LV999的韭菜
LV999的韭菜
LV999的韭菜还是韭菜
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Beware of the "volume-less rebound"! Crypto ETF funds continue to bleed, and the capital flow does not support price recovery!
On October 16, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $82.3893 million, with BlackRock's IBIT leading single-day net outflows at $71.78 million, followed by Fidelity's FBTC with a net outflow of $10.6 million.
Over the past 7 trading days, BTC spot ETFs have had a cumulative net outflow of about $146 million, while ETH has seen a net outflow of about $250.4 million in the same period.
SOL spot ETFs have experienced net outflows for 10 consecutive trading days, with an additional $12.67 million outflow on October 16; XRP spot ETFs also saw a $2.47 million outflow on the same day, marking two consecutive days of net outflows.
Altcoin ETFs are seeing even more decisive capital withdrawals than BTC.
PPI Surges and the "Uptober" Curse
US September final demand PPI soared (up 1.3% month-over-month / 6.3% year-over-year), reinforcing expectations of "higher interest rates for longer." Coupled with a sell-off in US stock AI concepts, the Nasdaq fell about 1.5% intraday, and risk sentiment quickly spilled over into the crypto market.
But the magic is that the probability of a Fed rate hike in October dropped sharply from 28% to around 15%, and US Treasury yields fell back, providing key short-term support for $BTC to rebound from below 80,000 to around 82,000.
BTC spot ETF funds turned positive, but buying momentum remains weak.
Yesterday, BTC spot ETF net inflow was $5.05 million, ending the outflow trend from the previous day.
However, funds showed significant divergence: BlackRock (IBIT) inflowed $16.78 million, Grayscale Mini outflowed $7.64 million, while major players like FBTC and GBTC remained flat and cautious. On the same day, ETH spot ETF continued to bleed $60.22 million.
Currently, the total assets under BTC ETFs reach $105.7 billion, accounting for 6.41% of Bitcoin's total market capitalization.
Conclusion: Slight recovery, institutional buying remains limited. This is currently a "sentiment stop-loss" rather than a "trend reversal."
The mantis stalks the cicada, unaware of the oriole behind.
A scammer who tricked over 60 $BTC through fake orders thought that putting them into a Ledger cold wallet was like locking them in a safe.
But hackers exploited a supply chain vulnerability to sneak in and emptied the wallet with one click, instantly transferring $4.8 million to themselves.
The scammer instantly became the victim, and the stolen funds turned into someone else's spoils.
The worst off are still the ordinary people who lost their hard-earned money to the fake order scam.
BTC thrilling "deep V" rebound, returning above $80,000!
Yesterday during the session, it once fell below the $80,000 mark (lowest touched $79,950, the first time since mid-September), then quickly surged over $2,300! 📈
$BTC is now at $82,160, up 1.29% intraday, with a market cap dominance of 59.8%; $ETH at $2,448, up 3.59%.
Altcoins blooming in multiple spots:
ZEC leads the market +10.88%
NEAR strong rally +11.82%
PYTH (+9.54%) & INJ (+24.16%) perform brilliantly, both hitting new highs since last November! 🚀
Do you think this rebound can continue? Or is it just a pullback in a downtrend? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Whale's life or death at $60!
A giant whale is standing on the edge of a cliff——
79,260 $ETH long positions (≈$187 million)
Total long exposure up to $352 million
Liquidation price: $2,290–$2,301
Only $60 away from the current price
Unrealized loss has reached $18.87 million
$60. Not $600, but $60.
One flash crash, one deep liquidity vacuum at midnight, and $350 million will vanish into thin air.
This is no longer a "position," it's a high-stakes gamble. The entire market's eyes are fixed on the $2,300 line—once it breaks, chained liquidations could trigger a stampede, dragging down all surrounding longs.
When the whale capsizes, the splash will drown the small fish on the whole street. 🐋💥
Top protocol revenues in the past 7 days:
🥇 Tether — $122 million
🥈 Circle — $49.03 million
🥉 Papertrade — $42.24 million
Following are Pump.fun ($15.53 million) and Hyperliquid ($14.43 million).
It's no surprise that the stablecoin giants dominate the top two spots; what’s truly noteworthy is that Papertrade has quietly claimed the third place.
Macro needle, leveraged long positions completely wiped out, $974 million vanished, longs slaughtered.
📊 Total network liquidation $974 million
→ Longs $897 million vs Shorts $77 million
→ Long-short ratio exceeds 11:1, one-sided squeeze
🔥 Ethereum contracts hit hardest: $292 million
🔥 Bitcoin follows closely: $201 million
Within just 1 hour after CPI data release, forced liquidation of ETH contracts on Binance exceeded $106 million—directly setting a single-hour liquidation record for the past six months.
$BTC $ETH
Funds are back! Bitcoin ETFs saw a single-day net inflow of $176 million, officially reversing the outflow trend.
Fidelity $FBTC leads, attracting $103 million in a single day
BlackRock $IBIT follows closely with a net inflow of $65.89 million
Even more noteworthy is Ethereum—ETH ETF had a net inflow of $24.8 million on the same day, ending a streak of 10 consecutive trading days of net outflows.
When both lines turn positive simultaneously, it's often not a coincidence but a signal.
CPI debuts tonight, BTC faces a directional choice!
After Bitcoin dropped to a low of about $81,000 the previous day, it rebounded strongly, once rising close to $84,000, but then momentum faded. It is currently trading around the $83,200–$83,600 range, yet to clearly break through the $83,600–$84,000 resistance zone. Ethereum also rebounded to near $2,500, with a 24-hour increase of about 1.1%.
Market funds are currently highly focused on the US September CPI data to be released at 20:30 Beijing time tonight. Analysts generally regard it as the core variable determining the short-term trend:
Inflation cooling (bullish): If the core CPI monthly rate is controlled at 0.2% or below, expectations for macro liquidity easing will be strengthened, and BTC is expected to retest the strong resistance at $87,000 upward.
Data exceeding expectations (bearish): If inflation data shows stickiness, BTC’s previous low support at $81,000 will face a severe test.
#九月CPI今晚公布，美联储加息分歧待解