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ADA has been relatively active intraday, with noticeable support at lower levels, representing a typical pattern of funds returning to established public chains after the market warms up. The core focus of Cardano remains its ecosystem applications, on-chain activity, and development progress, but the market now demands higher standards for the "technology narrative," ultimately relying on real users and capital flow. The recent broad rally in major coins has provided a sentiment foundation for ADA, but whether it can demonstrate independent strength depends on whether subsequent trading volume continues to increase. For the blogger, this phase is better defined as "a coexistence of catch-up expectations and ecosystem validation." $ADA$BCH really set the pace this time.
The long position placed around 264.7 pushed the price all the way up to 314.2, with profits multiplying by 9.35 times. It hovered around 260 for several rounds earlier, but once it truly started, volume surged and the price shot up, reaching a high of 325, leaving the previous consolidation zone far behind.
Now the key is not whether it can keep rising, but whether funds are willing to continue buying after this big bullish candle. The four-hour volume has clearly expanded, and short-term moving averages have been quickly pulled away by the price. The strength is solid, but after such a rapid rise, a high-level fluctuation is very likely to follow.
As long as the area around 300 holds, this upward push still has room to continue; retaking 325 could open up further upside. Profits are already substantial, so the focus going forward is to protect gains while moving forward. $BTC $ETH #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 XLM's recent movement is relatively stable. After rising from a low point during the day, it managed to hold most of the gains, indicating that the capital is not just making a single impulse move. On the market level, BTC, ETH, and SOL have recently strengthened in sync, and the renewed risk appetite brings room for catch-up gains to old narratives like payments and cross-border settlements. XLM itself places more emphasis on practical applications and institutional cooperation, unlike pure hype coins that rely entirely on emotional bursts. In the short term, the key focus is whether trading volume can continue to expand: if volume sustains, the trend may shift from a rebound to a stronger trend recovery; if volume shrinks, it is still likely to return to consolidation. $XLM🔵 ZEC Is Gauging Real Demand for Privacy
$ZEC presents a narrative that extends past short-term price action: whether there's genuine appetite for shielded transactions once speculative fervor fades.
What matters more is genuine adoption, order book depth and consistent usage. When network activity expands in tandem with valuation, the rally carries weight; when trading volume evaporates after the first leg up, the trend can reverse just as fast.
Privacy is the conviction. Utilization is the? #CostcoQ4EarningsWatch Two earnings reports, two very different economic signals 👀
Costco already posted $93.9B in Q4 sales, up 11.3%. Now I'm watching margins, memberships and renewals for signs of consumer strength.
Then comes Micron, guiding for $50B revenue and ~86% gross margin.
What stands out is the contrast: Costco tests the consumer, Micron tests AI demand.
Together, they could tell us whether growth is broadening beyond the AI boom.$APR This isn't a rebound; it's like CPR for my empty account, right? The pull-up is strong, and the drop is solid.
When the market was just crushed early on, APR's rebound looked promising. But every time it surged, it ran out of steam, with strong selling pressure and insufficient volume. Before the market fully kicked off, I had already planned it out. Around 0.2422, I directly signaled a high short.
Now at 0.1458, +796.03%, nailed it. Feeling good, brothers, this wave was worth the wait; slow at first, but sweet in the end. Everyone on board should be waking up smiling.
First, close 80%, then push the stop loss to the cost price for the remaining 20%. Don't be greedy for the last bit, and don't give back profits if it rebounds. If it continues to drop, let the profits run; act quickly with your position and keep protection tight.
Don't let profits inflate, don't despair over pullbacks. For uncertain stocks, a glance is clarity, buying a lot is confusion.
Now is not the time to rush; chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. I'll notify you first when a more comfortable position comes in the next round. If you miss it, don't chase; wait for the new structure, opportunities remain, no need to rush.
$ZEC $BNB HERE'S THE PART EVERYONE WILL IGNORE:
The hardest part of a breakout isn't buying it.
It's knowing whether the breakout is REAL.
$BTC above $85K looks powerful.
$ETH above $2.7K looks powerful.
But after a move this fast, the retest becomes extremely important.
If buyers defend the breakout:
Structure strengthens.
If price immediately falls back:
The market may have simply cleared liquidity.
Don't fall in love with the candle.
Trade the reaction.$ORDI started with a fair mint: no pre-mining, no VC allocation, no team reserves, early distribution relied on community inscriptions and Ordinals users. Compared to many altcoins with unlock calendars, $ORDI has no predetermined sell pressure variable like "the day institutions dump."Only a handful of large-cap coins have reclaimed their October highs from last year, and $ZEC is among them. What stands out is that this isn't just a ZEC move. The broader privacy-coin sector has reportedly gained around 90% over the past 30 days, with the sector still up roughly 85% excluding ZEC. Among the larger-cap names, $ZEC, $XMR, $HYPE and $WBT have reclaimed those previous levels, while $XMR has even doubled and moved above $600. The narrative is shifting: after years of limited attentThis ETH trade is really frustrating. I originally waited for a pullback, but now all I can think about is "Can I just break even first?" 🥲 I opened a short at 2510.83, took the screenshot at 2756.11, and the page shows a single contract floating profit and loss rate of -976.88%, and it's still not closed.
But this time, looking at the information, there's a change that can't be ignored. The previously feared ETF redemption pressure does exist: from September 15 to 17, the US ETH spot ETF had a net outflow of about $405 million. However, on the trading days of the 18th and 21st, there was a net inflow of about $414 million, which has already made up for the outflows of the previous three days. I remember the old selling pressure very well, but the subsequent buying hasn't been given enough attention.
I think the biggest correction needed is not to find a higher point to say "It should fall here," but to admit: just because there was a bearish basis initially doesn't mean that basis can be used indefinitely. Funds have already started flowing back, but I'm still waiting for a drop based on previous outflows, which means the market is moving forward while my judgment is stuck on the day I opened the position.
I will still watch for opportunities to take profits after a rise, but I need to see the subsequent buying cool down and the rebound fail to hold gains, rather than mistaking every small pullback as a reversal just because I'm trapped.
The take profit at 2400 is still set, but now I should first reduce my position and set the extra loss I'm willing to bear on the remaining part. I can't keep relying on adding margin to buy more time for this target. Honestly, actively accepting some losses is uncomfortable, but it's better than leaving all decision power to forced liquidation.$SKHYNIX Hynix short position trial has been opened, watching the rebound strength, still set a 10-point stop loss first. If the rebound doesn't surpass the resistance level, it proves a real weakness. Micron and SanDisk are clearly stronger than Hynix, and US stock funds are more willing to go long on them.
