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On the 1-hour chart, first watch 83,000–83,432. If it can't break through, it will still oscillate; if it really breaks, then look at 84,000–84,400. There's resistance above on the daily chart too, with the 10 EMA at 83,590 and the 20 SMA at 84,371, so don't be too optimistic if it rebounds to these levels.
Below are 82,400, 82,200, 81,700, with the key level at 80,308. If this is lost, 80,000 is also in danger. The major structure is still intact, with the 50 EMA at 79,865 and the 200 SMA at 71,918 supporting below. MACD is bearish, but momentum is retracing, so neither bulls nor bears have the upper hand.
On 10/14 Wednesday, the US September CPI will be released. This is the biggest variable this week, determining whether rate hike expectations will heat up or cool down. The FOMC on October 27–28 is the pricing watershed. There's also the Beige Book early Thursday; earnings reports from TSMC and ASML. Trump tariffs and geopolitical news could intervene at any time.
To the upside, it depends on whether spot buying returns; first stand above 85,500 before considering further. Above that is 87,100–95,900, the largest annual liquidation zone. To the downside, if 80,300 breaks, the next reference area is around 75,000. CryptoQuant mentioned the “short-term traders’ unrealized profit 21-month peak,” meaning that batch of profit-taking hasn't fully exited yet
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
BTC current price is around 83,800, ETH at 2,610. The afternoon couldn't hold up, continuing the morning's decline, shifting from high-level consolidation to a downward trend.
There was actually an attempt to rebound in the morning, but the bullish volume couldn't keep up; several attempts to break resistance failed. In the afternoon, it simply retraced downward, breaking previous high-level support, with short-term sentiment clearly weakening. The daily trend hasn't completely broken yet.
Any slight rebound is met with selling pressure; previous support zones have now turned into resistance. If it rebounds back to those levels, it's an opportunity to reduce positions and take profits—don't hesitate. The price is currently testing short-term support; if it can't hold, it will probe lower to test the core defense below. Hourly bearish momentum is still increasing; even if there's a short-term rebound, it's likely a weak correction, and pulling back directly to previous highs is difficult.
ETH is weaker than BTC today, dropping deeper. Current price near 2,610, passively following the market down, poor resistance to decline, weak rebound, and larger retracements than BTC when falling, with no independent trend. Altcoins are also retreating together, with poor profit potential.
The core rhythm this afternoon: a weak, corrective consolidation, not the high-level grinding seen in previous days. Absolutely do not bottom-fish against the trend; there's no sign of a stable bottom, entering now is like catching a falling knife. Short-term strategy should follow the trend: don't chase weak rebounds, reduce positions gradually at resistance, and wait for clear signs of support at low levels before considering buying the dip, with stop-losses mandatory.
The medium- to long-term bullish structure remains, but short-term funds are fleeing and sentiment is cooling; the afternoon is a downward correction phase. Be patient and wait for key M-shaped support to stabilize.
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
$BTC $ETH
Today's Cryptocurrency Market Analysis
Overall, the market is quite stable today, with the major indices basically consolidating at high levels.
The big trend for Bitcoin remains solid, with a stable bullish structure. However, in the short term, it's clear that the upward momentum is fading; every rally is followed by a pullback, showing no sustained buying power. Currently, this is a high-level shakeout, gradually washing out short-term floating positions.
The resistance zone above is very tight, repeatedly tested but not broken. Without a volume breakout, any rally here is a bull trap, so firmly avoid chasing.
Support below is quite stable, with recent dips well supported. As long as the core support holds, there's no need to be bearish; it's just a period of consolidation and correction.
The market now is a typical wait-and-see for direction, with neither bulls nor bears showing strength. It's a lukewarm market with no clear opportunities.
Ethereum remains weak, following Bitcoin without its own rhythm. When the market consolidates, Ethereum is slightly weaker; when the market dips, Ethereum falls first; its rebound strength is very poor. At this stage, there's no need to actively trade Ethereum; the risk-reward ratio is low.
Briefly on strategy:
In this kind of choppy market, the easiest way to lose money is chasing highs and selling lows.
Don't chase at highs; buy steadily at lows. If there's no breakout or breakdown, just patiently observe.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
#VanEck：Bitcoin may continue to expand its market share
VanEck Asset Management's recent view is that more funds will tilt towards Bitcoin, and its share in the entire crypto market will continue to rise.
In simple terms, institutional allocation strategies have changed, with more and more funds treating BTC as an alternative asset. The continuous inflow into ETFs is the most direct signal.
Most altcoins and public chain projects find it difficult to attract such long-term institutional funds, so capital will keep concentrating on Bitcoin.
The report also mentions that Bitcoin's volatility has narrowed significantly compared to previous bull markets, and it is no longer purely a speculative trading asset. Many financial advisors and large funds are starting to consider including it in their asset allocation portfolios, which is a more long-term logic.
But it should be clear that this is only an institutional forecast, not a definite outcome
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元
The latest data shows that tokenized stocks on the SOL chain reached a trading volume of $4.4 billion in September, setting a new all-time high.
Simply put:
Currently, playing with tokenized US stocks and traditional asset tokenization on-chain is basically all concentrated in the Solana ecosystem. The reason is simple: SOL transfers are fast, fees are extremely low, much more comfortable than Ethereum, making it very suitable for high-frequency trading.
This surge is not driven by a single platform but mainly supported by mainstream DEXs like Raydium, Meteora, and Orca. Since June, this sector's popularity has been heating up, and September saw a major explosion, with a visibly increased number of retail investors entering.
Many people don't understand, so I'll clarify plainly:
This $4.4 billion is the monthly trading volume, not market capitalization. Currently, the total market cap of tokenized stocks on the entire SOL chain is only a few hundred million. Comparing to the trading volume, it shows an extremely high turnover rate. Basically, it's active funds doing swing trades back and forth, with very ample liquidity, not stagnant capital.
October's data is very critical; if the trading volume can be maintained steadily, it means the sector has truly established itself; if the heat quickly cools down, then it is short-term speculative capital pulses.
$BTC $ETH $SOL