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The capital withdrawal in the crypto market this time is by no means a short-term emotional scare; all core data indicators have turned red across the board.
$BTC saw a single-day capital outflow of 588 million, with a cumulative outflow reaching 5.186 billion; ETH had a single-day outflow of 413 million, totaling 2.929 billion; even SOL couldn't hold up, with a single-day outflow of 53.2 million.
This is definitely not a temporary fluctuation caused by a single-day market move. From the trend perspective, BTC's capital flow curve has almost consistently remained in a net outflow state, and $ETH and $SOL have also simultaneously entered a mid-to-long-term continuous loss channel. The signal behind this is very clear: leveraged funds in the contract market are withdrawing at scale, and the risk appetite of on-exchange funds has also declined.
However, the current market is not entirely a one-sided bearish pattern; there is still structural differentiation locally: in BTC and ETH capital flows, there have been slight inflow actions; $ZEC's performance is even more abnormal, showing a counter-trend net inflow of 59.44 million, becoming one of the few varieties able to attract capital against the trend.
At this stage, a short-term slight rebound must not be mistaken for a trend reversal signal. Before the outflow trend of core mainstream coins is clearly reversed, blindly chasing longs is essentially fighting against the trend of large capital withdrawals. The three core signals worth watching now are: when BTC's current round of capital outflow will begin to narrow, and whether ETH and SOL's continuous bleeding can be stopped first. If the capital outflow state of mainstream coins continues, the core contradiction of the next market cycle will no longer be about how much the price falls, but which high-leverage positions will be the first to fail under liquidation risk.Another crash today, is CORE reaching its end? I reviewed the events of the past two years.
Today, when I opened the forum, unsurprisingly, it was full of wails again. CORE has dropped to around 0.02, and the familiar phrases have returned — "zeroing out," "delisting," "running away."
Honestly, looking at this price, it’s hard not to feel upset. But today, I don’t want to say much or call any trades. I want to seriously review CORE’s journey so far, and you can judge for yourselves whether it’s truly at its end or just at a turning point.
Let’s start with the worst: what exactly has it gone through?
CORE’s historical peak was $6.47, reached in February 2023, shortly after the mainnet launch. From that point to now, it has dropped over 99.7%.
2026 was a disastrous year. At the end of March, CORE plummeted 50% within 24 hours, triggering liquidation cascades on the Colend protocol. Whale sell-offs combined with leveraged liquidations smashed the price down.
Then came the validator vulnerability at the end of August — a few validator nodes exploited a logic flaw in reward distribution to claim excess CORE token rewards. Core DAO was forced to initiate an emergency hard fork in early September. Multiple exchanges immediately suspended CORE deposits and withdrawals. KuCoin was even earlier, announcing CORE’s delisting in July.
By early October, the number of exchanges supporting CORE trading had sharply dropped from the initial 34 to only 13 still maintaining trading.
These are facts I do not shy away from. The critics’ claims of "delisting," "crash," and "vulnerability" all really happened.
But next, let me mention something you might have missed.
The key with the hard fork was Core DAO’s choice.
The official stance was a clear refusal to roll back the ledger, opting instead for a "forward upgrade" — confirmed transactions would not be altered. In the blockchain world, immutability is a core belief. Core chose to leave the illicit tokens on-chain rather than tamper with the underlying consensus.
At the same time, 150 million tokens were burned, directly offsetting the selling pressure from the oversupply flooding the market. This was a self-rescue performed on the edge of a cliff.
Meanwhile, some on-chain data quietly changed.
TVL has increased by over 75% since April. Non-custodial BTC staking and lstBTC liquidity staking are fully operational, with over 2,470 BTC locked inside. Custodial giants like BitGo and Copper have also taken nodes.
SatPay — Core’s new Bitcoin banking app — launched global public beta in July, with over 20,000 people queued for compliant debit cards. On-chain fees have already started the process of buying back and burning CORE.
On October 1, Core DAO announced it will fully exit block production in the coming months, transferring responsibilities to independent validator nodes. A project once criticized as "centralized manipulation" is actively dismantling its own power.
So, has CORE really reached its end?
My judgment might differ from both sides.
It’s not a "zero-value junk coin," but it’s not "about to reverse" either. It’s a project undergoing a transition from a narrative asset to a cash flow asset, and the cost of this transition is what you see — prolonged sideways trading, continuous selling pressure, and a divided community sentiment.
The core shift for Core in 2026 can be summed up in one sentence: moving from "supporting the ecosystem through inflationary token issuance" to "supporting CORE through real revenue buybacks." SatPay’s income, lstBTC’s fees, AMP’s management fees — these are what will determine CORE’s price in the future, not who’s shouting "zero" on the forum today.
But whether the flywheel has truly started turning, it’s too early to conclude. Whether SatPay’s revenue can sustain, whether TVL can break 100 million, and whether buybacks are genuinely executed with real money — these three metrics are more important than anything else.
As for those saying "delisting means the end" — a project once listed on 34 exchanges, still supported by 13, with code still updating, products still launching, and a DAO still decentralizing. It’s tougher than many imagine and more stubborn than many hope.
From $6.47 to $0.02, do you think CORE has reached its end?
$CORE $BTC Multiple EVM chains use the same address, convenience does not mean no mistakes in transfers
EIP-7997 officially standardizes a widely used CREATE2 factory, allowing participating EVM chains to deploy contracts or smart accounts to the same address using the same factory, salt, and initialization code. For wallets and applications, there is no need to maintain a completely different address mapping for each chain, making cross-chain interfaces and development tools indeed simpler.
However, the "same address" can easily cause another misunderstanding: that the same string of characters represents the same asset and state. In fact, balances, code versions, administrators, and security assumptions on different chains remain independent; chains that do not adopt this standard also do not guarantee consistent results. Attackers may also exploit the familiar appearance of addresses to mislead users into ignoring the current network. Deterministic deployment reduces address management costs, not differences in chain identity.
