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$STRK $STRK Short Selling Grid Strategy Sharing
This time, the $STRK perpetual contract short selling grid uses 100U with 1x leverage, grid range 0.07–0.14, trigger price 0.11405.
1. Market Judgment: This round of sharp rise is a thematic pulse driven by rumors of switching to L1, a short-term sentiment speculation, not a fundamental reversal. There is a possibility of further rally in the short term, but after the rally, profit-taking by bulls will cause a pullback, suitable for using a short selling grid to play the rally and pullback market.
2. Trigger Condition Design: Do not open short positions at the current price directly; wait for a rebound to 0.11405 to start the grid, avoiding premature shorting at low levels and preventing floating losses caused by sustained short-term rallies. The grid upper limit 0.14 serves as an extreme rally defense level; no more short positions will be added once the price reaches it; the lower 0.07 is the target support range.
3. Whale Position Reference: The number of whale long positions far exceeds shorts, with long position costs concentrated around 0.066. After this round of rise, bulls have huge floating profits, creating strong profit-taking selling pressure. Once market sentiment fades, many bulls exit, and the price is prone to correction.
4. Grid Logic: The higher the price, the more short positions are gradually added; during market pullbacks, positions are closed in segments to realize profits. Even if there is repeated high-level oscillation, it can continuously capture swing profits.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
#跟着OKX打卡2049 $BTC is down 4.7% this week, $ETH has lost 8.6%.
Yet US equities are still trading relatively close to their highs.
The divergence is worth paying attention to.
While Nasdaq futures dropped 1.38% in the latest session, they’re still up 1.38% in October. The S&P 500 is also positive for the month at +1.56%.
Crypto is telling a different story:
• $BTC: bounced from the $81.1K support area and its 50-day moving average, recovering toward $82.5K.
• $ETH: briefly touched $2,406.
#DailyOrbit STRK has quadrupled in value. Can we short it now? I'm using a small position to test the waters for everyone. Although this coin has seen volume and price rise together for 3 consecutive days, nearly doubling in that time, we must note that the current price has deviated too far from the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. Such a large divergence is abnormal and a correction is inevitable. Moreover, this surge is driven by news hype, and it's highly likely that the main.
#DailyOrbit $NEAR's candlestick chart is so desperate. Within 20 hours, the 15-minute candlestick never broke below the midline, the open interest increased by 15 million, the long profit ratio reached as high as 99%, and the unrealized profit was 21 million USD, but the bulls are still greedy. This kind of short squeeze is making people cautious and confused
#DailyOrbit Tomorrow marks the one-year anniversary of the "October 11 Crash." At that time, Bitcoin quickly dropped from around $126,000, a historic high, to about $105,000, triggering an epic $19 billion liquidation in the crypto market. On this anniversary, institutional analysts once again review and summarize the impact and lessons of the "1011 Crash" on the crypto market.
Mark Connors, head of Risk Dimensions, stated that the market top formed very quickly, with open interest near historic highs. Many traders bet on Bitcoin continuing its four-year cycle uptrend, but the market reversal ultimately caused losses. The "1011 Crash" was mainly driven by the derivatives market rather than changes in on-chain demand, indicating that leveraged positions can still dominate Bitcoin's price movements in the short term. He noted that leveraged trading such as perpetual contracts remains widespread, and the market still has the foundation for a similar crash to occur again. #DailyOrbit Meta & Microsoft cut internal Claude use ahead of Anthropic's IPO
According to The Information, Microsoft cut its projected internal Claude spend (at least 1B USD/yr) by more than 1/3 and steered staff to GitHub Copilot and OpenAI models.
Meta's Claude Code users fell from ~60K to ~30K.
According to Reuters, the Anthropic IPO could value it above 2T USD, after the Nov midterms.
Oct 5-9: MSFT +3.39%, AMZN +4.34%, GOOGL +2.38%, META -1.29%.
Risk: customer concentration.
#DailyOrbit $NEAR's candlestick chart is so desperate. Within 20 hours, the 15-minute candlestick never broke below the midline, the open interest increased by 15 million, the long profit ratio reached as high as 99%, and the unrealized profit was 21 million USD, but the bulls are still greedy. This kind of short squeeze is making people cautious and confused STRK has quadrupled in value. Can we short it now? I'm using a small position to test the waters for everyone. Although this coin has seen volume and price rise together for 3 consecutive days, nearly doubling in that time, we must note that the current price has deviated too far from the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. Such a large divergence is abnormal and a correction is inevitable. Moreover, this surge is driven by news hype, and it's highly likely that the main.
#DailyOrbit First, note the position of $AVAX, then discuss the view: current price 10.527, about 3.89% away from the 1-hour support at 10.117, and about 1.42% away from the resistance at 10.677.
$AVAX is up 3.31% in 24 hours, but the most worth debating now is not the price change but which timeframe, 1-hour or 4-hour, is misleading. The 1-hour is relatively strong, the 4-hour relatively weak, with RSI at 58 and 43 respectively.
