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The market is very strange right now
The options data is a bit weird
Let's take $ETH options as an example
Currently, a $2425 put option costs only $0.6 each
Based on past trends
A $2425 put option should be at least around $1.8
Now it's 2/3 below the normal price
The call options are the same
Because I'm bearish
And the options prices are undervalued right now
I bought some $2400 and $2425 put options
About twenty or thirty in total
At the same time
I also shorted $ETH
I think
After sideways movement, there will be a crash
Maybe tonight?
Or very soon?
The market is about to crash
I hope it really crashes Leverage Wiped Out, Panic Cooling — Is Crypto Finally Building a Bottom? Last night’s sell-off shook the entire market. $BTC plunged to $80,500, $ETH dropped to $2,420, and $ZEC suffered a 14% daily decline. Total liquidations reportedly reached $1.1 billion in 24 hours, with around 180,000 traders liquidated, roughly 90% of them holding long positions. But the market quickly fought back. $BTC rebounded from $80,500 to $82,500, recovering most of its losses. $ETH reclaimed $2,500, while $ZEC $BTC I feel that the 80,000 level will most likely hold, and the toughest phase is about to pass.
First, let's talk about the first negative factor: a couple of days ago, a US wallet transferred 17,000 BTC to an exchange, equivalent to about 1.5 billion USD. The market immediately speculated that this was preparation to dump and sell, causing panic to explode. Over 600 million USD fled in just one hour, and the market was hit accordingly.
However, this panic has now mostly been digested. Whether this BTC was ultimately sold or just moved on-chain for portfolio adjustment, the impact on the market is now limited. After all, Bitcoin's daily trading volume is 25 billion USD, so a 1.5 billion USD selling pressure spread over the long term won't cause a big stir.
The second looming risk is the geopolitical risk in the Middle East. Previously, everyone worried that the US would strike Iran before the midterm elections, but with recent statements, that concern has eased. As I mentioned before, attacking Iran before the elections is not cost-effective.
The current primary goal is to secure votes. If they act rashly, oil prices will surge, raising domestic inflation and costing votes. The elections will conclude soon, and even if striking Iran could maintain the dollar's hegemony, the benefits cannot be realized immediately and offer no short-term electoral gain, so there is insufficient motivation to act now.
These two major short-term negatives are gradually easing, and the most panic-stricken market phase is likely passing. However, after the elections, the Middle East risk still cannot be ignored. $MAGIC was ignited by capital overnight, with its price surging sharply.
This wave of increase is not supported by the project's own performance or implementation; it is purely a small-capital speculative game. Its circulating market cap is just over 50 million USD, but the daily trading volume can reach billions, equivalent to the entire market cap being turned over more than twenty times in a single day. Such a tiny market does not require huge funds; as long as a batch of capital enters concentratedly, the sell orders on the market will be instantly eaten up, and the price can easily be driven up.
After scouring announcements, official updates, and platform news, no substantial positive news matching this surge was found. Simply put, funds have withdrawn from BTC and ETH and are specifically rotating to altcoins that have fallen deeply in the early stage and have small market caps for speculative trading.
It also happens to hit the hottest current trend, adopting a new narrative. Originally, it was a gaming public chain that shut down last year. Now it has transformed to focus on the AI agent concept, upgrading NFTs into AI agents that can automatically play games, with computing power consumption settled in MAGIC tokens. At the same time, it is the smallest market cap target in the AI + blockchain gaming sector. When the trend comes, the lightest market cap naturally gets lifted by capital first.
However, the current market has become somewhat abnormal. The daily RSI has surged to an overbought zone of 88, and the current price is more than twice the 20-day moving average; the contract fee rate has risen from 0.0001 to 0.0007 in just one day, while the open interest is almost negligible compared to the huge trading volume. There is also potential selling pressure from large token unlocks above, and the price has just broken through the previous high of 0.075.Exploded! $STRK pulled up to the previous high but just can't break through, and my short position is making me a solid profit!
Let me show you the STRK short position from my screenshot: opened at 0.07581, now the price has dropped straight to 0.07125, locking in a steady +18.04% profit! This short trade feels incredibly smooth!
Why dare to short? The logic has fully played out.
A few days ago, STRK surged 26% in one day on the story that "Starknet is going to become an independent L1." But I said back then, that was just a "consideration" statement, possibly landing in 2027, and the short-term bullishness was already priced in. Now it has pulled up near the previous high of 0.0758 but stubbornly can't break through, volume is clearly shrinking, and bulls are losing steam. Energy is exhausted, no follow-through, so a pullback after the spike is inevitable!
Market data also doesn't support further gains. Resistance above is 0.076-0.078, it can't even touch that, moving averages are flat, RSI is falling from the overbought zone. For coins that can't break through like this, shorting is the trend. The big players pump the price just to lure bulls and retail buyers, then once they've offloaded enough chips, they flip and dump the price.
This time I won't repeat the mistake of stubbornly holding. Holding the short, stop loss set above 0.079, first target at 0.070, if it breaks below that then target 0.065. Take profits in batches at the targets, secure the gains! When sentiment cools, prices fall faster than they rise, so set your stop loss well, take a bite of profit and run!
Ladies, for coins that can't break through, never chase longs, shorting is the way to go!
$BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Mainstream on-chain analysis (Santiment) defines addresses holding ≥1,000 BTC as BTC whales - latest statistics: 2,044 addresses ≥ 1,000 BTC, holding about 7.17 million BTC in total, accounting for nearly 36% of circulating supply. However! Addresses ≠ Genuine and independent individuals/institutions, which is the easiest pitfall: Includes cold exchange wallets, ETF custody addresses, platform reserve wallets, not all large individual users. For example, an exchange may have several such whale addresses, which actually belong to the same institution. More detailed layering (another sub-caliber) - Sharks: 1,000–5,000 BTC - Whales: 5,000–10,000 BTC (narrow sense) ≈ over 100 addresses - Humpback whales (super whales): > 10,000 BTC, fewer than 100 addresses. This includes MicroStrategy, the US government, early tycoons, and large custodians. Two key misconceptions: 1. It's impossible to know the real "number of whales": one person can control dozens of wallets; A single wallet could also be the money of many users (exchanges), and on-chain you can only count addresses, making it hard to distinguish the entities behind them. 2. Different platforms have different entry barriers: Some media outlets are a bit more lenient, calling ≥100 BTC 'big holder,' and the number of addresses increases to nearly 20,000, so they shouldn't be confused. In short, summarize by the most commonly used in the circle: 1$MAGIC really resurrected! Up +105% in 24 hours, the rhythm is just like the night before last year's AI meme explosion.