Currently, storage hasn't formed resonance, so there's still an opportunity to short on rallies. Finally got the short position back; the cost at this price is really quite attractive, will keep holding.
Today there was also some good news preparing for no war 😂, let's wait and see.
#特朗普将会晤海湾六国，伊朗局势迎关键节点 $SOL just broke through the high point of this round, but the number of long positions in the contracts is actually decreasing.
The ratio of retail traders' longs to shorts has dropped from over two times to just over 1.6 times in thirty days — longs are still the majority, but their advantage is shrinking. The two columns for large holders are declining simultaneously, with the position ratio retreating from 2.5 times to 2.3 times, and the number of accounts decreasing even more noticeably. The price is going up, but the proportion of bulls at all levels is going down.
Interestingly, the positions themselves. The number of coins held increased by 5%, and the USD value of positions rose by 30% — both coins and money increased simultaneously, indicating that the new positions opened this round are backed by real capital, not just old positions being lifted by price.
Putting these two things together, the structure becomes clear: incremental funds are indeed entering the market, but among the newly opened positions, the proportion of shorts is higher than before. On one side, some are adding positions; on the other, some are taking the opposite side. The ratio of active buy and sell volume hovers around 1, with no one gaining a clear advantage.
What to watch next is which way this divergence will resolve. If the bull proportion continues to slide while positions keep growing, it means the counterparty is accumulating; conversely, if the bull proportion stops falling and rebounds while positions stop growing, it means new money has stopped entering, leaving only internal turnover. The number of coins held is the most straightforward indicator — once it turns, the previous two interpretations immediately determine the outcome.
Price can be pushed up by incremental funds or by the counterparty; these two paths require watching different indicators going forward. $ALAB $ALAB /USDT This market looks a bit suspicious, I tried a small position around 346.69. Purely based on the chart, the candlesticks are flat and boring, then suddenly volume spikes and price moves, buy and sell walls keep getting eaten repeatedly, a typical manipulator shaking out positions. Don't imagine a story, just focus on the capital flow and volume. Watch if it can hold above the previous high; if it can't hold around 346, reduce your position, don't get emotional. Do you think this move is a setup or a bull trap? Share your observations in the comments.
👇👇👇Nasdaq Hits Intraday All-Time High: What Does It Mean for BTC/ETH?
The Nasdaq Composite Index reached a new intraday all-time high, rising about 0.4% during the day, with the AI technology sector continuing to lead gains, and overall risk appetite in the US stock market increasing.
From an observer's perspective, holding no BTC or ETH, here is a simple breakdown of this macro signal:
Positive Logic
1. The Nasdaq hitting a new high indicates a recovery in US stock market risk sentiment and stronger market confidence in technology and growth assets. Crypto assets belong to high-risk growth assets, so in an environment of rising risk appetite, they are more likely to receive positive sentiment support, benefiting the trading environment for BTC and ETH.
2. The strength in tech stocks also indirectly confirms that the AI narrative remains robust. Ethereum itself is deeply linked with AI, ZK technology, and on-chain infrastructure, so the optimistic atmosphere in the tech market will indirectly transmit to ETH's long-term narrative expectations.
3. A strong US stock market and warmer expectations for US dollar liquidity are favorable for the overall funding environment of risk assets.
Risks to Watch
1. Correlation is not guaranteed: Recently, the correlation between BTC and the Nasdaq has declined. A strong US stock market does not necessarily mean crypto will rise in sync. Crypto is also independently affected by regulation, whales, and on-chain news, so a divergence scenario of "US stocks up, crypto sideways" may occur.
2. The Nasdaq's new high also implies that the market has priced in some optimistic expectations. If the US stock market later experiences a pullback and risk sentiment declines, BTC and ETH will also passively face selling pressure.
For now, avoid blindly shorting strong momentum moves. For short-term traders, a potential short setup could require: 1️⃣ A 15-minute candle that is unusually large compared with the previous 24 hours — ideally more than 3× the typical size. 2️⃣ A long upper wick, forming a potential rejection/pin-bar structure. 3️⃣ At least one clear rejection candle confirming the setup. 4️⃣ A 24-hour gain of 40%+ to show that the move is highly extended. If the gain is below 40% but the other conditions appeaIs the current macro setup actually supportive of the speculative rotation into $XRP and $DOGE, or are traders misreading a temporary liquidity flush for a structural trend? The honest answer is that both narratives have merit right now, and the distinction hinges on stablecoin flows rather than headline sentiment. When on-chain stablecoin minting tracks with spot exchange inflows, it creates a thin but genuine supply of dry powder that fuels retail-driven speculative assets. When that minting dA large whale has just closed all short positions on $BTC, $SOL, and $XRP. This alone isn't enough to justify a FOMO buy, but combined with the current technical structure, this move is definitely worth noting. 📊 $BTC has now returned above the $78K–$82K range, a price zone considered to be linked to the cost basis of many long-term holders. Notably, after months of consolidation and continuous accumulation, the market structure seems to be shifting from "defense" to "rebuilding positions." 🔥 Short positions exiting + key price area holding 👀 Next, focus on whether capital continues to flow back and if the price can maintain the current structure. The market is changing, and the real signals will need to be confirmed by subsequent price action. #BTC #SOL #XRP #Crypto #Bitcoin$BTC may be setting the direction, but the bigger signal comes from what happens beneath the surface. 📈 $BTC → market trend leader ⚡ $ETH → market breadth check 🔥 $SOL → high-beta risk signal 💰 Altcoins → rotation & liquidity flow A sustainable move doesn’t require every coin to pump. The key is expanding participation — more volume, stronger breadth, and capital gradually moving from BTC into higher-risk assets. If liquidity continues to spread beyond the majors, a BTC breakout can evolve inAltcoins collectively started catching up after surging to 87,000. How much safe room is left in this rally?
This is a question everyone is very concerned about, especially those who missed out!
I believe this rally has already passed the initial rebound phase and entered the breakthrough acceleration and capital diffusion stage. There is currently no clear signal of a top, but the most comfortable low point is already behind us.
We are roughly in the third step of the entire rebound:
The first step was the panic clearance from 58,000 to 67,000, where the market didn’t believe in the bottom, but chips quietly changed hands at low levels.
The second step was the trend recovery from 63,000 to 82,000, with $BTC reclaiming the mid-to-long-term moving averages, shorts covering, but most people still treated the rise as a bear market rally.
