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$2Z 🔥2Z Market Snapshot
Deep bear market DePIN coin, plummeted 94% from the historical high 💥 today it dropped another 18%, hitting a new all-time low, the downtrend hasn't stopped yet!
I've been focusing on PUMP+GRASS all along, not distracted by this weak coin, as spreading attention too thin easily leads to losing focus.
If you really feel the urge to speculate:
✅ Long: wait for stabilization around 0.044~0.045, then lightly buy the rebound
✅ Short: if it rebounds to 0.052~0.055 and meets resistance, lightly try shorting the major trendAs of around 13:30 Beijing time on October 3, the most recent 1-hour closing candlestick for $BTC $USDT perpetual contracts was 84,537.5 USDT; The current unclosed candlestick price is about 84,586.4, for a snapshot only.
This chart first looks at three areas, all analyzed based on recent candlestick charts:
(1) 84,400–84,700: A consolidation zone where prices have repeatedly overlapped in recent hours. If still within the band, it is insufficient to confirm a breakout in the direction.
(2) 84,950—85,250: The upper observation zone, including the price during the previous decline and the K-line range. If the 1-hour close rebounds above 85,250 and then pulls back and stays above the range, it will weaken the current weak consolidation judgment; A single upper shadow is not confirmed.
(3) 83,800—84,000: Below is the recent low zone, with a reference low of 83,841.9. If the price effectively breaks below and does not recover within 1 hour, the recent low support assumption will fail, so it cannot be interpreted as "holding the original range."
Volume also differs: the last six closing hourly candlesticks have an average volume of about 1,693 BTC, while the previous candle that fell to a low was about 14,615 BTC. The consolidation volume is clearly smaller, indicating reduced trading activity during this period; Relying solely on shrinking volume does not guarantee a rise or a decline going forward.
Current conclusion: First, observe the consolidation after the pullback; a breakout requires confirmation of closing and subsequent price action. This is conditional analysis, not a pending order, leverage, or profit commitment.
$BTC #BTC #合约行情Bull market money often leaves when you are "waiting for a comfortable position."
Many people are not bearish; they just want to wait for a buy-in point that is both safe and cheap. But the reality is: those without positions find it hard to view the market objectively, and any macro negative news can become a reason not to buy—this is actually human nature.
If you put all the news aside and just look at the price itself, you'll find the bottom is being raised again and again, while you are still waiting for that "perfect pullback." What you often get is not cheap chips but a series of departing candlesticks.
My experience is that the market never gives you a comfortable position; it only rewards those willing to bear volatility. If you really want to participate, use position management to exchange for certainty, not "wait a little longer" to exchange for a sense of security.
$BTC【$SAND surges to $0.08! Nearly doubled in one day, is it still time to chase now?】
🔥 On October 1st, SAND was still hovering around $0.043, now it has risen above $0.08, an increase of over 80%, with trading volume reaching hundreds of millions of dollars.
🔍 Trigger: Korean exchanges lift trading warnings
On the afternoon of October 2nd, Upbit, Bithumb, and Coinone announced the removal of warnings on SAND. In August, SAND’s cross-chain bridge experienced abnormal minting, leading to warnings and suspension of deposits and withdrawals. The lifting of restrictions brought liquidity back, with Korean funds rushing in rapidly, accelerating the price rise.
⚠️ Stay calm as it rises
1️⃣ Event-driven, not a fundamental reversal; the impact of the bridge incident won’t disappear just because the warning is lifted
2️⃣ Nearly doubled in the short term, with heavy profit-taking and chasing, volatility will increase
3️⃣ Market cap is only about $200 million, historical high around $8.4; small-cap coins rise fast and fall fast
🎯 Key levels
Upside: 0.08 (current), then watch 0.09 and 0.10 round numbers
Downside: 0.07 (previous resistance turned support), if broken look at 0.06, then the pre-launch platform at 0.043–0.045
💬 Interaction time
A. Hold above 0.08, push to 0.1
B. Spike then fall back below 0.07
C. High-level consolidation, waiting for the next catalyst
Did you get in early this morning, or are you hesitating to chase now? Share your position in the comments👇
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% Don't rush to interpret last night's needle as a trend reversal; the real signal is actually hidden in the ranking of strength and weakness. BTC and ETH pulled back together, but the altcoins didn't collapse simultaneously. Is that a bad thing? Last night, the US September nonfarm payrolls only increased by 29,000, and the unemployment rate climbed to 4.2%. As soon as the data hit, the market was pushed down like an elevator. BTC slipped from 87,200 to 85,200, ETH retreated from 2,777 to 2,690, short-term stop-losses were swept tightly, and the group was full of questions like "Is the bull market over?" But here's the misconception: many people translate "poor data" directly as "risk assets are doomed." In fact, what the market is trading isn't the recession itself, but the repricing of rate cut expectations. More importantly, during this round of decline, spot ETFs for BTC and ETH turned to outflows simultaneously, indicating that mainstream capital heat cooled down, not that the overall on-chain narrative stalled. What I focus on is not the few hundred points, but whether the order of sector strength has changed. First, look at the bullish path: if the macro hasn't truly turned negative and on-chain tokens haven't collectively collapsed, then this time it feels more like liquidity testing by makers using data expectations. BTC holding its weekly chart, ETH relatively resisting declines, and no widespread follow-up on other altcoins indicate that risk appetite remains, just retreating from "chasing highs" back to "picking positions." Under this rhythm, the correction actually leaves a window for those who haven't bought in yet. Looking at the other side: if ETF outflows don't turn back for several days, ETH will be more sensitive than BTC first, because marginal buying depends more on sentiment; Those knockoffs that rely purely on narrative to support valuations are the most affected🔥 October 3 $SOL: The market is surging wildly, but it lags behind
BTC surged to 87,000 last night, but SOL only touched 123.77 before being pushed back—OKEx currently reports $117.9–119, 24h -0.7%~-1.7%, 7d -1.1%. While others celebrate, it remains silent; this is the most alarming signal.
The fundamentals are actually strong
Spot ETF net inflows for 13 consecutive weeks, 271 million in September (strongest in 10 months)
September application revenue 180 million, accounting for 32% of the entire chain
Fiserv's Roughrider stablecoin has launched on Solana, with 90+ banks in North Dakota connected
Above all 8 moving averages, RSI 63.6, not overbought
So why is it underperforming? Three words: no one is catching it
① Whales are unstaking and transferring to exchanges, real selling pressure
② BTC dominance rose to 58.4%, capital siphoning to mainstream, altcoins drained
③ Alpenglow still on testnet, mainnet uncertain, "sell the fact" sentiment not digested
④ Spot single-day net outflow of 110 million, clear profit-taking
Key levels
Support: 118.7 → 114.4 (20-day EMA) → 110
Resistance: 119.8 → 124.9 → 135 (channel upper boundary)
$BTC $ETH #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% There is no new news driving the market, so let's directly look at the chips. NIGHTUSDT is stuck around 0.0501, all EMA lines are pointing upwards, momentum is slightly bullish, but the 0.0501 level has thick liquidation orders on both long and short sides, indicating significant divergence, not a one-sided reckless rally.
