Orbit Post Sitemap
Hello everyone, a new week begins. This week, three key factors are simultaneously weighing on the market: inflation, energy, and politics, making the pace quite intense. First, let's talk about the weekend developments. The energy front moved first: on Saturday, Riyadh International Airport was attacked, with casualties continuously rising; currently, at least 13 people have died and over 300 are injured. On Sunday, there was another round of attacks; Trump stated he is considering joining strikes against the Houthi forces. On Monday during the Asian early session, Brent crude briefly surged above $105.5, then fell back to around $103.5 after the U.S. approved related transactions for Russian diesel, leading the market to expect increased supply. Additionally, Trump said Russia and Ukraine agreed to stop attacking each other's energy facilities, but Moscow has not confirmed this, and Kyiv also stated its energy facilities are still under attack. This news still needs to be monitored. On last Friday, the three major U.S. stock indices all closed higher, with the S&P closing at 7811 points, up about 1% for the week, but the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remains around 5.24%, staying in the high range not seen since 2002. In the crypto space, prices consolidated narrowly around 83,000 over the weekend. The BTC spot ETF saw a slight inflow of about $21 million on Friday, but in the previous five trading days, nearly $700 million had flowed out cumulatively; the ETH ETF has had net outflows for nine consecutive trading days, totaling about $700 million. Last week, the entire crypto ETF sector had a net outflow of about $1.29 billion, indicating a still cautious capital environment. Next, here is the financial calendar to mark in advance (Beijing time): October 12 (Monday), U.S. stock market open as usual, U.S. Treasury market closed (Columbus Day) #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认
After the news broke, oil prices fell short-term, with the market interpreting it as a phase of easing geopolitical risks. But the key point is: the agreement details have not been finalized, and neither the Russian nor Ukrainian sides have fully confirmed it, so there is significant uncertainty.
This energy ceasefire only stipulates no mutual attacks on energy facilities; battlefield conflicts have not fully stopped. It is a partial compromise, not a full ceasefire. In the short term, it will ease diesel supply tightness, lower inflation expectations, and indirectly benefit risk assets.
However, we should not be overly optimistic. If negotiations break down and conflict escalates again, oil prices will quickly rebound, pushing up U.S. Treasury yields, which in turn will suppress BTC and other crypto assets.
Operational approach: Do not directly chase risk assets. Keep contracts at low leverage and mainly observe, adjusting positions after the agreement is officially finalized. Focus on subsequent official statements, oil prices, and U.S. Treasury yield changes.$BTC 📉 Technical Analysis: $83,000 as the Bull-Bear Watershed
$83,000 is the most critical current price level, overlapping with the ETF average buy-in cost and previous breakout range, serving as the first resistance level to test the strength of the rebound.
Resistance above:
• $83,443: Short-term resistance, needs a decisive breakout
• $87,000–$87,500: Main resistance zone since September, multiple attempts failed to hold
• EMA200 (around $75,383, reference below)
Support below:
• $80,000–$81,000: Recent immediate support zone; if daily close falls below, the pullback may extend to $79,000
• $77,000: On-chain data shows significant accumulation signs near this level; the "True Market Mean" indicator is also close to this level
• $74,000: Near the average buy-in cost of short-term holders
• $72,000: Location of the 200-day moving average, considered a retest area of a larger-scale turning zone
Daily ADX is 37.9 (above the 25 trend threshold), DI+ remains above DI-, mid-term structure not fully bearish yet, but the 4-hour chart price is still running below the 50-period EMA, indicating weak short-term momentum. $XRP SLID TO 1.3186, THEN CLAWED BACK TO 1.4037. The 4H rebound still sits well below the 1.5611 high. Seven days read -6.90%, yet 90 days show +26.26%.
I'd rather respect that conflict than force a story. Does 1.3186 hold if sellers return?ETFs are bleeding, while whales are accumulating. In the same market, two groups are doing completely opposite things.
In the first 7 trading days of October, Bitcoin ETFs saw a cumulative net outflow of $386 million. Ethereum ETFs fared worse, bleeding for 9 consecutive days with a monthly outflow of $635 million. Solana ETFs ended a 14-week net inflow streak, losing $24.8 million in a single week. The three major spot ETFs combined had a weekly outflow of about $1.25 billion, making “Uptober” a complete bust.
But while ETFs are retreating, on-chain data exploded.
Whale wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC have increased their holdings by 86,702 BTC over the past three weeks, bringing total holdings back up to 3.02 million BTC, the highest since April 23. Since the drop in October 2025, this group has grown from 2.86 million to 3.09 million BTC, a net increase of 236,000 BTC, completely wiping out the distribution from the previous year.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost put it bluntly: whale accumulation continues, but the "aggressiveness" is weakening, and spot demand remains slightly negative.
My judgment is straightforward: ETF outflows are noise; whale accumulation is the signal.
ETF funds are driven by sentiment and move quickly in and out. But whales moving coins from exchanges to cold wallets are not here for short-term plays. Retail investors are selling at a loss in ETFs, while big players are buying on-chain — this pattern appeared in March 2020 and November 2022, and what happened afterward speaks for itself.
At the 85,000 level, whales buy, ETFs sell. I stand with the whales Market sentiment has been gradually recovering over the past two days, and the BTC weekly structure is also strengthening, with bulls starting to test above 84000. ETH and popular altcoins are moving along but with different rhythms and risks, so they should be viewed separately.
BTC current price is $83,520, up 0.90% in 24 hours. The weekly structure is strengthening, and the mid-term trend is still intact. As long as this week's close isn't too poor, there is room for further upward movement. The immediate resistance to watch is between 84000 and 85000; only a true breakout will open the chance to target 86000. On the downside, 82000 is the bottom line—if broken, this strengthening phase will be invalidated, and a pullback to around 80000 for support is possible.
ETH current price is $2543, up 1.78% in 24 hours, stronger than BTC. There is a catch-up rally in the exchange rate; the next resistance is at 2600, and if it holds, then 2700 will be tested. If BTC falls and drags ETH down, 2450 is the short-term defense level.
HYPE current price is $87, up 2.70% in 24 hours, showing the greatest elasticity. This rally is more about capital overflow driven by the overall market sentiment warming up rather than its own fundamentals. Liquidity and volatility are greater than mainstream coins; if BTC fails to break 84000, this high Beta pullback will be amplified multiple times, so position control is necessary when chasing highs.
