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Don't be fooled by the 24-hour net inflow! $BTC, $ETH, $SOL, $ZEC, short-term funds are collectively withdrawing!
Key points for the brothers: short-term bearish bias, don't rush to chase the rebound!
🟠 $BTC: 5-minute net outflow of 8.07 million, 4-hour outflow of 172 million, 8-hour outflow of 158 million. Although the 24-hour net inflow is 55.51 million, there has been a 3.313 billion outflow in the past week, showing obvious short-term selling pressure.
🔵 $ETH: 4-hour outflow of 99.32 million, 8-hour outflow of 127 million, yet a 24-hour inflow of 58.63 million. Short-term funds continue to withdraw, mid-term funds have not yet shown clear recovery.
🟣 $SOL: 4-hour outflow of 8.92 million, 8-hour outflow of 13.68 million, but 24-hour inflow of 20.12 million. Short-term is weak, but it cannot yet be said that funds are fully bearish.
🟢 $ZEC: 8-hour outflow of 22.77 million, 24-hour slight inflow of 880 thousand, nearly 3 billion outflow in the past week, funds remain weak.
My judgment: Most of the four coins show net outflow in short cycles, indicating short-term funds are still withdrawing. However, the 24-hour data is not entirely bearish, and the market cannot be judged as definitely falling based solely on fund flows. 🔥 $FIL October Bullish Logic: Is the Opportunity Really Over?
Many people only focus on FIL's short-term decline, overlooking the changes behind it.
📌 **Supply Side:** In October, the vesting releases from Protocol Labs and the Filecoin Foundation are expected to end, which should reduce new supply pressure. However, whether the price can rise depends on market demand and actual selling pressure.
🤖 **AI Narrative:** AI development requires not only computing power but also storage. Training data, model weights, and operation logs all need reliable storage infrastructure. Filecoin is expanding verifiable storage and on-chain cloud services through products like Onchain Cloud, Filecoin Pay, and Filecoin Pin.
🚀 **Key to the Future:** If paid storage demand continues to grow and ecosystem applications gradually materialize, combined with supply changes, FIL has the chance to regain investor attention.
I am optimistic about FIL's long-term value but do not blindly predict short-term gains. In October, focus on supply changes, trading volume, and ecosystem progress.
Believe in the logic, but respect the market!
$FIL $BTC $ETH
⚠️ The above is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. The crypto market is highly volatile; please invest rationally and manage your positions.October Dark Battle: Boss Ten's Short Cover vs. Big Brother Maji's Full Short, Who's More Ruthless?
Boss Ten's latest operation records leaked, this "short cover" move coincides exactly with Big Brother Maji's aggressive full short position, making the whale showdown extremely intense.
BTC: 8.57 million 10x short cover, high-level replenishment
09/21 21:52, bought to cover short BTCUSDT perpetual at an average price of 85,700 USDT, 10x leverage, transaction value 8,570,000 USDT. A multi-million level short cover indicates previous short positions were chosen to be covered at a high level. Compared to Big Brother Maji's -2,853 BTC (opened at 76,152) still holding onto floating losses, Boss Ten's move looks more like taking profits or stop-loss exit, not gambling with Maji's life.
ETH: 2,598 short cover, small position testing the waters
09/19 01:47, bought to cover short ETHUSDT perpetual at an average price of 2,598 USDT, 10x leverage, transaction value only 2,598 USDT (possibly a very small position or screenshot discrepancy). But the price 2,598 is higher than Maji's ETH short open at 2,322; if the trend is similar, Boss Ten's short cover position is higher, with a different rhythm.
ZEC: 1,518 long cover, minor operation
09/18 13:34, sold to cover long ZECUSDT perpetual at an average price of 1,518.42 USDT, 3x leverage, transaction 15.18 USDT, almost negligible, a marginal asset wrap-up. $BTC $ETH $BERA Damn it! BERA's shakeout this round gave me scalp tingles. The 0.2238 level has been sideways for so long, and suddenly volume shrank drastically, clearly showing the manipulative whales quietly accumulating.
There's a minor resistance at 0.2350 above, but the support at 0.2180 is as solid as iron, and funds have already started sneaking in.
I'm planning to scale in around 0.2238 in batches, with a stop loss at 0.2150. The first target is 0.2400, which offers a reasonable risk-reward ratio.
No rush, waiting for the signal. This kind of pure technical movement, following smart money is always right. If you want to get in, click the market card below to check the order book.
The above is just my personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile; please make decisions cautiously.
👇👇👇$MAGIC is a volatile altcoin, caution is advised, be careful when bottom-fishing. According to on-chain data, the trend is still downward, with manipulative whales at work, beware of sudden spikes.
Key resistance level: $0.1294
Key support level: $0.0831
Long-short ratio: Retail and large holders both lean bullish
Binance retail long-short ratio: 1.0442, OKX retail long-short ratio: 1.15.
Large holders: Number of large holders long-short ratio 1.2326, large holders position long-short ratio 1.2861.
Exchange listing (bullish): BingX officially launched MAGIC spot trading on October 10.
Risk warning: No substantial fundamental positives.
MAGIC is an old blockchain game token; its core TVL has dropped to zero, the project has undergone multiple restructurings, fundamentals are very weak. This recent surge is purely leveraged speculation by fast-moving traders, with 24-hour trading volume nearly 8 times the market cap. On-chain data shows signs of manipulation. Although the overall trend is downward, speculative traders may suddenly pump the price again to trigger short squeezes.
Potential unlocking pressure: The market previously focused on about 13 million MAGIC tokens potentially unlocking, which could become a source of selling pressure later.
$BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ #俄罗斯放宽柴油出口，霍尔木兹风险仍支撑油价 The first time I heard someone talk about this
was at the barbecue stand downstairs.
Old Zhou, drunk, said $BTC could buy a car.
I was munching on skewers, laughing at his bragging.
Later, I couldn't sleep at midnight,
secretly downloaded an app,
and after messing around, finally registered.
I topped up 400 yuan.
After buying, I regretted it.
That night, I even took my phone to the bathroom.
When it rose by 20 yuan, I almost sent a red envelope to my wife.
The next day it dropped back, I even skipped breakfast.
After a while, I heard people say $ETH was stable.
I gritted my teeth and got in.
But it was like a rock,
staying flat for over ten days.
I got annoyed and sold.
After selling, it slowly climbed up.
I was so mad I slammed the table.
Later, the group chat was full of $SOL every day,
saying to buy blindly.
