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#BTC Highlights:
Pullback realized, judgment correct. Enter at 60,000, exit at 88,000, short at 86,200, cover and add short at 80,600.
Next target 94,000.
The key is whether 86K can turn into support.Sei is a high-performance L1 public chain focused on the trading track, positioned specifically for order book DEXs, contract trading, and high-frequency on-chain trading, directly competing with Sui, Aptos, and Solana. ✅ Highlights (Bullish Logic) 1. Differentiated Positioning: Not an all-purpose public chain, but focused on on-chain trading. Native parallel execution and fast finality; originally with Twin-Turbo consensus, now fully pushing the Sei Giga major upgrade aiming for 200,000 TPS and finality within 250ms. It also adds the Sedna privacy trading layer, focusing on MEV resistance to attract institutional-grade on-chain trading demand. 2. Architecture Transformation (SIP-3): Shifting from Cosmos SDK route to a pure EVM chain, abandoning CosmWasm and shutting down IBC cross-chain. Benefits: Ethereum developers can migrate directly, Solidity contracts deploy with one click, lowering development barriers; downsides: completely detaching from the Cosmos ecosystem, losing original IBC assets and Cosmos community foundation. 3. Clear Ecosystem Direction: Ecosystem focus on order book DEXs, perpetual contracts, RWA, prediction markets (previously partnered with Kalshi), Chainlink, Pyth and other oracles already integrated, suitable for latency-sensitive trading DeFi. 4. Strong Institutional Financing Background: Early financing lineup was good; the trading track narrative is easily hyped by capital during bull markets, showing strong elasticity when crypto markets are favorable. ⚠️ Core Risks (also the biggest constraints on prospects)🚨 Contract funds are simultaneously flowing back and retreating, who is secretly positioning?
Let me tell you, the capital flow of the four major mainstream coins has already shown obvious divergence!
🔴 $BTC: 24-hour net inflow +$604 million, but net outflow of -$109 million in the last hour, and a net outflow of -$4.731 billion in the last 30 days. Short-term funds fluctuate repeatedly, with considerable medium- to long-term pressure.
🔴 $ETH: 24-hour net inflow +$71.8095 million, inflow of +$62.144 million in the last 2 hours, but net outflow of -$5.367 billion in the last 30 days. Some short-term replenishment, but this does not mean the trend has reversed.
🟠 $SOL: 24-hour net inflow +$48.216 million, net outflow of -$1.994 billion in the last 30 days, short-term warming, long-term still under pressure.
🟢 $ZEC: 24-hour net inflow +$29.5757 million, net inflow of +$94.1248 million in the last 30 days, the only one among the four coins to maintain net inflow in the last 30 days, showing relatively strong capital performance.
My view is clear: short-term inflow does not equal the return of a bull market. Medium- to long-term capital pressure remains for $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL; $ZEC is relatively resistant to decline, but don’t blindly chase highs.
A reminder: contract net inflow does not equal real buying pressure; direction still needs to be judged in combination with price and open interest.
Do you think this is a main force shakeout, or the last bull trap before a rebound? See you in the comments!10.12｜BTC and ETH Early Session Thoughts
Today's trading idea is very clear: mainly short on Monday's rally, no chasing longs unless there's a volume-backed recovery.
$BTC is currently around 83,800. It consolidated near 83,000 over the weekend for two days, then Asian session directly pulled up to 84,200. The issue isn't the candlestick itself, but the 86,000 level wasn't even touched by the wick, funding rates are falling slowly, and longs are still chasing. If no one picks up during the US session, a pullback is very likely.
$ETH is around 2,540 now, moving in sync with BTC. It bounced from 2,490 to 2,555 over the weekend, but 2,580 also didn't hold.
The real variable this week is Wednesday's CPI. The minutes already indicated another rate hike this year is appropriate, and Michigan inflation expectations are still rising. If CPI comes in hot again, US Treasury yields may rise again, and BTC could retest 80,400 or even see 79,000.
Current trading plan:
BTC: Short between 84,500-86,000, target near 80,400-79,000.
ETH: Short between 2,560-2,620, target near 2,450-2,400.
If BTC recovers 86,000 with volume, the short position is invalidated immediately; never stubbornly hold against the trend.
Trading is never about guessing the outcome, but about thinking through three scenarios in advance: what to do if it rises, what to do if it falls, and where to admit being wrong.
What do you think after Wednesday's CPI release? Will BTC first drop to 79,000 or directly recover 86,000? Core 的核心叙事：BTCFi（比特币DeFi）赛道，独特的 Satoshi Plus 共识，把比特币算力+PoS一起用来保护网络，主打让闲置BTC做质押生息，代币CORE上限21亿枚（对标BTC的2100万） 。 ✅ 看多的逻辑（优势） 1. 赛道叙事稀缺 BTCFi是这几年币圈主线之一，很多比特币矿工、BTC大户对这个方向有兴趣；它的双质押机制：质押CORE可以拿到更高的BTC质押收益，理论上会持续产生对CORE的需求。官方2026路线图重点是生态收益回购CORE，不再单纯靠通胀燃烧，试图打造收入支撑的代币模型 。 2. EVM兼容，上手门槛低 以太坊开发者可以直接部署合约，生态方向集中在BTC借贷、BTC流动质押、RWA、支付（SatPay），定位就是比特币的智能合约链。 3. 矿工社区基础 早期吸引了不少BTC矿工参与共识，这是别的BTCFi项目（Babylon、Stacks）没有的差异化；有不少托管、机构服务商接入做BTC质押方案 。 ⚠️ 非常硬的风险（也是制约前景最大的地方，你之前关心的点） 1. 验证节点去中心化争议 + 官方节点退出事件 之前出现过官Nonfarm payroll storm approaching, rate cut expectations face a "life-or-death trial"
🔥The global market holds its breath tonight: The US September nonfarm payroll data is about to be released, followed closely by the unemployment rate, both highly nerve-wracking. This heavyweight report will directly "judge" the market's bets on the Fed's rate cut path within the year.
📊Current expectations: about 150,000 new nonfarm jobs, unemployment rate steady at 4.2%. The market is more focused on the stickiness of average hourly earnings; whether the cooling of the labor force is real and sustained is tonight's biggest suspense.