Below, from 0.043 to 0.046, there is a huge volume of long liquidation chips; this is not support, but fuel. If the main force wants to shake out leverage, it will most likely quickly spike down to this range to eliminate low-leverage long positions before pulling up. Above, from 0.052 to 0.056, there is a short liquidity gap; once the price stabilizes above 0.052, it will attract short-sellers to be squeezed, so the upside space is smoother.
Just closed a position, my phone screen is covered in sweat. A quick glance at the order book shows this structure is not for chasing highs. I will place longs in the 0.0470 to 0.0485 range, with a stop loss at 0.0445, first take profit at 0.0525, second take profit at 0.0558. If 0.0445 is broken, it means it's not just a shakeout but the trend is broken, so cut losses immediately.
The odds for going long at this position are good, but you must have a stop loss; don't throw away the principal you just took out with another reckless trade.
$NIGHT
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
@OKX星球 $WLD surged 17% today, returning to $0.57.
When emphasizing WLD repeatedly around $0.43 earlier, the core logic was that this level was already low enough, and World’s real product expansion was just beginning.
Recently, World Money has officially launched in over 150 countries, integrating stablecoin payments, trading, earnings, and World ID all into one app.
Now the price has risen from $0.43 to $0.57, increasing by more than 30% in a short time.
More importantly, $0.57 has once againOn October 1, 2026, Brent crude closed at $102.31.
The next day, October 2, the G7 announced a coordinated release of 100 million barrels of strategic reserves through the IEA. Oil prices immediately crashed.
WTI crude briefly fell below $88.10, with an intraday drop of nearly 5.2%. Brent dropped below $98.50, down nearly 3.8% on the day.
Brent lost the $100 mark, WTI fell below $90.
At the same time, what was Bitcoin doing?
Not moving a bit.
BTC was consolidating around $84,000, neither rising nor falling. It closed September up 6.33%, and on October 1 briefly reached $83,800.
Oil prices plunged 5%, Bitcoin showed zero reaction.
This matter is far more important than many realize.
/ Why is this divergence worth close attention?
Historically, a sharp drop in oil prices often drags down risk assets because the market assumes: oil price crash = demand crash = economic downturn.
But look closely this time—it’s not demand collapsing, it’s supply increasing.
The G7 released 100 million barrels of strategic reserves, with the IEA explicitly stating that in the next 20 days, diesel reserves will be prioritized for large-scale release, completing all releases within 4 months. IEA Executive Director Birol said: after the release announcement, oil prices have already dropped about $5, "oil prices started to decline."
This is supply release, not demand shrinkage.
Oil price drops under two scenarios have completely opposite effects on risk assets:
Demand collapse-driven drop → economic recession → negative for all risk assets
Supply release-driven drop → inflation pressure eases → positive for risk assets
Currently, it’s clearly the latter.
In the past three months, Brent crude rose 34%, Bitcoin rose 42% over the same period.
This figure tells you one thing: Bitcoin is no longer playing by the old framework of "oil price up = rate hike = BTC down."
Why? Because the probability of a rate hike in October has already fallen from about 70%.
The market’s pricing logic chain is:
oil price down → inflation pressure eases → Fed’s reason to hike rates weakens → liquidity expectations improve → positive for Bitcoin
On October 1, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded about $103 million in net inflows. BlackRock’s IBIT had a single-day net inflow of $196 million, a major contributor.
Someone is buying. And buying steadily.
In March this year, the IEA already released strategic reserves once, 400 million barrels.
After that release, oil prices briefly fell, then surged again due to Middle East tensions.
Will this time be different?
The G7 this time especially emphasized the front-loaded release of diesel, with large-scale deployment in the first 20 days, stronger and more targeted than last time.
But don’t forget, the US-Iran situation remains the biggest uncertainty. Brent crude’s expected volatility range in Q4 is $80-$110.
Oil prices won’t fall unilaterally. But the worst-case scenario of "oil price surge → inflation out of control → more rate hikes" is being diluted by the G7’s reserve release.
Put oil prices and BTC on the same chart.
If oil prices keep falling while BTC doesn’t fall—that divergence itself is the best buy signal.
Because it shows the market has completed the pricing shift from "recession panic" to "inflation cooling."
Others see the oil price crash and fear it; you see easing rate hike pressure.
This is not mysticism. ETF funds are flowing in, rate hike probabilities are falling, Bitcoin is consolidating at $84,000 gathering strength.
Three things happening simultaneously, all pointing in the same direction.
Someone asked: "Oil prices crashed, why didn’t Bitcoin fall?"
Because Bitcoin is no longer the asset that watches oil prices’ mood.
It now watches the Fed’s mood. And the oil price drop is making the Fed’s mood look better.
By the time everyone realizes this, $84,000 may already be gone.
$BTC $BZ $CL #美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 $CT/USDT 1H
This is a speculative support bounce after a sharp rejection from the 0.54 area.
Price is testing 0.50178 support while trading below every moving average. New listings can produce wider spreads and unpredictable wicks.
Entry: 0.500–0.505
SL: 0.488
TP1: 0.519
TP2: 0.528
TP3: 0.538
Keep exposure small. Losing 0.50 could quickly pull CT back toward 0.481.
Educational only, not financial advice.
#USNFPDataCools #BTCETHETFOutflows #USTreasuryYieldsSurgeThe non-farm payroll night has passed, still panicking? Don't let crypto anxiety harvest your wallet 🔥
Many people have been staring at K-lines at night, unable to sleep, scrolling through screens full of big influencers shouting about surges and crashes, getting more and more anxious, afraid of missing the market and afraid of losing all their principal overnight.
Even though their strategies are solid, they get swept up by external emotions, impulsively opening positions, buying paid analysis courses recklessly, and in the end, they miss the market moves and get cut by anxiety first.
Many anxiety-selling schemes to cut leeks:
First, wildly amplify the fear of unknown market moves, blowing up non-farm payrolls and PCE as the ultimate tests deciding the fate of the crypto world, creating your psychological internal conflict;
Then a bunch of people come along: paid indicators, insider signals, secret trading courses, telling you that paying money can help you avoid risks and capture the wealth code.
