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The Treasury will repurchase $6 billion of its own debt next week. A classic liquidity injection operation—when bonds are retired, more cash flows into the system. The scale isn't particularly large, but the direction is bullish for risk assets. When "Uncle Sam" absorbs debt, it usually makes $BTC and cryptocurrencies easier to buy. Watch how this affects broader macro liquidity—these buybacks often show up in risk appetite rallies a few weeks later. Maintaining a bullish bias. $ETH $BTC $SOL $ETH/BTC is showing signs of breaking out from a multi-year declining trend, putting Ethereum back on the radar as a potential relative-strength play this cycle. But broad altcoin participation usually needs BTC to remain stable first. 🟠 BTC: Holding above $85K and reclaiming $87.5K–$88K with volume could improve overall risk appetite and create more room for capital rotation toward ETH and other large-cap alts. 🔵 ETH: Holding $2.65K–$2.68K keeps the structure constructive, while a move througDon't rush to treat ETF redemptions as a sign of collapse; it's more like a position check-up. What really matters is who is forced to reduce leverage after redemption. Seeing BTC and ETH spot ETFs net outflows simultaneously, and market temperature dropping, my first reaction isn't panic, but to see if those high-leverage positions can hold up. Some traders hold 14 short positions and 13 floating profits, but are struggling over whether to cut 4 or keep only 10. This detail is crucial: even profitable short sellers start to worry, indicating that what everyone fears is not the direction, but the sudden amplification of volatility that swallows profits back. This is a typical case of risk budget contraction. ETF redemptions themselves don't directly sell the market, but they change the hedging rhythm of market makers and institutions, thinning marginal buying and making rebounds easy to breathe short. So the market first shifts from "chasing narratives" to "survival." ZEC doesn't want to move for now, hoping it will return below 1000; HYPE is falling sluggishly, profits haven't reached targets, and there's still room for downside; Bitcoin and Ethereum positions aren't large, but they're being used for T-trading. All these moves together form a defensive position chart. There are also bullish paths: if redemptions slow, short covering can trigger a rapid rebound, especially if already profitable short positions are closed out in concentrates, making fake trades prone to impulses. But the risk is that this rebound is more likely a window for reducing positions, not a trend reversal. SOON fell 30 points from its high and then returned to profitable territory, indicating some coins have recovery potential, but such opportunities require extremely high pace. My own judgment is that the core of trading now isn't just guessing the bottom, but controlling the risk of individual trades,$SAND has surged 92% in two days, and I happened to be sitting on a short grid.
The catalyst was mainly risk removal: after the bridge exploit caused 500M SAND to be minted, Korean exchanges restricted trading. Once the alert was lifted, SAND jumped another 24%.
What caught my attention: funding is deeply negative, perpetuals trade below spot, and OI is falling. That looks more like old shorts covering than fresh longs piling in.
My grid upper limit is 0.08313, while today’s high hit 0.08299—SEC 批准三倍杠杆比特币与以太坊 ETP，IBIT 走出金叉形态，$BTC 回到 $85 K 但合约持仓单日缩减 6.05%。 1、SEC 批准三倍杠杆的比特币与以太坊 ETP，BlackRock 旗下 IBIT 同时走出金叉形态，杠杆化产品正式进入美国合规通道；$BTC 现约 $84,965（+0.3%）、日内收于区间上沿 $85,000，24 h 全网爆仓约 $2.91 亿且以多头为主，$BTC 爆仓 $3,138 万中多头占 $2,881 万（92%）。 2、链上与基本面出现两类信号：价值约 $4.57 亿的沉睡地址转出 5,419 枚 $BTC；Glassnode 指出去年追涨买入的投资者正在接近成本线时卖出，形成持续供给。生态侧，以太坊 L2 Blast 因成本高于收入确认 10 月关停，LayerZero V2 的 TVL 单日激增 48.53% 至 $117 亿。 3、 OKX / $OKB：今日 -0.6%，约 $120.4，区间 $119.7–$121.3。 4、花旗再度上调 $BTC 与 Strategy 的目标价，立场转向更乐观；VanEck 高管则表示"量子📊 Smart-money positioning: The number of short accounts has fallen by roughly 68, yet total short exposure has increased by more than $18M. That divergence suggests fewer participants are controlling significantly larger positions. The estimated average short entry has also moved down toward $1,285, very close to the current market price. Around 74% of tracked shorts are currently in profit, while the combined PnL remains slightly negative at roughly $360K. That tells an interesting story: someTo be honest, I myself find it surprising that this trade has lasted until now; luck played a significant part. I was watching the market late last night, and $UNI retraced without breaking the lower support. The buying pressure gradually strengthened, so I suggested that long positions could be followed, but not to rush chasing.
