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$BTC, short at 82816.7, 100x leverage, currently floating profit 269%, mark price 80581, just glanced at the latest 80579. Honestly, this night is a bit tough. Not nervous, just watching it grind down from 86656 to 80351, like someone is slowly clearing the table—not smashing the market, just closing up shop. The big bullish candle is gone, the longs chasing are gone, and the news still pops up "Derive V3 migration, trading resumed," but watching it makes me want to turn it off. On-chain activity is lively, but the money in the market isn’t following, it’s all talk. When I shorted at 82816.7, I wasn’t pretending to be a genius. I just saw that 84 and 83 couldn’t hold, and 82 was still stubborn, but once it broke, it went with the flow. Now all the moving averages are pressing down on the head: 81945, 82762, 84118, 84591, 84406, 84071, and the price 80579 is lying below, like someone who wasn’t invited but is still lingering in the hall. 269% profit makes me happy, but I’m not getting carried away. 80351 is the immediate low; whether it breaks or not, let it go its own way; if it breaks 80k with volume, I’m looking around 78800. If it can’t rebound back to 81900-82800, then the bulls’ "bottom fishing" looks like handing me a knife. If it really stands back at 82816, I’m out, no fighting, no arguing with the chart.To conclude first: $ETH is not a slow bear; it was the 4H volume spike at dawn that woke everyone up. 24h dropped 5.28%, from 2554 to 2417, with a trading volume of 9.8 billion. The key is the 4H candle at 20:00 on 10-08: O 2536.43, H 2541, H-O almost zero—opened and got smashed immediately, no buying resistance; L 2428, single candle -4.3%; volume 18,917,686 ETH (about $47B nominal value). Previously, ETH volume in the last 12 4H periods ranged between 1-5M. This one directly hit 18.9M, 8-10 times the baseline, 3.7 times the previous 5.14M candle. Immediately after, at 00:00, volume was already 7.72M ETH, L 2405 broke a new low again. Typical chain liquidation fingerprint: almost zero upper wick → direct waterfall → high volume bearish close → no decent rebound. Longs caught at the top got liquidated in a chain, passive selling pressure piled up, no real buying support. Breadth: 274 coins, 241 down, median -5.94%. BTC also down -2.96%. This ETH candle tells you: these days are not a "buy the dip" script, but a "don’t catch a falling knife" script. Seeing this volume level at 2 AM, what you should do is not place orders watching the chart, but go back to sleep and wait for daylight. This soul-cutting $ETH candle—do you think 2400 can hold?🔥The biggest mistake people make with BTC right now is thinking "it's time to buy the dip" just because it has dropped several thousand points. 📉 Behind this round of decline, both macro factors and leverage are applying pressure simultaneously: US Treasury yields surged, the dollar strengthened, the Fed remains hawkish, and a large number of long positions were forcibly liquidated. 🧠 So my current strategy is simple: don't guess the bottom, only act on confirmation. #DailyOrbit If you can't hold your position, go into spot trading; if you can't hold spot, then put it into on-chain DeFi. Remember not to be long one moment and short the next! It took me a year to learn this lesson. Hype lost 20%, Uni lost 100%, ZEC scared me off, Lit was abandoned due to insufficient funds for allocation, Zmam was the same, Aave lost 30%. Looking back at half a year of painful experience, the biggest problem was being indecisive.The regulatory scythe falls, ZEC rises against the trend, and a U.S. court rules that users accessing Tornado Cash from Manhattan can have the developers tried in New York. The founder of Bitcoin Fog was also upheld in conviction. The logic is absurd: law enforcement in Washington deposited 250 USD worth of BTC and thus claimed jurisdiction there. Privacy tools are facing unprecedented long-arm suppression. At this moment, ZEC rose 1.81% against the trend, quoted at 1135 USD. Why? With mixers under siege, funds can only seek refuge in established privacy coins. ZEC comes with zero-knowledge proofs, becoming an outlet for sentiment. But don’t get carried away. The regulatory blade could fall on ZEC at any time. Privacy is a rigid demand, but compliance is the lifeline.Writing 📊 BTC, STRK & JUP: The Market Is Getting Interesting $BTC continues to test the lows around $82,093, while $STRK has surged 22% and $JUP is still up around 13.7% despite pulling back from its intraday high. 🔹 $BTC: Below the 1H EMA20 at $82,910, RSI near 28. Positions are rising while price falls, suggesting leverage is building but long pressure has not fully cleared. 🔹 support is around $81,200. No FOMO. No chasing candles. Let BTC confirm the direction first.#DailyOrbit $PYTH Pyth Network has launched a 100% rule, using all DAO funds to repurchase PYTH tokens as reserves, providing continuous buy-side support for the token. At the same time, its data business revenue grew rapidly from less than $1 million at the end of 2025 to $11.5 million by September 2026, demonstrating rapid business expansion. Currently, the reserves hold 42 million PYTH tokens, reflecting the project's confidence in long-term value. Market Notes: Bears Pressing In, Who Can Hold On? After $BTC lost the 82700 support line, the bears clearly took control of the pace. The low hit 82100, though it was quickly pulled back near 87800, this rebound feels more like a breather: buying power is weak, MACD shows a death cross below the zero line, and the 82000 level looks shaky. If it breaks down again, the downside space could continue to open up. $ETH is showing strength today. After dipping to 2532, it has been hovering above 2555 with some patching up, not collapsing along with BTC. However, many are bottom-fishing above support, so the chips haven't been fully washed out, which might not be a good sign. Personally, I feel another dip to shake out positions would make the trend healthier. $MET paints a different picture: bulls pushed from 0.31 all the way to 0.53, a one-sided short squeeze with bears powerless to fight back. Earlier short positions got stopped out at 0.85, narrowly avoiding disaster. If the rally loses steam later, consider shorting again. Regarding positions, I’m still holding short positions on ETH and the Nasdaq. The Nasdaq almost stopped me out in the morning session, and profits have mostly been given back, but thankfully I didn’t let go. The above are just my personal market insights and do not constitute any trading advice. