Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)

Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)

推特同名@Crypto_猫哥 币圈八年老韭菜 全世界最全的、最详细的BTC行情分析 点点关注、关注必回

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Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
$BTC $ETH $SOL Conclusion first We are currently near the end of the bear market. Even to be cautious, you should build a position of 30% Large funds prioritize BTC/ETH/SOL/OKB If you don't have much capital, you can lay in some quality altcoins like ENA/AAVE/PUMP Currently, I have opened a live contract trading on OK Planet, challenging to turn 10,000 into 100,000. Of course, I don't recommend everyone to trade contracts. My large positions are all spot. But without live trading, it's not as engaging. After all, talking is no match for actual operation I hope brothers can help by following me, I will definitely follow back Let's all get rich together
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
From the weekly chart, $BTC has already risen above EMA5, EMA10, and EMA20. ETF funds are flowing back in, and the trend is indeed clearly strengthening. This rally is not just short covering. There are likely three possible scenarios ahead. Which do you think it will be? 1. BTC directly breaks through $88,000. Do not chase the first bullish candle; wait for the price to pull back to $85,000 without breaking it, then follow with a small position; after confirming a stable hold above $90,000, gradually increase positions, targeting $93,000–$96,000. 2. The rally fails, pulling back to $80,000–$82,000. As long as volume shrinks and the daily structure is not broken, you can try entering in batches but not buy all at once. 3. Breaks below $79,000, rebounds but fails to recover, indicating the breakout failed. Continue holding cash and wait to reconfirm support around $76,000.
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
$BTC BTC has now broken through 82,800. Looking further at this chart, I think the main difference between these two trends really comes down to one point: whether 82,800 can truly hold. Because 82,800 itself is near the previous high and is also a significant resistance level in this current market cycle. If BTC can effectively break through 82,800, and after the breakout the pullback can still hold above it, that would indicate that the selling pressure above has been mostly absorbed, the market structure will be stronger, and it would be smoother for the price to continue rising towards 84,000 or even new highs. But if it only briefly breaks 82,800 and then quickly falls back, that breakout would be insignificant, more like a false breakout. In that case, the market will most likely continue to consolidate.
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
$BTC Currently, BTC is nearly 82,000. I've seen many people getting anxious because they missed out or bought too little, but I think it's still best not to rush to chase BTC. BTC is now a very large asset. The phase of increasing by tens or dozens of times in the past few years is over. The upcoming fluctuations will become more mature, with slower rises and longer adjustment periods. So, 80,000 dollars is not a price you miss and can never buy again. It's very likely to be seen again in the next few months, and it might even drop to a lower level in between. Even if it continues to break through 83,000 or 84,000, it doesn't mean it will keep going up without turning back. I just think chasing highs now is not cost-effective. It can continue to rise, but the multiple returns left for latecomers are no longer as exaggerated as before, and chasing the wrong position still means having to endure pullbacks.
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
$BTC Brothers, join the group on my homepage Sharing the latest market trends every day Daily red envelopes No fees, no barriers
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
$BTC Today's strategy: For the long positions from yesterday at 80700-81000, you can reduce your position by 30%-50% first, and move the stop loss of the remaining position up to around 80700. If it rebounds again to 81800-82200 but still can't hold above, continue to take profits in batches; only if it breaks and holds above 82200 with volume, the remaining position will continue to target 82800 and 84000. Do not chase new positions for now. Wait for a 1-hour stop of the decline around 80000-80500 before considering adding longs, with a stop loss at 79200. If it breaks below 79800 on the 4-hour chart, cancel the long plan. A bullish long-term trend does not mean you don't take profits. Take money off the table before resistance levels, and leave the rest to the market.
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