I got impulsive and threw in the money meant for shoes.
It went green right after buying.
So green my palms sweated.
The stop loss just triggered and it bounced back.
That day I squatted in the hallway and smoked half a pack.
Later, I quit all those groups.
The more they shouted, the more it felt like a trap.
Whitepapers, ecosystems,
I couldn't understand any of it.
I just watched the red and green and others showing off their orders.
After losing a lot, I became more honest.
Now I only use a little spare money,
like playing a game.
No borrowing, no all-in, no staying up watching the market.
When family asks, I say just playing casually.
If I earn, I add a dish.
If I lose, I treat it as tuition.
When others show profits, I just glance and move on.
The worst is getting carried away.
Once you do, you forget all plans.
Now my position is small,
I check occasionally.
Work when I should work,
sleep when I should sleep.
You can play, but don't let it play you.#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#跟着OKX打卡2049
#俄罗斯放宽柴油出口，霍尔木兹风险仍支撑油价 Brothers, SNDK closed at 1581.82 on Friday, down 1.72%, but the trading volume was still 8.9 billion USD, indicating both bulls and bears are fighting hard inside.
$SNDK $1597
Mizuho set a target price of 2050, but the market voted with its feet.
On October 6, Mizuho raised SNDK's target price from 1875 to 2050, citing storage demand driven by “Agentic AI,” expecting AI workloads to consume 22% of NAND demand by 2030. However, the day after Mizuho's call, SNDK actually dropped 4.9%. This shows the market is starting to diverge on the AI storage narrative—analysts look at 2030, traders focus on next quarter's orders.
Short sellers were squeezed hard, now it's the bulls' turn to hold.
Data from S3 Partners shows SNDK short sellers have been crushed this year, with short positions dropping from over 4% to about 2%, a big surrender by the shorts. There was a whale who shorted with 10x leverage at an average price of 1485, once floating a loss of 6.7 million. With shorts gone, it’s now up to the bulls to hold.
The next milestone is the Q1 earnings report on October 29. The average target price from 25 analysts is 2173, 37% higher than the current price. But the options market expects a ±8.1% volatility in the coming week, indicating short-term divergence remains large.
Discuss in the comments: Is this a buying opportunity or a sign of catching a falling knife for the storage sector?👇
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 $STRK combined with the current technical and fundamental aspects, STRK is in a high-level consolidation phase after a strong short-term breakout.
Technical points: The daily price has effectively broken through the upper Bollinger Band (0.0953), SuperTrend support has moved up to 0.0820, SAR is at 0.0510, indicating a medium-term bullish trend. Key resistance above is referenced at the 24-hour high of 0.12421, the first support below is near VWMA10 at 0.0707, with strong support around 0.063.
Bullish drivers (positive): The core catalyst comes from StarkWare's CEO's statement about considering turning Starknet into an independent Layer 1 to accelerate quantum resistance upgrades. The market expects full quantum security could be achieved as early as 2027, ahead of Ethereum's 2029 target. Additionally, the strkBTC incentive program and privacy narrative have previously attracted some Bitcoin capital inflows, jointly pushing the price to a new yearly high.
Bearish factors and risks: First is supply pressure. STRK continues monthly unlocks, with early contributors and investors strongly motivated to sell unlocked tokens. The supply shock on a single unlock day can account for more than 4% of circulating supply.
Comprehensive judgment: No financial advice ⚠️
The current rise is mainly event-driven and a rebound from oversold conditions, with strong short-term momentum but lacking real on-chain revenue support. The risk of chasing highs is significant, and caution is needed against pullback pressure after positive news is realized. Big players lose numbers, we lose lives.
Every day, just the funding fee costs 9.43 million U, losing 50 million? That's called a paper fluctuation.
In the crypto world, it's often said: longs are in the stratosphere, shorts are in the basement. But this big player refuses to believe that, slamming a 130 million short order on the table, with an unrealized loss of nearly 50 million U, without even blinking.
What kind of divine position can withstand such an unrealized loss? Let's get straight to the data:
BTC short (5X full position)
Position: -2853.4 coins | Entry: 76152 | Unrealized loss: -18.55 million U
ETH short (5X full position)
Position: -112,000 coins | Entry: 2322 | Unrealized loss: -19.19 million U
$SOL short (10X full position)
Position: -742,000 coins | Entry: 94 | Unrealized loss: -11.52 million U
You lose 500 U and can't sleep, he loses 50 million U and is drinking tea.
They lose paper wealth, you lose real money. Shorting in a bull market is like betting your life on a pullback; if you guess right, you profit, if wrong, you go straight to zero. Watching the show is fine, following the crowd is certain death. $BTC #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 An arithmetic overflow vulnerability lurking in the XRPL payment engine for nearly a decade suddenly surfaced, narrowly avoiding a theoretical infinite token issuance across the entire network. Although investigations show that the public network did not suffer any actual attacks, this potential extreme inflation risk still quietly stirred underlying waves in the market.
What truly triggered deep market sentiment fluctuations was this extremely rare handling approach. To avoid the conventional two-week voting cycle becoming an attack vector for hackers, the official team broke the amendment consensus practice established over more than ten years by directly pushing the 3.4.1 node version and rapidly achieving over 80% upgrade without the source code being publicly released. This strong intervention, which maximized security levels, quickly eliminated the tail risk of tokens being diluted out of thin air, but also caused some sensitive capital to begin reexamining the decentralization premium and governance boundaries.
Although the Damocles sword of malignant inflation was safely dismantled, the conflict between emergency efficiency and on-chain native rules continues to reshape the risk preferences of both bulls and bears. The current $XRP position structure is digesting this sudden technical shock. The key going forward lies in how the node ecosystem handles governance disputes and whether the market can re-anchor the asset’s trust foundation through a compromise between efficiency and consensus. 📉 Don't mistake the rebound for a reversal; this wave is more like a "breather" during the downtrend. The FOMC minutes were hawkish, with most officials still leaning toward further rate hikes. A pause in rate hikes is just holding position, not a shift to easing; institutions are actually more cautious about the rate path and have even raised their expectations.💸
$BTC and $ETH ETFs continue to see net outflows, with new funds slow to arrive, so the market can only rely on oversold recovery to hold up. $BTC faces clear resistance around 83,500‑84,000; until it breaks through effectively, it can only be defined as a recovery rally. $ETH is weaker, with 2,400 as the short-term critical lifeline; losing that level would further increase risk.⚠️
🗓️ October 14 CPI is the key observation point. Before the data is released, it's unwise to blindly bottom-fish or mistake the rebound for a trend. Holding key support and waiting for confirmation signals is more important than trying to predict the market early.🧭
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 CORE
CoinEx: Has announced the permanent closure of the CORE/USDT trading pair and plans to close withdrawals on December 18.
