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20:39, $AXS 20x short position, entered at 1.378, target at 1.2976, floating profit 116.69%. Entry basis: funding rate surged to an extremely high level, long leverage is too heavy.
The main force precisely harvested, large sell orders smashed through the long defense line. I decisively shorted at 1.378.
Price has moved far away from the moving average. Trading is a counterintuitive game; avoid crowded places, move the defensive stop down to 1.32. $ETH $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Stay true to your original intention, don’t get dazzled by +78.44%, $AVNT perpetual long 20x, entry at 0.13079, mark at 0.1359, this is just catching a low-level rebound, it doesn’t mean I’m omnipotent. Small coins rise like rockets and fall like returning flights; the flashier the chart, the more you need to stay grounded.
In recent days, AVNT mainly benefited from altcoin recovery, sector linkage, and small-cap fund rotation. After consolidation, a breakout easily triggers concentrated short covering; the trade logic is to go long after support holds, volume expands, and price stands back above short-term moving averages, controlling position size and leverage, not stubbornly guessing the top.
While holding positions, do two things well: raise your stop loss near cost, and take profits in batches; don’t be trapped by the phrase “while holding positions.” 20x leverage has some buffer but not much, thin order books causing spikes are normal. This trade is a market gift, don’t turn it into a gamble for your life, pocketing profits is the real comfort.
$AVNT $BTC $ETH 看上方红色箭头所指这里会不会形成小时级别的双顶形态，在未突破前高87300之前有概率形成小时级别的双顶形态。 当下的大饼在走86780-85443的盘整震荡，小时级别的双顶想形成首先要把86780-85443的盘整箱体跌破，小时级别的双顶才能成立才是一个有效的双顶，否则这只是一个潜在的双顶并非有效的双顶。 虽然大饼在上涨看上方白色箭头所指的位置，一直没有出现更高的高点反而出现了高点降低的趋势，这就是我为什么不去追多的原因。 出现高点降低就说明当前级别有回调需求，除非能突破前高87300出现更高的高点，才能打破小时级别形成双顶的危机，要么突破前高出现更高的高点回踩不出现低点我会去做多，或者现在走回调回踩箱体下边界或者84300附近我会找机会做多，否则我不会做多，别看见上涨就无脑冲容易多在半山腰。 大饼回调不跌破85443-85200就会一直围绕85443-86780的盘整箱体走盘整，一旦跌破盘整箱体，就会回到价格通道内部走盘整。 价格通道对应的价格就是斐波那契61.8和78.6的位置，大饼能回到价格通道内部出现底部信号是最理想的做多位置，不知道能不能给到。 而且斐波那契78.6的位置还是每个发行商自成体系,1000种RWA会不会变成1000个孤岛? 1/上一期聊了跨链层面的流动性碎片化,这一期要往上再爬一层:就算所有链都被打通了,不同发行商之间,凭什么互相信任对方的合规体系? 答案可能比想象中更悲观——即便大家都用同一套代币标准,孤岛问题依然存在 2/ 行业现状:每个平台都在自建一整套系统 主流观点明确承认这一点:RWA市场仍处于早期阶段,高度碎片化——几乎每个平台都在用自己的技术栈,这让互操作性和规模化都变得困难。就连ERC-3643标准的创建者自己也坦言,下一步要解决的正是"跨链和跨虚拟机"的碎片化问题。 3/ 更反直觉的真相:统一了代币标准,不等于统一了信任 目前行业公认的合规代币标准是ERC-3643(T-REX),它把身份验证、合规规则直接写进代币合约里。但关键问题在于:它的合规逻辑是"发行方专属"的,而不是一套共享的开放标准——不同发行方之间没有可移植的身份认证。 也就是说,你在Ondo的平台上完成了 KYC认证,这个身份在Securitize或者Franklin Templeton的平台上根本不被承认,你得重新走一遍流程。标准统一了外壳,身份和合规逻辑还$DOGE 50x long position, entered at 0.09314, target at 0.09574, floating profit 139.57%. Fully executed according to system signals.
My strategy only trades stocks with volume contraction and pullbacks that don't break support. Today DOGE fully meets the criteria: 0.093 support tested three times without breaking, volume contraction, large orders accumulating. Followed the signal decisively after it triggered.
Trading doesn't require daily operations; capturing two or three high-probability opportunities a week is enough. This trade was strong from the system, executed well. Continuing as planned. $ETH $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC is almost at 86300, $ETH has also surged to around 2723, this market really has me, a bear, completely confused 😂
I originally thought there would be a pullback here, but BTC just won't drop; whenever it dips a bit, someone immediately buys. ETH is even more extreme, it just goes up above 2700 as if on command, making me even suspect that 2800 is not far off.
Looking back at history, BTC peaked above 120,000, ETH once surged past 4000, even close to 5000, and it touched around 4000 more than once.
So I'm increasingly convinced that ETH might be the slow-burning monster coin in the crypto world. It usually drags along slowly, but once it enters a cycle, its rise is completely irrational.
I really don't understand how far this ETH wave can go, but for BTC, I think this round at least has a chance to break above 100,000.
But here's the problem:
I really don't want to go long!
I'm a bear!
I don't dare chase longs, and I'm afraid of being squeezed on shorts, so I can only watch it keep going up.
