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Reviewing the $TAO trade.
Opened position at 290.9, based on a minor false breakdown that was recovered, support held, and short liquidity was swept out. I opened a 50x long. Not bottom guessing, waiting for structural confirmation before entering.
Marked 303.5, floating profit +216.56%. Technically, there is resistance between 305 and 310, planning to take profits in batches; if it breaks through, then reassess, if not, secure gains first.
Trading is about probabilities, not selling dreams. If you don't understand, don't blindly follow; first understand stop loss, liquidation, and position sizing before talking about doubling up. $AKE $SAND $ZEC is still digesting the pullback after the September high. Here's the latest update:
The market snapshot cited in the early morning report on October 4 shows a price around $1,300–1,340, down about 19% in the past 7 days; Binance perpetual funding rate is about +0.01%/8 hours, and open interest (OI) has slightly increased in the past 24 hours.
A positive funding rate indicates longs are paying, but since OI does not distinguish between longs and shorts, we cannot conclude that longs are crowded based on this alone.
Another new point to watch is the NU7 testnet scheduled to launch on October 6: will the market trade on upgrade expectations first, or continue to focus on position changes? What are your thoughts?There have been significant changes in the Ethereum staking end in the past two days.
Data shows that at the beginning of October, the validator exit queue once rose to about 850,000 ETH, an increase of approximately 392% compared to the start of the month, with the waiting time extended to nearly 15 days, reaching the highest level this year.
A large part of this wave of exits is related to MetaMask Staking.
On September 30, MetaMask disclosed a security incident involving some infrastructure and subsequently voluntarily exited the affected validators.
Reports estimate that about 17,000 validators and 523,000 ETH were involved. MetaMask emphasized that no direct impact on user wallets or funds has been found so far.
However, exiting staking does not mean immediate selling of coins.
Ethereum itself limits the speed at which validators can exit, and funds need to queue for release. Moreover, in the latest data, the entry queue still has about 1.51 million ETH, higher than the exit queue of about 850,000 ETH.
Currently, there are still about 43.7 million ETH staked across the entire network. $ETH $BTC has three ways the market values it
$BTC is valued through scarcity, liquidity, and its potential role as a crypto reserve asset. Institutional flows are important.
$ETH is valued through on-chain activity: stablecoins, decentralized finance, fees, and ecosystem capital.
$SOL carries a growth narrative: users, transactions, applications, and liquidity must expand to support higher valuations.
Same market, but different frameworks. Price is the outcome; capital flows and real activity require confirmation. $MUBARAK pulled hard from 0.0515 to 0.0733, looking like a 15% increase, but seeing that steep line, my first reaction really was
As soon as I dare put my finger on it, the market maker could pull me out root and branch the next second, causing a liquidation!
I took a close look at the indicators, RSI6 has already soared to 85.77!
RSI12 is also close to 78, seriously overbought across the board
The K-line of this kind of Meme coin jumps up and down like an ECG, the order book is frighteningly light
Just a slight reverse spike, whether long or short, both get instantly wiped out.
Seeing this kind of surge but "not daring to enter," it's not that I don't want to make money, it's that I'm really scared of getting cut
Protecting the principal, controlling my hands, in this cannibalistic market, not getting liquidated already beats the vast majority!$BTC perpetual funding rates diverge:
On October 4th at 11:27 UTC, Binance was about +0.0028%/8h, OKX about -0.0008%/8h.
The same asset on different exchanges has different "ticket prices" for long and short positions, indicating that looking at only one platform can easily mistake local sentiment for the consensus of the entire market. I’m more interested to see if the funding rates across exchanges will synchronize once the price breaks out of the range. Which platform’s data do you usually follow?$AXS surged 12.9% and hit the trending searches: the funding rate is still negative
$AXS is currently at 1.3675, up 12.9% in 24h, and it has also entered CoinGecko's trending searches. My stance is straightforward: bullish, an offensive strategy is needed in an offensive market.
Three reasons. First, the volume is real: 24h trading volume is 15,376,015 USDT, 6.315 times the 30-day average volume, the heat truly reflects on the chart. Second, the structure is bullish: daily RSI at 62.7 is strong, MA7 crossed above MA30 15 days ago, MACD golden cross above zero line, current price stands above the upper Bollinger Band. Third, derivatives are not dragging it down: open interest compared to 10-03 record is +34.12%, funding rate is -0.00060871 and still negative, shorts are paying to hold.
BTC at 85,161.83 supports the market, market phase judged as offensive, breadth of gains/losses 45/15, fear and greed index at 65.
Resistance above: 1.453 (24h high)
Support below: 1.206 (4h SAR)
Current price 1.3675, I directly enter long, if it breaks below 1.206 I will unconditionally cut losses and exit, if it doesn't break, hold until 1.453 before considering taking profit.
Follow me, next signal coming.