The weekly strengthening gives bulls a reason to be optimistic, but before breaking 84000, buying on dips is more comfortable than chasing rallies.
$ETH $HYPE $BTC
#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 $DOGE PRINTED 0.08108, THEN STARTED STACKING HIGHER LOWS. Price now sits at 0.08679, inside a tight 24h range of 0.08502–0.08767. Still, 7D reads -9.05% while 90D shows +16.57%.
I never judge a bounce without timeframe context. Does this tight range build a base, or invite another test of 0.08108?$MAGIC short-term reversal, why hasn't the 4-hour given up yet?
$MAGIC +22.16% in 24 hours, current price 0.1235. On the surface, it's just a rise and fall, but the real conflict lies in the timeframes: 1-hour is weak, 4-hour is strong. When two charts give opposite answers, the least useful approach is to pick the one you like and believe it completely.
Currently, the 1-hour volume is about 1.00 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars, with activity still near normal. This means key levels need confirmation through continuity: touching, crossing, and holding are three different things; you can't replace the whole process with a single moment.
Zooming out to the 24-hour range: low at 0.0999, high at 0.1468. The current price of 0.1235's position within this range directly affects the meaning of the same signal. Near the high, strength needs to prove it's not a pump and dump; near the low, a rebound needs to prove it's not a continuation of the downtrend. The range is not a prediction target, just a way to check if the current narrative is hiding any risks.Last week, Bitcoin surged to 87,000 but faced resistance, quickly falling back from the high of 86,600 to stabilize at a low of 80,300. Over the weekend, market indicators completed their repair, rebounding upward to around 84,100. Today, pay close attention to the golden ratio level at 84,200; if the price effectively holds above this level, bullish momentum will further release.
Friends holding long positions that are underwater should still prioritize risk control. When the market rebounds near the cost line, you can reduce your position by half to reserve space for subsequent averaging down to lower your holding cost. Do not blindly add chips before reducing your position.
If the 84,000 level cannot be maintained intraday and the market pulls back again, support is expected in the 82,800–81,800 range. Those without positions can try to build a base long position in this range, with a second averaging down waiting near the 80,000 level; rebound resistance levels are 84,200, 86,500, and 88,000, with long-term targets at 90,000 and 96,000.
For ETH, only by holding above 2,586 can the bulls be confirmed to regain strength. Those without positions can build a base long position in the 2,515–2,475 support range, reserving an averaging down point near 2,400; rebound resistance levels are 2,580, 2,700, and 2,800, with long-term targets at 3,000 and 3,300.
Currently, the market has rebounded above 83,500, with bulls having recovered half of the losses, indicating a gradual warming phase. For those still underwater, hold on!
$ETH $BTC #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 This round of CPI and PPI are the core inflation data recently affecting the Fed's rate hike pricing and are also key dividing lines for risk assets. PPI represents upstream industrial product prices and can predict cost-side transmission pressure; CPI reflects terminal consumer prices, with the market focusing on core CPI, which excludes the more volatile energy and food sectors, and is also the inflation stickiness indicator most valued by the Fed.
Data above expectations means inflation rebound, raising the probability of rate hikes, making the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields likely to rise, and liquidity tightening expectations will suppress high-elasticity assets like the Nasdaq and crypto, putting pressure on BTC and ETH. If data is below expectations, inflation decline is confirmed, the market will lower subsequent rate hike expectations, U.S. Treasury yields will fall, benefiting risk asset rebounds. If data meets expectations, the market will likely first consolidate and digest, making it difficult to form a clear short-term trend.
Recently, rising oil prices have brought imported inflation, increasing the possibility of data exceeding expectations. Funds will watch in advance, and market volatility often quickly expands after data release. In the short term, focus on core CPI sub-items; compared to the overall reading, inflation stickiness is the core factor determining the subsequent interest rate narrative. $BTC $ETH $ZEC Watching the market late at night, all I see is emptiness.
Everyone says to follow the trend, but only those who short know how cold it is to go against human nature.
$MAGIC, short at 0.13769, current price 0.13199.
Unrealized profit +28.5U, +41.39%.
Clearly making money, yet I feel a sudden chill.
The previous position at 0.12572 was almost forcibly liquidated, now I grit my teeth and re-enter at a higher price. Margin 370U, liquidation price far at 0.21. This is not revenge, but trying to reclaim a bit of dignity from the market.
$ETH, short at 2504.41, current price 2543.32.
Unrealized loss -389.1U, -7.76%.
Like someone who once treated you well but you pushed away, now turning back and slapping me hard. Margin 5000U held down, liquidation price 2991. Not in a hurry, but watching it climb makes my heart feel like it’s being slowly dragged down.
$SOL, short at 109.73, current price 111.48.
Unrealized loss -35U, -15.94%.
It ultimately reversed. The candle in the wind yesterday has completely gone out today. Liquidation price 120.06, it doesn’t need to rise much to pull me out of my luck. I’m still holding on, but I don’t know if I’m waiting to break even or to give up.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认
#台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ Has the SOL ETF fourteen-week myth been broken? The screen is full of "SOL ETF is finished" and "institutions have fled."
Last Friday, there was outflow every trading day, totaling $24.8 million, the largest single-week outflow since its launch.
Don't rush to cut losses yet. After seeing the following numbers, you might laugh out loud.
First, this "largest" outflow is somewhat misleading.
The previous outflow record was $8.9 million. $24.8 million is nearly three times that, which sounds scary. But compare it with ETH: in the same week, the ETH ETF outflow was $542 million, with nine consecutive days of bleeding. The SOL outflow is less than a fraction of ETH's. The small base makes it seem "record-breaking."
Second, who is selling? Those who have made profits.
SOL previously surged 41% in one go. If it were you, wouldn't you take some profits? More importantly, two weeks ago, the SOL ETF just attracted a record single-week inflow of $188.2 million. This is profit-taking by those who gained, not a sign of no demand.
Third, the big money hasn't left at all.
The cumulative net inflow is still $1.58 billion, with a net inflow of $816.8 million since the start of the year. Morgan Stanley's MSOL and Invesco's QSOL were still buying against the trend last week. If there were a real retreat, these two would be the first to disappear.
Here's the twist: the outflow isn't just from SOL.
In the same week, the XRP ETF had a net inflow of $11.3 million against the trend, marking 12 consecutive weeks of positive inflows. This shows money hasn't left the market; it's just switching tracks—from "large-cap blue chips" like BTC and ETH to "mid-cap narratives" like XRP and SOL. SOL just lost a small portion this week.
