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【Old Leek Observation】 $SUI
🔥 SUI has a major catalyst tomorrow: an on-site attempt to break the 6 million+ TPS record. The Sui Basecamp kicks off tomorrow in Singapore.
The most worth-watching event isn't the regular conference, but Mysten Labs' live challenge to Sui's TPS record. The current record is 6,086,766 TPS, and they plan to break it again tomorrow.
At the same time, the main themes of this conference are clear:
AI Agent + Automated Payments + Stablecoins + RWA
Also, on October 1st, Sui joined the Linux Foundation Decentralized Trust to participate in setting open standards for tokenized assets.
SUI is still around $1.20, without any exaggerated pre-pump.
Entry: $1.18–$1.22
Take Profit: $1.27 / $1.34 / $1.42 / $1.52 / $1.65
Stop Loss: $1.12
If the TPS test and conference content exceed expectations tomorrow, $1.27 will be the first resistance level. If it spikes directly, do not chase; wait for a pullback to buy again.#ZEC现货ETF首次周度净流出，NU7升级推进 This type of privacy sector news is difficult to directly transmit to KAITO in the short term, and macro funds remain cautious. I judge that KAITO will experience weak intraday oscillation with limited rebound strength.
Current price is 0.339, down 3.8% in 24 hours, with a high of 0.3524 and a low of 0.334. The trading volume is only 13.954 million, showing insufficient volume support. The 4-hour trend is downward, and the funding rate of -0.0029% indicates bearish sentiment dominance. Open interest is 12.132 million coins, and the order book buy-sell ratio is 1.01, with buy orders slightly dominant but weak absorption power.
Strategy-wise, lightly short near 0.3468 on rebound, stop loss at 0.3529, target 0.3296; if volume increases and stabilizes above 0.3421, reverse to short-term long, stop loss at 0.3352, target 0.3515. Position size should not exceed 20%, with strict stop loss on breakouts.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you smooth trading. —
$KAITO #BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks
#ZEC现货ETF首次周度净流出，NU7升级推进 $KAITO #ZEC spot ETF experiences first weekly net outflow, NU7 upgrade progresses, privacy sector funding divergence increases, SOL as a high-beta public chain cannot remain unaffected, short-term I lean more towards range-bound oscillation rather than a direct breakout. Current quote is 120.25, down slightly 1.1% in 24 hours, price is squeezed repeatedly between 122.02 and 118.82, trading volume only 5.776 million, volume insufficient to support a one-sided market. Funding rate 0.0001% nearly zero, open interest 2.967 million, neither longs nor shorts willing to add positions, and the top 10 order book buy-sell ratio is 0.96, sellers slightly dominant, breakout requires volume confirmation. Strategy: lightly try long on a pullback to 119.35, stop loss at 118.45, target 122.85; if volume surges and holds above 123.15, then chase long, stop loss at 121.95. Position control within 20%, exit immediately if broken, do not hold the position.
——This is only a personal opinion, not investment advice, wish you smooth trading.——
$SOL#BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks
#ZEC spot ETF experiences first weekly net outflow, NU7 upgrade progresses $SOL #BTC whale sell pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks, risk appetite is warming and spilling over to high-beta small-cap coins like SLX, but whether the rebound can continue still depends on whether leveraged funds follow. My judgment: short-term bullish bias, but discipline is a must.
SLX current price 0.06177, up only 0.2% in 24 hours, trading volume 3.376 million, yet it has consecutively broken below the 1-hour and 4-hour moving averages, falling 17.65% from the 4-hour high, indicating the rebound is weaker than the broader market. Funding rate 0.0050%, open interest 30.972 million coins, long crowding is not high; order book top 10 levels show 17,000 bids vs. 14,000 asks, bid-ask ratio 1.20, there is support at the low level, but 0.06216 above is a strong resistance.
Strategy: lightly buy on a pullback to 0.06025, stop loss at 0.05895, target 0.06385; if volume increases and it stabilizes above 0.06216, then chase, stop loss 0.06080, target 0.06520. Single position should not exceed 3% of total funds, do not hold through a break.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you successful trading. —
$SLX#BTC whale sell pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks
#BTC whale sell pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks $SLX The US CFTC has initiated the first round of crypto market rulemaking, raising expectations for the implementation of a regulatory framework. This is a medium- to long-term positive for mainstream assets like ETH, but short-term prices are still awaiting directional confirmation. My judgment is a bullish consolidation, with pullbacks presenting buying opportunities.
Overnight prices fluctuated between 2678.12 and 2733.96, currently quoted at 2708.69, slightly down 0.5%, with a turnover of 15.533 million and relatively light volume. The top ten buy orders stand at 6916 versus 414 sell orders, a ratio of 16.69, indicating very strong buying support; the funding rate is a mild positive 0.0035%, open interest is 608,000 coin-margined contracts, and bullish sentiment is not overheated. Both the 1-hour and 4-hour trends are upward, with about 5.18% room above the 4-hour low, limiting the depth of any pullback.
In terms of operations, one can place long orders at 2703.5 with a stop loss below 2677.3, targeting 2729.8, with a risk-reward ratio of about 3:1. If there is a rapid breakout above 2734.5, add to the long position and move the stop loss up to 2708.2; keep position size within 20% and leverage no more than 5x, being cautious of news-driven volatility.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$ETH#美CFTC启动首轮加密市场规则制定
#美CFTC启动首轮加密市场规则制定 $ETH Today is the 45th day of shorting ZEC, and the three-month target is already halfway through. If you can't hold it, then go to the factory!!!
ZEC current price is 1330, 24h -0.50%. After previously surging to a high of 1695.50, it has started a pullback adjustment.
Technical indicators
- RSI6=38.48, already in the weak zone, not yet deeply oversold, still room for a pullback.
- MACD: DIF46.46, DEA91.41, MACD -89.89, green bars continue to expand, daily level bearish momentum releasing.
- KDJ: K17.34, D20.76, J10.50, all declining, in a weak area.
Key price levels
Resistance: 1351-1422 (moving average resistance zone)
Support: 1276, if broken, look toward around 1100.
Market analysis: This round of explosive rally starting from a low point has ended, with a large amount of profit-taking at high levels. The pullback amplitude is much greater than BTC and ETH, showing high coin elasticity. Without ETF funds to support, it is entirely driven by market sentiment.