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 At 2 a.m., the light from the computer screen hit my face. Just about to close the software and sleep, I glanced at my XRP position: a 100x short opened at 1.5171, now at 1.3265, with an unrealized profit of 1256.34%. Honestly, my heart skipped a beat when the numbers popped up. But staying up late is risky—100x leverage means a 1% reversal can halve profits. I rubbed my eyes and set conditional orders: first, cut 80% of the position at the current price to lock in profits, then protect the remaining position by moving the stop to 1.40. 1.30 is short-term support; if it breaks, watch 1.20. If it rebounds to 1.40, reduce the position; if it returns to 1.5171, exit fully. I brewed a cup of cold tea and turned off my phone. Paper profits aren’t the balance—getting a good night's sleep is more important than holding on for a few more points. $BTC $ETH #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ $ETH, short at 2558.55, 100x leverage, currently floating profit 562%, mark price 2414.52. The 4-hour chart doesn't look good for any embellishment: dropped from 2724, couldn't hold at 2586, then chopped down in segments, now hovering around 2405. MA5 2503, MA10 2541, MA20 2617, MA30 2647, MA60 2668, MA120 2675, price 2414 all below, moving averages like a lid pressing down. News also popped up: "Soda Labs $3 million seed round, led by NextBlock," which just makes me laugh. Stories are told, but money doesn't follow. The price slid from 2558 to 2414; there were attempts to rebound in between, but all rebounds were weak, buying pressure felt like passersby, not guests staying. I shorted in at 2558.55 with one thought: fake strength above, real weakness below. Holding 562% now, not pretending to be calm, nor getting overconfident. 2405 is the immediate low; whether it breaks or not, I'll wait for it to play out; if it breaks with volume, watch 2380, 2350. If rebounds can't reach 2500-2540, the bearish trend remains. If it truly stands back at 2558, I'll exit, no emotional attachment to the chart.UNI secures a 10-year banking contract; price decline cannot overshadow fundamental evolution. Unipol and Bper Banca announce extension of their bancassurance partnership for 10 years. Traditional financial institutions value technological availability and regulatory stability over short-term token price fluctuations. A 10-year contract signifies that the UNI protocol has passed the most rigorous commercial tests and has been integrated into mainstream financial workflows. However, token holders have not gained direct benefits from this — a common "value capture" dilemma faced by DeFi tokens. Market impact: fundamentals are improving while prices are falling. This divergence indicates that current selling pressure stems more from market sentiment and liquidity contraction rather than deterioration of project fundamentals. In the long term, whoever solves the value capture issue first will lead the way out of the quagmire. $BTC: Market suppressed, passively following. $XRP: No direct correlation, following market fluctuations. $UNI: Short-term oversold, mid-term logic recognized by institutions. Institutions look at ten years, retail investors look at three days. UNI's decline may actually be a window for long-term capital to quietly position itself. CRYPTO MARKET TURNS RISK-OFF Bitcoin is testing $81K as ETF outflows, rising oil prices, and leveraged liquidations pressure risk assets. → BTC: ~$81K → BTC ETFs: ~$485M outflow → ETH ETFs: $161M outflow → Oil: Brent ~$103–105 → Stablecoins: ~$300–305B The market is deleveraging, not capitulating. ETF flows, oil, and macro sentiment remain key. $BTC #BTCETFFlowParadox Finally, it's my turn to take the profit! I want to say thanks to the whale, no need to go to the kitchen to get your dollars today! 😎 --- Earlier I was complaining about the whale slowly eating away my profits, but this early morning plunge was a total free fall! From 82,000 straight down through 81,000, hitting a low of 80,351. My take-profit order perfectly triggered at 81,865! 【This short position, from being trapped to taking. $BTC #DailyOrbit $BTC $XAU — Were We Misled by Last Night’s PCE Data? The market may have misread yesterday’s PCE data. The U.S. Department of Commerce reportedly changed the statistical methodology behind several key PCE indicators, which significantly affected the reported numbers. For example, July’s expected reading was 3.3%, but under the revised methodology, the reported figure came in at 3.0% — a 30bp difference. #DailyOrbit When $XRP has a floating profit of 608%, what you should think about is not "how much more can it rise," but "how not to lose it back." Short at 1.4129, mark price at 1.3269, with 100x leverage, every 1% reverse movement eats about 100% of the floating profit. The current price is only 6.1% away from the entry point, meaning a rebound to 1.38 will bring you back to break-even. XRP's short-term downtrend is clear, but there is dense buying below 1.32, and the funding rate, after an extreme negative value, could reverse at any time, driving a short squeeze. My trading discipline is: floating profit is not money, closing the position is. I plan to close 75% of the position to lock in profits directly, and set the