So my judgment is:
The first fourteen weeks were institutions getting to know SOL for the first time, from zero to one, driven by novelty and story. The current outflow is from one to many, driven by pricing and divergence. SOL is transitioning from a "speculative narrative" to an "infrastructure narrative," and this step always requires washing out those who can't hold on.
What really deserves caution is large-scale outflows over several consecutive weeks, when "smart money" like MSOL and QSOL also start turning negative. One week of profit-taking is just normal turnover.
Those shouting "it's over" last week—how many times in these fourteen weeks did they hesitate to buy during the rise? Now that it has dropped for a few days, they are the fastest to run.
Taking profits after a 41% rise is not a bear market; it's rational.
Those afraid of profit-taking will never make money from trends.
$BTC $ETH $SOL First, record the position of $MUBARAK, then discuss the viewpoint: current price 0.06612, about 3.22% away from the 1-hour support at 0.06399, about 26.45% away from the resistance at 0.08361.
$MUBARAK has fallen to this point, and the most common illusion is: the more it falls, the cheaper it must be. The 1-hour and 4-hour are both weak, with RSI at 39 and 28 respectively.
I only keep one confirmation for the upward trend — breaking through 0.08361; and only one condition to negate the upward trend — falling below 0.06399. Other fluctuations are considered noise for now.
If you must choose a verification point first, would you focus on confirming the resistance or the breach of support?
The above is a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.Challenge to break even before the end of October
Recording a current loss of 6900u
Performance recovery methods:
1. Continue holding onto losing positions, like a companion in the desert going out to find water while you wait. At this moment, confidence is more valuable than gold. After the companion returns with water, do not give up easily.
Review compared to yesterday's loss of 2700u, the profitable 200u mafic position was not closed and is deeply trapped.Three Major Market Catalysts This Week: CPI, Middle East Tensions, and the Midterm Elections A new week is underway, and I'm identifying the biggest potential market catalysts before making any moves. 1. Tuesday's CPI Report: The First Major Test The latest Fed minutes showed that many officials still see the possibility of further rate hikes, while the weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls report added another layer of uncertainty. Now, the market is waiting for the next inflation reading. If C$ETH This is really a bit frustrating
The US spot Ethereum ETF has seen net outflows for 9 consecutive trading days, with another $542 million running off last week, marking the worst weekly performance since January this year
This data really looks uncomfortable
But interestingly, ETH actually rebounded about 2% over the weekend, returning to around 2540
So while the ETF side is busy retreating, the futures market is starting to push up again?
My biggest feeling about ETH right now is that the trend is really exhausting:
When it rises, it always feels like it's just short of breath, but when it falls, it does so decisively. After a hard-earned rebound, you have to worry about how many people are still ready to break even above
However, outflows are outflows, but if the market really wants to continue strengthening, you can't stubbornly hold short positions just because of negative news
The market never takes responsibility for taking care of our emotions
#波动雷达：币种异动观察 Day 182 of live trading.
Currently, the market is experiencing a mild pullback rather than a strong attack. The cautious sentiment that had been suppressing the market has somewhat eased, but overall optimism is still lacking.
Geopolitically, the Middle East is stirring again, crude oil remains strong, gold prices are fluctuating at high levels, and external constraints have not been lifted; the depth and support of major cryptocurrencies remain intact, with no systemic risks observed for now.
$BTC is trading around 83,600, with 82,300 as a short-term buffer, and 81,000 as a more critical defense line. As long as 81,000 holds, the larger structural pattern remains intact.
You can keep your base positions; during this consolidation and accumulation phase, don’t get shaken out easily.
$ETH is around 2,500, with support near 2,450. It is relatively weaker than Bitcoin. The ongoing outflow from spot ETFs is suppressing it, but there is a dense liquidation zone for longs near 2,450, providing temporary support.
Don’t rush yet; wait to reclaim and stabilize above 2,500 before talking about strengthening.
$ZEC is around 1,230, with 1,200 as the defense line. Currently, it looks more like a leverage clearing; fundamentals are intact, and there is an upgrade vote and ETF expectations on October 20.
Overall, momentum is still building, and the direction may be revealed by the next candlestick.
Don’t lose your base positions; as long as key levels hold, there’s no need to panic. Add on confirmation signals. Patience will be key going forward; watch for when volume expands.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ The daily chart touched the middle band and then dropped back, stuck at 83530
$BTC reached a high of 84177 today, retreated after touching the Bollinger middle band, current price around 83530, exactly on the key intraday line; daily EMA20 is about 83200, middle band about 83950.
View:
Hold above 83530 / 83200 → can test 83945, 84100 again
Close below 83530 and lose 83200 → first look at 82280, then 81700 if broken
Volume hasn't caught up yet, don't lock in direction before Wednesday's inflation and Thursday's PPI $BTC A halt in attacks on energy sites would matter less as a headline than as a test of verification. Ukraine's stated willingness is conditional on details, while Moscow has not confirmed an agreement and further attacks were reported. With shipping risks also in focus, oil may keep pricing execution over rhetoric.
#RussiaUkraineTruceWatch 🚨 STRK unlocking is approaching! 127 million tokens, do the bears really have a guaranteed win?
Many people’s first reaction when seeing token unlocking is that the price will drop.
But keep in mind: unlocking ≠ immediate sell-off. What truly affects the price are new supply, market expectations, and whether contract funds have positioned in advance.
📊 Before trading, focus on these 3 key points: ① Has the price been weakening continuously before unlocking? ② Is contract open interest increasing, or are funds withdrawing? ③ Is there an abnormal surge in volume as unlocking nears?
⚠️ Don’t just focus on the unlocking amount. The market may have already priced in the negative news, which can also cause reverse fluctuations.
What do you think STRK’s price is more likely to do before and after unlocking?
A. Drop in advance B. Rebound after negative news hits C. Consolidate and shake out
$BTC $STRK $ETH
#加密财库分化：买币还是回购？ #美股探索代币化与全天候交易 $ZEC Bulls Are Stepping Up: Can the Price Rebound Toward $1,400? Brothers, $ZEC bears have been pushing hard for three consecutive days, but they still haven't managed to break the price lower. Now it's time to see whether the bulls can take control and drive the next move toward $1,400. I entered a long position at $1,277.67, while the current price is around $1,276.91. The position is practically flat, so there's no need to panic. Over the past few days, $ZEC has been gradually pulling back$SUI SUI: Is the unlocking fear overtraded?