· KuCoin (Kanga): Has closed the CORE-USDT trading market and stopped CORE deposits and earning products.
· Phemex: Has delisted the CORE/USDT spot trading pair.
· Bitget: Has delisted COREUSDT futures contracts and related services
There are still two months to profit from shorting, maybe next year it will become a commemorative coin. Although retail and big investors failed, the project team succeeded because they cashed out over 20 billion!
Come on, let's hurt each other, should I pack up and run, waiting for the big shots to give guidance. Updating some views on the market outlook:
1. Funds are starting to flow into second-tier value coins, those with market caps of a few hundred million. Strk has been pulled from two or three hundred million to 800 million. Second-tier value coins have unique advantages: greater price elasticity while also having value as a safety floor. Holding at the cost price on the 5th floor feels very comfortable and the movement is very smooth.
2. If we count the market trend starting from mid-August, the flow of funds from large coins to small coins is quite reasonable. However, the market has already run for nearly two months. If we consider a 100-day cycle, it means there is still about one-third of the time left to play. For now, let's define this as the final acceleration phase.
3. Benchmarks are very important. The leaders in the past two months—zec, ena, near—have all risen two to three times from the bottom. Facts also prove that most coins will not exceed the gains of the leaders. Of course, qnt was boosted by major news and rose fivefold. Expectations for other coins should not surpass those of the leaders. This wave can see strk as the benchmark and the ceiling of expectations. However, compared to the first-tier coins in the past two months, expectations for second-tier coins can be slightly higher but not too exaggerated.
4. Most coins are telling new stories, trying as much as possible to approach privacy coins, stocks, and traditional finance. Coins like tia and strk are putting on new skins. Whether this is just following the narrative for a speculative wave or a real story requires careful discernment.ETF outflows have finally stopped: BTC spot ETF saw an inflow of over 20 million on Friday.
After two consecutive days of outflows (nearly 490 million on the 7th alone), it finally turned positive. Whales are also withdrawing coins from exchanges, easing selling pressure.
But ETH is still bleeding: spot ETF outflows have continued for 9 days, with nearly 540 million leaving in the last 5 trading days.
JUP rose over 10% in 24h, nearly 16% for the week.
Lending volume surpassed Kamino to top Solana, with funds flowing to the leaders.
In a weak market rotation, chasing highs is easy to get trapped.
Wednesday's CPI is the last inflation data before the FOMC; ETH upgrade is also counting down, with Hoodi testnet tentatively set for the 27th.
Institutional funds + macro variables are all waiting for confirmation.
$BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ I've been looking over the on-chain screenshots repeatedly for a long time 🤔
Big brother Maji has completely changed his strategy this time! No more long-short hedging, all three positions on $BTC $ETH $SOL are short, with a total position value exceeding 600 million U!
Breaking down these three heavy short positions:
▪️BTC: 2,853 coins, 5x leverage, average entry price around 76,380, unrealized loss close to 19.3 million U
▪️ETH: 111,800 coins, 5x leverage, average entry price around 2,318, unrealized loss 19.7 million U
▪️$SOL: 741,900 coins, 10x leverage, average entry price 94.6, unrealized loss 11.7 million U
Among the three, SOL faces the greatest pressure! The current price has moved more than ten points away from the entry cost, and it is the only position among the three that has reached 10x leverage.
But I don't agree that it will be liquidated in the short term.
The liquidation prices for the three positions are 137,200, 3,890, and around 314 respectively.
Simply put: BTC needs to rise more than 60%, ETH over 50%, and SOL nearly double to hit the liquidation line.
Another key point: he has been collecting funding fees!
The cumulative funding fees from the three short positions amount to nearly 9.5 million U, meaning the longs in the market are paying him interest every day.
So he chooses to stay put.
The unrealized loss of over 50 million looks scary, but what he is mainly consuming now is time cost, not margin.
But there is a thought-provoking question:
If the market reverses later and funding fees turn from positive to negative, no longer bringing in interest, will he still be able to maintain this calm?The BTC 4H chart confirms a textbook false breakdown along the lower consolidation boundary, as price sharply bounced from $81,000 to reclaim the $83,000 support floor. This aggressive shakeout confirms that buyers have absorbed capitulation supply to re-establish upside dominance. The preferred strategy is to enter a Long position around $83,000–$83,100 with a stop-loss parameter below $82,324.75, targeting the $89,990.20 objective for an asymmetric risk-to-reward setup. $BTC Discussing several major recent positives for $ICP
1. The ".icp" generic top-level domain (gTLD) application has passed ICANN's preliminary review, representing an attempt to bridge traditional internet and on-chain computing. This is an early stage, and full implementation may still take several years.
2. Record-breaking on-chain revenue
In October 2026, monthly on-chain protocol revenue exceeded approximately $360,000 (a new high), with weekly revenue approaching $97,000. Revenue mainly comes from developers converting ICP to and burning "cycles" to pay for computation and storage fees. Continuous expansion is needed to substantively support valuation.
3. Sovereign cloud technology stack for the AI era is already in use by governments and NGOs (such as projects related to Pakistan and UNDP). Williams stated this will be one of the most critical turning points since the mainnet launch, targeting the trillion-dollar cloud market.
The progress of the .icp domain is smooth, significantly enhancing ICP's utility and visibility. These factors are positive for short-term sentiment and medium-to-long-term fundamentals.#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
Next week's data will decide whether there will be a rate hike in October.
At 8:30 PM Beijing time on October 14, the US September CPI and core CPI will be released. At the same time on the 15th, PPI, retail sales, and initial jobless claims will be published together. These data sets combined are the most important reference before the Federal Reserve meeting on October 28.
The current pricing is very delicate. As of October 10, the market's bet on a 25 basis point rate hike in October is only 18%, leaning more towards action in December. A week ago, this number was still 70%, dropping quickly. But note, a drop in probability does not mean the Fed has turned dovish. The September minutes show most officials believe another hike may be needed this year, just differing on timing. The market pushing the hike timing from October to December is not canceling the hike, just postponing it.