I only keep one confirmation for the upward trend — breaking through 10.677; and only one condition to negate the upward trend — falling below 10.117. Other fluctuations are considered noise for now.
If you must pick one validation point first, would you focus on confirming the resistance or the breach of support?
The above is market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.$BTC is down 4.7% this week, $ETH has lost 8.6%.
Yet US equities are still trading relatively close to their highs.
The divergence is worth paying attention to.
While Nasdaq futures dropped 1.38% in the latest session, they’re still up 1.38% in October. The S&P 500 is also positive for the month at +1.56%.
Crypto is telling a different story:
• $BTC: bounced from the $81.1K support area and its 50-day moving average, recovering toward $82.5K.
• $ETH: briefly touched $2,406 and is down $STRK $WLD Real-time Data Kanban (pulled around 2026-10-10 23:47 Beijing Time) | Direction: Slightly bullish OKX Spot: $STRK about $0.08733 (24h +17.57%), transaction volume about 44.07 million, range about $0.06863–$0.09029, daily range position about 86%; $WLD about $0.5602 (24h +13.82%), turnover about 18.34 million, range about $0.4899–$0.5761, position about 82%. OKX Perpetual: STRK funding rate about +0.0050%, open interest about 184 million tokens (nominal about $16 million), contract 24h turnover about 336 million; WLD funding rate about +0.0100%, open interest about 71.9261 million (nominal about $40 million), 24-hour contract turnover about 156 million. Global crypto market cap about $2.82 trillion (24h -2.45%), trading volume about $53.1 billion; BTC accounts for about 59.0%, ETH about 10.8%. On-chain fees remain extremely low (fastest about 1 SAT, half-hour/hour about 1/1 SAT, high 970787). Recent intelligence: $STRK Positive news — Around October 8, Starknet publicly stated it was "actively considering" upgrading to an independent L1 million visits, all aimed at stealing your mnemonic phrase.
A security researcher just issued a warning: a fake Ledger website is pinned at the most prominent spot in Google search results. When you click in, it asks you to enter those 24 words.
In 30 days, over 1 million people have visited it.
Not to mention that in September, malicious ads were already doing the same thing.
Frankly, this scam has almost zero technical sophistication; it’s just betting on your panic.
The biggest trap for newcomers is this: when the wallet has a problem, their first reaction is to search online for "how to recover," and they click the first link they find.
Remember one strict rule: your mnemonic phrase, apart from the paper you wrote by hand, should never be seen by any website, any app, or any customer service.
Ledger official will never ask you for it.
What I admire is not the scammers’ cleverness, but how well they understand what newcomers fear.
Think about it within the community—do you already know someone who almost got scammed?
#Ledger调查东南亚经销商渠道资金损失
#AI与量子威胁下，区块链安全如何升级？ $ETH Opinion: Tom Lee predicts Ethereum could rise to $25,000 to $50,000 in this cycle
Tom Lee from Fundstrat makes a bold forecast: in this bull market cycle, ETH is expected to challenge the $25,000-$50,000 range. The core logic is tokenization, the implementation of AI on-chain applications, combined with continuous institutional capital deployment, leaving room for ETH/BTC exchange rate recovery.
Here are my thoughts. Tom Lee has always been a crypto bull, and his target price is based on a series of premises including a fully realized bull market, loose liquidity, and continued friendly regulation.
This target represents an optimistic scenario, not a guaranteed outcome. To reach this range, multiple positive factors must align: the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, sustained large inflows into $ETH spot ETFs, and a large-scale explosion of on-chain tokenization business. If U.S. Treasury yields remain high and institutional capital entry falls short of expectations, the forecast will be difficult to realize.
Many people tend to directly use the target price to heavily long-term invest. It is crucial to distinguish that long-term targets do not represent short-term market movements, and there will be multiple sharp corrections in between. ETH’s volatility is much greater than BTC’s, and its drawdowns are often more severe.
Trading approach: Do not heavily bet directly on the $25,000~$50,000 target. Strictly control leverage on contracts, prioritize monitoring the ETH/BTC ratio, ETF capital flows, and U.S. Treasury yields. This view can be used as a long-term market reference but should not be the basis for immediate trading decisions.$US Token Analysis
Direction Judgment: Slightly Bullish (Long)
Execution Status: Waiting for trigger, no entry for now
Current price reference is the latest complete 1H close at 0.024179 USDT; EMA20 is 0.028203, EMA50 is 0.02477, price and moving averages still diverge; volume ratio is 0.43. Currently leaning towards long, confidence is low. The hourly close has not yet broken through 0.036398; volume is less than 1.20 times the average volume of the previous 20 hours; the latest price is not within the planned entry range, waiting for trigger, no entry for now.
My strategy:
Entry: Limit long between 0.036398–0.037159 USDT, no chasing outside this range.
Trigger: Latest complete 1H close ≥ 0.036398, EMA20 > EMA50, volume ratio for that hour ≥ 1.20 (average volume of previous 20H); 1H price rising.
Funds: Net active transaction difference for 1H/4H both > 0, large holder position ratio ≥ 1; when funding rate is positive, the ratio of all market accounts < 2, and 1H OI increases, 4H does not decrease, funding rate can be verified.
