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He got 38,800 ETH in 2015
In 2015, during the Ethereum ICO, someone spent less than $50,000 to buy 38,800 ETH. If held until today, it would be worth $106 million. Equivalent to over 700 million RMB.
But he didn’t hold on.
Half a year ago, when ETH was still at 2027, he sold 11,552 ETH and got back 23.42 million. At that time, he probably thought he sold at a high point. Early this morning, ETH rose to 2749, and he spent 23.72 million to buy back 8,630 ETH.
One out and one in, with the same amount of money, he ended up with 2,921 fewer coins. He missed out on 8.03 million in profit.
You might think, is this guy stupid? A veteran player who has been around since 2015, having seen everything, how could he mess up on a swing trade? But he did. Not because he didn’t understand ETH, but precisely because he understood it too well—he knew it was volatile and thought he could profit from the fluctuations.
Those who last long in the crypto world are often not the smartest, but the least reckless. He took a risk once and ended up earning 8.03 million less.
$BTC $ETH ▶︎ Starting from 09.18, consecutive buying for 5 days
▶︎ Accumulated position of 21,520 ETH, equivalent to 55.8 million USD
▶︎ Bought at the rebound starting point after last week's pullback, from $2450 up to $2762
This mysterious entity silently accumulating $ETH across multiple addresses deserves attention. The average price of these tokens currently is $2593, with an unrealized profit of 3.253 million USD; entities performing similar operations always appear during each sharp rise and fall, and looking back, they are always "prophetic presences"
Four related new addresses that bought 6,247.2 ETH in the past 9 hours:
0x6c12B81695E354f1d110304365c2c67C1E5BB51B
0x8C1696Be7A3a674696af78aE5BC19D6755F59475
0xBb1860a74CC2EED88895Db600Db2813a4d4a77c8
0x16bAEf170EBB370dc7d0dD12CeCD080294bdbBAc$BTC BTC once reached $87,374, then retreated to around $85,800, with a 24-hour gain narrowing to about 5.32%
In the past 24 hours, the total network liquidation was about $951 million, with short liquidations dominating at $795 million, while long liquidations were only $156 million. BTC-related liquidations were about $532 million, with the largest single liquidation occurring on Hyperliquid BTC-USD, valued at $20.86 million
Short squeeze fuel quickly exhausted
Since breaking through $84,000, the rise has mainly been driven by forced short liquidations. Within 24 hours, $795 million in short positions were liquidated, significantly reducing short pressure, causing the mechanical buying that pushed the price up to dry up
🎯 Key levels
Resistance above: $87,400 (today's high), $90,278 (dense short liquidation zone)
Support below: $85,775 (concentrated buy wall), $82,125 (dense long liquidation zone, cumulative intensity reaching $2.734 billion)
Core contradiction: The current rise depends on short covering rather than deep spot market participation. ETF capital inflows and institutional return to floating profits provide medium-term support, but Garrett Jin's shift to shorting, slowing corporate accumulation, and the Fed's rate hikes impose medium-term pressure, meaning sustainability above $87,000 still requires spot buying to confirm.
If $85,775 does not attract new funds and the buy wall is depleted, the long liquidation zone near $82,125 will face a test ZEC 1460.88, surged to 1595 but failed, only buy on pullback to 1443
Conclusion:
1443–1460 hold, buy long. Stop loss at 1425, target 1572 → 1595.
Only if 1595 is surpassed, look for 1700+, otherwise expect a high-level pullback and consolidation.
If 1425 breaks, do not buy, wait for 1255–1086.
Market overview:
• From 1086 to 1595, a 46.8% increase, currently pulling back from highs, approaching 24H low
• 1595 is previous high, 1572 is 24H peak; failure to reclaim = surge and pullback digestion
• 7-day gain 25.52%, 30-day gain 83.94%, heavy short-term profit-taking pressure, chasing longs is risky
• 1-hour drop -0.84%, volume-price high-level oscillation weak, only buy on pullbacks, no chasing highs
My actions:
• Spot: place limit buy orders between 1443–1460, do not chase market price at 1460.88
• Futures: buy 3x at 1450, exit if 1425 breaks; reduce half at 1572 if it fails, clear at 1595
• If 1595 breaks out with volume, chase 2x; exit if it falls back below 1460
• Trades not taken: chasing longs at 1460, bottom fishing on 1425 break, shorting without confirmation at 1595
If 1425 breaks, accept loss, no averaging down.
Follow me for key levels in advance, no hindsight commentary. What do you think ZEC will do next? Comment below.
$ZEC BTC breaks through $85,000, with the CLARITY Act failure ironically becoming just a backdrop? The most interesting thing is not that BTC rose to $85,000, but that after the CLARITY Act failed, BTC actually reclaimed several key resistance levels that the market had previously focused on.
On September 15, the bill failed to pass the 60-vote threshold, and BTC once dropped to around $75,600.
But a few days later, BTC climbed back above $80,000 and on September 21 broke through $85,000, reaching a high close to $86,500.
This indicates that the market's trading logic is currently changing.
The first layer is bearish sentiment dulling. The failure of CLARITY indeed reduced short-term regulatory catalysts, but BTC did not continue to weaken, indicating that this negative factor has been partially digested by the market.
The second layer is position-driven. The recent rise was accompanied by large-scale short liquidations; within 24 hours, crypto market short liquidations reached about $648 million, with BTC itself contributing a significant portion of the liquidations.
The third layer is the return of capital. On September 18, the US spot BTC ETF saw a net inflow of about $433 million, while Strategy repurchased 950 BTC, indicating that spot funds and institutional demand are beginning to provide renewed support.
Therefore, the real point worth discussing about BTC breaking through $85,000 is that the market is gradually moving away from reliance on single policy events.
Of course, this does not mean the CLARITY failure had no impact. Comprehensive regulatory legislation at the US congressional level is still obstructed, and more to come in the future.$DOGE is relatively strong, experiencing consolidation after an upward breakout.
