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September CPI data is about to be released, with the market's attention highly focused. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack's latest statement is clear: current monetary policy still needs to be tightened further to push inflation back to the 2% target as soon as possible.
She pointed out that inflation has been above the target for several consecutive years, and the biggest risk is that the "inflation mindset" may gradually become entrenched. As business input costs rise, more and more companies are passing prices on to consumers. If demand-side pressures (especially AI-related investments and overall economic resilience) do not cool down, inflation may remain elevated for a longer period. Hammack emphasized a preference for "small, more frequent" rate adjustments rather than waiting for pressures to accumulate before making large corrections, as this is more conducive to businesses and households planning ahead.
She did not lock in a rate hike at the October meeting but clearly stated that rates need to be at a higher level to sufficiently restrict demand. The financial environment is currently still neutral and requires more tightening. The labor market is relatively stable, giving the Fed more room to focus on inflation.
This CPI will be one of the key data points before the October policy meeting. The market has partially priced in a possible rate hike before the end of the year, but core inflation stickiness, energy price volatility, and demand resilience will determine whether the path accelerates. As a voting member this year, Hammack's hawkish signals are worth attention. After the data release, expectations and pricing may be adjusted again, and investors need to closely track core components and service inflation performance. #9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 Bitcoin and Ethereum show strong V-shaped rebound after the second probe
Be patient and hold positions. The base positions entered at 81000 can all be kept without moving. Observe whether the resistance at 84200 can be broken later.
If it can't break through, you can try shorting for a short term.
Overall, still mainly favor low long positions.$BTC is currently hovering around 83450, down 0.35% in 24 hours, with an overall bearish trend. But I've been watching the funding rate for a while, and it's ridiculously low, indicating both bulls and bears are cautious, and no one is willing to pay interest.
This kind of market is the most deceptive. If you short expecting a drop, it can spike up at any moment; if you buy the dip expecting a rise, it slowly grinds down on you. I once lost 200,000 U in this kind of situation—seeing a drop and shorting, only to be taken out by a rebound without even having time to set a stop loss.
Now my strategy is simple: a small 5000 U position, lightly going long near the 83090 support, with a stop loss at 82800, and the first target at 84000. If it breaks below 83000, I switch to shorting immediately, never holding a losing position.
When the funding rate is extremely low, it often signals an upcoming market shift. Don’t bet heavily on direction; try small positions to test the waters, then add more once the trend is clear. Never hold losing positions, always use stop losses—staying alive is more important than anything. $ #9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 Bitcoin has formed a typical deep V-shaped bottoming rebound pattern, with a rapid dip followed by short-term capital replenishment and short covering driving the price back up.
This rebound was anticipated and is a technical correction after overselling during the downtrend, not a bottom reversal. The overall bearish trend rhythm remains unchanged.
The deep V pattern easily creates a market illusion of "the price can't fall further and must reverse," but essentially it cleans out panic selling at low levels and some short-term short positions.
After the rally, heavy resistance still exists above. This rebound only provides an opportunity for a second high-level short. After consolidation, the bearish trend will continue to play out!
Brothers, after covering shorts at 82700, it should be around 83000. Still hold on! Target is a break below 81000!#微软发布新一代AI芯片，股价触及年内高点
Microsoft is truly determined this time, directly unveiling the new generation of its self-developed AI chip Maia 300.
Officially announced on October 12, with plans for large-scale deployment starting in 2027. Microsoft claims that the AI inference efficiency per unit of power is about 40% higher than leading GPU systems, and rack-level throughput can reach up to 7 times that of the previous generation. As soon as the news broke, Microsoft's stock price rose 1.14% that day, closing at $541.15, setting a new historical closing high.
What impact does this have?
First, the landscape of the computing power market is changing. Microsoft's self-developed chip aims primarily to reduce dependence on external GPU suppliers and lower computing costs. Major companies are moving away from Nvidia, which in the long term could diversify computing power supply and make prices more reasonable. But in the short term, since leading players' self-developed chips are not yet widely deployed, external GPU procurement will still be competitive, and hardware costs won't drop immediately.
Second, the AI concept in the crypto space will accelerate its differentiation. Look at giants like Microsoft, investing real money into self-developed chips, steadily moving toward the computing power infrastructure. Those AI concept projects that only write white papers without any products will die off faster. Capital will increasingly concentrate on targets with real computing power and practical applications.
What do you think?
$BTC $ETH Institutions are scooping up, so why is BTC still sluggish? 🤔
Institutions focus on the “future,” while short-term traders watch the “intraday.” Morgan Stanley’s MSBT Bitcoin ETF has already accumulated 10,639 coins, about $880 million — this isn’t surfing, it’s long-term seed planting. 🌱
So why is the price still under pressure? Three cold winds blowing together:
🌍 Unfavorable macro environment: Middle East pushes oil prices up, Brent crude once surged to $102; U.S. Treasury yields skyrocketed, 10-year at 5.36%, 30-year at 5.73%, both hitting 24-year highs, squeezing risk assets hard.
💸 ETF hemorrhaging: On October 7, Bitcoin ETFs saw a single-day net outflow of $485 million, the largest since June 25; from October to now, BTC and ETH ETFs combined outflows near $1 billion, funds are clearly withdrawing.
🦅 Fed hawkish bias: September minutes show most officials think another rate hike may be needed before year-end, with AI investments and energy prices fueling inflation.
To translate: institutions are betting on fiat depreciation in three to five years, hedge funds are profiting from this month’s price spreads. Some watch fiscal deficits and sovereign credit, others watch U.S. Treasury yields and rate hike paths. BTC is caught in the middle: short-term drained by macro factors, long-term supported by institutions. 📉➡️📈ETH bounced back from 2407 to 2512, but the ETF has been selling for ten consecutive days
Earlier it was still at 2407, and in the blink of an eye, it returned near 2512. ETH made quite a strong rebound. However, looking at the 24-hour period, it is still down overall; a rebound that pulls people out of the water doesn’t mean they’ve reached shore yet.
More strikingly, yesterday the Ethereum spot ETF saw a net outflow of about $85.4 million, marking the tenth consecutive day of outflows. Contract fees are almost zero, and open interest dropped by about 1.4% in one day. It doesn’t look like bulls are crowding in; it seems more like selling pressure has temporarily eased.
This Thursday, developers will discuss the upgrade directions for Glamsterdam and Hegotá. It’s a discussion about the roadmap, not an immediate upgrade rollout. There is hope in the news, but the funds haven’t yet cast their real votes with actual money.