After reviewing dozens of past non-farm cycles, I realized:
Most of the time, the data is just a short-term spike disturbance and does not completely rewrite the big trend.
Our anxiety does not come from the market itself, but from fear of the unknown, combined with overwhelming emotional hype across the internet.
Don't guess surges, don't bet on crashes.
Holding onto your position plan and keeping your bullets tight is far more important than impulsively following the crowd.
The market will always be there; once your principal is lost, there is nothing left.
Risk reminder: The above is only personal trading insights and does not constitute any investment advice.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 This week the account experienced big ups and downs, reaching a high of 6076, then pulling back to 5235, like riding a roller coaster.
Let's talk about the current positions:
AMD short position is currently the only profitable one, with an unrealized gain of 14.41%. The bearish call at this high level was on point, the forced liquidation price is still far away, so the safety margin is thick.
HYPE long position is slightly losing, but the loss is controllable, still waiting for a rebound opportunity.
NFLX Netflix long position is suffering a heavy loss, with an unrealized loss of 43.19%. This is the biggest loss source this week, directly eating up most of the profits.
Lessons learned:
Greed at the top without taking profits leads to quick profit erosion when the market pulls back. Also, holding heavy positions against the trend causes losses to keep expanding.
Next plan: Hold on to profitable positions firmly, no longer blindly add to losing positions, strictly control position size, prioritize protecting principal, and avoid gambling on a big bet.
For those trading US stock contracts recently, which trade hurt you the most?Sigh!
Another 50% drawdown again, a month's worth of small gains wiped out by two wrong decisions. I was still greedy and used too much leverage. Looking back, every big drawdown happened when I took on high leverage, which affected my mindset and trading decisions. Even though I had found a stable profit method, the devil in my mind always strikes when my confidence is at its peak.
Everyone knows slow is fast, but can you really stick to that consistently for ten years?📰 【CME Group Shelves Plan to Launch 24/7 Crude Oil Futures Contract Due to Industry Concerns】
According to BlockBeats, on October 3, CME Group Inc. decided to shelve its plan to launch a 24/7 crude oil futures contract after facing opposition from the industry. Market participants worry that insufficient liquidity on weekends could distort WTI crude oil pricing, and continuous trading would increase weekend staffing, commercial hedging, and margin calls during non-business hours. CEO Terry Duffy stated in a Friday release that after extensive communication, core market participants generally expressed concerns that rushing to introduce 24/7 energy trading without thorough due diligence could lead to unforeseen consequences and add extra risks to the market. (Bloomberg)
Traditional finance doesn't even dare to operate 24/7, while on-chain crude oil perpetuals have long been running. The issue isn't whether it can be launched, but who will cover the weekend liquidity depth. The RWA narrative still depends on real liquidity, not just concepts.
Do you think on-chain commodities have a chance, or will they always be just a shadow market? 👇👇👇
$BTC $ETH $DOGE Cross-chain messaging is more complex than token transfers because it can remotely invoke permissions.
A universal message bridge not only moves assets but also allows an event on one chain to trigger contract operations on another chain. This expands the design space for applications but also means that a single verification error could result not only in minting extra tokens but also in modifying governance, releasing collateral, or executing upgrades. Messages need to prove the source chain's state, order, finality, and the target contract; any step handled carelessly can be forged or replayed. The greater the permissions, the more the bridging contract should limit the callable scope and set delays and monitoring for abnormal messages. For the $ETH ecosystem, cross-chain interoperability should not be masked as "as simple as sending a message" to hide security differences. Behind a single button users see, there may be multiple sets of consensus, validators, and administrators. Bridges transmit not only value but also failures; the wider the connection, the more important isolation mechanisms become.
Once a universal bridge becomes a common administrator for multiple applications, its security level must be higher than ordinary token transfer tools. Minimal permissions, rate limiting, and message delays can all reduce the blast radius of a single mistake. Receiving contracts should also reject messages from unknown sources or with duplicate sequence numbers and record clear failure reasons and processing status.ETH Estimated Liquidation Map:
Approximately $2,554.31 below, approximately $2,815.09 above
Data: Based on price and open interest changes over the last 199 completed hours from 2 public ETH perpetual markets,
The model estimates the current main long liquidation pressure zone at $2,554.31 (about 4.5% below the current price),
The main short liquidation pressure zone at $2,815.09 (about 5.25% above the current price),
The long liquidation pressure zone below is closer to the current price.
The top three identified lower pressure price levels by the model are $2,554.31, $2,480.76, and $2,326.96,
The top three upper pressure price levels are $2,815.09, $2,982.26, and $2,915.39.
Compared to the snapshot of the same caliber 24 hours ago, it has decreased by 2.45%. Has Bitcoin peaked? Let's first look at last night's data: nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. Once the data was released, expectations for rate hikes cooled significantly, with the probability of a rate hike in October dropping from nearly 80% to around 20%. The market generally believes the Federal Reserve will hold steady at the end of the month.
However, the boost to the crypto price was short-lived, as the positive news was priced in early—BTC had already risen before the data release, a typical "buy the rumor, sell the fact" scenario. Moreover, US Treasury yields did not truly decline; the 10-year yield remains above 5.2%, so long-term rate pressure persists. The next focus is the CPI on October 14, which will be the key factor in deciding whether to raise rates.
Technically: the daily bullish structure remains intact, with price above major moving averages. The 87,000–87,300 range has been pushed back for the third time, forming a triple top with heavy selling pressure; the 83,000–84,300 range is intraday support, with 82,500 as a critical level—breaking below that points to 80,000–81,000. In the short term, a high probability of entering a consolidation phase.
$BTCThe hacker struck again.
This time, the target was a third-party tool built on Aave.
After investigation: the problem was with a plugin tool whose access control was fake. The hacker brazenly entered two wallets and took the collateral funds.
114 ETH, hundreds of thousands of dollars, gone.
What about Aave?
Nothing happened.
People were somewhat relieved: luckily, the main platform is fine.
Relieved about what?
"The main platform is fine" means:
The money is gone, but it’s not my problem.
Issue a statement, draw a line, and that’s it.
No one compensates you, no one covers your loss.
If you lose money in a bank, at least there’s some accountability.
Now, whether there is or isn’t, it’s up for debate, haha.
Lose money on Aave?
You might get a tweet.
It gets worse.
They have hundreds of billions locked inside, always topping the charts.
But those numbers show their strength, not your security.
The most infuriating thing is, once something happens, someone says:
Who told you not to read the code yourself?
When you fly, do you have to know how to fix the engine?
