
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
Feed
Feed
Pinned
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
Conclusion first
We are currently near the end of the bear market. Even to be cautious, you should build a position of 30%
Large funds prioritize BTC/ETH/SOL/OKB
If you don't have much capital, you can lay in some quality altcoins like ENA/AAVE/PUMP
Currently, I have opened a live contract trading on OK Planet, challenging to turn 10,000 into 100,000. Of course, I don't recommend everyone to trade contracts. My large positions are all spot. But without live trading, it's not as engaging. After all, talking is no match for actual operation
I hope brothers can help by following me, I will definitely follow back
Let's all get rich together
$BTC
From the daily chart perspective, it is currently in the consolidation phase of the right shoulder of the golden pit. The main strategy is to buy on dips. The regular swing low buy points refer to the MA30 range, while the bottom-fishing points refer to around MA250. You can also layout mid-term positions on dips according to your own situation.
From the 4H chart perspective, the price has pulled back from a high to the MA30 of this level and has been in a sideways state. There is a clear bullish candle currently, but the overall structure is very confusing and cannot be judged as a direct basis for a rally. Further confirmation of the structure at internal levels is needed. The structure at this level suggests continuing to place sell orders below.
From the 1H and lower levels, two obvious consolidation zones have been formed during the session, and the center of gravity shows a clear downward shift. This means a direct rally will face significant resistance. A sustained rally requires a breakout structure for secondary confirmation: although there is a dense support zone below, the current candlestick pattern is bearish, so it is not advisable to place orders at the current price. It is still better to catch rebounds based on different support zones.
Aggressive support at 83330-82885 (small range points, watch the market closely for quick in and out, valid for 4H), short-term support at 81898-81347 (watch the market closely for quick in and out), second support at 80089-79205.
Short-term resistance at 86073-86774 (support at 853 area after reaching), second resistance at 88253-89011, #BTC
$BTC
#BTC is currently in a range with large orders both above and below.
$84,700–$85,200 and $87,200–$88,000 are two short-term liquidity magnet zones; the price may first sweep one of these today.
On a larger scale, there is $5.2 billion stacked below between $80,000–$85,000, while only $2 billion is above between $87,000–$90,000, so the downside risk is heavier.
However, the $84,300 support has not been broken yet, indicating that bulls and bears have not decided the outcome.
The operation is simple: hold above $84,700, bias bullish, target $87K+; break below $84,700, bias bearish, target $82K–$83K; break above $88K, target $89K–$90K.
Do not take sides prematurely; wait for the price to move first.




$BTC
The recent trend for BTC hasn't changed; it's still seen as oscillating.
Yesterday, BTC pulled back to 82,800 before bouncing up, indicating support below, but it fell back after hitting resistance at 85,000.
It remains within a large range, with resistance above 86,500 and support between 80,000 and 83,000. The shaded area represents resistance and support. Until it firmly breaks above the resistance, there's no rush to consider a new upward trend; likewise, as long as the support below holds, there's no need to be prematurely bearish. After such a significant rise recently, it's unlikely we'll see a big move in the short term; most likely, it will continue to oscillate.
The next couple of days are the weekend, typically quiet with little market movement, so it's very likely to keep grinding within the range, with normal spikes up and down. My view is: don't chase gains or sell off in the middle of the range; wait until the price reaches the edges of the range to make decisions.
$BTC
After the past four "Xi-Trump meetings," BTC dropped more than 20% within two months each time. Coincidentally, today Bitget was hacked for $350 million. The market hasn't reacted much yet, but based on historical experience, it will start to ferment in the next month.
Despite this, I personally think 58K is the bottom for this cycle, for three reasons:
1️⃣ Closed at 86,600 on September 21, the first time breaking the downtrend.
2️⃣ It's been almost a year since the peak; the previous two bear markets lasted 364 days and 378 days from peak to bottom.
3️⃣ CoinKarma's Institutional Liquidity Index (ILI) reached 61.4 on September 23, the highest in a year.
The plan is to wait for a pullback, ideally starting to buy at 75,000, which is exactly the 50% retracement level of this rally.
But the market changes at any time. You can check the LIQ indicator on CoinKarma, which measures whether the buying or selling pressure is stronger. Since 2019, at the lows of eight major crashes, seven times the LIQ was above 4.
When the price rises again, you can look at the ILI at the top: if the price hits a new high but the ILI is lower than the previous high, it means institutional money is not keeping up.
Last October, BTC peaked near 125,000, and it signaled the top one day in advance.
$BTC
Today is the Mid-Autumn Festival, wishing everyone a happy Mid-Autumn Festival
The first wave of the double top correction in Bitcoin mentioned a few days ago has already completed. This drop is just a correction, not a bearish move, so it will return to consolidation. A small rebound is expected during the day, with resistance levels at 85700 and 87100, and a relatively strong support around 82000
$BTC
81000-82000 lifeline
If the lifeline breaks, there will be no 92000 in October
The market's high point won't be too high.
If 81000-82000 doesn't break, then it will fluctuate between 82000-88000, which is the price at the end of September
This has already played out in the past two days
A 4000-point fluctuation between 87000-83000
If 81000-82000 doesn't break, there may still be a high point in October, possibly 88000 or even 90000.
87500 corresponds to 79500 at the end of last August
88000 corresponds to 81000 at the end of last August
83000 corresponds to 76000 last month
82000 corresponds to 75000 last month
Going long must use protection with a stop loss at 82000 because of the fear that if it goes down, it won't come back up,
Low leverage shorting doesn't require a stop loss because even if you are 5x short and forcibly closed at 17000 points, it's still above 102,000, so no need to worry
$BTC
Is BTC done rising? Is it a bear retracement or just a correction?
In yesterday's tweet, it was mentioned that BTC falling below 84500 could mean the start of a correction. This afternoon, it dropped to the support range of 82600-83400 and then stopped falling. The price movement of BTC in the next few days is very important and will determine the trend for October and November.
If it cannot break above 85000 for a long time, it means that at least the retracement for the rise from 74967 to 87395 has begun. The retracement for 74967-87395 should not break below the Gann angle line 2/1 (80300-80900). If it breaks below this range and cannot recover, caution is needed as the retracement level may expand to cover the entire black segment shown in the chart.
Since the low point of 57800 on July 1st, the black segment's rise lasted 82 days with an increase of 51.84%. We captured most of this rise and also made additional contract swing trades. The upcoming correction is an opportunity; after finding the end of the correction, the next wave of increase will most likely exceed the black segment.

$BTC
If the BTC price drops further, we have four potential positions for adding to our holdings below, which are:
81500-76700
73200-71500
70200-67900
66600-62500
Where do you think it will go?
They are ranked by color from light to dark according to the advantages of their positions, meaning the darker the color, the better the position and the larger the possible allocation. Among them, 73200-71500 is both in a dense order area and near the ma200 support line, so it has relatively better support and is our core area for adding to holdings.