There is no universal tool in investing; the key is whether it fits your own capital plan. Especially position size—too heavy and drawdown pressure will be significantly amplified; controlling position size can ease psychological stress, but light positions don't mean no losses.
If the market gives no chance to bears, then just endure it for now. I'd rather miss a rally than force myself in just to prove I was right.
Opportunities always exist; there's no need to prove yourself in this wave.
Whether BTC can reach 100,000, or ETH can hit 2800 or even higher, let the market give the answer.
As for me, the bear, I'll just endure it for now 😂 $ETH slightly surged, and it's easy to get emotionally misled by short-term trends when watching the market. Seeing the price gradually rise, the mindset of holding positions is a tougher test than technical judgment.
I continue to hold my short positions, not frequently changing plans due to short-term floating losses. Trend reversals never happen instantly; high-level oscillations are the grinding phase.
Before the key resistance level at 2806 is firmly held, I do not believe the bulls will continue a major rally. Stick to your trading plan and wait for the market to give a clear signal of stagnation. $ETH #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $MON 50x short position, entered at 0.03419, target at 0.03169, floating profit 365.60%. This trade was made on a key support breakdown. A few days ago, the price formed a double top at 0.034, with the neckline at 0.0335.
This afternoon, volume increased and broke below the neckline. I waited for a pullback to confirm it wouldn't break 0.03419 before decisively entering the short.
Now the price has dropped to 0.03169, but the double top target hasn't been reached yet. This pattern has a very high success rate; understanding the structure allows you to capture large swings. No greed, no fear, follow the plan. $ETH $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 In the absence of liquidity, ETH will drop more sharply than BTC. With liquidity, ETH will rise more sharply than BTC.65.25 million $OKB tokens have been burned, and I am heavily long
Heavily long on OKB, tonight $127.6 hits a six-month high, I say this only once.
Having been a trader for so long, the biggest fear is not loss, but when the logic is right and everything aligns, being afraid to go heavy.
Technical aspect: OKB has broken out from months of consolidation, the 118 supply zone is being absorbed by buyers, momentum remains bullish, after confirmation of the breakout, 125 opens directly. The 108 level below is the key defense line of this structure; only if it breaks do we need to reassess.
Data aspect: This is not retail investors pumping. After OKX launched Exchange OS, new capital inflow is about 43.4 million, far exceeding the spot $20.34 million. Leveraged longs are adding positions, not just talk.
Underlying logic: OKX burned 65.25 million OKB at once, permanently locking total supply at 21 million. OKB is also the native Gas token of X Layer, whose DeFi TVL has reached $232 million and continues to grow. Scarcity plus real on-chain consumption, a dual engine.
My operation: I have built a position in the 115 range, stop loss at 125, after volume stabilizes above, target $135. No chasing highs, dips are opportunities.
Logic is right, position size is enough, stop loss is clear, the rest is up to the market.
#OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ $MINA is consolidating rather than immediately giving back its move from $0.1556.
The tight candles near $0.169 suggest a decision point. Buyers need to hold $0.16754 and reclaim $0.16924 before the $0.17123 high becomes reachable again.
Entry: $0.1676–$0.1685
SL: $0.1662
TP1: $0.16924
TP2: $0.17123
TP3: $0.17350
A break below $0.1662 would turn the consolidation into a deeper pullback.
Educational only not financial advice.
#FedSeptemberMinutes #HormuzStillClosed #HormuzStillClosed
The Strait of Hormuz, this vital choke point, has been welded shut, just like the only material transport path on our construction site being completely blocked by dump trucks!
No raw materials can get in, the mixing station is down, and the entire building's construction schedule is doomed to be abandoned. Now all the main contractors are still arguing; Iran is adamant about its conditions, OPEC suppliers are standing still in November, not willing to deliver even a cubic meter more of concrete. The main load-bearing walls of the entire macro construction site are already crumbling, facing the risk of settlement at any time.
As for the Western Group of Seven saying they will sell 100 million barrels of reserves over four months, and rushing to release diesel in the first twenty days like a mad dash, to me, an old worker who deals with mortar and plaster every day, it’s purely like using a few buckets of quick-drying cement to patch the cracking foundation beams.
On the surface, it looks smooth and polished, fooling those owners who don’t know the trade, but the steel reinforcement inside has long been hollow. This emergency reserve at best counts as a few buckets of overnight mortar temporarily dug out on the site, unable to fill the big hole caused by the main supply line break. Without a continuous flow of crude oil to pour into the foundation every day, the load-bearing structure becomes more fragile by the day.
Many people are still hoping the crypto market will immediately set up tower cranes and build new floors, which is simply reckless and against regulations.
The global macro economy is like the bottom backfill soil and foundation piles; now that this transport artery is halted, soaring energy costs are the foundation seriously sinking. With an unstable base, no matter how fancy the scaffolding above is, it’s just a castle in the air. Tightening liquidity is like all the fasteners on the scaffolding loosening, even the base slab hasn’t been poured properly—who dares to go up to support formwork and pour the top slab?
I’ve worked on construction sites for twenty years and have seen too many tragic collapses of entire load-bearing walls due to cutting corners. Looking at the current market situation, the capital is as unstable as poor-quality sand-lime bricks mixed with excessive sand, unable to bear heavy pressure.
Before the main artery at Hormuz reopens and real raw materials flow in, any soaring bullish candle is just a tofu-dreg prefabricated slab without reinforcement.
