匿光｜Arcana
匿光｜Arcana
5年加密货币交易经验，长期持有OKB BTC，单币A7持有者，meme黑马猎手，区块链上信息搜寻者，对该行业长期看好，未来依旧是普通人最好的翻身机会。
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$ETH looks bleak this week. I'll make a prediction, and you can vote. Looking at the MA lines, the golden line is about to cross the purple line, but the pink line is above the golden line. According to this trend, there might be a waterfall drop, possibly from 2400 down to 1850 within 4 days, or even lower. The rebound is weak, and with no positive news, this week will most likely be a waterfall drop.
Prediction for the East 8 time zone:
Tuesday morning at 8 AM, ETH around 2170
Thursday midnight, ETH around 1960
Friday afternoon, possibly hovering around 1750-1870 #Robinhood交易业务增长能否延续？
No one is bottom-fishing $DOGE at 79,000; everyone is waiting to go long at 77,777 and 73,888, and some at 75,888. It's normal for DOGE to drop to 0.06555–0.06200. Bitcoin will reach 90k, and DOGE's price around 0.12–0.10 is basically the high point of this cycle. Many of DOGE's partners have successively ended cooperation, leaving only retail investors maintaining it. There are news reports of whales bottom-fishing altcoins, but obviously none for DOGE. These words discourage those holding long positions. First, I apologize; I just want to warn brothers who haven't traded yet not to play DOGE anymore. I've been stuck and plan to take two years to break even and escape! I don't want new players to take the loss!
Bitcoin fell below 80,000, took a tumble, but my "three kids" not only didn't fall, they even bounced back twice.
What does this mean? Am I just lucky?
What is a quality asset? To give an example, recently I like to shop using the JD app; as long as I place an order before midnight, it arrives at my doorstep the next morning. Good experience, good quality, good service... The same principle applies to quality blockchain projects—they have real-world use cases, serve users, solve credit and trust issues, financial issues, security issues...
On top of that, especially in the late bull market, when Bitcoin falls, projects that resist the drop, or quickly rebound after falling, or those that remain stable while Bitcoin fluctuates, these assets explode with the trend and are quality assets. Here's a big hint—some projects in decentralized exchanges...
Markets are born in despair, and when your emotions follow despair, you will definitely miss out and be left behind. When others despair and you despair too, just echoing the crowd, that means you don't understand...
The most counterintuitive thing about the market is: the less people believe, the more it rises! The main forces create this effect to induce retail investors' fear and doubt—fear leads to selling at a loss, doubt leads to hesitation! Opportunities are precisely hidden in these "even dogs shake their heads" market conditions.
My account hasn't moved much, which means I haven't chosen the wrong side, but it proves I'm right; it just needs time to verify.
$AAVE dropped 8.7% in a week, falling to $135. It should have shrunk in volume and given up waiting to die, but the volume is about the same as usual.
This is the most frustrating part. If it really fell with no one buying, it would mean the chips have completely changed hands; but this lukewarm volume means everyone is just placing orders and playing dead, no one willing to let go first. Looking further back, those who bought 90 days ago are still up over 30%, their unrealized gains not fully realized, so the selling pressure is always hanging there.
Last week, a whale transferred 35,000 tokens into the exchange, and such moves are never just for admiring the interface.