The old GameFi coin turned into a x402 core ecosystem narrative overnight, with a market cap of only 50.83M but a trading volume of 1.31B, 25 times its market cap, the most explosive in the market.
OI piled up 344M MAGIC ($51.87 million) on Binance and OKX, funding rate +0.0085% with longs paying shorts, FOMO positions just stacking up like this.
TreasureDAO just passed a proposal at the end of September to use AI product revenue to buy back and burn MAGIC, and collaborations with Axie Infinity and CyberKongz have also started.
RVOL at 21 times indicates all the longs are gamblers, OI/trading volume 0.04, leverage hitting like a nuclear bomb. Market cap 50M, 97% circulating supply seems undiluted, top 10 addresses hold only 3%, the pump comes from new wallets not whales, new wallet profit-taking means an avalanche. ATH $6.32 is still 40 times away from now, sounds sexy but that's a story from three years ago.
I checked after my lunch break and it still showed a 72% rise, now you see, definitely a big wave of longs got trapped, knew it would fall but didn't expect it to drop so fast, now it's good, it just gave you a big waterfall.$ZEC When ZEC initially dropped to around 1100, almost everyone in the market thought the privacy coin bull run was over, but no one expected that in just two days, the price would directly climb back above 1200, quickly recovering lost ground.
The core catalyst behind this was the Winklevoss brothers submitting the S-1 filing for a ZEC spot ETF, planning to list on Nasdaq, with the trading ticker already decided and an initial subscription intention of $100 million. This event directly changed the narrative for ZEC; privacy coins were no longer just a conceptual story but officially gained institutional entry tickets, marking the most critical turning point in this rally.
However, there is a point that is easily misinterpreted: Grayscale's long-standing ZEC trust experienced continuous net redemptions throughout October, with nearly $60 million flowing out in just four trading days. Essentially, this is market funds selling old products to speculate on the new ETF expectations, representing a capital rotation rather than institutions withdrawing entirely from the privacy sector, which should be distinguished.
From a technical perspective, although the price rebounded from 1100 back above 1200, the 20-day moving average resistance at 1330 remains strong. Currently, this rebound can only be considered a weak recovery and has not yet formed a reversal trend. Who else is trapped in $ZEC? Tell me I’m not the only one suffering here! 😭
How can anyone call $ZEC a good altcoin? This thing just keeps moving sideways over the weekend, like it’s deliberately testing everyone’s patience. I’ve been stuck in this trade for almost two months now, shorting from 600 and watching the price climb all the way to 843. 💀
At this point, I honestly don’t see a quick recovery coming. Every time I think this nightmare might end,
#DailyOrbit From a personal holding perspective on $FIL. FIL rose from 0.6, and those who can hold on must either be die-hard bulls or have low leverage and low positions 😂 The first wave went from 0.6 to 0.85 then pulled back to 0.7. The second wave surged from 0.7 to 1 and then pulled back to 0.75. The third wave surged from 0.75 to 1.1 with a pullback to 0.85. The 4️⃣th wave surged from 0.85 to 1.2 but immediately dropped to 0.9. Recently, it has been fluctuating repeatedly between 0.9 and 1.2. Those with high leverage basically got liquidated on both long and short sides, and those with large positions probably had their mindset shattered. The main players are indeed powerful. My personal view for the future is that there should be another wave of volume-driven rally. With such strong control over the market, it depends on what the main players decide.$BTC Big coin has entered a new range of consolidation. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are opening downward, and the 4-hour Bollinger Bands show that the overnight rise was resisted at the middle band and then fell back. The short-term resistance is around 82800; if it cannot break through, it is likely to continue downward.
Short-term support is around 82000; if it holds strong, expect a range-bound movement between 84000-82000. If weak, expect a range between 83000-81000.
The spot big coin ETF is currently facing significant redemption pressure. On October 7 and 8, the ETF had a net outflow of about $729 million.
$ETH short-term resistance is at 2520-2530; if it can't break above, a pullback is more likely. This level is also not very suitable for entering long positions.
Support below is around 2420; if resistance cannot be broken, the price will likely return to this level. With low liquidity over the weekend, Ethereum is expected to fluctuate slightly between 2520-2470.
Next Wednesday's CPI data will be another turning point.
The above are personal views for reference only $CVX To be honest, I myself find it risky that this trade has lasted until now; luck played a big part.
Last night at dawn, I was watching CVX; it couldn't break upward, volume didn't keep up, and support was insufficient. I judged it to be a strong bull trap and signaled a high short.
Opened a short at 2.344, ground down to 2.081, floating profit +112.62%, this gain feels good.
Closed 80% first, kept 20% to protect and move the cost basis, letting the profit run on further decline, and not giving up profit on the rebound.
The market is waited out, profits are held onto. Don't get greedy with gains, don't despair on pullbacks. If you haven't entered, don't chase shorts; wait for the next rebound under pressure, I will notify immediately.
$ADA $DOGE Our deployment still follows a "long-short tug of war"; the short positions are quietly bleeding, while the long positions are peacefully holding near the cost line.
$BTC isolated 20X leverage, opening average price 82,582.2. Today, the main strategy is "steady as a rock"; although the gains are not large, it has consistently maintained a slight profit. The strong liquidation line at 78,000 below is our base camp, and the defensive bottom line remains closely watched at 82,000.
$ETH isolated 20X leverage, opening average price 2,492.92. This position seems welded to the cost line, playing a "pretend not to be here" strategy. The defense below continues to watch 2,380, with the upper target first at 2,600.
$NEAR isolated 3X leverage, opening average price 4.997. The scout sent out is still suppressed by enemy fire today, even mocked, but we have given it 3X "heavy armor." If it rises to 5.6, we might wait for an opportunity to open a long position.
The longs are dozing off, the shorts are getting beaten; the hedging effect can be described as "hedging for loneliness," causing little damage but extreme insult.
Watch BTC closely at 82,000, ETH at 2,480. Once broken, don't hesitate—reduce positions and run to protect capital.