The load-bearing scaffolding is still shaking violently; forcibly topping off will only end in collapse on the spot, burying the workers who chased the highs underneath the rubble.🏗️$AKE 20x short position held. Opened at 0.03434, stop at 0.03133, floating profit 175.30%.
Entry basis: 4-hour moving averages in bearish alignment, price rebounded to 20-day moving average resistance, MACD dead cross below zero line. Triple signal resonance for shorting.
Price has moved far from moving averages, deviation expanded. Trading seeks high probability patterns, trailing stop moved down to 0.032. $ETH $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $CARDS is trying to turn its recovery into a breakout.
Price has moved above the 5/10/20 MAs, but $0.2579 is still blocking continuation. Holding $0.2549 during a retest would show that buyers are accepting the higher range.
Entry: $0.2545–$0.2560
SL: $0.2505
TP1: $0.2579
TP2: $0.2646
TP3: $0.2700
A close beneath $0.2505 would return CARDS to its previous consolidation.
Educational only not financial advice.
#FedSeptemberMinutes #HormuzStillClosed $MUBARAK 20x leverage, opened at 0.066247, currently at 0.077357, floating profit +335.35%. After tripling, actually watch less—not because of indifference, but knowing that watching small coins more closely causes more anxiety. Set the defense line and wait for signals.
Waiting for what? Waiting for the market around 0.077 to give direction. If none is given, don't move, but small coins change quickly and high levels have no shortage of selling pressure.
This trade is confirmed: floating profit on small coins exceeds 3 times, so the frequency of watching the market should decrease, and the defense level should increase. Be cautious, defend tightly, and exit decisively. Although 20x is milder than 50x, the nature of small coins hasn't changed. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 $MON 50x short position, entered at 0.03419, target at 0.03169, floating profit 365.60%.
The logic is simple: the price surged near 0.034 for three consecutive days, but the trading volume decreased day by day, a typical volume-price divergence.
This afternoon, volume expanded and broke below 0.033, confirming the top formation. I decisively placed a short at 0.03419.
The bearish trend remains intact now; a low-volume rebound is a shorting opportunity. Maintain good defense, don't try to guess the bottom, let profits run. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $FLUID 24% move came through one explosive hourly candle, so volatility is now the main risk.
Price is far above every moving average and has already wicked from $2.2571. I would only consider a deeper retest near the $2.0523 breakout area.
Entry: $2.05–$2.12
SL: $1.98
TP1: $2.257
TP2: $2.35
TP3: $2.45
Use reduced size here. A drop below $1.98 would suggest the expansion is being unwound.
Educational only not financial advice.
#FedSeptemberMinutes #HormuzStillClosed Here's some news worth watching for tomorrow brothers: On October 6th both ETH and ZEC will have upgrade test nodes.
First about $ETH
Glamsterdam will activate on the Sepolia testnet focusing on ePBS, BAL and a series of Gas mechanism adjustments. Simply put it's about continuing to "speed up" Ethereum.
But don't get too excited just because you see the word "upgrade."
This is a testnet not a mainnet launch.
So what’s really worth watching tomorrow isn’t whether $ETH will pump because of newsLong $HYPE at 90.176, 50x leverage, 92.992, +156.52%. The toughest test was the floating profit retracement, shrinking from a high to just over 100. It was tempting to act, but I didn’t; the logic still held.
Held through and returned to 156%, but with more clarity—surviving once at 50x leverage doesn’t mean you can every time. Floating profit retracement is luck, not a safety net.
This trade taught me: high-leverage "holding" has limits; once used up, it’s time to exit. This time I locked in some profits and pushed the stop loss to break even. Don’t mistake luck for skill, don’t treat 1.5x floating profit as a deposit. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 $SUI 50x leverage, opened at 1.1791, currently at 1.226, floating profit +199.30%. When it just doubled, I was still watching the market closely, but now I'm not as tense. It's not that I don't care, but I know that watching the market under 50x leverage won't solve the problem, so I set up defenses and wait for signals.
Waiting for what? Waiting for the market around 1.226 to give a direction. If it doesn't, I won't move, but "not giving" doesn't mean "won't give"; round numbers often trigger market changes.
This trade is confirmed: high leverage floating profit nearly doubled, so the frequency of watching the market should decrease, and the defense level should increase. Watch less, guard tighter, and be decisive when exiting. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 Just went through a life-or-death speed run, $VVV long position up 109.23%! Opened at 27.903 risking everything, 20x leverage almost got liquidated, only recovered after the rocket took off.
Currently holding with a mark price of 29.427, urgently preparing to take profit, no more playing with heartbeats. If your heart isn't strong, don't play in this market; one slip and you're wiped out. Survival is key, take profits when you can.
Behind the high-leverage frenzy are countless nights of liquidation. Don't come, or come less often; top FARTCOINs are all traps. $BTC $ETH $NEAR 50x leverage, entered at 4.767, now at 4.995, floating profit of 239.14%. When I entered, I saw it couldn't fall further, so I took a position, didn't expect it to directly pull up to the 5 mark.
Haven't moved since holding, there was a pullback where floating profit shrank to just over a hundred, but I didn't panic. Such volatility is normal under 50x leverage, as long as the logic doesn't change, I won't exit. But now it's approaching the 5.0 whole number, this position is prone to selling pressure, I can't pretend not to see it.