Summary: The daily trend is weakening, do not blindly bottom-fish. Wait for indicators to stabilize and recover before considering participation, control position size to avoid high volatility risk.
Technical review only, not investment advice. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $BTC $ETH $ZEC Institutions are all seeing 300, $SPCX remains bullish in the long term, but short positions near 180 are possible in the short term!
171 dollars seems more like an observation point after emotional repair, rather than confirmation of a new major upward wave.
Yesterday, $SPCX closed at 171.09 dollars, up 7.63% in a single day,
marking the highest close since June, a truly impressive performance.
The main reasons behind this are:
1️⃣ Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas reiterated an overweight rating with a target price of 300 dollars,
2️⃣ Elon Musk confirmed talks with TSMC on chip cooperation,
3️⃣ Starship Flight 14 entered orbit and deployed Starlink V3, with funds buying back the narrative that "the rocket is already priced in, and AI is almost free."
The reason I continue to be bullish is mainly because:
▶️ The stock price is still about 24% below the post-IPO high of 225 dollars, and only about 27% above the IPO price of 135 dollars;
▶️ The consensus target price is around 226–229 dollars, with Jonas's 300 dollars being more aggressive.
▶️ Spot buying and trading volume are keeping up, indicating it is not just short covering.
However, in the short term, $SPCX is more likely to first digest between 171–180 dollars, so short positions are not a big issue;
stand firm and then look at 190 dollars; if it falls back to 158–160 dollars, this round of recovery has failed.
The real pressure lies in the quarterly report and lock-up expiration; the growth story must be realized for 300 dollars to be more than just a paper target. #SpaceX股价反弹，创7月以来新高 $ETH one-hour chart is fluctuating back and forth, with bulls and bears tugging at each other. Currently, there are three possible scenarios.
First, if it holds above 2727 with increased volume breaking through resistance, the mid-to-long-term bullish opportunity is confirmed, aiming to test around 2810. This is the ideal scenario for the bulls.
Second, if it remains stuck in the 2680-2727 range with prolonged consolidation, existing funds are battling back and forth, neither rising nor falling significantly. Both bulls and bears find it hard to gain large profits. This is suitable for observation without rushing into heavy positions.
Third, if it effectively breaks below the key support at 2678, the mid-to-long-term bearish logic holds, and it will further probe the dense chip area around 2590. A large number of low-position long orders will be shaken out.
Currently, RSI is stuck near 50 with no clear direction. BTC has not made a big move, so ETH is unlikely to have an independent trend. Mid-to-long-term investors should not rush to bet on one side; wait until the price reaches key levels before taking action.
Personally, I lean more towards the second consolidation scenario, but plans for the first and third should also be prepared.
Follow your uncle here, don’t get fooled or suffer losses.
#ETH mid-to-long-term key range battle #BTC consolidation drags down Ethereum $ETH $BTCSpaceX stock price rebound hits a new high since July, and the warming risk appetite has boosted short-term sentiment for BTC, but I judge this wave of linkage to be weak. BTC overall is still in a consolidation pattern within a rebound, so chasing highs is not advisable. At the 85558.7 level, there is a clear divergence between bulls and bears; it dropped 0.8% in 24h, with a low probe to 84937.5 before recovering. Both the 1-hour and 4-hour trends are upward, but the pullback from the high is only about 1.4%. The order book's top 10 levels show a buy-sell ratio of 29.48, with buyers placing 2265 orders against 77 sell orders, indicating strong short-term support willingness. The funding rate is only 0.0043%, with open interest at 29,000, indicating bulls are not overheated and sentiment is cautious. Strategically, a light long position can be tried on a pullback to 85230, with a stop loss at 84560 and a target of 86480; if it directly surges to around 86620 and stalls, reduce positions and exit. Single position size should not exceed 5% of total funds, and stop loss must be respected without holding losing positions.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you successful trading. —
$BTC#SpaceX股价反弹，创7月以来新高
#SpaceX股价反弹，创7月以来新高 $BTC The coins I watch the most every day are Bitcoin, Ethereum, and ZEC.
Bitcoin $BTC: Currently at $85,500, with a high of $86,600 and a low around $84,940 in the past 24 hours, showing a slight pullback. The daily K-line still indicates a bullish structure, RSI around 65, meaning bulls still have the advantage. However, the $86,500-$87,000 range is a key resistance zone. If it can break through with volume and hold above, it will open a new height above. If it rallies and then falls back again, look for support at $84,800, then $84,000.
Ethereum $ETH: Ethereum is currently around $2,700-$2,710, fluctuating between $2,680 and $2,730. In the short term, it will be interesting to see if it can follow BTC to push higher and challenge $2,800. If it fully retraces, watch if the $2,650 support can hold. The Glamsterdam upgrade is a test phase for the upcoming mainnet upgrade, which is basically positive for ETH's fundamentals.
Looking at ZEC $ZEC: ZEC is now around $1,320, with higher volatility than Bitcoin and Ethereum. Short-term support is at $1,280, with important support around $1,250. The $1,360-$1,400 range is a short-term minor resistance; breaking through it would open an upward space. Recently, ZEC's ETF saw an outflow of $93.5 million, indicating significant profit-taking at high levels in the short term. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 Around 1700, can SanDisk go long? Look at the turnover rate
SanDisk is fluctuating around the $1700 range. As a high turnover sentiment stock, short-term funds repeatedly flow in and out, lacking long-term locked-in chips. The current high turnover at a high level indicates that the bulls and bears still have significant disagreements.
High turnover has two sides: it represents that the sector's heat still exists, but chips are being exchanged in large quantities here. If the stock price surges but the turnover rate shrinks, incremental funds are insufficient, and the rebound is easily ended; once a large-volume long bearish candle appears, high turnover directly evolves into capital flight, and the correction will be much stronger than Hynix and Micron.
It neither has Hynix's trend resilience nor Micron's institutional swing trading characteristics, so heavy long positions on the trend are strictly prohibited, and passive holding is advised against.