So next week's data is crucial. Rising energy prices may push overall inflation higher; core CPI truly tests whether price pressures have spread. If core CPI is moderate, the market will strengthen pause expectations, the dollar and US Treasury yields will fall, and BTC has a chance to rebound and test 84500 or even 85000. If core CPI is strong, or retail and employment data are too robust, the probability of an October hike will rise again, BTC will face direct pressure around 83000, with short-term support between 81500 and 82000; breaking that looks toward 80000.
For BTC, now is the time to wait for the data. $BTC $BTC prediction markets believe there is a 31% chance that BTC will rise to $100,000 before 2027. This is not exactly the kind of bullish consensus people have been loudly proclaiming.
The market's message is: maybe, but probably not that soon. Interestingly, there is a gap between the optimistic fantasies on Crypto Twitter and the actual direction of money bets.The first time I heard someone talk about this was at a repair shop.
Old Chen said he paid off his debts with $BTC.
I was tightening screws and laughed at him for bragging.
Later, I couldn't sleep at midnight,
secretly downloaded an app,
recharged 300 yuan,
and after buying, I stared at the screen,
forgot even to drink water.
When it rose by more than ten yuan, I almost called my wife.
The next day it dropped back, and I even smoked less for half a day.
After a while, I heard people say $ETH is stable.
I gritted my teeth and got in.
But it was like a brick,
flat for about ten days.
I got annoyed and cut my losses.
After I sold, it slowly started to rise.
I was so angry I kicked the stool.
Later, the group kept posting about $SOL every day,
saying to buy blindly.
I got impulsive and threw in the money I saved for a fishing rod.
It went green right after I bought it,
so green my palms were sweating.
The stop loss just triggered and it bounced back.
That day I squatted by the river and smoked half a pack.
Later, I quit all those groups.
The more they shouted, the more it felt like a trap.
Whitepapers, ecosystems,
I couldn't understand any of it.
I just knew to watch the red and green and others' profit posts.
After losing a lot, I became more honest.
Now I only use a little spare money,
like playing a game.
No borrowing, no all-in, no staying up late watching the market.
When family asks, I just say I'm playing casually.
If I earn, I add a dish to the meal.
If I lose, I treat it as tuition.
When others show off profits, I just glance and move on.
The worst thing in this field is getting carried away.
Once you do, you forget all plans.
Now my position is very small,
I check occasionally,
work when I should work,
sleep when I should sleep.
You can play, but don't let it play you.#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#跟着OKX打卡2049
#俄罗斯放宽柴油出口，霍尔木兹风险仍支撑油价 ETF has been selling for eight consecutive days, yet the price is rising
The spot ETF of $ETH has had net outflows for eight consecutive days.
During the same period, the price has risen from a low point.
Where is this money coming from:
In the first week of October, the net outflow of $BTC and $ETH ETFs exceeded $1.2 billion.
On October 7, $BTC had a single-day outflow of 484.9 million, the highest since the end of June.
How is this number calculated:
The price rose from 80400 to 82600, not driven by buying.
It’s because sellers temporarily stopped, the order book is thin, and a small amount of buy orders can push the price up.
Between 83300 and 84600, there are 1.59 million chips stacked, which is short-term support.
80400 is the bottom line; if this support order breaks, it will turn into selling pressure.
Before the CPI on October 14 is released, the direction is all speculation.
Low expectations allow risk assets to catch a breath; high expectations lock in a rate hike in December.
Between 83500 and 84000, every time the price goes up, it gets sold off.
If there is going to be a move, wait for the price to reach that range first.
#黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ $ETH $BTC $ZEC sharply dropped then consolidated weakly, rebound lacks volume, cautious about shorting. Currently in a low-level oscillation grind, watching for stabilization.
Key resistance level: $1,288
Key support level: $1,166
Long-short ratio: Retail investors extremely bearish, whales holding long positions stubbornly.
Binance retail long-short ratio 0.7838 (extremely bearish or panic selling), OKX retail long-short ratio 0.76.
Whales: whale count long-short ratio 0.8136, but whale position long-short ratio as high as 1.5712.
Latest news
Bullish (mid-term): Zcash's NU7 network upgrade was activated on the testnet on October 4, reducing block time to 25 seconds, with mainnet targeted for November launch. The community voted 98.9% in favor of retaining the halving mechanism, with the next halving expected at the end of 2028. The Winklevoss twins submitted a Zcash spot ETF application to the SEC on October 6.
Bearish (short-term): Grayscale Zcash spot ETF (ZCSH) suffered significant outflows, with a weekly net outflow of $93.56 million, recording net redemptions for seven consecutive trading days, totaling over $124 million in redemptions in the past two weeks.
$BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #跟着OKX打卡2049 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 $BTC
BTC volatility narrows, can weekend stability be considered a new support?
Today's early spot 24-hour observation window: range 82562.5—83169 USDT, change +0.45%, trading volume about 149.9 million USDT.
The price difference within this window is less than 1%, milder compared to previous wide declines. The narrow range could come from a temporary balance between bulls and bears, or it might just be reduced participation over the weekend; the market has not shown evidence of ETF inflows resuming or institutions changing their allocations.
If after narrowing it first breaks below 82562.5 and cannot recover, the stability interpretation should be downgraded; if it surpasses 83169 and then retests to maintain a higher low, it increases the judgment of active demand.Conclusion first: $TIA rose from 0.47 to 0.63 today, up 26% in 24 hours — this is not driven by the sector, but an independent rally supported by its own strength.
The key is on the 4H chart. The 0.50 USD level has been tested three times in the past month, each time holding firm around that price.
Today finally brought the result: the 4H candle closing at 08:00 directly broke above 0.60, with a volume of 18.57 million contracts, 11 times that of the same period the previous day. This is not emotional impulse, but a breakout after accumulation.
Looking at the volume rhythm: the 20:00 candle on October 10 was a warm-up (3.95 million contracts), at 0:00 it expanded to 9.55 million, at 4:00 it exploded to 18.10 million, and at 8:00 it maintained a high level of 18.57 million. Price moves first, volume follows, the rhythm is very healthy.
Today's market background is BTC steady around 83k, breadth is slightly warm but most altcoins are quiet. TIA moving now indicates that capital is starting to actively select sectors, rather than simply waiting for the overall market to lead.
There have been no major catalysts recently in the Celestia ecosystem; this breakout is more due to technical strength itself. But frankly, after a real breakout, no explanation is needed — the market is always right.
Do you think 0.63 can hold?Why is $83,000 BTC so critical?