This trade shows: when a high-leverage position's floating profit exceeds double, the whole number threshold is not for breaking through, but to remind you to take profits. I plan to exit in batches, locking in most first, and keep the remaining base position to see if it can really hold above 5. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 To be honest, I myself thought it was risky for this trade to last this long; luck played a big part. Yesterday at dawn, the market rebounded, $ONE faced obvious resistance above, and volume didn't keep up. I judged that no one would catch it on the way up, so I signaled a short position at 0.0021116.
Later, it really gave the answer, dropping all the way from 0.0021116 to 0.0020251, with a return of +40.86%. That profit felt good.
The market waits for the right moment, and profits come from holding. Don't get greedy with gains, don't despair over pullbacks.
I first closed 80%, keeping the remaining 20% at cost as protection. If it continues to drop, let the profits run; if it rebounds, don't give the profits back. For friends who haven't entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in. Wait for the next signal before making a move.
$SOL $ADA Sold 10,000, bought 11,000, net increase of 1,000! Metaplanet's Bitcoin holdings surged to 44,000 in Q3
In the third quarter of 2026, Japanese listed company Metaplanet completed a notable Bitcoin transaction: selling 10,000 BTC (average price about $78,925, total value about $790 million), then buying 11,000 BTC at an average price of about $86,246 (total value about $950 million), resulting in a net increase of 1,000 BTC and total holdings rising to 44,000 BTC, valued at approximately $3.8 billion. This operation is particularly special against the backdrop of a rising Bitcoin price—the selling average price was lower than the buying average price, objectively increasing costs by about $160 million.
Metaplanet officially defined this move as a liquidity verification test: the cash obtained from selling 10,000 BTC exceeded the company's total outstanding principal of all bonds, loans, and interest-bearing liabilities, proving its ability to convert Bitcoin reserves into cash when necessary. The company also pointed out that this transaction created a capital loss carryforward for U.S. tax purposes, with a preliminary estimate of about $97 million in deferred tax assets.
Metaplanet is currently the world's second-largest publicly listed Bitcoin treasury company, second only to Strategy. From holding only about 1,018 BTC in October 2024 to now 44,000 BTC, its strategic path is evolving from simple accumulation to Bitcoin financial operation.If I got hacked for 1000U, and after half a year finally saw "open compensation."
Clicked in to see:
Can claim 10U.
I might really just be silent 😭
Previously, the Drift attack resulted in about $295 million stolen, and now the project has officially opened user claims.
The mechanism is quite special.
For every 1 USDT you lost at the time, you can get 1 $DFX token. DFX can be burned directly to redeem USDT, or you can hold on to it and wait for more compensation funds to come in later.
The problem is that the compensation pool currently only has about 3.11 million USDT.
So right now, 1 DFX can only be exchanged for about 0.01 $USDT.
Simply put:
If you lost 1000U back then, redeeming now would get you about 10U back.
And once you burn DFX to claim, it means giving up any potential additional compensation later.
This makes the choice very difficult.
If you claim now, at least the money really goes into your wallet.
If you hold on, you’re gambling on whether the promised funds will actually come in later.
Because there are still two major sources not fully entered into the compensation pool: Tether previously promised to provide up to $127.5 million, and other strategic partners up to $20 million. Meanwhile, about $9.2 million of stolen assets have been frozen, but to truly return them requires going through law enforcement procedures.
The project also plans to continue putting 60% to 90% of the protocol’s net income into the compensation pool.
So DFX is actually quite like an "IOU."
You can sell it to the project today at 10%... oh no, one cent.
Or you can keep holding it, waiting for it to be repaid slowly later 😭
If I were in this situation, I guess the first thing I’d do every day wouldn’t be checking the coin price.
I’d first see how many cents this IOU is worth today.
For personal organization only, not investment advice, DYOR.$BTC has climbed back above $86,000, putting pressure on my short position. A lot of traders see price moving against their position and immediately think they should panic and close. But for me, that’s not how I judge whether a trade is still valid. I don’t focus on whether today’s unrealized P&L has flipped from profit to loss. The real question is: has the original trading thesis actually been invalidated? This weekend’s move higher looks more like a combination of improving risk appetite andBitcoin has attempted to surge to 87,000 three times in two weeks without success, indicating that someone is continuously selling. This suggests the adjustment period might be longer, so currently it's more suitable to do T, exchanging intermediate profits for more chips. Strong support at 83,000, you can set up some ambushes.ENA is quite exciting in this round today.
On one hand, they just said they will use protocol revenue to buy back ENA in the future.
On the other hand:
1.578 billion ENA tokens are unlocking today 😭
At the current price, that's about 370 million USD, accounting for nearly 15.6% of the circulating supply.
My first reaction when I saw this number was:
Bro, you better speed up the buyback.
But this unlock is different from the usual projects that release tokens slowly every month.
Ethena Foundation has already bought most of the tokens that early big holders hadn’t unlocked yet, and the remaining investors’ shares are being released all at once today.
In other words, after this big unlock today, the monthly unlocks that had been putting pressure on ENA from investors will basically end.
What’s even more interesting is the other side.
ENA’s fee switch has already been approved.
Once the 14-day average supply of USDe surpasses 7.5 billion USD, the first tier of buyback will start, using about 5% of the protocol’s total revenue to buy ENA on the market; as USDe’s scale grows, the buyback ratio will increase.