Whether the 2500 level can hold and whether ETF outflows will stop are more worth watching than a sudden sharp rebound. For those trading contracts, do you dare to treat 2500 as an observation point now, or will you wait for the capital flow to turn first? $ETH The big coin keeps going back and forth, what is it trying to do? It looks easy to trade, but once you trade it, it fails, right?
The big coin retraced all the way down to 80985, then recovered above the 81270 support level, and immediately started a rapid rebound. Doesn't this scene and feeling seem very familiar?
The last round was exactly like this! It also recovered like this! What we need to do is find relative patterns! Last round, I bought more around 82000–82500, and this round too. Damn, I held through the recovery... floating assets, but luckily this time it came back quickly with no losses!
So for today's intraday trend, here’s how we see it:
Key levels: 83132–82180, just use these as a reference!
Trading advice:
Go long near 82000–82500,
Targets: 83766–84583
If no opportunity is given, then we take a retracement. Remember, it must be a retracement, don’t be greedy! The range is 84300–85000, place a short order! After finishing, run away quickly! Don’t hesitate, if you get caught, it will be very painful! $BTC "Three Candlesticks, One Slap"
At midnight, $BTC was still at 84,200. I thought waiting a few more seconds would earn me a bit more. But then a big bearish candle slammed 82,480 onto the screen, dropping 1.4%. The unrealized profit just now was like a cooked duck, flapping away, even snatching some of my rice along. The profit and loss line rose from my feet to my head; I stared at it like staring at my own greed.
$SOL was even more straightforward. Sliding down from 116, I thought it was a step, reached out to catch it, placed a limit order at 112.5, current price 110.8, down 2.3%. Missed the cheap catch, ended up with a handful of flying knives. The market makers may not know me, but the candlesticks seem to.
$ETH remains the same, 2,515, down 0.5%. It touched 2,560 then softened back, so I added a couple of hands, just following the market's breath. It doesn't kill me, just grinds me down.
In the end, the market punishes greed and slowness. Next time with unrealized profits, I’ll pocket half first, then push the rest to breakeven. Meat in the mouth can’t be let fly again.
For personal review only, not investment advice.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 BTC fell below 81,000 then pulled back to 83,000, ETF is still withdrawing
The scariest moment in the Asian session: BTC once dropped below 81,000, then quickly pulled back above 83,000. The Korean stock market fell over 6%, chip stocks were all green, Nasdaq futures were weak, but the crypto market didn’t seem to dive along this time.
But don’t rush to call a reversal. Yesterday, the US spot BTC ETF still had a net outflow of $65.4 million. The price bounced from the low point, but institutional funds didn’t turn positive simultaneously. The contract fee rate was slightly positive, and open interest decreased by about 1% compared to yesterday, more like leverage was pulling back a bit first.
Tomorrow the US CPI will be released, and oil prices and inflation expectations are still causing disruption. 81,000 was the recent low, and there is resistance above 84,000. Let’s first see if it can hold, no rush to conclude a rebound.
If you hold contracts, will you keep positions before CPI or reduce leverage first? $BTC Having lunch at noon, a group friend suddenly threw a question: Can I get on board with RSR?
I was stunned for a moment. This coin just appeared on the hot list, up 25% in 24 hours, with trading volume 27.8 times the usual, current price 0.00207. But when you ask what it actually does, none of the usual daily tipsters in the group can give a proper story. No narrative, no new features, purely a fund gamble inside, whoever is slower to take it gets hit.
I replied: first tell me why you want to buy it. He said because it went up. Okay, I know that reason well; I thought the same three years ago and then paid the tuition fee.
This coin’s 24-hour increase on the hot list is really good, and it’s also up 20.9% over 7 days with obvious volume increase. But remember how those speculative coins trapped you last year—a surge with volume, then a half-year slow decline without even a rebound. If you want to play, use money for a meal, treat it like buying a lottery ticket, don’t bet heavily. I won’t move, saving my bullets for when there’s a real story. $RSR Bitcoin and Ethereum may still face at least one more weekly-level correction? Bottom-fishing now is really too early!
Inflation data hasn't been released yet, but the market has already taken a hit in advance. BTC has yet to reclaim 85,000, ETH is under pressure simultaneously, and the rebound is weak. The biggest risk now is not missing out, but blindly bottom-fishing.
Three signals to watch out for:
Macro pressure: Middle East tensions are escalating, oil prices and inflation risks are intensifying, U.S. Treasury yields remain high, combined with hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve, risk assets continue to be under pressure. CPI and PPI have not been published yet, so uncertainty remains in the market.
ETF continuous outflows: From October 1 to 9, BTC spot ETFs saw a cumulative net outflow of about $386 million; ETH spot ETFs had a cumulative net outflow of about $645 million as of October 12, indicating weak spot buying support.
Concentrated long liquidations: Approximately $785 million liquidated across the network in 24 hours, with 172,662 forced liquidations; longs account for about 88%, and the long-to-short liquidation amount ratio is close to 9:1. Concentrated leverage clearing may further amplify the downtrend.
With the triple pressure of macro, capital, and liquidations overlapping, whether the weekly-level correction has ended still needs confirmation.
Better to miss a rebound than to rush to catch a falling knife. Wait for price stabilization, improved trading volume, and spot buying to return before considering the next move. $BTC $ETH $SOL
#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 #台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓 #BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？ When blood pressure drops to 2.19, family members often still ask, "Is it a cold?" It's not a cold. It's cardiac output failure, and what I see is a 95% torn valve at the Bollinger Band position—this is the most dangerous image that intraoperative ultrasound can capture: the price is stuck at the upper band, with only 0.4% margin above, while the mid-cycle Bollinger Band reading of 116% means the vessel wall has been stretched beyond anatomical limits, and the -1.1% clamp position is right overhead.
A 24-hour fluctuation of 5.09% is not ordinary arrhythmia. This is a precursor to ventricular fibrillation. The 1-hour RSI has surged to 68.1, the long cycle to 61.8, both channels entering the sympathetic storm zone simultaneously, and the trading signal clearly states SELL—when myocardial oxygen consumption and perfusion pressure begin to diverge, only amateurs continue to administer inotropes. A short-cycle RSI over 64 indicates insufficient anesthesia depth, and a long-cycle approaching 62 means extracorporeal circulation cooling is too slow; combined, these two indicators mean what we call "looks okay but is actually sliding irreversibly on the table."
Diagnosis: This is acute right heart overload failure, not ischemia. Short selling is the only surgical approach.