Let NEAR go: 3X leverage can be left alone; don't manually add positions or stop loss at this level.
Control your hands: in this difficult oscillating market, frequent trading only sends fees to the exchange. This is definitely not investment advice. Core core narrative: BTCFi (Bitcoin DeFi) track, unique Satoshi Plus consensus, combining Bitcoin hash power + PoS to secure the network, focusing on allowing idle BTC to be staked for interest, with a token CORE cap of 2.1 billion (equivalent to BTC's 21 million). ✅ Bullish logic (advantages) 1. Track narrative scarce. BTCFi has been one of the main themes in the crypto world in recent years, attracting interest from many Bitcoin miners and BTC whales; Its dual staking mechanism: staking CORE yields higher BTC staking yields, theoretically generating sustained demand for CORE. The official 2026 roadmap focuses on ecosystem yield buybacks of CORE, no longer relying solely on inflation burning, aiming to build a revenue-supported token model. 2. EVM compatibility with low entry barrier: Ethereum developers can directly deploy contracts, with ecosystem focus on BTC lending, BTC liquid staking, RWA, and SatPay, positioned as Bitcoin's smart contract chain. 3. Miner community foundation: Early on, many BTC miners participated in consensus, which is a differentiation other BTCFi projects (Babylon, Stacks) do not have; Many custodians and institutional service providers have joined in to develop BTC staking solutions. ⚠️ Very tough risks (also the biggest limiting prospects, the point you previously cared about) 1. Verification node decentralization controversy + official section$DOGE 4-hour chart shows a low-level rebound after a continuous decline.
Short-term moving averages are turning upward, and the price is testing resistance above.
The short-term resistance is at 0.08671, and the key support is at 0.08391.
As a MEME coin, its market is heavily influenced by sentiment, with volatility and pullback speed far exceeding mainstream coins. Currently, it is just a corrective rebound after a decline; the overall trend has not completely reversed. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $ETH $ZEC Sei is a high-performance L1 public chain focused on trading, positioned specifically for order book DEXs, contract trading, and high-frequency on-chain trading, directly competing with Sui, Aptos, and Solana. ✅ Highlights (bullish logic) 1. Differentiated positioning: Not an all-powerful public chain, focusing on on-chain trading. Native parallel execution and fast endgame—originally Twin-Turbo consensus, now fully pushing for a major upgrade of Sei Giga, targeting 200,000 TPS and 250ms endgame, and adding a Sedna privacy transaction layer to resist MEV and attract institutional-level on-chain transaction demand. 2. Architecture Transformation (SIP-3): Shifting from Cosmos SDK to a pure EVM chain, disabling CosmWasm and shutting down IBC cross-chain. Advantages: Ethereum developers can migrate directly, Solidity contracts can be deployed with one click, and the development threshold is low; Disadvantages: Completely detached from the Cosmos ecosystem, losing the original IBC assets and Cosmos community foundation. 3. Clear ecosystem direction: Focus on order book DEX, perpetual contracts, RWA, prediction markets (previously cooperated with Kalshi), oracles like Chainlink and Pyth have already been integrated, suitable for latency-sensitive trading DeFi. 4. Strong institutional financing background Early funding lineup is good; the track narrative is easily hyped by capital during bull markets, but very flexible when crypto is strong. ⚠️ Core risks (also the biggest constraints on prospects).Hot Coin Data Ranking｜Last 15 Minutes
$XDP dropped sharply with increased volume, positions decreased, and buying and selling were close at the end. The transaction volume was 409,000 USDT, 2.9 times the 15-minute average volume converted from the previous 1 hour; position volume decreased by 3.92%. Active buying at the end was 42.2%, and the price during this period dropped by 3.06%.$ETH
🥹 Lost $570,000 in 5 days, this drop has directly trapped many traders
On-chain data shows that the address 58bro.eth deposited 3,000 ETH (about $7.53 million) to #OKX one hour ago.
The token price was $2702.35 when withdrawn from the exchange 5 days ago, but the price has dropped to $2512.13 at the time of this deposit, shrinking about 7% in just 5 days.$SOL currently lacks directional viewpoints, what it lacks are verifiable conditions.
Scenario one: Break through 112.06 and hold, indicating the continuation of a strong bias structure. Scenario two: Break below 108.45, invalidating the short-term logic.
Current price 109.87, about 1.29% away from the 1-hour support at 108.45, about 1.99% away from the resistance at 112.06. 1-hour is biased strong, 4-hour is biased weak, RSI are 49 and 28 respectively. Volume is 0.36 times, temporarily only responsible for providing clues, not for drawing conclusions about the price.
With these two scenarios presented, do you think the upper confirmation or the lower invalidation will trigger first?
The above is a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is Crypto Bull speaking here.$UNI has recently been hovering around $7.4. Many retail investors are still chasing the rally, thinking breaking the previous high is just a matter of time. But looking at the chip distribution, big holders have quietly been selling off in batches at the highs. This data is much more honest than candlestick charts.
Previously, $UNI surged 40% riding on a governance proposal, attracting many to buy the dip. Now the chip distribution peak at the bottom has quietly shifted upward, meaning big holders have slowly offloaded their base positions to the retail investors who chased in.
Currently, the daily chart shows support holding, and many are still adding long positions. However, the resistance at $8.2 above is stacked with layers of trapped positions. To push higher, a huge amount of selling pressure must be absorbed, which big holders have no reason to bother with.
Retail investors are now clustered bullish, all waiting for targets of $9 and $10, unaware they are already standing in the position of taking the losses. If you want to trade, don’t chase longs here. Either wait for a pullback to the strong support at $6.9 to see if the chip distribution can stabilize, or just stay on the sidelines. Don’t burn all the profits you made on other major coins in this round of catching the falling knife.
#CME拟推BCH与UNI期货 This $BTC transfer by the U.S. government looks quite alarming at first glance.
The government-related wallet tagged by Arkham transferred out 12,267 BTC in one go, worth about 1 billion USD, which is the batch of coins recovered from the Bitfinex hack back then.
When news like this comes out, many people's first reaction is that the U.S. is going to dump the market. But the problem is, what we see now is a transfer to an untagged address, with no confirmation that it directly entered an exchange, let alone that a sale has been completed.
