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$SNDK is showing a fairly typical trend again
On Monday, the US stock market continued to fluctuate and weaken before the open, but this pre-market weakness does not necessarily mean the decline will continue after the open. What really needs attention is the direction choice and amplified volatility after the US market opens 💥
Additionally, Micron's earnings report is about to be released. As an important company in the storage sector, Micron and SanDisk have strong sector linkage. Recently, tech earnings have generally performed well, and the market is relatively optimistic about the storage industry's prosperity and earnings expectations 👊
Therefore, before the earnings release, it is possible that funds will trade in advance based on expectations, driving a rally in the storage sector.
From the position perspective, after previous adjustments, SanDisk is currently at a relatively low short-term level. If the pre-market weakness can be quickly recovered after the open, and trading volume expands simultaneously, then the subsequent focus can be on long rebound opportunities 🎯
Yan Yan's current thinking: inclined to look for long opportunities after a pullback and stabilization, but it must be combined with volume and price performance after the open. Blindly chasing just because the position is low is not recommended 👊#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 $TAO is not at a bottom-fishing point now; it is at an observation point. Here's the conclusion first: short-term bias is bearish, but it has entered a left-side range suitable for positioning, wait for confirmation before taking action.
Here's a reusable method—use moving average alignment to judge if the trend is healthy. In a healthy uptrend, MA5 should be above MA20 and both should be moving upward synchronously; currently, TAO's MA5=302.82 is below MA20=314.095, the moving averages show a bearish alignment, indicating the mid-term trend has weakened, and a rebound near MA5 will face resistance.
Looking at auxiliary indicators: RSI=40.6, in a weak zone but not oversold yet, with room to dip further; MACD histogram=-1.069, bearish momentum is still releasing, no sign of volume contraction or turning; Bollinger Band lower band at 294.696 is the nearest structural support. Funding rate +0.0050%, longs are still paying to hold positions, indicating bottom-fishing sentiment hasn't cleared, which is a short-term bearish signal—longs not dead, downtrend continues.
Therefore, the strategy is to wait for price to pull back to the Bollinger lower band 294–298 range to lightly try going long. This position is also close to the lower edge of the 30-candle amplitude of 12.91%, offering good cost performance. Take profit 1 is at 306 (near current price and MA5, first resistance), take profit 2 at 314 (MA20, trend reversal confirmation). Stop loss set at 288; breaking below the Bollinger lower band and moving far from MA5 indicates accelerating bears, must exit. The Fear & Greed Index at 74 is still in greed territory, sentiment hasn't cooled, so position size should be restrained. Main focus $BTC | Strategy shorting,
The box is shattered everywhere, plenty of short positions
Initial operation: $BTC is now $83,200, down 1.4% in 24 hours, hovering just above the iron bottom of $82,832 on 9/24, trembling slightly, the direction is still short, but the rhythm has changed. If you haven't entered yet, don't chase at the iron bottom door, wait for a rebound to $84,200-$84,500 (breakout pullback level + current pressure line) to place shorts, stop loss at $85,300, target $82,900 then watch $82,000, 10x leverage.
The three highs at $87,247, $85,224, and $85,146 are getting lower each time, and in the early morning $BTC smashed through the narrow box below $84,000. Let me ask, are you still chasing ETFs? It replied "not dating girls," which sounds like a denial, but actually guarantees nothing, think about it carefully.
US stocks popped champagne, crypto circle turned off the lights to eat noodles
US stocks rose decently last Friday: Dow +0.93% closed at 51,828 ending a three-day losing streak, Nasdaq +0.48% closed at 27,068, up over 2% for the week, Apple’s market cap approached the $5 trillion mark. Hang Seng ADR followed with a sip, +0.34%. But the crypto circle doesn’t buy it, after US stocks rise, $BTC still has to fall. BTC is now around 83K, down more than 1.69% in 24h.
But there's a detail that's quite different this round:
Futures OI has dropped to about 652,000 BTC, close to the year's low; perpetual funding rates have also turned negative.
The price is falling, but leveraged positions are withdrawing.
So this isn't the kind of market where "the more it falls, the more people add positions, leading to a final concentrated liquidation." It now feels more like sentiment is cooling first, and the funds willing to stay in the market are biased bearish.
The weakness is real, but positions have already been significantly lightened.
At times like this, if I see big volatility again, I'll be more cautious about shorts getting squeezed than I was a few days ago.
$BTC Settlement peak recedes, SOL steals the spotlight
About $16 billion in options contracts settled, releasing nearly 30% of BTC and about 40% of ETH positions, marking the most concentrated "decompression" in the derivatives market this cycle. After the selling pressure subsided, BTC slightly rose on low volume near 84,500, with the biggest pain points at 75,000–79,000 now below the current price, significantly reducing downside pressure from hedging; dense GEX chips around 84,000 keep the price running at the edge, and low volatility often signals an imminent directional choice.
ETH holds at 2,690, RSI at 58, biggest pain point around 2,380, with a bearish/bullish ratio of 0.67, maintaining a bullish bias. In contrast, SOL has become the focus of capital: US spot ETF net inflow for the week is about $188 million, the second highest in history, with cumulative inflows exceeding $1.6 billion; price consolidates near 121, making it the strongest performer among major coins.
