
rainbow cat
rainbow cat
长期采用低杠杆策略
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$BTC $ETH
Why does the US Treasury yield remain high, causing fewer people to borrow money to trade crypto?
Let's take a look:
The Federal Reserve interest rate (federal funds rate) and US Treasury yields.
When these rates are high, money becomes "more expensive," and the cost of all borrowing activities rises.
In crypto trading, there are mainly two common ways to borrow money:
1. Exchange leverage/contracts (most common)
For example, when you open perpetual contracts or leveraged spot positions, the exchange charges you a funding fee (Funding Rate) or borrowing interest.
This fee is not fixed; it changes with the overall market interest rate environment and the balance of long and short positions.
2. Borrow stablecoins (USDT/USDC) to buy crypto
Some people borrow USDT from lending platforms to buy Bitcoin. Borrowing USDT also requires paying interest.
Why does borrowing money to buy crypto become more expensive when US Treasury/Federal Reserve rates rise?
You can understand it this way:
- The "base price" of money is raised
Previously, when banks or government bonds could give you 1%-2% interest, borrowers only needed to pay slightly higher interest.
Now that government bonds can offer around 5%, borrowers naturally have to pay higher interest; otherwise, no one is willing to lend you money.
- Funds become tighter
When the Fed raises or maintains high interest rates, money in the entire financial system becomes "more expensive" and scarcer. The funding costs for exchanges and lending platforms also rise, and they pass this cost on to those borrowing to trade crypto.
- Actual performance
You will find:
- Contract funding rates are more likely to turn positive (longs pay shorts, or fees increase)
- The annualized interest rate for borrowing USDT rises
- The cost of leverage increases, so many people are less willing to open high leverage positions
A simple example
Suppose you borrow $10,000 to buy Bitcoin:
- When interest rates are low: annual interest might only be $200-$300.
- When interest rates are high: annual interest might rise to $500-$800 or even higher.
Borrowing money to trade crypto becomes clearly more expensive. If the coin price doesn't rise enough, the interest will eat into your profits or even cause losses. Many people will reduce leverage or be forced to liquidate.
This really enlightened me; I feel like I can do it again.
$DOS
I'm just saying, why does a market cap for an AI application get so high?
I estimate that based on the current circulation, a market cap of around 15 million is reasonable.
And it's just AI creation or something, there's really no technology to speak of.
Alright, yesterday I couldn't hold it anymore, it directly dropped to the historical lowest point.
Everyone who played this coin yesterday, both longs and shorts, got wiped out, no one escaped.
This coin is now endlessly falling, the capital has left.
For altcoins, looking at technical levels is useless, altcoins still depend on the narrative.
Technical levels are for BTC and ETH.


$ETH
Isn't this trend the Pi Xiu coin?

$ETH
The price has come back
But my position is gone
$ETH $BTC
This time, the crypto market downturn is mainly not due to a single sudden negative event, but a continuation of multiple overlapping macro pressures.
The core reasons are roughly as follows:
1. Macro interest rates and U.S. Treasury yield pressure (the most important)
- The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield remains high at about 5.2%–5.3% (the highest in nearly 20 years).
- High yields increase the opportunity cost of non-yielding assets (such as BTC, ETH), with funds more inclined to flow into safe assets like bonds.
- The Federal Reserve continues to signal hawkishness (minutes show some officials consider another rate hike possible before year-end), and the market remains concerned about a "higher for longer" interest rate environment.
- The U.S. CPI data will be released on October 14, a key recent catalyst, and the market is cautious ahead of the data.
2. Geopolitics and oil prices
- Middle East situation (Iran-related, tanker incidents, attacks, etc.) has pushed oil prices up (Brent crude once approached or exceeded the $100–107 range).
- Rising oil prices exacerbate inflation expectations, further strengthening rate hike pressure, causing risk assets to come under pressure.
3. Continued outflows from ETFs
- As of the week ending October 9, spot BTC ETFs saw net outflows of about $681 million, ETH ETFs about $542 million, both relatively large recent redemptions.
- Institutional funds are withdrawing in phases, weakening buying support.
4. Leverage liquidations and sentiment factors
- Previously high-leverage long positions have been successively liquidated, amplifying the decline.
- Around the one-year anniversary of the October 10, 2025 "tariff shock + $19 billion liquidation," the market holds some caution about similar risks (although this round is much smaller than last year).
$RSR
LOL
If you short, you'll get your funding rate set to -1
Well done, shorts