I will treat this as a potential sell pressure warning, first watching if the subsequent addresses continue moving coins to trading platforms, then seeing if BTC shows volume weakening when facing rebound resistance.
Right now, chasing a short position just because of one on-chain transfer is, in my opinion, not enough evidence. If real sell pressure lands, the market will naturally give signals.
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 【$ETH Breakdown】Is 2490 a buildup or a bull trap? Two price levels determine life or death
Daily: ETH rose 87% from 1,503 on June 1 to 2,806 on September 2. It is now undergoing a high-level pullback and consolidation. 2,490 is exactly the previous platform level—could be a shakeout buildup or a false breakout followed by a drop, both are possible.
1 Hour: After a large bearish candle on 10/8 hit 2,405, it quickly pulled back, indicating buying support here. MA5/10/20 are converging around 2,490-2,495, with candlesticks repeatedly crossing—typical consolidation convergence, a direction must be chosen.
5 Minutes: Early this morning, price rose from 2,473 to 2,498, now pulling back to 2,493. Short-term MAs are converging slightly downward, bulls are resting. Watch two levels:
Above 2,498-2,500, a breakout and hold = short-term strength;
Below 2,488 (1H MA20), then 2,473, break = weakness.
Judgment: Daily trend is intact, 1-hour is building strength, short-term leans to rebound. But don’t chase in the middle of 2,490-2,495—either wait for a confirmed breakout above 2,500 or a pullback to 2,473 before going up. The middle range has the worst risk-reward ratio.
Altcoins follow BTC’s fate; if ETH can’t hold 2,473, high Beta assets will crash first. Watch these two prices closely, don’t be fooled by spikes.
Risk warning: This is only personal technical observation, not investment advice. Cryptocurrency and leverage carry very high risk, do not blindly follow trades.$US is now at 0.02641, up 27% in one day, looking very strong. But the order book itself is very thin, with a market cap of 265 million USD, and only 600,000 USD available in the pool to buy, less than 0.3% of the market cap.
What's worse is that ten addresses hold 72.5% of the tokens. They can pump whenever they want, or dump with just one move.
Last week's long upper shadow already drew the 0.033 selling pressure line; those who rushed up there are most likely carrying the bags for others. Profits are just tens, losses are thousands, these market makers are definitely not good actors.$BTC Watching the BTC four-hour chart review, after a previous rapid dip to a low point, the market has entered a consolidation and recovery phase.
In the short term, the MA5 and MA10 moving averages are slowly flattening and intertwining, with the price repeatedly tugging around the moving averages.
The upper resistance is at 83530, and the lower support is at 82272.
Currently, trading volume has clearly contracted, and bulls and bears are temporarily locked in a stalemate. In a low-volume consolidation market, blindly chasing orders is most to be avoided, as it is easy to get stopped out repeatedly.
Do not prematurely predict the breakout direction now; patiently wait for volume to pick up and choose a trend. In terms of operations, strictly control position size; within the consolidation range, only light positions for trial orders are suitable. Always reserve some capacity to guard against sudden spikes breaking the range. $ETH $SOL Now focusing on one thing only: whether 84,000 can be recovered within October.
BTC rebounded after touching the 4-hour MA200 at 80,400, with a low-level MACD golden cross, indeed easing the sell-off.
But the true determinant of this rebound’s quality is only 84,000 — Bitfinex’s estimated ETF flow-weighted average cost is $84,318. In the past two days, ETF net outflows reached 729 million, precisely when the price climbed back to this cost line.
Institutions treat "breaking even" as an exit window rather than a holding signal. This is the real weight of 84,000: if recovered, unrealized losses turn into gains and selling pressure cools; if not, every approach triggers sell-offs to break even.
So the slowdown after rising to 83,000 is no coincidence. The 83,500–84,500 range faces four layers of resistance: previous platform, 4-hour MA30 and MA120, ETF cost at $84,318, and intensive turnover of 1.59 million BTC between 83,300–84,600.
Breaking above opens space; falling back below makes 77,000 the new defense line — the real dividing line is here, not at 85,000.
Not breaking 80,000 also shows support, and it’s a correction, not a collapse: DVOL is only 36.6, with 85% of trading days in the past year above it, big money isn’t rushing for insurance; the panic index at 59 hasn’t surrendered; this pullback is 7.61%, almost identical to the bull market cycle average of 7.58%. But precisely because of this, it won’t end with a single bullish candle.
The decisive factor is capital. In mid-September’s rise, ETF daily net inflows averaged 341.7 million; in the first five trading days before October 6, it dropped to only 35 million daily, a nearly 90% decline;
then outflows of 485 million and 244 million followed in the next two days. Price rebounds while funds retreat, no new inflows, so 84,000 can only be "touched" but not "held."
About 15 trading days remain in October, with anchors at IMF remarks on October 16 and FOMC on the 27–28. The most likely scenario is a weak recovery: a rebound to 84,000 suppressed back, then retesting 81,000–82,000, grinding and turnover between 80,000–85,000.
If the daily chart holds above 84,000, look to 85,000–87,000, but 87,400 is likely the ceiling this month; a heavy-volume break below 80,000 points to 78,000 (weekly 50 MA plus the most active bearish options strike resonance).
For now, treat it as a rebound: holding above 84,000 turns strong, confirming 85,000, and not breaking 80,000 keeps the bottom intact. October’s main theme — first grinding the bottom, then recovery, the main rise still lacks capital. $BTC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $MAGIC brothers, this really is like performing magic! There's no difference from doing magic tricks! I looked at the daily chart, and it's like today's gain is a pulse-like rise, meaning it can't be sustained!
Truly, going long for a day is not as good as going short for an hour!
Those chasing longs are probably screwed!
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 🚀 Without Musk's shoutouts, where will $DOGE go?
In 2021, a single tweet from Musk could send DOGE soaring 35% in one day. Now, the shoutout effect is almost zero, and the coin price is stuck hovering around $0.085.
Over the past five years, $DOGE has gradually grown from a pure meme coin into something of its own. The DogeOS Layer2 testnet is already live, aiming to add smart contracts and DeFi; the DOGE-1 lunar mission, though repeatedly delayed, remains the first space project paid for with Dogecoin; the community is still active, and payment use cases are slowly expanding. Musk is busy with X, Tesla, SpaceX, and government affairs, but the coin itself hasn't disappeared because of that.