So $ENA today is actually like a gear shift:
Before, the market worried every day about "how much will unlock next month."
From today on, the question will gradually become:
How much can Ethena actually earn, and how much are they willing to use to buy back ENA?
Of course, 15.6% of the circulating supply is no joke. $PONS
PONS fell below yesterday's observed low point; how should the bottom judgment be adjusted?
The 24-hour range observed this morning was 0.3759—0.4294, with a window change of about -3.37% and a trading volume of approximately 6.5 million USDT.
Today's range low has dropped below yesterday's 0.4 boundary, so the old low can no longer be considered a bottom guarantee. Observing the price rebound back near 0.4 does not mean the previous breakdown has been fully absorbed.
If it subsequently surpasses 0.4294, holds on a pullback, and trading volume supports it, I will raise my judgment on continuation; the opposite risk is a failed breakout and insufficient buying pressure. If it falls below 0.3759 and the rebound cannot recover, I will lower my judgment. The range is based on this observation; subsequent market changes need to be re-verified.Unrealized profit 130%, 50x long position, $DOGE, opened at 0.09336, current price 0.09581, position held.
No wild joy at the moment of doubling, only tighter nerves. DOGE is strongly sentiment-driven, with extremely fierce retracements under 50x leverage, and paper profits can shrink at any time.
No attachment to fighting, partially locking in profits in batches, treating the cost line as a strict bottom line. Keeping the base position to watch for continuation, never letting unrealized profits turn into losses. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 Sat on the balcony for ten minutes, thinking through the trump card behind this round of $WLD's rise. This wave rose from 0.49 to 0.60, driven by the news of World ID integrating with peaqOS and the implementation of AI agent identity verification, plus Kalshi launching perpetual contracts, with leveraged funds rushing in to push up volatility. I shorted at 0.609, betting that after the news is realized, there will be a lack of follow-up funds; the mark price at 0.5716 confirmed this judgment. But I must be clear: this is an AI narrative from the Sam Altman camp, and the sentiment premium can push another wave at any time. The real daily breakout level is at 0.72 above. So I set a hard stop loss above 0.60 and will only consider adding positions if it falls below 0.56. Discipline is more important than direction. $SOL $ETH #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 Supply Wave and Compliance War: Tonight's Two Hidden Lines in the Crypto Circle Tonight (October 5th), the market is all waiting for the 22:00 ISM Services PMI, but what truly deserves attention are two lines overlooked by mainstream narratives: the supply shock from token unlocks and the compliance breakthrough of OKX's joint venture with ICE to apply for tokenization of US stock platforms. 1. ISM Services PMI: The Market Is Watching, But the Focus Is Not on the Numbers Themselves At 22:00 Beijing time, the US will release the September ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, which is widely expected to slow from August's 55.4 to around 55.0. But the real focus is not the overall figure, but the Price Payments Index. In August, this sub-index rose to 72.6, the highest since August 2022. If September remains high, it means cost pressures in services have not eased, and the Fed's expectations for holding steady in October may be shaken. If prices fall in segments, it would strongly confirm the narrative of a "mild economic slowdown" following the nonfarm payroll upset, providing support for risk assets. 2. Token Unlocks: HYPE's $339 Million Supply Shock Tonight's most certain event is the large-scale unlocking of HYPE and ENA. Hyperliquid (HYPE) will unlock about 3.75 million tokens worth approximately $339 million, accounting for 1.69% of circulating supply, at 8 a.m. Beijing time on October 6. Ethena (ENA) unlocked about 172 million tokens at 3 p.m. today, worth approximately $41 million, accounting for 1.88% of circulating supply. The scale of HYPE's unlock is especially worthwhile100x leverage is the most tempting yet most deadly aspect of this $BTC long position. Entered at 85155.6, now at 85976.2, floating profit +96.34%, position still open.
Maxed out leverage means fast gains but even faster losses. BTC trend is strong, but with 100x leverage, the margin for error is extremely low; nearly doubling is just a temporary figure.
Lock in some profits to build confidence, defend above cost at all costs, keep the base position aligned with the trend. Don’t gamble with the market sentiment, don’t give back what you’ve earned. $ETH $ZEC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 This week, I'd rather see NVDA continue to rise. The closing price in the latter half of last week was rising, OpenAI is continuing to optimize Blackwell, and customers now have another reason to keep using NVIDIA. NVIDIA said in its October 1 blog that GPT-6 Astra Ultrafast runs on Blackwell, and OpenAI is still using models to optimize GPU inference software. Machines already deployed can continue to improve response speed, and the same set can be reused between training and inference. Customers who have paid for machines can continue to benefit from software optimization, so switching vendors must include software and migration costs together. Even if competitors' chips are cheaper, customers may not be willing to immediately replace their already used software. But OpenAI didn't choose only NVIDIA. AMD disclosed in July that OpenAI expects to launch Helios in the fourth quarter of this year. This is still a cooperation plan and cannot be considered fully deployed. Blackwell continued to accelerate and did not miss AMD's opportunity to attract customers. On the stock side, last Friday it closed at $233.95, about 3.9% higher than the previous Friday. However, it reached 237.88 during Friday trading, then closed near the day's low. At 20:09 Beijing time today, the pre-market quote was 235.13, still not surpassing Friday's high. This pre-market rally is not a breakout, and Friday's pullback also indicates selling at the highs. If it can break through around 237.88 next,25x $ETH long liquidation price at $2,650, right at the lower edge of the consolidation range.