Options settlement cleared short-term position obstacles, temporarily freeing BTC and ETH, while SOL independently strengthened fueled by ETF capital. The next phase will be determined by macro data and ETF capital flows to dictate market rotation rhythm.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高
#财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件 Let's take a look at the XRP section. First, the key point for this round: basically no major fluctuations, so let's follow the operation method we previously shared with everyone. Make sure to set your take profit and stop loss properly. The current price is about 1.491, down approximately 1.7% in 24 hours. According to OKX, the 24-hour high is around 1.546, the low around 1.470, fluctuating around 1.5 throughout the day. The operation advice remains unchanged: for prices between now and 1.7, you can gradually add short positions, with a stop loss at 1.7 and take profit depending on personal preference. The key to adding shorts is "gradually." Don't fill your position all at once at the same price. You can place a small portion at the current price, then add more when it rebounds to the selling pressure zone above. The closer to 1.7, the more you should control your total position. This way, even if it gets pulled up in the middle, your average cost looks better, and the stop loss at 1.7 is still within plan. Also remember, XRP has more news coverage, and occasionally there will be sudden spikes triggered by news, so the stop loss must be set on the exchange, not just kept in mind. Manage your position well and don't get emotional. Technically, let's look at the 4-hour chart. Last week, XRP surged to around 1.66, marked as a weak high point on the chart, then was pushed down; it rebounded to around 1.62 but couldn't break through, forming a lower high, then continued downward. The current price is just below the selling pressure zone between 1.50 and 1.55, and rebounds are suppressed by this area. Looking further down, around 1.466 there is a strong...【On-Chain Trading Update｜xyz:COIN】
Monitored address 0xcb02 opened a short position:
▪ Execution price: $195.24
▪ Transaction amount this time: $39,220.01
Note: This address has earned over $101,000 in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +6.17% Two hours before the US stock market opens, OKX just launched the CRDO perpetual contract, connecting the AI high-speed interconnect chip to the market.
Before the US stock market opens at 21:30 tonight, I found the newly listed CRDOUSD perpetual contract in the OKX futures market, where you can directly trade this AI interconnect chip asset using USDT. I just checked the order book; although Nasdaq hasn't opened yet, there are already multiple buy and sell limit orders placed inside the market.
This afternoon, I reviewed the September 22 batch of US stock X-Perp announcements. CRDOUSD officially opened at 17:15, with up to 20x leverage, and is settled entirely in USDT. Friends who trade US stocks should be familiar with Credo; many of the AEC active copper cables used in Nvidia servers are from their company, and the underlying stock often experiences intraday volatility exceeding 8%. The contract charges fees every 8 hours, but if the long or short market drives the fee rate to the maximum, the system will automatically switch to charging fees every hour.
On the broader market side, Bitcoin spot is trading around $83,017.9, down 2.25% in 24 hours, with a fear and greed index of 74 (greed). OKX perpetual total open interest stands at $7.815 billion, and BTC's fee rate at 0.0040% is relatively neutral. Although US stock X-Perp allows opening and closing positions within 24 hours, during the few minutes around Nasdaq's 21:30 open, the US stock auction gap often causes sharp spreads between on- and off-exchange prices.META closed around 751.66 on Friday, down about 3.3% in a single day, but in September it surged from about 558 to a high of around 779.82, rising over 30% in one month.
I think the main theme is clear: after Muse launched, downloads exceeded about 3.4 million, and Jefferies still maintains a Buy rating today with a target price of 875.
But don’t just look at the gains — the full-year CapEx outlook is about $130 to $145 billion, so cash flow pressure remains. The pullback from near the 52-week high of about 779 to 751 on Friday shows the market is rotating.
With non-farm payrolls and PCE data approaching this week, and US-Iran news also disturbing risk appetite, chasing highs in the short term isn’t very cost-effective.
I’ll first watch if it can hold around 751 and if volume can shrink, rather than rushing to get in.
Do you think this is a buying opportunity on the pullback, or should we wait given #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件 $META $GOOGL $NFLX since September’s rise was too steep?btc is currently stabilizing again around 82850, starting an hourly rebound.
But I still have concerns about this position, because only when accompanied by eth dropping to 1566 for a pullback confirmation can a new round of market movement start simultaneously,
Otherwise, it will just be a 4-hour level rebound and continued oscillation downward.Nonfarm + PCE double whammy week, is BTC about to reverse? First, understand these three questions
This week is packed with macro data, and my inbox is flooded with questions about BTC's direction. No beating around the bush, let's break it down.
1. Why are these two data points so critical?
Nonfarm looks at employment, PCE looks at inflation; one gauges "economic heat," the other gauges "price stability." Whether the Fed hikes rates in October depends on whether these two "health reports" pass muster. The market currently prices a 70% chance of a rate hike, but ADP employment has already shown weakness, and any deviation from expectations could trigger market moves.
2. How do the data affect BTC?
· Nonfarm: Expected new jobs 58,000, unemployment rate 4.1%. Below expectations → rate hike cools down → BTC catches a breather; unexpectedly strong → USD strengthens → BTC takes a hit.
· PCE: Core expected at 3.3%, oil prices still holding above 100, so a big drop in inflation is tough. Hotter → rate hike probability rises → risk assets under pressure; cooler → easing.
3. Where is BTC now?
Lingering around 84,000, resistance above at 85,000-86,500, support below at 83,000-83,500. Heavy bets on direction before data release are just setting yourself up for a trap.
One piece of advice for trading:
Wait 15 minutes after the data release for a stabilization signal before making a move; don’t argue with the referee.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 $BTC + $ETH + $SOL THE BOUNCE IS HERE, BUT CAN IT HOLD?
$BTC $83,017 → break $83,200 → $83,650
$ETH $2,664 → break $2,666 → $2,680
$SOL $118.65 → reclaim $119.20 → $120.79
All three are bouncing from key support and reclaiming short-term MAs.
BTC: hold $82,800
ETH: hold $2,650
SOL: hold $118.34
PCE + jobs data could bring volatility this week.
Watch the breakout. Watch the volume. No FOMO.
#PCEAndPayrollsWeek #MicronEarningsAhead #HormuzTermsInFocus
@OKX成长学院 SNDK did something very decisive pre-market, directly dropping to 1713.
Thursday opened at 1785, highest 1803, lowest 1726, closed at 1754, volume 8.11 million. Friday opened at 1792, highest 1815, lowest 1743, closed at 1778, up 1.4%, volume 7.2 million. Pre-market around 1713, down 3.7%.
The range 1713–1778 above is still resistance, further up 1815, 1909 are even heavier. Below, first watch 1713, if broken easily look at 1726 which is Thursday's low.
Don't chase pre-market in the short term. If you already hold, watch if 1713 support holds; if not, reduce a bit. Wait for today's opening with volume to see if 1778 can hold. $SNDK Bulls say: The double bottom support at 82561 is effective, the 83000 resistance will be repeatedly tested and must be broken, bullish.