When you deposit in a bank, do you have to understand risk control?
But on Aave, if you lose money, first blame yourself for not reading the code.
On one hand, they shout for everyone to come,
on the other, they demand everyone to be able to read code.
That’s just shirking responsibility.
So the real headline here isn’t that the hacker stole hundreds of thousands.
It’s that money was lost and no one takes responsibility.
One last question.
Do you still dare to put your assets in?
If you do, you must understand code, right?"#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
I am the mid-term intelligence guy.
$ETH Today's position report: 49% bullish, 29% neutral, 22% bearish.
Community hot events! Citibank raised ETH's twelve-month target from 2240 to 3028, expecting ETF net inflows of 5 billion;
The Foundation launched zkAPI, allowing anonymous AI fee payments with ETH/USDC;
Staking supply reached a historical high of 34.8%, with 44 million ETH locked;
EIP-8363 withdraws protection for validator rewards; Tom Lee calls the $10,000 year-end forecast conservative.
Current potential challenges: spot ETH ETF has had consecutive days of net outflows, ending previous inflows;
MetaMask staking facility issues, about 17,000 validators offline, 523,000 ETH withdrawn;
Aave v3 module exploited to steal about 114 ETH;
Blast shuts down 2.3 billion L2 due to costs exceeding income, withdrawal deadline 10/26;
Lubin-related wallet transferred 133,000 ETH.
Mid-term, I am cautiously bullish, watching ETF and staking flows.
$BTC
$ZEC
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 $TIA SHORT ⚠️
The bounce is losing strength, while recent price action keeps the structure vulnerable to another downside leg. A rejection in the 0.440–0.454 zone could trigger further weakness, with 0.485 as invalidation and 0.432, 0.414, 0.399 as targets.
Entry: 0.440–0.454
SL: 0.485
TP1: 0.432
TP2: 0.414
TP3: 0.399Bitcoin $BTC
After breaking through the 82200--82500 resistance range on September 21, the 82500 resistance level turned into a strong support level and has remained so until now. Last night, it was twice resisted at 87300; technically, a second attempt to break the previous high is likely to be blocked.
If the market attempts a third attack on the previous high resistance, it will either succeed or fail decisively.
The premise for maintaining a strong short-to-medium-term consolidation is that 82500 must not be broken.
If 82500 is broken, the current rally since 63000 will end, and there will be a prolonged period of disorderly oscillation, a gradual downward adjustment, and market liquidity harvesting. It is not ruled out that the market will test the 75000----76500 support range during this downward adjustment.
Fundamentally, the current US Federal Reserve's high interest rate and strong dollar strategy aims to stabilize global confidence in the US dollar as the reserve currency, tightening liquidity, which may even cause some small and medium countries to collapse.
Only after the US Federal Reserve stabilizes global confidence in the dollar will there be room to implement a rate-cutting and weak dollar policy. From the current strong dollar strategy to the weak dollar strategy transition period, upward momentum is difficult to sustain.
$ETH in sync
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC was still around 85,500 last night, and this afternoon it returned to 84,600. The rebound couldn't continue upward, which is largely related to the weekend.
I think we shouldn't rush to expect a new round of increases now; the price has pulled back, so our judgment needs to adjust accordingly.
Later, I will first see if it can reclaim the position around 85,500 from last night.
If it rebounds there but can't break through, then the selling pressure above still needs to be digested.
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
$HYPE was around 88 at noon, down about 3.7% over the past week, and has not yet recovered its previous strength.
Around 90 is the level I will observe next, but hitting 90 doesn't mean a turnaround; we still need to see if it can hold after a pullback.
If every rebound fails to hold, then continue to watch more and act less; there's no need to assume it will quickly rise back just because it did well before.
$ZEC returned to around 1315 at noon, down nearly 17% over the past week, which is a significant adjustment.
I will pay attention to the reaction around 1300, but round numbers can only be used for observation and cannot be directly considered reliable support.
If it falls below but quickly recovers, it’s worth continuing to watch for support; if it breaks down and the rebound can't recover, then be cautious of further weakness.
For now, let's see if it can stabilize; don't expect to return to previous highs right away.$CORE My biggest pleasure right now is browsing the CORE community. A bunch of poor souls who can call a soft exit decentralization. I understand them; after all, they are already trapped and numb. If they accept it in their hearts, then they might as well prepare to jump off the rooftop. Millions turned into hundreds—who can bear that? But undeniably, it really is a soft exit. The premise of decentralization is dispersed tokens. Now look at the on-chain data: who holds the most tokens? It's the project team. Over 90% of the tokens are in their hands. Where is the decentralization? Which institution dares to come in? Just after pumping the price, they immediately dump hundreds of millions of tokens. Whose blood are they sucking? It's the little savings you worked hard to earn, devalued day by day. Not to mention anything else, they said they burned over 100 million tokens. Is there a burn address? Did they give you the promised event report? Have the 60 million tokens transferred out been recovered? With this situation, who dares to pump the price? Carry the sedan chair for them? Or let you break even and immediately run away? Think again. They only draw big promises, endlessly sucking blood from you, giving you a glimmer of hope so you won't despair, forever dangling you.Looking at my account today, my feelings are really mixed. BTC and SOL are desperately trying to recover my losses, but ZEC, this bottomless pit, has directly taught me an extremely costly risk management lesson. BTC (The Stabilizer) Average holding price 84044, latest price 84510. Unrealized profit 276.58U, return rate 11.03%. BTC remains the ballast of my account, steadily climbing. The defense line is still around 79000; as long as it doesn't break, I will hold firmly, not guessing the top, nThe price is consolidating around 84,500, with short-term buying dominance (about 70% of active buys in the last 5 and 15 minutes). The near-term targets are the recent high at 84,690 and the resistance wall at 85,059. The current price of 84,573 is close to the Bollinger Bands middle band and the support zone at the 20-period swing low of 84,481, which is a position suitable for immediate entry, so go long at market price directly. Place the stop loss just outside the liquidation cluster below at 84,490; only a break below this area would indicate the bullish structure has failed. Set the take profit at the resistance wall at 85,059, which is the nearest significant selling pressure above. The main risk is that the 1-hour active funds are still net outflow and the overall 24-hour trend is weak. If buying pressure cannot continue, the price may first retrace to the POC at 84,072 before resuming upward movement.Bitcoin broke the one-week stalemate yesterday, with the price twice surging near 87000 before retreating, closing with a long upper shadow bearish candlestick, directly confirming the heavy selling pressure in the 86000-87000 range. The short-term bullish momentum has clearly weakened, and there is a need to continue testing support with a pullback during the day. In the short term, don't expect it to rise above 90000; however, the lower Bollinger middle band support is clear, and there is no signal of a trend reversal to bearish for now. Overall, it remains in a consolidation pattern.