Yes, but not entirely.
"Unlocking = dumping" is an oversimplified narrative. The real key points are:
Who is unlocking (team/investors/foundation)
Is there lock-up/linear release
Did market makers absorb it
Can ecosystem TVL growth absorb the selling pressure
Today SUI is at 1.10, the market is discounting "new public chain + unlocking" as risk. But if BTC later surges to 90,000 and stablecoin net inflows return, SUI's rebound will be fiercer than AVAX/ADA.
My stance: SUI can be played, but treat it as a "high beta lottery ticket" rather than a "value investment."
Total funds ≤5%
Don't hold long-term waiting for 10x
Try small positions if 1.0 doesn't break
Take profits in batches above 1.25
Today is a neutral market, SUI is sideways accumulating chips for exchange. When the real market comes, it will be stronger than old chains; when the tide recedes, it will also suffer more than old chains. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ $SUI $BTC $ETH $SOL
Today's trend: weak rebound, low quality.
BTC is currently around $83,600, up about 0.8% in 24 hours, ETH is near $2550. But this rally is driven by short covering: $162 million liquidated across the network in the past 24 hours, with short liquidations accounting for 69.5%, indicating a short squeeze rather than buying pressure.
How to play: hold back over the weekend, wait for signals.
· Don't chase the rally: the Fear & Greed Index has risen to 69 (greed), but the prediction market shows a 67% chance of falling below 80,000 in October, indicating a divergence between sentiment and pricing, making chasing risky.
· Watch 83,000 closely: this is the average cost line for ETFs and a short-term dividing line. Only if it holds can the rebound continue; if not, look down to 80,000 or even 77,000.
· Funds do not support it: last week BTC ETFs saw a net outflow of $681 million, institutions are withdrawing, and altcoin pumps are more about existing supply battles.
Liquidity is poor over the weekend, spikes are normal. The real direction will likely be decided by next week's CPI. Acting now has a low cost-performance ratio.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 #台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ Did nothing, just went to the restroom, and when I came back, the K-line had already done the work for me. Last night before sleeping, I saw $BOME's rebound was weak; every surge lacked momentum, no one was there to catch it, and volume didn't follow.
I judged it to be a heavy bull trap, so I signaled to open a short position. From 0.0011219 to 0.0010547, a +119.79% return, nailed it. The wait was worth it, timing was perfect, those on board should be waking up smiling.
Being out of position isn't a sin; opening positions recklessly is the real mistake. The market punishes all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they're the smartest.
First, close 80%, protect the remaining 20% at cost price. If it continues to drop, let the profits run; if it rebounds, don't give the profits back. Take profits when you should, don't be greedy for the last bit.
For friends who haven't gotten on board yet, listen to me: chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for the next move, watch for a new structure to form. There are still opportunities, don't rush, I'll notify you immediately.
$DOGE $ZEC DOGE 0.0867, I'm watching OKX, this number is almost the same as the profit from yesterday, still hovering around 0.086. A few days ago it dropped from 0.104 to 0.088, which made me lose so much I felt numb, then it bounced back to 0.086 just to recover some, now it's stuck here again, neither up nor down, like a lazy dog.
I glanced at the order book, buying and selling between 0.086-0.087 is quite calm, the volume has shrunk a lot compared to that surge, the bulls have fled, leaving only some pretending to be dead and bottom-fishers. Support below is at 0.084-0.085; if it breaks below, I have to seriously consider reducing my position; resistance above is at 0.088-0.09; if it can't break through, it's weak. The current price is stuck in the middle, the most uncomfortable position, afraid to sell for fear of a rebound, afraid to hold for fear of further decline.
$DOGE My plan hasn't changed: keep the rest on trailing take profit, fully exit if it breaks below 0.084, consider buying more if it breaks above 0.088 with volume. This wave of DOGE has no new story, just an oversold rebound plus short covering, not a trend reversal. With floating profits in hand, it's better to take profits than anything else, don't wait for it to rebound and give it back again.$XDP Damn it! This XDP market makes my scalp tingle, it's a pure capital showdown, tightly suppressed above 0.0225, and as soon as the buying stops, it immediately weakens. The candlestick pattern looks like it's been gnawed by a dog, obviously the manipulative whales are shaking out positions, stabbing up and down fiercely.
Don't rush to jump in, this kind of volatile market either yields big profits or suffers big losses. I choose to short high, directly shorting near 0.0225, with a stop loss set above 0.0238; if it breaks, accept it, if not, wait for the waterfall.
If you want to follow, set up an ambush on the lower market card, don't go all in, and set your stop loss properly. This market is really intense, do you think this wave is a shakeout or a trend change?🔥
👇👇👇BTC is currently trading at about $84,000, up 1.23% intraday. However, looking at a longer timeframe, it has dropped 4.1% over the past week, hitting a low of $80,427 during the session, the lowest since early September. The current rebound looks more like a technical correction after an oversell rather than a trend reversal. The technical outlook is weak. The daily MACD has already formed a death cross, with the DIF falling below the signal line, the histogram turning negative to -553, and the 4-hour RSI once dropping to a deeply oversold level of 21.15. The price has broken below the lower Bollinger Band. The daily RSI is at 43.75, neutral to slightly weak, neither oversold nor overbought, indicating the daily chart is still in a recovery phase. The key watershed is at $83,000 — this level overlaps with the average ETF buy-in cost and previous breakout range; failure to hold above it means a weak rebound. Resistance above is at $87,354, support below at $80,000; breaking below that would target $78,000 directly. News is in a tug-of-war. The biggest pressure comes from U.S. Treasuries: the 10-year yield has risen to 5.3%, a new high since 2007, causing funds to flow from Bitcoin to fixed income products. ETFs saw a net outflow of $681 million last week, ending the previous streak of net inflows. The Fed's September minutes were hawkish, with the possibility of more rate hikes this year. But two counter signals are worth noting: funding rates on several major exchanges have turned negative, meaning shorts are paying longs, indicating high crowding; simultaneously, a whale is selling BTC to buy ETH, exchanging 410 BTC for 14,300 ETH.Capital style switching!!!