During the consolidation phase, it was still grinding near 8.941 when I entered, and I got out at 9.017, a floating profit of +43.61%. That gain feels good.
The market waits for the right moment, and profits come from holding. Don’t get greedy with gains, and don’t despair over pullbacks.
I took profit on 70%, kept 30% at cost price as protection, letting profits run if it continues up, and not letting gains feel painful if it pulls back. For those who haven’t entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in. Chasing highs risks getting stuck at the peak. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, and move when the next signal appears.
$BTC $SOL The Catalyst: Glamsterdam
$ETH is stuck below $3K, but the clock is ticking.
Glamsterdam hits the Sepolia testnet on Oct 6 Ethereum's biggest upgrade since The Merge. It brings parallel processing, enshrined proposer-builder separation, and structural L1 scaling.
Mainnet targets Q4 2026.
The setup: $2,650 support → $2,800 breakout → $3,000 target.
$ETH
#USNFPDataCools
#BTCETHETFOutflows Two addresses that received 40.57 million ZRO (73.02 million USD) a year ago transferred 8 million of them (14.98 million USD) to Coinbase Prime 6 hours ago.
After holding for more than a year, moving 8 million tokens to an exchange at once — this is never for commemoration. Is it cashing out or custody? 😇
$BTC $ETH $ZROThe higher BTC climbs, the weaker the follow-through looks. Buying pressure is fading, momentum is cooling, and fresh liquidity isn't entering aggressively enough to sustain another breakout. Holiday trading conditions are also keeping volume relatively thin, so I’m not expecting a clean directional move until liquidity returns. For now, I’m keeping a cautious bearish/intraday view. Key levels: 🔴 Resistance: $87,500–$88,200 🟢 Support: $85,800–$85,200 ⚠️ Below $85K, downside volatility could inStill can rise? Prepare to short $SAND at this position first
The rise was a bit fierce, directly shooting up to 0.07. Don't rush, if there's no strength left, just act. Compared to history, this increase is just a flash in the pan. The trapped positions around 0.15 will face heavy selling pressure
Be bold, the U you lost is just stored in the market, you will get it back when spring comes
What's going on with $BILL's weak trend? Has there been a crash?$BTC options are showing ~31,800 contracts near expiry, with a Put/Call ratio around 1.04 and max pain near $83,500. Total notional value is roughly $2.7B. $ETH options stand at approximately 121,000 contracts, with a PCR near 1.14 and max pain around $2,700, representing about $335M in notional exposure. After the recent quarterly settlement, BTC spent several sessions consolidating around the $84K–$86K region before buyers stepped in. Settlement-related positioning and heavier spot volume help$BTC $ETH $ZEC Last night, watching ZEC made me want to try bottom-fishing a bit, feeling a sudden urge.
But the market clearly hasn't stopped falling yet, nor has it formed an upward trend. Remembering the discipline of trading principles: no bottom-fishing, no top-picking, only follow the trend.
But sometimes I just can't control my hands, can't resist bottom-fishing and top-picking, and many liquidations happen this way
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 The ones that rebound the hardest are actually the weakest
Today’s market looks lively, with HYPE, SUI, and $WLD all surging together. But if you look closely, the stronger the rise, the less support there is underneath.
$WLD jumped nearly 8% in a single day, the most volatile among the three. But where was it a month ago? And where is it now? This kind of surge feels more like a breather after a big drop, not someone genuinely accumulating.
$SUI is even more extreme, up over 60% in a month. At this height, pushing further up means every level is filled with trapped holders waiting to break even.