From a market structure perspective, $83,000 is the average holding cost line for ETF investors, and it also corresponds to the threshold of the previous higher high in the technical pattern. In recent weeks, Bitcoin has tested this area multiple times.
Luke Deans, Senior Researcher at Bitwise Europe, pointed out that if Bitcoin struggles to reclaim this level, lower structural support targets need to be considered. Currently, analysts generally regard $77,000 as the strongest support level—on-chain data shows that a significant portion of Bitcoin supply was purchased around this price, forming a clear concentration of holding costs.
Further down, $74,000 corresponds to the cost basis of short-term holders, while the 200-day moving average is near $72,000.NEAR accounts support the post-quantum signature algorithm ML-DSA and enable smooth upgrades without asset migration, marking significant breakthroughs and industry trend shifts in several key dimensions:
In traditional public chain designs, addressing the threat of quantum computers to elliptic curve cryptography often requires extremely complex and high-risk hard forks, forcing users to manually transfer assets to entirely new post-quantum addresses.
Thanks to NEAR's inherent "smart contract account and key separation" architecture, accounts themselves support attaching multiple types of public keys and permissions.
Seamless and transparent upgrades: users can directly add or rotate to ML-DSA signature keys without cross-chain operations or asset migration, demonstrating that key upgrades can become routine on-chain operations rather than one-time destructive forks.
A typical weakness of elliptic curves on-chain is that once a transfer occurs, the public key is exposed in plaintext on-chain, allowing quantum computers to reverse-engineer the private key via Shor's algorithm.
NEAR introduces a scalable signature mechanism supporting ML-DSA in the Intents wallet and designs an external chain-oriented "Q-day recovery registration mechanism."
This signifies NEAR's attempt to establish itself as a "post-quantum security hub" for cross-chain interaction and account abstraction layers.
Previously, the vast majority of cryptographic protocols' defenses against quantum attacks remained theoretical; NEAR is among the first mainstream high-performance L1 public chains to formally engineer and deploy the NIST standard into mainnet/testnet ecosystems.$ARB
Arbitrum's challenge is not simply attracting transactions; it is turning network activity into a durable ecosystem. DeFi applications, liquidity, and user retention all contribute to the bigger picture. Competition between Layer-2 networks remains intense, and incentives can distort activity figures. Sustainable growth depends on whether users continue using applications when temporary rewards become less attractive.$ONDO
Tokenized real-world assets could connect traditional financial products with blockchain-based infrastructure. Ondo operates in this sector, where transparency, legal structures, asset access, and regulatory compliance matter as much as technology. The opportunity is significant, but adoption takes time. Investors should distinguish growth in the tokenized asset market from actual demand for ONDO itself.$RENDER
AI and graphics workloads need computing resources, and decentralized GPU networks offer an alternative model for connecting supply with demand. Render focuses on distributed GPU rendering and related compute use cases. The important question is whether real workloads can generate consistent demand rather than short-lived excitement. Competition, service quality, and the relationship between network usage and token economics deserve attention.#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
The US September CPI and PPI data will be released next week, marking the last two key inflation data points before the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting. The market's pricing on whether there will be another rate hike this year is facing a direct test.
Data Expectations: Divergence between overall inflation and core inflation trends
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September CPI data on October 14 and the PPI data on October 15. Barclays and Morgan Stanley predict that the overall CPI in September will accelerate due to a sharp rise in gasoline prices, but the month-over-month increase in core CPI is expected to slow from 0.29% in August to 0.24%, mainly because the price increase in wireless communication services has partially eased. Barclays forecasts a 0.24% month-over-month increase in core CPI for September, with a year-over-year rate of 2.5%. Regarding PPI, a Wall Street Journal survey shows the market expects a 0.6% month-over-month increase in September PPI, higher than August's 0.4%; the overall PPI monthly rate is expected to rise 0.5%, with core PPI expected to increase 0.3%.
Different Signals from CPI and PPI
CPI reflects price pressures at the consumer end, while PPI captures cost transmission in upstream production stages. The ongoing tension in the Middle East has kept Brent crude oil above $100 per barrel, and the energy cost shock is accumulating along the transmission chain from PPI to CPI. The August PPI year-over-year growth accelerated to 5.4%, significantly above the expected 5.3%, with a month-over-month increase of 0.4%. If September PPI continues to exceed expectations, it means upstream cost pressures have not eased, and the subsequent penetration to the consumer end may prolong the inflation stickiness cycle.
Market Pricing and Data Scenarios
The latest CME FedWatch data shows an 82.3% probability of maintaining rates in October, with only a 17.7% chance of a 25 basis point hike; however, by December, the probability of holding rates steady drops to 18.7%, with a 67.6% chance of a 25 basis point hike and a 13.7% chance of a 50 basis point hike. This means the market has shifted the baseline scenario for rate hikes to December, with a near consensus to hold steady in October.
This pricing structure determines the critical role of the CPI data: it needs to confirm or break the consensus of "wait in October, act in December." If the September core CPI month-over-month slows as expected to 0.24%, it will strengthen the Fed's basis for holding steady in October and preserve policy space for a December hike; if core CPI unexpectedly rises to 0.3% or above, the probability of an October hike could quickly rebound to the 30%-40% range, turning the December hike from "high probability" to "a sure thing." Barclays expects the Fed to hold rates steady in October and decide on action in December based on inflation data.
Risk Warning
Long-term US Treasury yields have risen to the highest levels since 2002, with the 10-year yield reaching 5.368% at one point. Bannockburn Chief Market Strategist Marc Chandler noted that if the upcoming CPI data is strong, it could further raise market expectations for Fed tightening and push long-term Treasury yields higher. Before the data release, the market remains in a cautious "waiting for confirmation" state, and the direction of the dollar and Treasury yields will depend on whether CPI and PPI provide sufficiently clear signals. $BTC $XAU "The Three Storage Fools: One Buyback, One Price Hike, One Running Bare"
Micron throws down a royal flush again. The board approved a new buyback, up to $35.16 billion, effective in December. Previously, there was $10 billion authorized with $2.2 billion unused, now tripled directly. This year it has risen 260%, still using real cash to support the stock price. The message is straightforward: management believes the stock is still undervalued. Coupled with HBM monthly capacity doubling by year-end and HBM4's share rising to 50%, institutional confidence is written in the buyback, not just lip service.