$XRP stands out alone, with large holders still dominating the bulls
This week, ETF funds show clear differentiation
XRP spot ETF had a net inflow of $11.31 million last week
Becoming the only mainstream coin to receive institutional incremental funds
In contrast, $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL spot ETFs all experienced net outflows
BTC net outflow of $681 million
ETH net outflow of $542 million
SOL net outflow of $24.81 million
Institutional funds are withdrawing from established large-cap coins
Starting small-scale rotation into targets like XRP
Looking at contract large holder position data
BTC large holder accounts long-short ratio is 1.4789
ETH large holder accounts long-short ratio is 2.0102
In both coin large holder groups, the number of long accounts remains higher
Although the proportion of longs has slightly declined compared to 24 hours ago
It is clearly stronger than 7 days ago
At the large holder level, there is no collective bearish exit
On one side, ETF institutional funds continue to flee BTC and ETH
On the other, contract large holders still maintain long positions
Market divergence is fully stretched
Operations of institutions and contract large holders show obvious divergence
Funds are switching back and forth between different sectors
The short-term market volatility pattern is difficult to break quickly
Focus next on whether fund rotation can continue
And whether large holder bulls will further reduce positions Here, going long on $OKB in the mid-term, this month the tokenization of US stocks is also considered an event catalyst.
This position has released the selling pressure from the funds chasing highs in the past few days, so it should be a relatively safe position. NEAR has been really strong lately. Last night, Bitcoin suddenly surged with volume, and as market sentiment picked up, NEAR directly broke through the previous high resistance at 5.62. I really didn’t get in on this wave.
If I had reacted a bit faster and jumped in when it broke 5.62, I would have caught the subsequent gains. Looking back now, it’s quite a pity. Sometimes the market is just like that—hesitate a bit, and the price won’t wait for you.
Currently, NEAR has risen to around 5.83, up 12% in 24 hours, with a high of 5.976, almost touching 6 dollars.
But after such a continuous rise, I’m not keen on chasing it now. The daily and 4-hour charts are still strong, but the 15-minute chart has formed a death cross, indicating short-term momentum is weakening.
Right now, I’m watching two levels: whether it can break through 5.976 with volume, or if there will be buying support around 5.60 on a pullback. Of course, it’s best if it can push through directly. A pullback is normal, but the key is not to rush in just because it’s been rising sharply.
I missed this move last night, so I’ll just wait for the next opportunity.
$NEAR
#首只NEAR现货ETF在美国上市
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 On the surface, everyone is waiting for the CPI, but the contract market has already quietly shifted its stance - at 5K here, is this really a recovery starting point, or just a false calm before the next round of squeeze? BTC is currently stuck around 83.5K, looking like a boring sideways move, but after checking a round of derivatives data, something feels off. The price hasn't moved much, open interest hasn't dropped, and the funding rate has cooled from being overheated back to near neutral. This combination usually doesn't mean "nothing's happening," but rather that both longs and shorts are adding positions, and no one wants to admit defeat first. First, let's talk about where the surface excitement is. Community sentiment is clearly being driven by Wednesday's US CPI, with many treating it like a direction button, as if the data release alone can decide the market side. But what the market really trades on is often not the data itself, but who is forced to liquidate before the data. The first resistance above is at 84.2K, and the truly meaningful recovery zone is between 85.7K and 86K, where many short-term shorts have their stop losses stacked. On the downside, if 82.2K is lost, then 81.5K and 80K become consecutive liquidation zones, with slippage potentially harsher than expected. From the derivatives perspective, the bullish logic is actually not weak. The cooling funding rate means some overheated leverage has been washed out, but open interest remains, indicating chips haven't dispersed. As long as the CPI doesn't explode, 84.2K will be reclaimed, and short covering will push the price quickly toward 85.7K. ETH and major altcoins will likely bounce along, and risk appetite will briefly recover. This is a typical squeeze path: fast, sharp, and giving no time to react. But the fragile point is also clear. High open interest combined with neutral funding essentially means heavy leverage on both sides, so triggering either side will amplify volatility. AsL "Uptober" turned into "Rekttober": ETF funds are quietly sabotaging
Where is the promised "Uptober"? The data contradicts expectations faster than imagined.
In the first week of October, Bitcoin spot ETFs reversed from a net inflow of $241.1 million to a net outflow of $678.9 million, a weekly reversal exceeding $900 million. Ethereum ETFs fared worse, with net outflows for 9 consecutive trading days, totaling $542.1 million for the week, the worst since January. Solana ETFs also ended a 14-week streak of inflows, with a weekly net outflow of $24.8 million.
Why is this noteworthy? Price drops are not surprising, but the real issue is the money leaving while BTC still holds at 83,000. Glassnode data shows that in the past 30 days, BTC's realized market cap increased by $12.8 billion, but actual new money was only about $4.9 billion. The remaining $7.9 billion is basically old money circulating at high levels within the market, not new money entering. ETF outflows are just an external symptom of this structure.
Currently, the "stock game" hypothesis is more supported. Selling pressure comes from leverage and short-term chips, not a collective surrender by spot holders.
What to watch next? The FOMC on October 27-28, and whether ETF outflows continue to expand this week. If BTC holds 82,000 and ETF outflows slow down, it looks more like leverage clearing; if even ETFs accelerate fleeing, the story changes.
The "Uptober" script has been torn up, and no one knows who will write the next page yet.U.S. Treasury 5.3%: The "culprit" draining crypto ETFs, or still the last golden opportunity?
Last week, a Solana ETF that had only seen inflows for 14 consecutive weeks experienced its first outflow.
Not just that. The Ethereum ETF saw nine consecutive days of withdrawals, with $540 million flowing out in one week—the worst week since January this year. The Bitcoin ETF also ended three weeks of net inflows, shedding $680 million. Together, the three accounted for about $1.25 billion withdrawn in one week.
Many people's first reaction: Are institutions bearish on crypto?
My view is that institutions are not bearish on crypto; rather, a bigger factor is pulling their money away.
That factor is the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, hovering around 5.3%, a multi-year high.
The Federal Reserve raised rates for the first time since 2023 on September 23, with Powell stating "inflation is too high and has lasted too long." Yields surged, reaching 5.34% in early October. This means institutions can do nothing and just lend money to the U.S. government, earning a steady 5%+ annually.
If you were a fund manager, would you risk a 50% loss betting on a coin that generates no cash flow?
I call this "interest rate gravity." 5.3% is the gravitational pull; all non-interest-bearing assets—including crypto, gold, and growth stocks—are being dragged down. BTC fell from a high of 126,000 to a low of 63,000 in July, now rebounding near 84,000. ETF outflows aren’t about bearish sentiment; it’s gravity at work.