Key numbers to watch:
$HYPE is now at 91.3, but it hasn’t passed the 94 mark above. 94 was the starting point of the previous drop; if it can’t break through, it will forever be a ceiling.
$SUI needs to first hold above 1.20.
$WLD must defend 0.51 as a floor, not get pushed back down again.
All three are stuck below resistance levels, none have broken through. This is called a "rebound," not a "reversal." The difference lies within just a dollar or two.
The capital flow isn’t cooperating either. BTC and ETH spot ETFs are simultaneously seeing outflows, and the heat is cooling down. At times like this, it’s unlikely for altcoins to forge their own trend.
There are two news items though: the SEC plans to relax institutional self-custody restrictions, and the US Senate proposed a crypto tax bill called ADAPT. Both are long-term positives but won’t save today’s market in the short term. Don’t use long-term factors as reasons to open trades today. $ZEC continues to short! The price has already dropped, but big money not only hasn't stopped at this level, they are still opening shorts! 🔥 Look at smart money moves: number of short sellers decreased by 75, but short position amount counterintuitively surged by over 22M U. Price falling, so market value of existing shorts should have shrunk, but data instead rose, indicating massive real-money add-on. Take another look at average short price, which has dropped to 1299, almost matching currenI'll tell you the ultimate scenario in the world of cryptocurrencies:
The last big Bitcoin crash
Not a war
Nor the Federal Reserve
Nor an exchange platform collapse
But Satoshi Nakamoto suddenly selling 1 BTC🤣$CASHCAT I really don't quite understand this coin.
After the hype around Robinhood Chain died down, I thought these Memes would probably cool off slowly, but recently I took another look, and CASHCAT actually climbed back to around $0.17, still rising over the past 7 days. Data from early October shows its market cap has returned to about $170 million, with over $20 million in 24-hour trading volume.
The funniest part is, when Robinhood launched this chain, the main focus was clearly on stock tokenization and RWA, but when the chain first took off, the real volume explosion actually came from a bunch of Memes. In July, Robinhood Chain's 7-day DEX trading volume hit $3.1 billion, and CASHCAT alone contributed nearly $300 million.
Also, CASHCAT isn’t just a random name. Robinhood was originally called Cash Cat when it first started, so this meme is naturally tightly linked to Robinhood.
What I find most interesting now is: it peaked near $0.22 in July, then crashed badly, but the market never completely forgot it. Among the Robinhood Chain Memes, many have gone silent, yet it still maintains a market cap over $100 million and tens of millions in trading volume.
I used to think the Robinhood Chain Meme season was over.
Now looking at CASHCAT, this dead cat really might bounce back😭When the trader becomes emotionally involved with the market, they start inventing things that do not exist on the chart
Instead, they propose a theory that matches their emotional state and look for any reasons to justify their theory even when the data on the chart changes..
$BTCBuying BNB itself is not complicated; the steps that often cause beginners to make mistakes are: choosing the wrong product, putting funds in the wrong wallet, thinking an order was filled when it wasn’t, and selecting the wrong network when withdrawing. First, consider the purpose: long-term holding, short-term trading, or transferring to BNB Chain for Gas. Different purposes require different post-purchase management. If you just want to buy and hold, operate in the spot market; contracts don’t directly buy BNB but create a position based on price, involving leverage, margin, and liquidation. Before placing an order, don’t look at total assets but at available balance; funds may be in the funding account or financial products and require internal transfer. $BNB"Oversold Alert Sounds, Retail Investors Rush to Rebound, How Far Is the Dawn for BTC and ETH?"
1. Market Overview: Indicators Bottomed, Rebound Weak
BTC and ETH show weak rebounds on 4-hour and 6-hour charts, bulls have no strength to fight back. KDJ indicators both sharply decline, with dense oversold signals. Volume is extremely thin; the market is like a compressed spring, gathering energy for a potential shift.
2. Capital Flow: Retail Investors Charge, Major Players Watch
Warning signal: ETH long-short ratio soars to 1.89, BTC nears 1.3, retail investors aggressively add longs amid the decline. Retail investors don’t retreat, so major players won’t support the rally. Funding rates hover near zero, positions are low; a cleanup targeting high-leverage longs could happen anytime.