Today, it is recommended to buy Bitcoin on dips near 84000 and sell on rallies near 86000; buy Ethereum on dips near 2650 and sell on rallies near 2750. Be patient and seize the oscillating market! #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 The non-farm payroll night has ended, but the market did not receive the "big gift".
Non-farm payrolls increased by only 29,000, missing the expected 90,000, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. The data is weak, and a rate cut is not a one-click start: US Treasury yields remain high, and the dollar has not weakened, so the policy shift is still far off.
$BTC climbed back above 86,000 in early trading, lightly touching 87,000 after the data, with a daily increase of about 2%-3%, holding the rebound; $ETH gradually pushed from 2600 to 2750, breaking through the late September consolidation zone, but the upward momentum was not strong enough; $SOL was more active, surging near 122, up 3%-4% in 24 hours, leading the mainstream.
The market did not stir big waves; interest rates and the dollar remain two mountains overhead. It looks more like a recovery now, not a bull return. Positions can be flexible, but don't be too confident in your judgment.
#ETH触及2500美元后震荡 #SoFi与万事达卡启动稳定币结算 L #贝森特拟放宽银行信贷，高利率压力待解 500U Challenge to 1000U｜Account Back Above 900+U, Watch Closely for the Trap of Profit-Taking After Positive News🔥
Starting from 500U with a target of 10,000U, yesterday's pullback has been fully recovered, and the account is now above 900U. This round of retracement and reversal was executed very well.
The positive non-farm payroll news was actually priced in by the market in advance. BTC and ETH rallied on the news but failed to break previous highs and then faced resistance and pulled back. The core reason is typical profit-taking after good news, with bulls collectively cashing out.
Many people focus only on the non-farm data but overlook the abnormal movement in US Treasury yields: after the non-farm release, US Treasury yields briefly dipped then rebounded, directly suppressing risk asset valuations; combined with the renewed escalation of Middle East conflicts, risk-averse funds diverted, and multiple negative factors resonated. This is the fundamental logic behind my choice to position short orders.
The $ZEC short position has been successfully closed with profit. Currently holding short positions in BTC and ETH, waiting for liquidity to return on Monday before making closing decisions.
Key point to remember: Non-farm payrolls are just a short-term catalyst; US Treasury yields are the core mainline determining the medium-term bullish or bearish trend for BTC and ETH. Rising interest rates naturally pressure crypto asset valuations; when US Treasury yields decline, funds are willing to flow back into high-risk coins. Weekend liquidity is poor, and the market is prone to spikes and interference, so don't be misled by small weekend fluctuations Who would have expected that a trust license would actually end up in court 🤍
A lawsuit filed by a local community bank group in the U.S. directly took the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency to court. From the perspective of traditional banks, the regulator loosening trust qualifications for crypto companies is equivalent to opening a special green channel. Crypto platforms obtaining federal trust status do not have to bear the full regulatory obligations of ordinary banks, and over time, the competitive balance will gradually tilt.
On the other hand, the SEC's attitude is completely different. Atkins recently signaled readiness to finalize new custody rules, providing asset management institutions with a compliant solution for storing crypto assets.
On one side, the banking industry is striving to build barriers to protect their original business turf; on the other, regulators are trying to establish a clear compliance path. A tug-of-war over custody authority is quietly unfolding.
In the coming period, regulatory trends will continue to influence market sentiment, so it’s wise to remain cautious with short-term positioning.
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% $BTC $ETH Data surprises, retail investors blindly rush in after seeing the data, but this plays right into the hands of the main players. On-chain data shows that whales drastically reduced 30,000 $BTC at the end of September, and the ETF ended a 9-day inflow streak. Funding rates soared to 10%, and buying pressure hit an August high — all of these are short-term peak signals of extreme long crowding! $BTC at 87K and $ETH at 2778 have become perfect distribution points.
Capital structure is highly polarized: institutions firmly hold BTC base positions but treat ETH as a risk control withdrawal machine. ETH spot buying is very weak; if 2700 breaks, it will head straight to 2500. The current market is a test of patience, not luck. Remember not to catch a falling knife; wait for the golden dips in spot (BTC 82K / ETH 2500) and short the contract rebounds at highs. Control your hands and survive! #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #$BTC short position from yesterday has perfectly hit the take profit, just fantasizing about the future trend 👀
BTC might follow one of two possible moves next; no matter what, the long-term outlook is bullish! Going long on dips is definitely safe. Two major support levels to watch are around 82500 and 74500. You can gradually buy spot positions at these two levels 😎 For short-term trades, place orders at these two points: long at 82666 with stop loss at 82100, and long at 74666 with stop loss below 74000.
Place orders with stop losses at these two levels; the win rate is very high. As for other levels, just leave the profits to others.Weekend Market Chat ✨ Sentiment Rebounds After Nonfarm Payrolls Release
Happy weekend, meow~ Nonfarm payrolls fell far short of expectations, suppressing rate hike expectations, leading to market recovery. But remember, weekend liquidity is thin, so impulse moves should be discounted.
$BTC is currently around 86,000. After the nonfarm data release, ETF funds flowed back, and market sentiment has clearly warmed compared to previous days. The 87,000 level is a short-term critical resistance; only a volume breakout can open the way upward. If it repeatedly fails to break through, a pullback and consolidation are likely. Avoid chasing weekend violent rallies.
$ETH is rebounding along with Bitcoin, supported by easing rate expectations. It has completed a short-term recovery from lows and must hold above 2800 to continue the rebound; if it falls below 2750 again, this rally is merely a relief bounce after bad news, not the start of a new uptrend.
$SOL holds above 120, with ETF narratives and on-chain activity supporting fundamentals, maintaining strong momentum. Short-term resistance is at 125; only a volume-backed hold above this level can fuel further gains. Weekend markets are thin and prone to spikes; prioritize waiting for pullbacks before considering positions, avoid chasing impulse rallies.
$OKB’s token supply and ecosystem logic remain unchanged; currently digesting earlier profits. As long as key support levels hold, the trend remains intact. Avoid chasing during euphoric rallies; waiting for pullbacks offers better risk-reward.
$RE oscillates around 0.5. RWA and reinsurance narratives are attracting funds again, and improved protocol yields support fundamentals. However, circulating supply is only 16%, and unlocking pressure on the 18th looms overhead, so risks cannot be ignored. Holding steady around 0.5 suggests a recovery rally is possible, but position sizes must be controlled.