SK Hynix is in an awkward spot. At the end of August, it announced a 40 trillion KRW buyback cancellation, which pushed the stock up, but that money will be spent by mid-October, and Samsung has already finished buying. Goldman Sachs warned early that once the buyback stops, there will be a liquidity vacuum. A few days ago, Micron rose 4%, but SK Hynix kept falling; once the buying stops, even the support disappears.
SanDisk is taking a different path. NAND prices have surged the most, up 60% in Q1 and expected to rise another 70% in Q2. Benefiting purely from spot price hikes, it doesn't need buybacks to prop up the price; it can soar on its own.
All three are storage laggards: Micron feeds shareholders with $35 billion, SanDisk stands strong on price hikes, and SK Hynix can only wait for the buyback to finish and then run bare. The gap keeps widening.
#Strategy回购约1.39亿美元STRC #海力士回应美国扩产传闻 #闪迪正式纳入标普100指数 During the COVID crash, the entire network liquidated $1.2 billion;
During the FTX collapse, it was only $1.6 billion;
March 12 was $2 billion;
May 19 was $5 billion.
And on this day last year, October 11, the liquidation amount reached a staggering $19.16 billion — the largest liquidation event in crypto history, 16 times that of the 2020 COVID crash!
On October 11 last year, the cryptocurrency market plummeted, Bitcoin dropped over 13%, falling below $11,000, altcoins dropped 90%, flooding the screen. Many people’s wealth accumulated over years vanished overnight. A friend of mine was liquidated for 8.8 million U and still owed the exchange 17 million U
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 $BTC $ETH $BTC $ETH $SOL
Today the market is experiencing a weak rebound, not a reversal. BTC is struggling around $83,000, ETH is slightly stronger but still under pressure.
Key data: $21.85 million liquidated in 24 hours, with shorts accounting for 86.82%. This means the rebound mainly comes from shorts being forced to cover, rather than genuine buying. BTC is currently around $82,996, up 0.86% in 24h; ETH is at $2,512, up 1.5%.
Why the rebound is weak: ETH spot ETF has seen net outflows for 9 consecutive days, totaling nearly $700 million, with institutions withdrawing. Meanwhile, ETH has broken below the 50-day SMA, and exchange balances surged by 90,000 coins in a single day, indicating ongoing selling pressure. BTC’s $80,000 level is a key support; breaking below could accelerate the decline.
On-chain highlights: Despite ETF outflows, whales have increased holdings by 15,000 BTC and 166,000 ETH within 72 hours, showing large investors are buying the dip, but retail sentiment remains fragile.
In short: The rebound supported by short covering is losing momentum, volume is shrinking, ETF bleeding continues, and $80,000 is the short-term lifeline for BTC. If it doesn’t hold, further downside is likely.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 Prediction markets have once again produced a "small bet turning into dozens of times the return," but this time, the platform itself is investigating.
According to reports, there were three bets totaling about $173 on Kalshi that correctly predicted Trump's new White House Press Secretary in advance, with an expected total payout of about $9,600. Previously, the market probability for this candidate was only about 1%.
Don't rush to call it "smart money." Kalshi has confirmed it is conducting an investigation and it cannot yet be determined if insider trading occurred.
This incident makes me feel that for predictions like personnel appointments, ordinary players may be at a greater information disadvantage than imagined: just because the result isn't public yet doesn't mean no one knows.
While you are researching news and calculating probabilities, your opponent might be just one phone call away from the decision maker.
Prediction markets are getting hotter, but whether "hitting the mark" is due to accurate judgment or early information really needs to be distinguished.Conclusion first: $TIA rose from 0.47 to 0.63 today, up 26% in 24 hours — this is not driven by the sector, but an independent rally supported by its own strength.
The key is on the 4H chart. The 0.50 USD level has been tested three times in the past month, each time holding firm around that price.
Today finally brought the result: the 4H candle closing at 08:00 directly broke above 0.60, with a volume of 18.57 million contracts, 11 times that of the same period the previous day. This is not emotional impulse, but a breakout after accumulation.
Looking at the volume rhythm: the 20:00 candle on October 10 was a warm-up (3.95 million contracts), at 0:00 it expanded to 9.55 million, at 4:00 it exploded to 18.10 million, and at 8:00 it maintained a high level of 18.57 million. Price moves first, volume follows, the rhythm is very healthy.
Today's market background is BTC steady around 83k, breadth is slightly warm but most altcoins are quiet. TIA moving now indicates that capital is starting to actively select sectors, rather than simply waiting for the overall market to lead.
There have been no major catalysts recently in the Celestia ecosystem; this breakout is more due to technical strength itself. But frankly, after a real breakout, no explanation is needed — the market is always right.
Do you think 0.63 can hold?Weekend liquidity was poor, I just wanted to casually open a couple of trades to chill through the weekend, but unexpectedly, two major coins not only didn’t go dormant, they quietly perked up. On the contrary, the 3x short $NEAR stubbornly turned the “reverse clock” into a drama series.
The zk position I opened last night took profit while I was sleeping, I’m still optimistic today and have reopened a position. If it goes well, aiming for 0.02, with a stop loss at 0.015.
$BTC isolated 20X, entry price 82,582.2, mark price 83,084.77, estimated liquidation price 78,822.404. The veteran is off duty today, directly sounding the counterattack horn, steadily pushing above 83,000.
$ETH isolated 20X, entry price 2,492.92, mark price 2,511.48, estimated liquidation price 2,379.06. This “stumbling child” finally found its footing, not only climbing out of the cost swamp but successfully standing above 2,500.
$NEAR isolated 3X, entry price 4.997, mark price 5.32, estimated liquidation price 6.618. This is the most stubborn rebel of the bunch.
Locked in profits: Since BTC and ETH have both had good gains, immediately moved the stop loss to breakeven.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
#跟着OKX打卡2049 Seeing ETF inflows again, can we finally breathe a sigh of relief? Don't rush to close the books on this week yet.
Farside data shows that on October 9, the US BTC spot ETF had a net inflow of about $21.1 million, ending two consecutive days of net outflows. But adding up from October 5 to 9, the week still saw a net outflow of about $679 million. The positive turn on Friday is real, but the funds withdrawn earlier haven't returned yet, which is also true.
This time, I'm more concerned about the time frame people use to describe the market. A single day turning positive can be called a sign of buying recovery, but looking at the week, the amount recovered is still very light. If you like to look at cumulative numbers during continuous inflows, but suddenly only focus on the last day after weakening, your mood might feel better, but the judgment may not be reliable.