$AXS $BTCThe most vulnerable thing isn't BTC, but the thin layer of buying from altcoins. Have you noticed that what really keeps people awake these past two days isn't the big coin not moving, but that other assets have started to stop following suit? I watched all day; BTC and ETH seemed glued to the table, lazy about price movements, their ranges so narrow they felt sleepy. Buyers waited for a long time without a rally; even a slight pullback made them uncomfortable; Sellers didn't dare to really sell, preferring to stand outside and wait for the market to choose its own direction. In this stalemate, the most painful thing is actually the high beta. When it comes to cross-market linkages, the clues are clearer than within the crypto world. US Treasury yields are rising, and Bescent said this aligns with global trends, meaning the risk-free rate anchor is still being raised. The Fed and ECB are about to release the September meeting minutes, and the market is waiting for the wording to see if there's a longer 'higher for longer' in the wording. This suppresses risk appetite, especially those that rely on narrative to support valuations and lack cash flow. At the same time, BTC spot ETFs are back in inflows, while ETH funds continue to flow out. This divergence is crucial: it's not that there's no money overall, but that money is picking up assets. BTC has received marginal buying from traditional channels, ETH fails to catch it, and altcoins are in an even more awkward position—they have neither ETF channels nor macro safe-haven attributes, and can only rely on market sentiment. When BTC holds sideways and ETH loses blood, altcoin buying becomes thinner, and during rebounds it looks lively, but when it pulls back, no one buys it. There are also bullish paths: if the meeting minutes are dovish, yields fall, ETF inflows continue, BTC moves first, ETH catches up, and Altcoins recover. This is when elasticity is greatest$CT To be honest, I myself find it risky that this position has lasted until now; luck played a big part.
Last night at dawn, I was watching the CT long position closely. The support didn't break, and the bottom was grinding sideways. I'll just say one thing: there's someone buying below, don't cut recklessly. From 0.3767 all the way up to 0.4911, a floating profit of +606.84%. This gain feels good.
Take profit on 70% first, move the stop to the cost price for the remaining 30%, let the profits run if it continues to rise, don't be greedy for the last bit.
The market waits for the right moment, profits come from holding. Panic comes from lack of planning, losses come from overthinking.
For friends who haven't entered, listen to me: now is not the time to rush. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, and watch for a new structure.
$DOGE $XRP #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
A week ago, the probability of a rate hike in October was still 69%, but as soon as the non-farm payrolls came out, it dropped directly to 13%.
At the September meeting, 16 out of 18 people on the dot plot said there would be one more hike this year.
But on 10/2, non-farm payrolls were only 29,000, expected was 90,000, and the unemployment rate climbed to 4.2%.
This plot twist happened faster than I could flip a position 🤣
Now everyone is waiting for the September meeting minutes at 2 AM Thursday.
To be clear, it's old news from three weeks ago; when officials met, they didn't have this non-farm data yet.
So if it's written very hawkishly, I'm not that concerned.
I'm more interested in seeing how many people were already worried about employment back then.
In the past, when data came out late at night, I would stay up watching the market.
The price would spike down then bounce back, and the next day it would return to the original level, but my position would be gone 🥲
This time I learned my lesson: no big leverage before the minutes come out, just sleep 🫡
BTC is now just above 85,000,
Do you think this old news can push it back below 85,000?
$BTC $ETH $SOL Opening my positions, I felt a mix of emotions—one trade recovered losses, two trades got stuck, the rollercoaster-like market is really exhausting.
$XRP long position, entry average price 1.5098, current mark price 1.4994, currently floating loss of 6.88%, slightly stuck. I originally expected a rebound, but it didn’t pick up in the short term, so I’m still holding on waiting for recovery.
$AAVE short position is the only consolation, entry average price 184.68, current price 179.31, floating profit 29.07%. This trade caught the downtrend and made a profit, giving the account a bit of a boost.
The most troublesome is the $ZEC long position, 50x full position leverage, entry average price 1426.09, current price 1329.95, floating loss directly at 337.05%. Heavy position with high leverage caused a big pitfall, a huge cost and the biggest lesson this time.
High leverage is truly a double-edged sword; this $ZEC trade is a painful example.
Don’t easily use high leverage; risk control must be done well for each single position. You can’t bet all your hopes on one trade. The market won’t always go as we expect, and holding losing trades is the worst habit that can destroy an account.
⚠️This is only a personal live trading record and does not constitute any investment advice Today, I made a small 30u position on $SAND and just caught a quick pump, directly taking 20u profit. This short-term trade hit the opportunity perfectly.
Later, I opened a long position on $LTC at 70.3, but now it's stuck around 71, oscillating back and forth. Holding this long position is really agonizing. It neither rises nor falls, the market is just lingering in place. Watching the chart repeatedly makes it hard not to get restless.
Currently, $BTC itself has no clear direction, so LTC can only follow the overall market's fluctuations. It's difficult to see a one-sided trend immediately. Fortunately, the profit from the SAND trade is already secured, which eases the psychological pressure a lot. Stop-losses are set in advance, no blind averaging down. In a choppy market, the biggest risk is losing composure and frequently adjusting positions. Patiently wait for the market to choose a direction; before a breakout, stay steady and don't move. Prioritize protecting the profits already made.$ZEC has been rising for a month, and the project team still can't sell off
$ZEC has been pumped for a whole month.
When it dropped, it only fell by 300 points.
Where did this money come from:
Pumping requires real money to buy.
The coins bought are still in their own hands.
How is this number calculated:
After rising for a month, it only dropped 300 points.
If you reverse engineer it, someone has to take the sell-off.
Those who chased the high have unrealized profits and won’t run.
If no one takes it, the coins can’t be dumped.
They can only keep pumping.
Who takes it in the end, they know themselves.
#ZEC现货ETF连续3日流出，NU7升级临近 $ZEC 4.28 hundred million $CRO, calculated at the current price of 0.068, is nearly 30 million USD
This is not just token burning, it's basically burning the market cap of a small altcoin on the spot. The manipulator's move is indeed ruthless.