Bears say: 24h down 2.26%, trend is bearish, 83000 is the ceiling, any rebound is a shorting opportunity.
I don't trust anyone, only the price. BTC is now at 82971, just watch which breaks first, 83000 or 82561. If 83000 breaks, I go long with 5000U and stop loss at 82700; if 82561 breaks, I go short with 5000U and stop loss at 82800.
After losing 200,000U, I realized that bulls or bears don't matter, what matters is how much you lose when you're wrong. Never hold a position without a stop loss, that is the way to survive. $BTC #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 Let's take a look at Dogecoin. First, the key point for this round: overall, there hasn't been much significant fluctuation. We'll proceed according to the operation method we previously shared with everyone—make sure to set your take profit and stop loss properly. The current price is about 0.0931, down roughly 3.9% in 24 hours, the biggest drop among these coins today. According to OKX, the 24-hour high was around 0.0989 and the low around 0.0921. Regarding operation suggestions, the view remains unchanged, following the same routine: you can short near 0.1, add to your position at 0.1, set stop loss at 0.12, and take profit depends on personal preference. Dogecoin is now even further from 0.1, so the planned short position hasn't been reached yet. The most common mistake at this point is seeing it drop the most and impulsively shorting at the bottom. I don't recommend that. Shorting at 0.093 with a stop loss still at 0.12 results in a poor risk-reward ratio. The correct approach is to pre-place your order near 0.1 and execute when the price hits it; enter according to plan, control your position size, and set the stop loss at 0.12 simultaneously. Dogecoin is an emotional coin, with volatility naturally greater than Bitcoin; a single spike can cause several percentage points difference, so your position size must be smaller than for other coins. Smaller positions mean you can hold on; having stop loss set means you can sleep well. Don't get carried away. Technically, looking at the 4-hour chart: last week Dogecoin surged to around 0.106, marked on the chart as a weak high point, then was pushed down; above 0.096 to 0.1015 is a large selling pressure zone, the mostIs the ZEC tail market really coming? After touching 1697 with no buyers, it dropped back to 1545 today.
Yesterday it opened at 1552, reached a high of 1697, a low of 1550, and closed at 1582, with a volume of 105 million. Today it opened at 1582, peaked at 1615, dropped to 1537, and the current price is about 1545. Volume is 36.39 million, shrinking again.
The resistance above is still between 1545–1615, and 1697 is even heavier resistance. On the downside, watch 1537 first; if it breaks, 1515 is likely.
Don't chase 1615 in the short term. Those holding should watch if 1537 support holds; if not, reduce some positions. The volume shrinkage can be seen as digestion; wait for the European and American sessions to see if 1545 can hold. $ZEC It is now 7:31 PM on September 28, 2026. I am staring at these four candlestick charts on the screen, lost in thought. Others trade based on technical indicators, but I trade relying on my sixth sense—today my sixth sense tells me: don’t move, moving just means paying fees to the exchange. But as a professional trader, I still have to grit my teeth and review the trades. The following content contains a large amount of real data, some subjective speculation, and 100% self-mockery. This is not investment advice; the advice is: don’t follow me. 1. BTC: Took a roller coaster ride but forgot to fasten the seatbelt. First, look at BTC. Current price is 82,990, down 1.69% in 24 hours, which doesn’t look too bad, right? But if you know that on September 21 it just surged to 85,137, and a few days earlier it once broke through 87,000 to hit an eight-month high, you can understand my mood this week—it’s like you just announced your relationship status on social media, and the next day you got dumped, but you have to pretend everything is normal. There’s actually a story behind this market movement. On September 16, the US Senate voted down the "Clear Act," and BTC briefly fell below 80,000. Then the SEC countered by playing the "innovation exemption" card, allowing tokenized stocks to be traded on specific platforms, and the market instantly revived. On September 21, 136,000 people were liquidated across the network, with total liquidations amounting to 750 million USD, of which shorts contributed 650 million—the bears were lined up on the rooftop, and the scene was quite spectacular. Then on September 23, international oil prices suddenly surged over 2%, and BTC again "plummeted" below...Even though you know you shouldn't buy, you still can't help it, and regret it after the trade..... Besides the reasons mentioned before, what other psychological causes are behind being unable to control your hands?
1. Boredom! Loneliness is hard to bear. You always feel "if I don't do something, I'll lose out," watching others' coins rise while you have none makes you anxious. Actually, holding no position is also a strategy; when there’s no good opportunity, waiting is the best move.
2. Loss aversion. It hurts more when coins you sold go up than when you never bought them, so you always fear missing out. But in reality, missing out doesn't lose money; buying wrong does.
3. Rules only exist in your mind. Mental rules are easily overridden by emotions; once the thought "this time is different" appears, discipline disappears. Write down your rules and review them before each trade to avoid being led astray by emotions.
4. No alternative actions. When your hands itch, you only know to place orders and don’t know what else to do. Actually, you can record your impulses by writing "I want to buy XX today because..." and review it after a few days; you’ll find most impulses are wrong.
Being unable to control your hands isn’t a lack of willpower, it’s not having something else for your hands to do. Writing down impulses instead of placing orders immediately is a good alternative. When your hands itch, jot it down in a notebook—what you want to buy and why—and review it after a few days to gradually discover patterns in impulsive trading.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件 After a rally and pullback: BTC, ETH, ZEC support and concerns
Bitcoin failed to break through 87,200, losing the 87,000 level again, with bears quickly pushing it back below 85,000. This is not a normal retracement but a clear manifestation of selling pressure. Short-term oscillation around 85,000, with 84,300 as the first line of defense; if broken, 83,000 and 81,500 will face pressure sequentially.
Ethereum appears weaker, forming a stage top at 2,810, with a long upper shadow above 2,800 indicating that buying momentum has been absorbed. The current price at 2,670 is close to the 2,700 support; if lost with volume, the liquidity gap near 2,500 may trigger accelerated decline.