⚡Policy background: The Fed has already started the rate cut cycle in September. The market currently bets on a high probability of further cuts in November, but under the "soft landing" narrative, if the data is abnormally strong, rate cut expectations may be reassessed, causing the dollar and US Treasury yields to rebound strongly.
📉Clear impact on risk assets: Data beats expectations → rate cut expectations cool down → liquidity tightens → risk assets come under pressure; the opposite boosts the market. BTC is currently oscillating at a high level; volatility will inevitably increase around the data release, beware of "buy the rumor, sell the fact."
👀Key observation points: Not only watch the number of new jobs but also closely monitor the month-on-month hourly earnings and unemployment rate. This week's data will decide whether the macro "ceiling" will open further or remain temporarily sealed. Fasten your seatbelts! $S Sonic (S) On-Chain Evidence of Internal Emptiness
A public chain with a market cap of about $160 million has a daily fee income of only $75. This is not a joke; these are the real data of Sonic on DefiLlama. The annualized income is about $27,375. To support the current valuation, on-chain revenue needs to grow 200 to 350 times.
Looking at the total value locked (TVL), Sonic's TVL plummeted from a peak of $1.14 billion in May 2025 to about $20 million, a 98% evaporation. A network’s locked capital is almost zero, meaning users are voting with their feet and no longer trust putting funds on this chain.
The team is also disintegrating. On June 19, 2026, three founding directors—Andre Cronje, Michael Kong, and David Richardson—simultaneously resigned from the Sonic Labs board. In his resignation statement, Cronje explicitly distanced himself, stating he was never responsible for tokenomics, migration, or airdrop decisions. Before this, his focus had already shifted to a new project, Flying Tulip, which raised $200 million with a valuation of $1 billion.
Market makers are also withdrawing. Sonic ended its exclusive five-year partnership with Wintermute, which subsequently sold about $857,000 worth of S tokens.
A new CEO canceled all manual token minting and commissioned a third party to audit the token supply. This action itself indicates the transparency of the supply is... Conclusion first: $W rose 48% in 24 hours, but the real story today is the 4H candle at 8 AM — $W surged 19% in a single candle, with volume 12 times the average of the past 8 candles.
From 0.022 to 0.026, a single candle pushed it straight up.
This is not an emotional peak; it's a structural breakout driven by large capital entering intensively in a short time.
Do you think 0.026 can hold? $W ETH does not have a unified “whale standard”; thresholds vary across different platforms, and it is distinguished from BTC (≥1000 BTC) criteria: The two most commonly used classifications in the community (Santiment / Glassnode) 1. Super Whales: ≥100,000 ETH Very few addresses, ranging from several dozen to over sixty. ⚠️ The majority here are: Beacon Chain staking contracts, exchange custody wallets, ETF custody addresses; genuine individual whales are very rare. 2. Standard Whales: ≥10,000 ETH (the tier most closely watched) Approximately 800 to 1100 addresses; this tier represents the whales commonly referred to who actively trade and influence the market, including funds, large holders, and institutional self-custody wallets. 3. Large Holders/Sharks: ≥1,000 ETH This tier has many more addresses, numbering in the thousands, including many mid-sized funds, staking service providers, and DeFi treasuries. The most important misconception (same as BTC) Address ≠ real independent person - Beacon Chain deposit contracts, Lido, Coinbase staking pools, and major exchange cold wallets are all counted as whale addresses; - One whale can split assets into dozens of wallets; one wallet can hold tens of thousands of retail investors’ funds (custody). Therefore, on-chain data can only count wallet addresses and cannot accurately determine how many real independent “people” are whales. A simple comparison with the BTC you just asked about - BTC whale standard: ≥1000 BTC,#Minimalist Chan Theory $BTC $ETH
Although the price points arrive late, they do arrive. As I mentioned earlier, BTC reached around 8.4, and ETH reached around 2570. The initial rebound of ETH was relatively weak and did not move as fast as BTC. From the perspective of Chan Theory, when BTC's rebound was strong before, the 4-hour MACD had a golden cross below zero, but ETH had not yet formed a golden cross at that time.
The reason I changed my name to "Unity of Knowledge and Action" is because I often fail to achieve it myself. This time is no different. Although the market was weak and the trend slow over the weekend, the 5-minute consolidation zone upgraded. Even though I clearly knew the previous high of 8.35 would be broken, I still did not close my previous laddered short positions. After adding positions, the previous short positions cost BTC 8.3×2 and ETH 2502×40. After adding positions at the high point early this morning, my current cost is BTC 8.33×3 and ETH 2516×60. I am holding the full short position without moving it. Regardless of whether the price will rise further, it will eventually pull back. I will observe the strength of the pullback and then close the short positions.
For conservative operation to avoid missing out, yesterday, knowing a new high would be made, I should have closed half of the laddered short positions—that is, closed one BTC and 20 ETH—and then added back later. This would have resulted in a much better cost basis. At the same time, I am working hard to transition from a short-term trader to a trend trader and cannot be overly concerned with price points, or I will miss big moves, just like a few days ago when I kept waiting for a break of 8.74 and did not add short positions.
Trading is a practice of cultivation; the difficulty lies not in the technique but in the human heart.#CPI and PPI Announcements Imminent, Interest Rate Hike Expectations Face Test
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
Q: ETFs are still being subscribed to, so why isn't the candlestick chart responding?
A: Because ETFs act more like "allocation vehicles" rather than "price-pumping vehicles." They can absorb some spot holdings but cannot reclaim marginal pricing power. When rate hike expectations turn hawkish, institutions first reduce high-volatility positions, so net inflows can only buffer the impact.
Q: Then who is actually selling off?
A: It's not a single major player but more like a combined force of three factors. First, the latest FOMC minutes are hawkish, the door to further tightening rates remains open; second, long-term US Treasury yields have surged, with the 10-year hitting 5.36%, the highest since 2002, making risk-free returns attractive.
Q: What is the current status of BTC and ETH?
A: BTC is around 82,000, retreating about 2% in 24 hours, with the price center continuing to shift downward. ETH is more volatile; during bearish waves, it falls harder, dropping from 2700 to 2420, and a rebound to around 2480 is just a slight breather.
Q: Why are tokens like SOL more hurt?
A: They rely on new capital inflows and hot narratives. After liquidity is drained by the bond market, public chain tokens driven by sentiment and incremental buying are the first to run out of fuel; once the narrative cools, prices lose support.