In the short term, it depends on whether it can hold above 0.09; if it holds, there is still a chance to continue rising; if it falls back below 0.09, it might take a break first. Currently, the sentiment is still bullish, making it the strongest day in the past few days. Anyway, meme coins are like this—once they start rising, they gain momentum, so just watch and enjoy.Dogecoin has reached $0.1. This threshold has been suppressing the market for a long time, but now it’s been trampled underfoot, and the direction is clear.
The breakthrough won’t be smooth sailing. Around 0.1, there are a large number of trapped positions and profit-taking orders. The price will have to struggle here for a while, fully exchanging chips before it can continue upward. This struggle doesn’t mean the market is weakening; it’s paving the way for the next wave of gains.
The logic behind this rebound lies outside the crypto market. Geopolitical easing, falling oil prices, and funds that previously sought refuge in the energy sector are now flowing back into risk assets, with the crypto market absorbing this liquidity. The decline in crude oil prices isn’t over yet, so the capital inflow will continue, giving Dogecoin’s market momentum sustainability.
0.1 is just a mid-point. Conservatively, $DOGE can reach 0.15. When it hits the take-profit point, I will post to inform everyone.Three rhythms: HYPE approaches previous highs, OKB repairs its center of gravity, BICO relies on low-level elasticity for a surprise attack. Strength and weakness have already stratified.
#SmallCoins continue to filter strength and weakness
#Funds chase breakthroughs again
$HYPE around 93.9, daily high 94.08, just a breath away from 94.57. 91.9—92.5 is a pullback buffer, 94.1 is the immediate threshold; only with volume surpassing 94.57 can a new path truly open. If it surges then falls back to 92, the double top risk intensifies.
$OKB around 118.1, low point 116.9, temporarily supported near 117. First see if it can break 118.4, then talk about 120; standing above 120, the previous high at 123 can be retested.
$BICO around 0.02136, daily high 0.02139, 0.0207—0.021 is the support. With volume passing 0.0214, first target 0.022; only standing firm there counts as breaking out of the bottom box.
The three await different targets: HYPE eyes 94.57, OKB eyes 120, BICO eyes 0.022. Approaching the thresholds, guess less about direction and watch whether sell orders get eaten more.$META target price was 540 last month, and this month it directly jumped to 700.
Many people haven't realized one thing yet: AI will first replace not the high-end specialized jobs, but the time of ordinary people. Once people have free time, anxiety needs an outlet— and Meta holds Instagram, Reels, Threads, which happen to be the world's largest "digital pacifier" factories.
As more unemployed people slide into short videos and algorithmic recommendations, attention becomes Meta's most stable cash flow. This is probably the most underestimated investment theme right now.Open Interest (Unsettled Contracts) is rapidly increasing, Funding has turned positive, and a large number of traders are starting to bet on the bulls 📈 This indicates that market sentiment is clearly leaning bullish, but also be aware: ⚠️ The more crowded the bulls, the higher the liquidation risk If spot buying does not keep up, short-term pullbacks may be amplified. What is more worth watching for $BTC currently is: Price increase + Spot trading volume + OI changes Whether they are synchronized. Don't just look at the price increase, first see if the funding has truly kept up. 👀 #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #OpenInterest #FundingRate #OKXCoinbase is at the very center of this regulatory narrative. Analysts list $COIN as a direct beneficiary of the SEC's tokenized stock exemption: it already has tokenized equity products, custody, and retail access. Reports show about a 5% increase both in pre-market and intraday trading of the underlying stock. On-chain $xCOIN tokens allow traders to trade "exchange equity beta" during crypto hours.
The significance of the past 24 hours for COIN is greater than for most altcoins: if the rules really enable the scaling of tokenized stocks, Coinbase earns pipeline fees. In the short term, it will move with BTC; in the medium term, it depends on trading volume, subscriptions, and custody assets. Treating COIN tokens as a short-term sentiment play is fine, and seeing it as a "regulatory option" also makes sense, but the positions for each should differ. #加密总市值重返2.8万亿美元 #特朗普将会晤海湾六国，伊朗局势迎关键节点 #OKX星球话题来啦 $ZEC Only four coins in the entire market have reclaimed their October highs from last year, and ZEC is one of them.
It's not just ZEC among privacy coins that is rising; the entire sector is being revalued. This perspective is more important than just looking at the candlestick charts.
The privacy coin sector has risen about 90% overall in 30 days, and excluding ZEC, it's still 85%. This is a sector-wide rally, not an isolated phenomenon. Among the 25 largest market cap coins, only ZEC, XMR, HYPE, and WBT have reclaimed the price levels from the early October highs of last year. XMR even doubled, surpassing 600. Capital is repricing the "privacy" narrative that has been forgotten for two years.
On September 15, the community voted to reduce block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, publicly endorsed by Paradigm co-founder Matt Huang. The official team also explicitly distanced themselves from the third-party counterfeit "ZRC-20" to protect their reputation. The project team is seriously managing their image.
From a technical perspective, today's -2.64% is the first breather after consecutive gains. The 7-day moving average (MA7) is at 1,450, with the price close to the line. The RSI at 71.7 is still hot but has eased compared to over 75 in the past two days.