Overall: Nonfarm data fed positive news to the market, but weekend institutional liquidity contracts, increasing false breakouts and spikes. Do not treat small weekend gains as confirmation of a major uptrend. Avoid opening new high-leverage positions aggressively; be patient for pullbacks or wait for Monday liquidity to return before deciding.
$BTC $ETH $SOL $OKB $RE
#BTC, ETH spot ETFs simultaneously see outflows, cooling fund enthusiasm$ONE is challenging it again after being severely hit before. Today it continues to short, weakly drifting down, still holding.
The strong resistance above is $0.0022-$0.0023, and the short-term lifeline below is $0.0020; if it breaks, look to $0.0018.
Retail investors are biased long, while the main contract holders are retreating, with long positions liquidated heavily—this is a typical "long graveyard."
Long-short ratio: retail investors are biased long, large holders are relatively restrained.
OKX retail long-short ratio is 1.53, Binance retail is 1.0572. Overall retail is biased long.
For large holders: the number long-short ratio is 1.401, and the position long-short ratio is only 1.3853.
Fundamentals
ONE previously announced shutting down its 7-year-running mainnet, transforming into an AI video "mixed-cut economy," and in August it suffered a hacker attack that minted 3 trillion tokens out of thin air.
There is huge uncertainty in fundamentals; this surge is more about capital games and narrative hype.
$BTC $ETH #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 During Bitcoin's surge, short positions were collectively liquidated.
In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin short liquidations reached $122 million, with total network liquidations around $210 million, indicating that short positions near $87,000 were concentratedly cleared. However, it's worth noting that the bulls have not truly dominated the market—after the liquidation, the price quickly fell back, indicating that selling pressure above remains heavy.
This structure is actually quite typical: a short squeeze only clears out the crowded side and does not mean the trend has turned bullish. The real strength or weakness depends on whether spot funds take over after the liquidations.
Therefore, I prefer to interpret this as a leverage clearing rather than a reversal signal. Next, watch if the trading volume can keep up; if there are only liquidations without support, the rebound is likely just a chance to sell.
$BTCPlummeted, plummeted, $ZEC has crashed, breaking below 1300!
Brothers, ZEC really made me laugh this time.
A few days ago it was crazily surging around 2800, I even suspected it was going to snatch Ethereum's spot, but now it has directly fallen below 1300!
The crazier it rises, the fiercer it falls. Altcoins are like this: when they pump, everyone believes in the bull market; when they dump, everyone runs faster than the next.
My short position finally recovered:
+1029.68%
Opening average price: 1660.36
Latest transaction price: 1318.52
I waited half a month for this trade. Shorting ZEC last week was a real meat grinder; shorts were swept out round after round, I almost thought it wouldn't drop.
Now it's finally the longs' turn to suffer.
In 24 hours, ZEC liquidations exceeded $24 million, with long liquidations clearly higher than shorts; the market is clearing longs.
The US ZEC spot ETF has also seen continuous net outflows recently, putting significant short-term capital pressure.
In contrast, Bitcoin, although volatile, is clearly more stable than ZEC.
So I just want to say:
ZEC, you kept me awake last week, now it's finally your turn to make me laugh.
But don't get too cocky with this demon coin; breaking below 1300 doesn't mean it will keep falling all the way down.
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 Yesterday, the short position on Bitcoin ran away. In this kind of market, you can't have a broad perspective; the first two trades were stopped out because of that. It's the weekend now. Since Bitcoin broke through the previous high last time, it has been consolidating and digesting in this range for 11 days, oscillating back and forth within this 5% range. The high is around 2800 and the low is around 2620. I expect this range-bound fluctuation to be nearing its end, and when the direction becomes clear, I'll enter directly because there is a lot of buying below 2650, so it won't go down further. I estimate there might be some volatility on Monday, but it's not the time to rush now. If there's no market movement over the weekend, operate less. "Walk to the end of the water, sit and watch the clouds rise; just wait for the wind to come."🔥"$BTC acts like an old veteran, $ETH plays the loyal sidekick, and $SOL is dancing on the sidelines"
Today, the three big players are in these states:
🟠 $BTC: The old veteran strolling around near 84,000 dollars, hands behind back, unbothered by anyone. If you're anxious, you're out of place.
🔵 $ETH: The faithful little sidekick, moves half a step when the big coin moves, gets tired first when the big coin rests. At 2,680 dollars, it’s like waiting for takeout—smelling the aroma but can’t eat it.
🟣 $SOL: While other coins are oscillating, it’s dancing. Buy at 119 dollars, sell at 119 dollars, performing a heart rate monitor graph in between, maxed out heart rate with zero profit. Netizens summed it up well: "SOL’s candlestick isn’t walking, it’s parkouring."
Overall: Big coin $BTC controls the scene, $ETH is bleeding, and $SOL contributes its fees to blockchain environmental efforts. This market is best for zoning out, not for adding positions—if you get excited, it flatlines, and you two just stare at each other all day.
Remember this: Sideways trading is the silent cost in crypto; smile, at least your mindset is breaking even first. Here's something that might be overlooked by the crypto community. Things are getting tense again in the Middle East.
Iran has declared that it is "ready for the resumption of hostilities." On the other side, Trump said, "I've been considering" resuming strikes. Both sides might have another round of talks on the 28th.
What does this have to do with crypto? A lot.
If a conflict really breaks out, the first step is a surge in oil prices. Look for yourself, oil prices have already risen, Brent crude has broken 98. When oil prices rise, inflation becomes uncontrollable, and the Federal Reserve becomes even more reluctant to ease. This is the combination the crypto world fears most.
But interestingly, historically, every time there is a geopolitical conflict, BTC first falls along with the stock market, and only then is it speculated on as a "safe-haven asset."
My prediction: if something really happens, don't rush to bottom-fish. Wait for it to fall, and only when everyone thinks the world is ending is that the position worth watching.
Of course, I hope this doesn't happen.
What do you think? Is geopolitical conflict bearish or bullish for BTC? Oh heavens! A 30-fold increase in 30 days, wildly earning 78,000, only to be brutally knocked back to square one by ZEC in just a few days! Awakening from a big dream, heart-wrenching pain!
Reviewing my ZEC trades these past few days, it feels like a dog trader installed surveillance in my brain:
🔴 As soon as I go long, it plunges like a waterfall;
🔵 When I cut my long and switch to short, it just sideways trades, grinding me down;
🔴 When I can't hold and close my short, it instantly shoots up like a spring onion out of dry ground! I foolishly chase the long, only to get trapped dead at the peak!