But let me pour some cold water: don’t blame U.S. Treasuries entirely. Data shows BTC has still risen 84% since early 2024, even during high interest rates. Interest rates are gravity, but not the only force; macro factors like oil prices, conflicts, and your own leverage also matter.
So, is this a golden opportunity?
First, bad news is already priced in. From the peak, BTC has dropped about one-third. During the 2022 rate hike cycle, it fell over 70%. Compared to last time, this is moderate.
Second, the market is already betting on the "end of rate hikes." According to my data, the chance of another hike in October is just over 10%, while December exceeds 60%. Smart money bets the toughest hike is almost over.
Third, the turning point depends on one signal: yields reversing. In early October, yields dropped from 5.34% to 5.25%, and BTC immediately bounced back to 84,000. See, crypto prices don’t watch your candlesticks; they watch the bond curve.
So what to do?
If you hold spot, don’t panic sell; most of the bad news is already out.
If you haven’t entered yet, don’t rush to bottom-fish full position. The most expensive thing about catching a falling knife isn’t the knife itself, but thinking it has landed. Wait for a clear drop in U.S. Treasury yields before acting. Missing a peak is better than losing peace of mind.
U.S. Treasury 5.3% is currently the biggest "gravitational pull" in the crypto market. The day this gravity disappears will be the start of capital inflows.
$BTC $ETH $SOL #sui Foundation invests $30 million in datanetwork
[Old Leek Observation] $SUI drops $30 million! DATA Network doesn't even want its own chain anymore?
The Sui Foundation announced today an investment of $30 million in the AI training data protocol DATA Network. The cooperation is not just a financial stake but a deeper ecological integration: DATA Network will migrate to Sui, and the original independent blockchain plan will be retired.
🔥 First, Sui aims to capture not only users but also AI infrastructure.
Trace, under DATA Network, is responsible for recording the source, contribution records, and usage authorization of AI training data, enabling AI companies to track where data comes from, whether it is authorized for use, and how contributors are compensated. According to data released by the project team, Trace has registered over 250 million contribution records and processes over 3 million receipts daily.
🔗 Second, DATA abandons its independent chain and shifts to the Sui ecosystem.
After migration, DATA Network will run natively as a protocol on Sui, and Walrus will become the default data storage layer for related applications. For Sui, this means introducing a set of infrastructure aimed at AI training data; for DATA, it means reducing the burden of independently maintaining a blockchain.Trump announced that the Russia-Ukraine "energy ceasefire" takes effect immediately, and both sides have agreed — the news immediately attracted attention, but the reactions from both sides are not symmetrical, and the progress remains highly uncertain.
Zelensky's side expressed a relatively positive and conditional stance: he said the news was new to him, but as long as Russia truly stops attacking Ukraine's energy systems such as electricity, heating, and water supply, Ukraine is willing to stop strikes on Russian oil refining and diesel facilities, emphasizing that this is a "fair deal." Ukraine is also waiting for Washington to provide the start time and specific arrangements for the ceasefire. The Russian side remains silent, and the Kremlin has not yet confirmed.
In mid-September, Trump also announced a similar arrangement, but both sides continued to strike each other afterward, and the agreement did not materialize. Before this announcement, the US and Russia had just reached a phased arrangement regarding Russia's supply of diesel to the US and global markets, with diesel prices and sanctions adjustments as important background. Analysts point out that if the energy ceasefire can be truly implemented, it will help alleviate Ukraine's winter energy pressure and reduce the impact on the global fuel market; however, the trust foundation between the two sides is weak, and the lack of a monitoring mechanism means previous multiple local ceasefire attempts have not lasted.
Whether the Russian side truly accepts reciprocal arrangements and whether the agreement can be transformed from a statement into verifiable action remain to be seen. With winter approaching, targeting energy has always been an important means of pressure for both sides. Any "ceasefire" requires observable implementation and third-party supervision to be more credible. Progress is to be confirmed, and it is premature to characterize this as a substantive breakthrough. Continued observation of the subsequent actual actions and official statements from both sides is necessary. #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 The biggest problem with Bitcoin is the lack of global liquidity.
He held above 80,000 for three months.
He never got the direction wrong once, with a 70% win rate.
But the account just didn’t move.
Three months ago he told me:
When liquidity returns, a breakout is inevitable.
The logic is sound. He kept saying this, so he didn’t sell.
His strategy translated into plain language:
If it drops, I hold; if it rises, I don’t leave; waiting for the moment when everyone comes back.
But in these three months, what’s really moving back isn’t the price, it’s the money.
New buyers can’t take over, old money is withdrawing.
The price can still hang on,
because some refuse to admit losses, not because anyone is eager to buy.
Later I told him one thing:
You’re not waiting for a breakout, you’re waiting for others to buy for you.
Now he has closed his position. Getting the direction right doesn’t mean you know how to trade.
Knowing the direction and still being able to exit alive when no one is taking over—that’s what trading really means.On October 11, Trump suddenly announced on Truth Social that the Russia-Ukraine war immediately entered an "energy ceasefire" status, with both sides agreeing and warning "not to sabotage". This is another high-profile statement following a similar declaration in mid-September.
The so-called "energy ceasefire" mainly refers to both sides stopping attacks on each other's energy-related facilities, including refineries, power plants, electricity and heating systems, etc.
Ukrainian President Zelensky responded that this news was also new to him but clearly stated: if Russia agrees to stop striking Ukraine's energy and critical infrastructure, Ukraine is willing to simultaneously stop attacks on Russian diesel facilities and refineries. He emphasized, "We are ready and will accept," while communicating with NATO Secretary General, the Canadian Prime Minister, and others, awaiting specific details from the U.S.
The Kremlin has not yet officially confirmed this. Previously in September, Trump also announced that both sides agreed not to target each other's energy facilities, but subsequent related strikes occurred, and the agreement did not truly take effect. Around this announcement, the U.S. also promoted arrangements for Russia to supply diesel to the global market in phases, linking with the energy ceasefire topic.