Don't rush to buy during the correction; 1,400-1,420 is the first observation zone. If it falls below 1,280, this sentiment-driven rally will retreat first. The concern is that once the sentiment fades, the pullback will be faster than anyone else, so keep your position light. *Version 1 - Ready to post :*[Updated] > My view doubled: *Massive surge + extreme volatility* phase > Deleverage, reduce positions, lower frequency, find good entry points and hold! > In a bull market, don’t talk about the top, don’t always think about shorting!! 1. *#Crypto total market cap rebounds to 2.87 trillion, close to 2.9 trillion* - BTC back to $81k-$84k, 24h +4.5%, market enters Greed zone, altcoin season signals clear. 2. *#ZEC whale closes 38,000 short positions with a loss of 35 million* - Garrett Jin shorted at an average price of $656, closed at $1459-$1530, squeezed out in 3 months. Still holds 202,000 ZEC spot, with unrealized profit of 220 million USD. A textbook case: shorting the privacy leader against the trend just fuels the bulls. 3. *#Trump meets Gulf Six today, Iran situation reaches critical point* - Today, September 22, during the UN General Assembly in New York, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman gather to discuss post-war Iran plans. Geopolitical risk = oil price + safe-haven volatility, crypto needs to buckle up too. *Strategy unchanged:* In extreme volatility periods, survival is more important than quick profits. Low leverage + good entry points = hold to ride big waves. --- *Version 2 - Shorter / More aggressive:* DOUBLED 9.22 BTC Market Quick Review
Brothers, BTC took a roller coaster ride today! It surged to 87,374 at midnight, hitting an 8-month high, up over 7% intraday; then at 8:55 it dropped back below 86,000, currently priced between 85,900-86,000, 24h +5.25%, market cap $1.71 trillion, Fear & Greed Index at 70, in the greed zone and heating up.
What signals are there now?
The daily bullish structure remains intact, but the long upper shadow hurts morale, and short-term momentum was cut off. Bears liquidated nearly $800 million in 24 hours, with one address exploding 4 times in 14 hours; 375.8 BTC short positions worth about $32.55 million were lifted; ETFs saw net inflows over $600 million last week, average cost around 80,172, providing capital support. Resistance at 87,374 and 90,000; support at 85,000 and 80,172. Target range 86,681-93,659, but this requires buying pressure, open interest, and ETF inflows all cooperating; missing any one makes a false breakout likely.
What to do next?
For holders: Reduce positions near 87,000 if gains stall; protect profits if it breaks below 85,000.
For non-holders: Don’t chase highs at Greed 70; lightly try longs on pullbacks to 85,000-84,500 if not broken, stop loss 500-800 points, target 87,000-88,000; don’t catch a falling knife below 80,172.
In short: After the surge and pullback, both bulls and bears got hit; don’t get emotional, wait for a stable hold at 86,500-87,000 before acting!
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 ETH Morning Analysis for September 22
On the 1-hour chart, the core change in today's market is that after the price broke out with volume from the previous consolidation platform, it entered the orange box area and accelerated the upward push. This indicates that the short-term bullish trend is officially confirmed, switching from the previous range-bound oscillation to a unidirectional upward structure dominated by incremental funds. The price continues to rise, and the CVD simultaneously moves higher without showing a bearish divergence signal. This means the current rally is not a short-term impulse caused by passive stop-losses from bears but is supported by continuous active buying that keeps the bottom. Compared to the consolidation phase before the breakout, where the CVD maintained lateral fluctuations and funds remained cautious, in the accelerated phase within the orange box, the CVD keeps rising, showing a shift from a wait-and-see attitude to active offense. Open interest rises in tandem with price, with bulls actively opening and adding positions, while bears continue to place resistance orders. The divergence between bulls and bears widens, and the price increase is driven by new bullish funds combined with bear stop-loss resonance. If the price continues to make new highs, with CVD maintaining an upward trend and open interest steadily increasing, the bullish momentum will persist and the upward inertia will continue to release. However, if after a price surge the CVD no longer follows with new highs, forming a bearish divergence, and open interest turns down, it indicates that bullish funds are starting to exit. This accelerated rally will then enter a high-level consolidation or correction phase Precisely topping out and clearing positions in a bull market only sets the stage for missing out on the next bull run.
Even worse is clearing positions and then precisely shorting, which basically guarantees missing the next bull market.
Because the more the bear market falls, the more it validates your own judgment.
The more profit from shorts, the more you hope the bear market falls further.
Precisely topping out is basically luck, yet people mistakenly attribute it to their own skill.
Therefore,
1. Don’t rely on precise selling, just be roughly correct.
2. Always keep some Bitcoin as a base position, unless you’re completely leaving this space $BTC $ETH In the past 24 hours, about $380M+ worth of short positions have been liquidated, and the continuous forced buybacks have further accelerated the upward momentum. But it is important to note: this rally may not be entirely driven by new spot funds; part of the momentum could simply be "passive buying" caused by shorts being forced to buy back. ⚠️ The real risk lies ahead. If the short liquidation wave ends and spot buying cannot continue to take over, BTC could quickly fall back from around $86K, and a liquidity vacuum may appear between $84K–$85K, causing significantly increased volatility. 🐂 For those who have already caught this short squeeze rally, the focus should not be on chasing the price higher, but on observing whether volume, spot funds, and price can continue in sync. A short squeeze can push prices up, but only genuine buying can support the next phase of the market. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #CryptoCapReclaims2.8T #OKXThe 3 trillion figure sounds impressive, but I've been staring at the data for a while, and the more I look, the more something feels off.
The usual scenario is: a wave of liquidations knocks out excessive leverage, the market catches its breath, sentiment calms down, and then it steadily moves upward. This time, it's different. $BTC surged to 87,000, and indeed, shorts were massively liquidated—but the money from those liquidations left just as quickly as $2 billion in new positions came in to take their place. This isn't risk digestion; it means the gambling table isn't cleared yet, and new players have already filled all the seats.
The ETF side looks encouraging, with a net inflow of 592 million over two days, making up for the outflows of the previous days. But when you look at this alongside the candlesticks, it gets interesting: BTC's RSI6 dropped from overbought to just above 40, the KDJ J value turned negative, so in the short term, this momentum is actually fading. $ZEC is even more direct, continuing to break below its super trend line. On one hand, there are headlines like "New High" and "Breaking 3 Trillion"; on the other, the market visibly cools down—these two things happening simultaneously make me personally more cautious, not more excited.