In reality, my resolve shattered, reckless operations, opening positions at wrong points. This is the most common mistake for most people, so I share this as a warning from my experience.
Long positions lose, shorts grind, closing shorts take off, chasing longs get trapped. The 78,000 profit was slaughtered by both longs and shorts, vomiting back 54,000.
Brothers, a bloody lesson! Take a break!$CP entered this today, continuing to short. This short-term is just a weak rebound; the larger downtrend is not over, and the overhead trapped positions are very heavy.
OKX CP account long-short ratio: 4.29.
In other words, the number of accounts going long on OKX far exceeds those going short. It's simply scary.
Fundamentals: Small market cap DePIN, poor liquidity.
Tagged as DePIN, market cap about $17.29 million, circulating supply 1.349 billion, total supply 5 billion.
Small market cap coins are extremely volatile and easily manipulated by funds from a single exchange.
Resistance above: $0.0130 - $0.0135.
Support below: $0.0120; if broken, look at $0.0110, then further down to $0.0100.
$BTC $ETH #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% Long and Short Crowding List｜Last 15 Minutes
$SAND short side unit time holding cost is relatively high: current 4-hour rate -0.6219%, price -0.44%, open interest +2.4%. Decline and increased positions occur simultaneously; holding shorts past settlement, funding fees will lower the breakeven price.
$ENJ short side unit time holding cost is relatively high: current 4-hour rate -0.2609%, price +3.03%, open interest -1.11%. Price rise accompanied by overall position contraction, holding shorts past settlement faces both adverse price movement and funding fee expenses.
$MANA short side unit time holding cost is relatively high: current 8-hour rate -0.2176%, price +3.62%, open interest +6.92%. Price rise accompanied by increased positions, holding shorts past settlement faces both adverse price movement and funding fee expenses.The previous one-sided optimism was punctured by a snapshot of funds: BTC and ETH spot ETFs simultaneously saw outflows, and the heat clearly cooled down.
After the U.S. Bitcoin ETF had a cumulative net inflow of 3.1 billion over 9 trading days, it experienced two consecutive days of net outflows totaling about 173 million starting September 30; the Ethereum ETF turned bearish even earlier, with outflows for three consecutive days, including a single-day outflow of 55.4 million on October 1 alone. Previously, BTC and ETH diverged, but now they are retreating in unison. Combined with on-chain indicators, sentiment is quietly shifting.
The root cause lies in the early realization of non-farm payroll benefits, with institutions taking profits. The liquidity expectations from the surprising non-farm payroll data led some funds to pre-position ahead of the data release pulse and exit during the sentiment window to take profits and reduce positions. The Coinbase report confirms this: BTC profit-taking has surged to a yearly high, and high-level buying has slowed—not a wholesale exit by large funds, but a short-term phase of "earning profits first and then cautiously observing." $BTC Beware of the "golden pit" illusion; don't immediately assume a main rally after the triple coin squat🔥
BTC dipped to 83884, ETH retraced to 2651, $SOL dropped to 117, with the market quickly plunging. Many voices directly define this as a main force shakeout or a golden pit, but multiple conflicting macro signals mean a retracement cannot be simply equated with a continuation of the uptrend.
Nonfarm payroll data was a cold surprise with only 29,000 new jobs added and rising unemployment, which short-term suppresses rate hike expectations—this is bullish news for the bulls; however, on the other hand, spot ETFs simultaneously turned to net outflows, institutional funds are starting to cash out at highs, combined with US Treasury yields remaining high, the pressure from high interest rates is not immediately relieved by a single nonfarm report, and medium- to long-term liquidity pressure still looms over the market.
Large holder positions can only be used as reference signals. Even if major players like "Maji Brother" have not massively closed long positions, large holders can still reduce positions in batches at highs while retaining base holdings, which does not mean the market will immediately start a main rally. The so-called sweeping of leveraged floating chips could be a shakeout or the beginning of a weakening trend; the key is whether buying can quickly return after the decline.
Focus on two critical thresholds:
BTC must hold support at 83,500–84,000; if volume breaks down below this, it is not a shakeout and will open a deeper correction space; resistance at 86,000–87,000 requires spot funds to cooperate with volume breakout to confirm a strong move.
ETH’s short-term lifeline is 2650; if lost, the next support is at 2600; to restart the uptrend, it must firmly reclaim 2750.
SOL must not effectively break below 117 support; resistance at 123–125 awaits a volume breakout to be overcome.
The biggest trap now is the subjective assumption that "this is the last drop." Without short-term skills, do not rush to bottom fish just because of a retracement. After the nonfarm bullish news lands, it is easy to see a rally followed by profit-taking and pullback.
Better to wait for a volume breakout confirmation before entering, rather than going all in early betting on "the shakeout ending and immediate rally." Leveraged positions must have strict stop losses; do not stubbornly hold betting on a big bullish candle.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#US September nonfarm only added 29,000 jobs, unemployment rose to 4.2% #BTC, ETH spot ETFs simultaneously turned to outflows, cooling capital heat #US Treasury yields frequently hit new highs, long-term rate pressure remains unresolvedThree coins worth buying today, I'll be watching these 3 closely.
The market isn't actually that strong today, BTC is still around 84,500, but some have already popped champagne on the gainers list. If I were to look for opportunities, today I'd focus on these three.
1. $BTC
Still the ballast stone. BTC is currently about $84,600, with a slight dip in 24 hours, indicating that funds haven't fully rushed into risk assets. My approach is still to wait around 84,000–85,000, not chasing sudden spikes. Hold 84,000, then watch for a breakthrough at 87,000.
2. $SAND
The most outrageous today is this one, OKX saw a 24-hour surge of over 70%, shooting straight to the top of the gainers list.
I wouldn't go all in just because of a big bullish candle; instead, I wait for the first clear pullback. The best opportunity with strong coins is often not the initial surge, but whether it can hold after the spike.
3. $MANA
Another clearly strengthening veteran coin today, MANA, with OKX data showing a 24-hour gain of over 20%.
SAND and MANA moving together is more worth watching than just one surging alone, indicating that funds are clearly testing the old metaverse coins today.
For a coin like SAND that jumps seventy to eighty points in a day, I can pay attention, but I won't blindly chase it; my hands aren't that strong yet. How concentrated is the $DOGE supply? Looking only at the top ten addresses might mislead you with the "numbers."
Data shows that the top 10 DOGE addresses collectively hold about 45% of the circulating supply, which seems highly concentrated. But a deeper breakdown reveals that a significant portion belongs to custodial wallets of trading platforms like Robinhood and Binance. Just the exchange addresses identifiable on-chain may correspond to over 16% of DOGE.