Current market shows ETH at $2,716, up 0.5% in 24 hours.
At the same time, BTC is up 0.9%, ETH is still lagging behind.
From September 24 until now, ETH's high hasn't surpassed $2,779, and the low has repeatedly been supported around $2,628-$2,651.
On-chain address 0x914b first shorted 14,976 ETH, after losing about $470,000 reversed to long.
Now holding a 25x leveraged long position of 23,734 ETH, valued at about $64.3 million, liquidation price $2,650.
This price is almost exactly the low on October 3 at $2,651.
Another Hyperliquid address increased its ETH long from about 1,637 to about 3,719 this afternoon, average price $2,689.
Bulls are adding leverage in the middle of the range, but price has yet to give a direction.
The US Dollar Index reached 102.53 intraday today, the highest since April 2025, which is not favorable for risk assets.
If ETH first retests around $2,650, passive liquidation of 25x longs will amplify the downside.
Looking at the upper edge at $2,780; only a 4-hour close above this level would mean these longs have bet on the right direction.Ethereum upgrade has been promised for years to "solve congestion." The result is that Layer 2 solutions keep being built one after another, which is like the main road being too congested, so they keep building more side roads. The mainnet stays stagnant while the side roads keep increasing.$TRUMP is all about power distance. It's currently at $2.04, down 97% from the January 2025 high of $73.43, but it has rebounded 43% in the last sixty days. The recent catalyst is California's AB 2409 memecoin bill, which was clearly aimed at Trump tokens, but the clause specifies it only applies to new coins issued after January 2027, exempting the existing TRUMP (issued in 2025). The market interpreted this as the worst being over, and on October 1st it jumped 8.48%.
The bigger drama is the dinner. On September 30th, the official team launched a token holding leaderboard competition. The top 185 wallets can attend a private dinner in Washington on November 22nd; the top 29 get VIP status, and the top 4 receive an 18K gold watch. The rules calculate holdings weighted by time, effectively encouraging you to buy and hold without selling. Historically, the first two dinners saw a pump before the snapshot and a dump afterward. The VIP wallets have cashed out on exchanges twice already.
The team still holds 718 million tokens (71.8%), and in the past eight months, they transferred 81.87 million tokens (about $249 million) to Binance and OKX. The unlocked supply is like a time bomb. The largest single address holds $104 million.
Support is between $1.95 and $2.00; if it holds, expect $2.25 or even $3.00; if it breaks $1.95, a retest of $1.50 is likely. This coin has high liquidity and wild volatility, suitable for event-driven quick in-and-out trades. Don't go all in betting on access rights before the dinner; historically, the bag holders have been retail investors. The narrative is wild, the token distribution is dirty, so don't hold it on faith for the short term.ZEC at $1330, would you dare to heavily invest?
NU7 testnet activated two days early, block time dropped from 75 seconds to 19.5 seconds, mainnet target is November 5 — yet the price fell from 1697 to 1330, a 15% drop in 7 days. Good news came, but the money disappeared. Is this a golden opportunity or a trap where whales are offloading during the upgrade?
Let's look at the surface: from 1697 to 1330, a 22% retracement, 15% drop in 7 days.
On September 26-27, it surged to 1697, then steadily declined. Today's low is 1302, high 1368, and 1330 is the midpoint of the range. Market cap is 22.2 billion, ranked tenth, trading volume is lower than the peak on September 27 — slow decline with turnover, not a crash, but not a good sign either.
Candlesticks tell you: daily chart moved from overbought back to neutral, short-term moving averages starting to press down. 1330 is stuck right in the middle of the 1270-1370 range, neither breaking up nor down. Is this bottoming? It's more like a dull knife cutting losses.
First: NU7 testnet was early, but price was not.
On October 4, block height 4465026, NU7 testnet activated two days early. Block time target changed from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, median measured once reached 19.5 seconds. 60% fees go to reserves, miners keep 40%, old Sprout transactions disabled.
Sounds hardcore? Let me translate:
The chain is running, but mainnet signing hasn't happened yet. Mainnet decision is on October 20, target activation November 5. Testnet success doesn't guarantee mainnet go. Sprout funds must be migrated before upgrade, execution risk remains.
Why no market reaction? Because expectations were already priced in. From 800 to 1697, the rise was all about NU7 expectations. Now testnet is early, this is "good news realized" — good news realized is bad news, retail investors are always late.
Second: ETF narrative is in digestion phase, institutions are not buying.
ZCSH completed 3-for-1 split at end of September, scale reached $900 million, holdings 3.5% of total supply. European ETP also launched. Split and listing all realized.
Then? No new large subscriptions in October. Price slid from 1494 to 1330.
Institutional channels no longer priced separately. More painful: ETF only custody transparent addresses, buying exposure, not shielded pool. You think institutions buy privacy? They buy code, not faith.
Third: Technical stuck at range midpoint, both up and down are sharp.
Key levels:
Above: 1360-1370 is today's high and September 29 low overlap; 1410-1420 is October 2 supply; 1480-1494 is September 30-October 1 lost zone. Without volume to hold above 1420, forget about 1500.