If participating, it is limited to small position short-term speculation:
✅ Entry conditions: storage sector sentiment warms up, stock price stabilizes on the platform, turnover remains healthy
⚠️ Risk control discipline: set stop loss, do not be stubborn in battle, decisively exit on volume breakCountdown to the minutes, the market is waiting for a punctuation mark
The Fed minutes haven't been released yet, but funds have already pulled back in advance. BTC touched a high of 82800 then slipped back to 82100, seemingly stable but actually shaky. Heavy selling pressure above 83500, several attempts to break through failed. Moving averages tangled, MACD formed a golden cross below zero, red bars shrinking, looks hesitant rather than aggressive. 82100 is short-term support, 83500 is the real test: a breakout with volume could target 84000/84500; if it loses 81800, 81400 won't hold either.
ETH is relatively resilient, moving averages near 2730 are flat, MA20 at 2705 provides support. Resistance at 2738, 2755, 2770, hard to break without volume. SOL continues to play dead, fluctuating within 2 dollars around 141.5, MA5/MA10 are converging, resistance at 143.2, support at 139.5, no volume means no chance.
Minutes looming overhead, no one wants to bet first. Low volume limits the rebound; only strong wording combined with volume and price action is a real signal. Before the wind blows, waiting for a ratio move is more valuable.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 "Hundredfold Rolling, Fierce on the Edge"
In this short-term round, Sister Bao is like dancing on the tip of a needle. $BTC is rolled back and forth with 100x leverage: long at 85088, exit at 85839; re-enter at 85288, exit again at 85577.6. Neither segment lingers in battle, profiting from intraday narrow fluctuations rather than a big trend feast. On the other side, $PENGU is only given 10x leverage and a small position, leaving some altcoin flexibility to bet on sentiment spillover.
The real harshness of this strategy is not the "hundredfold" leverage, but the discipline: no action without a clear range, pocket profits once made, cut immediately if the direction is wrong; main position on BTC, small position testing altcoins, never putting all chips into high-volatility coins. Dare to open, dare to run.
But the risk is also clear: 100x leaves almost no room for error. If BTC reverses by dozens of points, there might not even be time to react, leading directly to liquidation. Hitting the mark continuously today only shows the current oscillation rhythm is in sync, not that the method can dominate long-term. $ETH and BTC are still tugging within ranges, no single-sided trend from bulls or bears. Ultra-high leverage profits fast, but a single candlestick can cause a crash. Watching the spectacle is fine, but don’t mistake survivor bias for a cash machine. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 The US 2025 tax filing extension deadline is approaching on October 15. For those involved in crypto transactions, it's best not to treat the received 1099-DA as a finalized profit statement.
The IRS requires brokers to report transaction proceeds starting from 2025 trades, while cost basis reporting for certain transactions begins only in 2026. This means the 2025 form you receive may only show the sale amount, and you will need to supplement the cost portion with your own records.
For example: if you bought crypto for $9,000 and later sold it for $10,000, the sale proceeds are $10,000, and the difference is $1,000. The actual taxable result depends on applicable rules and related fees. Filling the cost basis as zero directly may lead to completely incorrect tax calculations.
Cross-platform transfers are especially tricky. The selling platform knows how much you sold but may not know the original purchase price. Transfers between wallets and exchange trade records need to be matched to the same batch of assets; you cannot just look at the last withdrawal.
Also, ordinary extensions mainly extend the filing deadline but do not automatically extend the tax payment deadline; special cases like disasters and overseas situations require separate verification. This reminder is for those with US filing obligations, not all crypto holders. I think spending time organizing records now is much better than submitting an incomplete form at the deadline and regretting it.
#美2025年度延期报税10月15日截止，涉及加密申报 Protocol-level privacy pools can merge liquidity but also push governance issues to the mainnet
Currently, privacy transfers mostly exist in dedicated applications, wallets, or layer-2 solutions, with different schemes maintaining separate liquidity pools, causing anonymous sets to be fragmented. The proposed protocol-level shielded pools aim to enable $ETH and ERC-20 tokens to complete hidden transfers on shared infrastructure, lowering the barrier for users to find specific applications. The larger the anonymous set, the harder it is to guess a single deposit or withdrawal from a small number of participants.
Shared infrastructure also means governance pressure is more concentrated. Which assets are supported, how proof systems upgrade, how to handle malicious funds, and how wallets display by default will all escalate from individual application issues to ecosystem-wide concerns. Privacy pools sever the direct link between deposits and withdrawals but do not automatically hide network entry points, usage timing, or all amount characteristics, nor do they mean compliance boundaries can be ignored.
EIP-8182 is currently a proposal under consideration by Hegotá, and there is still a significant gap from "native privacy transfers on the mainnet." I support Ethereum advancing privacy from an add-on product to a fundamental capability, but I will not treat the research roadmap as a delivery ahead of time. For the long-term value of $ETH, the key is not having one more narrative label, but whether it can protect ordinary users' transaction relationships while retaining verifiable rules and enabling implementation without relying on a single operator.Watched the top gainers list all afternoon, the hourly candle at 3 PM for $API3 is a bit crazy.
Last night it was just above 0.29, then at midnight it surged to 0.333, and the whole morning it hovered between 0.30 and 0.32 with low volume. The second phase started at 1 PM, it jumped to 0.344 in one hour, touched 0.357 at 2 PM, and the 3 PM candle directly shot up to 0.406. Spot trading volume was nearly 600,000 USDT in one hour, up more than 30% in 24 hours.
The most interesting part is the futures side: funding rate is -0.88%, shorts are paying longs, and open interest is only a bit over 2 million USD. The price is surging up, shorts are still holding on hard; this kind of setup can easily lead to a short squeeze, but on the flip side, it also shows many believe this rally is fake.
I’m not chasing it myself: 0.40 is a psychological level, wait for a volume-backed close above it; if it falls back to 0.345, which is the starting point of the rally at 1 PM, this wave is basically done. The major market $BTC at 85400 and $ETH at 2700 are both slightly down, these small coins’ independent moves come fast and go fast.
$BTC $ETH $API3 #API3 #Oracle #Altcoin #ShortSqueeze
#OKXNOW: Ushering in a new era of 24/7 markets #ThisWeekFedWillReleaseSeptemberMinutes #BTCWhaleSellingPressureEases, ETF funds net inflow for three consecutive weeks
#RiskWarning
This is not investment advice; coins with negative funding rates can be volatile both ways, don’t go all in.ETF has had net inflows for three consecutive weeks, but BTC has been stuck around 85k for three days — money is coming in, so where's the price?
#BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks #This week the Fed will release the September meeting minutes
The high for three days was 86994, the low was 84550, and today it has been fluctuating between 85141 and 86142 all day, currently at 85.6k. The funding fee is only +0.0045%, leverage hasn't caught up at all. Simply put, spot is slowly absorbing while futures are just watching.