But let's do the math clearly. The total supply of CRO is 100 billion, burning 4.28 hundred million is just a drop in the bucket. This positive news is a long-term, slow and steady effort, definitely not fuel for a short-term pump.
Look carefully at the mechanism in the news: 100% of the revenue generated by Cronos Ult and Launch is used for buybacks and monthly burns, with public hashes, and it doesn't affect the staked rewards pool. This is a team that is truly doing things.
Compared to those projects that only know how to issue air coins to scam investors, CRO's strategy this time really opens up a new level.
Looking at the market, the daily chart was pulled hard from 0.045 to 0.073, now it has retraced to 0.06846. The MACD red bars are clearly shortening, STICK momentum is weakening, and 0.07 above is strong resistance.
With this burn positive news landing, the short-term is very likely to see high-level oscillation and shakeout to wash out the previous profit-taking, but the long-term outlook remains bullish, with the first target at 0.08!Today's detailed scene: BTC is playing dead, ETH is holding the flag, SOL is deflating, ZEC is crashing 😏
$BTC playing dead #Nonfarm and US debt game
BTC played dead around 68,000 over the weekend, with minimal volatility in 24 hours. Nonfarm data once triggered a surge but was suppressed by the rebound in US Treasury yields. ETF fund flows show a "one step forward, half step back" hesitation; the infusion tube isn't cut off but the flow rate is unstable. The real highlight is SEC dynamics; institutional infrastructure is advancing, regulatory clarity is a substantial mid-term positive, but short-term remains tied to macro sentiment.
$ETH holding the flag
ETH currently around 3500, slightly up. Spot ETF saw net outflows last week, but on-chain shorts were squeezed, yet the price couldn't rise. Selling pressure above combined with ETF outflows form a joint force; "holding the flag" is more passive defense than active offense, caution is needed for shrinking volume.
$ZEC crashing #Privacy narrative fading
ZEC is the worst this week, down over 15%. Grayscale funds continue to flow out, compounded by hacker shadows, privacy heat is fading, whale sell-offs aftermath unsettled. The effect is gone, just don't catch the falling knife.
$SOL deflating
SOL currently around 145, with sparse volume. ETF inflows are minimal, not on the same scale as BTC. Playing dead is playing dead, as long as the rope is still there.
BTC is supported by regulation, ETH is dragged down by ETFs, ZEC has no buyers, SOL data is weak. US Treasury yields are the biggest suppressor. SEC progress is a more important mid-term variable than nonfarm data, meaning real institutional advancement. But short-term, hold your hands. 😏$4,200 = major psychological area
$4,140 = current zone
$4,100 = downside area to watch
The dollar and Treasury yields could determine the next major XAU/USD move.Gold bulls have a major macro battle ahead.
U.S. September payrolls came in at only 29K, while unemployment rose to 4.2%.
Normally weaker jobs data can support gold through lower-rate expectations—but elevated Treasury yields are complicating the move. Solana futures open interest is around $6.9B, while recent liquidations remain relatively contained.
That means leverage positioning is still important as SOL approaches major resistance. Reduce MU, reduce INTC, reduce DRAM, and replace with about $17.4 million worth of CBRS long positions.
Mlm Onchain (PANews/Odaily): Since Friday's close, a certain wallet has built approximately 94,700 CBRS long positions on Hyperliquid, valued at about $17.4 million, which drove CBRS up nearly 11% over the weekend; about 4 hours ago, after stopping adding positions, the price fell about 3%. During the same period, it reduced long positions in MU, INTC, and DRAM by roughly equivalent amounts; the total long exposure of the four positions is nearly $50 million. Since mid-August, this address has profited about $17 million from NEAR and INJ. Single account snapshots may change, and positions do not equal fixed direction. This is not investment advice.One of the biggest pain points for AI Agents may not be capability, but "amnesia."
A coding agent facing rate limits often has to start over—previous plans, context, and execution progress are hard to fully preserve.
Now, a new technology is trying to change this:
🔹 Encrypting the Agent's context
🔹 Persistently saving it to Filecoin
🔹 Verifying data integrity via on-chain/storage proofs
🔹 Agents like Claude Code, Codex, OpenClaw, Hermes can restore their previous state
🔹 Switching environments can still continue executing the original tasks
This means Filecoin's value might be more than just "storing files."
In the future, if AI Agents require long-term memory, verifiable context, and cross-platform recovery, decentralized storage could become part of the Agent infrastructure.
AI is responsible for thinking and execution,
Filecoin is responsible for storage and verification.
This is one of the reasons I keep following $FIL.
AI Agent × Verifiable Storage might be opening a new narrative. Pump.fun generated $55.5 million in protocol revenue over the past 30 days, even surpassing Hyperliquid's $54.34 million, with only Tether and Circle ahead.
These local dogs really know how to cut profits; the windfall comes fast and goes fast, and in the end, it's the platforms that get fat.
I stay up late watching K-lines every day, either cutting losses here or missing out there, but the real winners are neither retail investors nor big players; it's platforms like Pump.fun that act as "fee extractors" selling shovels.
As long as someone is rushing into these local dogs on-chain, whether prices go up or down, it mercilessly takes the fees.
We PvP and cut each other’s losses, while it just lies there counting money.
The real cash I lost from liquidations on RLS, cutting losses on AKE, and even the disgust from the project side on PONS a few days ago—all that real money actually turned into revenue for platforms like this.