remaining 25% as a "zero-cost position" — moving the stop loss to 1.338; if it falls below 1.30, I will watch 1.25; if it rebounds above 1.35, I will take full profit and exit, using the smallest exposure to bet on the tail-end move. $ETH $BTC #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ Bitcoin is under pressure. Solana is under pressure too. But here's what I find interesting: When the market turns defensive, higher-beta assets usually reveal that risk appetite is disappearing faster. That's why I watch SOL alongside BTC. Not because they move the same way. Because they often reveal different levels of risk appetite. #DailyOrbit 40u challenge to 15k u Day 38 After a pullback, the yield hits a new high Principal 40u, target 15k u Current profit: 186U Crypto circle today's detailed breakdown: BTC bleeding, ETH critical, ZEC overdosed, SOL lying flat playing dead 😅 --- $BTC bleeding #ETF still flowing in, why is BTC falling? BTC currently around $82,300-83,000, down over 1.5% in 24 hours, having broken below the daily uptrend support at 82,500. The "good news" from the non-farm payrolls lasted less than 24 hours, with October rate hike probability dropping to 17%, but the 10-year US Treasury yield rose instead of falling, jumping from 5.16% to 5.36%, and the 30-year hit 5.73%, both reaching 24-year highs. Short-term expectations are down, long-term yields remain unchanged — this is the real problem. The ETF side is even more painful. On October 7, a single-day net outflow of $485 million occurred, the largest single-day outflow since June, wiping out all net inflows since October began. On October 6, there was still a $119 million net inflow; IBIT was holding, but flipped the next day. 87,000 is the ceiling; after breaking 82,500, the next defense line is at 80,700-81,000. The IV line is not infusing liquidity but drawing blood back. --- $ETH critical #FollowOKXCheckIn2049 ETH currently around $2,532-2,571, down about 1.3% in 24 hours, having broken the key support at 2,565, which has now turned from support into resistance. ETF has had net outflows for 7 consecutive trading days, totaling over $408 million, with $161 million running out on October 7 alone; BlackRock's ETHA withdrew $116 million. More dangerously, whale liquidation risk is expanding, with multiple pressures simultaneously applied. The short position liquidation pressure at 2,816 remains, 73% of positions are long with no improvement in crowding, and the price has broken the short-term uptrend structure. Critical as it is, after breaking 2,565, 2,450-2,480 is the next observation point. --- $ZEC overdosed #Global long-term government bond yields rise to multi-year highs ZEC has retraced 29% from $1,697, touching lows today at $1,199-1,241, currently around $1,210-1,235, down 6%-8% in 24 hours. The effect is not fading, it's overdosed. Grayscale Zcash ETF (ZCSH) had a weekly outflow of $93.56 million last week, with no net inflows since September 22, and cumulative net inflows shrinking from $233 million to $201 million. After trading sideways between $1,271-1,369 for 5 days, the price finally broke down. The $1,233 lifeline is broken, next is the $1,199 low test. Overdosing leads to this outcome, don't catch a flying knife. --- SOL lying flat playing dead SOL has been kicked down from $123.8 to $110-112, dropping 10% in two days, currently around $111.92, down 3.77% in 24 hours. ETF fund flows plunged from a net inflow of $188 million in the last week of September to $2.42 million last week, with net outflows for three consecutive trading days on October 5, 6, and 7 totaling $17.7 million; Bitwise BSOL alone withdrew $7.12 million. Three consecutive days of bleeding. More trouble comes from oil prices — Brent crude returned above $104, 10-year US Treasury yield remains high at 5.34%, multiple macro pressures converge. SOL's 7-day SMA is at 119.57, 20-day SMA at 116.31, and the price has broken both. $110-116 is the current support zone, $104 is the next downside target. Playing dead or not, the rope is already frayed. --- The non-farm payroll good news was strangled by long-term US Treasury yields and oil prices. BTC ETF had a single-day outflow of $485 million, a June record; ETH ETF has bled for 7 consecutive days totaling over $400 million; ZEC ETF has had zero net inflows since September 22; SOL ETF has had net outflows for 3 consecutive days. The October rate hike probability has indeed dropped to 17%, and the market has basically priced it out. But long-term yields have risen for the fifth consecutive week to 5.36%, Brent crude is back above $104; these two mountains remain unmoved, making all rebounds a gamble. The good news is that BTC ETF cumulative net inflows in September still stand at $2.6 billion, institutional base remains. The bad news is that the first few days of October have given back more than half of September's gains. Hold your hands. 82,500 is broken, 80,700 is the next defense line. 😅 The recent sharp drop inevitably reminds people of the fear on the night of 10.11 a year ago. Since the trend reversal this year, we seem to have witnessed many myths, but in fact, only 5 major coins still have positive returns compared to back then: - $ZEC - $HYPE - $NEAR - $UNI - $TRX Even among the survivors, 4 tokens have hit or approached a 50% drop during this period, with only $TRX performing steadily. Who said you can't participate in Sun Ge's project? #DailyOrbit The primary task of trading is not about how much money you make, but about managing your own behavior, keeping risk always within a controllable range, and maintaining consistency in your trading logic. 