Q: Is it time to bottom-fish now?
A: Don't rush. ETF inflows can't support the whole market, indicating selling pressure comes from broader macro cross-asset reallocations. Wait for volatility to subside and sentiment to stop panicking before considering phased entries. Holding positions and cash now is more important than trying to guess the bottom.
$BTC This is not a rebound; it's like performing CPR on my short account, right? During the intraday repeated fluctuations, $QUANT every time it surged upward, it was just short of breath, volume didn't keep up, and the resistance above was obvious. I saw it couldn't break through around 242.8, judging it as a heavy bull trap, so the bearish view I gave at the time was biased toward shorting.
Later, it really gave the answer: the price slid from 242.8 down to 237.5, shorts gained +111.2%, feeling good brothers. This profit was satisfying, the timing was just right.
First, close 80% of the position, keep the remaining 20% protected at cost price; if it continues to drop, let the profits run, if it rebounds, don't give back the profits.
The market is waited for, profits are held for. Risk control done in advance is called rationality; cutting losses after losing is called decisive action.
For friends who haven't entered, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in, chasing shorts easily gets caught by rebounds, wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I will notify immediately. The market is not short of opportunities, it lacks patience.
$ZEC $SOL Conclusion first: $W rose 48% in 24 hours, but the real story today is the 4H candle at 8 AM — $W surged 19% in a single candle, with volume 12 times the average of the past 8 candles.
From 0.022 to 0.026, a single candle pushed it straight up.
This is not an emotional peak; it's a structural breakout driven by large capital entering intensively in a short time.
Do you think 0.026 can hold? $W A chain can be shut down just like that, and anyone in that position would feel quite helpless.
The Sui Foundation invested 30 million in DATA Network, with the condition that the entire independent DATA chain be retired and the tokens migrated 1:1 to run on Sui.
To put it bluntly, this is not an investment, it's a takeover.
DATA has gone from having its own territory to becoming an application within the Sui ecosystem.
From the project team's perspective, 30 million is indeed a lot, but the cost is losing their own chain, their own narrative, and their own valuation logic.
What really matters isn't the 30 million, but the 250 million contribution records and the daily average of 3 million receipts.
The Trace application is genuinely being used.
So my judgment is: DATA isn't dead, it just changed its way of living, from "I want to build a chain" to "I'm working on Sui."
Looking ahead, more and more small chains will be absorbed by larger ecosystems, and the narrative of independent chains can basically be considered doomed in advance.
#AI与量子威胁下，区块链安全如何升级？ $DATA $BTC hardware wallets can also be tampered with? This security issue is more serious than imagined!
Ledger has confirmed that at least one affected user's device was found to have an unauthorized hardware implant. Media reports indicate that the problem is suspected to be related to the supply chain of the dealer CryptoBilis. Attackers may have used the implanted circuit to obtain the mnemonic phrase displayed during device initialization. The estimated amount stolen on-chain has exceeded 86 million USD, but the total loss has not yet been finally confirmed.
The most frightening part of this incident is that many people think buying a hardware wallet means everything is safe, but they overlook the purchase channel and whether the device has been tampered with. Cold wallets can reduce some risks but cannot solve all security issues for you.
Do you think you would still dare to buy hardware wallets through third-party dealers in the future? $ETH The biggest positive factor right now is:
Interest rate hikes, the US-Iran war, US debt out of control, Saudi Arabia and Yemen also fighting, yet the US stock market manages to hold up, and the crypto pullback is relatively weak.
When negative news can't shake the market, that's a positive for $BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 #台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ #Potential "Energy Ceasefire" Agreement Between Russia and Ukraine, Progress Pending Confirmation
The Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire sounds like good news, but all the details are full of question marks.
On October 11, Trump announced that both sides agreed to stop attacks on energy facilities, effective immediately, but did not disclose the specific terms of the agreement. Zelensky expressed support, on the condition that Russia also complies, and is still waiting for the U.S. side to provide specific arrangements. Russia has not officially confirmed it yet. Adding insult to injury, the Ukrainian side said that after Trump's ceasefire announcement, Russia still launched attacks on Ukraine's energy facilities.
Meanwhile, the Middle East remains unsettled. The Houthi forces claimed an attack on a Saudi airport, and oil tankers were attacked again in the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend. Both energy routes are simultaneously under threat.
The market reaction was very direct. Brent and WTI both dropped more than 1.6% because the ceasefire expectation is lowering the risk premium. But this decline is not large, indicating the market is not fully convinced. The agreement has not been finalized, both sides are still blaming each other, and a fallout could happen at any time.
For BTC, this is a marginal short-term positive. Oil price retreat can ease inflation expectations, reducing the urgency for Federal Reserve rate hikes slightly. But don't get too excited yet; as long as the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire is not in black and white, and Middle East shipping risks remain unresolved, oil prices could bounce back at any time. BTC is currently oscillating around 83,000, with resistance between 83,500 and 84,500, and support between 81,500 and 82,000. The direction is still undecided.
In terms of trading, don't bet on the ceasefire outcome. Wait for the agreement to be officially finalized or for oil prices to show a clear trend before considering whether to enter or exit. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #Ledger Investigation Update: The Theft Is Temporarily Concentrated in a Single Channel
The boss has something to say
The latest update on the Ledger investigation is out. The theft cases are concentrated at the Southeast Asian distributor CryptoBilis; no breaches have been found in the official direct sales channels. However, a European user reported that devices bought from a local authorized dealer also contained suspicious components.
I believe the biggest risk for hardware wallets is not the device itself, but the channel. Where you buy it from is more important than the brand. A Ledger device with implanted hardware could leak the mnemonic phrase during initialization. Third-party estimates put losses at over $86 million, and that’s only the known amount.
Therefore, when buying a hardware wallet, you must trust the official channels. Upon receipt, check if the packaging is intact, and during initialization verify that the mnemonic phrase is generated by the device itself, not pre-set. If you have already purchased one and the source is questionable, quickly migrate your assets to a new wallet.
I still hold long BTC at 83000 and short at 86500, hedging both sides with a light position. No one-sided bets before CPI release. Long stop loss at 81500, target 86000. Short stop loss at 87500, target 84500 to 85000. Whichever target is reached first, reduce that position first.