The third step is now from 75,000 to 87,000, where those who missed out start chasing the rally. After BTC stabilizes at a high level, capital continues to spread to ETH, SOL, and altcoins, with the profit-making effect clearly heating up.
But the third step could either lead to the main rise or form a phase top.
The current collective catch-up in altcoins indicates risk appetite is spreading, but BTC’s market dominance is still close to 59%, more like capital overflow after a breakout, and it can’t yet be defined as a full altcoin season.
Next, just watch a few key levels:
Holding 83,000 to 84,000 USD means continuing to target 89,000 to 92,000 USD;
Dropping back to 80,000 to 82,000 USD indicates the breakout momentum is weakening;
My strategy remains unchanged: the trend is still bullish, but the current risk-reward ratio no longer offers good value, so I prefer short-term quick in-and-out trades!Fear and Greed Index at 78, the market is extremely greedy, yet $ZAMA fell 11.74% against the trend. This "divergence between sentiment and price" is the most noteworthy detail to analyze today. Looking at the moving average system: MA5=0.0928 has crossed below MA20=0.0943, indicating a short-term weakening trend. The price at 0.0913 is running close to the lower Bollinger Band at 0.0890, which is the early stage of a bearish arrangement. However, the RSI is only 44.1, not yet in the oversold zone, indicating that selling pressure has not been fully released; the MACD histogram at -0.00066 also points to continued bearish momentum. The real contradiction lies in the funding rate of +0.0050%—the price is falling, but longs are still paying to hold positions, which is a typical "longs not yet surrendered" structure, making rebounds easily suppressed by selling pressure. A reusable method: when sentiment is extremely greedy, but the coin breaks below MA5/MA20 and the funding rate remains positive, prioritize a bearish bias until RSI falls below 30 or the funding rate turns negative to consider a reversal.
The direction is bearish. Entry reference is 0.0913 to 0.0928 (current price to MA5 pullback level, moving average resistance plus relatively high funding rate). Take profit 1 is at 0.0890 (lower Bollinger Band, first support); take profit 2 is at 0.0865 (extension target after breaking the lower band, corresponding to volatility release). Stop loss is at 0.0950 (above MA20; if price holds above, the bearish logic fails). Costco is about to release its earnings report, so why is the crypto community so focused on how many rotisserie chickens it sold?
First, it doesn't stockpile Bitcoin, and second, it doesn't accept Bitcoin payments.
But it knows whether Americans' wallets are still full.
Good earnings → Americans are still buying lots of toilet paper and rotisserie chickens → strong consumption → inflation remains high → the Fed dares not cut interest rates → liquidity-dependent risk assets like crypto suffer.
Poor earnings → consumption cools down → expectations for rate cuts rise → the market starts betting on the Fed easing → Bitcoin might actually rally first as a sign of respect.
So when crypto folks watch Costco's earnings, they're not really looking at how many rotisserie chickens were sold, but whether Americans' wallets are still full and whether the Fed's faucet will loosen.
$BTC
#财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布 BTC surged to around $86,000, is this rally really reliable?
First, let's look at the funds: On September 21, the US spot BTC ETF had a net inflow of about $999 million, and the ETH ETF had a net inflow of about $270 million.
This indicates that this round of rally is not solely driven by retail sentiment; real big money is re-entering the market. But a large inflow in one day is still not enough to prove the trend has fully reversed.
Today, don’t just focus on how much the price has risen; pay attention to:
① Whether BTC can hold above $85,000
② Whether ETFs can maintain net inflows for 2–3 consecutive days
③ Whether ETH and other major coins can catch up
If only BTC rises while other coins remain flat, the market may still be just a localized rebound driven by concentrated funds.
If ETFs continue to flow in, ETH starts to catch up, and BTC finds support after retesting $85,000, then the market can be considered to have truly shifted from a rebound to a trend.
My current judgment: short-term is relatively strong, but the medium-term still needs confirmation. The biggest risk now is not missing the boat, but chasing with high leverage at the peak of market sentiment after seeing the rise.
Do you think BTC can hold $85,000 this time?
Data source: Farside Investors
For market research purposes only, not investment advice.
#BTC #ETH #MarketAnalysisETH at $2750, are you chasing it?
First, look at the surface: Yesterday it violently surged from 2613 to 2807, then retraced to 2750 today, up 12% in 7 days.
Retail investors are shouting "overbought, time for a correction," but look at the chart — daily candles above all moving averages, MACD golden cross, RSI at 69, volume expanded then contracted on the pullback. A healthy correction, don’t get left behind.
First thing: Rate hike is done, bad news fully priced in.
On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25bp, the dot plot was hawkish, and new chair Warsh hinted at possible further hikes this year. ETH dropped from 2370 to 2430 that day, then what? It bounced back to 2807 three days later.
The CLARITY Act failed to advance in the Senate, ETFs saw early outflows, many said "regulation is doomed." But yesterday, ETFs had a net inflow of 270 million, led by BlackRock.
All the bad news is out, prices didn’t fall but rose — this is called bad news fully priced in.
Second thing: Shorts liquidated $190 million, whales are accumulating.
Yesterday shorts were liquidated for $191 million. You’re selling at a loss, whales are buying up.
BitMine (Tom Lee’s group) keeps increasing holdings, targeting 5% of supply. Non-custodial wallet count hit a record high of 207 million, exchange ETH reserves dropped to multi-year lows.
Third thing: 43 million ETH staked and locked, circulating supply is drying up.
About 43 million ETH are staked, accounting for 35% of circulating supply. The queue to stake is 13 times longer than the queue to exit — many want to stake, few want to leave.
Spot ETFs hold 5.91 million ETH, 4.8% of supply. Glamsterdam upgrade is underway, stablecoin gas payments and quantum resistance planned through 2029.
ETH isn’t just speculation; it’s being locked, hoarded, and bought onto institutional balance sheets.
Bull vs. bear, you decide:
On one side:
ETF funds flowing back, daily net inflow of 270 million
Shorts liquidated $191 million, causing a short squeeze rebound
43 million staked and locked, exchange reserves at multi-year lows
Daily chart bullish alignment, MACD golden cross
On the other side:
Fed rate hike cycle not over, macro remains hawkish
RSI 69-72 overbought, short-term digestion needed
Resistance at 2786-2807 tested thrice and failed
Still over 40% below ATH 4946, heavy trapped positions
Resistance above: 2786 → 2807 → 2894 → 3000
Support below: 2716 → 2626 → 2537 (20EMA) → 2500-2430
Trading strategy:
Short-term traders:
Wait for pullback to 2720-2716 to stabilize (4H hammer/engulfing), go light long, stop loss 2690, target 2890-3000. If it breaks 2716 and 4H close confirms, go light short, stop loss 2755, target 2626-2537.