1. The first principle of trading: control behavior, then profit The market trend cannot be decided by us, and the result of a single trade cannot be fully controlled, but we can control our own behavior. * Can you wait to enter at the planned position? * Can you stop loss according to the predefined logic? * After making a profit, can you follow the original exit rules? * After consecutive losses, can you stop instead of rushing to recover? * When there is no opportunity in the market, can you resist trading? Profit is the result of the long-term operation of the trading system, not a task that must be completed in every trade. If you put profit first, you are likely to change the rules just to make money; if you put risk and behavior control first, you have a chance to stay in the market for the long term. You cannot require every trade to be profitable, but you can require every trade to comply with your own rules. 2. Different trading cycles require different behavior standards 1. Short-term trading: quick in and quick out The core is to capture price changes within a short time. Entry reasons, invalidation conditions, and exit methods must be clear; you cannot temporarily turn short-term trading into swing trading just because of losses. Behavioral discipline: no delay, no fighting to the end, no arbitrarily expanding stop loss. 2. Intraday trading: complete the trading plan within the day Mainly capturing intraday market movements, without carrying overnight risk into the account. If the rules specify no overnight positions, you must close positions within the specified time,⚠️ WHAT'S DRIVING THE TAPE: 1️⃣ Macro Friction: Rumors of potential military strike options push Brent crude over $105/bbl. Hawkish Fed minutes revive rate hike fears, sinking tech & crypto. 2️⃣ Mega RWA Launch: Securitize officially rolls out tokenized Apple, Nvidia, and Microsoft stocks on the Solana blockchain with economic share rights. 3️⃣ Samsung Adoption: Samsung Wallet integrates Solana-powered USDC stablecoin transfers across 82 million U.S. Galaxy devices. #DailyOrbit Revoking delegation is a stop-loss action, not an asset recovery button. After detecting an abnormal delegation, pointing EIP-7702 to a null address can restore the account to a state without delegation code. This step is crucial, but it can only terminate subsequent logic; it cannot reverse transfers that have already occurred, nor can it automatically revoke prior authorizations granted to token contracts, lending protocols, or trading applications. Treating "clear delegation" as a "one-click recovery" will cause one to miss the real window for proper handling. A more complete emergency procedure should revolve around control: first, use a trusted device to check if the root private key is still secure; then remove suspicious delegations, check token authorizations and session keys; finally, migrate high-value $ETH to a new secure account. If the root key itself has been compromised, repeatedly revoking on the old address alone still allows the attacker to reset delegations with the same key, leading to a race condition between both parties. Account abstraction equips wallets with more repair tools but does not change the fact that on-chain transactions cannot be arbitrarily rolled back. The value of security design lies in shortening the time between detection and loss prevention, not in promising full recovery after an incident. For holders, rehearsing the recovery process in advance is more useful than studying buttons only after a problem occurs.In the afternoon, BTC dipped with a wick down to 82150 before gradually recovering, rebounding above 83200, and has not refreshed a new low for now. In contrast, Ethereum's earlier trend was resistant to both rises and falls; after dipping to 2543 in the afternoon, the rebound was weak, followed by a direct drop to a new low of 2525, showing a clearly weaker trend. The short-term strategy focuses on shorting the rebound: BTC: open short positions around 83300, add to shorts. #DailyOrbit $BTC came back late tonight but still streamed for almost 2 hours, so let's summarize today's market views. Following the post this morning reminding everyone not to rush to bottom-fish, the early session close candlestick clearly showed the bears just starting and no bottom yet. Tonight it directly dropped to around 80300. The live room gave a strategy: 80388 for the initial position - 78888 for the add-on position. The initial position has already been filled. The current resistance zone on the rebound is in the 81800-82300 range, which is the previous low and the area where earlier short positions were trapped and then released. The first drop to the 80,000 level should still see some slight rebound. If it can't even rebound here and stops in the 81300-81500 range, then the drop to the 80,000 level will definitely break through. So friends who got filled at 80388 should pay attention to the rebound, either exit on your own or set a stop loss at your cost price.Once the $SOL trend is established, it won't easily reverse. I just hope it doesn't hit my break-even line and force me out, just like in my previous post, where Bitcoin will have another deep drop around 55000, and sol will be near 70.Trump says the US and Iran are having productive talks and will not attack Iran before the midterm elections US stocks also plunged, and Trump, as usual, came out with positive news, but once the sentiment turns bad, even positive news can't save BTC and ETH. Let alone SNDK, MU, Micron, and the like? It's all about shared fortunes. $BTC $ETH During the narrative downturn, shorting small-cap coins offers great cost-effectiveness, and $SAND has directly achieved triple returns in this wave. $SAND is essentially a blockchain game + metaverse concept coin, with its market driven entirely by narrative and hype. After this rebound, no new ecological benefits have materialized, and the old stories can no longer be hyped, so funds naturally begin to withdraw. Coupled with the recent decline in overall market risk appetite, small-cap coins generally fall more than mainstream coins. Technically, the four-hour chart shows multiple failed attempts to break the 0.07 resistance level, with volume continuously shrinking; after confirming a bearish divergence, the price broke down, officially starting a bearish trend. I entered a short position around 0.06973, currently yielding 307.61%. Operationally, I have already taken partial profits at the first target level, securing most of the position to lock in gains, while keeping the remaining base position with a trailing stop to continue holding, aiming to play for deeper support levels below. $ZEC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Absolutely — here’s a natural, polished English version for posting: Why Is BTC Falling Despite ETF Inflows? #September FOMC Minutes: Most Officials Still Lean Toward Another Rate Hike I just finished reading the September FOMC minutes, and my first reaction was: the hawkish rhetoric sounds scarier than the actual data.