3. Strategy: Deploy in Batches, Exit on Breakdown
Bold traders can gradually add light positions long within the 6-hour and 4-hour support zones to lower cost. The lifeline is set just below the 6-hour support: if it holds, counterattack; if broken, stop loss immediately, never cling to losing positions.
Core Summary:
Don’t guess the bottom, don’t overleverage, exit on breakdown, follow after stabilization. In this brutal harvesting ground, defense is always more important than offense. Endure this darkest moment, protect your principal, and patiently await the true dawn.
$BTC $ETH $BTC $CORE Three ways the market values it
$BTC is valued through scarcity, liquidity, and its potential role as a reserve asset for cryptocurrencies. Institutional flows are important.
$ETH is valued through on-chain activity: stablecoins, decentralized finance, fees, and ecosystem capital.
$SOL carries a growth narrative: users, transactions, applications, and liquidity must expand to support higher valuations.
Same market, but different frameworks. Price is the outcome; capital flows and real activity require confirmation. $ADA open interest dropped by 7.63% with funding steady at 0.01 and price declining by 4.03%, the clearest sign of deleveraging. $SOL, $XRP, $DOGE, and $BTC also saw open interest decline alongside falling prices. Is the level the decisive factor? Whale Accumulation
Wallets holding 10–10,000 BTC added 41,025 BTC in 10 days.
They now control 67.93% of supply highest since mid-August.
Retail wallets (<0.01 BTC) stayed flat.
Smart money is buying the range.
$BTC
#USNFPDataCools
#BTCETHETFOutflows $SOL $CORE Three ways the market values them
$BTC is valued through scarcity, liquidity, and its potential role as a crypto reserve asset. Institutional flows are important.
$ETH is valued through on-chain activity: stablecoins, decentralized finance, fees, and ecosystem capital.
$SOL carries a growth narrative: users, transactions, applications, and liquidity must expand to support higher valuations.
Same market, but different frameworks. Price is the outcome; capital flows and real activity require confirmation. $PUMP super short seller is about to be liquidated!
This whale opened a short position of 21,878,700 USD at 0.0046💲
Currently, it has already lost about 6,010,900 USD
Liquidation price is 0.008253 USD
That means if the current price rises another 35%, it will be liquidated
A 35% increase is not hard for this meme coin
Keep in mind $PUMP has already risen from 0.00115💲$BTC + $ETH ETF fund flows are worth watching 👀
₿ BTC: Previously, there was a cumulative net inflow of about $3.1B over 9 consecutive days, but on September 30 and October 1, there were consecutive net outflows of about $173M, indicating that institutional strong buying has temporarily cooled down.
Ξ ETH: Fund outflows occurred for 3 consecutive days, with about -$55.4M on October 1 alone, and the previous advantage of fund inflows has also significantly weakened.
The fund heat is cooling down; the key going forward is whether ETF flows can turn positive again.
#USNFPDataCools #BTCETHETFOutflows #G7OilReserveRelease 🐋 Whale Watch: Ready liquidity is shrinking rapidly.
The total market cap of stablecoins remains $14B below its peak in May. Without new capital inflows into $USDT, large buy orders across $BTC $ETH and $SOL lack that strong driving fuel.
Until liquidity improves, expect sharp volatility. Watch on-chain flows closely.The direction of $LINK looks smooth, but the trading volume is casting doubt on this trend.
I first look at the position, not guessing the direction. The current price is 13.89, about 5.31% away from the 1-hour support at 13.152, and about 2.01% away from the resistance at 14.169. Here, what’s lacking is not direction speculation, but the sustainability after the price truly breaks through the boundary.
The current 1-hour trading volume is only 0.47 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars; both the 1-hour and 4-hour volumes are weak. The direction seems consistent, but participation is low; a breakout without volume support often requires the next candlestick to confirm.