All those hundredfold myths are illusions; the true victors aren’t even in this gamble—they’re just running a casino.Friends who watch the market closely say that on the 4-hour chart, Dogecoin has formed a symmetrical triangle, and it will reach the apex in early October.
What does that mean? To put it simply: a spring. The price is being squeezed inward from both ends, with volatility getting smaller and smaller. At the moment it reaches the apex, it will inevitably explode in one direction. The longer and tighter the squeeze, the more violent the explosion.
I’ve been watching the market all afternoon today, honestly it’s a bit agonizing—sometimes red, sometimes green, like an ECG. At one point, I was really annoyed, slammed my phone on the table, and went for a walk. When I came back, I realized: this kind of grinding market wears down those without patience. When the triangle converges to the apex, historically nine times out of ten it’s followed by a big move. And now behind Dogecoin stand ETFs, whales, listed companies, and public testnets. You want me to bet it’s going to crash down? I won’t.
The spring has already been compressed to its limit. I’m holding my popcorn, waiting for that moment.
Hold tight, don’t blink when it happens.$SUI 1.18. Where are those people in the group who shouted in September that it could reach five dollars? Step forward.
Scrolling through market software until my hands hurt. Move's two heroes, strong team backgrounds—these reasons were plastered all over the square last year, and when the price halved from the highs, the reasons didn’t change a bit. Look at those old Layer1s from the same period, Solana and APE series, which one isn’t down? Money isn’t flowing into the leading public chains at all now; it’s all rushing into a few meme and AI concepts. Wherever there’s a fresh story, that’s where the money goes. This round of money only recognizes that.
So is SUI fundamentally collapsed or just simply abandoned due to rotation? I can’t figure it out.
The brother who bragged about being fully invested in September hasn’t updated his Moments for almost ten days, and I don’t ask. I’m just holding a moderate position myself; if it breaks 1.2, then we’ll talk. Those eager to jump in, first recall how the "last drop" in previous rounds wiped out the latecomers $SUI Regarding $TAO, I’d rather first ask a somewhat uncomfortable question: Are we currently seeing a trend, or a trend that has already been priced in prematurely?
The current 1-hour volume is only 0.26 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars, with both 1-hour and 4-hour charts showing strength. The direction seems consistent, but participation is low; a breakout without volume support usually requires confirmation from the next candlestick.
The current price is 303.9, about 4.90% above the 1-hour support at 289, and about 2.17% below the resistance at 310.5. The space is not determined by sentiment; ultimately, it depends on which of these two boundaries is effectively broken first.
What’s most concerning about $TAO is not the price rise or fall, but that the price has moved while participation hasn’t kept pace.
For now, my conclusion is only conditional. My observation line is clear: only by reclaiming and holding above 310.5 can the short-term initiative be considered regained; if it falls below 289, attention should shift to the 4-hour support at 282. If pressure continues above, the 4-hour resistance at 316.5 is currently just a distant reference, not a preset target.
I don’t only share when my judgments are correct. How the price chooses between 310.5 and 289 next will be publicly reviewed in the next round.
Is this volume contraction a sign of stable chips, or a lack of market relay?
The market is volatile; the above is only market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is Crypto Bull speaking.Brothers, hold this $SOL position firmly.
Opened at 119.39 expecting it not to break the previous low; the support is very strong. After a wick, it quickly recovered, so I went long with 100x leverage. The logic is simple: if the bears can't push it down, it should rebound.
Currently marked at 121.46, floating profit +173.38%. I'm not hyping it, the plan is simple: take profits in batches between 122 and 123, keep some base position to see if it can push higher.
Those copying the trade, watch your liquidation price closely; don’t just focus on the gains. If you haven't entered, don't chase; wait for a pullback confirmation. $BTC $ETH The banks' narrative has already become less attractive; after the rally involving four major banks at the conference in Seoul ended, the value of $XRP fell below its pre-event level.
Despite the recovery of 6.68 million coins via ETF on Friday and the continued inflow of funds from institutional channels, the coin continues to decline. This indicates that the selling pressure at the 1.55 level was stronger than expected.
The listing of XRPN on Nasdaq next week represents a potential catalyst, and the institutional investor channel is expanding ahead of XRP, but this news has not recently boosted the spot market,20251224btc suddenly spiked from a certain price to 24,111 USD.
Conclusion first: Currently, there is no evidence in public information pointing to "someone deliberately dumping to manipulate the market." The mainstream explanation is "a large market sell order hit an already drained order book," which is a liquidity incident rather than an organized sell operation.
1. The sell orders do exist, but their nature is "passive execution" rather than "active dumping."
From the matching mechanism perspective, the price dropping to 24,111 USD must mean there were real sell orders executed—otherwise, this price wouldn't appear. The key lies in the size of this sell order and the state of the opposing side: The BTC/USD1 trading pair is relatively new, with trading volume far below Binance's main Bitcoin pairs. During the Christmas holiday, market activity declined and some traders exited, causing the order book depth to thin significantly. At this time, a relatively large market sell order could instantly consume all buy orders, forcing the matching system to execute at progressively lower price levels, creating a "waterfall drop." In other words, the sell order itself might not be "huge," but the thin buy side caused it to execute at extremely low prices.