The specific scope, supervision mechanisms, and effective timeline of the agreement have not been disclosed. Whether both sides have truly reached consensus and can sustain implementation remains to be seen. With winter approaching, the security of energy facilities is crucial for the livelihood of Ukrainians and Russian exports. Any substantive progress could directly impact the war situation and the international energy market. Continued attention to official follow-up statements is warranted.#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 $NG NG has dropped, but the decline is very small. This doesn't need much concern; natural gas currently follows a seasonal trend (heating demand in winter), which is different from the logic of crude oil! Let's give it a chance to pull back a bit.Many many many many people ask what this tool is
To answer again uniformly:
This is a tool I created myself by writing down the indicators and trading logic I usually use to watch projects and had the tech team build it for me. It belongs to me and is not open to the public, but a few trader friends asked, so I opened it up a bit. Here's a summary of its functions:
Secondary level
1. Observation and judgment of selected coins: Because if the system automatically pushes, there will be many many many coins every day that are impossible to keep up with, so I made a selection feature. For coins of interest, you can see recent changes in open interest (oi), volume, fees, on-chain positions, borrowing rates, social media heat, news, etc., then combine some fixed indicators to judge whether the bias is bullish or bearish.
2. Trading opportunities: It filters and pushes some coins worth attention based on the relationship between oi and fdv, fees, borrowing rates, oi positions, and so on.
3. Project memo: It records some coin operation methods and stages for later analysis and reference.
Currently, there is no automated trading yet; precision is still being adjusted. Also, this tool relies heavily on my subjective logical judgments, so its assessments differ significantly from other platforms. At present, my accuracy rate is still quite high.
Primary level
The primary level mainly involves creating corresponding monitoring tools as soon as new things come out. Usually, it collects some addresses of whales and performs position correlation analysis on some addresses, monitoring their actions to provide signals.🚨 Behind BTC, ETH, and SOL, there are three completely different selling pressure logics! What truly affects the market may not be just the candlestick chart.
Many people focus on price fluctuations but overlook a key question: Who exactly is selling the coins in the market? And why must they sell?
When BTC is consolidating sideways, miners, ETH stakers, and SOL validators face distinctly different income structures and risks.
⛏️ $BTC｜After the halving, how much survival pressure do miners face?
Halving reduces block rewards. If transaction fees cannot make up for the income gap, some miners must recalculate their costs. Electricity bills, equipment maintenance, and debt payments may force miners with tight cash flow to sell BTC.
But note, miners selling coins does not necessarily mean bearish sentiment. Sometimes, they are just covering operating costs. What’s truly worth observing is miners’ profitability, capital reserves, and changes in on-chain transfers to exchanges.
🔒 $ETH｜Does stable staking yield mean no selling pressure?
Staking earns protocol rewards, but yield does not equal actual profit, nor does it guarantee breaking even when the coin price falls.
ETH staking does affect circulating supply, but unstaking does not mean all tokens will be sold immediately. What really needs attention are the staking exit queue, net staking changes, and fund flows to exchanges.
Lock-up can change the timing of selling but cannot eliminate the possibility of selling.
⚡ $SOL｜Why do validator incomes depend more on ecosystem activity?
SOL validators$BWET crude oil is being transported via a detour.
Because the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, all crude oil has to go around the Cape of Good Hope, adding 10-15 days to the voyage, naturally causing freight costs to skyrocket. The higher the freight, the more severe the geopolitical blockade, which indirectly confirms that Iran will definitely not yield in the short term.
Let's wait and see.📌 Bitcoin's Control: Responding to Institutional Fund Flows and Macro Headwinds
- BTC is trading around $83,600, experiencing a weak rebound, pressured by heavy weekly consolidation and liquidation shocks below $81,000.
- Declining macro risk appetite and outflows from spot ETFs (approximately $1 billion monthly combined outflow for BTC/ETH) are the main institutional drag factors.
- Market divergence is evident: large-cap coins (ETH, SOL) reflect BTC weakness, while some mid-cap coins (FIL, ICP, NEAR) rise on isolated momentum.
🎯 Actionable Insights:
- Closely monitor the $81,000 support level; if BTC breaks below $81,000 amid continued ETF outflows, immediately reduce high-beta spot exposure and lower leverage.
- Avoid broad market long leverage; selectively trade relatively strong momentum coins (such as NEAR, FIL) and use tight trailing stops.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Information is based on article data analysis for reference only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any decisions. After trading for a long time, I realized that the hardest thing to change is not misreading the market, but not being able to control my own hands.
I want to take profits as soon as I earn a little, but when losing, I always think about waiting a bit longer, and end up giving back the profits little by little.
Although $NEAR has been overall profitable this past month, this trading habit definitely needs to change. Moving forward, rather than chasing bigger gains, I want to first learn to hold onto the profits I should keep and decisively handle the trades that need to be stopped out.
The market is there every day; mindset and discipline are the keys to long-term trading.
Do you experience this too when trading? Can't hold onto profits, but losses just keep dragging on? 👀
$NEAR #CryptoTradingETH touched 2500, I'll be honest — this is the critical line between bulls and bears.
On one side, ETFs have had a net outflow of $542 million over 9 consecutive days, with BlackRock alone pulling out $477 million, marking the worst record this year; on the other side, a whale secretly bought 166,000 ETH in 72 hours, worth over $400 million. Institutions are withdrawing, whales are accumulating.
The bulls hold strong cards: Glamsterdam upgrade activated on the Sepolia testnet on October 6, ePBS implemented, Gas limit pushed towards 200 million, staking rate up to 35%, supply continuously locked. The bears are not weak either: price dropped from 2779 to 2406, 2500 was tested four times in the past two weeks, each time getting pushed back; BitMine holds 6.016 million ETH, just 100,000 short of the 5% holding cap, the largest buyer is about to exit.
Only a firm hold above 2587 confirms the end of the decline; losing 2500 will directly test the 2445 liquidation zone. The October 14 CPI is the next catalyst. I'm holding my spot without moving, no chasing highs at all. $ETHHow long can this rebound in the US stock market last?
After digesting the negative news, capital is flowing back into heavyweights like $NVDA and $MSFT, but the real test is just beginning.
From a macro perspective, the US September CPI is about to be released. The market is betting on no rate hike in October, but Middle East geopolitical conflicts are disturbing oil prices, and the risk of secondary inflation may force the Fed to turn hawkish.
From a micro perspective, the Q3 earnings season is kicking off.
▶️ Financial giants
JPMorgan $JPM and Goldman Sachs $GS are reporting, testing the resilience of the economy and credit.
▶️ Chip bellwethers
ASML $ASML and TSMC $TSM are on stage. The focus is on ASML's EUV order volume and TSMC's outlook on CoWoS capacity and real AI demand.