Stop Loss: Exit immediately if the latest contract transaction price after entry ≤ 0.033346 USDT, no waiting for close.
Take Profit: T1 0.042879 USDT; T2 0.044785 USDT (calculated as 1.5R/2R from the worst entry price). 7u challenge to 100 million!
Day 50
Principal 7u, target 100 million
Currently: 3750u
Living cost: 2950u
Available funds: 700u+
Basically no operations in the past half month, all spending money or losing money, principal now only 700u. So painful!
Need to quickly find a way to earn some principal, overall strategy remains unchanged. Write content to earn some precious principal, only with principal can I play contracts to chase meme.
1.$ENA and $ONDO have been closely watched recently, still feeling not good; #DailyOrbit 🔥 $BTC vs $ZEC : Smart Money is heavily long on both.
$BTC: $1.76B longs vs $790M shorts. Longs hold +$20.7M in profit.
$ZEC: $255M longs vs $91M shorts. Longs are sitting on +$55M.
👀 Here's where it gets interesting.
Fresh 30m flow: $BTC: $8.11M buying vs $4.23M selling. $ZEC: $455K buying vs $1.98M selling.
My take: BTC looks stronger in the short term. ZEC has impressive long profits, but selling pressure is building.#DailyOrbit I'm watching $SOL closely at $110.58 after a sharp daily pullback from the $120 area. Price is trading below the MA5, MA10, and MA20, keeping short-term pressure bearish. I'd like to see SOL reclaim $112 and build momentum before considering a stronger recovery. If sellers stay in control, the recent low near $108.45 is worth watching. I'm staying cautious until buyers show real strength.
#DailyOrbit The high-level short strategy remains unchanged; after a sharp rise, the pullback is often more intense.
MAGIC: Funding rate is relatively low, trading volume exceeds circulating supply, and the market battle is complex. RSI has surged above 80; currently, chasing longs or shorts is prone to stop-loss triggers due to spikes. Wait for a rebound to 0.126-0.130 resistance before shorting, stop loss at 0.145, first target 0.09876, if broken look to 0.08. This round of MAGIC's rally is basically topping out and has started to decline.
BTC bottomed at 82285, now oscillating between 82500-82900. Resistance above at 83000-83500, support below at 80500 and 80000. Light long positions can be tried on a pullback to 82400 with stop loss at 81900, targets at 82900 and 83400; if it rebounds near 83000 and weakens, consider shorting briefly. No operation in the middle of the range; wait for price to approach boundaries.
ETH faces heavy resistance at 2500, 15-minute moving averages turning down, hourly chart weak, limited rebound space. Short can be tried at 2490-2510 resistance, target 2440-2450; if it breaks below 2460, look to previous low at 2400. If volume supports a steady hold above 2510, cancel short plans.
The market keeps flowing, but capital is limited. Be patient and wait for target prices; don’t open positions recklessly out of fear of missing out, to avoid turning missed opportunities into losses. #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
⚠️Personal market record, not trading advice Watching the market late at night, $STRK stabilized and rebounded at 0.08687, and the 50x long position caught this opportunity.
Recently, Starknet ecosystem TVL has warmed up, combined with an overall oversold rebound in the L2 sector, making STRK a short-term speculative target for funds. "STRK bottom reversal" has become a hot topic in the community.
Opened a long at 0.08687 to 0.0877, with an unrealized profit of +51.80%. Although the increase is only about 1%, the 50x leverage amplifies it by nearly half. 0.088 is short-term resistance, and 0.085 is key support. Earning 50% with 50x leverage warns against greed; it is recommended to take significant profits and keep the base position with break-even stop loss. $BTC $ETH #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 After 12 years as a "tip," DOGE is switching careers to become fuel
After twelve years, DOGE is gaining a new identity: fuel.
DogeOS public testnet is live. An application layer compatible with mainstream virtual machines, it can support transactions, lending, and games, with the key point that transaction fees are paid in DOGE. Previously, this coin had only two uses: tipping and transfers. Once applications take off, it will be the fuel, burning the coin.
I've seen DOGE's earliest "application." In 2014, the tipping bot tossed coins in comment sections, starting from a thousand coins, filling the screen. Back then, no one talked about ecosystems, it was just for fun. Who would have thought that twelve years later, someone would seriously build an application layer on this chain.
I'll also play the skeptic: the mainnet launch date is not set, and there are many hurdles between the testnet and real usability. It's too early to draw conclusions if this cake doesn't get baked.
But I hear the voices mixing the dough. Some are writing contracts for it, some are building virtual machines for it, and the fees are still recognized in $DOGE. The coin has a new destination, not just lying in wallets as a souvenir.
The chain is growing, and I can wait. #DailyOrbit There are signs of easing in energy supply, but the risk in the Strait of Hormuz may still impact the crypto market.
If the diesel supply arrangement can increase the energy available to the market, it may alleviate some supply pressure; however, if the navigation risk in the Strait of Hormuz does not substantially improve, crude oil prices may still maintain a high risk premium.