The significance of this improvement for $ETH lies in making Ethereum and its extended networks easier to share application identities and account experiences. But wallets must simultaneously highlight the chain ID, verify the code hash, and provide clear warnings when the target chain has not yet deployed. If the interface only shows "address consistency," convenience becomes misleading. A truly mature multi-chain experience is not about hiding the chain from users, but about making the same address and different security boundaries clearly visible at the same time.🔷 $MAGIC : gaming ecosystem on Arbitrum
• NFT Trove marketplace + infrastructure for Web3 games
• MAGIC: utility and governance token
• ~317.63M circulating, market cap ~$28.86M
• Pivot to AI agents for games
• Kong Book (September 2026): transparent lock team token sales
• DAO claims profitability
• Live AI agents on Ronin
🧠 Rare mix: gaming ecosystem + profitable consumer dApp + AI agents. But $29M market cap = market skepticism
❓ Will it find an audience among Web3 gamers?👇Let's organize what can be done in terms of operations. Use the 1-hour chart and list quotes from 22:36 as the standard. This round has two new positions to connect with the long, but the rest remain the same. ━ Bitcoin Long position: Buy near 80,000 Short position: Consider taking profit. Short stop loss at 87,300, now about 83,155, still some distance from the long position, don't buy midway. ━ Short position near Ethereum 2,780: Consider taking profit, manage your position yourself. Long position: Wait for announcement Already long positions held: stop loss below 2,400, current about 2,564, down nearly 5% daily ━ Solana 120 short position: consider taking profit, short stop loss at 140 long: wait for announcement of spot contract 115.97, close to the 24-hour low ━ Dogecoin long: buy near 0.08 Short position: consider taking profit, short stop loss at 0.12, currently around 0.0884, above the blue zone ━ Ripple (spot, bullish) go long, near 1.5, add 1.45, or stop loss: break below 1.3, take profit at 1.57→ 1.63, now around 1.433, 1.45 spot has arrived, next is 1.4 for two new long entries. I only provide positions, no separate stop-loss or target; the key is to wait. Tonight at 01:00, there will be a 10-year U.S. Treasury auction, and at 02:00, the Fed meeting minutes will be released. Think carefully before placing orders, as volatility may increase. In summary, bearishFollowing Boss Shi to buy meat 🤩
At 11 PM last night, I saw Boss Shi open a short position of 150 $BTC, and I knew the opportunity had come.
I decisively closed my long position at 84,000 and reversed to open a short. Woke up to nearly 300% returns.
This level is pretty good; I plan to hold long-term, predicting the market will test the bottom a second time, targeting around 70,000.
Why trust Boss Shi? He rarely opens positions and mostly stays out of the market waiting. You know, big moves are all about waiting.
Usually, he trades small positions of a few million for short-term, but this time he directly took 150 BTC, a significant position. I understood this drop and decisively followed.
Brothers still holding positions, don’t panic. The liquidation price has been pulled below 70,000, basically safe 😀
⚠️ This is just a personal trading experience sharing, not trading advice; leverage risk is very high!
👉 Do you all think Bitcoin can test the bottom a second time down to 70,000?Here is your short 70-word post for *XAUT/USDT*:
*XAUT/USDT - Drops to $4,106.6, -1.45% Near Low!*
XAUT Gold at $4,106.6, down -1.45%, between $4,075.9 low and $XAUT 4,182.9 high. Below $4,429.9 top, testing $4,075.9 bottom. No.29 TradFi Commodities.
Below MA5 ($4,139.6), MA10 ($4,150.3) and MA20 ($4,237.1).
Vol 4.35K XAUT, turnover $17.97M. Oil prices advancing on Houthi attacks news. Gold token correcting from $4,429.9. Holding $4,075.9 crucial to avoid $4K break.
#DailyOrbit Unlucky giant whale $ZEC long position got stuck at 1587?
I checked the top 100 whales list, and it's the worst 🥹
The long position was opened right at the peak, which makes things quite difficult now.
Opening average price is about 1587.7
Liquidation price is 1220.32
Position value is about 6.6005 million USD
Currently floating loss is 1.3567 million USD
I know it's definitely unrealistic to expect him to cut losses now
because he's already deeply stuck, but during the recent sideways movement, he could have done T trades to lower the average price.
Otherwise, if you just open the position and play dead, you really will die, big brother.
The current price is fluctuating around 1320 repeatedly.
For this kind of altcoin, it's very easy to push the price down to 1220.
But today $ZEC is quite strong, it basically hasn't dropped much.
$ETH dropped up to 6% at most, but ZEC only dropped about 3%.
So next, ZEC might have a small rebound,
but expecting a rebound back to 1587 is also unrealistic.[Pharaoh's Market Watch]
Everyone is asking Pharaoh, Ethereum is upgrading again, Glamsterdam is on the testnet, is ETH about to take off with this good news?
Pharaoh says directly, the good news is real, but don't mistake the testnet upgrade for a mainnet launch; there are still several hurdles in between.
This Glamsterdam upgrade landing on the Sepolia testnet focuses on four core things: First, EIP-7732 separates block "consensus" and "execution" to make block production more efficient. Second, EIP-7928 introduces block-level access lists to speed up execution. Third, EIP-7843 introduces "slot numbers" as a source of randomness to optimize the consensus layer. Fourth, EIP-7702 allows ordinary wallets to temporarily become smart contract wallets, making batch transactions and gas fee payments more convenient.
What impact on Bitcoin? Basically none in the short term. Ethereum's upgrade affects the ETH and L2 ecosystem; Bitcoin will continue to consolidate around 84,000. But in the long run, as Ethereum's technical iteration continues to progress, the narrative of the entire smart contract platform will strengthen. This does not compete with Bitcoin's "store of value" positioning but rather proves that the underlying crypto technology is moving forward.
The testnet is a rehearsal; the mainnet is the real performance.
Follow Pharaoh, and your wealth won't get lost! $BTC $ETH $ZEC #以太坊Glamsterdam升级登陆Sepolia测试网 $TRUMP really regrets not selling when there were profits a few days ago. This asset has a lot of unlocking coming up.
TRUMP current price is 1.843, the moving average system is pressing down across the board, MACD formed a death cross and the green bars continue to expand in volume, with a clear gap in buying pressure. Just spotted a heavy on-chain transaction: a certain whale dumped all 1.148 million TRUMP locked for a year with a floating loss of 9.39 million USD into a new wallet. The cost was 11.55 million, now only 2.16 million market value remains. This move is not a position switch, but a loss-taking exit. Meanwhile, Binance saw a net outflow of 32.04 million USDT within one hour; hot money is withdrawing, not a signal to enter.
Outside the security booth, someone is shouting through a loudspeaker to move their car. I peeked out and sat back down; the market is much tighter than parking spaces.
The liquidation map is straightforward: long positions pile up between 1.80 and 1.81, large short positions are stuck between 1.93 and 1.97, and the middle range is the meat grinder zone. The current price is just one step away from the lower liquidation zone. Once 1.80 is broken, a chain reaction of long liquidations will push the price down to open space. On the upside, unless volume supports a stable break above 1.90, any rebound is an opportunity for shorts to add pressure #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 The surgical lights are already on, and the vibration of the sternum saw hasn't stopped—the real lesion isn't on the skin surface but in the conduction system.