The hardware wallet incident reminds us that the security of on-chain assets ultimately depends on ourselves. Keeping private keys secret is stronger than anything else. Always set stop losses on your trades; don’t hold through losses. $BTC $ETH $STRK
The above analysis is time-sensitive; always set stop losses on your trades. Good luck.The Fear and Greed Index jumped to 69 today,
Greedy state, up 8 points from yesterday.
Interestingly, market sentiment is heating up,
but many people's positions haven't caught up yet,
some are selling BTC to buy ETH,
410 BTC exchanged for more than 14,000 ETH.
Funds are rotating, not retreating.
$BTC
$ETH
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认
#台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ $BTC's major move over the weekend was in the stronger range of 82000-84000 as predicted, but currently macro pressure is weighing down, so the rebound strength may be limited. Be cautious of the risk of price encountering resistance above and pulling back; consider light short positions near 84000.
Macro headwinds include rate hikes and AI capital competition. The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points in September to 3.75%-4.00%, with another hike possible before year-end. Meanwhile, AI infrastructure is pushing up long-term yields, with the 10-year US Treasury yield reaching 5.28%, increasing the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin.
Regulation and security: The EU is reviewing MiCA and considering requiring non-custodial wallet developers to obtain certification, adding compliance uncertainty. Additionally, Ledger hardware wallets suffered a supply chain attack, losing approximately $86 million to $93 million, which is a short-term negative for market sentiment.
Capital flow: ETFs continue to see outflows. In the first 7 trading days of October, Bitcoin spot ETFs had a cumulative net outflow of $386.3 million, and capital inflows have yet to be confirmed.
$ETH short-term resistance is focused on the 2580-2600 range. If this resistance cannot be broken and held, I personally think it could be a good short opportunity. The 2470 level is holding, and this rebound is quite strong—a deep V-shaped recovery.
The above are personal views for reference only Currently watching two hot coins: $STRK and $MAGIC, both have been rallying fiercely recently. STRK just upgraded its mainnet and launched incentives, short-term sentiment is quite heated; MAGIC has been even more volatile these days, with a 24-hour turnover rate soaring over 600%, a typical target for speculative traders.
Personally, I feel that the explosive type like MAGIC is more suitable for shorting—it rises sharply but also falls hard, though the volatility is too high, so position size must be well controlled. STRK has fundamental support; if shorting, you need to wait until it shows signs of weakening after a rally.
Are there any others watching these two? Let's discuss in the comments which is more suitable for shorting? Let's exchange ideas #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 #台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ $BTC is back near $83.7K, but one green day doesn't settle the bigger question
The rejection near $87K put sellers back in focus. Now I'm watching whether BTC can hold the $82K area or lose it on another attempt lower
If support breaks, $79K is the first downside level I'd watch, followed by $73K if selling pressure accelerates. A deeper move toward $65K would need further confirmation
On the other side, reclaiming $85K–$87K would weaken the bearish case
I wouldn't call $53K inevitableThe overnight movement of Dogecoin tells a story of "not falling."
On the 15-minute chart, the price started from 0.08502, with one bullish candle after another pushing it up to 0.08767. It then did not reverse downward but instead consolidated around 0.0867. The volume expanded to 4.31 million coins during the rise and shrank during the pullback — the selling pressure did not keep up, which is why the consolidation held.
There are several details on the chart worth noting. The MA5, MA10, and MA20 moving averages converge around 0.0868, with the price running just above the moving average band, indicating a brief balance between bulls and bears here. The super trend line is pressing at 0.08728; in the morning, the price touched 0.08718, just one step away from a bullish signal. On the order book, there is a buy order of 280,000 coins at the best bid, while the best ask only has 28,000 coins, showing strong support below.
Looking at a longer timeframe, the pattern is clearer. There was a 7.81% pullback in the past 7 days, but the 30-day period still shows a 2.43% gain, and the 90-day gain is 16.39%. This means the recent weekly pullback occurred within a quarterly uptrend structure, with the low around 0.085 higher than previous bottoms.
The next key point is straightforward: $DOGE needs to break above 0.08728 with volume to turn the super trend green and connect the upward channel; conversely, if it falls below the moving average convergence zone at 0.0868, it will retreat to around 0.0850 to rebuild support. The consolidation won’t last long, and the directional choice will be made within the next one or two candles.$FIL has been pumping again these past couple of days for some unknown reason. $FIL, this trash, stop pretending to be the "king of decentralized storage."
Back in 2020 when the mainnet launched, you loudly proclaimed you would "disrupt AWS and Google Cloud," but six years later, you look more like a seasoned player propped up by early ICO fundraising and miner staking — all grand narratives, but in your pockets, only a bunch of idle capacity and continuously devaluing tokens remain.
Let's first look at your so-called "decentralized storage" trick. Sounds cool, right? Storage providers lock FIL as collateral and use complex proofs to guarantee data availability. But in reality? The actual paid storage usage is laughably small compared to your total capacity, and enterprise-level demand remains stuck in PPTs and "about to launch" stages.
Then there's your tokenomics. Circulating supply is just over 8 million, with a total supply close to 2 billion. Over the years, Protocol Labs and the foundation have been continuously flooding the market with tokens through a six-year linear unlock. The price has crashed from over $200 in 2021 to just over $1 now, a drop of nearly 99.5%. This is not a "scarce asset," it's chronic bleeding. Fortunately, the unlock ending around mid-October will cut issuance by about 70%, which sounds like good news, right? But this rebound looks more like the classic "buy the rumor, sell the fact" scenario — history shows your "supply-demand balance" has always been just talk.
Pump and then short, this trash token! Bitcoin has hit $83,880 three times in a row this morning, clearly trying hard to break through the $84,000 barrier!
$BTC's current price has bounced back to around $83,750, with each pullback low higher than the last.
In my logic, there are only two outcomes when resistance is repeatedly tested: either a strong breakout above 84,000 to squeeze shorts completely, or a failure to break through leading to a deep retracement. I won’t chase the price higher during the Asian session; I’ll set my stop loss and wait for a clear direction! #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认
On October 11, U.S. President Trump announced on the social media platform Truth Social that Russia and Ukraine had reached an agreement to stop attacking each other's energy infrastructure, with an "energy ceasefire" taking effect immediately. Trump wrote: "The energy ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war has been established. Both sides have agreed. Do not violate it." However, he did not specify the scope, duration, monitoring mechanisms, or define the specific protected facilities—whether the agreement covers power plants, transmission networks, gas facilities, oil depots, pipelines, and refineries, the White House did not clarify.