For BTC, the key lies in whether oil prices drive inflation expectations and U.S. Treasury yields to continue rising.
For spot ETFs, macro pressures may weaken capital inflows; for ETH and other major coins, changes in risk appetite may amplify price volatility.
What truly affects the market is not the supply agreement itself, but whether it can reduce energy prices and interest rate pressures.
#美俄达成柴油供应安排，霍尔木兹风险仍未解 #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 $BTC $ETH $MAGIC 🔥 Whale "Maji" is deep underwater: shorts on BTC, ETH & SOL show ~50.13M USDT unrealized loss.
📉 $BTC : short 2,853 @ 76,152 | 5x | loss ~19.12M
🧨 $ETH : short 111,800 @ 2,322.63 | 5x | loss ~19.48M
⚡ $SOL : short 741,900 @ 94.31 | 10x | loss ~11.53M
💰 Funding income: ~9.48M total, but cross margin risk remains. Study whales, don't copy blindly.
If the market rebounds, will Maji hold or
cut risk? 👇
#SepFOMCMinutesHikeWatch #BTCETFBiggestOutflow 🔥 $BTC vs $ZEC : Smart Money is heavily long on both.
$BTC: $1.76B longs vs $790M shorts. Longs hold +$20.7M in profit.
$ZEC: $255M longs vs $91M shorts. Longs are sitting on +$55M.
👀 Here's where it gets interesting.
Fresh 30m flow: $BTC: $8.11M buying vs $4.23M selling. $ZEC: $455K buying vs $1.98M selling.
My take: BTC looks stronger in the short term. ZEC has impressive long profits, but selling pressure is building. Hedge funds have now pushed their net long positions on the "Big Seven" U.S. stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta, Tesla) to 22%, setting a historical record.
To compare specifically:
The highest was only 21% in June 2024; around 15% in July this year, and now it has suddenly jumped 7 percentage points; during the worst of the 2022 bear market, this figure was only 8%!
On the surface, these big institutions seem very optimistic about these tech giants. But in reality, the hidden risks are very high; if the trend reverses, the selling pressure could be terrifying. Like BTC, which follows tech stocks, it is hard to avoid a deep drop.
The bigger the storm, the pricier the fish! Holding short positions, stopped out at break-even! $STRK brothers, how is this yield?
$MAGIC short position
Almost shorted at the highest point
90% profit
$ETH long position
Long at 2487
100x leverage
30 points to double, but currently no 30 points
Already 88% profit
$MET short position
Short at 0.5
40% profit
Really just a small gain
All three positions are small bets to test the waters $BTC This 100x short BTC position achieved a 246.30% unrealized profit, firmly holding the decline phase dominated by high-level selling pressure.
Looking back, entry was at 85079.8, where bullish momentum and buying power exhausted, and active selling triggered a bull stampede. It dropped to 82984.3, nearly 2100 points lower, generating 2.4x returns on 100x leverage, fully capturing the main downtrend.
Now at 82984.3 approaching the 82000 level, low-level support is showing, with shrinking volume. With 100x leverage combined with 246% unrealized profit, the profit buffer is thick, but extremely high leverage at peak levels is prone to deep V-shaped spikes and stop hunts, making the tail risk very high.
Following the trend is easiest to relax. Currently, close out over 80% of the position to lock in profits, set stop loss on the remaining base position at cost line, and watch the 82000 level closely. If it breaks with volume, leave the base position floating; if volume shrinks and price stagnates or spikes, exit fully. Protecting real capital is the key; 100x leverage should only target the body of the move, not the tail. Steady rhythm is the way to keep playing. $ETH $ZEC #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 Unintentionally challenged the other's bottom line
One step short of happiness, just holding hands and drifting apart
One step short of falling into the abyss with no chance of survival
Unwilling, life is short but no one is a deity
In the end, I still missed a trade. I must find the reason why small positions can be managed to top escape but large positions often get liquidated to zero
There must be something wrong inside. It can't really be a ghost, right? Heavy positions get liquidated, small positions surge #OKX百万规划师 Brothers, this $WLD 50x trade directly hit 176%! I'm not bragging, this is exactly the moment when the sentiment exploded.
Look at the entry price 0.5417, the market was as cold as an ice cellar at that time, retail investors were all cutting losses, but what I saw was "the decline is losing momentum, funds are secretly accumulating at the bottom." The result? A direct intraday surge, once funds assign value to this altcoin market, the rally is like a mad dog!
Now the price has surged to 0.5608, floating profit 176%. Although the 1-minute chart is still creeping up, with 50x leverage and such a thick profit, I know clearly: the fattest meat is already in the belly. After such a sharp rise, high-level divergence is bound to come, and profit-taking selling is just a matter of time.