This time, Ethereum activated Glamsterdam on the testnet. On the surface, it looks like a routine upgrade, but from a cardiac surgery perspective, it's more like an interventional procedure targeting "conduction block." ePBS, the embedded proposer-builder separation mechanism, essentially separates the two previously coupled myocardial rhythms—the proposer handles contraction, the builder handles blood supply. Once these two get entangled, the entire circulatory system risks thrombosis and reperfusion injury. Past MEV dark pool operations were typical arrhythmias; the heartbeat on the surface continued, but the coronary arteries were already full of plaques.
The block-level access lists, BALs, represent a more refined step in this surgery. They allow each transaction to undergo a precise coronary angiography before entering the block, pre-declaring which states it will touch. This means the execution layer can process in parallel, rather than the heart having to wait for one blood flow to pass slowly as before. The gas limit increased from about 60 million to 200 million, equivalent to pushing the extracorporeal circulation flow to the test model's limit to see if the myocardium can withstand this perfusion pressure.
But the key is in the last sentence: the mainnet gas limit hasn't been raised to 200 million yet, and the timeline for Hoodi and the mainnet is still uncertain. This is the critical point in the diagnosis report—the perfusion pressure in the test environment cannot be directly equated to the tolerance of the live mainnet. A bypass plan that works in animal experiments may cause acute rejection when applied to real patients with underlying diseases, coagulation abnormalities, and immune rejection.
Therefore, the significance of this upgrade to the market is not a stimulant but a preoperative assessment report. It proves the surgical path is feasible, and the anesthesia plan is initially established, but the extracorporeal circulation time, temperature, and flow are still undecided. Any position that tries to jump the gun is like signing an informed consent form for the patient before the surgeon has even made the first incision.
Returning to the linkage with the US stock token $xMETA. On the surface, it fluctuates with Meta's stock price, but in reality, its liquidity depth, market maker structure, and liquidation thresholds all depend on the blood vessels of Ethereum's main chain. Changes in L1 scaling and block production mechanisms directly affect its transaction confirmation time, slippage, and on-chain collateral liquidation paths. If the mainnet upgrade is delayed, tokenized stocks like $xMETA will remain in a state of high resistance in their microcirculation—the blood pressure readings may be fine, but peripheral perfusion is already insufficient.
What really needs observation is not how smoothly Sepolia runs, but when the mainnet will raise the gas limit and whether ePBS will cause new centralization lesions under real load. The testnet's success is just a beautiful waveform on the ECG, not the patient getting out of bed and walking.
The heart won't declare recovery just because of a nice electrophysiological exam. It will only tell you whether the conduction system is truly repaired when the next ventricular fibrillation occurs. #glamsterdamonsepolia🔷 $CYBER: L2 for social networks
• Rebranding from CyberConnect to Cyber (May 2024)
• The first L2 for social applications with restaking
• Modular $ETH architecture
• Social graph transferable between applications
• Support
• Transition completed by February 2026
• Competitors: Lens, Farcaster
🧠 From social graph protocol to a full-fledged L2. Restaking + connection transfer + AI agents. But the niche is narrow, a killer app is needed against centralized networks
#DailyOrbit On October 6th, on this Sepolia testnet board, the piece was pushed across the river: Glamsterdam landed. But no one has pressed the timer on the mainnet’s official chessboard yet.
First, look at the structure. Separating the proposer and the builder means writing the move order into the rules, no longer relying on the tacit understanding during the opening phase. Strategically, this step is called institutionalization; on the board, it’s called division of labor—who is responsible for moving pieces, who is responsible for setup, without interfering with each other. The block-level access list is more like a grandmaster’s pre-game calculation: before placing a piece, all collision points, blockades, and bottlenecks along the entire line are calculated in advance, so the midgame won’t be dragged into a pointless exchange quagmire. The upper limit is raised from 60 million to 200 million, effectively forcing the board’s width to expand, allowing more pieces to move simultaneously. Doing this on the testnet is correct because in the analysis room, widening the eight lines has no cost.
The cost lies elsewhere. The mainnet’s upper limit hasn’t been raised accordingly, and the dates for Houdi and the mainnet remain undecided. This is the kind of signal that grandmasters are most alert to: winning positions calculated in the analysis room cannot be directly transferred to the game table. Sepolia offers clean lines and relaxed timing; the mainnet offers crowded corridors and a real clock. Whoever mistakes the testnet’s leniency for the mainnet’s feel will be put in check on the very first move of the midgame.
Now look at that cross-boundary piece. $xAAPL is a constrained piece: one end tied to the valuation rhythm of the traditional stock market, the other tied to the pace of on-chain capital flow. It neither participates in the main attack nor takes on defense; it’s just waiting—waiting for one side to move first. On-chain is playing the testnet’s favorable conditions; traditional markets lack a synchronized pendulum. This piece hangs outside the five lines, with no momentum to advance and no basis to retreat. True strategists watch it not for price rises or falls, but for when it changes from a constrained piece to a free piece.
Everything before the endgame is calculation. The 200 million on the testnet is not the 200 million on the mainnet; the distance between these two is where the vast majority lose the game. Grandmasters never applaud victories in the analysis room; they only wait for that one move in the official game. #glamsterdamonsepolia$ETH
The position in Ethereum is precarious.
The large holder "Maji" has a long ETH position close to 100 million USD, with a liquidation price at 2501, current price 2558; if it goes lower, it will be forcibly liquidated.
The spot ETF saw a net outflow of over 200 million yesterday, and BitMine, which has been continuously increasing holdings, is about to stop; there are fewer buyers to take over.
If it falls below 2501, the long positions will be liquidated in a chain reaction; any rebound will be a shorting opportunity. Let's talk about other things after it recovers above 2600.
$ETH Crypto isn't moving in isolation.
Oil → rising
Treasury yields → rising
Dollar → strengthening
$BTC → weakening
When macro liquidity tightens, high-beta assets feel it first.
Watch the macro. Watch BTC.
#DailyOrbit Forget it, switching to full short mode. Shorting for a moment feels good, shorting continuously feels even better. I will keep adding short positions every day.
There are only 300 dollars left in my wallet. I will keep adding short positions in batches every day depending on the situation.
$BTC $ETH $SOL Feel my final madness!
I don't want to analyze any news or indicators anymore. Every day it's this news, that news, BTC just keeps sideways, no matter what it can't break through. Watching this and that, why won't it rise?
Every time it rises a little, it gets smashed down, the resistance is just too strong. Tell me why? Why?
BTC has already fallen below 83,000. I, who have confidence in the bull market, am starting to feel disappointed. If it rises back to 85,000, I will choose to change direction. Please don't give me the chance, please let me make money! Bitcoin, $BTC will break below 82500 tonight!
If 82500 breaks, the rally since 63000 will end, and there will be a long period of disorderly oscillation, a slow bearish adjustment, harvesting market liquidity. It is not ruled out that the market will slowly test the 75000–76500 support range in the future.
Those going long can wait a bit longer.