Here's the catch: shoutouts can create short-term hype but don't solve long-term problems. DOGE still has an inflation model, adding about 5 billion new coins annually; ecosystem adoption is still early, and its price closely follows Bitcoin. Without Musk, it can only prove itself through the community and real adoption.
Are you still holding?
#DOGE #Dogecoin #Musk #Cryptocurrency #MemeCoin
$DOGE The US stock market hitting new highs does not mean that all risk assets will rise simultaneously.
The index strength may come from earnings growth, AI themes, and concentrated capital allocation, but if the rise is mainly driven by a few large tech stocks, market internal divergence may intensify.
For BTC, the US stock market rally helps improve risk appetite, but high valuations combined with high interest rates also mean the market may be more sensitive to negative news.
Next, focus on the breadth of the rally, corporate earnings, and US Treasury yields.
If more sectors participate in the rise while the index hits new highs, the market foundation will be more solid; if only a few heavyweight stocks support it, the index performance may mask internal risks.
When looking at the market, don’t just look at how much the index has risen, but also who is driving the rise. #标普500首次站上7800点，纳指再创新高 #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 $BTC $ETH $ZEC $MAGIC said two hours ago that the support level consolidation should be judged as a sell-off, 2x short, also took a 40-point hit, and left BTC at $82,600, do you dare to make a move?
ETF outflows hit 487 million in a single day, the Federal Reserve is still considering rate hikes, yet BTC is stuck at 82,600 — is this the calm before the storm, or your last chance to escape?
First, look at the surface: sideways trading, shrinking volume, bulls and bears both inactive.
In the past 7 days, it dropped 2-3%, from 87,200 down to 80,400, now grinding back and forth between 82,000-83,000. Market cap is 1.66 trillion, dominance at 59-60%, still 34% below the October 2025 ATH of 126,000. The candlesticks tell you: price is below the 20-day moving average, RSI is neutral to weak, volume is shrinking — this is not the start of a new trend, it’s a pause after a drop waiting for confirmation.
First thing: the ETF engine has stalled.
In late September, weekly net inflows to ETFs exceeded 2 billion, directly pushing BTC to 87,000. Everyone was shouting “100k incoming.”
What happened? October flipped the script. On October 7, a single-day net outflow of 487 million occurred, the largest since June. IBIT, FBTC, ARKB all saw redemptions. Overall net outflow so far this month.
ETFs were the engine behind this rally. With the engine off, prices naturally can’t rise.
No new ETF products, no regulatory tailwinds, funds are digesting previous overheating. You’re waiting for a breakout, institutions are quietly retreating.
Second thing: The Fed is not cutting rates, it might even hike.
September saw a 25 basis point hike, rates now at 3.75-4%. The minutes were hawkish, market expectations for another hike on October 28 were once very high. The 10-year Treasury yield is at 5.2-5.3%, the dollar is strong.
In plain terms: money is getting expensive, who still wants to play with high-risk assets?
BTC now follows macro trends. Only if rate expectations ease or ETFs see renewed net inflows will there be momentum to challenge 85,000-87,000. Otherwise, it will oscillate between 80,000-84,000.
Don’t fight the Fed. You can’t win.
Third thing: Technicals tell you 82,600 is a midpoint, not a good position.
Strong support: 80,400-80,500 (October 8 low). If daily closes below, next support is 78,000-78,900.
Near-term support: 82,000. A dense trading zone, 82,600 is just at the upper edge of support.
Near-term resistance: 83,400-83,600. Today’s high coincides with daily R1; if it can’t reclaim this, the rebound is just a correction.
Strong resistance: 84,500-85,500, then 87,000.
82,600 is stuck in the middle, resistance above, support below. Entering now, the risk-reward ratio is insufficient.
Entering at the midpoint means getting hit from both sides.
Bull vs. bear showdown, you decide:
On one side:
ETF annual net inflows turned positive, Q3 was one of the strongest quarters this year
Fixed cap of 21 million coins, digital gold narrative unchanged
On-chain health is good, no large-scale miner sell pressure
Dominance at 59-60%, funds still favor BTC
On the other side:
ETF short-term net outflows, 487 million single-day outflow on October 7
Fed may continue hiking, Treasury yields at multi-year highs
Strong dollar, risk appetite suppressed
Technicals below 20-day MA, shrinking volume with no direction
Key level 82,600, room both up and down.
Support: 82,000 → 80,400-80,500 (breakdown targets 78,000-78,900)
Resistance: 83,400-83,600 → 84,500-85,500 → 87,000
Trading strategy (no fluff):
Short-term long:
Wait for a pullback to 81,800-82,200 without breaking, and for the 1-hour chart to reclaim 82,500 before entering. Stop loss below 81,400. First target 83,500, second target 84,500. Don’t chase now, resistance is right above.
Breakout long:
Volume surge and close above 83,800 on 4-hour chart, then target 84,500-85,500. Stop loss below 82,800. Ignore fake breakouts without volume.
Short-term short:
Light short positions if resistance at 83,400-83,800 holds and volume is insufficient. Stop loss above 84,200, targets 82,200 / 81,000. 82,600 is close to support, not suitable for chasing shorts.
Swing:
Mid-term logic is ETF and scarcity, macro rates are the ceiling. More comfortable zones are 80,500-81,500 with shrinking volume stabilization, or daily close back above 85,000. If daily closes below 80,400, mid-term bulls pause, reassess at 78,000.
BTC now feels like it’s caught in a door crack —
Above is Fed rate hike expectations, below is long-term ETF buying. Which side breaks depends on the October 28 meeting and this week’s ETF flows.
It’s not that BTC won’t rise, it’s that rates won’t let it.
You think you’re bottom fishing, but you’re actually betting on direction.
82,600 is neither bottom nor top, it’s a meat grinder. Wait for confirmation before acting, earn less but live longer.
$ETH $ETH $ZEC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Heavenly Bodhisattva! Opening the account, my heart is hanging again.
BNB is desperately pulling the cart alone in front, BTC is crazily dragging behind, and $DOGE is watching the show on the side—it's both refreshing and frustrating.