There are only two conditions that would make me change my judgment. My observation line is very clear: only by standing back above and holding 14.169 can the short-term initiative be regained; if it falls below 13.152, then attention should shift to the 4-hour support at 13.152. If the upper side continues to be pressured, the 4-hour resistance at 14.814 is temporarily just a distant reference, not a preset target.
To continuously track this segment, just remember 14.169 and 13.152. I will come back in the next round to check if my judgment has been overturned by the market.
When direction consistency and insufficient volume conflict, which do you trust more?
The market is volatile; the above is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is Crypto Bull speaking.$BTC + $ETH $HYPE TF flow read
BTC: After roughly $3.1B of cumulative inflows over 9 consecutive days, the reported ~$173M daily outflows on Sept. 30 and Oct. 1 show that the strongest institutional bid has temporarily weakened.
ETH: Three consecutive days of outflows, including about $55.4M on Oct. 1, means ETH is no longer showing the relative flow strength it had previously.#USNFPDataCools #BTCETHETFOutflows #G7OilReserveRelease Three cold coins at 3 AM: each following its own hidden path
SNDK 1742, +1.62%. Storage market recovery is warming up, AI servers are devouring NAND demand, and SanDisk's share is the trump card. Price has risen from 1700, volume is awakening. Tomorrow night’s Micron earnings report is the switch: if it exceeds expectations, the storage chain may rally; if flat, watch for a pullback and support.
SLX 0.06429, -0.28%. Amid a sea of red, it alone is green; the issue isn’t the narrative but the shallow market depth. Equipment leased to wafer fabs, long-term contracts lock in cash flow, the rent-collection model still holds. 0.065 is the short-term gate: if it holds after earnings verification, a rebound is possible; if broken, don’t look back.
RE 0.49028, +0.41%. The coldest and slowest among the three, yet the most resilient. DeFi insurance stacks lightweight RWA, the 0.45 level has held for about a month. Absent heat, the base is solid. If the wind hasn’t come, endure; if it does, then watch the height.#BTC、ETH spot ETFs simultaneously see outflows, cooling capital heat
"BTC, ETH spot ETFs simultaneously see outflows"—I can't help but laugh when I see this. Simultaneously? Not synchronized at all.
Let's start with BTC. On September 30, there was a single-day outflow of 148.7 million, breaking a 9-day inflow streak, and many people shouted that institutions were running away that day. But the next day, IBIT alone poured in 195.6 million, forcibly pulling the entire week back to +82.9 million. This is portfolio rebalancing, not retreat. In Q3, ETFs absorbed 6.34 billion, BTC rose 42.71%, and end-of-quarter rebalancing is perfectly normal.
ETH is a different story. After September 28, it hasn't been positive again, with four consecutive days of net outflows. FETH has been selling every day without pause, ETHE lost 27.9 million in two days, totaling -118 million for the week. The previous week it was still +690 million. A complete reversal within a week, with multiple products withdrawing together—this is a trend of reduction, not an end-of-quarter move.
The most interesting part is the price. Money is flowing out, yet BTC instead stands above 85,000, even touching 86,800 at one point, with over 200 million in shorts liquidated within 24 hours. Why? September's nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, unemployment rate at 4.2%, October rate hike probability dropped from 69% a week ago to 17%, and US Treasury yields fell from a 24-year high. $BTC $ETH 🇪🇺 Europe is investing in a quantum internet prototype — a network where attempts to intercept data can be detected through changes in the quantum signal.
Engineers plan to connect city networks using quantum repeaters over 42 months and test the scalability of this technology for long distances.
$BTC $ETH $USDC Please allow me one last act of stubbornness
Only 70u left in my wallet
I will bring this meme coin down to zero
Market makers, please lend me a hand and push it down
I glanced at the weekly profit
-38.14%
Account dropped from 113 to 57
Now back to 69
It's really a roller coaster
But I still don't want to give up
This SAND
Dropped from 0.082 to 0.072
Down more than ten percent
MA5 and MA10 are starting to flatten
The upward momentum is clearly gone
It's the last breath of a strong bow
I already hold short positions
There is enough room
Currently a little floating profit
But my target is below 0.06
Market makers
If you have the guts
Keep pushing it down
Feed my short positions well
Stop with the fake moves
I'm betting on this one
Either zero
Or double
No middle ground
$SAND
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 It's a bit strange
Previously, in 2018 and 2022, the proportion of greed + extreme greed days throughout the year was below 10%.