Macro undercurrents remain: rising expectations of rate hikes, climbing long-term US Treasury yields, increasing financing pressure; Trump rejects the 7-day plan, and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz adds further uncertainty. But BTC still shows resilience, ZEC enters the top ten, institutionalization accelerates, AMD’s market cap surpasses one trillion, chip stocks surge, and risk appetite has not fully receded.
Opportunities are frequent, but capital preservation comes first. Currently, the certainty of shorting is higher than going long, and being out of the market is better than shorting. Don’t use faith to justify greed; bottom-fishing against the trend is costly and hard to reverse. Protect your capital and wait for the right moment.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元 #ZEC再创新高，估值重估受关注 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 ETH finally dropped hard, almost like a waterfall. Thankfully, I didn’t give up. A lot of people told me to cut the position and accept the loss earlier, but I chose to hold. At one point, my floating loss was more than 9,000U. Now, getting back to breakeven finally feels like a realistic possibility rather than just something I keep talking about. From my perspective, this still looks more like a bear-market rebound than a confirmed trend reversal. The stronger the rally becomes without breakinQuant (QNT) surged about 300% within a week, breaking through $270 with a trading volume exceeding $600 million, after the US clearing giant TCH selected it as the technology provider for its "On-Chain Currency Program" and completed the first real customer tokenized GBP transaction in the UK. The core of Quant is the Overledger interoperability layer, which does not operate a blockchain but acts as a "translator" connecting different banking systems, supporting each bank to use its own technology stack. This led to TCH's selection, with a launch expected in 2027 involving 25 US banks. Tokenized deposits differ from stablecoins: they are bank-regulated liabilities, protected by deposit insurance, with funds remaining within the banking system to prevent deposit outflows. Track assets include: Canton Network (CC), a direct competitor, a unified institutional trading network valued at about $5.5 billion; Chainlink (LINK), providing oracle and cross-chain services, is an indirect beneficiary; Canto (CANTO), with a small market cap, focuses on DeFi's RWA integration; XRP and XLM lean towards replacing SWIFT rather than upgrading banking systems. The current trend favors upgrading banks with blockchain rather than replacing them, which benefits Quant and Canton more. 1. Vitalik released the sci-fi novel "Snowmoon," incorporating governance settings like quadratic voting. 2. Strategy and Strive hinted at increasing Bitcoin holdings next week. 3. Bitwise NEAR spot ETF approved by NYSE Arca.$XAU plunged $100! A whale bought $30 million at the bottom but got buried alive, retail investors don’t rush to throw in the towel!
If you don’t want to be cut like chives, watch closely!
Smart money has been flowing in for 15 minutes, but $153 million fled over 1 day and 7 days, clearly the main force is inducing a bull trap to unload! The entire network’s long positions liquidated $300 million, two whales bottomed at 4265 with $30 million, now floating a loss of $75,000, basically buried halfway up the mountain.
Operation: Aggressive traders enter short positions now, conservative ones enter short positions around 4192 #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件 Brothers, today's market is quite thrilling! Both gold and silver are plunging, with silver crashing more than 3 points, currently dropping to around 61.8.
But the most dramatic part is here! Two huge whales actually dumped nearly $29 million today to bottom-fish silver! Now their combined long positions total over $47 million.
Highlight for everyone: these two guys opened their positions at an average price between 63.1 and 63.4, and now with the steady decline, they are floating a loss of over $900,000. Even more intense, the liquidation prices for these two long positions are shockingly identical, both at 60.18! That's less than a 3% drop from the current $62.
And it’s not over yet. Between 59.68 and 59.74, another big player has placed limit orders worth over $4 million ready to buy, looks like many still see this as bloodied chips and are gearing up for a big move.
Gold also dropped nearly 2%, but the bottom-fishing funds are only a bit over $2 million, clearly the silver battle is fiercer.
Now the concentration of large holders is terrifying, the Top 10 addresses hold nearly 66.5% of the open interest, with open contracts close to $290 million, indicating both bulls and bears are aggressively adding positions—it's a battle of the gods!A tweet ignites QNT: From BIS unified ledger to TCH collaboration, is this surge a true narrative or old wine in a new bottle?
Quant (QNT) surged up to 145% in a single day after analyst Jan Nieuwenhuijs publicly recommended it, soaring 430% in 4 days, then quickly retraced nearly 30% from its peak. The rise of QNT is not just pure sentiment speculation but is driven by the combination of cooperation with the US clearinghouse TCH, the BIS unified ledger narrative, expectations for the Agora project, and the historical halo of the “2013 Bitcoin call.” This article will break down its rise logic, risk points, and practical tracking framework.
The crypto market is never short of “one sentence changes fate” stories, but a near doubling rally directly triggered by a single social media tweet like Quant (QNT) remains remarkable.
According to BlockBeats on September 28, QNT, which had been among the top gainers for several consecutive days, surged up to 145% in a single day after analyst Jan Nieuwenhuijs recommended buying it, with a maximum increase of 430% within 4 days, reaching a high of $373; as of writing, QNT has retraced nearly 30% from its peak, quoted at about $253, corresponding to a market cap of approximately $3.15 billion.
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 $QNT $BTC $ETH On Monday, multiple liquidity asset classes fell simultaneously. Bitcoin retreated from about $84,500 to $82,800, gold and Nasdaq futures also weakened, and the US dollar index declined as well, indicating a broad deleveraging rather than a pure flight to safety. QCP believes that the failure to accept the ceasefire conditions in the Strait of Hormuz and rising concerns over energy supply disruptions are among the main drivers; this week's PCE and nonfarm payroll data are especially critical following the Fed's recent rate hikes. Crypto options front-end implied volatility remains elevated, with strong demand for downside protection, while spot Bitcoin ETF fund flows show hesitation. #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC OKB was slammed down from 116.2 on Monday; the 122 it held over the weekend disappeared in a day, with the platform token weakening first.
Yesterday's low was 120.00, high 122.71, closing at 121.36. Today it opened around 121.38, peaked at 121.68, bottomed at 116.20, and the current price is about 117.6. Volume increased from 7.93 million to 10.01 million, indicating selling pressure.