#DailyOrbit $MUBARAK This shot hurts more than the nurse's injection MUBARAK's price plunged from 0.0797 to 0.074 within 1 hour. Those who chased the pump just shouted "Go!" and were carried away the next second. 24-hour high was 0.0785, low 0.0702, with volatility exceeding 11%. Meme coins have thin liquidity and heavy sentiment; when the contract squeezes, it's a cut both ways. What you see as a breakout, the whales see as your stop loss. The most frustrating part is, after the plunge, it pulled back to 0.0746, as if nothing happened. Nurses disinfect when giving injections, but Meme coin plunges only cause liquidations. This is just a market rant, not investment advice.Big brother Maji really suffered a brutal hit this time. The total position plummeted directly from the previous 111 million to the current 14.73 million USD. BTC, HYPE, and PUMP are all gone, probably liquidated or cut losses. Now the account only has ETH left as the sole survivor, still holding on desperately. Look at the ETH data. The quantity sharply dropped from the previous 39,000 coins to the current 6,100 coins. 25x full position, entry price 2624. Currently floating loss is over 1.27 million USD. The most outrageous is the funding fee, which actually cost 1.34 million, the funding fee is even more than the floating loss, this is basically the market mercilessly draining blood on the ground. The most critical is the liquidation price. 2380. Based on the current value, the current price is about 2415, only about 35 USD away from the liquidation line, less than 1.5% margin. Just a slight drop and this position will be gone. The previous 111 million big long position has now shrunk to just over 10 million, still hanging on the edge of a cliff. Big brother really got harshly schooled by the market this time. Let's see if these last 6,100 ETH can survive this life-and-death ordeal. $ETH $HYPE $BTC The current pressure on crypto isn't simply because spot buyers disappeared. The bigger issue is that higher risk-free rates are compressing the valuation ceiling for risk assets. On October 7, long-term yields moved sharply higher across major markets. The US 10Y approached 5.36% and the 30Y around 5.70%, while UK and European long-duration yields also came under pressure. Why? Markets are repricing several risks at once: higher oil prices, sticky inflation, fiscal deficits and bond supply, pluPreviously, the crypto market theme was hotly speculated, and SNDK experienced a strong rally. The community was bullish, and while the price continued to rise, selling pressure above kept accumulating. After the market weakened, a correction began. $SNDK perpetual contract shorted at 75x leverage, opening average price 1698.9, achieving a 418.06% position profit. High-level oscillations caused a shakeout; after being trapped by chasing highs, the price continued to decline. Not swayed by bullish sentiment, firmly held the position through this correction. Held short positions continuously moved down to take profits and lock in gains, with small positions continuing to speculate on deeper downside. If you haven't entered yet, don't blindly follow the short trend; don't be misled by continuous declines. Patiently wait for a rebound to meet resistance before considering entry timing. After the concentrated release of bearish power, a quick rebound could come at any time. Prepare in advance to respond. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $UNI positioning looks more concerning than the K-line suggests. Top traders show a 2.05:1 long-to-short ratio, while about 61.6% of retail accounts are long. Yet the 1-hour active buy/sell ratio is only 0.9437, suggesting selling pressure is still present. Technically, RSI sits around 47.9, while UNI has fallen more than 10% over the past week. Among major ETH-based DeFi tokens, UNI is currently showing significant weakness. The bigger catalyst is the upcoming CME UNI futures launch. Standard cJust received a notification that my ZEC was forcibly liquidated. Took a glance, and it has actually dropped to 1248… sigh 😑 Opened the position at 1470, said when it breaks below 1300 at 1325 I’d accept it, now it’s 1248, long broken, yet I’m still holding on stubbornly. This is a classic case of knowing but not acting accordingly. This volatile coin smashed down from 1697, dropping 450 points, without even a decent rebound in between, completely crushing all the “I think it’s bottomed” hopes. I scanned the order book, there are sparse buy orders around 1240-1250, but they’re scattered; sell orders are stacked, volume isn’t big, price just can’t rise, bulls have totally lost their edge. The next support below is 1200-1220; if that breaks, we’re looking at 1150 or even 1100. $ZEC Key levels I’ll mark: Support: 1200-1220, if it breaks I’m really out, no emotional attachment. Resistance: 1280-1320, if it can’t rebound past this, it’s weak; if given a chance, I’ll run first. Didn’t follow the discipline I mentioned before, lost even more, I admit this lesson. ZEC is tough to trade both long and short; this time I chased longs recklessly, can’t blame