$BNB: Opened at 790.24, current price 748.60. Full position 20X, floating profit +750U, ROI +111%. Definitely the big winner today, plummeting all the way without looking back, firmly supporting the entire account. Holding on, watching for 730.
$BTC: Opened at 82068.5, current price 82647.4. Full position 20X, floating loss -117U, ROI -13.95%. The big brother is not strong, rebounding against the trend but giving back profits. Position is heavy, holding as the base position for now; will exit if stop loss is broken.
$DOGE: Opened at 0.08607, current price 0.086083. Full position 20X, basically flat. The newly opened short is flying close to the ground, holding as a hedge for now.
The three trades combined have earned over 630U, all thanks to BNB holding up. Margin ratio is healthy, no liquidation risk. Hold the right direction, lightly hold the laggards, staying alive means having output.
Let's chat in the comments, how's your battle today?👇
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#美俄达成柴油供应安排，霍尔木兹风险仍未解
#跟着OKX打卡2049 Touched around $82,900 in the afternoon then slipped back, $BTC shelf still intact.
Current market shows BTC at $82,648, up 0.08% in 24 hours, with a high-low range of $83,530-$82,277.
Around 14:00, it briefly touched about $82,898, then fell back to the current price, still about 0.27% down from the Asian open at $82,871.
The $82,800-$83,000 shelf was briefly touched but the current price hasn't solidified above it.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs had a net inflow of about $21.1 million on October 9; IBIT led with about $22.38 million inflow, while FBTC had a net outflow of about $3.58 million.
Compared to the large redemptions totaling about $729 million on the 7th-8th, the capital side has shifted from outflows to small net inflows.
Contract open interest is about $2.48 billion, with a rate of about +0.0045%. Positions slightly increased during the probe hour then gave back gains, not like new longs are aggressively breaking resistance.
Funding conditions have eased, but the afternoon probe failed, and the market remains pressured below the shelf.
In terms of path, only a reclaim above $82,800 would suggest testing the $83,530 area.
If $82,277 is lost, look back to $81,600. Without added leverage, small net inflows are not considered a breakout signal.#PIMCO warns 10-year US Treasury yield could reach 6%
PIMCO has come out with a strong statement, saying the 10-year US Treasury yield might hit 6%.
Note, they said this is not a baseline forecast, but warned that if energy inflation, fiscal pressure, and leveraged liquidations continue to push the bond market sell-off, then reaching 6% is indeed possible. Look at the current situation: the 10-year yield is already at 5.36%, the 30-year at 5.73%, the UK 30-year has broken 6%, and the French 10-year hit a 20-year high. Yesterday, the US Treasury auctioned $22 billion of 30-year bonds with a winning yield of 5.618%, the highest since 2000. The bid-to-cover ratio was 2.54, above the recent average, indicating there are still buyers, but yields are really high.
So what impact does this have? I'll tell you two points.
First, long-term rates are the real weight pressing down on risk assets. If the 10-year really goes to 6%, high-valuation assets like US stocks and BTC will all take a hit.
Second, don’t just focus on whether the Fed raises rates. Rate hikes affect the short end; long-term rates are the market’s own vote with its feet. Fiscal deficits, debt supply, inflation expectations—these push long-term rates up, and the Fed can’t control that.
Here’s my take. PIMCO’s warning isn’t to scare people, but it’s not going to 6% tomorrow either. It’s a reminder that pressure in the bond market isn’t fully released yet. As long as long-term rates don’t come down, BTC will struggle to break out into a one-sided rally.
What do you think?
$BTC 473 million XRP, 300 million USD, a bunch of big players backing it.
Evernorth's backdoor listing is on the surface a treasury company, but basically it created an institutional-only channel for XRP.
My first reaction is not bullish.
From a market maker's perspective, this is like adding a huge reservoir to XRP spot.
Has money come in? Yes, it has.
But if you say this will pump the price, I disagree.
Holding 473 million XRP is not for locking up, but for active management in the open market.
What does active management mean?
It means buying low and selling high, while also earning some ecosystem money.
What does this mean for retail investors?
You might think it's a strong backing, but actually it means there's an opponent with more money, faster information, and tougher hands than you.
Of course, in the long term, it's good that institutions are willing to enter compliantly.
But in the short term, don't chase the listing as a bullish sign.
Just watch one number going forward: whether these 473 million XRP start moving.
#跟着OKX打卡2049
#OKX以250亿美元估值完成战略融资 #贝森特拟查扣10亿美元伊朗相关加密资产 $XRP Think of Solana as a ledger that "keeps stamping continuously": originally it stamped every 400 milliseconds, now it's preparing to stamp every 200 milliseconds, which means it can stamp 5 times per second, doubling the block production frequency. $SOL
400 milliseconds: when you send a transfer, there's about a 0.4-second chance it will be included in a new block.
• 200 milliseconds: there's a chance every 0.2 seconds, which feels "more responsive."
People doing transactions, swapping coins, liquidations, and on-chain order books care most about this because prices change fast; a difference of just a few dozen milliseconds can mean a different execution price.The XRP treasury company supported by Ripple, Evernorth, has officially announced the completion of its SPAC merger with Armada Acquisition Corp. II, adding approximately 473M $XRP and $300M in cash, and plans to trade on Nasdaq under the ticker XRPN on October 12. It can be said that this gives XRP a new institutional balance sheet narrative; of course, this does not mean the market will immediately see buy orders of the same scale. It is recommended to continue monitoring how XRP is custodied, how long the cash can last, whether further accumulation continues, and whether financing pressure is triggered after XRP declines Waiting for data is more agonizing than waiting for a rate hike.
Although the entire September FOMC agreed to hold steady, no one can provide a unified answer on the next step, with 19 officials holding different positions. The market has thus abandoned the simple bet of "hike or no hike" and entered a data-driven gap period. The probability of action in October has dropped from about 70% to 20%, and the real suspense has become "when to act."
This ambiguity is not friendly to risk assets. BTC is struggling around $82,000, with spot ETFs still providing support, but the hawkish minutes and high US Treasury yields cap the upside. If CPI exceeds expectations again, the $80,000 level may be hard to hold. ETH performs worse: ETF funds are withdrawing, staking yields are lower than US Treasuries, and institutional buying is weak; once BTC weakens, ETH often falls more sharply.
