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US and Iran continue negotiations on the conditions for opening the Strait of Hormuz, expectations for geopolitical easing are rising, risk appetite is recovering but has not benefited UNI. I judge that the short-term trend is still dominated by bears, and the rebound is of a corrective nature. In the past day, the coin price plunged 9.1%, hitting a low of 8.761, with a trading volume of 22.56 million. Sell orders of 16,000 outweigh buy orders of 14,000, strength ratio is 0.87, funding rate is only 0.01%, with open interest at 5.723 million coins, showing clearly insufficient bullish confidence. The current price of 9.029 has rebounded 47.43% from the 4-hour low but is still 15.79% below the high, with limited momentum for chasing highs. You may short at 9.12, stop loss at 9.34, target 8.83; if it pulls back to 8.80, lightly try going long, stop loss at 8.63, target 9.15, position size should not exceed 20%.
——This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you successful trading.——
$UNI#美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件
#美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件 $UNI US-Iran continue negotiations on Hormuz Strait opening conditions, geopolitical easing expectations heat up, risk appetite recovery puts SKHYNIX under short-term pressure. I judge this round of correction as a consolidation shakeout in an upward trend, direction not broken.
24h down 4.4% to 1308.5, lowest dipped to 1293.8, turnover only 61,000, showing clear volume contraction. Funding rate 0.0968% slightly long, open interest 36,000 unchanged, order book buy/sell ratio 1.10 with buyers slightly dominant, 1-hour distance from low only 0.72%, 1293 level is key support.
Strategy: lightly go long on pullback to 1295.3, stop loss at 1284.7, target 1367.2; if volume expands and holds above 1341.6, can add position. Keep position within 20%, exit if breaks below 1290.
— For personal reference only, not investment advice, wish you successful trading. —
$SKHYNIX#美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件
#美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件 $SKHYNIX Here's a version with a stronger financial news tone and crypto influencer style, toning down exaggeration while adding some industry impact analysis:
AI Security and the Crypto Market
[Pharaoh Market Watch | AI Security Upgrades: Will It Affect the Crypto Space?]
Recently, the market has been buzzing about OpenAI and Anthropic investigating tens of thousands of AI security incidents. Is the "Skynet era" really upon us?
Let's not jump to conclusions just yet.
Looking at the types of incidents, AI security issues mainly involve jailbreaks, model misuse, policy violations, privacy breaches, and data leaks. The real point of interest isn't the "tens of thousands" figure itself, but the ongoing industry shift—
AI security is evolving from internal enterprise risk control toward more rigorous reporting, auditing, and compliance frameworks.
What does this mean?
For the US AI stock sector, there may be short-term concerns about rising compliance costs and regulatory pressure. Large platforms have more resources and technical capabilities, while smaller AI firms could face higher security and compliance barriers.
For the crypto market, the impact is more indirect.
The more AI relies on centralized models and data infrastructure, the more discussions around decentralized identity, privacy computing, verifiable AI, and data trustworthiness may intensify.
But note: AI security is not a direct catalyst for crypto price movements.
BTC is currently consolidating around $83,000. Key short-term levels to watch:
📌 Resistance near $84,500
📌 Support near $81,500 After consecutive declines, will the oversold rebound of $BTC really come? Recently, Bitcoin has fallen back from previous highs, continuing to weaken today, stepping down again in the afternoon, reaching a low near 82,000 before slightly recovering. It is currently consolidating weakly near the lows, with bears still dominating. Previously, we advised students to take profits on long positions at high levels to avoid this main drop. Today, after bottom testing and a small bullish candle with signs of support, we lightly test long positions. In such a one-sided decline, not losing and making a small profit is a victory. Remember, the worst thing during a downtrend is to impulsively bottom-fish; it's better to miss out than to make a wrong move.
Technically, this round of decline is very strong. The price has broken below the lower Bollinger Band, the channel is opening downward, and the middle and upper bands are exerting layered resistance, limiting rebound space. The bearish candlesticks have full bodies, while bullish candles show shrinking volume, indicating bulls have not truly gained strength yet. However, the price has clearly deviated from moving averages and is in an oversold zone, with lower shadows appearing at lows indicating support. A short-term technical correction could happen anytime, but as long as the rebound lacks volume and cannot reclaim the middle band, the overall trend remains weak and oscillating. The strategy is to seek rebounds from oversold conditions without chasing shorts; only enter when stabilized.
Bitcoin recommendation: go long near 82,100-82,400 with stop loss at 81,500 and target at 83,800.
Ethereum: go long near 2,540, stop loss at 2,500, target 2,590-2,680 $ETH $ZEC #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 BTC Wave Analysis | Minor Wave C Down to 81,000, Major Wave III Main Uptrend Awaiting Start
BTC shows resonance of two cycle wave patterns, with a clear short-term bearish and long-term bullish structure.
The 15-minute chart is clear: Wave b forms a standard converging triangle correction. The breakout at the triangle's end releases the downward momentum of minor Wave C, targeting around 81,000. The short-term triangle correction is a bearish continuation pattern; do not mistake this pullback as a bottom signal. Short-term traders should avoid this sell-off.
Zooming out to the daily level for the larger structure: currently in a major ABC correction cycle. Once this ABC correction completes, it will set the stage for a three-month major Wave III bull market start. Inside major Wave A, the a-b-c three-segment structure is complete, and this drop in minor c is the final wrap-up of Wave A. After the full ABC correction lands, a new large-scale uptrend will officially begin.
The short-term and long-term logics do not conflict: short-term bearish targeting 81,000; long-term bullish awaiting the full ABC correction to end and welcoming the major Wave III main rise.
Wave analysis is only probabilistic; the market always has uncertainties. Manage position sizes well and use stop losses. The market changes rapidly; this view is only a personal chart review and does not constitute any investment advice.$ONE
$ONE is all green, but it surged 14 points against the trend, currently priced at 0.0024. Volume expanded to 150 million, making it one of the strongest among small caps.
