92%, but it still recorded a net loss of $541 million. Revenue growth is strong, but profitability still needs to be proven.
My judgment: This time, don't just look at revenue growth rate; pay more attention to whether losses have narrowed, how much cash is being consumed, and whether Starlink can continue to contribute revenue. AI and space computing power are long-term stories, but no matter how big the story, it needs to be reflected in the earnings report.
If the results exceed expectations, the market may reassess $SPCX's growth potential; if capital expenditures continue to soar and profit improvement falls short of expectations, the stock price may face pressure.
Remember, a good company does not mean any price is worth buying. Before the earnings release, don't chase the hype just based on Musk's story; wait for the numbers to come in before making a judgment.