My understanding: whales have stopped dumping, but that doesn't mean anyone is willing to chase. Before the minutes come out at 2 AM Thursday, it's very likely to stay in this range.
$BTC $ETH
Which do you trust more with three weeks of inflows?
A Accumulating, will surge to 87k after the minutes
B Just holding the bottom, still needs to return to 84.5k
Drop a letter in the comments, I'll check the answers ThursdayOKX's AI strategy this time is starting to take a different approach.
At the OKX NOW Summit in Singapore on October 6, OKX showcased products such as the Agent Trade Kit, OnchainOS, Agentic Wallet, OKX AI, and AI Builder Program, and demonstrated the upcoming AI bot. The key point is: AI is no longer just helping you analyze market trends, but is moving toward a complete closed loop of "analysis→ strategy formulation→ execution →asset management."
Simply put, in the future, users won't even need to focus on K-line orders; they can simply use natural language to tell AI their trading logic, create personalized strategies, and then complete on-chain trading and asset management within the authorized scope.
I think the real imagination here is the agent economy. OKX is connecting exchanges, wallets, on-chain infrastructure, and the AI Agent service market. Users can use professional agents, and developers can turn their strategies, knowledge, and trading capabilities into subscription-ready and monetizable services.
This means the competition between AI+Crypto may gradually shift from "whose model is smarter" to "who can truly complete the transaction closed loop."
For the OKB, OKX ecosystem, and the entire on-chain AI track, this represents a medium- to long-term infrastructure upgrade.
But in the short term, don't equate product launches with token price increases; what really needs to be observed are the user base, trading scale, and age after the AI bot goes liveThree prices, three temperatures
$BTC is around $86K, like the water level of the main channel. It doesn't guarantee the safety of all ships, but it indicates whether big money is still willing to set high prices for crypto assets. If it holds steady, broad strength remains; if it falls, the market focus will be repriced.
ETH is about $2.7K, the second line of verification. If BTC is strong but ETH is stagnant, risks may still be concentrated in a few assets; if ETH keeps up, it means the overall market risk is starting to expand, and funds no longer only hold the thickest legs.
$SOL is about $122, more sensitive. It doesn't define the market bottom line but exposes traders' courage. If SOL strengthens, the risk curve shifts right, and people are willing to pay for higher volatility; if SOL weakens, even if BTC hasn't fallen, risk appetite should be warned as contracting.
All three belong to the same market but act like three instruments: BTC looks at strength, ETH looks at diffusion, SOL looks at courage. Looking at only one can easily mistake a part for the whole; looking at all simultaneously can piece together a more complete cycle position amid the noise. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Approval implementation ≠ entry signal: Understanding the “single-day game” of 3x BTC/ETH products
$SECZ has approved six 3x leveraged products, including 3x BTC and 3x ETH, immediately heating up market sentiment. But don’t rush to enter yet; the rules hide two key words: single-day, reset.
These products only aim to deliver three times the daily price movement of the underlying asset, rebalancing after market close. For example, if BTC rises 10% in a day, the product gains about 30%; if BTC falls 10%, the product loses about 30%. It seems symmetrical but is not a long-term 3x. If the market fluctuates repeatedly, daily rebalancing causes drag, and the longer you hold, the more the actual returns may diverge from the 3x target. This erosion is especially painful in a choppy market.
More importantly, approval and launch are not the same. The registration process is not yet complete, and ordinary accounts may still be unable to buy. Equating “approval effective” directly with “already listed” can lead to misjudging the timing.
Therefore, this is positive news but does not mean you can get in right now. If you really want to participate, at least wait until the product is tradable and liquidity is proven before assessing position size and risk. It is more suitable as a short-term tactical tool rather than a long-term core holding. Don’t let leverage amplify profit fantasies or magnify drawdowns. Investing involves risk; decisions must be independent.Embarrassing to admit: ZEC hovered around 1300 for three days, and I was so itchy watching the market that I almost caught the spike at 1278 in the early morning—but I held back, now it's at 1331.
#ZEC spot ETF outflows for 3 consecutive days, NU7 upgrade approaching
My problem is whenever I see the words "upgrade approaching," I want to rush in. But the topic clearly states that the spot ETF has been flowing out for three days straight, the funding rate has also reached +0.01%, and quite a few are chasing longs. The three-day high is 1368, the low is 1278, basically oscillating within this box; whoever panics first pays the tuition.
The rule I set for myself now: don’t panic unless it breaks 1278, don’t chase unless it firmly holds above 1368, treat everything in between as noise.
$ZEC $BTC
Have you ever experienced this? Clearly set rules, but when you see a bullish headline, your hands don’t listen. Did you hold back or rush in? Share in the comments, I’ll reply to each.🔥 OKB’s Burning Mechanism Has Fundamentally Reshaped Its Tokenomics The burning of $OKB marks a major transformation in OKX’s token economic model. The biggest change is clear: in August 2025, OKB completed a one-time large-scale burn, permanently reducing its total supply to 21 million tokens. This effectively shifted OKB from a traditional deflationary model to one based on absolute scarcity. 📜 🔥 Historical Burn Review: 2019–2025 Before the final burn, OKB operated under a quarterly buybackRecently, there's an interesting phenomenon: everyone is focused on who is leading the rhythm between BTC and SOL, but no one mentions ETH, the silent central force. The mainstream view thinks it rises slowly and lacks explosive power, but in fact, the Glamsterdam upgrade was activated today on the Sepolia testnet. The EIP-7732 protocol introduces proposer-builder separation and block-level access lists, taking L1 throughput to the next level. On-chain real Gas consumption has never stopped; that smart contract base layer is seriously underestimated. Funds are not focusing on it for now, but once sector rotation ignites, the low-volatility base layer will be more resilient. The asset that doesn't fall easily is the one to really watch. Use your own judgment, think it through yourself, don't get carried away by emotions. This round, ETH stands at 2697, with more catch-up potential than expected. $ETH #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱, ETF funds have seen net inflows for three consecutive weeks. Recently, a set of noteworthy signals have appeared on the BTC market: selling pressure from whale addresses has clearly weakened, while spot ETF funds have maintained net inflows for three consecutive weeks, indicating changes in supply and demand. According to on-chain data, the whale group that previously sold continuously has recently tightened transfer and selling behavior, with many holding addresses no longer making large transfers, indicating that the momentum for selling at high levels is waning. As a key chip supplier in the market, the slowdown in selling pressure means short-term selling pressure is weakening, and the pressure from chip selling is being released. On the other hand, BTC spot ETF funds continue to flow in, maintaining net inflows for three consecutive weeks. Continued institutional capital inflows indicate that institutional recognition of the current price level is increasing, with a steady stream of incremental funds entering to absorb market shares. On one hand, whale selling has decreased; on the other, incremental ETF funds continue to buy, forming a pattern of "weakened selling pressure + buying support." But it is important to view objectively: the current structure does not immediately trigger a one-sided surge. Bullish logic: Whale selling pressure has declined + ETF continues net inflows, chip supply decreases, incremental funds continue to absorb, and bottom support strengthens. Once market sentiment warms up, a rebound is likely to occur. Bear risk points: Macro news, Federal Reserve policies, and sudden regulatory announcements will still cause sharp volatility; Whales may resume selling at any time, ETF funds could shift from inflows to outflows, and the market could reverse at any time. Going forward, focus on two core indicators: 1. Changes in BTC whale address holdingsWhen selecting coins, I care more about what will continue to drive the price up. A drop can be justified by a cheaper price, or it might just mean the original expectations were too high.