Are you chasing this move, or waiting for a pullback? For analysis only, not investment advice, risk at your own discretion.
$ONE Regarding this Oracle trade, it just bounced back to around 149 earlier, and I thought it was finally recovering, but now it's down to 134.24 again, which is a bit frustrating 🥲. I opened a long position at 148.28, and the page shows a single contract floating profit and loss rate of -189.37%, still not closed, with a take profit set at 160.
I haven't suddenly turned pessimistic about its demand. This time, when reviewing the quarterly report, there was a more concrete detail than just "big orders": the company received $11.4 billion in customer prepayments with financing nature during the quarter. Customers are not just signing contracts and waiting; some have already paid in advance. This is the basis for my continued expectations for future business.
But this money has two sides. Prepayments can ease the pressure of investing first and getting paid later, but they correspond to services to be delivered in the future, not profits already earned; the company's free cash flow for the quarter is still negative. What I really look forward to is not necessarily signing a bigger contract, but proving that the existing contracts won't cause increasing cash shortages. If deliveries increase and financial pressure gradually eases, there is more reason to expect price recovery, rather than repeatedly boosting confidence by citing total order amounts.
Back to this trade, from 134.24 to 160, it now needs to rise about 19%. When I opened the position, I thought it was just to catch a segment of the rise; now that I hold it, the target hasn't changed, but the difficulty of achieving it has. I tend to reduce the position a bit first, set an acceptable drawdown for the remaining part, and not wait until breaking even at 148.28 before allowing myself to manage it. Last Thursday pierced through 83,000 to shake out the bulls, but this time it's different
BTC, after consolidating sideways for three days, attempted to break higher today but failed, falling back below 83,000. After the failed breakout, the second retest and pullback still suggest a range-bound trading mindset
The capital flow is not bad; ETFs are seeing overall inflows, institutions are buying but prices have not made new highs. The market is digesting selling pressure above, which is also related to institutional portfolio adjustments at the quarter-end. Short-term focus is on Wednesday's PCE and Friday's non-farm payroll data
$BTC Around 81,000 there is still nearly $100 million in long liquidation liquidity
Support: 83,000, 82,000, 81,000-81,700
Resistance: 85,000, 87,000
View: 83,000 is a key level tonight; closing above it still means range consolidation; if it continues below 83,000, first watch 82,000, then observe if the 81,000-81,700 institutional cost zone shows support
$ETH Around 2,630 there is a large concentration of high-leverage long positions, only about 1% away from liquidation zone
Support: 2,630, 2,600, 2,500
Resistance: 2,700, 2,800
View: Holding 2,630 means continued oscillation; breaking below may trigger chain liquidations and test the 2,600 area
$SOL Currently no obvious leverage crowding
Support: 117.5, 115, 108-109
Resistance: 123-125
View: Above 117.5 is a strong consolidation structure; if it holds, there is still a chance to challenge 125 again
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 This week faces key Nonfarm and PCE data, macro volatility may transmit to BSB, I lean towards a continued weak trend, reducing positions on rebounds. Although the four-hour chart is rising, the one-hour chart continues to fall and is 12.98% below the high, current price around 0.09916, down 8.8% in 24h, volume 1.757 million, top 10 bid-ask ratio 2.67, bids support the bottom while funding rate is only 0.0068%, bullish sentiment is relatively cold, resistance at 0.10345 above, support line at 0.09705 below. Operation-wise, short at rebound to 0.10285, stop loss at 0.10555, target 0.09745; if volume breaks below 0.09705, chase short to 0.09435. Total position no more than 20%, exit on break, no holding through losses.
——For personal reference only, not investment advice, wish you smooth trading.——
$BSB#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 $BSB Developer data is impressive, ranking first in the BTC-Fi track, but how to solve the challenge of ecosystem conversion?
According to the Electric Capital developer report, CORE ranks first in the number of developers among all BTC-Fi public chains, with full-time contributors increasing by over 2400% year-on-year. This data is outstanding across the entire Web3 ecosystem.
The project continuously attracts global developers through hackathons, Builder Sprint long-term incentives, global university developer workshops, and biweekly online technical Q&A sessions. The influx of a large number of developers represents the industry's recognition of the BTC-Fi track and CORE's underlying architecture.
However, a key point that is easily overlooked: the number of developers ≠ the number of usable applications. Many projects attracted by hackathons participate for the prize money, and after the event ends, they lack sustained operational funding, causing the projects to stall.
The user base of the BTC-Fi track itself is much smaller than that of the Ethereum ecosystem, and users tend to be conservative in their habits, with few willing to actively try BTC DeFi products. Even if contract development is completed, it is difficult to obtain sufficient on-chain traffic.
Developers are the soil of the ecosystem, but for the ecosystem to thrive, developers, users, and capital must simultaneously form a positive cycle. Currently, CORE is in the stage of accumulating developers. How to convert the number of developers into high-frequency usage of practical products is the core challenge for the next phase of ecosystem construction.This week, the key Nonfarm and PCE data will directly disturb the short-term trend of CL due to macro risk appetite. I tend to maintain a volatile bearish stance before the data, and only weak data might trigger a rebound. From the funding perspective, a negative rate of -0.0226% indicates shorts are paying to hold positions, but the 483,000 coin-margined positions have not shown a liquidation cascade, combined with a buy/sell ratio of only 0.53, selling pressure still dominates; the price at 95.2 has fallen 5.43% from the 4-hour high, with 96.49 as a hard resistance and 92.64 as a short-term anchor. If it rebounds to 96.12, one can lightly short with a stop loss at 96.78 and a target of 93.05; if it sharply drops to 92.85, go long with a stop loss at 92.31 and a target of 95.68, with single position size not exceeding 20%.
——This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you smooth trading.——
$CL#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 $CL In the early stages of a bull market, prices are actually safer, with three main factors:
1. Most people sell off their chips during the bear market, meaning there is a large amount of waiting capital in the market ready to buy the dip.