📉 Short:
Entry: 2.26 (current price +3.4%, wait for pullback to confirm valve insufficiency)
Take Profit 1: 1.98 (-9.5%, first assistant sends pathology)
Take Profit 2: 2.00 (-9.5%, simultaneous ventricular closure)
Stop Loss: 2.51 (+14.6%, immediate intervention upon major bleeding)
Why place the stop loss so far at 14.6%? Because in cardiac surgery, the greatest taboo is premature hemostatic clamping, which turns a repairable tear into an un-sutureable necrosis. 2.51 is the safety boundary for aortic occlusion; breaking it floods the entire surgical field. The target range of 9.5% space precisely matches the complete perfusion drop from the current price to the lower Bollinger Band—this is not speculation but an anatomical path mapped out by preoperative CT.
Don't perform extracorporeal circulation based on emotions. Price decline is just a line on the ECG; the real lesion is the short-term compensatory failure of systolic blood flow. Those who hesitate when hemodynamics are still relatively stable will have no second chance once cardiac tamponade occurs on the table.
Suture completed, close the chest. $ZEC SPIKED TO 1,349.09, DUMPED TO 1,123.33, THEN BOUNCED TO 1,217.20 ON THE 1H CHART. Today shows +4.29%, yet 7D still reads -10.97%.
I won't let one green day erase a red week. Can the 1,123.33 wick hold as a floor, or was it just a flush?Today is the last trading day for Bitwise's Dogecoin ETF; liquidation starts tomorrow, and on the 22nd, the remaining money will be returned to the holders. The assets have dropped from 2.5 million seed funds to only 725,000.
When I saw this news, my first reaction was that it was over, maybe a crash was coming.
But after looking again, I found something interesting. There are still other Dogecoin ETFs running in the US market, like Grayscale's GDOG and 21Shares' TDOG, which haven't closed. Moreover, the entire Dogecoin ETF saw a net inflow of $327,000 last week, marking the third consecutive week of money flowing in.
One closes, others remain open.
What really stunned me was another piece of data. Dogecoin spot flows flipped from net inflow to net outflow in the past week, with a week-on-week change of 599%, about $57 million withdrawn from exchanges. Many people see this number and panic sell, but think about it: if $57 million worth of DOGE was dumped on the market, the price would have crashed already. It hasn't. The money most likely moved from exchanges to cold wallets, just staying in a different place.
$DOGE I'm watching this signal closely.Short position earned 928%, not because the direction was right
Held the $SNDK short position for a long time this round.
Several times almost closed it at 1600.
What does this number mean:
928% is the leveraged return, not that the coin price dropped 928%.
With several times leverage, this percentage is amplified by the same factor.
How is this number calculated:
Shorted from 1769 to 1547, the price dropped just over 12%.
Multiply by leverage, it becomes 928%.
The direction was right, but leverage is the amplifier.
The reason for the drop is not complicated.
Next quarter's performance missed expectations, and the flash memory price surge hype basically ended.
Once the news came out, the storage sector dropped together.
Now the news has been digested, and funds have returned.
1547 is the key support for this round.
The hourly chart shows signs of stabilization.
If it breaks below, the downtrend will truly continue.
#闪迪美光下跌，长鑫技术进展受关注 $SNDK Core drivers of the decline: concentrated release of geopolitical risks
① Ukraine energy ceasefire “verbal agreement” falls through
Trump previously announced a suspension of attacks on Russian energy infrastructure, but Zelensky later clearly stated he was unaware of any ceasefire news. The market has serious doubts about the actual implementation of Trump’s statement, and geopolitical risk premiums have been re-priced into oil prices.
② Oil tanker attacked in the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surge
Iran reported that an oil tanker was attacked and caught fire in the Strait of Hormuz. WTI crude oil broke above 107.25, reaching a new high since September 16. The surge in oil prices directly pushed up inflation expectations, strengthening market concerns about the Fed continuing to tighten policy. Former Goldman Sachs chief FX strategist Robin Brooks pointed out that current oil prices have priced in too many geopolitical risk factors; although the volume of crude transported through the Persian Gulf has declined somewhat, it is still better than the most tense period in March-April.
③ US-Iran tensions escalate, suppressing risk appetite
The escalation of US-Iran tensions combined with the crude oil rebound directly lowered risk appetite, with BTC quickly pulling back 0.34% within 15 minutes. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #微软发布新一代AI芯片，股价触及年内高点 $BCH TAGGED 257.5 AND SNAPPED BACK TO 272.2. The 4h shows a long lower wick after a steep slide. Today is +2.52%, yet 7D still reads -12.72%. One green candle isn't a trend;
I need follow-through. Can BCH reclaim 288.8, the 24h high?📊 加密市场情报 · 2026-10-13 📉 当日整体情绪：看跌 中东地缘风险急升推高油价，半导体/存储板块回调，加密市场ETH多单遭清算，整体偏防御 💬 微信群聊总结：看跌 窗口内行情先热后崩：12日下午 Upbit 连上 RSR、GTC 等老币带来枯坐打新机会，W、STRK 等老登币集体异动；晚间 CZ/何一与徐明星隔空开撕，大盘走弱，13日早间韩股与美股半导体（海力士）暴跌带崩币圈，BTC 跌到 8.1w，PONS 持续新低，RH 链生态几近熄火。Papertrade(PAPER) 挖矿分红是少数赚钱的事。 • Upbit 密集上小市值老币（RSR/GTC），机器人秒拉，枯坐仍有肉 • PONS 持续新低到 0.2x，RH 链不上自家现货，群内普遍套牢 • 10-13 早盘全线暴跌，韩股熔断+海力士/存储崩，BTC 8.1w • 何一 vs 徐明星再度开撕，群内共识：一吵架就跌，做空胜率高 • PAPER 刷量挖矿成本已降至 0.004-0.006，头矿者靠分红回本 • BSC/SOL meme 流动性枯竭，上 Alpha 门槛降至约 10-15M 🎯 叙事 / 主题聚$BTC
The 30-year US Treasury yield has already broken 5.6%. Although the Treasury's two rounds of long-term bond auctions barely held, that was achieved by "attracting buyers with high yields." If the upcoming CPI data isn't too bad, or if Wash's speech on Friday is milder than expected, risk assets might collectively catch a breather, and BTC could very well rebound. I don't want to short near 83,000; I'd rather wait for a rebound to the 84,500-85,000 range before considering adding positions.
My trading approach (personal opinion only):
82,500 is the bottom line, not the target. If the weekly close confirms a break below this level, I will hold shorts without hesitation aiming for 77,000, which is the cost zone with the densest positions according to on-chain data. But if the price stabilizes above 83,500 again and holds for several hours, I will reduce my position and observe, not stubbornly fight the market. The CPI on October 14 is the biggest risk this week; I won't heavily bet on direction before the data is out.$BTC
Frankly, shorting BTC this week is not about any fundamental problem with Bitcoin itself, but about betting that macro sentiment will grind risk assets down. I have only one feeling: the old monster called inflation has not been killed.#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 #BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？ #代币化资产加速扩张，规模化落地还有多远？ Hello brothers and sisters, I am Coin Brother!