For $RE, this time I want to first calculate the valuation.
The circulating market cap is about $80 million, but based on the total token supply, the valuation is about $500 million, and the current circulation only accounts for about 16% of the total.
So you can't just look at $80 million and think the upside is huge. If the circulating supply increases later, more demand will be needed to maintain the same price.
Of course, no circulation doesn't mean immediate selling, so it shouldn't be directly treated as immediate selling pressure.
My stance is that short-term rebounds can be observed, but for the long term, future supply must be factored in; you can't just pick the smallest market cap to tell a story.
$ETH has risen about 9% in the past month, but only about 1.2% this week, with no obvious acceleration for now.
I think there's no need to rush to discuss how far it can rise; first, see if it can resume active upward movement.
If the market warms up later and it still only follows slightly, then short-term expectations should be more conservative. It has long-term utility, but it also needs buyers willing to keep buying now.
$WLD fell about 3.4% in 24 hours but still rose nearly 14% over the week. This drop hasn't erased the previous gains.
Therefore, I don't currently interpret a one-day drop as the end of the trend, nor will I immediately assume the correction is complete.
How much the rebound recovers the decline will help judge whether buying interest remains. For now, treat it as a pullback after a rise and wait for confirmation.Good morning, genius traders. BTC retraced to 85,334 USD last night, dropping over 1% back to the 85K midline, with an intraday range of 84,700 to 86,600. On Monday, BTC ETF saw a net outflow of 89.8M; after two days of inflows, it turned to net redemptions, but last week still had a net inflow of 241M, so institutional base holdings remain intact. Citi raised BTC's 12-month target from 82,000 to 113,000, confident due to continued ETF accumulation. Key technical levels to watch—resistance above at 87,570 (start of 2026 level), then 90,000; support below at 83,600, with a break below 80,500 being truly dangerous. RSI at 62 remains in the bullish zone, with fear and greed at 67, indicating greed is not low. Today, the key is whether 85K can hold steady; if not, expect a retest around 83.6K. $BTC #星球日报 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 "Between Hot and Cold"
The Nasdaq and U.S. Treasury bonds keep hitting new highs, but the crypto market seems oblivious. With pressure above and support below, the market moves cautiously and tensely.
$OKB is today's focus. Two pieces of news add fuel: OKX ICE has applied to the SEC to launch a tokenized stock trading platform; the OKX NOW new product launch event is coming on October 6. The market oscillated upward from the 121 support level, hitting resistance at 128, slowing the rally. If 127 holds, there might be room for a short-term continued rise.
AAVE is giving the bears a hard time. My short position is floating at about a 7% loss. The 177 low once seemed like a chance to break even, but when OKB surged, it followed suit, shooting from 177 to 185. The bulls are aligned neatly; it's hard to guess when the rally will end.
$ETH is still moving sideways within a range. The 2740 resistance repeatedly suppresses it; several attempts to break higher were pushed back near 2700. The bulls lack strength; any rise seems to give bears an opportunity. I dare not chase longs.
Market sentiment is fragmented, with rapid shifts between strength and weakness. The above are just my personal market insights and do not constitute any trading advice. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $HYPE large long position unlock today has already gained over 2000u~🔥
Hype sees a large unlock today, releasing 3.75 million HYPE tokens worth $340 million. Dream Sister's long position entered at 85.34 and reached around 92.9, already gaining 2019u.
The reasons to be bullish are simple:
1. On October 3rd, Hyperliquid received its first AQAv2 reserve income of about $14.58 million, which will go into the Assistance Fund to buy back HYPE and permanently burn it.
2. Along with today's large token unlock, market funds will enter to speculate.
Those wanting to enter long positions can watch around 95 as a strong resistance level above; selling pressure is relatively high there. Dream Sister has already exited her long position.
$BTC $ETH #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
#美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7% $ZEC long! Strong rebound!
The bulls of ZEC have been flushed out, but the bears think they have won.
The largest short position closed 38,000 coins, whales withdrew 24,700 coins from Binance and Gate, and a new wallet withdrew 7,166 coins.
You see, the more the bears struggle, the more they are shrinking liquidity on-chain. Enter on breakout confirmation, exit immediately if invalid."Sideways movement doesn't mean no direction; it means the direction is holding its breath."
Sideways trading is the most exhausting; you know you have to pick a direction, but you don't know which way. BTC and ETH grind back and forth, sell orders don't push deep, buy orders don't lift the price, bulls and bears wait for the other side to move first. It's not about judgment, it's about patience.
$BTC: Current price around 85500, hugging the 1-hour EMA55. One candlestick can determine the direction. Above, 85400–85600 is a dense zone of trapped positions; it ground for four hours last night without breaking through; further resistance at 87000–89000 is even stronger. But the giant whales have stopped depositing, the dumping trend is over, supply tightens. Daily chart still bullish, MACD dead cross, momentum weakening. Only a volume breakout above 85600 has a chance; otherwise, it will continue grinding.