I've seen this "strong headlines, weakening indicators" combo too many times: it's not that this round must fall, but such divergence usually accompanies greater volatility, with both rises and falls potentially amplified. Chasing highs when optimistic headlines and cooling indicators appear together is not cost-effective.
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 $ZEC privacy coin is having such a fierce cycle
ZEC is around $1595 today, just one step away from $1600, up 200% since 2026, with a market cap reaching 25 billion.
The Zcash ETF has attracted 233 million since August 25, currently with about 890 million AUM and a cumulative trading volume of 11 billion. Institutions are genuinely investing in the privacy narrative.
The zero-knowledge proof system has become a scarce asset in an era of tightening regulations; on-chain anonymity demand has never disappeared. But with an RSI of 86.6, it's purely overbought, entering a danger zone. A 23% rise in 7 days and a 2.7% pullback in one day is still considered mild; this slope can't hold. The Achilles' heel of privacy coins is the risk of being delisted by exchanges. If compliance pressure rises, liquidity could vanish overnight.
I got shaken out of ZEC years ago and missed this wave. Honestly, I'm a bit sour. But with it this overbought, I definitely won't chase now; I'll wait to see volume around 1400. The narrative is strong, the position is crazy; this kind of coin can only be bought on dips, not chased at highs.Short liquidations are doing the heavy lifting in this rally. Over the past 24 hours, $BTC absorbed $58.86M in forced closures, with 71.93% of that total coming from shorts. $ETH saw $96.29M liquidated, 82.51% of it short-side. $SOL recorded $11.93M, and an even more lopsided 84.69% came from traders positioned against the move. That skew matters more than the headline dollar figures. When four out of every five liquidated positions are shorts, the candle is not a pure expression of new buying cThe average ETF cost is roughly around 81,700, and after this rise, the account is back in the profit zone. But don't overlook: during the acceleration phase, the proportion of short position liquidations is very high, and mechanical buybacks will exaggerate the speed of the rise.
My personal interpretation (not a trading call):
1. Floating profit returning ≠ immediately leverage up to chase the 90,000 target
2. After squeezing out shorts, the real test is whether the spot price can hold 85,000–86,000
3. When volatility rises, aligning position size and stop-loss is more important than guessing the next candlestick
Those who have profited understand better: when the market is hot, risk control is more valuable than slogans.No vision, can't hold on, the profit this time is as thin as paper, but I love it to death. When I thought this wave was completely hopeless, $ARB repeatedly oscillated during the session and gradually carved out the bottom. The less people watch, the easier it is to surprise, and this time it proved true again.
I saw the support hold, buying pressure strengthen, and people catching on below, so I suggested waiting for a pullback to stabilize before going long, don't rush to heavy positions. At that time, most people were still watching, and there wasn't even a decent rally on the chart. When it really started to rise, the hesitant ones began slapping their knees.
The premise of compounding is survival; the shortcut to getting rich quick often leads to zero.
From 0.19555 to 0.22223, +681.92% was displayed, really satisfying, time for a good meal. Take profit on 70% first, keep 30% at cost price for protection, no panic on a rebound, let the profits run if it continues to surge.
Now is not the time to rush; chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, opportunities remain, don't be anxious. Hold if the trend is intact, run if it breaks, don't fall in love with your position.
$BNB $LAB The second is the ETF capital flow shift. On September 15 and 16, ETFs saw a net outflow of $746 million, but on September 17, it turned into a net inflow of $159 million, and on September 18, a violent inflow of $430.3 million occurred, with Fidelity's FBTC alone taking $310.7 million and BlackRock's IBIT taking $108.4 million. First run, then return. This is a shakeout, not a run away.
The third is the macro catalyst. International oil prices fell for four consecutive days, the geopolitical situation between the US and Iran eased, and trade tension expectations cooled. Bitcoin did not follow the "crypto narrative"; it followed the "risk appetite recovery." Nationwide's strategist put it precisely: despite the Fed rate hikes, oil market uncertainty, and US Treasury yields breaking 5%, the market remains resilient, which itself is a signal of rising risk appetite.
But the core thing is that these three forces converge in the same time window. ETF inflows provide spot buying support, short accumulation provides short squeeze fuel, and macro easing provides emotional catalysts. The three gears mesh, resulting in 87374.
Bitfinex's perpetual contracts once soared to $153,960 — at a spot price of 85,000, several large orders directly ate through the sell orders. The sell orders were as thin as paper. $BTC $ZEC $ETH #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 #Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 #财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布 $SNDK I got in again this time, going long around 1742.
To be honest, I'm not particularly comfortable with this position.
The daily chart is now around 1789. Previously, it surged to 1842, then pulled back to around 1580, and has since rallied back. The price has now reclaimed the BOLL middle band above 1685, with the daily BOLL upper band near 1880 above.
What I'm focusing on is not simply "SanDisk will rise," but the recent market expectations heating up again around Trump's midterm elections and technology and industrial policies. Funds are clearly willing to re-engage in high-volatility tech assets.
So I'm willing to try at 1742, but I won't stubbornly hold on.
If the previous high at 1842 is effectively broken, I'll continue to watch; if it falls back to around 1685, I'll rather exit. There's no need to turn a trial-and-error trade into a belief trade.
Looking at $BTC, the contrast recently is quite obvious.
A few days ago, it was hovering around 80,000; yesterday it surged directly to about 86,300, and now it's still around 86,000. The market's risk appetite is clearly stronger than last week, but I won't chase shorts here either.
What I'm more concerned about now is: after BTC stabilizes above 86,000, can altcoins and tech assets truly take over?
If the market rally is just BTC pulling hard on its own, I'll be more cautious with stocks like SanDisk; if funds start to spread out, then this move in SNDK becomes interesting.