Swing traders:
Wait for daily close above 2807 before entering, stop loss 2750, target 3000+. Half position is most comfortable now — add on dips, chase on rallies, stay calm.
Long-term believers:
Buy and hold below 2500. Staking lockup + ETF inflows + upgrade narrative, target 4000+ by 2027. Don’t mind the slow pace; it took 13 months to drop from 4946 to 2750, but it might only take 3 months to rebound from 2750 to 4000.
ETH now is like Bitcoin in 2020 —
Everyone is waiting for a crash, institutions are quietly accumulating.
You fear rate hikes, institutions fear missing out. You fear regulation, institutions fear insufficient position.
At 2750, do you dare chase or wait for a pullback?
$BTC $ETH $DOGE The BTC market these past two days has been, frankly, a bit "crazy."
The price quickly surged from the $81,000 level, reaching $87,000 intraday, hitting a new high since the end of January this year, with a 24-hour increase of over 5.7%. Even more astonishing, the total liquidation amount across the network in the past 24 hours reached $877 million, with short liquidations accounting for $741 million, and over 126,000 accounts were liquidated. This is a typical short squeeze scenario—shorts are forced to close positions, which in turn becomes buying pressure, pushing the price up faster and faster.
On the sentiment side, the Fear and Greed Index has soared to 78, entering the "Extreme Greed" zone, marking a new high in nearly a month. The RSI is also approaching the overbought region, with clear technical overheating signals.
From a personal perspective, this rally is the result of easing macro risk-off sentiment, falling oil prices, ETF capital inflows, combined with a short squeeze resonance. But the question is straightforward: can the buying pressure hold? The open interest is still climbing, and leveraged funds are rapidly adding positions, which means that upcoming 5% level fluctuations will come faster and more violently than expected.
My personal stance is: do not chase the highs, wait for a pullback. Pay attention to the support strength in the weekly $79,000 to $80,300 range; if the weekly holds, the upward structure remains; if it breaks, the short-term correction after overheating may be deeper than expected. Those holding spot can hold on, and those looking to enter, don't rush. $BTC $ETH $XAUT #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 Capital inflow, a bull market signal or a prelude to volatility?
Yesterday, the net inflow data of $BTC and $ETH sparked heated discussions in the market. Institutional funds are accelerating their return, and short positions have faced massive liquidations, with a single-day liquidation reaching as high as $900 million, with BTC accounting for the majority. Does this wave of rise mean the bull market is about to restart?
I choose to wait and watch, not blindly chasing the rally. The current direction is still unclear; although leaning bullish, I prefer to wait for confirmation signals. For BTC, the short-term support is at 85,000, with strong support at 83,000; if it can break through 90,000, it may open up upward space. ETH is performing even stronger, with net inflows once surpassing BTC, support levels at 2,710 and 2,640 respectively; if funds continue to flow in, it is expected to challenge 3,000.
The market may currently be entering a period of volatility, with the key being the sustainability of ETF net inflows and changes in BTC market dominance. If market dominance declines, funds may shift to mainstream coins like ETH, driving a new round of rotation. Patience and controlling direction are the safest strategies at present. #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 #Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 $MUBARAK The most unusual detail today is not the 64% increase, but that the price has already touched the upper Bollinger Band at 0.07215 yet has not effectively broken through — the upper band is right overhead, but the RSI has already surged to 85.1, which is a typical case of extreme overbought combined with resistance level resonance.
Technical breakdown: MA5=0.06634 is far above MA20=0.05302, with a steep bullish moving average alignment, so the trend itself is not problematic; the MACD histogram +0.001691 maintains bullish momentum, and the momentum has not turned negative yet. The issue lies in the position: the current price 0.07121 is only 0.0013 away from the upper band, the amplitude of the last 30 candlesticks has reached 55.14%, and the funding rate +0.0295% is obviously high, indicating crowded longs and overheated leverage. The fear and greed index at 78, indicating extreme greed, further confirms that the sentiment side has reached a danger zone.
Directionally, I still lean bullish but will not chase the high; I will wait for a pullback confirmation. Entry reference is 0.0660–0.0680, where the MA5 support coincides with a dense area of previous highs; a pullback without breaking this level indicates the bullish structure remains intact. Take profit 1 is at 0.0721 (upper Bollinger Band, likely to face selling pressure on first touch), take profit 2 is at 0.0780 (measured extension target after breaking the upper band). Stop loss is set at 0.0620; if it breaks below MA5 and loses short-term moving average support, combined with RSI quickly falling from the overbought zone, the bullish logic fails.🔥 $BTC / $ETH / $SOL | THREE DIFFERENT PROBLEMS
$BTC provides value with a digital settlement layer that operates continuously, without being tied to banking schedules or a single jurisdiction.
$ETH offers developers a common environment for building financial primitives that other applications can reuse, combine, and extend.
$SOL targets use cases where transaction latency becomes part of the product itself, from trading interfaces to highly interactive applications.#财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布
On September 25, Costco is releasing its earnings report.
A warehouse supermarket that sells rotisserie chicken and toilet paper, logically, has nothing to do with the crypto world. But recently, more people in the group chat are talking about it than about Bitcoin.
The reason is simple. Costco's earnings report is treated as a thermometer for U.S. consumer spending. The quarterly sales of 93.9 billion are already clear, but what really worries people are the membership renewal rate and gross margin. Whether the tariff costs have started to bite into profits.
If the data looks good, it means Americans are still spending, inflation won't be suppressed, the Federal Reserve will continue to be hawkish, and liquidity-dependent assets like crypto will suffer. If the data looks bad, it means consumption really can't hold up, expectations for rate cuts rise, and risky assets might actually rally first as a sign of respect.
So what everyone is watching is not the rotisserie chicken. They are watching whether Americans' wallets are still full, and whether the Federal Reserve will loosen the faucet.
Here's the question: When this earnings report comes out, do you think Bitcoin will first drop as a sign of respect, or will the bad news be fully priced in?