Below: 1300-1310 is today's low; 1270-1283 is October 2-3 low, also this retracement's structural level; further down 1180-1200 is pre-September mid acceleration step.
Holding 1270 can still be a deep pullback in an uptrend; daily close below 1270 means short-term deep correction.
What is 1330? The range midpoint. Neither up nor down, the most awkward spot. Going long means tight stop loss; shorting risks sudden good news. Experienced traders know: opening positions at midpoint means getting hit from both sides.
Bull vs. Bear, you decide:
Bulls:
NU7 testnet early activation, mainnet target November 5
ETF channel open, ZCSH scale $900 million, European ETP launched
Privacy narrative differentiation, shielded pool size still present
Total supply 21 million, halving preserved, scarcity logic strong
Bears:
1697 rejected three times, profits from 800 rally still present
ETF only custody transparent addresses, buying exposure not shielded pool
Testnet success ≠ mainnet go on October 20
Last 7 days weaker than BTC, BTC breaking 83,000 leads ZEC to break structure first
1330 is 22% cheaper than 1697, but still not cheap compared to 800-850 start zone in August
Trading strategy
Aggressive: Around 1330, light long positions with stop loss at 1265. First target 1368, second 1410. Reduce half at 1360. Risk-reward average, don't get greedy.
Conservative: Wait for 1270-1290, stop loss 1235. Better entry 1180-1220. If not reached, take small positions. Better to miss than to be wrong.
Breakout: Only consider chasing if volume supports above 1420 and pullback holds above 1370, targets 1480, 1540. Fake breakout, give up, don't fight.
Short: Light short on weak rally at 1360-1370, stop loss 1395, targets 1300, 1270. Don't hold shorts near 1270, it's a structural level.
Position rule: Single trade risk no more than 2% of total capital, leverage 3-5x. Daily volatility 5-8% common, don't use high leverage to bet on an unsigned future.
Risk control priority:
Break below 1270 with volume, next support 1200, 1180, reduce positions first.
BTC breaks 84500, reduce ZEC leverage accordingly.
If October 20 mainnet decision is no-go or delayed, short-term expectations will be crushed.
ZEC testnet is early, your account is not.
1330 is the 1270-1370 range, not an all-in new high. Better to survive until 1270 breaks or 1420 holds than to gamble with high leverage at the midpoint on November upgrade.
Watch two things: Can 1270 hold? Will mainnet sign on October 20?
$BTC $ETH $ZEC $BTC $ETH $ZEC Gold and silver should also pay attention to the CPI data on October 14th, which is expected to overheat, exceeding 3.3%, still far from the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
At that time, the market's forecast for a rate hike probability will increase again, putting pressure on Bitcoin, Ethereum, gold, and silver, leading to a new round of decline and forming a panic bottom.
During the decline, buy in batches on dips.Big guts! Long on $ENSO, currently holding a 61% floating profit. It feels like catching a free ride at a low point; who wouldn't be thrilled to see green on the ledger! 😏 But everyone knows, with 50x leverage, the fun lasts only three seconds before reality hits—you get the sweet gains fast, but the needle prick is sharp too.
The logic isn't complicated: if you step into the support zone near 1.001, small-cap tokens can be directly pumped by sentiment and sector linkage, with decent volume cooperation. But for a low-liquidity token like ENSO, it's normal to see a spike followed by a pullback and a wick; funding fees quietly eat away at your margin, so don't just fixate on the words "holding position" and fantasize.
The goal now is clear: you can hold your position, but let profits bear the risk for you, not just tough it out mentally. This trade was picked up, not gambled with your life; pocketing the gains is what counts 🫡
$ENSO $BTC $ETH The Fed trade just flipped in one week.
October rate-hike odds:
64% → 18%.
Normally, that should weaken the dollar and help crypto.
Instead, DXY pushed near an 18-month high as capital fled the euro amid France’s fiscal stress.
That’s today’s market paradox: monetary pressure is easing, but the dollar refuses to cooperate.
For crypto, the next move may depend less on the Fed — and more on Europe.Big Brother Maji's $150 million position exposed: The real whales are still watching BTC and ETH
Many people think top traders rely on chasing hot spots and getting rich from small coins, but this disclosed position reveals another side: the real big money still centers on BTC and ETH.
Currently, his Hyperliquid long position exceeds $150 million, with about $100 million in ETH, around $44 million in BTC, and HYPE only serving as a high-elasticity supplement.
The logic behind this is simple: mainstream assets carry certainty, while small coins capture excess returns.
BTC represents market liquidity and macro consensus, ETH has the ecosystem, on-chain applications, and capital rotation expectations. In contrast, popular small coins, although having astonishing gains, have shorter liquidity and narrative cycles.
Of course, high leverage does not equal high win rate. 40x BTC and 25x ETH leverage mean risks are also amplified if the directional judgment is wrong.
What’s truly worth learning is not copying whale positions, but understanding position structure: use core assets to hold the base and small positions to seek elasticity.
The market always rewards cognition, not blind courage. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $SOXL perpetual 20x short position, opened at 164.46, currently 159.93, floating profit +55.08%.
Just betting on a top reversal: 164 tested three times without breaking, volume decreasing stepwise, very typical top characteristics. Enter the position the moment the bearish candle crashes down, never guess the top prematurely. 20x leverage, stop loss at 168. This move has been very clean, almost no rebound.