On the other hand, XAUT-related ETFs are attracting record inflows, with Q3 net inflows hitting a new peak. Short-term remains constrained by US Treasury yields, but stagflation trades have not retreated: if inflation is stubborn, funds will eventually flow back to hard assets. When CPI is hot, gold may stabilize first.
Strategically, continue holding spot base positions in $BTC and $ETH, watch whether XAUT ETF inflows can continue, and decide direction after CPI is revealed.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 Until BTC holds above 84000 and ETH breaks through 2525
I still treat the rebound as a weak correction
Just because it has fallen a lot doesn't mean it's done falling
Price action is what counts; right now, more important than catching the absolute bottom
Is not rushing to trade when the trend hasn't changed yet,Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of $21.1 million on Friday, but the entire week still recorded a net outflow of about $679 million. According to Farside's data updated to October 9, there were outflows of $484.9 million and $244.1 million on Wednesday and Thursday respectively; Friday's inflow was not enough to offset the earlier outflows.
This refers to the net amount after fund subscriptions and redemptions. The trading volume of buying and selling fund shares is a separate figure. Interpreting a single day's net inflow as the entire week's funds returning mixes two different time frames.
Adding up the five trading days from October 5 to 9, Farside reports a net outflow of $9.4 million for the HYPE fund and $30.8 million for the ZEC fund. Both funds recorded zero net flow on Friday, meaning the net amount for that day was zero, which does not imply no trading occurred. Due to different fund sizes, these three amounts cannot be directly ranked as indicators of coin price strength.
Next, we will observe whether net inflows can continue next week and whether funds with significant outflows this week have stopped redemptions. Let's focus on consecutive days rather than letting single-day figures overshadow the whole week's picture.
Source: Farside BTC, HYPE, ZEC capital flow tables; data as of October 9, captured at 15:40 Beijing time on October 10. Chart units are in millions of USD, with parentheses indicating outflows; automatic statistics may be revised. Spot observation: $BTC $HYPE $ZEC $ETH is currently around 2495, having fallen from 2807 to 2355
Although it has bounced, this rebound is not enough to reverse the weakness
2500 to 2525 is the immediate resistance zone
If it can't hold steady and 2470 breaks, be careful of another retest
Next, no chasing the rally, no blind bottom-fishingUntil BTC holds above 84000 and ETH breaks through 2525
I still treat the rebound as a weak correctionBitcoin fell from the high of 83528 in the early morning, dipping to a low of 82285, then rebounded to around 82702. The MACD green bars below the zero line shrank in volume, with the fast and slow lines turning up at a low level, indicating a short-term need for recovery.
This sharp drop in Bitcoin came quickly and recovered quickly, typical of a concentrated panic sell-off. The 82200-82400 range is the low area hammered out in the early morning; if it holds, there is room for recovery. A pullback to the 82300-82500 range could be considered for light long positions, with the first target at 83000-83200, and if strong, a direct push to 83500-83800. If it effectively breaks below 82000, long positions along the Silk Road should be abandoned immediately.
$BTC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 $BTC: 80000 is not a solid bottom, more like a resting point for the bears
The major downtrend remains intact. On the 4-hour chart, the main structure from the 87239 high point pullback is still complete. The current rebound looks more like a corrective consolidation after a sharp drop rather than a trend reversal. The EMA20 above at 83083 forms obvious resistance, limiting the rebound space.
Indicators are also not optimistic: KDJ is turning down from a high level, bullish momentum is gradually weakening; RSI has failed to hold in the strong zone, buying support is insufficient, and volume has not expanded, indicating the upward push is more of a bull trap consolidation. Coupled with panic from the wallet theft incident, the market remains under pressure.
Holding 80000 on Friday does not mean strong support; it looks more like a temporary rest and accumulation of selling pressure by the bears. As short-term bottom-fishing longs are digested by consolidation, the 80000 level will likely be tested again from Sunday to Monday, with a risk of breaking down, possibly leading to further tests of lower levels.
In terms of trading, short positions can be patiently held to avoid being shaken out by range fluctuations; consider adding shorts in batches near the 83000 resistance level. Short-term longs are only suitable for light positions and speculative play, not heavy or long-term holdings. Until the major trend reverses, following the bearish trend remains the main strategy.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 $BAT This long position has a 20x leverage with a floating profit of 411%. The logic remains the same: after stabilizing at a low level, the inertia of capital replenishment drives the rise. $MAGIC
Looking back at the entry, around 0.114 is the intraday low zone. After dropping to 0.110, it quickly recovered, indicating support below. I opened a long at 0.1141, focusing on the short-term moving average turning and the price standing back above the VWAP, with intraday sentiment warming up. Currently at 0.1375, up 12.97% intraday and 44% over 7 days, the bullish momentum is indeed releasing. $SOL
However, on the 1-minute chart, after reaching the high of 0.145, there was some pullback. It is now oscillating around 0.137, with short-term profit-taking underway. Although the 20x leverage yields a thick floating profit, such small-scale high-level oscillations and spikes can easily eat into profits.
My view: as long as the pullback does not break 0.134, the bullish structure remains. The short-term resistance is at 0.145. With 411% profit in hand, protecting profits is the priority; don’t be greedy for the last segment. For high-leverage longs, cashing out before the sentiment fades is the way to go. #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 $MAGIC
MAGIC doubles in one day, why does rapid growth require layered evidence?
This morning's 24-hour spot observation window: range 0.06627—0.1442 USDT, change +104.44%, trading volume about 9.18 million USDT.
Strong price volatility, significantly expanded trading range, providing short-term attention rather than proof of long-term value. Continuous product demand and short-term liquidity imbalance can both explain the rise, and the trading volume cannot identify which type of capital is dominating.
If the high point is followed by a rapid drop in the low point, first withdraw to explain a stable trend; if the pullback still maintains a higher low and there is evidence of paid demand, then increase business weight, but doubling cannot be used as a valuation basis.As long as you catch the trend right, floating profits really feel like child's play!
$MAGIC's recent rally has indeed been a bit crazy. Liquidity is usually thin over the weekend, yet it still managed to produce a series of consecutive big bullish candles. The long position opened around 0.09976 has now secured nearly 12x floating profits, with 20x leverage capturing this main upward wave.
Looking at the chart, the 4-hour moving averages show a clear bullish alignment, MA5 is rising rapidly, MACD formed a golden cross with expanding red bars, and volume has noticeably increased, indicating a strong trend.