Resistance remains between 121.38 and 122.71, with further resistance from 125.61 to 126.49 above that. If the 116.20 support breaks, the price is likely to test 114.52 first; if that support also fails, the short-term trend may seek lower levels.
In the short term, watch if the current price can hold at 117.6. If it can't hold, consider it an accelerated digestion after dropping from 126.5, and avoid chasing at this price. For holders, watch if the 116.20 low today can hold; if not, consider reducing positions. For those looking to buy, wait for a pullback and reconsider if it can't break above 121.68; avoid catching a falling knife mid-air. $OKB Ethereum Market Analysis for September 28:
The daily chart of Ethereum shows a complete and stable large-scale bullish trend structure. The medium- to long-term moving averages maintain a steady upward trajectory, and the overall primary uptrend has not undergone any structural reversal. Currently, the market is in a healthy consolidation phase at a high level. The Bollinger Bands are gradually narrowing, compressing the volatility range, and the price is running close to the upper channel boundary. Short-term pressure is evident, and the upward expansion space is strongly suppressed. Regarding indicators, the MACD remains in the bullish zone above the zero line, but bullish volume continues to shrink, and upward momentum is gradually fading. The chart presents a typical consolidation pattern during an uptrend, with no signals of a top breakout. The price faces significant resistance at the previous high of 2806, where a large amount of profit-taking pressure is concentrated, making it a key strong resistance on the daily chart; the EMA30 moving average serves as the current critical defensive support. The current high-level consolidation mainly represents chip turnover and repair during the uptrend, with short-term profit-taking ongoing and new funds gradually absorbing the chips. The RSI has fallen from the overbought zone to a neutral position, with bullish and bearish forces gradually balancing, and no continuous bearish dumping action on the chart. The core watershed for the future market is clear: if the price breaks and holds above the 2770-2810 resistance zone with volume, the bulls will restart a new primary uptrend; conversely, if the key support at 2590 is effectively broken, a deep daily-level correction will officially begin. The market is currently at a critical stage of directional choice and accumulation.
Ethereum: Short near 2670-2690, target: around 2600, stop loss: 40 points. "The Three Brothers of the Crypto Circle Today's Business Record" 🔥🔥🔥
$BTC — The well-dressed big brother, sitting in the 83,000~85,000 range pretending to rest with eyes closed. Saying "no rush" but honestly staring at the 84,800 mark. Analysts shout in his ear "break through and rush to 90,000," he leisurely replies: "Let me brew the three cups of tea first — macro, geopolitical, and retail sentiment — then we'll talk."
$ETH — The technical backbone carrying a backpack, pinned down at the 2,600~2,700 workstation, unable to move. Skilled in many arts but weighed down by the three mountains of Gas fees, Layer2 diversion, and staking unlocks, bending over in pain. Wants to rise but lacks strength; falls but unwilling. A perfect example of "capable online, emotions offline" overtime saint.
$DOGE — The most carefree little brother in the family, jumping around near 9 cents. Others watch the Fed dot plot; it watches if Musk tweets or if there’s a new meme today. Occasionally pulls up a bullish candle like a dog fetching a slipper — not very useful, but the whole family can't help but laugh.
In a nutshell:
BTC is the one who talks least at the dinner table but pays the bill, ETH is the middle-level backbone buried in revising plans, and $DOGE is the mood maker always posting emojis in the group. #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件 XRP was hit down to 1.47 again on Monday, and the spike to 1.658 at the start of this week didn’t even bother to retrace.
Yesterday’s low was 1.501, high was 1.553, closing at 1.517. Today opened around 1.517, with a high of 1.542 and a low of 1.471, current price about 1.481. Volume is similar to yesterday, with selling pressure pushing down.
Resistance is still between 1.542 and 1.553 above; further up is 1.630 to 1.658. If it breaks below 1.471, it’s likely to first test 1.452; if that doesn’t hold, short-term price may drop to 1.388 to find space.
In the short term, watch if the current price around 1.481 can hold. If it can’t, consider it as still digesting the drop from 1.658, and don’t chase at this price. For those already holding, watch if the low at 1.471 today can hold as support; if not, consider reducing positions. For those looking to buy, wait to see if it can break above 1.542 on a retracement before considering, don’t catch a falling knife mid-air. $XRP Refuse to accept fate, but don't gamble with life
After my parents passed away, there is no one left in this world who cares about me. What they worry about most is how I live. I don't want to rot at the bottom all my life, so I took my only savings and rushed into the crypto world, hoping to change my fate. But fate played a joke again; BTC and SOL are once more approaching liquidation, and staring at SOL's liquidation price, I feel like an ant on a hot pan. To cover the margin, I do manual labor and unload goods, my palms blistered, clothes soaked, and the hard-earned money goes right back into contracts. I always thought I could win, but every time I end up being the freshest leek cut by the market makers. Today I finally woke up: in front of leverage, the hard-earned money of the poor can't withstand a single fluctuation. My parents hope I live, not that I burn out in the red and green K-lines. I refuse to accept fate, but resistance shouldn't be a gamble with life. If I get liquidated again, I'll quit contracts, deleverage, buy spot with hard-earned money, and endure slowly. Recovery is slow, success comes late, but at least I'm still alive. $BTC $ETH $SOL #BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高 ETH Liquidation Map: The Long and Short "Minefields" Are Marked, Just Waiting for the Market to Choose a Direction
ETH current price 2647.89, liquidity was thin over the weekend, today funds return, but the market looks like seeing flowers in the fog.
Lower Minefield: 2595.70
Here lie 4.0872 million long position liquidations, with a cumulative liquidation intensity as high as 558 million. Once the price dips, a chain stampede could ignite instantly, forcing longs to close positions passively, causing a sharp "long liquidation" crash.
Upper Pressure Line: 2790.70
Short position liquidations total 241,600, with a cumulative intensity of 819 million. If the market breaks upward, the short squeeze momentum will release like a spring, and short covering could drive a rapid rally.