2. Those holding chips are more determined, with less selling pressure and are not easily scared.
3. Chips are cheaper, so stubborn buyers actually buy more.
On March 10, 2023, when Silicon Valley Bank collapsed, Bitcoin dropped from 25,000 to 19,500. For stubborn buyers, this was a bargain-buying opportunity; the price only briefly broke below the consolidation range before quickly recovering.
A collapse event, which created a big pit in early 2022, instead became a fake fall in the early bull market of 2023.
This is a key discovery: psychologically, people fear a big drop most in the early bull market, but in reality, chips are the hardest to push down.
Looking at the present, maybe you won’t be too anxious. After the bear market clearing in the first half of this year, long-term holders are not very interested in selling, so selling pressure is not high.
The lower the price falls, the more stubborn buyers buy, making the price around 80,000 more solid and better at absorbing selling pressure.
The environment has also changed now. Regulation is friendlier, compliance has become stricter, and in 2023 there was no crypto legislation; instead, there is widespread regulatory crackdown, with major negative events that could destroy prices happening at any time.
Therefore, the probability of crisis events happening now is lower, so corrections will be shallower. However, the correction process is more grueling, using time to gain space, still achieving the so-called shakeout effect. SNDK: It has already dropped more than 4% pre-market, and I don't even have the qualification to struggle
SanDisk dropped more than 4% pre-market. Analysts' average target price is $2,136, 20% higher than the current price. But that's a 12-month target price; what I care about now is tonight.
The storage chip sector is under pressure overall tonight, with Micron and Western Digital both declining. SNDK's fundamental story is good, but tonight the market doesn't talk stories, only emotions.
My prediction: The opening will continue to follow the sector down, and the daily support at 1,677 will most likely not hold. If it breaks below 1,600, I will consider deleting the software and pretending I never bought it. $SNDK How miserable is the richest post-90s in the world now?
His name is SBF, nicknamed "Afro," once the richest post-90s in the world.
A hypothetical scenario, but the numbers are real. If the investment portfolio had not been liquidated, it would hold today:
Solana$SOL: $7 billion (35x)
SpaceX$SPCX: $15.1 billion (75x)
Cursor: $3 billion (15,000x)
Robinhood: $6.7 billion (11x)
Anthropic: $170.5 billion (340x)
Genesis Digital: $3.5 billion (3x)
Estimated total portfolio value: $206 billion.
What did he miss?
At bankruptcy, he owed customers about $8 billion. If these investments had not been liquidated, their value today would be $206 billion. Enough to pay back all customers and still have nearly $200 billion left.
But he never got to see this day. During bankruptcy liquidation, these assets were sold at a discount.
Solana was sold at a very low price, and shares of SpaceX and Anthropic were forcibly transferred. At that time, no one dared to take over because no one knew how big the FTX hole was.
He was once the richest post-90s in the world. Now, he sits at a sewing machine, watching others make $200 billion from his investment portfolio.[Old Leek Observation] About the sixth of six coins worth watching after US stocks access DeFi
$PLUME This is also purely in the RWA infrastructure direction.
Plume is currently focused on moving institutional assets on-chain. It already has institutions/platforms like Apollo, EtherFi, and Bybit connected to its RWA products. Official data shows its RWA Vault covers assets such as private credit. However, compared to AAVE, LINK, and ONDO, it currently leans more towards the "RWA infrastructure narrative." If the RWA sector really starts to heat up later, coins like PLUME are very likely to be rediscovered. It is not simply an RWA application.
Plume itself is a chain dedicated to RWA, with over 200 projects currently building on it. Previously, it tokenized US Treasury bonds, stocks, and funds. Now it is entering DeFi, allowing collateralization, borrowing USDC, and generating yield. What Plume does is provide the full set of infrastructure needed after these assets go on-chain.
Entry: $0.016–$0.0190
Take profit: $0.021 / $0.024 / $0.028 / $0.035 / $0.2
Stop loss: $0.0155
PLUME is not currently pumping due to sudden news; the real value is that as RWA assets increase, a dedicated chain is needed to accommodate these assets and DeFi applications. SanDisk receives Rosenblatt buy rating with a target price of $2400, risk appetite warming provides emotional support for high-volatility coins like MMT, but overall still in an adjustment phase. Currently at 0.1778, down 4.9%, volume 2.737 million, funding rate only 0.0050%, longs not overheated. 24h high and low at 0.19 and 0.1696 set the boundaries, 1-hour distance from low is 8.22% indicating short-term repair momentum, 4-hour distance from high is 42.93% meaning medium-term pressure remains heavy; order book top 10 buy/sell ratio is 1.20, buyers slightly dominant, positions stable at 9.621 million, sentiment cautious rather than panicked. Strategy: lightly buy on pullback to 0.1725, stop loss at 0.1683, target 0.1865; if volume breaks through 0.1912, chase with stop loss at 0.1845, target 0.1998. Total position no more than 20%, decisively exit if stop loss is broken.
——For personal opinion only, not investment advice, wish you successful trading.——
$MMT#闪迪获Rosenblatt买入评级，目标价2400美元
#闪迪获Rosenblatt买入评级，目标价2400美元 $MMT #闪迪获Rosenblatt买入评级，目标价2400美元 directly ignites bullish sentiment for SNDK, but I judge that macro tightening expectations and crypto weakness will still suppress short-term upward momentum. Although the four-hour level is in an ascending channel, it has retraced 9.10% from the high, and the one-hour decline is only 0.56% from the low, indicating that the correction pressure has not been fully released. The current quote is 1725, down 3.0% in 24h, with a turnover of 124,000, and a funding rate of 0.0000% indicating neutral leverage sentiment. Open interest is 44,000 with no signs of panic selling. The top 10 order book shows 348 buy orders and 289 sell orders, with a buy/sell ratio of 1.20, slightly favoring buyers. 1704.5 is today's key support, and 1786.7 is the near-term resistance. If it breaks below 1704.5, the next target is 1692.3. If it stabilizes, a light long position can be taken, entry at 1712.5, stop loss at 1698.4, target 1768.6; if it rebounds to around 1782.3 and faces resistance, then short for a short position, stop loss at 1796.5, target 1735.2, with a single position not exceeding 5%.