In other words, behind one whale address, there could be hundreds of thousands or even more ordinary users. On-chain address concentration does not necessarily mean the real control is equally concentrated.
Looking further, there are about 8.1 million DOGE on-chain holding addresses. After excluding the top 1000 addresses, the remaining 8 million+ addresses still hold about 17% of the supply, with many small holdings ranging from 1 to 1000 DOGE.
The low unit price, tipping culture, and payment use cases have long fostered a large community of small DOGE holders, somewhat resembling a fragmented supply pool made up of many "shrimp accounts."
In contrast, for BTC, the top 100 addresses hold about 15% collectively, which seems more dispersed on the surface. However, the group of addresses holding over 100 BTC controls about 61% of the supply. This also involves special accounts like early dormant addresses, ETF custodial wallets, and exchange cold wallets.
Therefore, simply judging an asset's supply concentration by the "top 10 address share" is incomplete. 14.2 billion transactions.
Solana completed this many non-voting transactions in one quarter, 45% more than the previous quarter.
My first reaction wasn’t excitement, but a few seconds of stunned silence.
What does this number mean? It means people are really using the chain on-chain, not just fake volume or empty activity.
Setting aside the fluff of voting transactions, the rest are all real interactions.
Transfers, swaps, minting, gaming, claiming airdrops—all count.
I’ve held $SOL for quite a while, and along the way I’ve been criticized, laughed at, and even doubted myself.
During the downtime, the group chat was full of jokes, and I didn’t dare to say anything.
Looking back now, the chain didn’t die, and the user base keeps growing.
A 45% increase in one quarter isn’t a small number; it shows the user base is genuinely growing, not just a hype spike that fades away.
Of course, more transactions don’t mean the price will immediately rise.
I’ve learned this the hard way—good data and good price are two different things.
But at least it shows one thing: this chain is still alive, and quite busy.
Whether the price agrees or not, that’s another matter.
As an old holder like me, I can only keep holding and wait for it to speak for itself.
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 #SEC加密资产托管新规，拟放宽机构自托管限制 $SOL 2Z dropped nearly 20%, yet the notional value of open positions remains about 6.3 times that of 24 hours ago.
As of 08:16 Beijing time, OKEx spot is around $0.04533, with a 24-hour high of $0.05962 and a low of $0.04458, a volatility of about 33.7%; trading volume is approximately $3.16 million, about 3.6 times the median of the past 7 full trading days.
OKEx hourly statistics show the notional value of open positions is about $363,000, compared to only about $57,500 24 hours ago; although it has fallen about 91.3% from the intraday high at 01:00, it has not returned to pre-volatility levels. The current funding rate is about -0.298%, with the perpetual contract trading at a discount of about 0.66% to spot.
My judgment is that this is not a simple volume contraction decline: high-level leverage has largely exited, but the remaining positions still clearly lean towards paying to short. The easiest misjudgment is to treat the extreme negative funding rate as an inevitable rebound; the continued price decline indicates that paying shorts still hold the advantage for now, and the funding rate itself cannot substitute for evidence of a bottom.
Next, watch $0.04458 and $0.05. If the low holds, funding rates converge, and positions no longer fluctuate wildly, selling pressure may begin to ease; if the low breaks while positions remain above pre-volatility levels, the remaining leverage will continue to amplify volatility.
$2Z Trading, which is more important: the process or the result?
During the holding period, every day someone shouts that ZEC will rise to 3000 or even 5000. The market jumps up and down, there's a lot of noise, and the mindset is repeatedly beaten down.
I'm not a sage; I can't precisely time the top, nor perfectly catch the bottom. In this market, I can only make money with high probability.
So, in trading, which matters more: the process or the result?
I think both are important.
The result determines whether you can survive, but the process determines whether you can become a true trader.
If you can't endure the hardship, chasing the FOMO or closing your position, where would today's profit come from?
Don't listen to others shouting trade signals; stick to your own logic, endure the toughest times, and the results will naturally speak for themselves.
BTC, ETH, $BTC $ETH $ZEC $CORE A painful lesson
A brother rushed in with 6U on the opening day.
He said the group was crazy at the time, grabbing $CORE meant profit, at least 100x, launching at 1000x, crushing Ethereum, surpassing Bitcoin. The hype was huge.
He got over ten thousand tokens, worth hundreds of thousands of yuan, thinking he would turn his life around.
Then the next day, $5.
The third day, $4.
He asked the group what to do, the group leader said it was a shakeout, hold on. One month later, $1.
Half a year later, $0.5. One year later, $0.05.
No one spoke in the group anymore. The group leader had long disappeared, his avatar grayed out for two years.
Now it’s $0.020.
Over ten thousand tokens, hundreds of thousands of yuan, turned into two thousand yuan.
He told me, actually the hardest part is not losing money.
It’s that he didn’t even have a chance to run; the opening day was the highest point, selling any day after meant taking a loss.
Selling on the first day would lose 20,000, selling on the second day would lose 60,000, the longer he waited the harder it was to let go, the harder it was to let go the more it dropped.
$BICO is like boiling a frog in warm water; by the time you realize it, you can’t move.
Now he still has those over ten thousand CORE tokens in his wallet, worth just two thousand yuan, selling or not makes no difference.
He said sometimes he still opens it late at night to look, not even knowing what he’s looking at.
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 100x full-position bidirectional trap, the cost of standing guard at the high point is right in front of you❗
The top influencer's reverse indicator "Green Hair" this time directly abandoned hedging, with two 100x full-position long orders trapped simultaneously, risk hanging overhead.
$ETH long: entry 2722.32, current price 2679.61, holding 10 ETH, unrealized loss -427U, return rate -156%.
$BTC long: entry 86392.1, current price 84623, holding 0.4 BTC, unrealized loss -707U, return rate -204%.
Currently, the margin has not yet hit the liquidation line, but the fault tolerance for 100x full-position is extremely small. As long as the market dips slightly again, if the price drops a bit more, it will directly trigger forced liquidation.
This is not bottom fishing, it's truly catching a flying knife.
The core problem with high-leverage full-position is no buffer space; the market won't turn back just because the holder is holding on hard. Even if the long-term trend is bullish, short-term oscillations and pullbacks can directly wipe out the entire principal.
Many expect the market to rebound to save the position, but in a choppy market, it's easy to get stuck grinding at low levels for a long time. Continuously holding the position, even without liquidation, ties up funds for a long time and mentally tortures the holder. Once the mindset collapses, it's easy to manually cut losses at the lowest point.
Don't bet on the market to save trapped high-leverage positions; 100x leverage means a small pullback is enough to end the account.
$BTC $ETH