Both sides are powder kegs, but the fuse is not yet lit. Weekend liquidity was weak; after funds return today, the direction remains unclear—whether to smash down or pull up, the market itself hasn't decided.
I don't fantasize about ETH directly surging to 3000, just focus on these two liquidation clusters. Wherever the price moves, that side will be the short-term breakout point. Panic is useless; wait for the market to make the first move.
BTC spot ETF has had nearly $3 billion net inflow for 7 consecutive days, US long-term Treasury yields are rising, and macro factors are stirring sentiment. ETH's liquidation map is just a local battlefield in this grand drama.
Patience is more important than prediction.
#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 $PONS
High heat and high funding rates coexist. Is PONS accelerating or overextending?
Attention can bring liquidity, but crowded leverage increases holding costs and amplifies liquidation risks. If spot volume continues to grow and pullbacks are still supported, the trend is healthier.
If the rise is mainly driven by contracts, funding rates are high, and spot demand weakens, I would be cautious of a reversal.Although Ethereum's rise this time is not large, it is particularly resistant to decline. $ETH weekly analysis: the current price is about $2,660, market cap about $324.8 billion, ranked 2nd. ATH is about $4,954, currently about 46% retracement from the high. The recent weekly structure has clearly improved.
Breakthrough of long-term downtrend: Since the August 2025 high, ETH has continuously formed a series of lower highs. Recently, the weekly chart showed a higher high for the first time and broke through the nearly one-year downtrend line. This marks the weekly structure shifting from bear market recovery to a more bullish mid-term pattern.
Key support flip: The previous resistance zone around $2,438 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement level) has turned into support and has been held. Meanwhile, the price has retested and stood above the 100-week moving average.
Moving averages and trend: On the weekly chart, the price has returned to the long-term logarithmic regression channel. Short-term weekly EMA/SMA bullish alignment signs have strengthened, with the price overall above major mid- to long-term moving averages.
Momentum: Weekly RSI previously rose to about 64 (neutral to slightly strong, not overbought). On the daily level, recent momentum has dulled with some divergence, but the weekly chart still supports structural recovery.
At the weekly level, ETH has shifted from the bear market recovery phase of "continuously lower highs" to a structural improvement with higher highs, indicating a mid-term bullish signal. It is currently in a pullback/consolidation phase after the breakout, with the key being to hold support near $2,550 and ultimately digest resistance at $2,800. Short-term daily charts show signs of fatigue (MACD dulling, some overbought indicators falling), but the weekly trend remains prioritized.An interesting phenomenon has been observed: BTC tested the bottom twice consecutively at 82561 and rebounded, with the 83000 resistance level repeatedly tested. This kind of movement usually indicates large funds accumulating.
If it is accumulation, there is a high probability of a breakout above 83000 next. But it could also be a bull trap, pulling up and then crashing down.
I don't guess; I follow the trend. If it breaks and holds above 83000, I'll go long with 5000U, stop loss at 82700; if it rallies then falls below 82561, I'll reverse to short. Losing 200,000U taught me not to guess the big players' intentions, just follow the price.
No holding through losses, always use stop loss, that's the bottom line. $BTC #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 One reason I like Web3:
The people here are somewhat abnormal.
Programmers are researching protocols.
Traders are watching the market at 3 a.m.
Project teams are constantly changing Tokenomics.
KOLs wake up to find they've been airdropped.
People argue in Discord.
People discuss fundraising on Telegram.
Some get rich from a single NFT.
Some graduate directly because of a Meme coin.
And then there are those:
Accounts with only 37U left.
But still researching the next opportunity every day.
I am the last kind.
Sometimes I think this industry is ridiculous.
But from another perspective:
If the early internet had so many crazies.
Then the current chaos in Web3
Might itself be part of the opportunity.
So I keep observing.
Keep learning.
Keep making money.
And see when I can evolve from 37U to 3700U. Recently, the feeling of shorting $ETH has been very, very bad. But shorting $DOGE is different; the feeling of shorting $DOGE is relatively good. Let's take a look at the trends of these two coins. We can see that $DOGE has never been able to break through its previous highs, while $ETH has broken through its previous highs multiple times. Moreover, $DOGE experiences larger and faster pullbacks at each stage. In other words, $DOGE rises less and falls more. Therefore, I believe that if you want to short, $DOGE is a very good choice. —————————————————— At this point, some friends might ask, why does $DOGE perform so poorly? I think the main reason is that $DOGE is an infinitely inflationary Meme coin. A long time ago, I remember $DOGE's total supply was fixed at 210 billion coins. Later, somehow, it changed to an annual issuance of 5 billion $DOGE. That means every year, there is an additional selling pressure of 5 billion $DOGE appearing out of thin air in the market. At times like this, who would want to push the price up? Some might ask, isn't $ETH also infinitely inflationary? What I want to say is that the $ETH network has many applications, and there is considerable demand for $ETH. But $DOGE is essentially just a meme; at most, people speculate on it. One has real value, the other is only speculation.Investment banks did some calculations for SpaceX
Evercore says SpaceX's Colossus project can boost EBITDA.
This is not from financial reports, but an investment bank's forecast.
Here's how the number is calculated:
EBITDA is profit before deducting interest, taxes, and depreciation.
The investment bank looks at how much additional profit like this the project can generate after going into production.
What exactly does it do:
Colossus is a ground facility providing computing power for Starlink and Starship.
Once the computing power is online, the revenue structure changes.
Such forecasts are usually released two to three years in advance.
When the actual financial reports come out, it's not surprising if the numbers don't match.
#OpenAI与Anthropic调查数万起AI安全事件
#高盛预估2027年AI相关资本开支约1.2万亿美元 $HYPE 9.28 Gold Evening Review
Spot gold today experienced a devastating bearish trend, continuously declining from the morning high of 4280, repeatedly hitting new lows during the session, with the lowest point reaching 4140.67. Currently, the price is fluctuating around 4152. The hourly chart shows an overall bearish arrangement with a fierce downtrend; the 30-minute KDJ indicator has turned upward from the oversold area, signaling a short-term slight rebound and correction, but the major downward trend remains unchanged.