——This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you successful trading.——
$SNDK#闪迪获Rosenblatt买入评级，目标价2400美元
#闪迪获Rosenblatt买入评级，目标价2400美元 $SNDK ETH: That MACD is zero, and so is my heart
The MACD histogram of ETH is "dead flat" at the zero line, with neither buyers nor sellers willing to make the first move. 73.8% of retail investors are long, 62.2% of smart money is long, everyone is waiting for someone else to lift the market first.
What does MACD being zero mean? It means zero momentum. Zero momentum means sideways trading. Sideways trading means I neither get liquidated nor make money. The most frustrating outcome.
My prediction: 2,619 is short-term support, breaking below looks to 2,583. Resistance above is at 2,707. Most likely to crawl between 2,619-2,671 tonight.
$ETH China and the US have announced a $30 billion tariff exemption list and extended the trade truce period until January next year.
In terms of amount alone, $30 billion is not large compared to the several hundred billion in bilateral trade; over 90% of products will have tariffs directly reduced to the most-favored-nation rate, so the actual industrial impact is limited.
What really matters is the sentiment—it sends a signal to the market that both sides are still willing to sit down and negotiate.
This easing can temporarily reduce uncertainty, but to truly lower tariffs, it depends on how both sides proceed after the truce period.#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高 $BTC
🤜Today's review summary:
In the morning, the price continuously broke through two key supports at 83800 and 83400, with increased volume probing down to around 82600. A large number of inertia-driven bottom-fishing long positions were swept out, and bearish momentum was concentratedly released. After falling to a low point, two key market signals can be observed:
The price no longer continues to make new lows, showing consecutive small bullish candles, indicating signs of stopping the decline and stabilizing. The volume was very large during the decline, but this rebound did not show a significant surge in volume.
Current key price levels:
✔ Support: 82800‑83000, this is the new support formed after today's bottom test; if it holds, there is motivation for further recovery.
✔ Resistance: 83400‑83600 (previous support now turned resistance); do not chase the rebound;
Summary: Wait for the rebound to reach the resistance zone to assess strength before making a judgment; do not bet on direction prematurely.
For trading, see my analysis tomorrow!!!#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 $BTC The big coin is now a tug-of-war, pulling back and forth, neither side able to move the other
Price surged up to 85000, then the bears immediately forced it down.
The market went down to around 82600, then the bulls stepped in, forcibly pulling the price back.
Currently stuck around 83000.
The bulls' pulling power:
ETF and buy orders support the bottom; when it falls to support levels, funds enter to buy, making a one-sided sharp drop difficult.
The bears' pulling power:
A large amount of profit-taking is piled up at high levels; any rally triggers selling pressure from profit-taking, making it hard to break new highs.
In this stalemate phase, the back-and-forth oscillation easily sweeps out stop losses on both sides repeatedly.
Who will ultimately win between bulls and bears depends on upcoming macro data, which side will get an extra push.
$ONE The news of ARK tokenizing a $1.3 billion venture capital fund has brought renewed attention to information-layer tokens like KAITO, but the positive impact has not reversed the short-term downtrend. I judge that the current phase is a consolidation period after a rebound was blocked.
Current price is 0.3348, down 7.1% in 24 hours. The intraday high of 0.3666 serves as short-term resistance, while 0.3267 is a key support level. Trading volume is 25.459 million, open interest is 11.868 million, and the funding rate is only 0.005%, indicating cautious bullish sentiment. The buy-sell ratio in the top 10 levels is 0.38, with selling pressure clearly dominant. Although the 1-hour trend is upward, it has retraced 9.24% from the high, and volume-price coordination is weak.
Strategy-wise, if the price stabilizes around 0.3285 on a pullback, a light long position can be tried with a stop loss at 0.3195 and a target of 0.3565. If the rebound faces resistance near 0.3625, a short position can be taken with a stop loss at 0.3715 and a target of 0.3355. Position size should be controlled within 20%, and exit immediately if the position breaks through support or resistance.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$KAITO#ARK将13亿美元风投基金代币化
#ARK将13亿美元风投基金代币化 $KAITO ARK tokenizes a $1.3 billion venture capital fund. If implemented, it will bring traditional private equity liquidity on-chain, which is a positive narrative for high-throughput public chains like SOL. However, the price has not yet followed the rise; I judge that sentiment is still dominated by short-term selling pressure.
The contradiction lies in this: the 1-hour and 4-hour trends are both upward, but the 24-hour trend has dropped 4.5%. The current price of 118.52 has risen 22.44% from the 4-hour low, indicating a rebound structure, but there is heavy selling pressure around 124.22. The trading volume is only 10.173 million, the funding rate is a relatively low 0.0051%, and the open interest is 3.042 million coins, so longs are not overly crowded; the top 10 order book buy/sell ratio is 1.17, with buyers slightly dominant, providing short-term support but limited strength.
Strategically, if the price pulls back to 117.85 without breaking it, one can lightly try going long with a stop loss at 116.35 and a target of 122.65. If it directly rallies to around 123.95 and faces resistance, one can reverse to a short position with a stop loss at 125.15 and a target of 119.40. Position size should be controlled within 20%, and exit immediately if broken, without holding the position.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$SOL#ARK将13亿美元风投基金代币化
#ARK将13亿美元风投基金代币化 $SOL $TAO
The hype around decentralized AI is rising again. What are the most important variables to track for TAO?
Subnet quality, developer participation, and real computing power demand determine the network's value. If incentives attract effective services and create paid demand, the AI narrative could turn into verifiable revenue.
If growth is driven only by token rewards, while service quality and usage stagnate, I would lower my expectations. Can be adjusted to a style more like crypto financial news + technical analysis, reducing emotional expressions while adding key levels, volume, and risk confirmation:
ETH Evening Market Update
🚨【9.28 ETH Evening Market】
$ETH has fallen from $2724 and is currently oscillating around $2646. On the surface, the market seems temporarily stable, but the short-term structure remains weak. The following key levels deserve close attention.