Ukraine's response showed a clear gap from Trump's announcement. Zelensky told U.S. media Axios that Trump's statement "was news to me," implying Kyiv was not aware of a formal agreement beforehand. He later stated on social media that Ukraine "supports a practical, reliable ceasefire and a way to end the war," is willing not to strike Russian energy facilities, "and expects Russia to take the same action." Zelensky also said the Ukrainian armed forces have received relevant orders but are awaiting details of U.S.-Russia dialogue.
The Kremlin had not officially confirmed the existence of the agreement hours after Trump's post. Russian State Duma Energy Committee Deputy Chairman Anansky said he was unaware of such an agreement and questioned whether Trump's announcement was merely a "verbal intervention" to suppress global oil prices. According to the Kyiv Independent, several U.S. and Ukrainian officials revealed that Russia privately demanded the U.S. ease sanctions as a condition for agreeing to the energy ceasefire and tried to link this arrangement to a Black Sea ceasefire. Kremlin spokesman Peskov publicly stated on October 8 that Russia considers talks on a "sectoral ceasefire" meaningless. A European diplomat commented that if Russia obtains frozen asset releases, "those funds will almost certainly be used to escalate the conflict; no one really believes they are seriously seeking to comply with a ceasefire."
Trump's announcement came amid heightened tensions in U.S.-Ukraine relations over diesel issues. Trump had repeatedly urged Zelensky to stop attacking Russian refineries, saying these attacks disrupted global diesel supplies and raised U.S. fuel prices. On October 9, U.S. and Ukrainian representatives held nearly eight hours of talks in Miami, with U.S. envoy Whitaker and Trump's son-in-law Kushner warning that if Ukraine did not stop attacking Russian refineries, the U.S. might cut off intelligence sharing. On the same day, Trump announced an agreement with Putin on Russia supplying diesel to the U.S. and global markets. A senior Ukrainian official told the Financial Times after Trump's "energy ceasefire" announcement that Ukraine would not comply with U.S. demands and canceled the second round of talks scheduled for the next day.
This was not Trump's first such announcement. U.S. media Axios reported that Trump also declared an energy ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine in September this year, but neither side confirmed a formal agreement, and attacks on energy infrastructure continued. After this announcement, Russian attacks on Ukrainian energy facilities continued. Zelensky said in a video speech that Russian forces attacked a combined heat and power plant in Kharkiv. Kyiv Mayor Klitschko said the capital's power and water systems remained under pressure from Russian attacks.
In the market, buoyed by expectations of an energy ceasefire, Brent crude futures opened Monday down 1.31% at $103.35 per barrel, and WTI crude fell 1.42% to $90.55 per barrel. Traders are assessing the impact on the restoration of Russian energy supplies if the agreement is truly implemented, but the lack of agreement terms and Russia's silence make this expectation highly uncertain.$ADA ADA: Why is the academic chain always "half a step behind"?
Because Cardano follows peer review, Haskell, and formal verification, its development pace is like a university, not a startup. In a bull market, this is called "no story," and in a bear market, it's called "no drama."
Today ETH is 2513, SOL 110, ADA 0.25; its market cap ranks high but the price feels like a clone. The market labels it as a "stable old chain," not a "high beta growth."
But ADA has new things in 2026: RWA experiments, Africa/Latin America payment partnerships, governance treasury, L2-type scaling (Mithril/sidechains). It's just that these news are "not sexy," and Twitter doesn't like to share them.
For trading, ADA suits a "low estimate grid":
Buy at 0.23
Sell at 0.27
Watch the trend again above 0.30
Don't use SOL's strategy for ADA, you'll find it lazy; don't use BTC's faith for ADA, you'll miss the new chain's resilience. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ $ADA $S Before going to bed last night, I disciplined myself to take profits on most of the big holdings, now only a small base position remains, and my mindset is extremely comfortable.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, this coin previously surged with huge volume, climbing from 0.036 all the way to 0.069, an extremely fierce rally. It has now pulled back to around 0.060 and is consolidating. Currently, MA5 is at 0.060, MA10 at 0.061, and MA20 at 0.056. Although the moving average system hasn't completely deteriorated, there are clear signs of stagnation at the high level.
For the remaining small base position, my plan is very simple and straightforward: watch the moving average support. If it breaks below these short-term moving averages effectively in the short term, it means the upward momentum has completely exhausted, and I will directly close all positions with one click, locking in the last profits without hesitation.
The fattest gains have already been securely taken, and the remaining tail end has many risks. There's no need to take huge risks for that last small bite. Trading is not about how big a single profit is, but about who lasts longer. Knowing when to close out at the high is more important than stubbornly holding to the end. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 $BTC $ETH #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 #台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ 最新资讯，帮你把杂乱的快讯理一理。 AI 与数据这块儿有两件大事。 Grass 从共享带宽转做 AI 实时检索，$GRASS 直接涨破 0.89 美元，24 小时涨超 24.5%。点评：DePIN 项目找到 AI 这个新故事，市场就愿意给一波情绪，但落地效果还得看真实调用量。 Sui 基金会掏 3000 万美元投 DATA Network，要把 AI 训练数据协议搬进 Sui 生态。点评：公链现在都在抢 AI 数据这条赛道，$SUI 的生态拼图又补了一块。 AI 认知差也值得聊聊。Karpathy 说全球约 60 亿人几乎没碰过大模型，真正接触内部顶级模型的可能就几千人。点评：这漏斗越陡，早期信息差和资源差就越大，做产品的别默认用户都懂 AI。 加密行情与巨鲸动作。 有巨鲸卖出 410.14 枚 $BTC 换仓 14341 枚 $ETH，ETH 价值 3614 万美元。点评：大资金从 $BTC 挪到 $ETH，不一定看空，更像是在调仓找弹性。 另一新建地址做多 $STRK 一天赚超 100 万美元，转头又开多 $W，名义市值 2888 万美元。点评：跟单可以看，但别忽略人家是新建地址，$DOGE DOGE: During sideways periods, these are the 3 things meme players are most likely to lose on
Chasing Twitter hype: KOLs say "DOGE is about to take off," you buy, they sell.