Damn! What kind of market is this! BTC jumped straight from 80961 to 83330 in a V-shape, gaining over 2300 points!
Just now around 81000, I saw a bunch of people shouting that if it breaks below 80,000, it would go to 78,000, but then a big bullish candle completely buried the shorts. The manipulative whales are really tricky, first smashing down to clear the longs, then pulling up to blow up the shorts, harvesting back and forth.
Now the 30-minute MACD red bars have surged, indicating a strong short-term rebound. But with CPI coming tomorrow night, whether this V-shape reversal is a real turnaround or a bull trap, no one can say for sure.
Brothers chasing longs, be careful, there is often a second pullback after a V reversal. Don't get carried away, control your position size well.
#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 #台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓 #BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？ $BTC $ETH $ZEC #TSMC Q3 Revenue Hits Record High, Profit Performance Yet to Be Revealed
The leader has something to say
TSMC's Q3 revenue reached 1.49 trillion New Taiwan Dollars, a 50% year-over-year increase, setting a new historical high. But with the revenue record already disclosed, the real focus now is whether profits can grow in tandem.
The market is watching the full financial report on October 15. The key point is not revenue, but gross margin. The company itself expects 65% to 67%, lower than Q2's 67.7%. AI chip demand is strong, and advanced process capacity utilization is high, but depreciation and cost pressures from capacity expansion are also rising. Inventory is also critical; if inventory turnover days lengthen, it indicates demand might not be as tight. Some comments suggest first flipping the inventory page, which is the right approach.
The impact on crypto is indirect. If TSMC's profits exceed expectations and AI hardware remains strong, funds will continue to stay in chips and cloud infrastructure, drawing liquidity away from Bitcoin. If gross margin falls short of expectations, the semiconductor sector will pull back, risk appetite will shrink, and Bitcoin will come under pressure. Both scenarios lean bearish.
I hold long Bitcoin positions at 83000 and short positions at 86500, hedging both sides with a light position. No one-sided bets before CPI data. Long stop loss at 81500, target 86000. Short stop loss at 87500, target 84500 to 85000. Whichever target is reached first, reduce that side first.
TSMC's financial report is an industry validation, not a directional switch. Don't chase highs or sell lows; set stop losses properly. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
The above analysis is time-sensitive; positions must have stop losses set. Good luck.SOL is trading near $109.6, down around 3.1%. After retreating from $115, I expected buyers to step in and deliver a decent bounce. Instead, the recovery stalled, and selling pressure returned. What looked like a discount turned into another uncomfortable position. I'll be watching the $108–$110 zone closely; losing it could invite further weakness, while a sustained move back above $112 would offer some relief.⚠️ $SNDK SanDisk: How far can the rebound go? $1504 is the key!
Although SanDisk is more resistant to decline than Hynix, after hitting the lower edge of the $1860–$2350 resistance zone, it still experienced a pullback. Meanwhile, OpenAI's revenue fell short of expectations, once again sparking market concerns about AI investment returns, and the storage hardware sector has started to come under pressure. Warning signs have already appeared.
Next, don't get swayed by short-term fluctuations; focus on $1504.
If this level is broken down with high volume and the price fails to recover promptly, this rebound may be coming to an end. Conversely, if the support holds, with volume shrinking on the pullback and expanding on the rebound, there is still a chance to challenge the upper resistance zone again.
Ultimately, investing is not about chasing explosive gains every day. Many people always think about how to grow their money quickly but overlook one truth: it's very difficult to consistently earn beyond your understanding. Even if you occasionally make a lucky profit, without judgment and risk awareness, you may end up giving the profits back to the market.
Market ups and downs are normal. Instead of frequently chasing hot trends, it's better to cultivate your financial mindset, understand why you buy, where the risks lie, and under what circumstances you should exit.
Whether SanDisk continues to rebound or weakens depends on whether $1504 can hold. If the support is effective, keep watching for upward opportunities; once a break is confirmed, adjust your expectations promptly. Investing is not about short-term luck but about cognition, patience, and risk management.
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Heavy positions in US stocks have been hammered, can the Wall Street big shots pull the market up? Can't hold on much longer!!!
SNDK current price 1442, 15-minute timeframe still below all EMA lines, indicating a weak recovery after a big drop, RSI6=50, no clear bullish reversal signal. Resistance above at 1471 (EMA55), short-term support at 1427, currently just a slight rebound after overselling, rebound priority is to test resistance levels, not suitable for chasing longs directly.
SK Hynix current price 1083, down 6.21%, bears are stronger, price far from short-term moving averages, RSI6=25.3 entering oversold zone, DIFF remains below DEA, downward momentum has not fully exhausted. First resistance above at 1139 (EMA55), support below at 1080, oversold does not directly mean bottom, risk/reward ratio for bottom fishing is low.
Looking at BTC linkage, BTC has rebounded quickly in the short term, RSI is close to overbought, there is a risk of pullback later, storage assets themselves are highly elastic, the market will face pressure again once it falls.
Overall strategy: heavy direct long positions are not recommended; if you want to play short-term longs, wait for a stable hold above moving averages with volume confirmation before trying small positions, strictly use stop loss. $BTC $SNDK $SKHYNIX
The above is only a market review and does not constitute any trading advice #9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 #台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓 #BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？ Although I posted this morning for everyone to buy ETH at 2450 and hold for 40 points, the rebound has now gained more than 60 points, so it's quite satisfying 🤑$ETH The testnet is going offline, it's not an exit scam, it's a map change.
Neura has shut down the v1 testnet and Neuraverse together, moving on to the next phase.
Many people's first reaction is "the project is dead."
I think we shouldn't rush to conclusions.
The key is the snapshot.
Points, leaderboards, tasks, event history—all have been saved.
What does this mean?
It means the previous gameplay is ending, but your records haven't been erased.
Simply put, the old map won't be released anymore, and the new map hasn't been announced yet.
What we should focus on now is not what has been shut down, but what will be brought out in the next phase.
If the new content connects well, this downtime is an upgrade.
If not, the snapshot is just a commemorative photo.
As an old holder, I have a conditioned reflex when I see the word "snapshot."
First, take screenshots to save it, then talk about faith.
#代币化资产加速扩张，规模化落地还有多远？ $ETH 📊BTC stuck at 83,400, don't rush to act on the eve of CPI!