While everyone looks at the earnings numbers, I see AI shifting from capital expenditure frenzy to ROI validation. In the first two quarters, as long as money was poured into AI, stock prices rose. Now the market wants to see real returns. If chip giants' guidance falls short of expectations, tech stocks will face valuation compression.
This week is likely to see high-level volatility. If TSMC's guidance exceeds expectations and CPI cools down, tech stocks will start a new round of rally. Conversely, a surge in oil prices combined with weak guidance will make a pullback inevitable. Do you have confidence in this semiconductor guidance?
$NVDA $MSFT $TSM
#台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ How much more can $NEAR rise?
NEAR has increased by one and a half times in a month, and the comment section is full of calculations on how much more it can go up. But if you break down this bullish candle, the rise is actually blood forced out of the shorts, not new money actively building a base position.
In the past 24 hours, it pulled from 5.2 to 5.9, with trading volume hitting 1 billion. It looks fierce, but breaking down the volume shows that the latter part was shorts being squeezed out — the entire network had 115 million liquidations that day, with shorts accounting for 66%, and NEAR itself had over 6 million shorts trapped. This kind of rise is called a short squeeze, not accumulation. Once the short squeeze stops, the price lacks that spark.
The structure has also peaked. The hourly RSI hit 78, the daily chart is overbought, perpetual contracts hold over 1.3 billion, and funding rates have turned positive, with longs fully leveraged at the top. The resistance from 5.92 to 6.0 is the intraday previous high, and from 6.2 to 6.5 is all the profit-taking accumulated from this round of rising from the 2-dollar range. To push higher, real money must hold this stack, not rely on short covering.
Supporting the narrative are Intents buybacks and Bitwise's ETF, but the ETF has only accumulated over 70 million, accounting for 1% of market cap, and on-chain buybacks monthly convert to just over 10 million — a drop in the bucket compared to the daily 1 billion volume. The rise is driven by the story, not by money taking the baton.
So the question "how much more can it rise" does not have the answer on the bulls' side. If it can't break through 5.92, this bullish candle pulled up by short covering will turn into bulls stepping on each other. Shorts are waiting for that moment when RSI turns down from overbought and positions start to decrease.APT Unlock Landing: First surged to 0.9655, then the unlock dumped it down to 0.8376, but it was bought back to 0.9, money is voting with its feet to verify support.
Yesterday's message said "Watch for volume to hold above 0.9, still a bullish realization with a pullback to 0.89," and today's answer basically came out: The four-year unlock ended today, the market first surged to 0.9655, then chips were truly dumped, once dropping to 0.8376, but did not break the level, then buyers stepped in to bring it back to 0.9010 — meaning the 0.89-0.90 support zone was truly tested with real money.
Market view: Current price 0.9010, basically flat in 24h, daily high-low range 0.83 to 0.97, trading volume 5.46 million USDT; technically RSI corrected from yesterday's overbought 75 to 50.7, price returned to the Bollinger middle band, MACD just turned up below zero line, sentiment and position cleaner than yesterday.
Logic hasn't worsened: After the four-year unlock ended, monthly releases cut by 60% down to 4.54 million tokens, staking annualized yield lowered, 2.1 billion hard cap, 210 million locked, inflation expectation is downward; today's surge, pullback, and rebound indicate the reduced supply expectation remains, just short-term profit-taking and unlock chips are rotating.
Next to watch: 0.8906 to 0.8953 is the support zone, 0.9416 is resistance; buy orders occupy 76% of the order book, but 5.46 million USDT volume isn't thick, avoid heavy positions. DYOR, not investment advice.
#APT #Aptos #Layer1Just pulled the latest contract positions of Brother Maji from the chain, and after reading it, I can only sigh that the courage behind these positions is really huge.
On BTC, he opened a 40x short with 243 BTC contracts, currently floating profit nearly $260,000, and the funding fee can still bring in over $50,000. As long as BTC doesn't suddenly surge, this position is like a stable cash machine.
ETH is a 25x long with over 8,700 ETH trapped inside, currently floating a loss of more than $400,000, and still paying continuous funding fees. The entry price was 2546; although there is still some distance from the liquidation price, the losses are slowly expanding.
The most intense is HYPE, a 5x short with 230,000 contracts, floating loss directly at $4.86 million. Fortunately, shorts are clustered, and the funding fee is reversed, bringing in $1.02 million, meaning the shorts in the market pay him rent daily. Entry price 63.9, liquidation price 106.6.
In short, his strategy is to earn on one side and lose on the other. The profits from the BTC short are used to cover losses from the ETH long and HYPE short, using profitable positions to subsidize trapped ones.
However, high-leverage hedging is not as stable as imagined. Once the market moves into an extreme one-sided trend, one side makes huge profits while the other faces cascading liquidations, and the risk instantly magnifies.
Many are discussing whether Brother Maji’s heavy positions can hold until the end. Just observe the whale’s positions; ordinary people must not copy this. This kind of strategy has a very low tolerance for errors.The account is experiencing extreme highs and lows again, with $ETH desperately printing money upfront, $DOGE bleeding heavily behind the scenes, and $LAB joining the chaos, dragging the whole portfolio straight into the ditch.
$ETH ETH
Opened at 2714.59, current price 2491.23.
Full position 20X, unrealized profit +118U, ROI +179%.
This time, ETH finally showed some toughness, plummeting all the way down but holding the account up alone. Still holding, targeting 2400, just don’t mess up.
$DOGE DOGE (a pure bloodsucker)
Opened at 0.08272, current price 0.084647.
Full position 20X, unrealized loss -393U, ROI -45%.
This one is totally disrespectful, pushing up against the trend, eating up all the profits made by ETH and then some. The position is heavy, margin is tight; if it keeps jumping around, I’ll decisively cut losses and admit defeat, no stubborn holding.
$LAB LAB (the unlucky newbie)
Opened at 0.05375, current price 0.0538682.
Isolated margin 10X, unrealized loss -14U, ROI -3.34%.
A small new short position, got pushed right after entry, currently taking hits. Fortunately, it’s isolated margin, so losses are limited. Holding for now to observe; if it doesn’t work out, will exit.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认
#台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ Fifteen-minute weak divergence, one-hour MACD underwater, is this how you convince yourself to be bearish? Those trapped short sellers probably think the same. But why don't you look at the four-hour chart? You can enter long positions around 83200 and 2520. Asymmetric odds, extremely high risk-reward ratio