Using high leverage perpetuals: DOGE can spike down 8% in one candle, and 3x leverage will liquidate you.
Mistaking sideways for a bottom: Sideways can continue or break down.
Today DOGE is 0.086, 24h volume 419M, no volume surge, no breakout. The best move now is to "place orders and wait": buy at 0.08, sell at 0.095, then close the app.
Those who profit from meme coins aren’t the best predictors, but the most patient. DOGE only truly profits a few times a year: during retail panic, celebrity endorsements, or BTC hitting new highs. None of these are happening today, so don’t pretend to be a "day trading master." #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ $DOGE $DOGE DOGE: Compared to SHIB/PEPE, why does it rank ahead?
Because DOGE has the "first meme" brand, the longest history, the most exchange support, and a loose association with Musk/payment scenarios. The SHIB/PEPE communities are fierce, but DOGE's acceptance is like "Coca-Cola in cryptocurrency"—flawed but universally recognized.
Today DOGE's market cap is 13.4B, larger than many "tech chains." The market votes with money: in crypto, recognition > technology, liquidity > whitepapers.
But don't get it wrong: DOGE ranking ahead doesn't mean heavy investment. Meme rankings change daily; when high-beta functional tokens like HYPE and NEAR surge, funds get diverted. DOGE's advantage is "buyers step in when it dips," its disadvantage is "no new narrative when it rises."
Today's takeaway on DOGE: treat it as a bull market thermometer, not a wealth code. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ $DOGE Trump's so-called "energy ceasefire" is just empty talk; the market has already voted with its feet. BTC surged and then fell back, indicating that the funds simply don't believe it.
First, let's talk about how hollow this agreement itself is. Trump said on social media that both Russia and Ukraine agreed to an energy ceasefire, effective immediately. But Zelensky's response was, "This is the first time I've heard of it," then added, "If Russia agrees, we will agree too." Translated, this means Ukraine was not involved in the negotiations at all; Trump announced it unilaterally. The Kremlin had already said earlier that stopping only energy facilities is meaningless. So this ceasefire currently exists only in Trump's tweets.
But the market still reacted. BTC briefly surged to around 84,000, then quickly fell back. Why? Because when the news broke, shorts were forced to cover, with $70 million worth of short positions liquidated in four hours, of which BTC accounted for over $20 million, 97% of which were shorts. This is a typical short squeeze driven by news, not genuine buying.
Looking at oil prices, Brent $BZ closed above $104 last Friday. Oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz are still under attack, and hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico have shut down 60% of production. Trump wants to suppress oil prices, but the Middle East situation remains unsettled. Even if the Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire really happens, its pressure on oil prices will be limited because the sources of supply risk are multiple.
Since Zelensky hasn't confirmed it, the market's hype will soon fade. Don't treat this ceasefire as a bullish opportunity to chase! #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 @OKX星球 $DOGE DOGE: How to view the "fundamentals" of a meme coin
DOGE fundamentals = Attention × Liquidity × Celebrity Effect × Bull/Bear Phase.
Today, among these four:
Attention: Medium
Liquidity: Okay (419M)
Celebrity Effect: Silent
Bull/Bear: Neutral to cautious
So DOGE is just sideways. If you use PE or TVL to evaluate DOGE, you'll go crazy, because the "value" of a meme is collective imagination. But collective imagination can also collapse—how many believed in "$1 DOGE" in 2022, then it stayed at 0.05 for three years.
My advice: DOGE can only be a "risk appetite satellite position."
Total funds ≤5%
Don't try to catch the bottom and end up as a shareholder
Don't chase Musk's tweets at market open, wait for a pullback
If BTC breaks 82,000, reduce DOGE first
Today at 0.086, it's neither a bottom holy grail nor a zeroing event. It's just "retail investors are still here, but not overly enthusiastic." #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ $DOGE A surge in Gas prices could indicate a boom, or it might just mean the system is queuing.
Full blocks and rising Gas prices can prove that short-term demand exceeds target capacity, but they cannot prove that all this demand is healthy. Liquidation waves, contract vulnerabilities, bot competition, and popular minting can all cause users to bid against each other. They generate real fees and burns, but the duration, social value, and retention quality may be far lower than the stable usage brought by everyday applications.
If every active event is accompanied by many failures, severe congestion, and ordinary users dropping out, fee growth looks more like a congestion tax rather than product-market fit. Conversely, some batch-processing systems carry a large amount of Layer 2 activity with fewer mainnet transactions; superficially, Gas usage is not alarming, but actual settlement efficiency is higher. Worshiping high fees alone rewards the most wasteful block space designs.
To evaluate the health of the $ETH network, fees should be considered alongside success rates, independent users, application retention, L2 settlements, and activity per unit of data carried. One-time events should also be distinguished from recurring, pay-for-use normal demand. Fees prove that resources are contested; efficiency determines whether this competition can scale. The true long-term benefit is not users always queuing, but that the network still attracts new genuine demand after capacity increases.🚨 Watching the market late at night, only focusing on the strongest one! No matter how cheap weak coins are, they’re not worth my attention!
Came home late at night, originally planned to rest immediately, but after checking the market, my sleepiness vanished instantly.
$S’s trend is really strong, buying pressure keeps pushing the price up. Facing this kind of market, I don’t want to rush to guess the top, nor do I want to be biased bearish just because it’s risen a lot.
The market has already given signals of strength and weakness. Instead of fighting the trend, it’s better to observe who truly holds the initiative first.
🔥 First, only follow strength, not emotions.
This time, following my plan, I’m putting out 20,000 as trial capital, using only 1x leverage.
I’m increasingly convinced that trading isn’t about catching the biggest gains every time, but about recognizing opportunities while leaving room for mistakes.
No matter how fierce the market is, it’s no excuse to ignore risk. Whether it can continue to rise needs to be proven by the market itself.
⚡ Second, energy is limited, focus on only one main battlefield.
There are so many coins on the market, wanting to participate in all easily leads to liking everything and acting everywhere.
Instead of chasing a bunch of targets back and forth, it’s better to concentrate on observing the currently strongest one.
If it’s strong, study why it’s strong; if the trend weakens, reassess. Leading the rise doesn’t mean leading forever; what really matters is timely recognition of changes.
📉 Third, $STRK is temporarily falling behind, so keep observing.