anyone else. #DailyOrbit Still falling, can't sleep at all in the middle of the night The market is still going down, and I haven't slept until now. It's really about to liquidate. I originally thought this wave could hold, but it simply can't withstand it. Every time there's a slight rebound, it's immediately followed by another wave of dumping. It's so torturous. The decline is mainly due to interest rate hike expectations weighing on the market. No one dares to hold long positions. Whenever there's a rebound, someone sells off. The bulls lack confidence, and buying power can't keep up, so the rebounds are basically bull traps. $BTC current price is 80800, down about 2.8% today. It feels like it will break below 80000, heading to 76000. $ETH current price is 2420, down nearly 3.5% today, with support at 2360. $ZEC current price is 1140, falling even harder, down over 4.8% intraday, with support at 1000. Today's trend is a weak rebound followed by further decline, no decent rebound. Market panic is rising, and any slight rebound is immediately crushed. The current trend is clearly weak. Don't rush to bottom-fish. The short-term outlook likely continues to oscillate downward. Wait until the price falls to support levels and you see signs of stabilization before considering small position entries. Don't hold hard before it stabilizes. In this market, it's easy to get trapped deeper and deeper. Prioritize protecting your principal. ⚠️ Personal market review, not investment advice Watching others get liquidated every day, now it's my turn. $ZEC really lives up to being a privacy coin; no clue who the hell is dumping it, just keeps dropping relentlessly. On 1119, give me a peak explosion, sigh, it's a headache. I can't even bear to buy a pair of sneakers, now I've given everything to the crypto world. $BTC is now around 81,200, down 2.6% in 24 hours, and the 83,000 short confirmation level has been broken through. FxPro said early on, once broken, it's a fast run down to 80,000. The trigger isn't even in crypto—the White House has Pentagon preparing strike plans against Iran, Brent crude surged past 105 in one go, and the 10-year US Treasury yield returned to 5.31%, hitting risk assets together. $ETH is worse, around 2,430, down over 5% in 24 hours, twice the drop of BTC. Today is a no-discrimination massacre: SOL down 7%, ADA down 10%, ZEC down straight 14%. This is the crypto world. Tuition paid, let it explode.🚨 SpaceX is going all-in on satellites + AI infrastructure. With plans for 15,000 D2D satellites and a reported $40B Nvidia chip purchase, capital spending is accelerating. But funding costs are rising too, with SpaceX’s 5Y CDS reportedly hitting a record high. For crypto, the impact is indirect: massive AI/space investments can absorb risk capital, while elevated long-term Treasury yields keep pressure on $BTC. $BTC short from 86.5K remains open: $BTC $ETH $ZEC #DailyOrbit $ZEC privacy coin is really going crazy this round. ZEC is now fluctuating around 1330, up more than 700% since the beginning of the year. After hitting the all-time high of 1699 on September 26, it started to pull back. The entire privacy sector has risen 205% since April, adding $24.5 billion in market cap out of nowhere, with real capital flowing in. Catalysts keep coming one after another. On October 6, the Winklevoss twins filed an S-1 for a spot Zcash ETF with the SEC, ticker WINK, with a 0.25% fee, custody by Gemini, and they even said they would take up to $100 million in shares, directly competing with Grayscale's ZCSH. Grayscale's ETF launched on the NYSE on August 25; it had outflows of over $90 million a week earlier, now only a few million daily, bleeding slowly. On the technical side, the NU7 upgrade is running on the testnet, with a mainnet activation vote on October 20 and deployment around November 5, cutting block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds. FinCEN also withdrew two proposals related to monitoring wallets and coin mixing, which privacy advocates are celebrating as a victory. But a 7x increase in a year can be punctured anytime. On-chain, whales have opened short positions worth over $90 million, and ZEC is on that list. NU7 is also criticized for cutting old privacy features. Support is seen at 1300, breaking 1200 is bearish; resistance at 1500, and to break the previous high of 1699 depends on ETF approval. The spring for privacy coins depends on ETFs and regulatory easing, but the rapid rise is the original sin. Keep a small position to ride along, don't treat it as a belief.10.08 Today I opened a short position on BTC. This is my first trade after about 10 days of rest following the two stop-loss trades above. The stop-losses on those two trades really hit me hard, making all my trades in September go to waste. Sigh, I was really anxious at the time. After losing a bit, I started opening trades recklessly, setting stop-losses randomly, adding leverage and positions chaotically, just hoping to recover quickly. But this only made me lose more. This isn't the first time I've done this. I hope it's the last. When trading, emotional fluctuations are inevitable, but you must control your emotions and hands. Don't open trades recklessly. Trust your judgment on the direction and stick firmly to your trading discipline. Try not to frequently adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels except in special cases like news events, as it really affects your mindset. The idea behind this trade: This downtrend started with Ethereum, followed by Solana. Ethereum has reached a 4-hour level consolidation zone (the September uptrend consolidation area), but BTC hasn't reached the consolidation zone yet. So I judge that BTC will catch up with the drop, hence I opened a short. Stop-loss is set at the breakout direction point, take-profit in the middle of the consolidation zone. Finally, let's analyze SNDK: There hasn't been much movement this month, just ups and downs, wasting time. My thoughts remain the same as in September. I believe late October will be the time for SNDK, Micron, Hynix, and other storage industry stocks to show direction. $BTC $ETH $SNDK#DailyOrbit 🚨 Samsung’s Q3 profit exploded — but its stock still fell 2.42%. Operating profit hit a record KRW 107.4T, up 782.5% YoY, driven by AI demand and stronger HBM, DRAM & NAND prices. But the market is asking: how long can the memory boom last? 