Current price 83,407, up 0.83% in 24 hours, but the 4-hour chart is still in a downtrend channel, with 84,000-85,000 as a dense resistance zone. Market sentiment has clearly cooled down—the Fear and Greed Index has fallen from 67 to 56, returning to a neutral range. The capital flow is also retreating: BTC spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $65.4 million yesterday, with BlackRock's IBIT leading.
On-chain signals are worth watching: a certain whale has cumulatively sold 837.8 BTC, reallocating to buy 27,500 ETH, valued at about $69.68 million. Another ancient whale, silent for years, transferred out all 4,582 BTC, worth $377 million.
Key levels: 82,500 below is an important support this week, 83,400 above is short-term resistance. The October 14 CPI expectation is 3.7% year-over-year, followed closely by the October 15 PPI data, which will be the real watershed for direction.
Stay light and wait for the data, don't bet on direction. Do you think the CPI is hot or cold? Chat in the comments👇#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 $BTC W has fallen from a high of 0.02971 to 0.01936, with consecutive bearish candles on the hourly chart, moving averages turning downward, MACD green bars still expanding, and RSI entering oversold territory but without a rebound signal. The order book shows a large accumulation of long liquidations below 0.01936; if the price breaks through 0.01890, it is likely to trigger a chain of forced liquidations, so do not go long at this level.
Just climbed six floors carrying a lunch box, the voice-controlled light didn’t turn on, and my phone vibrating in my pocket made my leg numb.
For short-term trades, waiting for a rebound to short is safer. Enter the market if the rebound stalls between 0.02040 and 0.02090, with a stop loss at 0.02220, first take profit at 0.01760, and second take profit at 0.01580. If it directly breaks down below 0.01890 with volume, do not bottom-fish; short again on a rebound to 0.01930, stop loss at 0.02030, target 0.01600.
$W
#PIMCO警告10年期美债收益率或达6%
@OKX星球 A while ago, a colleague pulled me into a group chat
Every day someone was showing off their orders
After watching for a while, I got itchy hands
Threw in a few hundred bucks to try
The first buy was $BTC
Right after buying, it started to dip slowly
It dipped so much I even started picking cheaper takeout
Later, I tried $ETH
There’s a lot on-chain stuff
But the fees are brutal
One operation wastes half a day
Then I heard $SOL is fast
Transferred a little money to try
Fast is really fast
But the traps are real too
Some projects just disappear without a trace
Lost a few times before I learned my lesson
Don’t chase hot topics
Don’t follow tips blindly
Don’t touch what you don’t understand
Write down your private keys yourself
Don’t give them to anyone who asks
Don’t click on strange links
No matter how tempting airdrops are, don’t connect your wallet recklessly
Now I only hold money I won’t mind losing
Just let it be
Don’t get cocky when it rises
Don’t panic when it falls
There are many opportunities in this field
But even more traps
Living long is more important than making a quick profit
Don’t borrow money
Don’t get carried away
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits
Leave the rest to time#台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
#微软发布新一代AI芯片，股价触及年内高点 #aavev4 deposits on Arc surpass $300 million
[Old Leek Observation] $AAVE V4 deposits have surged past $300 million, the money is coming in, and the real test is yet to come
Aave V4's deposit scale on Arc once exceeded $300 million, which is a development worth noting. But I think more important than the deposit number is: what will be done with this money after it comes in?
In DeFi, a large deposit scale does not necessarily mean the protocol is profitable. Funds coming in only indicate that users are willing to put assets into this market; if borrowing demand does not keep up, and capital utilization remains low, no matter how much is deposited, it may not bring corresponding protocol revenue.
Conversely, if deposits grow while borrowing scale, capital utilization, and active users also continuously increase, that indicates the market is not just attracting funds but truly forming borrowing demand.
So this time I won't rush to call it a positive for AAVE. Getting a wave of capital attention after the new network launch is the first step; whether this batch of funds can be retained and both deposits and borrowings grow together is what needs to be verified next.
For Aave V4, $300 million is a good starting point but not the final answer.
When you look at DeFi protocols, do you pay more attention to TVL (Total Value Locked), or borrowing scale and actual revenue? Tom Lee Warns: South Korean Stock Market Crash May Trigger Chain Reaction in Crypto Market, Short-Term Pain Inevitable
On October 13, Fundstrat co-founder and BitMine chairman Tom Lee issued a warning, pointing out that the sharp decline in the South Korean stock market is becoming a new risk factor for the crypto market.
Tom Lee believes that South Korean investors, as a significant group holding cryptocurrencies, could transmit the severe volatility in their domestic securities market to the crypto space through capital flows.
Lee analyzed that the stock market drop in South Korea may trigger margin calls at brokerage firms. Some investors, to cover losses in their stock accounts and meet margin requirements, will be forced to sell crypto assets, thereby exerting selling pressure on coin prices.
He even bluntly stated that this cross-market liquidity shock could cause the crypto market to endure "pain" in the short term. Although his words were restrained, the implication was clear:
That is, the deleveraging effect in the South Korean stock market will not only impact stocks. Once margin call pressure spreads to crypto assets heavily held by South Korean retail investors, selling pressure will cross markets, making it difficult for the crypto market to remain unaffected in the short term.
This warning originated from a Bull Theory post stating that due to a 5% intraday plunge in the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI), the Korea Exchange urgently suspended program trading for 5 minutes.
Notably, this is the first time in nearly two months that the South Korean stock market has triggered such a circuit breaker mechanism, indicating that panic is rapidly spreading in the capital markets.
#SouthKoreanStockMarketCrash #9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息
US Stock Market Analysis: On the eve of earnings season, energy and shipping lead, chip stocks take a hit
On Monday, the US stock market played the "index battle" again, with the Dow up 0.38%, the Nasdaq down 0.44%, and the S&P basically flat. The most striking was the trading volume, only 12.6 billion shares, the lowest non-holiday level since 2003, as everyone awaits the bank earnings kickoff.
A macro black swan emerged: Changxin Memory announced a breakthrough in next-generation DRAM architecture, directly targeting high-margin AI server memory. Micron responded by falling below $1000, while SanDisk, SK Hynix, and Intel all declined, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropping 2.7%, hitting a three-week low.
Another focus is the Middle East. The Houthi forces attacked a Saudi airport over the weekend, and oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz were repeatedly attacked, pushing oil prices up over 2%. Funds immediately flowed into energy and shipping, with the XLE Energy ETF and BOAT Global Shipping ETF both hitting record highs. Gold and Bitcoin were pressured by a stronger dollar, with gold down 0.6% and Bitcoin retreating to around 83,000.