Past performance doesn’t mean it’s still worth attention now.
If the price falls back and momentum weakens, I’d rather first take itBTC price movement today (Monday, October 12)
Current price is around $83,600–$84,000, with very little intraday fluctuation, basically sideways. Asian early trading volume is average, typical consolidation after the weekend.
At the beginning of October, it surged to about $86,500–$87,000 before pulling back. On October 8–9, it dropped to a low of about $80,400, then slightly rebounded, oscillating narrowly between $82,800 and $84,200 these past few days. Compared to the early October high, it has retraced about 3%–4%.
Funding situation
Spot ETFs were weak at the start of October: about -$490 million on the 7th, about -$240 million on the 8th, then a slight net inflow of about +$21 million on the 9th. Overall, it is still a digestion period following the inflows at the beginning of the month, with no clear new capital driving the market.
On Monday during the Asian session, it will most likely continue to consolidate. The real direction depends on whether capital flows back in after the European and American markets open. Structurally, it remains a high-level consolidation within the $80k–$87k range: to hold firm and strengthen again, it needs to break through the $85k–$86k range; if it falls below $82k, it means continuing to digest the gains from early October. Recently, I came across a post saying that KOLs in the crypto space are becoming increasingly superficial. Many people study moving averages, MACD, and Bollinger Bands every day, but in the end, it’s not even better than looking at nothing. To be honest, this statement is a bit harsh, but it’s definitely worth discussing. However, there is one point I don’t quite agree with: saying technical indicators are useless is completely different from not knowing how to use them. Take MACD for example; essentially, it observes price momentum changes through exponential moving averages of different periods. But here’s the problem: if the market suddenly faces a major news shock, can MACD warn you in advance? Obviously not. Another example is Bollinger Bands, which reflect the price’s volatility range relative to the moving average, but it doesn’t mean the price will definitely fall when it hits the upper band or definitely rise when it hits the lower band. 📊 I think the real issue isn’t that indicators are too lagging, but that many people treat indicators as magical tools to predict the future. Actually, there’s a very important concept in trading called "overfitting." What does it mean? It means a strategy performs exceptionally well in historical data, but when applied to a different time period or market environment, it may immediately fail. This is also why some strategies have very high backtest win rates but perform completely differently in live trading. 💡 My view is simple: technical indicators can be used, but should not be blindly trusted. What’s truly worth studying is whether a strategy has a statistical edge, can control drawdowns, and still has a positive expected return after deducting fees. A profitable strategy doesn’t have to be complex, and a complex strategy isn’t necessarily profitable. Instead of arguing every day about which indicator is the most magical, it’s better to verify with real data. Finally The Ethereum Foundation's associated wallets transferred in 4,393 ETH, with OKX spot trading at $2,544.41 and a funding rate discount of -0.0004%
$11.13 million worth of Ethereum was deposited into exchanges this morning. OKX spot remains steady at $2,544.41 with a funding rate at -0.0004%. Those holding positions are simply earning interest today. I saw on Twitter this morning some on-chain activity: two old wallets deposited 4,393 ETH into exchanges. Checking the ledger, these two addresses received 59,751 initial tokens from the Ethereum Foundation ten years ago, gradually selling off 49,751 tokens over the decade at an average cost of only $658. The old foundation wallets periodically sell some tokens to cover daily expenses; this pattern has long been familiar on the market.
I just opened the OKX contracts page and checked the order book. ETH spot is trading at $2,544.41 with a perpetual funding rate at -0.0004%, meaning shorts pay a slight interest each period. The total perpetual open interest across the platform is $7.708 billion, with Bitcoin accounting for $3.038 billion, Ethereum perpetuals at $1.689 billion, and altcoins to Bitcoin open interest ratio steady at 0.981. The fear and greed index remains at 69, and neither longs nor shorts on the exchange have been significantly affected by this deposit in terms of funding rates.
The chips acquired ten years ago averaged only $658, now nearly quadrupled and slowly being sold off, which is a routine move by the foundation's old team.10.12 BTC
We have already positioned long orders around the average price of 81000 and are currently in profit.
The weekly candle closed with a solid lower shadow, which is quite good. The current price has climbed back above the middle band, with short-term support at 82500 and short-term resistance near 84200. From the 4-hour chart perspective, the structure still leans bullish. Intraday swing trades are recommended to be positioned near support for good cost performance, but it may not necessarily reach 82500.
For intraday short-term trades, it is suggested to buy at 83000 with a stop loss below 82500, targeting 84500. $BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 Coin Analysis
strk is moving towards the established target of 14-19, s has fallen into the accumulation zone, a target with relatively high certainty following strk
The key focus plume has officially formed a daily-level breakout, with previous accumulation and breakout positions already taken; if it stabilizes, further accumulation will continue
tia has increased from a small to a medium position; I am quite patient with this target
w is still somewhat frustrating; for those with floating profits, a stop-loss order has been placed to push upwards to break even
chip remains optimistic; just talk about stablecoins and AI computing power as new stories, let's see how he paints the picture
As for bat, it's pretty standard; although new stories have emerged, the old routine is still the privacy browser, not sure what it's trying to ride on Bitcoin Market Analysis
Currently, the short-term pattern has shifted from oversold recovery to a strong rebound.
The bulls have temporarily regained the initiative but it is not yet a major trend reversal.
I think chasing highs has a low risk-reward ratio; it is safer to buy on dips.
Key Levels
Resistance above: 84100-84200
Support below: 83400-83500
Trading Advice
The main strategy is to buy on dips; you can wait for the price to stabilize around 83400-83500 before entering long positions.
The first target is 84100-84200. If it breaks through and holds, you can look towards around 84800.
$BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ Trading is a battle against human nature; the real pain often does not come from the market, but from ourselves: the pain of losses, the pain of restraining the strong impulse to take profits early, the pain of letting go of illusory gains, the pain of missing out on the market, the pain of account capital shrinking, the pain of being unable to discern the right moment for successful trades, the pain of thinking oneself dumber than everyone else, the pain of believing one works harder than everyone else, the pain of losing patience, the pain of boundless desire, the pain of agonizing without grasping the key to success, the pain of exhaustion, the pain of never being satisfied, the pain of doubting that anyone else's strategy surpasses one's own, the pain of never feeling content with one's method, and the endless pain of self-improvement.