Now I'm just holding the base position, watching if funds will continue to support. If the support is strong, hold on; if weak, run immediately. Altcoin sentiment comes fast and goes fast, don't be greedy! What we want is steady happiness, protect the profit, there will be plenty of opportunities to get back in later. $BTC $ETH #跟着OKX打卡2049 This blueprint has been flawed from the foundation up. $DOGE rose another 5.43% in 24 hours. On the surface, it looks like a peak and a good sign, but having done structural inspections for twenty years, what I fear most is this kind of beautiful facade without load-bearing walls—the short-term RSI has climbed to 67.9, approaching the overbought red line, while the long-term RSI is only 50.3, completely propped up temporarily by an emotional scaffold like a makeshift shed. Looking at the Bollinger Bands: the short-term price is already at the 72% position, with 2.6% margin to the lower band and only 1.0% left to the upper band—this means the beams and columns have reached their maximum deflection; the mid-term is even more absurd, with the price stuck at 92%, and the upper band just 0.7% overhead, equivalent to adding a top floor without rechecking the pile foundation's bearing capacity.
This kind of structure will tilt with the slightest wind. My judgment is demolition and reconstruction, not renovation to extend life.
📉 Short:
Entry: 0.08 (current price +3.4%)
Take Profit 1: 0.07 (-4.9%)
Take Profit 2: 0.07 (-7.7%)
Stop Loss: 0.08 (-14.3%)
Note this stop loss is set at +14.3%, not conservatively, but to leave a blast safety margin for emotional bottom-fishers. The real problem is: the developer of this building lacks long-term operational capability, the whitepaper is just a rendering, the community heat is artificial lighting from the sales office, and the foundation has no scalability. After the price touches the upper Bollinger Band, it will inevitably retract the load-bearing structure, first breaking below the mid-band, then testing the lower band—this is mechanics, not prediction.
I don't speculate; I only do structural inspections. This tower fails inspection.If it rises a bit more, it will liquidate, but luckily I have a tiny position. The continuous email and app alerts before sleep really startled me.
ETH entry price was 2494, now it has pulled up to 2508. It makes sense to be bearish without shorting, but seeing it consistently press below a key level, I couldn't resist opening a position.
100x leverage looks scary, but the position is very small; this trade is just for testing. Next, I'll see if it can reach 2550; if it stabilizes there, I'll admit my mistake and exit without adding margin. If it can't break through, I'll watch if it can return to 2480, and below that, keep an eye on 2450.
However, I must remind myself that the higher the leverage, the smaller the margin for error. Even with a tiny position, I can't relax on stop-loss. If the market suddenly spikes, it can disrupt plans in seconds, so I'll only follow the plan for this trade—no adding positions on the fly, and no holding on out of stubbornness.
The most frustrating thing about this recent market is that the direction might be right, but the price is first pushed away by volatility. Having a smaller position means at least I can still sleep if it liquidates.Meta & Microsoft cut internal Claude use ahead of Anthropic's IPO
According to The Information, Microsoft cut its projected internal Claude spend (at least 1B USD/yr) by more than 1/3 and steered staff to GitHub Copilot and OpenAI models.
Meta's Claude Code users fell from ~60K to ~30K.
According to Reuters, the Anthropic IPO could value it above 2T USD, after the Nov midterms.
Oct 5-9: MSFT +3.39%, AMZN +4.34%, GOOGL +2.38%, META -1.29%.
Risk: customer concentration.
#DailyOrbit I only glanced at the CAP token distribution.
The top 100 addresses control 99.99% of the supply.
The largest one holds 82.55% alone, worth $420 million.
It's a market controlled by a single address.
The support, resistance, and trend lines you draw can all be wiped out with a flick of their finger.
What’s even more unsettling is its circulation structure. The total supply is 10 billion tokens, but only 15.6% is currently circulating.
The remaining 84.4% is locked with the team and private investors, unlocking starting June next year.
MCap/FDV is only 0.16, meaning the market cap you see today is just the tip of the iceberg, with over five times the selling pressure lurking beneath the surface.
So this surge from 0.017 to 0.099, more than quadrupling, is it value discovery or a pump preparing for unlocking?
I won’t draw conclusions; you figure it out yourselves.
I shorted at 0.09031 today, not a large position, but the direction is clear. If it dares to push to 0.1, I’ll keep shorting.
Don’t gamble on a coin held tightly by a single address; that’s not investing, that’s handing over your head.
$BTC $ETH $CAP
#贝森特拟查扣10亿美元伊朗相关加密资产 STRK nearly doubled in two days: It's not just following the trend, it's hyping "itself as L1 + quantum-resistant"
Tonight's biggest gainer is Starknet, currently priced at 0.0876, up about 20% in 24h, with a peak surge of +39% yesterday—two days of wild volatility. The key is this isn't just pure sentiment—24h trading volume is 43.96 million USDT, real money compared to many meme coins with only a few million volume.
The catalyst is the official statement on X: Starknet is "considering" transitioning from Ethereum L2 to an independent L1, aiming to become the first fully quantum-resistant chain by 2027. The logic isn't far-fetched; STARK proves that using hashes instead of elliptic curves theoretically makes it quantum-computer-proof, coinciding with the recent quantum-resistance debate between Hoskinson and Vitalik. Funds are flowing along this narrative.