For the 1742 position, I'll hold and watch first; if uncomfortable, I'll exit. #SNDK Inclusion in the S&P 100 Takes Effect, but Passive Buying May Not Be as Large as Expected
📈 Trading Insight:
Passive buying may be overestimated. SanDisk has long been a component of the S&P 500, and large funds tracking the S&P 500 already hold it. The only real addition is from funds tracking the S&P 100. Based on BlackRock's iShares S&P 100 fund with about $20 billion in assets, if SanDisk's weight is about 0.5%, the corresponding purchase would be only about $100 million — which is limited impact for a stock with daily trading volume exceeding $15 billion.
More importantly is the quality of growth: about two-thirds of last quarter's revenue quarter-over-quarter increase came from price hikes rather than volume. Management has already slowed next quarter's revenue growth guidance to about 18%.
📈 Key Levels:
🟢 Support: 1600-1650, around the 20-day moving average
🔴 Resistance: 1800-1820, breakout target 1900
⚠️ Risk level: 1500, 50-day moving average 20GW, this number has nothing to do with the crypto world
Wu Yongming announced at the Yunqi Conference that Alibaba Cloud's data centers will exceed 20GW by 2032.
I heard similar talk back in 2021, and at that time I bought computing power coins.
The data looks like this: 20GW is the target for seven years from now, and the computing power of Zhenwu V900 is three times that of M890.
What he said: chip annual shipments still need to increase significantly.
The result? The computing power coins I hold have yet to break even, while the AI narrative has boosted NVIDIA's stock price.
The lesson is simple: those who make money from the computing power narrative are never the coin buyers.
If you really want to watch, watch the actual shipment volume of Zhenwu V900, not just the GW.
This time Wall Street's dog isn't biting, just lying low.
#AI降速争议未退，算力投入继续加码 $NVDA Bitcoin fell back from over 87,000 in the early session to over 85,000. The three spot buy orders I placed (82,500, 80,000, 78,000) haven't been filled yet, which perfectly confirms last night's saying — use limit orders instead of on-the-spot judgment. Those who chased the rise entered at 87,000 this morning and are now stuck; those who set their orders and went to sleep, waiting for the market to come knocking, that's discipline. ETH is steady above 2,700, and SOL is also at 117. I was completely right to reduce SOL's allocation to 15.5% last night — over-allocating on the rise is also a risk, an unhealthy structure, and no matter how the market moves, you won't sleep soundly. Next, BTC needs to break through 88,000 to open new space; if it drops to 82,500, I'll take the first position; if it doesn't reach that price, I'll continue holding spot and keep the contract short position waiting. The biggest enemy in a bull market isn't volatility, it's yourself messing up your position by chasing highs and selling lows during the swings.Is the US about to integrate BTC into the national financial system? Recently, there has been an interesting shift in US crypto policy: after the CLARITY Act was blocked in the Senate, crypto legislation did not stop; instead, it began to be advanced in parts.
On September 16, the US House Ways and Means Committee passed the Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act by a vote of 38 to 5, covering digital asset transactions, mining, staking, reporting, and some anti-tax avoidance rules.
On the same day, the House Financial Services Committee also advanced the Reserve Modernization Act, aiming to further incorporate strategic BTC reserves into the legal framework.
One detail to note here: this does not mean the US government is immediately spending money to buy BTC.
Currently, this is only at the committee level; it still needs to go through procedures in the House and Senate. Moreover, one of the key points of the reserve act is to establish institutional management of government BTC holdings, not to directly announce large-scale purchases.
But from a global political perspective, this signal is quite clear.
The US is trying to shift BTC from being a "regulated object" to an asset that can be discussed in terms of tax rules, national reserves, and financial strategy.
The biggest significance for BTC may not be how much it pumps in the short term, but the change in asset positioning.
Previously, countries discussed BTC more in terms of "whether to regulate it," but now the US has started discussing "how to regulate, how to reserve, and how to integrate it into the financial system."
Of course, political struggles will continue, especially since the blockage of CLARITY also shows that there are still clear differences within the US two-party system and Congress regarding crypto policy.In terms of K-line, $ETH is stronger than BTC and SOL, and it is the only one among the three to stand above the VWAP.
From August 11 to September 10, ETH rose 33%, BTC rose 23%. The ETF side is even more direct: last week ETH had a net inflow of 196.9 million, while BTC had a net outflow of 462.7 million, a difference of over 600 million between inflow and outflow.
The total size of ETH's ETF is only one-sixth of BTC's ETF, 16.7 billion versus 102.5 billion. Using one-sixth of the market cap to absorb more net inflow than the other side.
Looking at the whole year makes it clearer.
Since 2026, ETH ETF net inflow is 863 million, BTC ETF net outflow is 1 billion.When the price rises rapidly, many people's first reaction is "It has risen too much, it should pull back," so they choose to short. But if the bulls push further up, short positions can easily turn from active trades into forced stop losses. In this rally, BTC once broke through $87,000, hitting a multi-month high, and the overall crypto market cap also approached $3T again. Meanwhile, a large number of shorts were forced to liquidate, further amplifying the upward momentum. 📌 What is more worth paying attention to now: Whether $86K–$87K can hold Whether around $85K can form short-term support Whether volume and capital flow continue to follow During an uptrend, "rising too much" does not necessarily mean "top is imminent." Sometimes price consolidation is just a buildup, and new breakouts may still occur afterward. ⚠️ When the trend is upward, blindly using overly large short positions often leaves very limited room for error. Instead of guessing the top, it is better to wait for confirmation signals after the structure truly weakens. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC87K #CryptoCap3T#BTC surged to $87000, crypto total market cap returns to 3 trillion
Currently, 61% of the $BTC market is bullish but undercurrents are stirring, institutions are buying with real money, Strategy added another 950 $ETH, funds have turned positive, BlackRock IBIT saw a single-day inflow of 121 million, confirming a long-term bottom reversal signal.