$ETH: Hovering near 2700, 2800 is a strong ceiling, 2600 can be lost anytime. ETH/BTC ratio is recovering, relatively improving. But Binance ETH sell orders suppress buy orders, Hyperliquid has 3.3 billion open interest exceeding BTC, 67% long positions; breaking 2700 could trigger a chain reaction. Holding 2700 targets 2750–2800; failing that, look to 2600.
Macro: Gold grinds at 4130, Fed to raise rates by 25 basis points in September, major banks downgrade gold prices. OPEC+ maintains output, Hormuz Strait remains closed, oil prices have a floor, inflation won't fall, rate hike logic hard to break. Don't expect the macro environment to drive the market.
#OKXNOW: Opening a new era of 24/7 markets
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件 $SKHYNIX's trend really flips on a dime! It was repeatedly consolidating around 1370 earlier, then suddenly a few big bearish candles smashed it down to around 1320. Those who chased at the high probably barely had time to react.
I opened a short position near 1374.2, currently the mark price is 1327.4, with an unrealized profit of 1.70x. This round of decline is very clear from the hourly to the 4-hour chart; the previous surge near 1386 failed to continue, then it consecutively broke below 1360 and 1340, with short-term bears dominating.
Volume noticeably increased during the decline, and after the 4-hour MACD death cross, the green bars have been expanding, indicating the downward momentum hasn't clearly weakened yet. However, KDJ has entered the oversold zone, so continuing to chase shorts risks a sudden rebound.
Currently, there's a brief halt near 1320; if it breaks below again, the next level to watch is around 1310. If it rebounds and closes above 1340, short-term bears need to watch out for a corrective rally. Even if the direction is right, don't be careless—protecting profits is just as important. $BTC $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 75 seconds → 25 seconds. Today is the rehearsal.
Zcash’s NU7 reaches public testnet on Oct. 6, targeting 3× faster block cadence plus a new sustainability mechanism. $ZEC is trading around $1,338 on OKX, after touching $1,355 today, while yesterday’s rebound triggered ~$120K in short liquidations.
The upgrade is technical. The market experiment starts now: can usage follow speed?
#OKXNOW:24x7MarketEra #FedSeptemberMinutes #BTCWhalePressureEases $CHIP — Current price: 0.0526, up 7.4%. After falling from 0.14 to a low of 0.021, $CHIP spent more than half a month consolidating and is finally starting to show signs of a breakout. EMA7 and EMA30 have just formed a golden cross, while RSI at 61 still has room to strengthen. A light entry around 0.047 could be considered, with 0.044 as the key invalidation level. A clean break above 0.053 could signal the start of the next upward move. Keep an eye on it! 👀 $API3 — Current price: 0.317, up 7.#BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds see net inflows for three consecutive weeks Whale selling pressure eases + continuous ETF net inflows, signaling a warming BTC funding environment
Recently, there have been two marginal changes in BTC funding. Glassnode data shows that the trend of whales net inflowing to exchanges for over 3 months has ended, indicating a slowdown in large holders transferring to exchanges and a potential easing of selling pressure. SoSoValue data shows that the US Bitcoin spot ETF has had net weekly inflows for three consecutive weeks as of October 2, with about $241 million in the most recent week.
Logical interpretation: Whale transfers to exchanges are usually seen as a preparation to sell, so the end of this trend is a positive sign of weakening selling pressure; continuous ETF net inflows represent ongoing incremental capital entering the market. Combined, these factors suggest a short-term warming in funding, supporting BTC. However, note that the end of whale net inflows does not mean net outflows; it may just be a slowdown. The weekly ETF inflow scale is relatively small compared to BTC's total market cap, so sustainability is key. If ETFs start net outflows or whales accelerate transfers again, the logic will quickly reverse.
Trading approach: Watch if BTC can break and hold key resistance with volume. If it pulls back without breaking support and ETFs maintain net inflows, consider light long positions following the trend; if it rallies on low volume or ETFs turn to outflows, beware of false breakouts and prioritize reducing positions rather than chasing longs. Whale data is lagging and should not be used alone as an entry signal. Core principle: a warming funding environment is a positive factor, not a starting gun. Manage position size and set stop losses well. $BTC $OKB seems to be relying heavily on gambling-related events to keep its momentum going. The real question is: how much longer can this narrative sustain the price? 🤔Walking the dog at night, the dog was sniffing the utility pole ahead, and I was standing beside it scrolling on my phone when I saw a piece of data.
On the Pluang platform, the average holding time for Dogecoin users is 110 days. 110 days, a little over three months.
I just stood under the streetlight, stunned for a moment. Over three months. These people don’t just buy and sell immediately. Seventy-six percent of the orders are buys; fewer people are selling.
I glanced down at my dog, who was intently sniffing a pole, having been at it for almost a minute, very patient.
I was thinking, 110 days is actually quite a long time in the crypto market. Most people in this field buy today and sell tomorrow, checking the candlestick charts eight times a minute if they could. But with Dogecoin, many people hold for triple-digit days. What do you call that? Faith, holding on, or just being too lazy to manage it.
Anyway, the result is the same—the chips aren’t changing hands frequently; they’re settling.
The dog finally finished sniffing and tugged me forward. As we walked, I wondered, what was Dogecoin’s price 110 days ago? I can’t remember. But 110 days later? It might still be 0.09, or maybe not.
No matter what happens to $DOGE, I’ll probably still be here.Withdrew 3500R and 452u today.
Currently, the account has 920u,
BTC and ETH have pending orders for 5 days, profits have not been high, and volatility is low.
Made a wrong click on CT yesterday, closed the wrong order, but it’s still okay, with more than 8 times profit.
SAND’s profit is nearly tenfold now, planning to sell at 0.4.
PUMP currently has less than double profit, shorting leads to a red ocean, waiting to profit from it.
Yesterday early morning opened two ZEC orders, earned 132u, now have one pending at 1322, take profit at 1339.5. Also have a short order at 1340 without take profit set, I think it will drop, have been bearish for a week, but catching some volatility is still good. If not, it’s fine. Each order’s stop loss starts with a 30u position, if profit drops to -300, do a T, max stop loss 150u, take profit depends on trend, can hold long if possible. Who would have thought that $API3, which was lingering around 0.29 earlier, suddenly surged above 0.38! This kind of sudden acceleration in the market is the easiest to catch people halfway up the mountain; by the time they react, the price has already pulled far ahead.