Fundamentally, the current US Federal Reserve's high interest rates and strong dollar strategy aim to stabilize global confidence in the US dollar as the reserve currency. Liquidity is tightening and may even cause some small and medium countries to collapse. Only after the Fed stabilizes global confidence in the dollar will there be room to implement a rate cut and weak dollar policy. From the current strong dollar strategy to the weak dollar strategy buffer period, the upward trend is difficult to sustain.
$ETH $ZEC
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Let's take a look at Ripple. To clarify, Ripple's plan for this round is exactly the same as this afternoon. The list is at 1.4332, down about 4.27% daily, and the price has already fallen below 1.45. In other words, the first cover point in the plan has already arrived; next is 1.4. [Trading Advice] Direction: Go long Enter: near 1.5 Add position: 1.45, or stop loss at 1.4: break below 1.3 Take profit: first look at 1.57, then 1.63 and 1.45 has already been hit, next buy point at 1.4. 1.4 is the second support point; the current price is about two cents below it. Buy when it arrives, don't rush. 1.3 is the last line of defense. If it breaks, exit as usual, don't hold back. I didn't change any of Ripple's numbers this round. [Technical Aspect | 1H] This XRP chart is for spot trading (Binance XRP/USDT), not perpetual. Screenshot at 22:36. The latest candlestick opened at 1.4337, high 1.4363, low 1.4291, closed at 1.4323. The 1.5031 red line and 1.4907 green line above both fell below the same level tonight, then moved down another leg. On the chart, this segment shows BOS, and the weak low is just below the current price, around 1.42. Looking up, there are several layers of red supply between 1.55 and 1.57, which is exactly the first take-profit level of 1.57. Downward$SOL short position floating profit 151.32%! Shorted at 117.63, mark price at 115.85, this mainstream coin experienced a full resonant decline.
SOL is following the market down 📉
Today SOL fluctuated downward, repeatedly testing near 118 without breaking, with heavy selling pressure. In a weak market, SOL's tendency to fall is strong, with a small-scale head and shoulders pattern technically. The position was opened relying on the 117.63 average price, the mark price dropped to 115.85, shorts dominate. The downside target is 114-112, with acceleration upon breaking; the rebound at 116.5-117 is weak, with defense set above 118.2.
$BTC $ETH
Strictly control drawdown with 100x leverage positions, trailing stop moved up to 116.8, base position gambled on a break below 114 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 After the current sideways movement, the price has plunged to the 2500 level. Can it still reach 3000 by the end of the year?
ETH has clearly broken down on the 4-hour chart this time, with the price dropping sharply from around 2700 to the 2550 area. The bearish trend has not truly ended yet.
But one thing to note: the price has now fallen below the lower Bollinger Band, and the KDJ indicator has entered a deep oversold zone. At this position, continuing to short is actually becoming less cost-effective.
Currently, I am focusing on two areas:
Around 2550 is short-term support. If it breaks below and fails to rebound back above, then the next targets are 2520 or even 2500.
The area between 2585 and 2610 is the first resistance zone. If a rebound reaches here and faces obvious pressure, I am more inclined to treat it as a pullback within the bearish trend rather than a reversal.
So my current thinking is simple:
Don't chase shorts, and don't rush to bottom-fish.
Wait for a shorting opportunity on a rebound, or wait until the price firmly holds above 2600 before considering a bullish scenario.
To truly confirm a 4-hour level trend reversal, the price needs to reclaim 2660–2680 at least.
The most likely scenario at the current position is a bear-bull trap.
#ETH触及2500美元后震荡 #ETH现货ETF连续三周净流入 $ETH #以太坊草案EIP-8363引争议 $Single Coin Contract Fluctuation｜Last 15 Minutes
$SAND surged with increased volume, positions expanded simultaneously: price +0.85%, open interest +4.25%, active buying 56.7%. Currently, the slight strength is reflected by price and position expansion, while active trades have not yet clearly favored buyers.ETH is currently just grinding sideways; after the morning's long position liquidation, there's no rebound, and the fees have been worn down.
The price is hovering around 2560, the structure is weaker than BTC, MACD lacks momentum, selling pressure is high, and funds are withdrawing. This area is sensitive to leverage; breaking through could trigger a chain liquidation; heavy resistance above means any rebound is easily suppressed.
At 2 AM tonight, the Fed minutes will be released. The biggest risk is a hawkish tone. If it meets expectations, the impact will be limited; if it exceeds expectations, it could trigger a waterfall drop. We mentioned the day before yesterday that BTC started to look for a pullback from 86400, and in the short term, 85000 is also a level to watch. You can wait for the market to break through and then ride the trend. Now BTC is looking to see if today's close can be below 82500, which would be favorable for further continuation of the bears tomorrow. If it bottoms and rebounds, then the daily level will need to move into a higher range consolidation.
Besides, there are also many chips in the 82000-80000 range, eagerly waiting; the downward movement will slow here, so pay attention to rebounds within this area. #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 Evening thoughts: 10.7
If you want to go long, do so on a right-side breakout; don't think about bottom-fishing on the left side. In a downtrend, all supports are meant to be broken.
Currently, Bitcoin can't even get above 2585, so how can you go long? Bitcoin needs to move above 2585 to stop the current downtrend, and above 2634 to start a rebound aiming for 2678. The hourly large red box consolidation area has already been broken, and the structure is damaged.
If 2585 can't be reclaimed, look for a bottom signal around 2535-2500! Only if it moves back above 2585 can it enter the 2585-2634 consolidation range and start choosing a new direction.
Go long on Bitcoin with volume breakout above 2594 on the right side; go short on volume breakdown below 2578 on the right side. Pay attention to volume changes and set stop losses properly.
On the hourly chart, Bitcoin holding above 2594 looks up to 2634-2678.
On the 4-hour chart, breaking below 2562 looks down to 2535-2500.
On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin still hasn't reclaimed the inside of the triangle as indicated by the white arrow above, and it has broken below 2632, the last defense level for bulls on the 4-hour chart. If it can't reclaim above 2632, the target for this down move is around 2500, which corresponds to the Fibonacci 1.618 level.
If it falls back to 2500, the 4-hour chart will enter the consolidation box indicated by the white arrow below, oscillating between 2556-2357 $ETH $ETH 🌪️ 848,000 BTC are stacking up into a massive super cumulonimbus cloud spanning the equator, and Strategy has just injected another 334 condensation nuclei worth $28.7 million into the cloud—this isn’t a retail thunderstorm, it’s an institutional monsoon advancing.