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 According to data from Goldman Sachs, in the first two weeks of September, Turkish lira deposits in the Turkish banking system increased by about $12 billion. Recently, there has been a noticeable reallocation of market funds: some investors have withdrawn funds from pressured money market funds and shifted them into lira deposits instead of continuing to allocate to the dollar or gold. However, it is worth noting that the increase in lira deposits has not changed the exchange rate pressure. The Turkish lira against the dollar continues to weaken, with the exchange rate constantly approaching or hitting new historical lows. 📌 Market focus: • Surge in lira deposits in the first two weeks of September • Change in fund allocation direction • Attention on demand for the dollar and gold • Lira exchange rate still facing continuous depreciation pressure 💡 Core logic: Inflows into the banking system do not necessarily mean that the fundamentals of the local currency have improved. If inflation, real interest rates, foreign exchange demand, and other factors remain under pressure, the lira may continue to face significant exchange rate volatility. $USD $TRY Top influencers say whether LINK is valuable or not, it rose 1.22% after the event
$LINK moved from 12.905 to 13.063 after the event. Direction first signal: I'm bullish, will admit wrong if it falls below 12.805.
9 hours ago, a top influencer said: half of RWA tokens fell into a cash flow trap, $LINK was named. Rumors unconfirmed, the market moved first, 24h only slightly down 0.3%.
One layer is that doubts hit the valuation logic of the RWA sector, consensus spreading means repricing; another layer is LINK holding strong, up 19.97% in 7 days, OI up 8.14% from record. Money hasn't withdrawn, still coming in.
The overall environment also supports bullishness. Phase attack, breadth 58 up 39 down, BTC above 86101; RSI 66.6, MA7 just crossed above MA30. Fear and greed at 78, slightly overheated, no chasing highs.
Resistance above: 13.23 (1h SAR), 13.29 (24h high)
Support below: 12.805 (today's low), 12.53 (4h SAR)
Watershed: hold above 13.29 to follow trend, fall back to 12.805 to cut losses.
Priced in +1.22%. I entered, stop loss at 12.805, exit if broken, if not broken watch 13.29. If direction is right, give a like, I'll keep monitoring volume.
$LINK $BTCLast night I actually dreamed that $BTC finally came back to my entry, and I managed to close my short in profit. Then I woke up, checked the chart… $BTC was still above $86K. 💀 That dream ended faster than my hopes. I originally opened the short around $80K. Instead of accepting the move against me, I kept adding to the position and putting more margin behind it. The result? 📈 BTC kept climbing ➕ I kept adding 💰 Margin kept increasing 😵 Stress kept getting worse Looking back, the biggest mi• Data shows that since 2026, Hyperliquid has generated approximately $429M in cumulative revenue, accounting for a significant share of related crypto project revenues • Pump.fun follows with about $322M; Axiom Pro around $132M • Hyperliquid uses the vast majority of protocol fees for $HYPE buybacks, creating a continuous supply-side absorption mechanism • This discussion focuses on net revenue generated by the protocol, not just trading volume • Stablecoin issuers and Grayscale operate differently, so they are not directly included in this fee revenue comparison 🧠 The real focus is on the cash flow model. Hyperliquid not only has high trading activity, but its fee revenue can further convert into market buyback demand for $HYPE. As revenue grows, this "revenue → buyback → supply reduction" cycle becomes the core logic attracting market attention. ⚠️ However, risks cannot be ignored: competitors like Aster and Lighter are vying for parts of the trading market share, while ongoing $HYPE unlocks may increase circulating supply, creating temporary price pressure. 📌 Key observations: revenue growth, buyback intensity, market share changes, and token unlock pace will be important variables for the future $HYPE market trend.$META $xMETA recent stock price has clearly strengthened, closing at about $741.25 on September 21, with a single-day increase of 11.43%. The core catalyst comes from the AI strategy entering the commercialization verification stage. The newly launched personal AI assistant Muse has gained significant attention, with downloads reaching about 2.8 million in the first 12 days. The market is beginning to reprice Meta's potential revenue space in AI subscriptions and intelligent agents.
On fundamentals, Meta's Q2 revenue reached $60.801 billion, a year-on-year increase of 28%, but costs rose 55% year-on-year, and operating profit declined by 8%, indicating that AI infrastructure investment is significantly compressing profit margins. The company expects capital expenditures of $130 billion to $145 billion in 2026, with AI computing power construction remaining one of the largest capital investments in the coming years.
Therefore, Meta's current core logic has gradually shifted from "advertising growth" to "advertising base + AI commercialization." Short-term market sentiment is relatively strong, but after the rapid stock price rise, whether it can continue to strengthen ultimately depends on Muse user conversion, advertising business growth, and whether the huge AI capital expenditure can generate sustained returns.
#AMD市值突破1万亿美元，芯片股集体大涨
#AI降速争议未退，算力投入继续加码 How did the crypto community start researching supermarkets?
Today, in the hot topics on OKX Plaza, Costco's earnings report also took a spot. The company is scheduled to release its fiscal Q4 2026 results on September 24 local time in the US. People buying crypto have started to care about what’s in their shopping carts.
Costco has already announced net sales of $93.9 billion for the quarter, up 11.3% year-over-year. The upcoming focus is not just on how much was sold, but also on profit performance, membership business, and how management describes changes in consumers.
My view is that retail earnings can provide consumption clues, but you can’t directly equate a company’s performance with the entire US economy. Sales growth may also include factors like pricing and store expansion, not just increased consumption volume.
Similarly, good earnings don’t necessarily mean BTC will fall, and poor earnings don’t necessarily mean BTC will rise. The market will also compare actual results with expectations and reprice based on interest rates, the dollar, and capital flows.
When looking at these cross-market hot topics, the most useful approach is to piece together multiple pieces of information rather than immediately placing more orders. There’s still a long way between being able to explain the news and being able to profit from it.
For this earnings report, are you more focused on consumption resilience or profit pressure?
#CostcoEarnings #BTC #MacroWatch BCH Take Profit (Cost 296 | Current Price 312.2 | Floating Profit +5.5%)
🧱 Upper Resistance Wall (Daily Real Trading)
• 325.2 = Today's High / 30–90 Day High, First Wall
• 336.5 → 347.1
• 352–357 = Densest Previous High Lock-up Zone (5 order levels squeezed within 5 dollars)
• 374.9 → 381~386
🎯 Three Take Profit Levels
• TP1 324–326 Reduce 1/3 — Today's spike and pullback point, take profit if volume doesn't keep up
• TP2 350–355 Reduce another 1/3 — Lower edge of lock-up zone, corresponds to your mentioned 350
• TP3 380–385 Remaining 1/3 set trailing take profit to follow trend, corresponds to your mentioned upper edge 380
🛡️ Breakeven Line
• Initial Stop Loss 293 (below cost)
• Once TP1 is hit, immediately move stop loss up to 302 → No loss allowed on this trade
• Daily close below 308 (EMA200) → Exit half of the trend leg first
⚠️ Current daily RSI 74.7, 4h RSI 86.8, today is a gap-up +16.5% with volume ratio 2.9 times, seriously overbought. TP1 must be executed mechanically, don't try to hold out for full 380.