2. Why was the buy side drained first—this is the core cause.
Analyst Shanaka Anslem Perera traced the root cause to a promotion launched 24 hours before: Binance offered a 20% annualized yield for USD1 deposits. This high yield triggered a chain reaction—traders actively converted USDT to USD1 to earn interest, which exhausted the sell-side liquidity of the BTC/USD1 pair; when a large market sell order hit this already empty order book, the price plummeted to the last available bid at 24,111 USD, after which arbitrage bots immediately corrected the price. Other reports indicate some traders used Bitcoin-related collateral to cheaply allocate funds into the USD1 promotion, boosting USD1-related trading activity but also draining BTC/USD1 sell-side liquidity, further weakening the order book.
3. The recovery is automatic, not a manual pullback.
Arbitrage bots bought Bitcoin at the "suppressed" BTC/USD1 price and sold it on other pairs or platforms, quickly narrowing the price gap and restoring the price to a reasonable range consistent with the whole market. The entire self-healing process took only seconds.
4. A noteworthy corroboration.
Perera pointed out that a nearly identical event occurred on December 10, when the same BTC/USD1 pair spiked from 96,000 USD down to 76,000 USD; he warned that new and promotional trading pairs tend to be more like "landmines" than reliable venues. As long as promotional yield activities continue causing liquidity shocks, such "fuses" may ignite again. This "repeatability" actually supports a structural cause rather than a specific instance of manipulation.
5. Doubts that should be retained.
Due to huge price discrepancies between different pairs, the market did speculate about abnormal trading behavior in a short time. But as of now, no public materials have disclosed specific order addresses or order trace evidence, so "manipulation" remains a suspicion rather than a conclusion. To verify, one would need to examine the tick-by-tick trade details and order book snapshots for that period.
If needed, I can help you compile a checklist on "whether a spike is worth being wary of," focusing on three key items: trading volume, multi-platform price differences, and liquidation data. $BTC $BTC $339 million worth of HYPE is about to hit the market next week.
It's not a dump, it's an unlock.
Simply put, a batch of previously locked coins suddenly become sellable.
This time, HYPE unlocks 3.75 million tokens, accounting for 1.69% of the circulating supply.
ENA is even more intense, 1.88%, $41 million.
At times like this, I never ask "Will it drop?"
What I ask is—who is on the other side buying.
They pump before the unlock to make you think it's fine, then slowly sell off.
I've seen this too many times.
I used to think unlocks were positive events, but every time I got burned.
Now when I see an unlock schedule, my first reaction is: stay away this week.
What really matters is not the unlock day itself, but who is buying three days before the unlock.
The more aggressively they buy, the more cautious you should be.
Guess who is making way for whom this time?
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#SEC加密资产托管新规，拟放宽机构自托管限制 #美参议院提出新加密税收法案ADAPT $HYPE $ENA The battle to defend 2700 has begun. 2700 is the dividing line between bulls and bears for Erbing. If it can move back above 2700 and temporarily stop falling at the hourly level, it can continue the rebound and look upward to 2742. If it can't move back above 2700, it will definitely test the support at 2654 again. To continue the rebound, you first need to hold above 2700 and break through the price channel to test the resistance at 2742. If 2700 can't hold and the price channel can't be broken, how do you look at 2742? Look at the two candlesticks circled in the red box—do they look like they're trying to hold above 2700? Two shooting star candlesticks have closed in, indicating resistance has been encountered. Where is the resistance at 2700? Bing 2 cannot break above 2700 and does not break below the price channel. If it can maintain operation within the price channel, that's fine; if it breaks below the channel, it must go and test the support at 2654, as I said. If you want to go long on Bing 2, you can only wait. What are you waiting for? First, wait for Bing 2 to hold above 2700 and chase long; second, wait for Bing 2 to retest 2654 and see a long signal, then proceed. Otherwise, just watch! Don't move. Bing 2 with volume breaking above 2707 to chase long on the right; 2686 with volume breaking below the right side to chase shorts. Pay attention to volume changes and set stop-loss lines. Bing 2 holds above 2707 at the hourly level, look up to 2742-2783. If it breaks below 2686 on the 4-hour chart, look below 2654-2633. The 4-hour level triangle on the second bing has been broken down, and now it is trying to regain its internal run. The 4-hour level can return to the inner circle and run inside the second bing before it stops falling and rebounds. It can still touch the upper part of the triangle$ZEC drew the sword at 1303.35, fifty times long position showing its sharp edge.
Currently observing the mark price at 1330.27, floating profit exceeds one hundred, internal strength surging +103.27%!
The stop loss for this position has been moved to the cost line, protected like a golden bell shield, not losing a penny of principal.
Above 1340 is a dangerous barrier; breaking it will seize the high ground directly, failing to break means sheathing the sword.
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
Trading is like the martial world, walking a tightrope with fifty times leverage, fellow warriors, proceed with caution and cherish your steps. $BTC $ETH Solana’s Alpenglow upgrade remains one of the biggest fundamental stories to watch.
The upgrade has reached devnet, although a mainnet activation date has not yet been confirmed.