There's no need to go the other way and write off a week's outflow as a complete failure of long-term allocation. ETF holders will rebalance, and the market needs time to absorb selling pressure. There's still a lot of real orders between "someone buying again" and "withdrawn funds have been replenished."
I hope to see inflows continue next week and gradually expand in scale, rather than just a small positive turn in one day being packaged as a full-scale counterattack. It's hard to update judgments when seeing bad news and not rush to deny previous pressure when seeing a bit of good news. Especially when already holding positions, it's easiest to take a comforting number as the entire evidence of market recovery.
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
Many bought the dip, so naturally there is a net outflow.
Because from 6.4 to 8.7 it was very fast, without much oscillation or repeated shakeouts, too many people didn’t get on board. So from 8.7 to 8.2, those who missed out will see this as a buying opportunity and naturally will buy in.
This is how market sentiment works: not buying when it falls, but buying frantically when it rises. If I had to use an idiom to describe it, it would be "buy high, sell low." Maybe human nature is just like this, applicable across all industries.Hot Coin Data Ranking｜Last 15 Minutes
$MAGIC surged with increased volume, positions decreased. Trading volume was 3.155 million USDT, 3.2 times the average 15-minute volume converted from the previous 1 hour; price +1.76%, position volume -1.62%.The first time I heard someone talk about this was at a repair shop.
Old Chen said he paid off his debts with $BTC.
I was tightening screws and laughed at him for bragging.
Later, I couldn’t sleep at midnight,
secretly downloaded an app,
recharged 300 yuan,
bought some, and stared at the screen,
forgot even to drink water.
When it rose by more than ten yuan, I almost called my wife.
The next day it dropped back, and I smoked less for half a day.
After a while, I heard people say $ETH is stable.
I gritted my teeth and got in.
But it was like a brick,
flat for more than ten days.
I got annoyed and cut my losses.
After I sold, it slowly started to rise.
I was so mad I kicked the stool.
Later, the group chat was full of $SOL every day,
saying to buy blindly.
I got impulsive and threw in the money I saved for a fishing rod.
It went green right after I bought it,
so green my palms were sweating.
The stop loss just triggered, then it bounced back.
That day I squatted by the river and smoked half a pack.
Later, I quit all those groups.
The more they shouted, the more it felt like a trap.
Whitepapers, ecosystems—I couldn’t understand any of it.
I just knew to watch the red and green and others’ trade posts.
After losing a lot, I became more honest.
Now I only use a little spare money,
like playing a game.
No borrowing, no all-in, no staying up watching the market.
When family asks, I just say I’m playing casually.
If I earn, I add a dish to the meal.
If I lose, I treat it as tuition.
When others show off profits, I just glance and move on.
The worst thing in this field is getting carried away.
Once you do, you forget all plans.
Now my position is very small,
I check it occasionally.
Work when it’s time to work,
sleep when it’s time to sleep.
You can play, but don’t let it play you. #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
#跟着OKX打卡2049
#俄罗斯放宽柴油出口，霍尔木兹风险仍支撑油价 $BTC $ETH $SOL In the crypto world, "big gains" and "won't go to zero" are naturally contradictory. The larger the gain, the higher the risk of reset. Projects that are truly relatively safe are those with real income or user demand support—they may not double the fastest, but their bottom logic is stronger. Projects supported by real income (lowest zero risk) don't rely on narrative; the protocol itself is "making money," and tokens have real value capture paths. ENA (Ethena): The core logic mentioned by many institutions is "fee conversion." BlackRock has integrated USDe into its risk management platform, and protocol revenue has the potential to flow directly to token holders. Stablecoin scale growth → protocol revenue → token buybacks, forming a closed loop. ONDO: Q1 2026 revenue of $13.26 million, TVL of $3.53 billion, over 60% market share in tokenized stocks, partners including BlackRock, JPMorgan, Mastercard, etc. AAVE: Leading DeFi lending, with a history of real protocol income and buyback mechanisms, classified as a "cash flow" DeFi asset. Institutional funds are truly buying (liquidity safety cushions) These projects have ETF products, listed company holdings, or institutional products supporting them, with relatively ample liquidity and "sellable" in extreme market conditions. ZEC: Rose over 1000% in the past year, with institutions like Multicoin Capital building large positions, about 30% of circulating supply held in$BTC surged to $83,855 but failed to hold, it's just a pump and dump. Everyone, it's best to be cautious and mainly observe.
Key resistance level: $83,855
Key support level: $81,000
Long-short ratio: Retail and large holders still heavily holding long positions (the biggest hidden risk).
Binance retail long-short ratio is 1.4752, OKX retail long-short ratio is 1.48.
For large holders: the number of large holders long-short ratio is 1.5523, and their position long-short ratio is as high as 1.5429.
Macro perspective (bearish): The Fed's September FOMC minutes released a hawkish signal, with several officials believing inflation risks still exist and the possibility of another rate hike before year-end is high. The market's expectation of a December rate hike continues to suppress risk asset performance.
ETF fund flows (major bearish): The US spot Bitcoin ETF has recently recorded continuous net outflows, with over $800 million net outflow in the first week of October. However, on October 10, there were slight signs of net inflow, and the outflow pace has slowed.
$ETH $ZEC #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #俄罗斯放宽柴油出口，霍尔木兹风险仍支撑油价 Is anyone still mining?
With the coin price rising, miners may not necessarily increase their income by the same margin. In Luxor's monthly report released on October 9, BTC rose 7.3% from the beginning to the end of September, but the daily USD revenue per unit of hash rate only increased by 1.8% during the same period.
The gap mainly comes from mining competition. The two difficulty adjustments in September both went up, so the same machine with the same hash rate earns less BTC. The gains from the coin price increase were largely offset by the rise in difficulty.
The recovery shown in this monthly report is very limited: the price rebound improved revenue per unit of hash rate, but the hash rate competition took away most of the gains. For miners who did not expand capacity simultaneously, looking only at BTC's price increase would overestimate operational improvement; electricity costs and equipment depreciation still need to be deducted from revenue, so the increase shown in the monthly report is not the increase in profit.USDC's circulating market cap shrank by about 1.6% over the past week, while USDT remained basically flat during the same period. Together, the two major USD stablecoins have not shown a significant expansion. Interpreting the current market as a large influx of new funds lacks this piece of evidence at least.
According to DefiLlama data read tonight, USDC's circulating market cap is about $73 billion. This contraction is worth noting separately: selling BTC to exchange for USDC only changes the holder of the stablecoin and does not reduce its circulating quantity itself.