📌 In short: Reduce at 324 first, reduce again at 350, hold the rest at 380. Want me to watch the market and remind you when 325 triggers? $BCH The facade of this building is being forcibly pulled out into an uncontrollable cantilever—short-term RSI has surged to 71.7, a typical overbought signal, equivalent to building the parapet beyond the load-bearing limit.
Let's first look at the foundation. The 24-hour structural displacement is 4.64%, and the price currently stands at 103% of the Bollinger Bands short-term position, having already broken through the upper band boundary by 0.1%; the mid-term is even more exaggerated at 113%, extending 0.7% beyond the upper band and leaving a 6.2% gap from the lower band. This is not healthy upward growth; it's like rushing to cap the building before the scaffolding is removed. Looking at the long-term RSI, it is 46.2, neutral to slightly weak, indicating the main structure hasn't kept up with this rally—the upper floors are soaring while the foundation remains stationary, a typical disconnect between top and bottom.
More critically, the pressure is intense. The short-term upper band is already pressing at -0.1%, meaning no room to stay; the upper edge of the mid-band at -0.7% is equally tight. Buyers have pushed the price to the extreme cantilever; calculating the wind load shows it can't hold. The true long-term load-bearing wall—i.e., long-term demand—has completely failed inspection. This kind of structure is bound to retreat eventually.
My judgment: the short-term structure must be unloaded, sell first then buy back.
📉 Short:
Entry: 0.01 (current price +2.1%)
Take Profit 1: 0.01 (-6.6%)
Take Profit 2: 0.01 (-5.9%)
Stop Loss: 0.01 (+12.3%)
Note that the take profit targets fall around 6% below, exactly covering the 6.2% gap at the mid-term Bollinger lower band, while the stop loss is set beyond the upper edge to allow for false breakouts and construction error. This is a standard limited-range closing operation.
No matter how beautiful the blueprint, it can't suppress the unbalanced counterweight; short-term overbought stacked on long-term neutral means this surge is a cantilever, not a core tube.What does a warehouse retailer selling everything from groceries to rotisserie chicken have to do with crypto? More than you might think. 👀 Costco Wholesale doesn't need to hold Bitcoin to influence the crypto narrative. Its numbers give investors another window into the health of the U.S. consumer. If Costco reports resilient sales, strong membership activity and stable margins, it would suggest households are still spending despite tighter financial conditions. That matters for $BTC because sa16z has moved recruitment up to the moment of high school graduation, which is a direct distrust of the university screening function.
It provides free housing, computing power, and travel, effectively shifting the training costs from the students to itself. The motivation is easy to guess: model capabilities are spreading too fast, and waiting four years to select people means good prospects are already locked in elsewhere.
Following this chain, the first passive impact is on computer science majors whose pricing is based on diplomas. What’s more worth watching is whether this will become a permanent channel rather than a one-time PR event.
The verification points are very specific: see if the next batch expands enrollment and how many graduates directly join companies it has invested in. If both happen, this replacement logic is established.
#AI降速争议未退，算力投入继续加码 $ETH After ETH touched 2807, it returned to 2740; a surge is not synonymous with a breakout
On September 22, $ETH peaked at $2807.67, and at the time of writing, it was around $2740, with a 24-hour low of $2706.87. The price did cross above 2800, but it did not hold that ground. For short-term traders, this kind of movement is more worth watching than a simple rise: there are buyers willing to chase above, but also sellers concentrating their take-profits at the round number.
The first time it crosses resistance and then falls back does not mean failure. The real judgment lies in the nature of the pullback. If near 2740 the volume gradually decreases and the lows do not drop further, it indicates the market is just digesting the previous round of profits; if it repeatedly tries to break 2800 but fails and then falls below 2707, today's high looks more like a liquidity test.
I will not automatically write 2800 as a new support level just because it was seen intraday. For resistance to turn into support requires two steps: after the breakout, there must be buyers to hold the position, and after a pullback, it must be able to rally again. Missing either step means the price just passed through, not a structural change.
Today, $ETH has narrowed the answer range to 2707—2808. The upper boundary determines whether bulls can open up space, and the lower boundary decides if this rebound is still ongoing. Rather than guessing the next round number, it’s better to wait for the market to prove that there are really buyers willing to hold overnight above 2800. $CORE has been online for more than 4 years, how much faith is left?
In the blink of an eye, more than four years have passed. The grand BTCFi story that was once praised to the skies has long exhausted the patience of holders bit by bit during the prolonged downtrend.
The project team has been talking about their vision year after year, with press conferences, roadmaps, and long-term plans flooding the screen, but there are almost no practical applications for ordinary users to actually use. The pie keeps getting bigger, the coin price continues to be under pressure, tokens are continuously released, repeatedly crushing the community's remaining expectations.
Truly reliable projects accumulate consensus through practical implementation, and value appreciation naturally retains users. But CORE has fallen into a vicious cycle of hype leading to price drops and price drops leading to more hype, causing batch after batch of veteran players to quietly exit.
The market only recognizes the trading chart; distant plans cannot convince capital. Without solid actions to support it, the so-called Bitcoin ecosystem ultimately remains just a story in a PPT.
Faith is not a chip that can be infinitely overdrawn; holders' patience cannot withstand years of repeated empty promises. Whether a project is good or not depends on implementation and market performance, not on flashy slogans.
⚠️This is only a personal market observation and does not constitute investment advice. Virtual currencies are highly volatile and carry high risks. Recently, Bitcoin experienced a sharp rally, but the market seems to lack fundamental support. The market generally links this unusual movement to the US midterm elections: market speculation expects that Trump will boost enthusiasm in the crypto space, using the rally to gain votes.
However, from the current standpoint, it is highly likely that the market will see a correction after the election results are finalized.
If the Republican Party suffers setbacks in this election and Trump loses, the previously anticipated positive expectations in the market will directly fall through.
Many people are now asking if the crypto market is returning to a bull market. My judgment is that the bull market has not yet arrived.