SOL fundamentals remain interesting. ⚙️🔥 Data shows that in early October, the validator exit queue once rose to about 850,000 ETH, a significant increase from the beginning of the month, with expected redemption wait close to 15 days, setting a new high for the year. This concentrated exit is mainly related to issues related to MetaMask's staking service. On September 30, MetaMask reported a security incident in its infrastructure and proactively exited a batch of affected validator nodes. Preliminary estimates involve about 17,000 validators and approximately 523,000 ETH. MetaMask stated that no user wallets or assets have been stolen so far. However, it should be noted: staking exits ≠ immediate sales. Ethereum itself has validator exit rate limits; ETH exited and staked must be released in batches through queues and will not enter the market all at once. Meanwhile, new staking queues still hold about 1.51 million ETH, even larger than the current exit queue. The total staking volume across the entire network remains stable around 43.7 million ETH. Therefore, this currently resembles a localized, centralized unstaking rather than a large-scale collapse of the entire Ethereum staking system. Next, focus on monitoring exit queues, entry queues, and actual transaction inflows 👀 #BTC #ETH #SOL #EthereumStakingFor this wave of Bitcoin, what I think is most worth watching is not that it touched 87,000 again.
It's that the money really came back.
In Q3, the net inflow of US spot BTC ETFs was about $6.34 billion, while in Q2 it was still a net outflow of about $5 billion.
One in, one out, a difference of over $10 billion. 😂
What's even more interesting is that BTC itself rose about 43% in Q3.
So for now, I’m not inclined to be bearish easily on this round.
Price increases aren’t scary; what’s really hard to short is when new money keeps flowing in as the price rises.
87,000 is still that barrier now.
If it really holds here, I feel the question won’t be "how far can the rebound go" anymore.
It will be whether the market should start recalculating the bull market again. $BTC$BTC
The price is currently compressing within a symmetrical triangle.
As the range narrows, we should soon see a decisive breakout.
At the moment, I lean towards a downside breakout because yesterday's attempt to push higher failed and instead turned into a liquidity sweep.
Since then, we've seen strong rejection driven by aggressive spot selling, continuing to apply additional pressure on buyers.
If the lower boundary breaks, the expected downside target is around $80.8k.
This would also bring BTC directly into the buy zone for my next long position.
For now, I'm just waiting for price confirmation of a breakout in either direction. Hey, this $BCH finally got some relief! I had a few losing trades in a row before, but today I finally got some blood back.
Actually, there's no magic to it. When it dropped to 311.2, I saw the bears clearly weakening. If it can't push down further, it means a rebound is coming. I thought I'd try bottom fishing, opened a 50x position, but didn't go too big on the size since the market has taught me lessons before.
Now the unrealized profit is +117.28%, with a mark price of 318.5. I'm not greedy with this trade; planning to take profits when it looks good. I'll sell half around 319 to lock in gains and see what to do with the rest. Honestly, making this much already exceeds my expectations, so I'm content.
Whether you make more or less is fate. Remember to set your stop loss and protect your principal—that's the most important. Let's take it slow; don't think about turning it all around in one shot, that's gambler's thinking. $AKE $SAND $PUMP The largest short seller added 5 million in margin
Could it be that he sensed danger?
Yesterday I posted that his liquidation price was 0.008253
Only 35% away from the liquidation price
At 1:16 AM and 3:21 AM today, he deposited 3 million and 2 million USD respectively
At this point, his account's total unrealized loss had reached 17.21 million USD
After adding margin, the liquidation price rose from 0.008253 to 0.009171
The liquidation price is now 45% away from the current price
Of course, this price is still not very safe. Keep in mind the second largest short seller's liquidation price is 0.04876, which requires about a 7.8x increase from the current price
But currently, we don't know how much ammunition this person has left, so we can continue to observeLooking at the 2-hour candlestick chart, you can see that $BTC has been steadily moving upward within a bullish structure these past few days. Is the next wave of the market about to arrive?
Check out this 2-hour candlestick chart: since September 29, 00:00, the price left the lower Bollinger Band and hasn't dropped below it since—it's been nearly 5 days now.
Although the market is quite volatile, it's clear that everything is under the control of the bulls.
The evidence is the consistent W-shaped upward oscillation with the bottom steadily rising. Likewise, each upward breakout creates a new high.
This is a very perfect bullish market that oscillates while trending upward.
After several rounds of oscillation, the trapped positions above have started to loosen, with some cutting losses and exiting, indicating the oscillation has been quite effective.
After this deep washout, the structure remains intact, and the bulls are attempting a new round of upward attack, but resistance has appeared!
This round of upward movement is the earliest resistance we've seen in recent times. Previously, resistance only appeared near the top, but this time, the entire rise has been accompanied by some resistance.
Therefore, after this upward pressure test, it is very likely the final test.
Focus on the area near the previous high.
Based on past momentum, when the market encounters significant resistance, the next round is likely a bull trap—approaching the previous high but failing to break through.
So, in this round, I only see a maximum of 87,000.
Support levels are at 84,300, 83,100, and 82,800.
The above is just my personal opinion for reference only! Sequans sold out all BTC and plans to focus on making chips.
Announcement on September 24th, they didn't keep the last 314 coins. Actually, they had already sold coins in May to repay convertible bonds and said they would continue selling the rest.
They said months ago they were leaving, so who still expects them to stick around through the bull market? I think the idea that "institutions bought" has been used too much as a comfort blanket.