But this year, up to now, the number of greed days has reached 44. 44/365=12%.
Moreover, 43 of those days occurred in the past two months. Could it be that $BTC's four-year cycle has already become invalid or shortened? For the first time in the US market, 3x leveraged Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs have received listing rule approval.
Deep Tide TechFlow: On October 2, the SEC approved Cboe BZX rule changes allowing Volatility Shares to list six daily leveraged ETPs including 3x Bitcoin and 3x Ethereum (also including gold/silver/crude oil/natural gas). They track 3x the daily returns of futures, do not hold spot assets; actual sales await S-1 effectiveness, with no timetable yet. Daily reset plus roll costs, path dependency is significant. Not investment advice."Nonfarm Payroll Boost Interrupted by Geopolitical Black Swan, BTC Surges Then Pulls Back"
On October 4, BTC briefly surged after nonfarm payroll data missed expectations, reaching a high of $87,219, the highest since September 23, before quickly retreating to the $84,000–$84,600 range, down about 1.5% in 24 hours. The geopolitical black swan—the Iranian military action in the Strait of Hormuz—rapidly reversed the optimism brought by macroeconomic positives, causing a single-day market cap fluctuation of up to $50 billion.
Market sentiment shows increasing divergence between bulls and bears, with macro positives and geopolitical risks fiercely offsetting each other. Liquidations in 24 hours reached $328 million, including $254 million on short positions. ETF funds saw a preliminary net inflow of $29.28 million on Friday; institutional demand remains but failed to support the price.
The current price has pulled back about 3.4% from the $87,219 peak, entering short-term consolidation. The geopolitical situation remains tense; the G7 will release up to 100 million barrels from reserves. Oil prices and risk appetite remain key variables. In terms of trading, avoid chasing highs; wait for a pullback confirmation. Pay attention to US-Iran developments and subsequent macro data.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 PONS really caught me off guard with this drop.
From a high of $0.97, it has now fallen to around $0.42, a retracement of over 50%. Today it dropped nearly 20% again, and the big short position on Hyperliquid is still adding, with 14.85 million PONS shorts currently showing a profit of over $2 million.
But I just reviewed Pons' data again and found that the price and the business are actually somewhat disconnected.
In the past 30 days, Pons has done $2.25 billion in DEX trading volume, collecting $134 million in fees, with protocol revenue around $22.7 million.
Most importantly, this revenue is not unrelated to PONS.
Currently, about 80% of the protocol revenue is used to buy back and burn PONS. In the past 30 days, the actual income distributed to token holders was about $16.62 million, with a cumulative total exceeding $20 million.
So now the most interesting question about $PONS has become:
A token with a market cap of only about $300 million, backed by a protocol that can collect $1.36 million in fees daily and has contributed over $16 million in buybacks and burns to the token in the past 30 days—how much should it actually be worth?
Pons had $134 million in fees over 30 days, but in the last 7 days, it has dropped to only $10.74 million, about $1.36 million in 24 hours. SOL's Trap
$SOL — $119.34.
65% of traders are long. But taker buy/sell ratio is 0.65 — sellers dominating.
Textbook setup for a flush to 113.SOL
#USNFPDataCools
#SECCryptoCustodyRules 🚨 Bad jobs data, bullish reaction… so why did BTC and ETH still get pushed down?
Let’s talk about yesterday’s non-farm payroll data.
At first glance, the data looked positive for crypto. Weak employment usually means less pressure for the Fed to keep rates high. But despite the “good news,” Bitcoin and Ethereum still couldn’t hold their gains and were pushed lower.
Why?
#DailyOrbit "October's Bullish Candle"
The National Day fireworks haven't cooled down, but the market has already exploded with another burst.
BTC and ETH almost simultaneously lifted their heads, like two springs compressed to the limit. The recent pullback made the bears mistakenly think it was finally their turn to catch a breath; but a big bullish candle turned the word "correction" to ashes.