But I have to pour cold water: transitioning to L1 is a foundational move, currently only "considering/exploring," still requires governance voting, and whether or when it happens is uncertain; plus, the short-term drop from 39% to 20% shows selling pressure is heavy, and those chasing highs are getting trapped.
Watch two points: whether it can volume-break above the previous high at 0.09, and whether governance discussions make real progress; before the story materializes, this kind of rise looks more like news-driven spikes, don't mistake "considering" for an "official announcement" to go all in.
The quantum narrative is sexy, but keep a clear head, DYOR, not investment advice.
#STRK #StarknetSisters, can I get 800 ZEC this time?
Currently, ZEC seems to be in a sideways consolidation, but I feel it can't go up.
If it can't rise, then it should still fall. Looking at the daily chart, its trend is still downward.
On the K-line, $ZEC is as flat as a dead fish.
The bulls have struggled for a while, but they can't even touch the MA10 moving average. The two MACD lines are weakly sticking to the zero line and sliding down, and the green bars pop up only to be pressed back down.
What is this called?
This is called the dog manipulators having no strength left even to put on a show to deceive!
If it can't rise, then it can only crash down with all its might!
Looking again at the daily level, it dove from the high of 1695 and rolled all the way down to around 1200.
All moving averages are arranged bearish and diverging downward, and the bottom buying volume is pitifully shrinking.
Retail investors keep shouting "bulls return quickly" in the group chat every day, but what’s the reality?
The regulatory threat over privacy coins hangs overhead, and ETF funds are still rushing out nonstop.
Even big institutions are rushing to exit early; who will be the big hero to support these trapped bulls?
My short position at 1656 is now safely in the bag; having any position is more reassuring than none.
I don’t care about the spikes up or down; I will hold on to the end.
As long as the rebound is weak, the next target is a straight shot to 1000, even 800!
In terms of operation, you can lightly short for now.
No need to go heavy right away; just follow the big trend and push down slowly, grinding down the dog manipulators’ defenses bit by bit.
$BTC
$ETH
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $STRK 50x, 1152% unrealized profit.
Entry: 0.07092, breakdown + accumulation signal appeared.
Rally: Intraday breakout, capital ignition, violent surge.
Now: Mark price 0.08726, profit buffer is very thick.
Action: Hold the base position, watch for support, take profit if weak.
Altcoin market, sentiment-driven. Don’t be greedy for the last bit, preserving profit is key. Opportunities always exist, survival depends on timing. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 One of the bulls who bottom-fished $NEAR made nearly 1U profit per coin; they’re definitely not here to hold long-term!
Looking at the data, the average cost for the bulls is 4.41, right at the bottom of the previous sharp drop, indicating this batch of bulls all entered by bottom-fishing. Now the price has risen to 5.3, netting nearly 1U profit per coin, with over 23 million in handsome paper gains lying on the books.
What’s the bottom-fishing capital aiming for? It’s aiming to grab a quick rebound profit! The price has already reached the level before the dump; the rebound gains have long been eaten up. If you don’t take profits now, are you waiting for it to dump again? Once the bottom-fishers start rushing to exit, the 23 million profit positions cash out, instantly creating huge selling pressure.
Those who bottom-fished understand better than anyone to take profits while they can. Brothers, don’t wait for them to dump before chasing; hurry and short at the high!BTC closed above 82950, hourly volume increased by 38%
BTC hourly closed back above 82950. From 22:00 to 23:00, the 1H candle closed at 82993.1 USDT, higher than the 4H high of 82950 from 16:00 to 20:00; volume was 212.60 BTC, up 38.3% from 153.76 BTC between 21:00 and 22:00. I am turning my attention to whether it can hold the upper boundary.
This hourly candle's high was 83076.9, but the close remained below the hourly high. The 4H candle from 20:00 to 24:00 has not yet closed and awaits confirmation at 24:00; the net flow of volume on both sides is unknown.
At fixed 24:00, observe the 1H candle from 23:00 to 24:00: if it closes above 83076.9 with volume exceeding 212.60 BTC, it confirms an extension; if it closes back below 82950, this recovery fails.
If at 24:00 it holds above 82950 but volume shrinks below 153.76 BTC, I will downgrade my expectation for continuation. Do you agree with this downgrade line?
Source: OKX Spot BTC-USDT v5, confirm=1; October 10 Beijing 1H candle as of 23:00, 4H candle as of 20:00, different buckets. Price in USDT, volume in BTC. Independent community, not investment advice.#PIMCO warns 10-year US Treasury yield could reach 6% Bro, this warning from PIMCO directly reveals the sword hanging over risk assets.
PIMCO's Chief Investment Officer said that if the three forces of energy inflation, fiscal pressure, and leveraged liquidation continue to push bond market sell-offs, the 10-year US Treasury yield could directly surge to 6%. Note, he said this is not the baseline forecast, but the alarm has already been sounded. Look at how exaggerated the current data is: 10-year at 5.36%, 30-year at 5.73%, UK 30-year has directly broken through 6%, and France's 10-year hit a 20-year high. This is not just a US issue; global funding costs are skyrocketing.