📌 Around 2640: The lower Bollinger Band coincides with short-term support. If this level holds with increased volume rebound, ETH still has a chance to retest the $2670—$2700 range.
📌 2633: This is a key low formed during the previous dip. If broken with volume, short-term selling pressure may intensify, with the next focus at $2600.
📌 2700: The first significant resistance above. Only by regaining and holding this level with improved volume can the rebound structure gain confirmation.
Currently, ETF funds and market liquidity remain important variables, but the price’s failure to reclaim key resistance indicates limited buying strength for now.
Monday typically sees amplified volatility; tonight, focus on the 2633—2640 support zone and the 2700 resistance level.
⚠️ Avoid frequent chasing of ups and downs in the middle of the range.
Wait for price breakout first, then confirm direction with **volume + OI (open interest)**.
There is no absolute certainty in the market; position sizing and stop-losses are always more important than emotions.
$ETH $BTC #ETH Goldman Sachs estimates AI-related capital expenditures to be about $1.2 trillion by 2027, with the computing power narrative continuing to ferment. SLX, as an AI concept target, should benefit, but today's trend runs counter to the macro narrative. My judgment is that short-term funds are using the positive news to sell off, with clear divergence.
The hourly chart is declining while the four-hour chart remains in an upward structure; this cycle mismatch itself is a contradictory signal. Current price is 0.0657, down over 8% from the 24-hour high of 0.07206, with a turnover of 4.717 million, funding rate only 0.0100%, and open interest at 27.259 million, indicating bulls are not panicking to exit, but the willingness to chase highs has clearly weakened. The order book's top 10 bid-ask ratio is 1.11, with buyers slightly dominant, and support around 0.06487.
In terms of operation, if the pullback to 0.06455 does not break, a light long position can be tried, with a stop loss at 0.06325 and a target at 0.06885; if the rebound is blocked near 0.06925, a short position can be taken, with a stop loss at 0.07045 and a target at 0.06515. Position control should be within 20%, and heavy positions should be avoided during cycle mismatches.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$SLX#高盛预估2027年AI相关资本开支约1.2万亿美元
#高盛预估2027年AI相关资本开支约1.2万亿美元 $SLX Goldman Sachs estimates AI-related capital expenditures to be about $1.2 trillion by 2027, and the narrative of computing power expansion continues, providing medium-term sentiment support for assets like ETH with a tech bias. However, short-term funds have not bought in, and I lean towards a weak consolidation.
Down 1.6% in 24h, current price 2665.77, volume 19.337 million, trading is relatively light. Weakness in the 1-hour chart, but the 4-hour chart still shows an upward structure. The top 10 order book buy/sell ratio is 0.39, indicating obvious selling pressure. Funding rate is -0.0008%, open interest at 602,000, bullish sentiment cooling but not panicking.
Strategy: Light short positions near 2693.5 on a rebound, stop loss at 2721.8, target 2617.4; if it pulls back and stabilizes at 2612.6, consider reversing to a short-term long, stop loss 2588.3, target 2674.9. Single position size should not exceed 5%, exit immediately if broken.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you smooth trading. —
$ETH#高盛预估2027年AI相关资本开支约1.2万亿美元
#高盛预估2027年AI相关资本开支约1.2万亿美元 $ETH Filecoin Calibration $FIL Testnet (calibnet) NV29 (codename Solstice) Upgrade
Launch Time
• Network: Calibration Testnet
• Network Version: NV29 / Solstice
• Proposal: FIP-0118 (Accepted)
• Planned Activation Time: 2026-09-28 12:59:30 UTC
Lotus released v1.37.0-rc1 (node + miner) around September 23, explicitly requiring nodes and storage providers on Calibration to complete updates before the upgrade. Forest and Curio have also followed up with RC/corresponding versions The night session first calculates the Fed's account——$ETH is currently around 2664, unable to hold 2700 during the day, with a 24-hour high of about 2717 and a low touching 2636, now hovering just above 2600.
The October rate hike expectation on CME has already risen above 65%, and PCE is coming on Wednesday. When interest rate expectations tighten, risk assets tend to be suppressed.
But institutions haven't fully withdrawn: last week, the US spot Ethereum ETF recorded a net inflow of about 690 million, after a net outflow the previous week, a quite obvious turnaround. Price is sliding down, but ETFs are still flowing in—short-term looks like macro pressure, mid-term funds haven't dispersed.
First, see if the area around 2636 can hold; to rebound, it needs to retake 2700; $BTC is around 83000, and if Bitcoin shakes, this will follow.
$ETH $BTC #ETH #Ethereum #BTC #Macro #Fed #PCE #ETFInflow #RiskWarning
The above does not constitute investment advice, market volatility is high, control your position size, and make independent judgments. 26 satellites launched at once, this is Starship's first real orbit insertion.
It carries an upgraded version of Starlink, which will be integrated directly into the existing network after deployment. Launch costs are spread out, and the marginal cost per satellite decreases accordingly.
As the chain progresses, the beneficiaries are Starlink's capacity and coverage, while ground operators and traditional launch providers are passively affected. Orbital resources are first-come, first-served; there is no turning back at this step.
To be frank, watch whether the same batch of satellites is reused in subsequent orbit insertions. If deployment fails or the network is not connected, this cost chain will break.