First, look at the pressure field at 85,000 meters altitude: Strategy continues to add positions at an average price of $85,839, raising total holdings to 848,000 BTC, while simultaneously repurchasing about $176 million in STRC preferred shares. In my terminology, this set of actions is called a “double high-pressure ridge overlay”—locking vapor with spot on one end and withdrawing circulating supply through buybacks on the other, effectively tightening the isobars. The greater the pressure gradient, the faster the wind speed, and the more extreme the price elasticity. Strive is not to be outdone, with a single purchase of 2,000 BTC, about $169 million, raising holdings to 29,462 BTC. This isn’t buying; it’s a “warm moist airflow moving north,” sweeping away the entire lower-level inventory.
Now, looking at the Ethereum side: BitMine increased holdings by 15,112 ETH in one week, bringing total holdings to 6,016,414 ETH, about 84% of which are staked. This 84% figure is critical—it means that vapor in the circulating layer is largely locked into high-altitude ice crystals, and the liquid supply available for evaporation at the surface is continuously shrinking. Enterprise-level treasuries are simultaneously draining the liquid reservoirs of both BTC and ETH.
But please keep a close eye on one signal: the linkage of US stock-mapped assets like $xLLY is a typical “front system.” When on-chain treasuries keep accumulating and the equity market simultaneously shows temperature gradients, strong convection often appears near the front—that is, a sudden spike in volatility. Historical experience tells me the fiercest storms don’t form in low-pressure centers but erupt at the boundary between two different air masses.
The current circulation pattern is: institutional treasury layers (high altitude) continuously storing energy, while the mapped asset price layer (near ground) swings accordingly. Sentiment readings like the FearAndGreedIndex are like dew point temperatures; once the dew point is pushed up continuously, the atmosphere becomes extremely unstable. And now, condensation nuclei are still being continuously injected.
The real judgment is—this is not an isolated short-term heavy rainfall; it’s a sustained climate potential adjustment. The stacking speed of treasuries has already surpassed the dissipation speed of retail sentiment, and the supply-side humidity is being systemically extracted. As for where and when the storm eye will form, I’m only responsible for providing the isobar map. #strategybuysmorebtc🚨 The big coin's sharp plunge drags down the entire market! SOL breaks through 116, and the long-suffering short position finally profits!
The market is truly in chaos right now! Bitcoin has fallen below the 83,000 mark (lowest at 82,753), and panic is widespread across the market. At the slightest market movement, SOL couldn't hold up, crashing from 122 all the way down to 115.51, a nearly 4% drop in 24 hours! Major coins are bleeding heavily, and the bulls are likely to have a sleepless night tonight.
But this plunge finally rewarded my endurance over the past two days! To replenish my SOL short position, I even spent the hard-earned money meant for "cleaning the boiler," gritting my teeth and holding on! Fortunately, persistence paid off!
Check the stats: SOL current price is 115.83, my 20x full-position short (entry price 116.54) has finally seen the clouds part and the moon shine, with an unrealized profit of +416.6 USDT and a return rate of +12.47%! While others are wailing everywhere, this profit tastes especially sweet.
That said, the market still shows no signs of stabilization. Although shorting feels good, securing profits is the real deal. I advise everyone: don't lightly bottom-fish or catch falling knives; close your contracts when they look good and protect your gains! $BTC $ZEC $SOL #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ As of October 7, ETH was quoted at approximately $2650, down 2.12% in 24 hours. The previously long-standing narrow range of 2680-2725 has been broken downward, with the price once falling back to around $2553, indicating a clearly weak short-term trend.
Technical indicators have turned bearish. The MACD has converged near the zero line, with upward momentum basically exhausted; active selling continues to dominate, and buying power is insufficient. The upper Bollinger Band at $2806 forms resistance above, while the lower band at $2550 is the key support baseline.
Capital pressure is significant. The Ethereum spot ETF has seen net outflows for six consecutive trading days, with cumulative outflows exceeding $400 million, including a single-day net outflow of over $200 million on October 6.
Currently, retail long positions account for as high as 76.6%, indicating an overly crowded position structure, with concentrated liquidations near $2580. A confirmed break below this level could trigger a chain of stop losses. Although Citibank has raised the 12-month target price for ETH to $3028, the dual pressure from short-term technical and capital factors means the weak pattern has not yet reversed. The key to the bulls and bears battle lies in whether spot buying can continue to absorb selling pressure.Let's take a look at Dogecoin. Dogecoin dropped very sharply today, with a listing price of 0.08845, down about 5.54% daily. Calculating from a short position at 0.1, I've already made over 10%. This round, Dogecoin has gained another position to buy long. [Trading Advice] Go long: Buy near 0.08, wait if it's not reached. Short position: Consider taking profit. Short stop loss: 0.12 unchanged. Taking a long position only talks about position, without setting separate stop-loss or targets. Just wait for the price to reach around 0.08. The current price is still about 10% away from 0.08. This isn't the position I want, so don't buy too early. For short positions, the 0.11 increase hasn't been triggered; I have the 0.1 share and can buy in batches. [Technical Side | 1H] Binance DOGE perpetual hourly chart taken at 22:36. The latest candlestick opened at 0.08853, high 0.08860, low 0.08816, and closed at 0.08842. Above is the 0.09635 red line and the Strong High red box; below is the 0.09423 green line that was already broken down, with a BOS in between. These candles in the evening were very steep long bearish candles, falling directly to the upper edge of the blue demand zone, with a Weak Low around 0.0876. The blue zone range is roughly 0.087~0.088, which is where the rally started in late September. If this blue zone can't hold, look down to mid-September, where the low is roughly down$ETH 2700 → 2575, yet longs keep piling in 🤯
Long accounts are now near 68%, with the long/short ratio above 2.1. Bulls keep calling the dip a bottom, but the chart still looks weak.
If $ETH loses 2500, 2400 could come into view. I’m staying patient with the trend rather than rushing to catch the knife. 📉
#OKXNOW:24x7MarketEra #US30YYieldTops5.7% #USCryptoRulesMoveAhead
#SepFOMCRateHikeOutlook #DailyOrbit $TRX
The net change of TRX is very small, is there still information near the low point?
This morning's 24-hour spot observation window: range 0.33511—0.33717 USDT, change -0.26%, trading volume about 3.98 million USDT.
The window retracement is less than 1%, but the observed price is close to the lower boundary. A narrow range structure can also accumulate directional choices; small fluctuations do not guarantee long-term stability, nor can they be equated with cash-like principal protection.
If the lower boundary of the range is broken and the rebound cannot recover it, first reduce the stability assessment; if the low point holds and the midpoint is recovered, then observe whether the upper boundary is restored.#200 Yuan Challenge to 1 Million Phase 2 · Back Again
Haven't updated for several days, so first let me explain: I blew up my account again. The total assets in the account are now 0.79 yuan.