The real hidden threat is ZEC.
It is usually silent, but once it starts, it shows no mercy. When BTC rises 3%, it dares to run 10%; when ETH breaks through, it goes straight vertical. It favors the most crowded corridor of the bears, where there is no logic, only liquidations.
The path is not complicated: BTC charges, ETH follows, doubt turns into FOMO, bears cover their positions, leverage floods in. Then ZEC throws out a huge bullish candle. At that moment, BTC's 5% rise is just the appetizer, ZEC's 20% is the main course. Bears don't even have time to set stop losses on their shorts.
October never ends gently. What bears fear is not a slow decline, but a fake pullback. One bullish candle changes sentiment, two change stance, three may leave only ashes.
The market sprouts in despair, rises in hesitation, and ends in celebration. And the bears often die on the last bullish candle before dawn.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC 🔥 $BTC around 84,600｜Bull-Bear boundary: 83,000 vs 87,000
⚡ ETH 2,620 to 2,800｜SOL 117 to 125
⏰ Monday 22:00 ISM｜Thursday 02:00 Fed Minutes
🎯 Key levels at a glance
· BTC: Above 87,000 to 87,400｜Below 83,000, 82,000
· ETH: Above 2,740 to 2,800｜Below 2,620 to 2,660
· SOL: Above 125, 130 to 136｜Below 117
📅 Coming up
· Monday 22:00: ISM Services PMI, expected around 55, previous 55.4
· Thursday 02:00: Fed September meeting minutes, analysts expect hawkish tone
· This week: speeches from officials including Williams, Bowman
🪝 The door at 87,000, BTC knocked on it once in late September and once on Friday, both times pushed back. Can it be pushed open the third time? See you Monday night 👀
$BTC $ETH $SOL #英伟达股价再创历史新高，市值逼近6万亿美元 #白宫再次推动罢免美联储理事丽莎·库克 #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% This silver short finally cashed in 😮💨
Shorted at 67.09, closed at 60.02, held for 2+ weeks. One contract realized +547.08%.
At 60.86, I was still debating whether to hold longer. Looking at the closed trade now, I’m just relieved.
My bearish view was based on slowing industrial demand, declining PV usage, and pressure from high US Treasury yields. The supply gap may be real, but that doesn’t mean price can rise forever.
The key was the pullback—not proving silver is #NvidiaRecordHigh 🚨 $AIN — The pump has already happened. Now the red zone is important.
After breaking the 2H compression, the price is already around $0.0467, but the main resistance at $0.055–0.058 is still ahead.
This is exactly where I am waiting for a reaction.
🔴 Rejection of the zone → a 20–30% correction may occur and a sell trade setup may form.
🟢 Holding above $0.058 → the scenario changes to continuation of the rise.
The RSI(6) is already around 97.7.
I don’t open a sell trade just because the price has risen. I am waiting for the level. Brothers, look at these three positions of mine, even I find them a bit outrageous.
$ZEC short, profit 475%.
$SNDK short, profit 90%.
$ETH short, profit 166%.
All three directions are shorts.
All three trends show daily-level bearish alignment, MACD death cross, with green bars getting longer and longer.
None are against the trend; all are following the trend.
But when I opened these positions, I didn’t think too much.
I’ve always felt this rate hike scenario is very similar to the last round.
The current rise is all preparation for unloading later.
When the next rate hike lands, it will mark the start of the end for this bull market.
Look now, bad news keeps coming; nonfarm payrolls can’t pull up, ETFs are flowing out, whales are running.
Yet the market is still holding on, still pretending the bull is back.
This contrast is actually the most dangerous signal.
The current decline is not the end, it’s the beginning.
So my current thought is simple; I’m ready to hold these three positions for a while.
ZEC target is 1000
ETH target is 2100
SNDK target is 1300
No rush to close, no reckless moves.
Stop losses are set, the rest is up to time.
Which of these three shorts do you think will hit the target first?
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 Happy weekend meow~ The crypto space is quite quiet ha
$BTC returned to around 84,800 tonight, with a weekly increase of only about 0.4%. I think there's no need to be too definitive about the direction for now.