Two core logics:
1. In a rising interest rate cycle environment, it is difficult for risk assets to sustain a continuous upward trend, as tightening liquidity always suppresses asset valuations;
2. A series of events have made the American public wary of such aggressive policies, and the market has started to price in the possibility of Trump's defeat. Once the Democrats and the establishment regain control, and given the Democrats' traditionally conservative regulatory stance on the crypto industry, policy expectations for the crypto market will quickly turn cold. $BTC $ETH Apple and Google Quietly Recruit Stablecoin Talent: Don’t Get Too Excited, the Giants Aren’t Here to Pump Crypto!
Apple and Google are both entering the race to recruit stablecoin talent, causing major communities to erupt in excitement, proclaiming the arrival of a big bull market. But seasoned investors must first pour cold water on this: tech giants hiring for stablecoin and tokenized deposits are not aiming to boost the crypto market, nor are they embracing any decentralized ideology.
What the giants are doing is extremely pragmatic, focusing on "capturing rent" and "cutting costs." In the traditional financial system, every Apple Pay transfer pays Visa and Mastercard a 2% to 3% fee. Compliant stablecoins and tokenized deposits essentially form a low-cost, instant-settlement digital dollar network. Apple’s entry into the consumer market is about laying down a free channel for over a billion devices to bypass the traditional card networks’ fees.
Google’s approach is even more direct, offering underlying tokenized cash settlement services to banks, exchanges, and custodians, acting as the cloud computing landlord for B2B rent. It’s crucial to understand: what the giants are after is on-chain dollars as a fiat settlement tool, which has nothing to do with the price fluctuations of Bitcoin or altcoins.
In the short term, don’t treat recruitment news as a hype catalyst for price pumps. But in the long run, when tech giants truly push stablecoins to billions of ordinary users worldwide for seamless payments, the high walls of traditional finance will finally be breached. Where do you think Apple will first officially launch Apple Pay’s stablecoin settlement feature?AMD's market value surged past $1 trillion overnight, lifting the entire semiconductor sector, with Intel, Qualcomm, and Arm all rising.
Most people's first reaction to this news is positive for AI concept coins. But I think the real beneficiary might be Bitcoin.
The logic isn't complicated. AMD reaching a trillion means the market recognizes that AI inference computing power demand is still exploding. The greater the demand for computing power, the more capital expenditure is poured globally into chips and data centers. This money doesn't come out of thin air; most of it is supported by debt issuance and fiscal deficits. The faster fiat currency credit is consumed, the stronger Bitcoin's narrative as a non-sovereign asset becomes.
So why not AI coins? Because AI coins are driven by project progress and sentiment, causing prices to surge or plummet on a single piece of news. Bitcoin, however, is driven by macro logic; the money burned on computing infrastructure ultimately erodes fiat purchasing power. This process is slow but directionally certain.
AMD breaking the trillion mark is a signal—not a call to chase chip stocks or rush into AI coins. It tells you the computing power economy is still growing, and Bitcoin is the hard asset at the bottom of this industry chain.
In the short term, BTC still depends on interest rates and liquidity, so don't overweight your position just because of a chip news headline. The direction is right, but the timing must be right too. #AMD市值突破1万亿美元，芯片股集体大涨 $BTC $ETH $DOGE This bull market is far from over, and the Dogecoin trend is the same.
Many people are watching the candlestick charts for the top, but I am watching crude oil.
The logic is simple: easing tensions in the Middle East is an inevitable trend. Oil prices, which were pushed up by the conflict, will eventually return to their original levels as agreements are signed at the negotiation table. Every drop in crude oil reduces inflationary pressure, increases the Federal Reserve's room to cut interest rates, and adds more liquidity flowing into risk assets.
The crypto market is most sensitive to liquidity, and $DOGE is a barometer of sentiment—the community's enthusiasm, Musk's moves, and the advancement of payment scenarios will all be repriced under expectations of easing. The current volatility is just a stopover on the way, far from the end.
The real signal lies in crude oil: wait for it to fall back near $70, the inflation story to conclude, and the easing dividend to be realized. Only then is it not too late to talk about shorting. Before that, going against the trend to short is just giving your chips to the trend. Be patient and hold on, let time be on the side of the bulls. Unexpected, right? I've climbed back up again! A big bullish candlestick, thousands of troops coming to meet! Soaring 20%, BCH is getting serious this time
BCH surged 19.57% in a single day, current price 315.8, directly breaking through the 320 level.
Data anchor: 24-hour low 260.7, high 321.5, trading volume over 21.36 million USDT, volume nearly 3.79M, clear capital inflow. On the 1-hour chart, MA5/10/20 are all bullish, trend is strong.
Sector narrative: Rotation among mainstream coins begins, L1 veteran public chains collectively moving, BCH as the "Bitcoin fork veteran" never misses a bull market, sentiment is fermenting.
Fundamental endorsement: CME Group plans to launch BCH derivatives on October 19, opening a compliant capital entry channel, this is a solid positive catalyst.
Technical analysis: RSI6 has soared to 95, RSI12 reached 90, seriously overbought, short-term correction pressure exists. But SLOPE EMA 101.6 is steeply rising, momentum not exhausted. Be cautious chasing highs; a pullback near MA5 (287) is a more stable entry point.
Trading strategy: Do not chase the rise, wait for pullback to confirm support before considering entry. If volume breaks above previous high 321.5, light position follow-up is possible, stop loss set below 300.
$BCH $BTC breaks $86K as ETF flows turn positive and short positions unwind. But the real test is what happens next.
Hold the breakout → liquidity may rotate into strong altcoins, RWA and AI.
Lose it → the move may have been mainly leverage-driven.
Meanwhile, $PI needs real usage, while $ROBO/Physical AI needs builders, users and revenue.
Are you following $BTC liquidity or the Physical AI narrative?
Not financial advice$BTC #财报观察员：Costco Q4 earnings report is about to be released
First, let's look at the market.
Bitcoin has been fluctuating between 76,000 and 87,000 these past few days. On September 15 and 16, ETFs saw a net outflow exceeding $740 million over two days, cooling market sentiment to a low point, with the price holding firm around $76,700, the "real market average." Then starting September 17, funds flowed back in, with another $433 million on the 18th, pushing $BTC from around 76,000 up above 77,000, and on the 21st it broke through 82,000, even touching 87,300 at one point. The 82,000 level is critical — the average cost for U.S. Bitcoin ETF holders is roughly here; breaking this means ETF holders as a whole return to profitability.
But this rebound has a hidden risk: derivatives open interest increased by about $2 billion in the same period, with leverage rapidly returning. If spot demand doesn't keep up, the market could become purely leverage-driven, and any uptick in U.S. Treasury yields or geopolitical turbulence could trigger a swift reversal.
Now, let's look at the news.