#高盛预估2027年AI相关资本开支约1.2万亿美元 $ETH Everyone is asking Pharaoh, is Cathie Wood about to put the venture capital fund on-chain? Pharaoh directly said that Cathie Wood is serious this time, not just talking about tokenization, but actually deploying the $1.3 billion flagship venture capital fund ARKVX on Ethereum through Securitize. It officially launched on September 24, marking ARK's first on-chain fund. Let's first see what this fund holds. ARKVX is an actively managed closed-end interval fund, holding exclusively hard tech: SpaceX leads with a 7.54% weight, OpenAI 5.26%, Anthropic 3.86%, followed by Stripe and Databricks. Previously, if you wanted to buy these unlisted companies, you had to use connections to get into private rounds or wait for their IPOs. Now you can just buy tokenized shares on-chain, tradable 24/7, with a much lower threshold. The SEC gave the green light in advance. On August 24, ARK applied to the SEC to amend the exemption order, adding a "tokenized shares" category, allowing trading through regulated ATS systems or peer-to-peer transfers between wallets that comply with KYC/AML checks. The SEC approved it, officially opening the path for "compliant fund shares on-chain." What does this mean for the RWA sector? Previously, tokenization was mostly for "standard" assets like government bonds, money market funds, and stocks. Venture capital funds, which have poor liquidity and opaque valuations, were almost untouched. ARK's move is to tackle the hardest#Strategy提议为优先股发放每日股息 Strengthened the institutional coin hoarding narrative, yet WLD was not boosted, short-term weakness remains unchanged, risk control takes priority over bottom fishing at this moment. 24h down 11.6% to 0.5101, lowest 0.5024, volume 433 million, funding rate 0.01% shows longs are still paying to hold positions, open interest 80.199 million coins, top 10 bid-ask ratio 1.01, bids slightly dominant but limited strength. If 0.4985 does not hold, next support is at 0.4562; rebound resistance at 0.5633 and 0.5872. Strategy: light long position at 0.5045, stop loss at 0.4872, target 0.5595; if 0.4985 breaks, reverse to short, stop loss 0.5218, target 0.4583, single position no more than 5%.
——Personal opinion only, not investment advice, wish you successful trading.——
$WLD#Strategy提议为优先股发放每日股息
#Strategy提议为优先股发放每日股息 $WLD On-chain investigator @ZachXBT pointed out that the Chinese group laundering money for the $387 million Bitget theft is openly recruiting orders.
What’s more troublesome is that a member codenamed Alias 4 was involved earlier this year in laundering the $292 million Kelp DAO theft and has been linked to multiple incidents attributed to TraderTraitor.
The same person repeatedly appearing in major theft cases indicates this is not isolated individual behavior but a specialized industrial chain with stable division of labor.
Recovering stolen assets is difficult, and the difficulty lies in the fact that this chain itself is professionalized.Before the US market even opened, risk assets were already under pressure. 🔴 $BTC : $82.9K | -1.81% Support: $82.6K → $81.5K Resistance: $84K–$84.6K RSI6 at 18.1 suggests deeply oversold conditions. 🔴 $ETH : $2.647K | -1.49% Support: $2.63K → $2.58K Resistance: $2.7K–$2.72K 🟡 Gold: $4,151 | -2.67% Support: $4,140 → $4,090 Resistance: $4,200–$4,230 RSI6 at 0.67 signals extreme oversold conditions, while momentum remains bearish. $BTC #PCEAndPayrollsWeek #MicronEarningsAhead Finally, let's wrap up by looking at the news and what to watch next. To conclude: there hasn't been much volatility today. We will continue to operate as previously advised, making sure to set take-profit and stop-loss properly. Our views and key levels remain unchanged. The real highlight this week is still a series of US data releases. Market overview: Bitcoin is around 82,950, Ethereum around 2,655, Solana about 118.5, Dogecoin about 0.0931, and Ripple about 1.491. In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin dropped about 1.7%, Ethereum about 1.2%, Solana about 2.8%, Dogecoin about 3.9%, and Ripple about 1.7%. The replenishment points for long positions (Bitcoin 80,000, Ethereum 2,500) have not been reached yet, and the stop-loss points (78,000/75,000, 2,300) are even further away; the stop-loss points for short positions (Solana 140, Dogecoin 0.12, Ripple 1.7) have also not been triggered. Geopolitics and oil prices: Over the weekend, Trump rejected Iran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days. Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi also said on Sunday that the conditions for reopening the strait are clear and there will be no concessions. Today in the Asian session, oil prices rose noticeably. Al Jazeera reported that November Brent crude briefly surged over 3%, approaching 108 USD; Cointelegraph also mentioned that US West Texas Intermediate crude briefly broke above 95 USD, the first time since September 24. Trump was#NEAR
NEAR's recent catalysts are very strong! The TVL of privacy intent protocols continues to rise, the NEAR@3.33 options-style airdrop ignites market sentiment, inflation halving upgrades optimize token supply, and privacy perpetual contracts are launched simultaneously, leading to a concentrated short-term narrative explosion.
The market shows strong resilience; this round of the market is driven by sector sentiment plus fundamental resonance but highly depends on overall market risk appetite. Focus on two key levels: $3.33 is the core threshold for airdrop exercise, and the $4.2-4.4 range above is a historical selling pressure zone. Risks should also be noted, as intense competition within L1 makes it easy for positive news to trigger profit-taking sell-offs.
Do not heavily chase highs; manage position allocation and stop losses well. How long do you think NEAR's privacy rally can last?
#OKX预言家：第二赛季即将收官 I think what $AAVE is doing this time is even more important than "tokenizing US stocks".
Previously, tokenizing Apple, Nvidia, Tesla mainly solved how to buy and trade.
Now Aave has taken a step further: these tokenized US stocks can already be used as collateral to borrow USDC.
This means stocks are no longer just investment products but have become "collateral" on-chain.
I think this is where RWA truly gets interesting.
If more and more stocks, bonds, and even funds can be used this way in the future, DeFi will compete not just for the original crypto funds but for the much larger assets in traditional finance.
Of course, the scale is still small now, and stock prices are mainly updated 24/5, while DeFi operates 24/7, so the issue of price desynchronization on weekends still exists.
But the direction has changed.
Before, it was about moving Wall Street assets onto the chain; now it’s about directly connecting Wall Street assets into DeFi.