Many people are fixated on the date 11.3, saying that funds are unwilling to move until that time. In reality, November 3rd is just when the voting window opens. After that, there are still vote counting, reconciliation, certification, and finally the confirmation of congressional seats. The new Congress will not be sworn in until January 2027. So do you think funds are currently seeking safety? At least before November 3rd, they are not. This is just a market illusion to make you think that the main players will only act on November 3rd. Therefore, before that, there will definitely be a good upward move to induce short covering. The real risk aversion will most likely occur around mid-November, when funds, due to some potential insider information or uncertainty, will buy long-term put options or short the market. So that is when we need to clear our positions, not now, just because of November 3rd. If you do that, you will only become fuel for #Robinhood交易业务增长能否延续？
I think this week is a miracle week. This year Anthropic is starting its IPO, definitely aiming to create momentum. With so many earnings reports released this week plus the interest rate meeting, it might ignite the market's fury. Moreover, BTC is so strong, with a super solid bottom at 80k, even 78k is hard to reach, perfectly confirming the saying that bad news in a bull market can only delay the rise, while Crypto's recovery might only need a small piece of good news. Additionally, I personally believe that in this bull market you should hold tokens with value capture, such as UNI, AAVE, HYPE, LINK, PUMP… $BTC $UNI
$XRP｜Ripple
Consistently ranked in the top five by market cap for years, with a market value of hundreds of billions, yet it is widely recognized within the community as a topic to avoid.
A project with a scale of hundreds of billions, spanning over a decade, unable to present any profitable business implementation, with almost no positive revenue.
Sustained large-scale chip sell-offs over the years, continuously draining liquidity from the market.
As long as this hidden risk remains, a true bull market in crypto is hard to talk about.
Massive chips hanging overhead, the final outcome is a continuous flow to those chasing highs. #谷歌云业务增长82%，AI投入回报如何？
The latest BTC historical trend comparison chart shows that in 2023, Bitcoin repeatedly faced resistance near $25,000, then pulled back to around $21,500 support, briefly broke below it but quickly recovered, eventually breaking the previous high and surging past $30,000. Now, the 2026 trend shows a similar structure: BTC previously attempted twice to break near $87,000 but failed, currently retreating to around $80,400, while the $75,000–$76,000 range corresponds exactly to an important mid-term support area.
What is truly worth noting is that if BTC continues to pull back near $75,000 but quickly recovers and forms a higher low, it could develop a false breakdown rebound structure similar to 2023. Then, once it breaks above $87,000 again, the market may have the opportunity to challenge $95,000 or even $100,000. However, the upward space near $104,000 shown in the chart is only a scenario projection based on historical analogy and should not be taken as a definite target. If the $75,000 support continues to fail, this bullish structure will need to be reassessed. #Robinhood交易业务增长能否延续？
Do you really believe Standard Chartered Bank's predictions? That's way too exaggerated. Basically, a 30-40% discount is still a reasonable price.
Here's the calibrated price for you:
BTC: Predicted to reach 500k by 2030, that's a huge exaggeration; breaking 200k would already be great.
ETH: Predicted to reach 40k by 2030, that's boasting; even 8k would be impressive.
SOL: Predicted to reach 2000 by 2030, that's nonsense; 600 is the ceiling.
UNI: Predicted to reach 100 by 2030, probably will only get to 35.
ARB: Predicted to reach 10 by 2030, likely only 3.5.
ENA: Predicted to reach 2 by 2028, likely only 1.
SKY: Predicted to reach 0.325 by 2028, likely only 0.15.
AAVE: Predicted to reach 3500 by 2030, likely only 1500.
MORPHO: Predicted to reach 60 by 2030, likely only 20.
XRP: Predicted to reach 28 by 2030, even reaching 6 would be very good.
Although Standard Chartered likes to boast, their past predictions have generally been correct in the big picture; it's just that the actual gains never reach their predicted prices, with the final price usually only about one-third of their boastful estimates. They set the expected prices very high to retain retail investors, but in reality, they sell out before reaching one-third of the expected price.
If all their predictions came true, the total market cap of these coins would be extremely exaggerated—where would all that capital come from? $BTC
In the last bull market, there were a total of 6 major corrections
Each correction ranged between
20%-30%
The previous bear market corrected by
77%
This bear market corrected by
53%
Each cycle of bear and bull market fluctuations is getting smaller; with smaller fluctuations, larger leverage is required to achieve previous returns. This is why normal fluctuations now cause long liquidations equivalent to previous major downturns.
According to the pattern of decreasing volatility, the correction range for this bull market is
10%-15%
We are now already at the tail end of this correction