The price is a bit higher than in the afternoon but still some distance from around 85,500 last night. The recovery has started, but the momentum is not yet obvious.
Right now, patience is being tested. A small rise makes people think it's starting, a small drop makes people think the market is over. It's easy to be swayed by short-term fluctuations.
My approach is to control my position first, and raise expectations only when the uptrend shows sustainability.
$BICO's movement over the weekend is actually more worth pondering.
At midnight it was 0.0212, in the afternoon 0.0223, then dropped back to 0.02157 in the evening. Most of the earlier gains have been given back.
So for now, I don't consider it a confirmed strength. Being able to bounce back and having buyers willing to hold are two different things.
If there is another rebound, I will pay more attention to whether there is continued buying power after the price rises.
If every rise turns into a selling opportunity, then even if the price is cheaper, it may not be worth rushing in.
For $SLX, I will pay more attention to the supply.
CoinGecko reports a circulating supply of about 243 million tokens, with a total supply of 1 billion tokens, so circulation is about one quarter.
This doesn't mean the remaining tokens will be sold immediately, but judging whether it's expensive or cheap can't rely only on the current circulating market cap.
If new circulation appears later, we need to see if demand can absorb it.
I think clarifying this issue is more useful than simply hoping for the price to double. A low unit price itself is not a reason for an increase. $BICO This round of rebound feels more sustained than the early morning, moving from 0.0212 back to 0.0223, about a 5% recovery indicating some support at the low level. 0.022 is the watershed: if the pullback doesn't lose this level, the recovery looks likely to continue; if it quickly breaks, the weakness over the past week remains, so don't rush to talk about a reversal.
$SUI Still cautious for now. The midday low of 1.146 is below last night's 1.185, and the previous rebound didn't hold. Next, watch if it can reclaim around 1.185; if it touches that and falls back again, the short-term trend isn't considered strong. The large monthly gain doesn't necessarily mean the correction is complete.
$LINK Back around 14, down about 3.5% in 24 hours, short-term outlook is not optimistic. 14 is just a round number; a few cents up or down don't indicate direction. The key is whether it can return to 14.2 and hold; if this recovery phase struggles, better to watch more and act less, waiting for the market to confirm itself.Staring at the half-dead sideways movement on the screen, that damn impulse just surged again. The most tormenting thing is never the loss itself, but knowing clearly there’s no opportunity here, yet insisting on finding some logic in your mind to enter during that flat, uneventful price action. If you can’t control your impulses in this kind of market, it’s actually the biggest irresponsibility to your account. Doing nothing now is also part of trading, although this pure boredom is even more torturous than losing.
$BTC $ETH 🚨 $ZEC is already down… but the big money is STILL adding shorts.
This is the part that caught my attention 👀
According to the smart-money data, the number of short sellers actually dropped by 75, yet the total short position size increased by more than $22M.
#DailyOrbit $BTC's surge last night looked more like a "fishing line," probably trapping many who chased it. Now the market is weakening; don't mistake the rebound for a reversal.
The contract structure is even more telling:
Binance retail long-short ratio is 1.2065, OKX is 1.33, retail traders are still biased long;
Whale long-short ratio is 2.0224, big players are still firmly holding long positions.
This is the hidden risk—if $83,000 is broken, a forced liquidation chain could trigger a "long liquidation cascade," and the decline will accelerate quickly.
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% , risk appetite may not support buying. $ETH $ZEC also shouldn't be taken lightly. Defend short-term first, don't rush to bottom-fish; staying alive is more important than chasing a rebound Someone else privately asked me why I don't open trades every day. Because what I rely on isn't the frequency of opening trades, but the position size when I get those few right. A professional card player folds 80% of their hands in one night; the real heavy bets are only on a few hands—trading is exactly the same. If you enter and exit twenty times a day, the fees plus emotional wear will eat up half your profits first, and even if the direction is right, you're just working for the exchange. Earning less is not shameful; getting slapped back and forth within a range is. Save your bullets for the truly unbalanced moment. $ETH How many trades do you open in a day? You know the answer yourself.