From 2335 to 3 dollars, from 200 yuan to 0.79 yuan, over two phases I've lost everything I was supposed to lose. I haven't posted these days not because I didn't want to write, but because I couldn't type a single word — my mind kept revolving around the same question: How much loss counts as paying enough tuition?
These days I've been adjusting my mindset. No trading, no watching the market, just repeatedly thinking: Where exactly did I go wrong? The answer has always been in my own posts. I've written about always setting stop-loss, about lowering leverage, about not getting carried away after a winning trade, yet I kept stumbling at the same point every time. It's not that I don't understand, it's that I understand but can't execute.
But I want to make one thing clear: I don't intend to quit here. The capital is small, whether 0.79 yuan or 200 yuan, I want to take it seriously. What I've truly learned this month is not how to make money, but how to treat a small amount of money seriously — treating it as real chips of gold and silver, not as gambling money to throw around casually.
I have carefully read every comment under my last post. Some scolded me, some advised me to stop, and some said they were waiting for my return. I didn't reply to each because I knew in that state, any reply would seem hollow. Rather than explain, I prefer to first show some progress.
Next, I will do three things: First, replenish the account funds and restart from the 200 yuan starting line; Second, only use low leverage going forward, no more than 5x per trade, with stop-loss set before opening a position; Third, continue daily updates, reporting both profits and losses honestly, no more pretending.
This time no grand promises. I just want to quietly get past the 0.79 yuan situation.
Let's chat in the comments: Do you think I should continue or take a break?
Always set stop-loss, use low leverage, manage position sizes, and disclose all position funds. For reference only, not investment advice. #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 After the drop, how many reasons to buy are left?
Regarding $HYPE, I think there's a detail worth mentioning: staking tokens can get you a discount on fees, so the more frequently you trade, the more incentive you have to do the math.
This provides a practical use for holding the token. But after the price rises, the amount of money needed to get the same discount tier also increases, so whether the saved fees can cover the risk of holding the token needs to be recalculated.
#DailyOrbit A macro signal worth noting today: the IMF places high energy prices, record public debt, and the AI investment boom within the same risk framework.
Reuters reported on October 7 that IMF Managing Director Georgieva warned that the Middle East energy supply shock is driving up inflation, while AI capital expenditures are creating new demand pressures; global public debt is at its highest level since World War II and may exceed 100% of global GDP by 2030.
This means that for risk assets like BTC, the key future variable is not just the next interest rate meeting, but "how long high funding costs will persist."
What is more worth watching next is whether oil prices, long-term U.S. Treasury yields, and crypto market leverage heat up in sync. Compared to looking at a single candlestick, this set of cross-market signals carries more information.
#BTC #macro The latest weekly planet earnings from okx have been distributed, I got $14, which is about 95 RMB. The okx platform really is willing to pay, the incentive mechanism is solid, it's a pretty good platform.
Bitcoin finally dropped a bit, it can't keep going up forever. Drop to over 60,000, even over 50,000, over 40,000, let me get on board. Nvidia in the US AI market is almost at 6 trillion USD, and some people still say the bubble isn't big, that some companies have enough profit, some products sell fast, and that this market value is not a problem.
I don't believe it, what kind of concept is 6 trillion USD? And the so-called AI hasn't really landed much, it's just some large language models. It's far from the past internet revolution, though it's also possible AI hasn't reached that stage yet. It hasn't reached the point of giving birth to AI super applications that completely change all aspects of human life, like applications similar to Google, Microsoft, Facebook, Amazon.BTC perpetual 100x short position, opened at 85998, currently at 83809.9, floating profit +254.43%.
The logic is very simple: the 86000 round number resistance was tested multiple times without breaking, volume decreased, showing clear top characteristics. Finally waited for a bearish candle to short. 100x leverage, stop loss at 86500. The movement is very smooth, no chance for a rebound.
Trailing stop moved to 84500 to lock in profits. If the volume b$BTC #BTCWhalePressureEases
#DailyOrbit Let's take a look at Solana. At night, Solana failed to hold the platform from the afternoon and moved down for another stretch. The list was at 115.97, down about 3.88% for the day, more than double the 1.6% in the afternoon. Starting from a short position near 120, I made about four dollars, or just over three percentage points. [Trading Advice] Short position (around 120): Consider taking profit. Short stop loss: Hold 140. Long: Wait until the direction comes out. I'll announce that the 125 increase level hasn't been touched, so I only have 120. It's very straightforward to handle. If you want stability, buy most of it first; If you want to keep a bit and wait for the next steps, leave the remaining amount to 140. This time, Bitcoin and Dogecoin offered long positions, but Solana did not, so the long positions were still unheld. [Technical Aspect | 1H] Binance SOL perpetual hourly chart taken at 22:36. The latest candlestick opened at 116.17, high 116.25, low 115.67, closed at 115.91. The red band above is still there, with the lower edge at 120.76 and the upper edge at 121.44. Further up is the strong high red box. Every rebound during this period has been blocked here. After this drop tonight, a new CHoCH indicator appeared on the chart, indicating the short-term structure has officially weakened. Not far below the current price is a new Weak Low, which is very shallow and could be tested again at any time. Looking down, near 114 and 112The most important thing to say today isn't about the market, but that the Pudgy Penguins chain is shutting down.
The Ethereum L2 network Abstract, supported by Pudgy Penguins' parent company Igloo, announced that its mainnet will officially shut down on December 15.
The official reasons are straightforward: stagnant growth, thin liquidity, limited DeFi ecosystem, insufficient institutional adoption, and the parent company lost tens of millions of dollars because of it.
The most critical sentence is that the CEO said they decided not to issue tokens to save this network.
If you have assets on this chain, you must cross them out yourself before December 15. Assets not crossed out by the deadline will become permanently unrecoverable, as stated in the official announcement and media.
I was a bit dazed when I read this news.
In the past two years, we've been taught that if an L2 issues tokens, it has money; if it has an ecosystem, it has airdrops; the more interactions, the more shares you get. Abstract is a counterexample. Behind it is a team with IP, community, and popularity, working for 18 months, yet they still admit this thing can't work.
The decision not to issue tokens is correct from the company's perspective. Issuing a token without real demand is just shifting losses to the secondary market.
But remember this: the project's stop-loss point and your stop-loss point are never the same.
Which chains do you still have assets on that you can't cross out yourself? Share in the comments to remind each other.#以太坊Glamsterdam升级登陆Sepolia测试网
The Ethereum Glamsterdam upgrade has officially launched on the Sepolia testnet. This is a key step in Ethereum's L1 scaling roadmap, with the mainnet expected to go live in Q4 2026. The core highlights of this upgrade include the protocol's built-in ePBS proposer-builder separation, block-level access lists, synchronized Gas pricing adjustments, and an increased smart contract deployment limit, paving the way for parallel transactions and L2 fee reductions.