My judgment is that these two stablecoins currently do not provide the market with a larger stock of funds. Existing funds can still drive price fluctuations, but "price recovery" and "pool expansion" cannot be equated now. As for whether the reduced funds have moved to other stablecoins or other uses, this table does not provide an answer. At this very moment, I really feel lost, without direction and unsure where to go! Just saw a bit of sunlight, but it was instantly covered by clouds ☁️...
The chips locked in early on above are still pressing down; whenever the price approaches the dense trading zone, selling pressure could surge out at any time. For $BTC to truly open up upward space, it must first thoroughly absorb and hold the 85000 level; otherwise, this wave at best counts as a technical rebound after overselling, and most likely there will be a retest later.
$ETH’s situation is even clearer: it bounced from around 2350 to 2470, which looks like a recovery on the surface, but none of the key structural levels broken before have been reclaimed, so it’s still too early to say it’s reversed. In the short term, I only watch two anchor points: if it can’t pass 2520, it remains weak; if 2430 is lost, 2350 will most likely be retested again.
$SOL is also grinding back and forth with the market, swinging from 102 to 108, with the resistance above not easing at all. In this phase, rushing hard—even if the direction is guessed right—can easily get shaken out by repeated oscillations in the middle.
So my thinking is simple: wait for BTC to stabilize above 85000 before considering action, keep a close eye on ETH’s reactions at 2520 and 2430, and put SOL aside for now. In the mid to long term, I’m still bullish and even believe this cycle isn’t over yet, but being bullish is one thing, chasing every green candle is another.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 📊 1.59 million BTC capped! The long-short grinder starts
84,600, the bloodiest chip concentration zone on-chain 💀
URPD data: A cumulative turnover of 1.59 million $BTC BTC in this range, about 1.52 million chips are tightly stacked here, accounting for 12% of the entire network. The price dropped from 90,000 to 81,000 then bounced back to 82,500, repeatedly tugging at the edge of the dense zone—each approach is an extreme pressure test on the nerves of longs and shorts ⚔️
🐋 Bulls' trump card: Whales have aggressively bought 86,702 BTC in 3 weeks, exchange balances have fallen to the lowest in 2023. Funding rates have collectively turned negative, shorts are paying longs, and the leverage bubble has been fully squeezed out. If 83,000 holds, it’s a violent shakeout 💪
🏦 Bears' killing move: US government addresses transferred over $1.5 billion BTC to Coinbase Prime, spot ETF net outflows exceeded $700 million in nearly 3 days, real selling pressure in the US session. Once the trapped positions above 84,600 are released, the dense zone will instantly turn into a waterfall
🎯 My three watch lines
· 82,400 short-term support
· 83,300-84,600 core grinding zone
· 80,000 do-or-die line
The dense zone will likely be repeatedly shaken, but the on-chain chip structure favors bulls. Holding 82,400 is charging up, the target is first 87,000, a breakthrough opens the 90,000 space
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 Conclusion first: $TIA rose from 0.47 to 0.63 today, up 26% in 24 hours — this is not driven by the sector, but an independent rally supported by its own strength.
The key is on the 4H chart. The 0.50 USD level has been tested three times in the past month, each time holding firm around that price.
Today finally brought the result: the 4H candle closing at 08:00 directly broke above 0.60, with a volume of 18.57 million contracts, 11 times that of the same period the previous day. This is not emotional impulse, but a breakout after accumulation.
Looking at the volume rhythm: the 20:00 candle on October 10 was a warm-up (3.95 million contracts), at 0:00 it expanded to 9.55 million, at 4:00 it exploded to 18.10 million, and at 8:00 it maintained a high level of 18.57 million. Price moves first, volume follows, the rhythm is very healthy.
Today's market background is BTC steady around 83k, breadth is slightly warm but most altcoins are quiet. TIA moving now indicates that capital is starting to actively select sectors, rather than simply waiting for the overall market to lead.
There have been no major catalysts recently in the Celestia ecosystem; this breakout is more due to technical strength itself. But frankly, after a real breakout, no explanation is needed — the market is always right.
Do you think 0.63 can hold?8.6 billion USD worth of long and short positions are on the line, with shorts exceeding longs by 600 million.
Outsiders might not feel it, so to put it another way: a group of the richest gamblers, now 60% are betting on a drop.
One address is even more aggressive, shorting $ETH at $2322 with 5x leverage on full margin, currently floating a loss of over 20 million USD.
Do you think he's panicking? I guess he's adding margin.
But interestingly, the longs are actually making money, while the shorts are losing.
The money hasn't left, both sides are just holding on stubbornly.
To put it bluntly, this market means: whoever blinks first loses.
As for direction? The big players themselves haven't figured it out, the long-short ratio is 0.86, close to even.
As a small retail investor, my only feeling after watching this is: they fight, I stay out of it.
Anyway, my small position isn't even enough to cover their fees.
#跟着OKX打卡2049
#OKX以250亿美元估值完成战略融资 $ETH Conquering yourself is the key. IQ differences are minimal, personality differences are significant. Courage is persisting despite fear; self-control is resisting the urge to act. Emotions are the biggest enemy in trading; reset your emotions after every operation. Beware of three impulsive moments: missing out, after consecutive successes, and after big losses. Staying out of the market is also a skill; don’t buy if you don’t have your own target. Cut losses when wrong, don’t hold onto illusions—trading is only about right or wrong, profits are up to the market. Refuse to borrow money for short-term trades; high leverage is like a knife to the neck. Only do what you can bear the consequences of.
$BTC $ETH $SOL $UNI $OKXBitcoin bounced back a bit again today. According to the current data, Bitcoin is at 83,000, ETH is around 2512, BNB is around 748, and HYPE is around 85.8.
In the past day, Bitcoin rose less than 1%, while the others increased by about 1% to 2%.
Here’s some solid bottom-fishing advice, not sure if everyone agrees:
On the day of the crash, I said I bottom-fished BNB; I bought at 726, posted at 736, and I have now sold everything at 750.
Those who made money bottom-fishing made money, those who got stuck got stuck. Both need to be aware, long-term and short-term should be distinguished. So when it comes to position control, I practice what I preach—positions that should be cut must be cut.
Never keep averaging down every time. If you keep bottom-fishing but don’t sell, holding on and on, short-term gradually turns into long-term, the nature changes, and bigger positions can be deadly.
In this circle, if you have capital, opportunities are unlimited. Brothers, protect your capital and don’t mess around.