The highest realm of trading is not to conquer the market, but to learn to coexist with these pains. Only those who can master their emotions, restrain desires, adhere to principles, and accept uncertainty can truly navigate bull and bear markets and survive long-term in the market.$JUP To be honest, I myself find it surprising that this short position has lasted until now; luck played a big part. From 0.3773 to 0.3658, the short position gained +152.39%, nailed it.
During the repeated oscillations in the session, every time JUP surged, it was weak, the rebound lacked strength, selling pressure was strong, and resistance above was obvious. I warned not to be fooled by small rebounds; the bearish structure is still intact.
Risk control done in advance is called being rational; cutting losses after losing is called decisive.
Being out of position is not a sin; opening positions recklessly is the mistake.
First close 80%, move the remaining 20% to protection, let profits run with further drops, don’t give back on rebounds. For friends who haven’t entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in, wait for a new structure to emerge before deciding.
$ETH $ADA "CHIP does not break the previous low on each pullback," indicating someone is supporting the price. On-chain data shows a whale bought 10 million CHIP around 0.04928 (approximately $492,000), suggesting real funds are absorbing the supply.
Currently, 0.067-0.07 is close to the starting point of the previous downtrend, so chasing higher prices has a poor risk-reward ratio. Consider entering only after a pullback to 0.0628-0.065 confirms support; if it breaks below 0.0628, the logic behind this rally fails.$RIVER $CP Currently still holding, the overall trend remains bearish for these two. With so many bottom-fishers, the manipulative whales won't give any chance. It's better to be cautious when bottom-fishing.
Both are highly controlled by manipulative whales, with no positive news on their own, only negative factors. It's better not to bottom-fish hoping for a rebound.
Be careful, the whales won't give any chance.
Long-short ratio: Retail investors are extremely bullish, while large holders are heavily holding long positions.
Binance retail long-short ratio is 3.1254, OKX retail long-short ratio is 3.46.
For large holders: the number of large holders long-short ratio is 3.8733, and the large holders' position long-short ratio is as high as 1.6357.
$BTC #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 #台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ 🚨 The $NEAR short sellers are once again backed into a corner! Shorted at 5.71, but the price directly broke through a key resistance level!
Brothers, sometimes the market really can mess with your head!
A few days ago, $NEAR was hammered around 4.3, who would have thought it would rebound all the way so quickly? I originally planned to look for a short opportunity at a high level, but ended up entering at 5.71. Now as the price pulls up, my position is instantly under pressure.
The worst part isn’t misreading a single candlestick, but clearly remembering the previous two failed rallies, yet still standing on the short side when the third breakout happens! 😅
📈 1. Two rallies fell back, but the third one broke through directly!
At the end of September, NEAR hit 5.56 and faced selling pressure; at the beginning of October, it tested 5.65 again but still couldn’t hold.
I thought this area was still the bears’ defensive line, but last night a strong bullish candle with volume broke through 5.65, reaching as high as around 5.9.
This move is clearly different from the previous two: before it was a failed rally, this time it was a volume breakout.
If the breakout can sustain, the bulls’ momentum might strengthen further.
🔥 2. Why is NEAR suddenly so strong?
The market is focusing on ETF-related expectations, as well as narratives in the NEAR ecosystem like AI and quantum resistance.
These topics may influence market sentiment, but they can’t be simply assumed as the direct cause of this rally. What really needs to be verified is whether capital continues to flow in and whether the key price levels can hold after the breakout.
Continuous riseAbout to peak? Don't blindly chase longs!!
Bitcoin current price is about 83900, at 02:15 that five-minute candle suddenly surged to more than 4 times the median volume of nearly 6 hours, after touching near the daily middle band at 84177 it’s still hovering near the top of the range.
The four-hour chart is still a bearish structure (the 20 MA is below the 50 MA), range top is about 84178; if it can’t hold above 83945/84100, expect a pullback to 83530→83100; only if it truly holds and closes above 84100 can we talk about breaking upward. $BTC Damn, the US CFTC is preparing to set new rules for prediction markets! This time, I actually think it's a huge positive for the entire prediction market industry!
Brothers, recently prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have been getting hotter and hotter. From the US elections to sports games, even events in the entertainment industry, people are betting real money.
Now US regulators are starting to seriously study this market.
According to regulatory news on October 9, the CFTC is pushing to further clarify the legal status of event contracts and plans to include some contracts under swap regulation.
What does this mean? Prediction markets may no longer be seen just as guessing games but will be further incorporated into the formal financial derivatives regulatory system.
Why do I think this is a positive signal?
Because if prediction markets want to truly grow big, relying solely on crypto retail investors betting on ups and downs every day definitely isn't enough.
In the future, if they want to attract more traditional financial institutions, professional traders, and long-term capital, clearer regulatory rules are needed.
The clearer the rules, the more compliant platforms will dare to invest, and institutional funds will find it easier to assess whether they can participate. #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ $BTC $ETH When the stock price plummeted 92%, everyone else was fleeing.
AppLovin, however, was aggressively buying back its own shares.
In 2022, APP's price crashed about 92% from its peak, with market capitalization dropping to around $3.8 billion.
But the management didn’t give up; instead, they kept buying back shares. Eventually, they repurchased about $6 billion worth of stock, canceling approximately 20%–25% of the shares.
Later, AppLovin returned to a market cap in the hundreds of billions.
What’s truly worth learning is not "buying the dip" blindly, but:
Only those who truly understand the company’s cash flow, business model, and long-term value are qualified to act when others are fearful.
$APP $QQQ $OKB 10.12 Erbing's Strategy Analysis
Operation idea: Long in the 2520-2540 range
Defense: 2500
Target: 2560-2600
$ETH has been continuously rebounding since the low of 2405 last week, with the market steadily rising over the weekend. This morning's opening saw a surge to 2553.76 followed by a slight pullback to around 2537. On the 1-hour chart, the price remains firmly above the moving average, maintaining a solid rebound structure.
On the news front, the US-Iran negotiations have made phased progress, and the drop in oil prices has boosted market risk appetite; however, Wednesday's CPI data is a key variable with considerable uncertainty.
Intraday strategy: Focus on buying on dips; a price pullback to the moving average support zone is a buying opportunity. The current trend is stable, with no conditions for a trend-breaking crash or sharp drop. Take profits when the market reaches the target.#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认