📉 For crypto, the impact is indirect. Strong AI/hardware demand can pull risk capital away from $BTC, while high U.S. Treasury yields keep pressure on risk assets. Manage risk. No heavy leverage. $BTC $ETH #DailyOrbit 🚨 $BTC vs $ETH : Smart Money positioning has shifted dramatically! 📉 BTC longs have dropped from $2.92B to $1.59B. Their +$100M profit has turned into an $11.8M loss. ETH tells a similar story. Longs now hold $950M, with -$39M unrealized losses, while shorts are up +$32.6M. 👀 Despite the sell-off, fresh 30-minute buying exceeds selling on both. My outlook: Longs have taken a serious hit, but buyers are starting to fight back. #DailyOrbit ZEC leads the privacy narrative as AI-driven surveillance raises new questions about onchain transparency. $BTC remains the digital gold benchmark while $ETH powers smart contracts and decentralized applications.A broad sell-off is testing market confidence, and ZEC faces added pressure after its explosive rally. Privacy, scarcity, and utility remain three powerful crypto narratives but price action must confirm the thesis Which will rebound first and lead. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #DailyOrbit Really fed up, Brother Zhuang, who pissed you off this time? With today's market, it feels like I'm the only one being targeted. Looking at these three charts, my hands are shaking. Holding a BTC long position all day, finally cut at 81,861, losing 26.72U. Yesterday I was still relieved to break even, today they just crushed me, breaking through the previous low of 82,163, dropping all the way to 80,351. Today's account loss is -4000. The curve slid from 88,804 down to 84,687, and at the end of the session it plunged straight down. The spot side is even worse, ETH waterfall, my spot position is losing badly, the contract is losing badly too, getting hit from both sides, no way out. Today I really got beaten down by the dog market maker. From floating loss to floating profit and then to cutting losses, finally cut at 81,861, and it didn’t bounce back, just stayed around 80,700. Spot ETH waterfall, contract BTC plunge, how did I manage to get hit on both sides? Is this market deliberately going against me? Totally wiped out, really wiped out. It’s not about the money, it’s this suffocating feeling of being repeatedly harvested with no way to fight back. I'm afraid I might really do something irrational. Really exhausted. $BTC #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Bitcoin breaking below 84,000 dragged the entire market down, with 487 million in leveraged long positions liquidated directly, and Ethereum also falling below 2,600. Macro pressure combined with liquidation cascades means the market is weak in the short term. S&P is working on a crypto lending risk control framework, which is positive in the long run but doesn't solve immediate problems. PYTH is using all its revenue for buybacks, pulling up 12% against the trend, indicating that coins with real positive fundamentals can still run independent rallies. The wind picked up late at night, so I tightened the booth window and continued monitoring the market. OGN is currently priced at 0.0481, with a vertical surge in the four-hour chart, severely deviating from the moving averages and extremely overbought. Looking at the liquidation map, short positions below have basically been cleared, while long stop losses are densely stacked above the current price. This structure is very dangerous; after a bull trap, a waterfall drop is likely. Short-term momentum has already exhausted, and the main force is likely distributing at high levels, with a potential sudden spike down to retest liquidity. Do not chase the rally. In terms of strategy, consider short positions. Enter shorts in batches between 0.0480 and 0.0485, with stop loss above 0.0495, take profit first target at 0.0450, and if broken, look at 0.0430. Avoid longs for now; wait for a pullback near 0.0450 to see if support holds before deciding. Control position size, avoid heavy exposure. $OGN #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ @OKX星球 🚨 SpaceX is going all-in on satellites + AI infrastructure. With plans for 15,000 D2D satellites and a reported $40B Nvidia chip purchase, capital spending is accelerating. But funding costs are rising too, with SpaceX’s 5Y CDS reportedly hitting a record high. For crypto, the impact is indirect: massive AI/space investments can absorb risk capital, while elevated long-term Treasury yields keep pressure on $BTC. $BTC short from 86.5K remains open: $BTC $ETH $ZEC #DailyOrbit No more pretending, no more pretending, everyone is starting to stop pretending Brent crude oil surged 5% tonight in one move, reaching 105.33. A few days ago, the Houthis bombed Riyadh airport and Aramco's refinery, but oil prices stayed flat, playing dead. I thought it would keep playing dead until next week. Tonight, it can't pretend anymore. One change is more worth watching than the price increase itself. Before, when Trump shouted, oil prices would jump. Tonight, he said nothing, and oil prices rose on their own. Traders have become desensitized to his words; now they only watch one thing: where the oil actually flows. The era of shouting is over; the era of watching actions has arrived. The G7's release of 100 million barrels didn't even make a splash. Look at this transmission chain, link by link. Oil at 105, inflation expectations rise, the 10-year US Treasury yield hits 