帖子
ARRIWYKS
#PalantirQ3Valuation
Why YES:
US Comm $764M +149%, Gov $809M +90% Q2 — AIP rocket. FY guide $8.15B→ Street looks for $8.2B+ raise. Citi $250 PT, Knox FedRAMP deal just.
Valuation problem:
$197, P/S 82x, P/E 168x, Fwd P/E 102x, P/S 85x. Even +$8.2B beat = priced. Fair DCF base $163 vs $197 = -14% safety. Software ETF IGV -4.6% Oct 16 dragged PLTR -7% same day. $2.16B = in-line = sell.
Call: 60% EPS BEAT but 40% stock BEAT — needs $2.25B+ & US Comm >140% + FY $8.3B to hold $200. Else $184.
