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WikiBit
6 days to FOMC. CME hike odds: 60.2%.
History is blunt:
• Odds >40% 10 days before → hike always followed
• Final pricing <60% the day before → no hike ever happened
60.2% sits in the tension zone: “history says hike, but the Fed has never acted at such low odds.”
Don’t stare at 60.2% — watch the post-CPI repricing direction. Cut leverage, wait for data, guard against whipsaws.
Ansvarsfriskrivning: OKX Orbit-innehåll tillhandahålls endast i informationssyfte. Läs mer
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