5.31%, US stocks open lower, Bitcoin falls below 82,000, now at 81,973, and Ethereum follows down to 2,514. Oil has never been just about other markets; oil is the tax on all markets. A few days ago at 89, no one believed it; now at 105, everyone believes it. Prices are always more honest than words, just a bit more expensive. My own discipline: having just paid tuition in the meat grinder, I neither chase the rally nor catch the falling knife in this market. The faster it rises, the more you have to ask yourself: is the supply channel blocked? If not blocked, it's not just sentiment, it's a trend. #DailyOrbit Account Position Divergence Radar｜Last 15 Minutes $XRP top accounts are more bullish, positions are more bearish, divergence narrowing mainly from the account side. Bullish accounts ratio 57.8%→56.4%, bullish positions ratio 47.1%→46.9%; gap narrowed by 1.25 percentage points.Brothers, waking up from one sleep, waking up from two sleeps, many longs have been trapped these days. In this market, only having stop-loss is the right choice. If you lose, you have to accept it. If you are wrong and don't correct it, the market will teach you a lesson! Holding onto losing positions is a particularly foolish act! Healthy rallies always have normal pullbacks. Don't always think about going all-in to win big; gradually build your long positions. No one can be invincible by winning both long and short. Enter at support points, and if wrong, take the loss. I also bear responsibility. There is no god; I can only admit mistakes and correct them, review the market! Adjust mentality, keep going, brothers. Dabing shouted in the group to open longs at 80388. I don't know if they were scared by this market. Overall, it's just the US stock market hitting new highs and then pulling back. Dabing followed the overall pullback, plus uncertainty from interest rate hikes! This ultimately formed the current situation. $BTC Dabing placed a long order today at 80388, take profit at 82000, stop loss at 79500, with lower supports at 78500, 76500, and 74888 for phased entries. Targets are 92000 and 95000. $ETH Erbing currently can't drop below 2400 for a while; you can enter a long at 2420 with stop loss at 2400, breaking that wait for 2350. Long entries at 2289 and 2150 for phased building, targets 2920 and 3000. ⚠️The above is for reference only, investment involves risks #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 I am truly the first person in history to open orders in the opposite direction! Who else! Who is more skilled than me? 👍🏻 $ETH again with a -200% return rate Those of you who don't understand the market don't know that you are opening opposite to me If you open the opposite side to me, you really don't know how much you would earn Every day you say I play small I play big with reverse indicators, I don't know how many times I've gone bankrupt I went all in 20x on ETH long positions, with an average entry price of 2690, thinking I could ride a wave of upward momentum, but instead it crashed off a cliff Previously with $ZEC too I started shorting at 800 If you opened opposite to me, you would have gotten 1600 directly Finally, I went long on ZEC at 1560 If you opened opposite to me Look at the price now, it's much higher Sigh #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ Previously, $SOL showed strong market momentum and gained widespread attention, with community enthusiasm continuing to rise. Many were optimistic about further new highs. While this optimistic sentiment pushed prices up, selling pressure above also kept accumulating, and once the overall market dipped, a deep correction began. The SOLUSDT perpetual contract was shorted at 100x leverage, with an opening average price of 121.62, achieving a position profit of 1285.15%. At high levels, the price oscillated back and forth for consolidation. After trapping those chasing highs, the price continued to decline. Not being swayed by the bullish sentiment, the position was firmly held through this correction. The short position was continuously moved down to take profits and lock in gains, while a small position continued to speculate on deeper downside. If you haven't entered the market yet, don't blindly follow the crowd to short. Don't be misled by the continuous downtrend; patiently wait for a rebound to meet resistance before considering entry. After the concentrated release of bearish power, a quick rebound could come at any time, so be prepared in advance. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Today's most notable divergence among small coins is that OKB, after retreating from the high of 143, can still hold around 130, HYPE dropped to 89, and XRP fell more than 5% in one day back to 1.43. All are corrections, but one is digesting a surge, one is still adjusting at a high level, and one has clearly started to lag behind. #SmallCoinsContinueToFilterStrengthAndWeakness #HighLevelChipsConcentratedCashOut $OKB is currently about 129.8, today's low was 128.2, 128–130 is the first support; if it holds, reclaiming 133–135 will give a chance to retest 139–140. Only after truly stabilizing above 140 can we talk about yesterday's high of 143.3. Breaking below 128 means guarding against a retest near 125. $HYPE is currently about 89.1, today's low was 88.8, 88–89 has become the first defense; after reclaiming 90, look at 92 first, only after truly reclaiming 94–95 can this round of adjustment after the 98 historical high be considered over. $XRP is currently about 1.43, today's low was 1.423, 1.42–1.43 is the first defense line; only after reclaiming 1.46 upwards can we look at 1.48–1.50, before reclaiming 1.46 it is considered a weak recovery. This lineup: OKB holds 128, HYPE waits for 90, XRP waits for 1.46. When the market is weak, the ones truly worth waiting for are the coins that can still hold the previous breakout zone.
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