Last night's Treasury auction further illustrates the problem. The $22 billion 30-year Treasury had a winning yield of 5.618%, the highest since 2000. Although the bid-to-cover ratio of 2.54 times is still stable, indicating someone is taking the offer, the cost is that the government has to pay higher interest.
This transmission to our big coin is very straightforward. If the risk-free yield is at 5.5% or even heading toward 6%, institutions can just lie back and collect US Treasury interest, so why take big risks in crypto? The big coin has been grinding near 83,000 without breaking up, and the core reason lies here. As long-term rates don't die, risk asset valuations can't rise. $BTC $ETH Meta & Microsoft cut internal Claude use ahead of Anthropic's IPO
According to The Information, Microsoft cut its projected internal Claude spend (at least 1B USD/yr) by more than 1/3 and steered staff to GitHub Copilot and OpenAI models.
Meta's Claude Code users fell from ~60K to ~30K.
According to Reuters, the Anthropic IPO could value it above 2T USD, after the Nov midterms.
Oct 5-9: MSFT +3.39%, AMZN +4.34%, GOOGL +2.38%, META -1.29%.
Risk: customer concentration.
Not financial advice.This is not good news for BTC.
The higher the US Treasury yields, the greater the opportunity cost of holding risky assets.
Especially now, with ETF funds already unstable, combined with high interest rates, the market naturally tends to be volatile.
But there is another detail.
US Treasury yields hitting 6% doesn't necessarily mean a strong economy; it could also indicate that the market is starting to worry about the US fiscal risk.
These two situations are very different.
If it's a strong economy, BTC might come under pressure.
If it's fiscal credit concerns, it could trigger a short-term liquidity shock but might strengthen Bitcoin's narrative as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation in the long term $BTC BTC 82,750 narrow range oscillation, don't be fooled by the calm. On Wednesday, 974 million longs were just liquidated, ETH leverage is six times that of BTC, the high-leverage meat grinder is still turning. US Treasury yield at 5.25%, oil price breaks 104, ETF outflow of 487 million in a single day — three heavy burdens pressing down, risk assets line up first. CoinEx shutdown, CLARITY Act stalled, BitMine has bought enough, the real bottom is not smashed out, it is formed by chip turnover. The 10.14 CPI and the end-of-month FOMC are the real direction judges, the most dangerous thing now is not the drop, but thinking the drop is over.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $BTC $ETH $ZEC $CFX on the 1-hour chart violently surged from 0.047 to 0.06489, a typical vertical spike. This kind of surge drains bullish momentum the most; after the peak, with no volume to support, it inevitably leads to a mess.
I opened a short position directly at 0.06245. This level is a classic “bull trap,” designed to catch those FOMO chasing the highs. Once the long upper shadow at 0.06489 appears, profit-takers and trapped holders will panic sell. $BTC
Now it’s dropped to 0.05817, locking in 136% profit. The plan going forward is simple:
1. Lock the stop loss: move the stop loss directly to 0.06. This 136% profit must not be given back.
2. Take profits in batches: the 0.055-0.056 range below is a short-term support. Once it hits there, I’ll immediately close most of the position. Keep a small base position to break even and see if it can test the previous low at 0.052.
3. Guard against a pump by manipulative whales: if suddenly overnight it surges back above 0.061 with volume, I’ll exit completely immediately.
The crazier it rises, the sweeter the fall. Catch the middle of the move; profits in hand are real. Have a good weekend everyone, let’s communicate rationally, and don’t blindly bottom-fish at this level! $MAGIC $MAGIC has been long-term tied to Treasure, a decentralized game engine. The story isn't bad, but 0.10624 was overtraded in the short term.
Recently, the L2 gaming sector's overall PE has been re-evaluated, with similar tokens generally pulling back 15%-20%. MAGIC is just lagging behind to catch up with the drop.
A 20x short position from 0.10624 to 0.10206 yields +78.68%. It only has allocation value when it returns to 0.095-0.10. Reduce positions before doubling profits, and watch the base position for support. $BTC $ETH #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 $CAP This trade with 10x leverage on $CAP secured a 167.43% floating profit, firmly holding the short squeeze phase driven by low-position capital inflow.
Looking back, entry was at 0.07812, with bottom selling pressure completely exhausted, active buying continuously pouring in, bulls pushing all the way up triggering a short squeeze. From 0.07812 to 0.0912, a 1300-point range amplified nearly 1.7 times in profit under 10x leverage, basically capturing the main upward move fully.
Now at 0.0912 approaching resistance above 0.09, high-position profit-taking starts to loosen, volume shrinks, and support diverges. With 10x leverage combined with 167% floating profit, the profit buffer is thick, but low-position turnover can easily cause reverse spikes to shake out longs, and the tail-end cost-effectiveness quickly declines.