However, some changes have appeared on the 1-hour chart: MACD red bars are gradually shortening, and KDJ remains at a high level, suggesting momentum is slowing after the short-term surge.
Next, focus on the previous high at 0.16379; breaking through it could lead to a challenge of 0.17. Conversely, if support near 0.156 fails, watch out for a pullback to 0.1465.
The market can be wild, but trading must stay rational. Floating profits are already quite substantial, so lock in some gains first and leave the rest to the trend to see how far MAGIC can run. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $JTO short positions are currently held.
This round of rebound has hit the key resistance zone above. After multiple attempts to test the highs, the price shows weakness in rising, and the bullish momentum is clearly exhausted.
From the chart perspective, the price just touched the Fibonacci retracement resistance level, with insufficient volume follow-through. RSI is turning down from a high level, forming a bearish divergence. MACD red bars are gradually shrinking, the upward driving force continues to weaken, long upper shadow candlesticks repeatedly appear, and selling pressure is continuously released.
Wait for the stagnation pattern confirmation before testing short positions, aiming to trade the market pullback downward. Contract volatility is extremely high, risk control must be well managed, set proper defense levels, avoid blindly heavy positions, and patiently wait for the market to play out. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $ETH $SOL Just realized today is actually Saturday, no wonder the market isn't moving at all!
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
After the price dip on Thursday triggered about $1.1 billion worth of long liquidations, the market completed a round of leverage cleaning. Currently, the total market cap is stable around $2.8 trillion, BTC dominance remains around 59%, and sentiment has fallen from previously greedy to neutral-cautious.
Main assets:
$BTC currently around 82,700, weekly chart still down about 2%–3%. After dipping to 80,400 on Thursday, it quickly rebounded and is now oscillating between 82,000–83,000. Support is effective; short term viewed as a healthy pullback and stabilization, but resistance remains before 85,000.
$ETH around 2,495, weekly decline significantly greater than BTC. Continuous ETF outflows combined with liquidation pressure show relatively weak performance; watch if 2,450–2,500 can hold.
$ZEC around 1,226, showing relative resilience amid general mainstream coin adjustments. The privacy sector has recently attracted some phased capital, but high volatility at elevated levels means chasing highs is not advisable.
$XRP around 1.4, basically flat over 24 hours, weekly still declining. More stable compared to mainstream alts but lacks independent catalysts, mainly follows the broader market.
Looking ahead:
Next week’s US inflation data (CPI) and Federal Reserve statements, with high oil prices and yield environment remaining core variables; whether geopolitical tensions (Middle East) ease further; whether BTC can effectively break above 83,500 and lead ETH to stabilize.In the past two days, Bitcoin $BTC and Ethereum $ETH have finally stopped their sharp declines, but I still maintain my previous judgment: the short-term is oscillating with a bearish bias, currently more like a technical correction after a drop. I am more inclined to believe there is a possibility of another retest later rather than a direct reversal to an upward trend.
Bitcoin rebounded from around $80,400 to above $82,000, which indeed shows some capital support, but the problem is that the rebound strength is still insufficient. The previously broken $83,000 area has not been stably reclaimed, indicating that the bulls have not yet regained control.
In contrast, I am more cautious about Ethereum. The recent continuous decline in the ratio means Ethereum is not only weak itself but also lagging behind Bitcoin. In this situation, even if Bitcoin continues to rebound, Ethereum may not be able to keep up.
Next, I will mainly watch whether Bitcoin can hold above $83,000 and whether Ethereum can reclaim the $2,500 to $2,520 range. If the rebound continues to be blocked, the risk of Bitcoin retesting around $80,400 cannot be ignored.
The CPI release may amplify market volatility, but I will not bet on the data outcome in advance. At this stage, I still have a bearish view on the short-term trend, neither chasing longs nor rushing to open shorts, waiting to see if this rebound can truly break through resistance.Watching the market in the afternoon, Dogecoin finally surged, and BTC and ETH also steadily moved upward. The total unrealized profit in my account looks pretty good, but as I lit a cigarette and watched the numbers flicker on the screen, my eyes suddenly welled up.
$DOGE (the wild celebration that took away countless people)
Entry price 0.08423, current price 0.086090.
Unrealized profit 1,104.11U, return rate 43.21%.
Looking at this profit of over 1100U, I didn't feel the kind of ecstasy I imagined. I recalled how last month we stayed up every day watching the market in the group chat, Old Zhang said he would get married when Doge reached 0.08, Akai said he would pay off his mortgage when it hit 0.085...
$BTC (the numb lonely one)
Entry price 81,743, current price 82,597.
Unrealized profit 287.87U, return rate 20.59%.
BTC remains steady and solid, with a defense line far below at 65,282. I used to take screenshots to show off in the group, now I just quietly glance at it.
$ETH (shattered faith)
Entry price 2,474.81, current price 2,493.00.
Unrealized profit 91.48U, return rate 14.58%.
ETH finally turned green, earning over 90U. We once talked big when it was at 2700, imagining a bull market.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
#黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价 $BTC $ETH $ZEC ETH: Currently still undergoing a weak recovery phase, with three resistance levels above at 2505-2540-2580. After the impulse at 2505, it failed to stabilize and continued to pull back, but the depth of the pullback is insufficient. Intraday, it may still push to 2540 again, then consider adding short positions. The weekend will be slower, using time to gain space. Don't rush in operations; patiently wait for the right position and key materials. The technical aspect of the second coin differs from the main coin. The large box between 2380-2505 underwent long-term consolidation throughout August and September, so this box has stronger certainty and is more suitable for swing trading. Subjectively, I believe the weak recovery will first target the 2505-2580 box to add shorts, then after a second confirmation near 2380, switch to longs. This is personal speculation and not a reference.
This week's financial calendar to mark in advance (Beijing Time):
October 12 (Monday), US stock market open, US Treasury market closed (Columbus Day)
October 13 (Tuesday), US major banks earnings reports, Q3 earnings season officially starts
October 14 (Wednesday) 20:30, US September CPI, the most important data next week
October 15 (Thursday) 20:30, US September PPI and retail sales
October 29 early morning, FOMC interest rate decision (US Eastern Time October 28)
November 3, US midterm elections