Opened a long position on API3 around 0.317, currently marked at 0.3834, with unrealized profit reaching 2.09 times. The hourly chart shows a gradual rise from the low of 0.2871, breaking through the consolidation zone near 0.32, followed by consecutive large bullish candles, reaching a high of 0.3897.
This round of rally also shows a notable change: trading volume rapidly expands with the price breakout, MACD red bars grow in sync, indicating strong short-term bullish momentum. However, KDJ has entered a high-level zone, and after continuous sharp rises, a significant pullback could occur at any time.
Now it’s very close to the 0.39 psychological level; if it can hold above, there is room for further extension; if it falls back near 0.363, the short-term acceleration rhythm may be interrupted. The more the screen is filled with large bullish candles, the more important it is to distinguish between opportunity and risk. $BTC $SOL #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 "OKB Leads, BTC and ETH Still Struggling at the Threshold"
$BTC surged to 87000 but failed, retreating to below 86000 with repeated tug-of-war. The first short-term support is at 85000: if held, there is still potential to revisit previous highs; if lost, 83500–84000 will become the next test zone.
$ETH swings with the broader market, currently stable above 2700, but the upward momentum is weak. 2700 is the current bull-bear line: holding above it could target 2750, and only a continued breakout would open more space; if lost, 2650 should be watched closely.
$OKB is the strongest among the three, rising over 5% in a single day. Yesterday it broke through 128 with volume, and today it briefly touched 128.44, showing a clear acceleration in pace. 128 has now turned from resistance into support: holding above it could test 130 and higher; if it quickly falls below 125, beware of a pullback after the rally.
Overall, BTC and ETH are still in a high-level tug-of-war, while OKB outperforms the market. Going forward, watch two points: whether BTC can reclaim 87000, and whether OKB can hold after the breakout. On the macro front, the Fed will release the September meeting minutes this week; the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and OPEC+ maintains November production unchanged. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 The Fed minutes haven't been released yet.
The crypto community is collectively playing dead first.
It's not calm.
It's fear of getting hit as soon as someone speaks.
$BTC retreated to 81850 in the night session.
Pulled back to 82500.
Looks stable.
But actually weak.
Selling pressure above 83200 is like a wall.
Try once, bounce back.
Try twice, bounce back.
Like trying to get back with an ex.
No chance.
#OKXNOW:24x7MarketEra #FedSeptemberMinutes #BTCWhalePressureEases $BTC took only four months last year to rise from 48,000 to near the 110,000 peak, with a gain of over 100%, then it corrected down to 75,000 before shooting up to the highest point of 120,000.
Now, from the low of 57,000 to around 85,000, it has taken nearly four months, with a gain not even reaching 50%. Without a long period of sideways consolidation plus shakeout, in today's market environment, can this round starting at 57,000 really push up to 120,000 to break new highs?
In a bull market, the average is only one day of upward movement per week—is that right? The shakeout range is also not large. Will there really be philanthropists who never push the price down, taking as much as possible?
I am still bullish on Bitcoin, but not opening positions at this level. Personally, if this month it cannot effectively break through 87,000 and stand above 90,000, then I will start looking below 50,000. At the current level, dropping to 50,000 is more profitable and easier than rising to 120,000.
Same price, same time, different positions. ETF inflows have reached this level and now only support the price without pushing it up. The longer the high-level sideways consolidation with little shakeout, the faster the upward breakout when it happens. Of course, the higher the leverage piled up downward, the faster the breakdown.
Forget "be greedy when others are fearful"—above 87,000 there is huge selling pressure, below 84,000 there are massive unrealized profit positions. The long positions at 90,000 from last year are still waiting for institutions to come and take over.OKX + ICE seek SEC clearance for tokenized U.S. stocks. Their joint venture, OKXICE, has filed with the SEC to create a blockchain-based platform for 24/7 trading of tokenized U.S. stocks, initially covering more than 60 companies. �
Reuters +1
OKX launches a new stablecoin-focused platform called OKX Money, designed to make moving between traditional currencies and digital dollars easier across emerging markets. �
Fortune
OKX Europe introduces LYUSDC for its USDC DeFi Earn product. The change October 6 · $ZEC: Today is a "cash-out day"
OKX ZEC is currently around $1,318, with intraday swings between $1,278 and $1,366, a volatility of over 6.6%. Globally, 1,902 people were liquidated, with OKX alone accounting for 31.6% of the forced liquidations — this is not calm, someone is paying tuition.
Today is the activation day of the NU7 testnet: block time is reduced from 75 seconds to 25 seconds. Don't forget the old saying — buy the rumor, sell the fact. A month ago, it dropped from $1,697 all the way down to just over $1,300, a 23% retracement; Grayscale ETF saw a weekly outflow of $93.56 million, the first negative since listing. No matter how good the technology is, the money is pulling out.
The resistance at $1,366 today must hold before talking about $1,400–$1,450; the support at $1,280 is critical, breaking it will head straight to $1,150.
Waiting for the mainnet decision on October 20 is much smarter than chasing an upper wick today
$BTC $ETH #OKXNOW: ushering in a new era of 24/7 markets #ThisWeekTheFedWillReleaseSeptemberMinutes #BTCWhaleSellingPressureWeakensETFFundsNetInflowForThreeConsecutiveWeeks $BTC repeatedly fails to break 87000, the rally is just a bull trap! The 84000 short positions are about to be freed.
The market repeatedly tests above 87200, but each time it's a false move; bulls can't hold, momentum is clearly fading. This is not a buildup, it's high-level distribution.
📊 2-hour chart analysis:
1. Multiple attempts to push above 87000 are rejected, forming a triple top with heavy selling pressure; rebounds are shorting opportunities.
2. Moving averages are tangled, volume shrinks, KDJ and RSI have turned downwards, bulls are weak, likely a waterfall after consolidation.
3. Open Interest slightly increases with rebounds but is short-term speculative, not trend capital; when sentiment fades, a sharp drop is likely.
After consolidation and topping, the first target is 84000, where trapped shorts may be freed.