For now, hold steady and let the bullet fly a while. Keep 160 as the defense line to protect the principal, wait for a clear signal around 155 before deciding to add or not, no rush. $SNDK $DOGE #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Just finished chatting with an older brother who does quantitative trading. He said the market is currently betting on next week's inflation data, betting on whether the Fed will ease. My attitude is very clear: betting on data is a losing game nine times out of ten, and the one win isn't enough to cover previous losses.
Look at gold, US Treasury yields, and the dollar—they're all reacting in advance to a "boot dropping" scenario. When the data actually comes out, it often turns into a classic script where good news is fully priced in and bad news is realized.
$TRUMP is even more interesting; it's essentially an emotion voter. When macro conditions ease, it jumps; when macro tightens, it falls. Tonight's small rise isn't a market move, in my view, but everyone rushing to get ahead of an answer that hasn't been announced yet.
My own approach: wait for the data to land, clearly see the direction before making a move. Chasing in at this position means you're not betting on the coin, but on your own heartbeat. $PUMP #VoiceOfTrading: Your experience deserves to be heard My answer is not only yes, but this is the core barrier that has allowed me to survive and preserve profits in the crypto space until today. The first test: see through the liquidity traps behind sudden surges. In the crypto world, sudden surges usually have only two driving forces: either short-term stimuli from news or malicious pump-and-dump schemes from capital. But for ordinary retail investors, this is often not a wealth train but a liquidity meat grinder. Crypto markets operate 24/7 with no price limits, which grants the market high efficiency but also amplifies human greed. When an asset surges 50% or even doubles within an hour, social media instantly floods with FOMO sentiment. At this moment, your brain releases a large amount of dopamine, creating a suffocating feeling that if you don’t buy now, you’ll miss out on billions. But as a veteran trader, I know well that the sudden surge candlestick is bait drawn by the whales for retail investors. The moment you FOMO in, you are essentially paying for the profits of early insiders. Sticking to not placing orders for 24 hours is essentially using physical time to fight physiological impulses. This 24-hour period allows the feverish emotions to subside and the candlestick to return from a straight surge to a normal oscillation pattern. Usually, after 24 hours, you’ll find that the suffocating feeling of “must buy now” has long turned into a relief of “luckily I didn’t buy.” The second depth: abandon the illusion of short-term wins at the expense of long-term gains$PONS perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.4094, currently 0.399, floating profit +50.80%.
The idea is very simple: a top consolidation with volume but stagnant price, volatility compressed to the floor, indicating that the chips are starting to loosen. A single high-volume bearish candle smashed the price down from 0.41, a typical breakdown signal, shorting is favored over longing. 20x leverage, stop loss at 0.42. The trend is continuously downward, giving no comfortable exit points.
At this position, I plan to take profit on half of the position first, and move the stop loss of the remaining half up to 0.405 to let profits run. If 0.38 breaks down with volume, I will continue holding; if it doesn't break, I will close all positions. $SOL $CT #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 BlackRock bought $1.57 billion worth of Bitcoin in one month
How much Bitcoin can one company buy? The answer is more interesting than the price itself.
Where did this money come from:
BlackRock's Bitcoin fund net bought about $1.57 billion in one month.
Holdings have exceeded 800,000 $BTC, with a market value of about $67.8 billion.
How is this number calculated:
800,000 is the amount held by this one company, not the entire market.
Backing into it, this one company has absorbed a large portion of the newly added supply during this period.
The price has repeatedly been pushed back between 86,000 and 88,000.
The real difficulty is not breaking through, but whether it can hold steady after breaking through.
Institutions buying coins don’t look at daily price changes; they look at whether they can continuously acquire coins.
Once it has bought enough, then the price will be up to others to decide.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 #Strategy再购BTC、多家财库同步增持 $BTC $TRUMP perpetual 50x long position, opened at 2.043, now at 2.065, floating profit +53.84%.
The logic is simple: repeatedly bottoming around 2.04, each dip is quickly recovered, the wicks get shorter and shorter, and selling pressure clearly weakens. Wait for a volume breakout above 2.06, confirm on the right side, then go long. 50x leverage, stop loss at 2.00. The rally is very smooth, no chance for a pullback.
Now move the stop loss to 2.06 to lock in profits. If volume breaks above 2.15, you can hold for more. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Both Bitcoin and Ethereum are playing dead at high levels to shake out the market. True veteran hunters never waste bullets in aimless mire. A quick glance at the market reveals a "textbook-level bottom reversal" prey from the bushes—LTC. A strong 1-hour move through all moving averages suppressed it, MACD zero axis perfectly crossed the water, and the right-side opening point is confirmed. Action: Decisively enter near 70.74. Risk control: The very second after buying, the defensive line is firmly welded to 70.30. With very little room for trial and error, the game is against the vast asymmetric odds above. Entering the market locks in risk. The rest depends on whether Wall Street gives face. #LTC #右侧交易 #现货 #交易纪律 #风控$ARB This ID's view: consolidating and oscillating.
Are you willing to hold a position and spend time constantly experiencing small losses and small gains?
Are you willing to hold a position and keep getting entangled around the lower part of the pivot?
If you are not willing, then do not participate for now. This structure has already risen to a daily-level pivot movement. When the price reaches around 0.193 at the lower edge of the daily pivot, pay close attention, be ready to enter at any time, and set a stop loss at 0.188.