However, bearish risks are also significant, the "Clear Act" is stuck, and there was a net outflow of 746 million from ETFs earlier. On-chain demand is weak, Coinbase premium has been negative for a long time, and treasury company buying has plummeted.
Especially the risk structure, 3.2 billion leveraged longs peaked dead at the 80,000 level, with long position liquidations of 10.64 billion.
$DOGE #Strategy increased holdings again, treasury simultaneously added positions #EarningsObserver: Costco Q4 earnings report is about to be released In this hour, SOL not only surpassed ETH in volume but also showed a particularly concentrated bullish tone. According to the OKX community snapshot, at 09:00 China time on September 22, the mention volumes for BTC, SOL, and ETH were 89, 47, and 31 respectively; in the same window, BTC was about 63% bullish and 7% bearish, SOL about 70% bullish and 6% bearish, ETH about 45% bullish and 6% bearish. META was mentioned 40 times with about 68% bullish sentiment; OPENAI 23 times (about 4% bullish, 22% bearish). In terms of volume, SOL clearly pulled ahead of ETH, and the tone was more bullish. The bullish and bearish percentages describe the sentiment of this batch of texts, not actual trades. For now, note this round of "SOL volume and tone rising in the same direction," and we will compare again with new snapshots.COOKIE
RSI has already pushed to 75, with the price deviating from EMA144 by a full 15%. This sharp rally has pushed all indicators into the overbought zone, with 4.41 times volume stacked at a high level, indicating no new money entering the market. The issue now is not direction but position—chasing up to around 0.01253 is the short stop-loss level.
Bearish: 0.012343 – 0.012380 Stop-loss: 0.012528 Target 1: 0.011844 Target 2: 0.011345 Target 3: 0.010831ETH current price is $2743. After continuous gains, there is a slight pullback, with the market starting to see profit-taking and high-leverage long position reductions. Over the past 7 days, ETH has still risen about 13.9%, indicating the trend remains intact, but the short-term has entered a high-level consolidation zone, and ETF fund momentum has also slowed down.
I am not chasing longs near 2743; I will wait for a pullback to $2700–$2680 to observe support; on the upside, first watch the $2800 resistance—if volume breaks through, the market has a chance to open up further. If it falls below $2680, beware of concentrated long position profit-taking. $ETH #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
Is this pullback a healthy rotation, or is the upward momentum slowing down?
#ETH #Ethereum #合约交易Bitcoin has already reached around $86K, hitting the highest level this year, with overall market risk appetite clearly rising. The latest data shows that Strategy bought another 950 BTC last week, worth about $75.7M, increasing its holdings to approximately 846,000 BTC; previously, the US spot BTC ETF also saw a single-day net inflow of about $433M, providing capital support for this rally. However, the rise itself does not mean the trend will continue indefinitely. 📈 Currently, the 4H structure remains strong, but after a rapid surge, short-term market sentiment has clearly heated up, and the increase in leveraged funds also means volatility risk is rising. My focus is not on guessing the top but on waiting for confirmation: 🔥 Around $87K: Whether it can break through with volume and hold will determine if the bulls can continue pushing forward. 🟢 If after the breakout it can hold the $85K–$86K range, the strong structure still has a chance to continue. ⚠️ If there is a clear rejection at the high level and the 4H close falls back below the 20-MA, then the short-term pullback risk will significantly increase. BTC is very strong now, but strong trends most easily cause people to chase the rally impulsively. I pay more attention to the follow-through after the breakout, volume, and pullback confirmation, rather than simply chasing a big bullish candle. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #CryptoMarket #DailyOrbitETH daily chart structure remains strong, with short-term moving averages continuing upward. After the price firmly reclaimed above $2,700, market focus has shifted to the next round of resistance. 📊 24H trading volume stays above $25B, indicating the rise is not lacking in trading activity; meanwhile, ETH staking fund flows remain divergent, making it crucial to observe whether it can continue to attract capital. 🔥 $2,780 is the current key resistance. Holding above $2,780 → opportunity to further test $2,850. If $2,850 successfully turns into support → next target zone is $2,950–$3,050. ⚠️ However, if volume does not keep up after the breakout, beware of false breakouts and short-term profit-taking. Don’t just look at a single big bullish candle; price + volume + capital flow + follow-through after breakout are the keys to judging whether the trend can continue. #DailyOrbit #ETHStakingFlowsSplit #ETH #Ethereum #CryptoBTC surged with a big bullish candle straight to 87374, causing a collective short squeeze; the 86,000 level feels as fragile as paper.
RSI6 soared to 95.12, J value at 103.4. Textbooks call this "extremely overbought and ready to crash anytime," but the market says "the car is too heavy and the main force is still pressing the gas."
This rally doesn’t need fundamentals, it’s pure short squeeze. Retail investors chased in at 87,000, buying into the belief of "rushing to 100,000"; big players built positions at 75,000, selling into your greed.
Those who missed the ride are anxiously watching the price action—missing out at worst means no profit. Those on board are truly tormented: leaving early means regret, staying means fearing waking up to zero profits.
At the 87,000 level, do you think it’s heading straight to 100,000 or about to plunge off a high platform? If you have a position, how are you planning to exit tonight? Speak honestly in the comments.