Key Levels
Resistance: 4175‑4195
Support: 4140‑4120
Trading Strategy
The evening still mainly favors a bearish outlook following the trend. If the price rebounds to the resistance zone of 4175‑4195 and shows signs of stalling, short positions can be considered, targeting 4140 first. If the support breaks, further downside toward 4120 is expected.
Risk Warning: The above is only a technical analysis and does not constitute any investment advice. Trading involves risks; please proceed with caution. $XAU Let's take a look at the Ethereum part. First, the key point for this round: basically no major fluctuations, we will operate according to the method previously shared with everyone, and make sure to set take-profit and stop-loss properly. The current price is about 2,655, down a little over 1% in 24 hours, roughly 1.2%, which is the smallest drop among several coins today. Looking at OKX, the 24-hour high is around 2,717, the low around 2,636, with a difference of less than 100 points, truly a very quiet day. Regarding operation suggestions, the view remains the same: Ethereum is slightly bullish, slowly building a bottom. Add positions near 2,500, stop-loss around 2,300, take-profit depends on the individual. Building a bottom naturally takes time. The price won't just go straight up as we imagine; there will definitely be a back-and-forth grinding process. So position management is very important: only put a portion in the initial position, keep most for 2,500; set the 2,300 stop-loss from the start. This way, no matter how long it grinds around 2,600, you don't have to watch the market every day, nor will you prematurely use up your bullets because of a single red candle. Don't get emotional. Technically, we look at the 4-hour chart. Last week, Ethereum surged to around 2,800, marked as a weak high point on the chart; the area from 2,730 to 2,790 is a clear selling pressure zone, and there is a small selling pressure zone from 2,700 to 2,720. The last two rebounds were blocked around here. Now the price is consolidating near 2,650. Looking down, the first zoneBTC takes a breather, altcoins take over? Waiting list for three strong coins
BTC is moving sideways around $84,000, but funds are not idle, clearly shifting to strong altcoins. Today's watchlist: $SUI, $NEAR, $PUMP. The only principle — wait for a pullback, don't chase the highs.
$SUI is currently about $1.26, up 8.4% in 24 hours. Among the three, volume and price coordination is the best; if it can hold the 1.20–1.23 pullback, it can continue to be tracked; if it stabilizes above 1.28, the next target is around 1.35.
$NEAR is currently about $5.37, up 6.7% in 24 hours. AI narrative is warming up, combined with capital rotation, trading volume is close to $900 million, showing strength beyond the broader market. The 5.15–5.25 range is the pullback observation zone; only after breaking 5.50 can the next phase be discussed.
$PUMP is currently about $0.00508, up 15.7% in 24 hours. The platform uses about 50% of daily revenue for buyback and burn, totaling about $463 million, a straightforward logic. But the price increase is the steepest, suitable only for small positions waiting for a pullback; do not hold hard if it falls below 0.0047.
The biggest fear in this market is not missing the buy, but losing control when seeing a rally. If there is no pullback today, just let it rise. The market is not open for just one day.
This is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice.
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件 Seneca once said, fate leads those who are willing and drags those who are unwilling.
The three most fatal procrastinations for retail investors: delaying stop-loss, delaying taking profit, and delaying building positions.
Most of my losses come from delaying building positions!
In this volatile market, there were several rounds of surges followed by pullbacks. Clearly, it was an opportunity to add positions following the trend, but I kept hesitating.
I only kept a base short position with a margin of 29.58 and dared not add more.
When the market dropped, the floating profit reached +123.44%, but because I didn’t increase my position, I only gained 36.97 in the end.
When the market gave opportunities, I was still waiting for a more comfortable pullback; after the dust settled, I regretted not acting and wasted this trend.
So I want to ask myself, what the heck are you doing? Wow!!!
So, fellow retail investors, which of these procrastinations have you fallen into? Feel free to discuss actively.
⚠️ Cryptocurrency trading carries extremely high risk and does not constitute investment advice! !
$BTC $ETH
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据
#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高
#美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件 Don't rush to call a bull market; ETH can't even hold 2700
ETH just touched 2700 and was slapped back by the bears. This move doesn't look like a breakout, more like a trap. If the bull market really returns, the main players have to first spike and shake out the longs; otherwise, why would they let a bunch of people who already know it's a bull market make money? A real bull market also makes the longs suffer once, washing out the floating positions before it can rally.
Under BTC's high leverage, floating profits are just numbers on the screen. 100x leverage excites, 50x makes your heart race; holding positions for days without moving is the real test. Before closing the position, the profits belong to the market, not you. ZEC is still oscillating in the corner, waiting for its own wind.
The market is always deceiving; your hands are more honest than your brain. Don't be led by the red and green candlesticks; staying alive means there's a next episode.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 Is there anyone like me, watching BTC hover below 83000, itching to place an order but afraid of getting trapped?
I was like this before, thinking it would rise at 84000 and rushed in, but it dropped to 82500. I held on for two days but couldn't bear it and cut losses, then it rebounded after I sold. Losing 200,000 U was mostly because of this.
Now at 82971, resistance at 83000, support at 82561, I'm just waiting. Either it breaks through and holds before I follow, or it breaks support and I short. Small position of 5000 U, with stop loss set, no guessing, no holding.
The biggest enemy for retail investors is not the market, but their own hands. $BTC #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 The market is falling, but market makers' short positions are profiting.
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Wintermute (0xecb…2b00) holds about $126 million in short positions on Hyperliquid: approximately $46.92 million in ETH, $11.3 million in SOL, and $10.03 million in HYPE. These positions currently have an unrealized profit of about $963,600, and this address has historically accumulated profits of about $197 million. Odaily / Foresight 9/28 synchronized. Compared to previous repeated short positions by the same entity, this is today's updated position and unrealized profit calculation NEW.
Short position size ≠ guaranteed winning direction; monitored address association ≠ entity confirmation; unrealized profit fluctuates with market prices ≠ realized profit. At the time of writing, OKX ETH is about 2664, SOL about 118.58, HYPE about 90.14. Not investment advice.