My view: This is a medium- to long-term technical positive, optimizing Ethereum's underlying performance and reducing costs for Layer 2 networks, which benefits the ETH ecosystem narrative. However, testnet launch ≠ mainnet deployment, so it is difficult to directly drive a significant ETH price surge in the short term. The technical upgrade cycle is lengthy, with uncertainties such as code audits and contract adaptations in between.
Do not rely on this news alone to go long on ETH in contract trading. The current market's main drivers remain US Treasury yields and ETF capital flows. From a technical perspective, prioritize support and resistance levels, strictly control leverage, and avoid speculating on short-term explosive moves based on news.This profit makes me feel both anxious and fearful, worried that the market will realize it tomorrow and blacklist me. When the screen is full of green, $PENGU faces obvious resistance above; every surge falls just short. I judge the rebound to be weak and signaled a short position around 0.009042, entering the short trade immediately.
The result is clear: from 0.009042 down to 0.008512, the short position gained +294.73% unrealized profit. Those on board must have woken up laughing.
First, close 80%, keeping 20% to protect the cost price. If it continues to drop, let the profit run; if it rebounds, don’t let the gains become uncomfortable.
Don’t let profits inflate, don’t despair over pullbacks. The market specializes in humbling all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they are the smartest.
If you’re still outside the market, don’t rush to act. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, watch for new structures, and I will notify you immediately.
$ETH $BNB $BTC is about to close the daily candle soon
What should be done for short-term trading tomorrow?
First, let's look at Bitcoin reaching a very critical position. On 9.21, there was a volume breakout above this blue neckline.
However, after the breakout, there was no strong high-level support; instead, it chose to retest on 9.28.
The retest held, but the subsequent rally did not surpass the high point of 9.21.
Today it started retesting again, so this time we need to watch out for a breakdown risk.
If today closes with a real bearish candle at the blue support level,
continuing to hold a short position tomorrow for short-term profit should not be a big problem.
Of course, trading is never 100% certain.
If you open a short position, today's opening price must be used as the stop-loss point. $BTC finally broke the 9-month descending channel 👀
One thing I’ve learned: the breakout isn’t enough — the retest matters.
BTC hit $86.7K before pulling back toward $84K.
I’m watching this zone closely. If bulls defend $84K and reclaim $86K+, this could be more than a fakeout.
After so many rejections, it’s good to finally see the structure change.
Do you think BTC holds $84K and pushes toward $90K, or gets rejected again? 👀
I’m leaning bullish, but I want confirmation.
#BTC #crypto #BTC whale sell pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks
BTC whale sell pressure weakens, so market sell pressure may have decreased
Does this mean BTC has a chance to rise further? In fact, weakening sell pressure and strengthening buying are not opposing forces; weakening sell pressure does not necessarily mean buying increases
It may have entered a "consolidation phase"; further attention is needed to see if more funds flow in, which could lead to a rise 🤔 Conversely, if key future data worsens or sudden negative events occur, the market will also be affected by sentiment disturbances and drop accordingly
From a weekly perspective, ETF net inflows also reflect institutional or retail investors' "interest" in crypto
$BTC @OKX星球 我們來看一下以太幣的部分。 晚上這一段，以太幣又往下砍了一刀。 清單報 2,564.30、日跌約 4.90%，五個幣裡跌最重的就是它。 從 2,780 那筆空單算下來，已經走了兩百多點，大約百分之八。 【操作建議】 空單（2,780 附近）：可以考慮止盈 多單：先等等，方向出來我再宣布 手上已有多單：跌破 2,400 停損 這筆空單當初就沒有掛停損，所以收不收、收多少，要自己判斷，但利潤擺在眼前，先落袋一部分很合理。 多單這邊，比特幣跟狗狗幣我已經給了等待的位置，以太幣沒有，就是還不急。 不要因為跌了 5% 就覺得便宜，便宜跟可以接是兩回事。 【技術面｜1H】 22:36 截的幣安 ETH 永續小時圖，最新這根 K 開 2,568.24、高 2,569.27、低 2,556.42、收 2,563.30。 2,769 那條紅線還掛在上面，就是我們空單布局的位置，價格在那邊整理了一個多禮拜，最後選擇往下。 2,695.01 的綠線早就被跌穿，圖最右邊那幾根是幾乎垂直的長黑，中間連個像樣的反彈都沒有。 這種跌法，通常代表槓桿多單一路被清出場，買盤根本來不及進來。 往左看，2,520 到 2,SOL at $115, are you looking to buy the dip?
SOL dropped from 122 to 115, down 4% in 24 hours, diving along with BTC and ETH — but just now, weekly ETF inflows plunged from $188 million to $800,000, and the Alpenglow mainnet date remains far off. Is this a "golden pit at the lower edge of the box," or the first domino of a macro sell-off?
Let's look at the surface: it fell, but not without reason.
Yesterday it was still between 120-122, today it hit 115 directly, breaking through the lower edge of the box from the past two weeks with a punch. The last 7 days turned from flat to negative, with a 3-4% drop in the last 24 hours today. Market cap is about 68-71 billion, down 61% from the ATH of $296. The candlestick tells you: 117 was broken with volume, short-term structure weakened — this is not a failed upgrade, the market dragged it down.
First: The ETF channel still exists, but the slope is gone.
From September 21-25, spot SOL ETF weekly inflows were about $188 million, with Bitwise's BSOL taking $128 million. Sounds strong? The following week, only $800,000 remained.
From $188 million to $800,000, a 99.6% shrinkage.
In plain terms: institutions are still buying, but the pace slowed from a "sprint" to a "walk." The channel is open, but the throttle eased. More painfully — no new subscription data today, price followed risk assets down first. The ETF story continues, but today's drop is unrelated to ETFs.
Second: Today's cause is macro, not SOL.
The Hormuz tanker attack pushed Brent crude to $101.5. The dollar and 10-year US Treasury yield surged to 5.31%. BTC dropped from 86,600 to 83,560, ETH fell below 2,600.
SOL's resilience is between ETH and smaller altcoins — when the market drops 1%, it drops 2%; when the market crashes, it crashes first.
Alpenglow still has no mainnet date. The Votor phase is scheduled after Agave 4.3 in Q3; Rotor has no schedule. The market treats it as conditional on $125 around October 4 — not the reason for today's $115. Don't blame macro issues on technical upgrades.
Third: The $115 level is a breakdown zone, not a bottom.
The path is clear: October 2 high around 123.8 → then sideways between 117-122 → today broke 117, now at 115.
Above: 117 is the platform of the past two weeks, now supply; 120-122 is the October 4-6 high; 124-125 is the ceiling from late September to early October. Without volume to reclaim 120, don't talk about 125.