$BTC $ETH The shorts have been squeezed out again, and this surge makes me feel a bit sorry for the opposing side. But after the short squeeze, who will really take over? In the past 24 hours, I've watched BTC, ETH, and SOL all push upwards together, with shorts making up a glaringly high proportion in the liquidation data. About $58.8 million of BTC was liquidated, 72% of which were shorts; about $96.3 million of ETH, 83% shorts; about $11.9 million of SOL, 85% shorts. The numbers themselves aren't surprising, what's surprising is the rhythm—this isn't a slow buy-up, it's being driven by forced liquidations. I didn't chase this round with my own positions; instead, I reduced a bit during the rebound. The reason is simple: a short squeeze is fuel, not the engine. Once the fuel burns out, whether the vehicle keeps moving depends on spot buying and trading volume. The price has risen now, but whether spot follows and whether volume continues to expand are the two points I watch most closely. From the transmission chain perspective, the short squeeze first hits sentiment, then the funding rate. If the rate quickly turns positive or even high, it means longs are starting to crowd in, which calls for caution about a secondary pullback. BTC's stability determines whether ETH and SOL can catch up; SOL has the highest short squeeze ratio and the greatest elasticity, but its retracement will also be more severe. Altcoins wanting to take over need BTC to hold sideways and ETH to strengthen first; otherwise, it's just a one-off move. The bullish path: if spot volume keeps up, funding rates remain moderate, and BTC doesn't break key support, this wave could evolve into the start of a trend reversal. The bearish risk: if it's just short covering, spot doesn't follow, and funding rates soar, then the rebound is just an opportunity for shorts to re-enter, and those chasing highs will be left stranded halfway up the mountain. SanDisk pushed to 1842 but couldn’t sustain the breakout, showing that sellers are still defending the highs. The broader structure remains bullish with the moving averages aligned upward, but chasing here comes with poor risk/reward. 🎯 Key level: 1765 — 5-day MA support • Hold 1765 → consolidation and another attempt higher remain possible • Lose 1765 → deeper pullback becomes increasingly likely And remember: altcoin strength still depends heavily on $BTC. When price is stretched near resistaDidn't make any judgment, just held on a bit longer, didn't expect it to really pay off. While everyone else was still watching, the SUI buy orders got stronger. I reminded not to rush to exit $SUI long positions, there are buyers below.
From 0.8194 to 1.0493, floating profit +1403.46%, those on board must have woken up smiling. It was worth the wait, really satisfying.
The premise of compounding is staying alive; the shortcut to getting rich quick often leads to zero.
Have a strategy before the market opens, discipline during trading, and reflection afterward.
Take profits on 70% first, move the stop loss on the remaining 30% to the cost price to protect it, let the profits run if it continues to rise. Now is not the time to chase; chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for a new structure to form before deciding.
$XRP $SOL BTC spot ETF saw a net inflow of about $116 million yesterday, but don't rush to call it a trend reversal.
Just came across the updated holdings table from Lookonchain, and the numbers are quite interesting.
BTC had a one-day net inflow of +1363 coins, roughly +$116 million; but over seven days, it's still a net outflow of -4418 coins, about -$376 million, so the weekly trend hasn't turned green yet.
ETH is similar: a one-day inflow of about $149 million, but a seven-day net outflow of about $172 million.
Both sides are seeing short-term replenishment, but the weekly trend is still declining, which is different from simply saying "institutions are back."
I think this looks more like capital replenishment during a recovery phase, not a full-scale accumulation yet.
You can observe lightly to see if the inflow continues for several days; don't go all in chasing highs at the first sign of green.
The failure points are clear: if BTC turns to a one-day net outflow, or spot price falls below the 80,000 mark, then exit first; don't stubbornly hold on.
Are you going to lightly follow the short-term inflows, or wait until the seven-day flow turns positive before acting?
$BTC
$ETH
$IBIT
#BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散
#SEC代币化股票创新豁免落地，UNI盘中涨超21% Jordi Visser put forward an argument called "Ghost Rails," which completely overturned my understanding.
He said that the lending, stablecoins, tokenization, and other infrastructure built by the crypto industry over 15 years—do you think they were made for retail investors? Wrong! The real users have never been humans, but AI agents!
He even compared the current period to the Netscape browser era in 1995. It took a full 14 years from then until the iPhone with the App Store truly brought the internet to the masses. Do you get it, brothers? We are still building the infrastructure; the real explosion is far from here.
But he is extremely bullish on $BTC. The reason is hardcore: in the future, tokenization will convert $900 trillion of illiquid assets into currency, and Bitcoin is the only asset that has survived for 20 years. He boldly stated that he is optimistic about Bitcoin demand for the next 30 years.
The narrative is grand, and the big players are optimistic about 30 years, but that doesn't mean there won't be sharp drops in the short term. The current market is extremely greedy, with heavy leverage accumulation, and a sudden plunge could happen anytime. $ETH $DOGE #加密总市值重返2.8万亿美元 #特朗普将会晤海湾六国，伊朗局势迎关键节点 #ETH冲高2700美元，质押与资金面现分化 🚨 $SNDK — I’M NOT CHASING THIS MOVE
Price is stuck between two major liquidation zones, so the middle is a low-edge area for me.
🔼 1916 → short-liq zone, but upside fuel looks limited.
🔽 1720 → key support; losing it with volume could send price toward 1612.
🎯 1600–1612 → the zone I’d watch for a potential washout and better risk/reward.
Liquidation levels aren’t guaranteed targets. Price can sweep them, skip them, or simply range.
Would you buy the 1600 area or wait for confirmation? The average ETF cost is roughly around 81,700, and after this rise, the account is back in the profit zone. But don't overlook: during the acceleration phase, the proportion of short position liquidations is very high, and mechanical buybacks will exaggerate the speed of the rise.
My personal interpretation (not a trading call):
1. Floating profit returning ≠ immediately leverage up to chase the 90,000 target
2. After squeezing out shorts, the real test is whether the spot price can hold 85,000–86,000
3. When volatility rises, aligning position size and stop-loss is more important than guessing the next candlestick
Those who have profited understand better: when the market is hot, risk control is more valuable than slogans.BTC surged to around 86,000 overnight (public sources report about 85,900–86,600, up about 6% intraday), simultaneously liquidating a bunch of short positions — according to CoinGlass, 24h BTC short liquidations totaled approximately 450 million.