#Aave支持代币化美股抵押借USDC Client optimization continues to advance, and after the implementation of EIP‑4444, the hardware requirements for running Ethereum nodes have been significantly reduced. Ordinary people can also run nodes, which strengthens the foundation of decentralization rather than simply chasing price increases. $ETH 2.4 billion USD has already flowed into the US spot BTC ETF, but BTC only rose 4.8% in a week, still retracing from the high of 87,399. Where exactly did the money go? Let's first look at three news variables. First, ETF funds have improved for three consecutive weeks: net inflow of 1.4181 billion USD on September 21, 251.8 million USD on September 22, 353.7 million USD on September 23, totaling about 2.4075 billion USD in the last 5 trading days, which is another step up from the previous 5-day window's 1.9 billion USD; second, BTC is currently reported at 84,603 USD, up slightly by 0.22% in 24 hours, with a range from 74,955.5 to 87,399 on the 20th, and the price is consolidating in the upper half of the range; third, the macro side is almost static: US Dollar Index at 101.27 (-0.02%), S&P 500 at 7,704.13 (-0.02%), gold rebounded to 4,289.8 USD (COMEX 4,322.5, +0.57%). The key is that ETF inflows and spot net buying are not the same thing. The funds subscribed are passively absorbing spot, but at the same time, there may be three selling forces: early holders cashing out above 87,000, miners' regular selling pressure, and leveraged funds reducing positions near the upper range. 2.4 billion USD sounds large, but converted into BTC it only accounts for a small portion of the daily average spot trading volume, so it can support the price but is insufficient to directly drive a breakout. What is more noteworthy is the rhythm: of this 2.4 billion, 1.4181 billion was concentrated on September 🚨 ONE SMALL WIN… TWO BIG LOSSES. THIS IS WHY LEVERAGE MATTERS.
Just settled the latest positions, and honestly… this is exactly how brutal contract trading can be.
🟢 ZEC Short 3x Isolated Entry: 1658.7
Exit: 1652.72
Profit: +33.11 USDT
Small move, small profit — but the risk was controlled.
🔴 ETH Long 30x Entry: 2656.69
Stopped out: -1,815.91 USDT
🔴 SNDK Long 10x Entry: 1819.3
Loss: -3,712.18 USDT
One trade won. Two trades lost.
But the real lesson isn't the P&L.
#DailyOrbit ETF inflows hit a new high, altcoins start to steal the spotlight, recommending three altcoins worth watching — DOGE, SUI, WLD
Last week, the US stock BTC spot ETF net inflow was about $2.386 billion, the highest single-week inflow since October 2025, with nearly $3 billion accumulated over 7 consecutive days. Institutional funds are still flowing back, but the single-day inflow dropped from $999 million to $134 million, showing some cooling in enthusiasm.
Don't assume "institutional funds are withdrawing from BTC to altcoins." A more reasonable logic is: BTC rose 43.5% in Q3 and entered a consolidation phase, so some trading funds may be seeking altcoins with higher volatility and greater elasticity. Only when altcoins show increased volume + price resilience + breakout of resistance can rotation be better confirmed.
$DOGE
Around 0.093: resistance at 0.096-0.098, breakout target 0.10; support at 0.090-0.091, breakdown target 0.087.
$SUI
Around 1.18: resistance at 1.22-1.25, support at 1.15-1.16, breakdown target 1.10.
$WLD
Around 0.51: resistance at 0.53-0.55, support at 0.49-0.50, breakdown target 0.47.
Don't rush to chase. First see if BTC can hold steady, then see if altcoins can break out with volume. BTC sideways and altcoins rising in volume and price make rotation more worthy of attention; once BTC weakens, altcoins usually also experience amplified volatility.
What really matters to watch is not who rises fastest, but whether funds are actually diffusing from BTC to altcoins with high elasticity.【$FARTCOIN Viewpoint】Bearish bias (short-term within 24 hours) 【Basis】① 2-hour MA20 (0.1895) is pressing from above, indicating a weakening mid-term structure; ② In the last 6 candles on the 15-minute chart, 5 are bullish, showing short-term momentum is relatively strong; ③ Price is at 12.5% position within the 24-hour range, close to the lower boundary, with limited downside space 【Trigger】Break above 0.1719 and hold for two 15-minute candles → viewpoint turns bullish; break below 0.1674 → viewpoint turns strong bearish or invalidated 【Invalidation】If a high-volume long bullish candle appears on the 15-minute chart reclaiming the key level, it indicates a wick shakeout, and this viewpoint is invalidated. Currently, $FARTCOIN stands 9.62% below the 2-hour moving average (0.1895), with the short-term cost zone nearby. On the 15-minute chart, 5 of the last 6 candles are bullish—buying pressure is still present. Let's first discuss the short-term structure. On the 15-minute timeframe, $FARTCOIN is below both MA20 (0.1714) and MA50 (0.1816), with the two moving averages diverging, indicating a clear short-term directional bias. The 2-hour range is 0.1674 ~ 0.2189, with the current price at 7.6% position; the 2-hour MA20 is 0.1895, and the price is 9.62% below it (2-hour perspective). The daily chart shows a complete bullish structure: $FARTCOIN's MA20 is at 0.1653, with the price 3.6AI has clearly cooled down in the second half of the year. Here is my judgment: I am not optimistic about this Micron earnings report at all.
Goldman Sachs has projected $1.2 trillion in capital expenditures by the five major tech companies by 2027, and Anthropic is also expanding production, but these expectations are overly optimistic.
However, capital expenditure is "throwing money," not "monetization."
What the market is looking at now is whether HBM and DRAM can translate into solid profit growth.
If the earnings report merely "meets expectations," under the current high interest rate environment, tech stocks will inevitably face ruthless valuation cuts.
More importantly, if Micron's earnings report causes a sell-off, the Nasdaq will come under pressure, and risk sentiment will inevitably spread to the crypto space.
BTC is currently consolidating around 84k, ETH is struggling at 2680, both basically waiting for macro direction.
If Micron blows up, Bitcoin and Ethereum will most likely follow suit.
#财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 When the rhythm is right, the market will naturally prove it for you.