$BTC BTC closed with a hammer bearish candlestick this morning, and the weekly candle closed with a large bullish candlestick with upper and lower shadows, forming a bullish engulfing pattern with the previous week. BTC has repeatedly touched the 8.2 resistance level, repeatedly seizing liquidity above and enduring selling pressure. Is it about to break through and stabilize above 8.2 in one go? From this market movement, BTC has formed a bottom around 7.56 and started to rebound. The 4H MACD shows a bullish divergence at the bottom and signs of a golden cross, both indicating a bullish rebound. The daily chart shows a hammer candlestick with a clear bullish advantage, and the weekly chart shows a bullish engulfing pattern, also a bullish signal. Knowing that BTC continues its bullish structure, buying on dips and buying on a breakout and stabilization above resistance are both viable strategies. Wait on the right side for the candlestick body to break through and stabilize above 8.2, then lightly go long with a stop loss at 8.1, targeting 8.3 and 8.37 $BTC
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
$BTC BTC has approached around $80,000. Rushing to buy the dip or short now is prone to being shaken out back and forth. According to this 1-hour chart, the price rose from around $75,000 to $82,000 before pulling back; the screenshot shows a quote of about 80,226. MA5, MA10, and MA20 are near 80,325, 80,598, and 80,991 respectively. The price has fallen below all three moving averages, and the short-term averages are below the long-term averages, indicating weakening short-term momentum. However, a pullback on the hourly level alone does not confirm a major trend reversal. My approach is: first see if $80,000 can hold, then wait for direction confirmation. If the price stops falling near 80,000–80,100 and then closes above 80,600 on the hourly chart, with a pullback that does not break below, consider a light position for a rebound. First target 81,000; after breaking through, look at 81,800–82,000; stop loss should be placed below the confirmed pullback low, exit if broken. If the hourly close falls below 80,000 and a rebound fails to reclaim it, cancel plans to go long and wait for a rebound to be resisted before considering short positions. Watch the downside near 79,000 and 78,700. Stop loss should be placed above the rebound high; do not chase orders during a sharp decline. If it directly recovers 81,000 and holds on a pullback, the short-term weakness judgment should be revised; do not continue to mechanically expect a decline. $80,000 is an observation level, not a must-hold bottom; trade the confirmed trend.
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
$ETH On Friday, Ethereum surged significantly in sync with Bitcoin. ETH once rebounded to 2668 yesterday, slightly breaking through the September 11 high of 2666, setting a new rebound high. However, after the breakout, ETH quickly fell back, currently pulling back to a low of 2564. This pattern of breaking the previous high and then quickly retreating indicates that the buying support above 2666 is not strong. Additionally, Ethereum's trading volume on Friday was significantly lower than the period from August 19 to 21, indicating a decline in buying strength. Although ETH may still oscillate upward in the short term, the potential for further gains might be limited, and the risk of a pullback is relatively high. Therefore, it is not advisable to be blindly optimistic under these circumstances.
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
$BTC BTC dropped to a low of 80802, then rebounded to a high of 81933, but failed to break through 82000 after multiple attempts. The current price has returned to around 81200, starting to consolidate at a high level. In the past 24 hours, the price has slightly increased, but open interest (OI) has decreased from 108K to 107.5K, and the funding rate remains normal at 0.01%. This indicates that high-level leverage continues to be cleared; bulls have not clearly fled, but new funds are not aggressively entering. The daily chart remains above EMA7, EMA14, and EMA21, and the 4-hour EMA7 has moved up to around 80900, so the overall trend is still bullish. However, there is obvious selling pressure above 82000, and the current position is right between support and resistance, making it unsuitable for opening new positions. Today, only consider buying on pullbacks: If the price stops falling between 80700-81000, you can buy in batches with a stop loss set below 79800. The initial target is 82200-82800; if broken, continue to target 84000. If the 4-hour chart breaks below 80300 directly, cancel the long plan and do not rush to short. Additionally, on Friday, the US spot ETF had a net inflow of about $433 million, indicating spot funds are still supporting; however, with the ETF market closed over the weekend and volume declining, the probability of price spikes will significantly increase. The overall trend remains bullish, but 81200 is the midpoint. Buy again on pullbacks to 80700-81000, and do not chase directly after breaking 82000.
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版)
$UNI Touched 9.5, then immediately pulled back. 9.5 is a strong resistance level, and there will be 3 more tests later; it will break through sooner or later. Hoping this pullback can reach the lower range of 8.4 to provide a buying opportunity. The order is already placed. Range: upper 9.5, lower 8.4 If the next attempt at 9.5 reaches 9.6, this pullback will probably be over.