Personal key levels (not a trading call):
• 85,000–86,000: current defense zone; if it doesn't hold, don't assume the trend is confirmed
• 80,000: previous resistance turned support; watch for pullbacks here first
• Looking upward, 90,000 is a round number target, not a pass-through level
The rapid short-term spike doesn't mean spot consensus is stable yet. Positioning on "waiting for a stable hold" is more cost-effective than chasing longs at the open. $CORE current price range is 0.019—0.021, down over 99% compared to the historical high of 6.47.
In September, during the validator over-issuance incident, the project executed a v1.0.26 hard fork to burn more than 150 million tokens, choosing not to roll back. User assets were preserved, but the burn hash and full review were not fully disclosed, leaving trust concerns.
The BTCFi narrative remains active, with directions worth watching including Satoshi Plus, BTC non-custodial staking, dual staking, as well as SatPay, AMP, and lstBTC. However, income buybacks are currently only planned in the roadmap, and on-chain fees are minimal at this stage. Coupled with the long-term release since 1981 and continuous node reward inflation, there is heavy unlocking selling pressure. The 24-hour trading volume is only several hundred thousand to a few million USD, the market depth is shallow, making it easy to be dumped.
In short: this is a heavily oversold speculative rebound target, not a value bottom.
✅ Support at 0.019-0.020 holds, small positions can be tried;
❌ If it breaks below the previous low of 0.0167, look down to 0.013-0.015;
📉 If the rebound cannot hold at 0.024-0.026, decisively reduce positions.
Position control: total altcoin funds <5%, leverage strictly prohibited.
True trend reversal depends on three signals:
SatPay generating real income, monthly buyback amount > token unlock volume, and on-chain BTC staking & TVL continuously rising.
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 I am Wealth Monkey. A whale has set ten major targets and released information planning to hold $BTC long-term, aiming for 120,000, with a plan to reduce 30% of holdings at the 100,000 level for swing trading. My view: This whale previously predicted the 80,000 target which has already been realized, so confidence is high now. However, the claim of holding long-term at 120,000 is just something to listen to; when it really reaches 100,000, he may not reduce holdings as planned. Whales often make public statements to create liquidity for their own trades. The current total market cap has returned to 2.8 trillion, and with $ZEC just revealing a 35 million whale order, market enthusiasm has indeed risen. But promoting high targets at peak levels easily attracts trend followers, posing a risk of a bull trap. From a mid-term perspective, as long as the 80,000 level holds, the trend structure remains intact, and core positions can continue to hold to benefit from the market. But beware of getting overheated and going all-in to chase the 120,000 peak. Before reaching 100,000, it’s wise to take profits on rallies and use gains to capture subsequent moves. Remember: when others paint grand market scenarios, always be wary of sharp pullbacks. Trade with the trend to capture trend dividends, avoid catching the last leg of the move, and don’t become the bag holder for whales unloading their positions. #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 #Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 #财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布 Did nothing, just went to the restroom, and when I came back, the K-line had already done the work for me. Last night before sleeping, I was still watching $OP, originally just waiting for a pullback confirmation, but unexpectedly, the market didn’t even give a signal and just surged straight up. At that moment, I was stunned; the profit came too suddenly.
I saw the support didn’t break, the bottom was consolidating horizontally making people sleepy, but funds quietly entered. At that time, I only said one thing: hold if it doesn’t break, exit if it does, don’t scare yourself in the volatility. Prediction isn’t magic, it’s about the right position, and the win rate naturally goes up.
Don’t lose patience in the volatility and then try to regain dignity in a one-sided move.
This morning when I opened the market, from 0.11071 to 0.12656, +715.83% was right there. The earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is truly sweet. Take profits on 70% first, keep 30% at cost price for protection, if it continues to rise, let the profits run, don’t be greedy for the last bit.
Now is not the time to rush; chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I will notify immediately. Risk control done upfront is called rationality; cutting losses after losing is called decisive action.
$SNDK $SOL Account Position Divergence Radar
$WLD Top accounts are more long-biased, but position distribution is more short-biased: top accounts long-short ratio 1.159, top positions long-short ratio 0.859; overall market accounts long-short ratio 2.483; price down 0.43%, position value change -0.93%.
$DOGE Top accounts are more long-biased, but position distribution is more short-biased: top accounts long-short ratio 1.357, top positions long-short ratio 0.838; overall market accounts long-short ratio 2.240; price down 0.06%, position value change -0.38%.
$XRP Top accounts are more long-biased, but position distribution is more short-biased: top accounts long-short ratio 1.142, top positions long-short ratio 0.901; overall market accounts long-short ratio 2.278; price up 0.20%, position value change +0.45%.
WLD, DOGE, XRP: The side with the majority of accounts is opposite to the side with the majority of positions, indicating divergence between account structure and position distribution; the overall market account structure is long-biased, which also differs from the top position bias.Just opened a small short on $ZEC, is the downtrend really starting now?👊
ZEC dropped from 1572 straight down to 1457, down 2.74 points, breaking below the Bollinger middle band at 1495. MACD has a bearish crossover downward, RSI6 fell to 29.49, an oversold signal appeared, short-term bears definitely have the advantage.
I just opened a small short position near 1450, betting it will continue to probe lower. The support at 1425 is the previous low; if it doesn't hold, the downtrend will truly open up. This trade goes against the previous strong rally, so be cautious. The previous high at 1572 is the stop-loss line; if it breaks, accept the loss.
The Zcash Foundation just clarified that ZRC-20 and CASH tokens are unofficial standards, which is bearish news. There is short-term downside space, but after oversold conditions, a rebound might also occur.
Brothers, do you dare to chase shorts in this kind of just-broken market? Can this trade make a profit? Let's discuss in the comments.🙈
#ZEC跻身前十，机构化进程提速 #ZEC机构资金入场，高位杠杆开始出清 #波动雷达：币种异动观察