At noon, I clearly set a short position layout in the 4217-4235 resistance zone, with the first target at 4156, and if broken, continue to look at 4110. Now the market has been smashed from 4217.72 all the way down to 4140.67, easily breaking through the target. The bearish momentum is being released in full, those who follow naturally take profits, while the hesitant can only watch the market play out.
4156 has been effectively broken, and 4110 is just ahead. Before the trend changes, rebounds are opportunities. Going long against the trend requires weighing the cost first. $XAU #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高 The recent breakout of Altcoins has not happened randomly but is clearly concentrated on the following 3 main driving groups: 1. Breakout group driven by Infrastructure & Legal momentum (BCH, XRP, ETH) • Bitcoin Cash (BCH): Surged over 34% in just one week. The core growth driver comes from the major exchange CME Group officially announcing the launch of futures products specifically for BCH. This event paves the way for mainstream capital from large financial funds to flow into vBrothers, the crypto market is showing signs of fatigue. It has been falling all day today; BTC, ETH, and $ZEC are all dropping. But I still have to say: in this market, the key is to do swing trading, absolutely avoid holding long-term!
Look at the positions I hold:
ZEC short at 1,643.78, current price 1,581.88, floating profit already 11.29%, this short-term trade is solidly in profit.
SOL short at 120.94, current price 120.89, hovering near the cost line, also on the edge of profit.
Positions are small; the big players don’t care about my small change.
Why do I keep emphasizing swing trading? Because this market is driven by leveraged funds; spot trading volume can’t support it at all. BTC dropped from 87,000 and has been grinding between 81,000 and 84,000 for over a week, every rally gets smashed back down. ETH tried to break above 2,700 three times but failed to hold. $ZEC is only pumped by short squeeze liquidations; contract trading volume is more than ten times spot. This kind of structure rises fast and falls fast—whoever holds on stubbornly gets buried.
Technically, the market’s MACD is stagnating at a high level, RSI is falling back from overbought, volume keeps shrinking—typical fatigue. In this situation, short at highs, long at lows, take a bite and run, never be greedy.
I’m holding my short positions and will take profits at the target.
Personal record, not investment advice. #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 Bitget will gradually and orderly resume withdrawals after the security incident on September 24. On-chain tracking has confirmed the transfer of $387.5 million to the attacker's address. The purpose of decentralization is also to better protect user assets. All parties in the blockchain industry must cooperate comprehensively and swiftly to govern, combat hacker address assets and transfer freezes, and recover assets to return to users. Today, BTC has been launched on the Bitcoin mainnet and BSC — as of 17:00 UTC+8, 9,585 orders have been processed, totaling 4,098.036 BTC. ETH and USDT related networks will resume withdrawals at 16:00 on September 29 and 30 respectively, and withdrawals of other tokens as well as fiat and C2C services will gradually resume starting October 2. A full retrospective has been completed. The attacker exploited vulnerabilities in third-party products to steal internal credentials, then used these credentials to send fraudulent withdrawal instructions, bypassing our risk control system. Private keys were not compromised, and cold wallets were unaffected. - The incident is under control. Affected systems have been isolated, and vulnerabilities have been fixed. - Related servers have been isolated to prevent further damage and preserve forensic evidence. - Internal credentials have been revoked and reissued, and access permissions for highly sensitive systems have been reorganized. - We have notified relevant third-party vendors, shared vulnerability details, and disabled affected functions before fixes. - Mandiant and SlowMist continue to support independent forensic investigations and asset tracking work. 10US Concerns Over Japanese Yen and Bond Market 😅😅
Now the Americans are really stressed, keeping a close eye on Japan's yen and US bonds. The yen has plummeted terribly, once hitting 164 yen to 1 dollar, a decades-long low. To support the yen, Japan has dumped $167 billion to rescue the market. Where did the money come from? Selling their US Treasury bonds!
Japan is the top creditor to the US, and with such massive selling of US bonds, US bond yields are soaring, directly raising America's borrowing costs.
The Bank of Japan is also raising interest rates to try to support the yen. But as the yen depreciates, Japanese goods become even cheaper in the US, aggressively taking over American domestic business. Even Trump complained to Japan's finance minister that the yen's drop is making trade tough for the US.
In short: Japan is rescuing its own currency, meanwhile shaking up the US bond market and stealing American business. This tug-of-war is making things uncomfortable for the US both inside and out. 93.41 million U, three full-position long orders
When I first entered the circle, I thought whales were all stable.
Current positions: $ETH 25,000 coins at 25x leverage, the only floating profit, liquidation price close to cost.
$BTC 200 coins at 40x leverage, floating loss piling up, drops a bit and hits the red line.
What others think: They say whales dare to open like this, must be confident in a big market move.
What I think: Full position with high leverage, if the direction is right, that's faith; if wrong, it's just a big bearish candle.
$HYPE 136,000 coins at 10x leverage, altcoin retreat causes the most volatility, losses faster than mainstream.
I don't guess if it will explode, just waiting for one signal: when $BTC no longer relies on that little net inflow from ETFs.
Wall Street dogs only have this much ability, the five-guarantee households are just spectators.
#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高 $ETH $BTC The current divergence is not about rise or fall, but whether the area around 82K is the last line of defense or the starting point of a rebound. TraderBamp's public view is to wait for $BTC limit buy orders near 81.9K, and if that fails, admit the mistake; another approach is to wait for a close below 82K before turning bearish. The former requires support, the latter requires confirmation, and they cannot be mixed into one conclusion.
The public market prices are approximately $BTC 82,986, $ETH 2,663, $SOL 118.5, still weak over the past 24 hours. My market observation leans neutral: only if $BTC retakes 83.2K and $ETH holds above 2.65K will I consider the rebound a recovery; if 82K closes below support, I will first lower my bullish assumptions.
I don't chase the first drop, nor do I try to catch rebounds in the middle; I prefer to split my positions and wait for confirmation. Will you wait for support near 81.9K, or decide after a break below 82K? For information sharing only, not investment advice.