$BTC
Source: Sequans announcements on May 28 and September 24.BTC: Currently around 84,900, 84,433 is an important short-term defensive level for bulls. As long as the price holds above it, bulls still have room to rebound; If the daily chart breaks above 85,513, the head-and-shoulders bottom pattern is further confirmed, and attention can be paid to the upper Bollinger band near 88,000. Conversely, if it falls below 84,433, watch 82,800 below, and look further to 80,811. ETH: Currently around 2,690, 2,680 is the dividing line between bulls and bears. RSI is close to 64, indicating some risk of divergence. Holding 2,680 gives a chance to further test 2,754, and after a breakout, further attention could look toward 2,830; If the daily chart breaks below 2,628, the probability of a pullback to 2,576 increases significantly. SOL: Currently around 120, 116.51 is the last important defensive line for bulls, while 124.47 corresponds to key neckline resistance. MACD bars are gradually returning to near the zero axis, and stochastic indicators are also in a high-level dullening state. If volume rises above 124.47, the next target is 130; if 116.51 is breached, the area below 113.68 is worth watching. Macro: The minutes of the Federal Reserve and ECB meetings are about to be released, and the market is awaiting new policy signals. Liquidity is also diverging: BTC spot ETFs have resumed net inflows, while ETH-related funds continue to flow out. Bullish and bearish sentiment is accumulating, and the market may be preparing the next direction. Trading Approach: The most important thing now is not to guess bulls or falls, but to wait for confirmation. BTC looks at 84433 ET【ETH stuck at 2700, if it can't break through, it just can't】
On October 4th, ETH was at **$2,692**, down 45% year-to-date, with a 52-week range of $1,506–$4,756. It has rebounded 79% from the bottom but is still far from the high.
**Bottom: I think it's out.** $1,500–$1,600, extreme panic zone. When it dropped to 1506 in June, 76% of people bet it would fall further—where more people gather is often the bottom.
**Top: $4,756.** But that's a distant matter. The immediate issue is the **$2,700 hurdle**. The current price is stuck just below it, unable to break through by a step.
- Volume breakout above 2700 → target 3000
- Spike then fall back → retest 2450, then down to 2000
Conclusion: The bottom has most likely formed, 2700 is the decisive point, direction is uncertain.
Don't ask about rise or fall; no one dares to guarantee, so stay away from those who do. The variable for the future market is not the candlestick, but the pace of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts—if it lands, it's a counterattack; if not, it's a panic sell-off.
#Ethereum #ETH #OKX #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 Principal: 40U Target: 15,000U Current profit: 156U Today's crypto market: BTC "revived," ETH barely stabilized, ZEC cooled, SOL continued to play dead 😅 $BTC: Back to life #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 BTC was mostly hovering around $84,800–$85,000 at the weekend, with very limited 24-hour volatility. After the nonfarm payroll data was released, it briefly surged to $87,000, but then US Treasury yields rebounded in a V-shape, pushing the price back down. Looking at ETF fund flows, it's clear that the situation is a "Monday inflow, Tuesday outflow, Wednesday return" cycle: - September 29: Net inflow of $66.2 million - September 30: Net outflow of $149 million - October 1: Net inflow of $103 million again. Funds have not completely left, but their sustainability and stability are indeed not ideal. What truly deserves attention are regulatory changes. On Friday, the SEC approved Volatility Shares' 3x leveraged crypto ETP, covering BTC, ETH, gold, silver, crude oil, and natural gas, providing leveraged exposure through futures contracts. Although this does not mean institutions are directly buying spot assets, it does provide new leveraged trading channels for the market. Meanwhile, on the same day, the SEC also proposed adjustments to rules related to crypto asset custody. So now, the so-called "regulatory clarity" is gradually turning from a slogan into actual actionThis week ended so quickly. BTC and ETH have been oscillating within a range, nothing new.
From now on, every Sunday I will write a summary: about altcoins ZEC, HYPE, NEAR, and WLD. These are the main coins I focus on in OK Planet.
The screenshot shows my capital curve, which basically matches BTC's volatility, with no real profit.
The core problem was the mistake made on WLD. Also, there was a 20U drawdown on AVAX and ENA (the highest amount was 259U, so basically the losses came from these two).
The final profit was still 7U, which did not meet my expectation of achieving 40x returns by the end of this week. Going from 7U to 280U is really tough.
The road is hard, but the goal will be reached no matter how far!!
Keep trading, trade with heart. Serve the fans and brothers of OK Planet well, and also grow better myself!!BTC has tried several times to break through 87,000 but hasn't succeeded, yet strangely, it doesn't want to drop much either. 😂
So now I'm actually less inclined to chase BTC.
The resistance around 86,000–88,000 is still there; I'll wait for a real breakout before acting. Before that, I'd rather wait for it to pull back to 84,000, or even 82,000–83,000 before watching again.
Instead, I'm starting to get interested in some smaller coins that have already taken a hit in advance.
For example, PENGU.
A couple of days ago, it dipped as low as around 0.00864, and now it's climbed back to about 0.0093.
I won't chase to buy this; I'll wait for another pullback.
I'll start watching between 0.0088–0.0090, and if it really drops near 0.0085, I'll be even more interested.
I'm increasingly disliking chasing rallies in this market:
BTC is responsible for stabilizing the table, small coins provide the odds.
If you buy wrong, stop loss; if you buy right, the volatility can be much greater than BTC.
So my approach going forward is simple:
Wait for BTC to break out, wait for small coins to take a hit.Tribute to my three years of being a newbie in crypto trading
Today, on a sudden whim, I want to share the bits and pieces of my trading journey over the past three years.
Let's go back to a friends' gathering three years ago where we were drinking. Before getting involved, I only knew about crypto from online trending topics and news—some good, some bad.
Friends always say one day in crypto is like a year in the real world. The profits are all in USD, and with just a finger movement, funds can easily double. At that time, I had just started working and wasn’t dating anyone. I had some spare money and was full of hopeful fantasies.