Operation: Continue shorting when rebounds meet resistance, strictly control position size, set stop losses properly, don’t get shaken out by volatility. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 NEAR ecosystem's cross-chain service NEAR Intents experienced a security incident, with approximately $3.8 million transferred out. The project team later stated that the funds have been fully recovered and the investigation has been halted. General Manager Alex Shevchenko publicly announced that the relevant parties have been identified, providing return addresses on Bitcoin, EVM chains, and Solana, and set a 48-hour deadline. Co-founder Illia Polosukhin said the team completed identification and contact within less than 24 hours after the incident. The on-chain return included about 34.6 $BTC.
The vulnerability was in the interaction between the deposit-withdrawal layer Omni and the main contract. The stolen funds were from the USDT vault on BNB Chain, not the NEAR mainnet itself being drained. The service was suspended on multiple networks for a time. The money is back, but that does not mean the risk has disappeared. In 2026, cross-chain bridging, smart contracts, and wallet private keys remain the main points of theft. NEAR managed to recover funds this time through identification and pressure, but most projects do not have the same conditions. Without adequate security, mass adoption will still be hindered by the question of "dare to put money in or not."Don't rush to hype gold, these 5 points about Bitcoin can really frustrate old money
· Move: Gold bars are stored at the bottom of the safe, BTC with one private key can move globally
· Split: Gold is hard to break for coffee change, BTC can be split to 8 decimal places
· Print: Gold mines are dug every year, BTC has a capped supply of 21 million, coded permanently
· Transfer: Cross-border gold transport is expensive and slow, BTC operates 24/7, arrives in minutes
· Verify: On-chain transparency and traceability, gold still needs purity testing
$BTC Less than 6 hours before the US market opens. Nvidia is still hitting new highs, BTC has already dropped back to 85,000.
The 30-year US Treasury yield is 5.671%, a new high for 2024. With such a high discount rate, growth stocks should be getting their valuations crushed—but they aren't: on October 5, the Nasdaq hit a record high, with NVDA +1.44%, ASML +1.19%, SpaceX +4.01% in OKX US stock market data.
Castle Securities provided the answer: this round of rising interest rates is driven by a strong economy, not runaway inflation; core PCE is only 3.0%. The economy is strong, earnings are supported, and growth stocks can still hit new highs even with rates above 5%. But crypto lacks this earnings hedge—rate hikes are a valuation hedge for tech stocks with earnings, but pure valuation killers for pure liquidity assets. The money hasn't disappeared; it just prioritized US stocks.
Market snapshot: BTC 85,517, 24h −0.98%, ETH −0.77%, SOL −1.31%. Total market cap 2.89 trillion, down 0.82%, volume up 21.27%, selling on volume. BTC dominance back to 59.1%, ETF daily net value −85.2 million, spot still withdrawing.
Most counterintuitive: the small coin pulse at 9 AM was fully retraced within 6 hours. NEAR dropped from +7.93% to +1.47%, HYPE from +4.92% to +0.44%. I said that was existing funds looking for the last dip, the data confirms it.
Liquidation structure is also shifting. The 4-hour window in the morning had shorts at 71.55%, now longs are 61.96%. The bulls took the hits these past few hours.
My judgment: 85,000 is not support, but a consolidation. Thursday 02:00 Fed minutes, Thursday 39 billion 10Y plus Friday 22 billion 30Y auctions, 61 billion long bonds are being drained, BMO already sees 30-year yields reaching 6%.
Tonight’s US market open is a watershed. If NVDA stays strong but BTC can’t reclaim 86,000, the bloodletting will be confirmed.
Tonight in the US market, do you bet BTC will rise with the market or fall on its own?
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #Bitcoin #FederalReserve #Macro
The above is personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. $ZEC just hit an important development milestone. ⚡
Zcash’s 25-second blocks have gone live on its public testnet ahead of schedule.
Faster block production could make the network more interesting from a usability and infrastructure perspective.
Is ZEC becoming one of the most underrated projects to watch?In the past 24 hours, the total volume of liquidations across the entire crypto market network was about $191 million, with short liquidations accounting for about 54%. In other words, the pressure from short positions being passively closed is significantly higher than that from bulls. BTC is still fluctuating around $86,000, but the problem is: the price hasn't dropped significantly; instead, short liquidations keep occurring. Why is this worth paying attention to? Because when short positions stop loss or liquidate, the platform needs to forcibly replenish positions, which creates additional buying in a short time. If the price continues to hold the $85,000–$85,500 range, the heavy stop-loss zone for bears may continue to be triggered. I'm more focused on the next breakout test near $87,000. If BTC can hold above 87,000 with increased volume rather than surging and pulling back again, the upside potential may open up further, and the market could see a clear round of "short squeeze." But guys, don't just go all-in and chase long positions just because you see short liquidation. Liquidation data mainly confirms the market is accelerating, but does not mean prices will necessarily rise in one direction. It's best to combine trading volume and continuity confirmation above 87,000 before considering a trend-following position. Additionally, there are several important variables this week: 📌 October 7: The Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its September meeting, and the market will look for new clues about the future interest rate path. Recent weak employment data has clearly lowered market expectations for another rate hike in October. 📌 Energy and geopolitical risks remain: OPEC+ maintains its November production target, HallThe strength and weakness in the afternoon are still diverging, so I am temporarily not judging based on "altcoins rising together." When selecting coins, the performance that has already emerged carries more weight than the expected catch-up rally.
$AAVE has risen nearly 13% this week and about 38% this month. It is still around 180 in the afternoon, and its phase performance is worthy of recognition. But having risen this far, the market's expectations for it will also increase. Ordinary good news afterward may not bring the same large gains. I am more concerned about whether buyers are willing to step in at higher levels after a pullback. If the correction is shallow and it resumes upward, a more positive stance can continue; if the rebound becomes increasingly difficult, expectations should be lowered, and one cannot keep using previous gains to prove further rises.
$XRP is currently around 1.49, with a slight decline over the week and no obvious breakout upward space for now. What makes me hesitant is that the price looks stable, but stability may also mean neither buyers nor sellers are in a hurry. At this time, there is not enough basis to predict which way it will go in advance. I will wait for it to take the initiative to strengthen, especially to see how much it can hold after rising, not just whether there was movement during the session.
$BEAT returned to around 0.084 at noon, down about 3.8% in 24 hours, showing weakness in the short term. My view is not to use AI, music, or other themes to justify the price for now. Themes can attract attention, but sustained rises still require buying power. Even if there is a sharp rally later, it is necessary to see if the pullback is quick. If it rises fast but cannot hold, it can only be regarded as a rebound, so watch more and trade less.