$ETH $SOL $HYPE Just cut my $PONS position, stared at the screen and took five minutes to calm down before daring to type. The 1h K-line fell steadily from 0.62 to 0.53, without a decent rebound in between. I was still hoping for a V-shaped recovery, but the deeper I got stuck, the worse it got. Looking at the PONS label on the chart now just makes me angry. This loss is truly deserved. The trend was clearly deteriorating, the 7.9M volume looked okay, but the price kept falling steadily. I insisted on catching a falling knife against the trend. Bro, "going with the flow" sounds simple but doing it is a battle with yourself. How to identify a trend? It’s not about how much it rises, but whether anyone is buying when it falls. When $PONS broke the previous low, I should have exited. Following the trend is even more against human nature. We don’t dare to chase when it rises, and stubbornly hold on when it falls — a common problem for retail investors. My position is a typical example: even though the 1h chart showed a bearish setup, I kept thinking, "It’s dropped so much, it should rebound." What happened? A -13.65% loss taught me a lesson. This time I did exit the trend, albeit a bit late. Once broken, don’t wait for a recovery, just get out first. $FOGO $RAY $MET are all down today, that’s the market sentiment, don’t fight the trend. After cutting losses, I feel at ease. Money lost can be earned again, but being stuck in a position is truly painful. #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 $BTC
Bought the first electric car of my life by trading crypto
Sometimes I also miss
the days when I used to drive a Mercedes-Benz Breaking down the recent surge of $QNT for everyone: the main reason is that Quant won the bid for the On-Chain Money Initiative by the US Bank Clearing Association. Additionally, seven UK banks just completed collateralized payments using the Quant network, so the narrative is fully charged. It's important to know that banks need a network recognized by clearinghouses, which is a solid and powerful endorsement.
Another point not to overlook is that the clearing system is scheduled to be available only in the first half of 2027. The current price increase is mainly driven by imagination and the chip structure. This is a typical spot narrative combined with contract-accelerated momentum. For ordinary traders, when seeing this news from Ajian, it's usually not suitable to chase the first big bullish candle. Instead, pay attention to funding rates, open interest, spot trading volume, and whether large holders are cashing out.In the past 24 hours, there have been 685 large whale transactions of Bitcoin totaling $7.7 billion, 76 Ethereum transactions totaling $299 million, and 1515 USDT transactions totaling $6 billion, indicating significant capital is concentrating in turnover.
Two minutes ago, a dormant wallet from 2011 holding 1200 BTC was moved, which is usually not a normal action for long-term holders, but more likely cashing out or custody migration.
QNT is currently priced at 244.61, previously surged to 270, but a large amount of long liquidations have accumulated in the 245 to 260 range. The MACD momentum bars are shortening, RSI has entered overbought territory, and short-term downward pressure is very clear. I sat by the office building's bike shed nibbling on a cold steamed bun, eyes never leaving the liquidation heatmap.
The price is now close to the lower edge of 245; if it rebounds into the 247 to 254 range, that is the short sellers' entry zone. Set stop-loss defense above 261; breaking above 260 means the liquidation zone has been reversed. Take profit first looks at 231, and if broken, then 228.
$QNT
#OpenAI与Anthropic调查数万起AI安全事件
@OKX星球 Today's overall market sentiment can be summed up in four words: uncertain and uneasy. Bitcoin has slid from around 84,000 in the afternoon to about 82,700 USD now, down 2.5% in 24 hours. Ethereum couldn't hold up either, dropping to around 2,650, down 1.6%. The trigger was clear to everyone: when a reporter asked Trump if he would continue to take action against Iran, he replied with a vague "maybe, but I don't want to say." Just this ambiguous sentence directly knocked the market sentiment down. Why is this sentence more hurtful than a clear bad news? In relationships, the most tormenting thing is never a breakup, but when you ask if they still love you and they say "I don't know." You wonder if they are hesitating or just too lazy to answer. Unresolved matters are the most draining. The market is the same. A "maybe" is more unsettling than a clear declaration of war because it can't be priced and can only be guessed. What is even more worth watching than the price is another line: the 10-year US Treasury yield surged to 5.20% today, a new high since 2007. This shows the market's real concern is not whether Iran will strike, but that inflation expectations are rising again. Even after such a long time since the rate hike cycle, long-term rates can still be pushed up. This is what truly suffocates risk assets. Geopolitical news is just a pretext; interest rates are the real heavy weight. By the way, the 387.5 million USD stolen from Bitget by hackers last week officially began phased withdrawal recovery this afternoon. BTC withdrawals are released today, ETH tomorrow, and USDT will wait until the 30th. The official protection fund will cover losses. These five days are the real... "Spending 3.3 Billion Daily Just on Interest! US Debt Interest Payments Break 1.2 Trillion, Confirming the Fiat Currency Deadlock"
The latest accounts from the US Treasury show that the annualized pure interest expense on the entire US federal debt has officially surpassed the historic ceiling of 1.2 trillion USD, exceeding the total annual US defense budget!
This glaring figure reveals the ultimate fate of the paper currency empire to retail investors:
1. A permanent deficit on a mathematical level: Every day, just opening eyes means burning 3.3 billion USD on interest payments, while the US federal finances have no surplus to repay principal. The only operation is to issue massive new debt at higher interest rates to pay off old debt.
2. Inflation is the only way to loot debt: Historically, no empire in debt crisis has ever voluntarily declared sovereign default; instead, they invariably turn on the printing press to dilute currency purchasing power, using devalued paper money to erase cold debt balances.
3. The era awakening to digital floodgates: Global multinational capital has seen through that US debt is no longer truly a "risk-free asset" but a hot potato full of inflation dilution risk; Bitcoin $BTC, capped at 21 million coins, has become the only Noah's Ark untouched by bureaucratic borrowing corruption.
The faster interest expenses snowball, the deeper the abyss of paper currency devaluation. Holding onto hard-coded assets is the only way to preserve lifelong wealth amid the debt storm.