Below: 115 is the current price and today's low; 112-113 is a nearer retracement zone; 110 is a psychological level. Daily close below 110 means a deep short-term correction.
Daily moving averages haven't fully deteriorated, but 117 was broken with volume, short-term structure weakened. Volume follows the drop, not a new uptrend. 115 is stuck below the breakdown zone. Reclaiming 117 can be a false breakout; failing to do so means rebounds are just profit-taking.
Bull vs. Bear, you decide:
On one side:
ETF channel remains, institutional long-term allocation intent persists
Alpenglow upgrade expectations remain, ultimate target 150 milliseconds
High throughput, meme, and DeFi activity continue
115 is only a 6% retracement from 122, but a deep drop from 296
On the other side:
Weekly ETF inflows crashed from $188 million to $800,000, slope vanished
117 broken with volume, short-term structure weakened
Oil prices + Treasury yields double whammy, risk assets under pressure
Fed minutes tonight, hawkish signals may add pressure
Key level 115, watch two things: can 117 be reclaimed, and tonight's minutes.
Above: 117 (false breakout test) → 120-122 → 124-125 (ceiling)
Below: 115 → 112-113 → 110 (psychological level, break means 105)
Trading strategy (no fluff):
Aggressive:
Light long positions near 115 max, stop loss at 111.5. First target 117, second 120. Reduce half at 116.5. No adding before minutes.
Conservative:
Wait for 110-112 zone, stop loss 107. Better to wait for reclaiming 120 before following. Stay out if not reached. 115 is better than yesterday's 120, but still a breakdown, not a bottom.
Breakout:
Only consider chasing if volume-backed hold above 125 and pullback doesn't break 120, target 135. Conditions not met now.
Bearish:
Light short on weak rebound between 117-119, stop loss 121, targets 115 and 112. Avoid heavy shorts near 110.
Position sizing:
Single trade risk no more than 2% of total capital, leverage no more than 3x. The market can sweep some longs in 10 minutes today.
Risk management priorities (memorize):
Daily close below 110, reduce positions, next support at 105
If minutes are hawkish or oil jumps, reduce leverage first
If ETF turns negative this week, 115 likely to be tested again
SOL now is like ETH in early 2024 —
ETF passed, institutions bought, price fell. Everyone called it "trash," but it doubled months later.
But one difference: ETH had the Pectra upgrade then, SOL has Alpenglow — but Alpenglow doesn't even have a mainnet date.
It's not that Solana can't perform, it's that you keep chasing highs at 125, then going all-in at 115 breakdown, perfectly buying at the ceiling and selling at the floor.
$BTC $ETH $SOL This wave is really brutal, BTC just smashed me awake
Just took a quick look, BTC has already dropped to around 83,000, with the lowest at 82,750.
During the day it was hovering around 85,000 to 86,000, but at night it completely changed the scene.
The most conflicting thing about the current position is that the indicators are quite oversold, but if you really ask me to catch it now, I’d still feel a bit hesitant.
I personally want to see how it moves around 83,000 first.
If it quickly bounces back, then there might still be a rebound in this wave;
If it stays suppressed below, then don’t rush to be a hero 😂
Is anyone still daring to catch it now? Or should we wait until 82,000? $BTC Trader Killa stated that Bitcoin once again failed to break through $87,000, and his previously established 10x leveraged long position was stopped out at breakeven. This position was an aggressive trend continuation trade, originally expecting BTC to break through on the second test of the high, but after the breakout failed, the price returned to the entry point.
Killa said he will next focus on the $80,000 to $82,000 range to look for opportunities to re-establish the 10x leveraged long position. Currently, he still holds long positions established at $62,600 and $76,400 respectively, with no reason to rush adding new longs for now. He emphasized that risk management is crucial and that his current BTC holdings are sufficient. Regarding the subsequent trend, Killa remains bullish, expecting the price to continue rising. He believes the current market is in a short-term oscillation, while he mainly trades based on longer timeframes #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC Those trapped consider breaking even; after all calculations, they can't avoid adding positions to lower the average price, which immediately lowers the threshold for breaking even.
The numbers show immediate effects, getting halfway closer to breaking even, which eases the mind a bit. This calculation makes sense on paper, but in the market, no advantage is gained. Wherever $SOL's current price stops, the added chips are valued at that price, with no discount at all.
#DailyOrbit Why are SanDisk and Micron soaring while Hynix is stuck?
In the same wave of the storage super cycle, their trends are completely different worlds. SanDisk has risen 580% this year, Micron has multiplied sevenfold in a year, but Hynix ADR was still getting hammered yesterday. What's the difference?
$SNDK is a pure NAND play with the greatest price elasticity. NAND prices rose 60% in Q1 and are expected to rise another 70 to 75% in Q2. AI inference has directly exploded enterprise SSD demand. Small market cap, pure narrative, funds rush in and it flies—this kind of stock never lacks elasticity.
$MU benefits from the scarcity premium in US stocks. Before Hynix ADR was listed, it was the only pure HBM play available in US stocks, rising 711% in a year. With a $250 billion US domestic investment plan and HBM monthly capacity set to double by year-end, it has the most complete story, and institutions are willing to give it a valuation.
$SKHY, why is it stuck? Three reasons. First, Solidigm is planning a spin-off IPO, and the market treats it as "asset selling," forcing a revaluation of the parent company. Second, all HBM is locked in five-year long-term contracts, so it doesn't benefit from spot DRAM price increases, resulting in naturally weaker ASP elasticity. Third, Korean won appreciation eats into profits; LS Securities just cut the target price by 27%, and Bernstein publicly stated a preference for Samsung.
It's not that Hynix's HBM market share is weak—50% is still first place. The market is discounting its story. Once the spin-off is completed and the exchange rate stabilizes, the gaps will be filled. But in the short term, funds just love what flies.
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ Brothers, this wave of short positions on $BTC has got me nailed again! The current price has directly dropped to 82,997.6, down 3.13% in 24 hours. I opened a short at 83,614.2, with a floating profit of 2.21%, the direction was spot on.
Why did this drop hit so hard? BTC was rejected and fell back for the third time at the 87,000 USD integer level, triggering overall market selling pressure. More importantly, funds are running out; spot ETFs have had net outflows.
#DailyOrbit Don’t rush in yet. This selloff may not be over. 📉
$BTC is stuck around 83.8K; lose 83.5K and 82K could come next.
$ETH looks weaker—below 2.63K, bulls should stay cautious; 2.5K remains possible.
With Fed minutes ahead and leverage still being flushed, I’d rather wait for the dust to settle than catch a falling knife.
$SNDK has strong long-term AI demand, but tonight isn’t the time to chase.
Wait for the news, let the liquidations clear, then reassess.
#US30YYieldTops5.7%