I remember the first time I deposited USDT, 100 RMB, and in less than 5 minutes it doubled twice. That night, I couldn’t sleep, just staring at my phone.
Paying close attention to every candlestick. The thrill brought by high leverage is really intense, especially during a one-sided market. The minute chart could rise a few points, and in seconds, returns could reach dozens of percent. Honestly, that feeling is really addictive.
Although the principal was small, the heart raced with the candlestick’s wild swings at midnight—a feeling different from stock trading, and I still feel it now.
But reality is that luck doesn’t last forever. I used to not understand why top traders consider a 10-20% annual return impressive. Now I see that stable growth is truly amazing. Maybe that’s the difference between ordinary people like me and professional traders—others are really trading, while I was just gambling.
I hope this post serves as a warning to fellow traders and encourages us to move forward together. Are you like this too? Take profit after gaining 100 points, hold on stubbornly after losing 500 points, ending up with small gains and big losses. That's how I lost 200,000 U. Later, I learned the 334 partial take-profit method and realized that winning trades should be allowed to run. The specific approach: after opening a position, take profit on 30% of the position at the first target, another 30% at the second target, and use a trailing stop on the remaining 40% to aim for bigger moves. Currently, $BTC is at 85092, resistance at 85394, support at 85000. I opened a long at 85050, stop loss at 84800, first target take profit 30% at 85394, second target take profit 30% at 85600, and the remaining 40% with a trailing stop watching for 86000. Never hold a position without a stop loss; take it slow on the road to recovery. $BTC #$STRK
The new version upgrade of Starknet has just been launched, and STRK surged 25.8 points in 24 hours.
Contract holdings increased by 89% in a single day, with a long-short ratio of 1.31, indicating significant leverage added by large holders.
It has risen 103% cumulatively over 30 days, and the current price is still 98% below the previous high.
Watch for a volume contraction on the 0.048 pullback; if the position is unstable, let it go for now.
$STRK
$STRK BTC has recently tested the 87K area multiple times, but each time it failed to hold firmly above, indicating that selling pressure still exists above. Only when it truly breaks out with volume and holds above 88K can it be considered a confirmed breakout.
Currently, the most important short-term support zone is between 84K and 85K. As long as the price can stay stable above this area, do not easily turn bearish.
⚠️ Also, pay attention tonight: if $BTC breaks below this level, it may test lower again. The area between 82K and 83K remains an important major support zone.
On the macro level, since last Friday's non-farm payrolls release, the situation has been somewhat conflicted. The weaker non-farm data has reduced expectations for further rate hikes in October, which is positive for BTC.
However, the US 10-year Treasury yield remains high around 5.2%, and with the Fed minutes coming next week, the market still worries about inflation and subsequent rate hikes.$BTC spot funds have seen continuous net outflows; don't mistake the rebound for a reversal. Global risk appetite is shrinking, the US stock market is shaky at highs, US Treasury yields are topping again, so where is the independent crypto rally coming from? ETFs are also seeing synchronized outflows, and the heat is visibly cooling down. The market is even clearer: every rally doesn't last long, chasing longs just gets crushed. Low-level chips are being distributed, market confidence is fading, and bulls holding on hard will only give back profits. I'm holding my short positions, not worried about the rebound, instead looking for opportunities to add, waiting for it to open space downward. $ETH #贝森特听证释放多重信号 #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 This is the first time since the $ZEC ETF launched in August that there has been a net weekly outflow of funds; money is pulling out, and this signal says more than any positive news. Once liquidity tightens, the layers of previously built-up gains start to fall one by one. On the technical side, there is news that the network now has two independent full node implementations, Zebra and Zakura, which sounds like real progress—but the question is, does the market recognize this? Currently, volume has shrunk to about 40% of usual, and there’s no momentum either up or down.
My own stance: I won’t act until the sideways movement is complete. I’ll wait for the minutes to be released and for the capital flow to turn before discussing further. Jumping in now is no different than blindly guessing heads or tails. The Fed and ECB meeting minutes are coming out tonight, and during the day some have been watching the 10-year US Treasury yield, complaining it still can’t be pushed down. These are the days I hate most; most who bet on data don’t end up well, and the two candlesticks before the release are pure emotion—those who take it seriously get hit.$BTC BTC 84,900: Closed weakly at 85K on Sunday, the afterglow of the non-farm payrolls hasn't faded, but no one is willing to add positions
24h range only 84,512–85,040, volatility <0.6%, weekend volume shrank to 1/3 of usual, a typical "table without a boss."
What it's doing:
Non-farm payrolls smashed the October rate hike probability from 70% down to 13–14%, BTC touched 87,085 then fell back to 84.8K (4.33 billion leverage liquidated that day). This is not a failed reversal, but a "good news realization + weekend illiquidity" retracement shakeout.
Lifeline:
84,500 = key daily level, if 4H closes below → 83,900
83,800–82,800 = pullback zone, breaking 82.8K will hurt the bulls
85,200 / 86,000 = ETF breakeven walls, don't trust a breakout if it can't hold above
87,100 = non-farm peak, only a high-volume daily close above this is a true short squeeze
Don't mistake spikes on Sunday for a trend.
Not breaking 84.5K = bulls playing dead, not closing above 85.2K = false strength, Monday when ETFs return will reveal the truth.
BTC now: Non-farm cracked the door open, weekend is just breathing in the crack.
(Not investment advice · For reference only) $BTC