It's easiest to let your guard down when things go smoothly. Currently, more than 80% of the major position is closed to lock in profits, the remaining base position has a stop loss nailed at the cost line, closely watching the 0.09 level. Breakout with volume leaves some base position floating; low volume stagnation or spikes mean full exit immediately. Protecting real cash is the key; high leverage only takes the body of the fish, not the tail. Keeping steady rhythm is how to keep playing continuously. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 📊 The Fed, Markets, and Bitcoin: Reading Between the Lines After the September Minutes 🟢 Quick Summary: The latest Fed meeting minutes carry a hawkish tone but are closer to a routine "verbal warning" to adjust markets rather than a trigger for an immediate hike. The market has absorbed the shock, and all eyes are now on a decisive number on October 14. 🏛️ 1. A Look Behind the Fed Scenes: Consensus, Inflation, and Ongoing Pressure 🟢 Consensus on Rate Hike: 19 officials unanimously agreed to raise rates by 25 basis points in September, settling in the 3.75% to 4% range. 🟡 Inflation Concerns and Firepower: The majority $ZEC has been quite interesting recently; during market adjustments, institutions have started focusing on the privacy coin sector.
I think there are three signals worth noting.
First, large on-chain holdings deserve attention. Data shows that some large addresses hold about 65,000 ZEC, estimated to be worth over $90 million according to reports. However, on-chain addresses do not necessarily correspond to specific individuals, and changes in holdings cannot be directly interpreted as buy or sell signals.
Second, institutions are beginning to deploy related products. The Winklevoss brothers' institution has submitted registration documents for a spot ZEC ETF, intending to use the ticker WINK, with an annual management fee of 0.25%. The associated fund has also expressed a purchase intention of up to $100 million, but this cannot currently be considered confirmed capital inflow.
Third, technical upgrades are also a point to watch going forward. Zcash's NU7 upgrade is underway; attention should be paid to its actual implementation effects and whether it can bring more real demand to the ecosystem.
My view is: institutional interest can increase market enthusiasm, but what truly determines how far the market can go are funds, liquidity, and real-world applications. Positive news is worth noting, but don't rush to equate it directly with price increases. I mentioned earlier that the $CAP was just a shakeout, but no one believed it.
Now it's back to 0.9.
Unfortunately, I had already stopped out of my position. That day, I kept going long with small positions and kept getting stopped out.
This kind of shakeout is the toughest phase during an uptrend.
Many people can't hold through this phase.
Those who can usually have strong nerves.
This coin is very volatile.
It's been consolidating for a long time, and I estimate the level is more than just 0.1, so please be cautious when shorting.
rephrase Late evening pierced above $83,000 but then retreated, $BTC still pressured below the shelf.
Current market shows BTC at $82,959, almost flat in 24 hours, with highs and lows between $83,077 and $82,277.
The 15-minute candle at 22:30 closed at $83,029, daily high touched $83,077, then several candles consecutively closed below $83,000.
Compared to the Asian open at $82,871, the whole day looks more like grinding along the lower edge of the shelf, not a smooth breakout.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs had a net inflow of about $21.1 million on October 9, with IBIT leading at about $22.38 million inflow, FBTC about $3.58 million outflow.
Compared to combined redemptions of about $729 million on the 7th-8th, funds just shifted from large withdrawals to small replenishments.
In the past five trading days, net outflow still about $679 million, Friday's amount not enough to turn the weekly line positive.
Contract open interest about $2.5 billion, rate about +0.0018%, nearly flat, no obvious leverage accumulation during the spike.
Looking at the path, first see if it can hold consecutive closes above $83,000 before testing higher resistance.
If it breaks below $82,277, then look back to around $81,600. 如果一位老练的交易者连续加空、而且保证金厚到不怕插针，那么现在这段行情，大概率还在延续或刚进入分歧，而不是全面启动。 你更怕被扫损，还是更怕方向看对却拿不住？ 我最近盯的不是K线本身，而是情绪的温度。这位被叫作"石主席"的账户，之前一笔空单拿了一年多，落袋接近700万U；这两天又挂出两笔新空，浮盈还在往上走。 先看XRP这单。10倍全仓空，开在1.5022，现价1.3965，仓位120万枚XRP，保证金16.76万U，浮盈12.69万U，幅度70.38%。标的从开仓到现在只跌了约7%，杠杆把结果放大了十倍。关键不是他看对，而是保证金足够厚，短线尖刺很难把他洗出去。 再看BTC。同样10倍全仓空，开在86195.3，现价82643.2，150枚BTC，保证金123.96万U，浮盈53.28万U，幅度41.21%。BTC从开仓到现价跌了约4.1%，十倍杠杆对应四成浮盈。两单加起来，浮盈约65.97万U。 这里面真正值得琢磨的，不是他赚了多少，而是他在用什么姿态交易。仓位、杠杆、保证金三层都控得很稳，说明他不像是在赌一根针，更像是在等一段趋势走完。 从趋势阶段看，这种"老空单继续拿、新空单继The idea of losing money to farm something is overly optimistic. You farm as an added incentive atop a profitable activity.
Otherwise, you are being farmed. This is 2026.
Hyperliquid.
#DailyOrbit #SepFOMCMinutesHikeWatch