In summary: In the calm before earnings season, capital has already chosen sides. Chips are pressured by Chinese competition and technological iteration, while energy and shipping are pushed by geopolitical factors, making the divergence increasingly clear. Once earnings are released and volatility increases, the direction will become even clearer.Good afternoon, brothers
Starting with 500U compounded daily, now on day 48, total assets around 2800U, peaked at 3100U.
About this ETH trade, I opened long and short positions the day before yesterday, took profit on the long position yesterday afternoon, and then added a 3x short following the trend.
As soon as I added to the position, the market surged sharply upwards, hitting 2576 directly. My stop loss was set at 2580, just a little away from being triggered, which really scared me at the time.
Fortunately, it dropped afterward, and this trade recovered more than half of the losses.
I was cautious during the decline, took profit early on most positions, now only one-seventh of the position remains, break-even stop loss is set, so there’s not much pressure.
Recently learned a new strategy from an expert, will study and slowly recover from here.
Brothers, remember, slow is fast.
Try to avoid high-risk trades like this as much as possible; they really test your mindset.
⚠️Personal live trading sharing, not investment advice, contract risks
#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 Ethereum spot ETF has seen net outflows for 10 consecutive trading days, totaling about $780 million 📉
Yesterday (Oct 12, Eastern US time) saw another $85.4 million outflow.
Some numbers👇
🔹 Since Sept 29 in this round, the first 9 days saw about $697 million outflow, plus about $783 million including yesterday
🔹 Yesterday, BlackRock's ETHA outflow was $75.07 million, accounting for about 88% of the day's outflow; another product outflowed $10.33 million, the rest were zero
🔹 Total ETF net asset value is $15.86 billion, about 5.15% of Ethereum's total market cap
🔹 Historical cumulative net inflow still stands at $13.17 billion
My take:
1️⃣ $780 million is about 6% of the $13.17 billion cumulative net inflow. Ten consecutive days sounds scary, but the bulk of existing funds remain.
2️⃣ Outflows are concentrated in one product; focusing only on "consecutive days" may overestimate panic, looking at amount and concentration is more accurate.
3️⃣ ETH is currently around $2,500, similar to last Saturday. Fund flows and price don't necessarily move in sync, so don't just watch the ETF indicator alone.
How many days do you think this round of outflows will last?
The above is my personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Crypto asset prices are highly volatile; please be cautious.
$ETH
#Ethereum #ETF #FundFlowsAfter yesterday's post was sent out, it directly crashed to 2409 in the early morning, just 3 points away from the previous low of 2406.
Those who said I was stubborn in the comments should be quiet now.
But the story isn't over yet.
$ETH plunged at dawn, then was pulled back to 2512. This is not a reversal; it's the main force testing the depth of the buy orders below.
If it detects someone catching it, it will bounce accordingly.
If it finds no one catching, it will continue to crash down.
The volume on the 4-hour chart already tells the story: volume shrinks on the rebound and expands on the decline. This is not a sign of a rise; it's searching for the next position to offload.
The fundamentals haven't changed.
BitMine has stopped increasing holdings, validators are still queued to exit, interest rate hike expectations hang overhead, and liquidity will only tighten further.
None of these logics have changed because of the early morning rebound.
I’m still holding my short at 2671, with an unrealized profit of 597%.
If it dares to charge 2550 again, I will add to my position.
The support at 2406 is the previous low; if broken, it will go to 2300.
Don’t ask if you can short; ask yourself if you dare to pull the trigger when others hesitate.
$BTC
$ZEC
#September CPI announcement imminent, Hamaak says further rate hikes are still needed
#TSMC Q3 revenue hits record high, profit performance to be revealed The most fragile link in the account has never been getting the direction wrong, but rather the itch to trade after making money with a small position. Have you ever had this moment: clearly holding the right position, but because you bought too little, you want to gamble bigger? I was losing for several days and felt a bit down. These past two days, ETH almost doubled, but I only put in a small position purely as stress relief. The money came back, but so did the regret—if I had gone heavier at the start, would things be different now? But honestly, if the position was really big, I might not have held on and could have been shaken out midway. This kind of dilemma is more tormenting than losses. Looking at the market now, the rally is indeed a bit breathless. ETH’s slope this time is too steep, short-term sentiment is very stretched, and BTC and ZEC are also getting restless. CPI and PPI are about to be released, and interest rate hike expectations need to be repriced; this is the most direct variable right now. On the other hand, rumors of a Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire are still floating, TSMC’s Q3 revenue hit a new high, and the October 15 earnings report is also noteworthy. These cross-market signals together actually tell the same story: risk appetite is being driven by macro data, and the crypto market is not an isolated trend. Data snapshot: - ETH’s short-term gains are close to doubling, sentiment is overheated - BTC follows but hasn’t simultaneously made a stronger high - ZEC’s movement indicates funds are looking for catch-up gains and privacy narratives - CPI and PPI releases are imminent, interest rate path awaits adjustment - Energy ceasefire rumors and TSMC earnings affect cross-asset risk appetite Momentum signals: ETH leads, altcoins follow, market willing to pay narrative premium. Risk signals: gainsETH 从2738美元一路回落至2406美元，累计下跌约332点。经过一天半的反弹，价格才收复100多点，整体修复力度依然有限。 为什么2550美元是关键位置？ 2550不仅是一个重要的整数关口，也是空头第二次进场时的关键区域。此前下跌超过330点，如今反弹幅度却不到一半，说明买盘暂时还没有展现出足够的持续性。 接下来重点关注这些价位： 📉 上方压力： - 2550美元：短线关键阻力位。 - 2557—2565美元：近期主要压力区间。 - 2580美元：7日均线所在位置，可能进一步压制反弹。 📈 下方支撑： - 2500美元：第一道重要支撑。 - 2484美元：若2500失守，需关注这里的承接情况。 - 2406美元：前期低点，一旦再次下破，市场可能面临进一步下行压力。 核心判断：反弹不等于反转。 这轮反弹相较此前的跌幅仍然偏弱，买方暂时没有证明自己能够持续接管市场。如果ETH迟迟无法有效突破2557—2565美元的压力区，下跌趋势就不能轻易判定已经扭转。 在2550美元附近布局空单，本质上是在押注反弹遇阻，但能否兑现，还需要观察价格实际表现，不能只凭一个价位做决定。 交易不猜底，🔥 In the past 24 hours, leveraged funds in the crypto market have been continuously adjusting, and the liquidation concentration zones for BTC, ETH, SOL, and ZEC have gradually emerged. Next, which side is more likely to be harvested by the market? 