Costco's Q4 earnings report is about to come out. The crypto community watching a supermarket that sells rotisserie chicken and toilet paper is not just killing time.
Last year, Costco sold 157.4 million rotisserie chickens, nearly double what it sold ten years ago. The $4.99 price has held firm for seventeen years without increase, with management even willing to sacrifice $30-40 million in gross profit annually to maintain this price. Why would they rather lose money than raise the price? Because this chicken is a hook. The rotisserie chicken is placed at the back of the store, so to get it, you have to walk through the snacks, clothing, and bakery sections, inevitably buying other items along the way. Costco isn't after the profit from the chicken; it wants you to enter the store and push a cart.
This is why the crypto community is watching Costco's earnings.
Costco's Q3 comparable sales actually grew 9.8%, far exceeding the market expectation of 7.8%; core same-store sales growth excluding gas and currency effects was 6.6%, about 67 basis points above consensus. Membership fee revenue was $1.37 billion, up 10.7% year-over-year, with paying members rising to 82.9 million. E-commerce was even more impressive — digital comparable sales rose 21.5%, and website and app traffic surged 37% year-over-year.
Translating these numbers into crypto terms means: Americans' wallets aren't empty yet. They are still spending, renewing memberships, and ordering online. Consumer resilience remains, so inflation won't come down.
The current inflation situation is more complex than it appears. Core PCE rose 3.2% year-over-year, while core CPI is only 2.4%. PCE surpasses CPI by a full 0.88 percentage points, the largest positive gap in over forty years. The Fed watches PCE, not CPI. PCE being higher means inflation measured by the Fed's preferred gauge is hotter than what the market feels.
The first FOMC meeting under Chair Powell made this clear. In the dot plot, 9 of 18 officials expect at least one more rate hike this year, only one expects a cut, and the year-end median rate forecast was raised from 3.4% to 3.8%. The market is repricing accordingly — CME FedWatch showed the probability of a September hike once surged above 60%.
In short, the rate cut narrative is being crushed.
If Costco's earnings continue to impress, it tells the Fed: consumers aren't down yet, inflation pressure remains, don't ease up. Liquidity stays tight, making risk assets like Bitcoin, which rely on liquidity, uncomfortable. Conversely, if the earnings show cracks and signal cooling consumption, the market might start betting the Fed has to pivot — Bitcoin could fall first, then rise.
A $4.99 rotisserie chicken tests how long American consumers can hold on and measures how much room the Fed has to cut rates.
This is the real reason crypto people watch the rotisserie chicken.
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 #Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 #财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布 🔥 $BTC / $ETH / $SOL | THREE DIFFERENT PROBLEMS
$BTC provides value with a digital settlement layer that operates continuously, without being tied to banking schedules or a single jurisdiction.
$ETH offers developers a common environment for building financial primitives that other applications can reuse, combine, and extend.
$SOL targets use cases where transaction latency becomes part of the product itself, from trading interfaces to highly interactive applications.After institutional investors entered the market, the era of retail investors making one-sided profits has completely ended
Many people still cling to the idea of a big bull market, one-sided surges, and doubling their money blindly.
But after 2025, the rules of the game in the crypto space have completely changed.
In the past, market trends were driven by retail investor sentiment, Ponzi schemes, and consensus.
Good news caused frenzied rallies, bad news triggered crashes, trends were clear and one-sided, and ordinary people could make money just by holding even with average skills.
But since trillion-dollar institutions like BlackRock and Vanguard fully entered through ETFs, market pricing power has completely shifted.
The most direct evidence is that this year's macro data has completely failed, yet the market refuses to crash:
Multiple times nonfarm payrolls exceeded expectations, CPI inflation rebounded, the Fed maintained high interest rates, and rate hike expectations intensified.
In previous years, this chain of bad news would have caused Bitcoin to undergo deep corrections and waterfall declines long ago.
But what is the real trend this year?
Bad news lands — slight dip — instant recovery — sideways consolidation.
Why can't bad news push the market down?
Because institutional spot funds have been absorbing at the bottom.
Retail investors play with leverage, chasing highs and selling lows; institutions practice patient wealth management, buying in batches at the bottom, and long-term allocation.
This has created a brand new market characteristic:
No extreme one-sided crashes, nor extreme one-sided rallies.
Instead, there is long-term grinding, repeated shakeouts, and structural tug-of-war.
In the old bull market: broad rallies, rotation, easy wins.
In the current bull market: the main market stays stable, altcoins get drained, the pace is extremely fast, and the margin for error is very low.
The hardest reality for retail investors to accept:
1. Macro bad news can't crash the market, shorting is doomed;
2. Good news doesn't cause continuous rallies, going long risks missing out or getting trapped;
3. In a choppy market, all leverage and short-term predictions get repeatedly harvested.
BlackRock's Fink has long made it clear:
The future crypto market is about asset allocation, not speculative get-rich-quick.
Institutions play with 1%-2% base positions, no leverage, holding for years.
Retail investors play with full positions, leverage, betting on a rebound or one-sided moves.
The dimensions are completely unequal.
From now on:
One-sided violent bull markets become history.
The era of retail investors making money blindly is completely over.
Only two types of people will survive in the future:
Give up leverage and accept allocation thinking;
Or face reality and completely exit speculative gambling. $BTC Brothers, recently these low market cap, low circulation altcoins $ONE really shouldn't be shorted lightly!
Yesterday, so many "genius traders" rushed in, and in the end, they all became fuel for the market makers.
You think it should drop after a 40% rise, but it keeps pushing up; you think the spike is the top, but it reverses with a big bullish candle.
The most frustrating thing about this market is: we simply don't know how high it can go.
So now I'm planning to switch to buying spot.
If you can't beat them, join them—at least you don't have to worry about suddenly getting a liquidation message at night. 😂
Of course, if you really want to short, I at least wait for a few conditions:
A 15-minute candle appears that's the longest in the last 24 hours, preferably more than 3 times the usual length; at the same time, a clear long upper shadow appears; at least one such candle must appear; the 24-hour increase should preferably exceed 40%.
If the increase is less than 40%, even if there's a spike, take profits at 3%–5% and don't be greedy.
Because a second wave of rally could come back at any time.
Remember:
Shorting is not because "it has risen too much," but you have to wait for the market to truly show a top signal.
Otherwise, you think you're shorting the market makers, but actually, the market makers are using your short positions as fuel to keep pushing up!
This round, I won't be the fuel first. 😂
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 #ZEC巨鲸3.8万枚空单平仓，亏损超3500万美元