📊 BTC: Long-short game, choose direction cautiously Current price is about $83,889. Around $84,705 above, there is approximately $29.23 million in short liquidation volume; around $82,188 below, there is about $40.31 million in long liquidation pressure. From the data, the long liquidation scale below is larger, meaning longs face relatively higher potential risk. But the short liquidation zone is also close at hand, so short-term bidirectional sweeps still need to be guarded against. 📊 ETH: Close liquidation zones above and below, volatility may intensify ETH is currently trading near $2,544. Around $2,568 above and $2,509 below correspond to liquidation volumes of about $22.79 million respectively. The liquidation volumes on both long and short sides are basically balanced and close to the current price. Once the price breaks out in either direction, it may trigger a chain liquidation of leveraged positions, so short-term volatility deserves close attention. 📊 SOL: More obvious short liquidation pressure above SOL is currently about $111.54. Around $113.37 above, short liquidation volume is about $5.22 million; around $108.39 below, long liquidation volume is about $3.26 million. Currently, the potential liquidation volume above is larger. If the price continues to strengthen, it may trigger concentrated stop-loss and liquidation of shorts. However, this does not yet indicateThe crypto market downturn has intensified, with the three major mainstream coins BTC, ETH, and SOL all hitting recent lows simultaneously. ETF funds continue to withdraw, and market sentiment is clearly under pressure. Next, focus on the US CPI data and wait for macro signals to guide the market direction. 📊 Mainstream Coin Market Tracking 🔸 BTC｜Around $81,803 The total open interest across the network is about $55.05 billion, increasing by 1.28% in 24 hours. While the price is falling, the open interest is rising, indicating some funds are still adding positions, and bearish forces may be strengthening. Regarding funding rates, Binance is +0.0019%, OKX is +0.0066%. Both bulls and bears are still competing, but judging from the current price performance, bears temporarily hold the initiative. Caution is needed for volatility risks caused by continued leverage accumulation. 🔸 ETH｜Around $2,445 ETH has broken below the previous whale fund defense zone's lower boundary, with short-term momentum weakening further. Next, $2,401 is a key level bulls need to defend. If this level is lost, the potential chain liquidation scale of long positions could reach $553 million, which may further amplify price volatility. Binance funding rate is -0.0033%, OKX is -0.0017%, negative rates reflect a strong bearish sentiment in the market, with bears currently having the upper hand. 🔸 SOL｜Around $105.78 SOL's liquidation amount in the past 24 hours is about $10.89 million, with long positions accounting for as much as 94% Brushing away three layers of ash, what emerges underneath is not rebirth, but fracture lines identical to those before the collapse of Pompeii's walls in BC times. There is nothing new under the sun; every sharp plunge in the K-line is merely a reenactment of human panic recorded countless times in historical chronicles.
Holding a probe shovel to peel through the cultural layers of $SUI, the current market is in a Quaternary glacial retreat period. When the price approaches around 1.055 USDT, the lower Bollinger Band at about 1.009 forms a clear rammed earth support layer. Many retail investors cry apocalypse, but I see in the ancient book "The Madness of Crowds" the psychological cycle of predecessors repeatedly cutting losses at panic extremes and buying at feverish highs.
I observe my own heart rate and fingertip temperature; loss aversion is secretly releasing toxins in the brain's limbic system. This instinct urges people to flee the "seemingly dangerous" ruins, but rational academic training tells me: when the public undervalues an unearthed artifact due to bias, that is the golden window for contrarian excavation.
Stratigraphic profiles do not lie; the compression in the oscillation range is accumulating energy. The upper Bollinger Band at 1.128 is the high point of the previous civilization relic and the carbonized layer left by the battle between bulls and bears. Following stratigraphic logic, establish an archaeological specimen excavation position at the junction of the rammed earth layer and bedrock, cutting emotional bonds with discipline.
- Target: $SUI 🟢
- Entry: 1.045 - 1.060
- TP1: 1.115
- TP2: 1.128
- SL: 0.998
The stratigraphic dating is set; a break means foundation collapse, only site preservation, no compromise.
#CoinMoveAlertFirst, let's reconcile the accounts. Yesterday at midday, I said that if it broke below 82,800, the breakout judgment would be invalidated. As a result, in the evening, a sharp move directly pierced down to 81,032.8, truly breaking the invalidation line; the post-market statement "If it doesn't break 82,957, the rebound is not over" was also invalidated. Both predictions were completely wrong, I accept that and won't make excuses. Today's market looks mild, BTC down 0.26% at 83,303, but the combined upper and lower shadows total 3,300 dollars: 24h high 84,361.6, low 81,032.8, all sharp spikes. SOL was the most volatile, down 3.43%, first dropping to 101.63 then rebounding to 107.7, a 6% V in one day. ETH down 1.37% at 2,510, with fees flat near the floor. Interestingly, the fees: BTC fees +0.0043%, bulls are still willing to pay; SOL fees -0.0033% turned negative, shorts are paying. BTC total network open interest is 29,315 contracts, shrinking compared to yesterday: this rebound is supported by short covering, not new money entering. Simply put, after a big drop, a natural rebound occurs, don't mistake it for a reversal. Judgment: from this afternoon to tonight, if BTC holds 82,800 (the line broken yesterday, now acting as support), the rebound will continue with a slightly strong consolidation. The falsification condition is fixed: if it falls back below 81,600 during the day, 81,032.8 is not the bottom, the rebound fails, and tonight we directly look to retest 80,400. CPI will be released tomorrow at 20:30, chasing highs today is like crossing the street blindfolded. CPI📉 🌍 Oil & Fed: Middle East tensions have pushed WTI above $93, reigniting inflation concerns and strengthening expectations of a hawkish Fed. Rate-cut hopes remain under pressure. 🇰🇷 South Korea Stocks: Heavy selling in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix triggered a trading-sidecar mechanism, highlighting rising volatility in tech stocks. ₿ BTC: Bitcoin is consolidating around $83,000–$83,600 as leveraged positions unwind. Without stronger support from macro conditions and fund flows, a sustaiAlthough I really don't want to say it, the $4Stock market is basically out of control. Let's take a look at the data!
Data changes of the top 40 $4Stock holders on 2026.10.13
Alpha: Inflow of 8.8 million tokens
gate1: Inflow of 450,000 tokens
kucoin2: Inflow of 6 million tokens
Burn address: Burned 1.9 million tokens
mexc: Inflow of 2.47 million tokens
New entries in top 40: 6 people total, 3 increased positions, 2 transferred in, 1 normal entry
Dropped out of top 40: 6 people total, all 6 fully exited
Top 40 increased positions: 5 people total, all 5 increased, 2 addresses suspected to be gate on-chain addresses
Top 40 decreased positions: 0 people
Daily key summary for $4Stock:
Among the 6 new entries in the top 40, only 3 increased their positions. The 6 addresses that dropped out of the top 40 all fully exited, with a large amount cleared. The 5 addresses that increased positions in the top 40 all increased, but 2 of these addresses appear to be gate's on-chain transfer addresses. Overall, the data shows significant volatility, with a clear continuous selling pressure. Looking at these sell-offs, part came from Alpha, part from gate, with on-chain sales totaling about 30 million tokens. The token price has dropped about 45% since the last statistics, nearly halving. On-chain selling pressure alone cannot explain such a large price drop, so selling pressure from Binance Alpha and gate must also be very large. Although I really don't want to say it, the overall market has turned into a one-sided decline, and many front-row addresses are heavily trapped.The year before last, my colleagues kept posting screenshots in the group chat.
I got curious after seeing so many,
so I put in a few hundred bucks to try.
My first purchase was $BTC.
Right after buying, it started to slowly drop.
It dropped so much that I even ordered the cheapest takeout.
Later, I tried $ETH.
There are many things on the chain,
and the fees are expensive.
One operation wasted half a day.
Then I heard people hype $SOL as fast.
I transferred a small amount to play.
It’s really fast,
but the traps are real too.
Some projects disappear just like that.
After losing a few times, I learned my lesson:
Don’t chase hot topics,
Don’t follow trading tips blindly,
Don’t touch what you don’t understand.
Write down your private keys yourself,
Don’t give them to anyone who asks,
Don’t click on unknown links,
No matter how tempting the airdrop is, don’t connect your wallet recklessly.
Now I only hold money I won’t mind losing.
Just leave it there.
Don’t get cocky when it rises,
Don’t panic when it falls.
There are many opportunities in this field,
but even more traps.
Living long is more important than making a quick profit.
Don’t borrow money,
Don’t get carried away,
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits.
Leave the rest to time#台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
#微软发布新一代AI芯片，股价触及年内高点 [Pharaoh's Market Watch]
Bitcoin just dipped to 80,961 then bounced back to 83,300. Can we chase longs now?
Pharaoh says, don't rush. 83,300 is the "mid-mountain" level. Chasing in now risks getting crushed by yesterday's trapped positions. Today's script: first surge higher, then pull back. Whether there's a second rebound depends on CPI.
First, why did it bounce back yesterday? Oil prices, US Treasury yields, and the dollar all fell together. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped 5 basis points, the dollar fell 0.2%, Brent crude dropped 1.4%. The noose around risk assets loosened a bit. Plus, there was indeed buying near 80,961. The 2-hour and 4-hour MACD started to recover, so it bounced to 83,300.
But Pharaoh must warn you, the short-term is overheated. The 15-minute RSI hit 86, like running three days in the desert gasping for breath. The 1-hour chart is above the moving average, but 83,590 to 83,800 is a resistance zone, capped by the daily moving average band from 83,800 to 84,100. No reversal confirmed yet.
So how to play today? Watch the 82,800 line closely.
Holding 82,800 gives a chance to push to 83,600-83,800. Staying above 83,800 qualifies for a look at 84,100-84,350. Breaking below 82,700 weakens the rebound, likely pulling back to 82,300 or even 81,800
$BTC $ETH $ZEC The funding rate in a perpetual futures contract is a periodic payment between long and short holders, not an OKX fee. A positive rate means longs pay shorts; a negative rate means the opposite. It helps keep the contract price close to the spot price but does not itself predict market direction. Before holding a position, check the rate sign, calculation interval, and the amount of the next payment: the size of the entire position matters, not just the margin posted.#blur plans to disable the blur.io frontend on November 12
[Old Leek Observation] $BLUR Even the official website is shutting down, the NFT market is really changing
There is still one stubborn opensea that has yet to issue tokens
On November 12, Blur will disable the blur.io frontend, and its NFT lending protocol Blend will also stop matching new loans on the same day.
To be clear, not all on-chain contracts will be shut down. Blur's marketplace protocol will continue to operate, but the official trading portal most familiar to ordinary users will be withdrawn.
This reminds me of the NFT market boom a few years ago. At that time, platforms competed on trading volume, points, and airdrop expectations. Traders frequently bought and sold for rewards, and lending leverage also made the market more lively.
But liveliness does not equal real demand.
When trading volume drops and rewards are no longer enough to attract users, platforms ultimately face a problem: after incentives disappear, how many people are willing to stay and trade?
Blur's monthly trading volume once reached about $1.43 billion, while The Block data shows that monthly trading volume fell below $7 million in March this year. This gap explains the issue more than just shutting down a website.
Of course, disabling the frontend does not mean the on-chain protocol disappears, and BLUR cannot be judged to be worthless in the future based on this news alone. But for the NFT industry, the real question might be how many genuine users remain from the activity built on incentives.$BTC price has been rising steadily from around 81,000 this morning, which got me really excited. It closed several bullish candles consecutively on the 1-hour chart, with the MACD forming a golden cross below the zero line, and the red bars started to appear. The recent few candlesticks rebounded quickly, releasing a lot of short-term bullish momentum.
However, this upward move slowed down near 83,500. This level coincides with the 4-hour swing high, which the price has tested three times before without breaking through. After touching this area, the trading volume on the 15-minute candles also shrank.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, the MACD's DIF line is still below zero, and the previous candle just formed a death cross, with the histogram still showing red bars. Although the 1-hour rebound momentum has kicked in, the 4-hour indicators are still trending downwards, meaning the larger-scale bearish momentum is not yet over.
Currently, my bias is bearish. The resistance at around 83,500 on the 4-hour chart is right above, and the 4-hour MACD is in a death cross below zero. There is significant resistance here, and without volume expansion, it’s hard to break through, so it will most likely pull back first.
$ETH $SOL #9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 #台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓 #BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？ The upward trend lacks support from new funds, so its sustainability is questionable.
$BTC is currently at 83650, with short-term momentum weakening. 84177 is the resistance above, and 83457 is the support below. ETFs continue to see outflows, with on-exchange funds competing against each other, making it difficult for the rebound to continue.
$ETH at 2534, $ZEC at 1279, their trends are starting to diverge. ZEC shows stronger elasticity but also an increasing risk of a high-level pullback.
In a stock market, price increases do not equal stronger buying. The real key is whether new funds are taking over.
#BTC #ETH #ZEC
#SepCPIHikeWatch #TSMCOct15Earnings #BTCETHETFOutflows