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#NEAR生态协议被盗380万美元资金全额追回
The leader has something to say
The $3.8 million stolen from NEAR has been fully recovered. The team identified the responsible party in less than 24 hours and completed the recovery using the AI security layer SHIELD. The vulnerability occurred in the NEAR Intents infrastructure and did not affect the underlying network.
This is a positive signal. Previously, NEAR dropped from 5.34 to 4.86 due to the security incident. Now that the funds have been recovered, trust is being restored. ETFs are still seeing net inflows, and institutional buying has not fled.
But don’t rush to bottom-fish. The security incident just happened, and market sentiment needs time to digest. The direction of Bitcoin is also unclear. Nonfarm payroll data was broadly below expectations, rate hike expectations have cooled, but long-term US Treasury yields remain above 5.6%, so macro pressure persists.
I hold a long position in Bitcoin at 86000 and opened a short at 86500. Stop loss at 87500, target between 84500 and 85000. The NEAR fund recovery does not change this rhythm. I will wait for a pullback near 4.5 before reassessing; if it breaks below, I will continue to wait.
No chasing the rally or panic selling, waiting for signals. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
The above analysis is time-sensitive. Always set stop losses on your trades. Good luck.$BTC $ETH $DOGE Nonfarm Night Review: Nonfarm data falls short of expectations, gold and Bitcoin surge then retreat, what is the market really trading?
🔹Phase 1: Nonfarm release, short-term expectation game
September nonfarm added 29,000 jobs, far below the expected 90,000, previous data revised down simultaneously.
Weak employment data leads the market to lower Fed rate hike probability, US Treasury yields plunge short-term, BTC and gold see a short-term rally.
🔹Phase 2: US stock market opens, logic shifts
Funds no longer focus on short-term rate cut expectations, shifting to trading inflation, crude oil, US fiscal deficit, and term premium.
Crude oil strengthens combined with long-term US fiscal pressure, long bonds face sell-off, US Treasury yields rebound again.
Long-term rates rise, suppressing gold and crypto asset prices, market turns from rise to fall.
Core summary:
Short-term employment weakness suppresses rate hike expectations, but long-term fiscal and inflation risks push up long-term US Treasury yields, ultimately dragging down risk assets.
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% DOGE showed a weak trend today, with significant intraday volatility, indicating that the risk appetite for meme coin funds is cooling down. Without particularly strong new catalysts, DOGE usually tends to follow BTC and overall market sentiment; when the market pulls back and funds shift to safe havens, its volatility is also amplified. On the positive side, trading activity remains, and community discussion has not completely disappeared; however, from the intraday structure, momentum chasing funds are clearly more cautious. The focus going forward is not on slogans but on whether mainstream coins can hold steady and whether DOGE can sustain continuous volume support. $DOGEConsolidated sideways all day, the market oscillated back and forth, now it feels like it's about to choose a direction to start.
Holding a 100x short position on $ETH, entry average price 2701.99, currently still with floating profit, just waiting for it to go down. But this kind of sideways is the most exhausting, it could spike up anytime to lure longs first.
$AAVE is still very strong, holding onto the short position with floating loss, the resilience is too strong, it refuses to pull back.
Now it's just a matter of patiently waiting for a breakout, the longer the sideways, the stronger the potential explosion afterward. High leverage game, no matter which way it goes, don't let your guard down, watch the signals closely.
#US September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2%
#BTC and ETH spot ETFs simultaneously see outflows, cooling capital enthusiasm
#US-Iran situation remains tense, G7 to release up to 100 million barrels of reserves$ONE After experiencing several days of wild ups and downs, I didn't expect the activity to still be this high
Previously, whether going long or short on one, I ended up losing a total of 500U
At first, I was shorting, but as it kept rising, I kept buying more and more, eventually couldn't help but reduce my position, not expecting the drop to be so fast
Then I started going long again, but the rebound didn't reach as expected and it continued to fall.
I reflected and realized the main issue was having too heavy a position, unable to hold the trades, and the direction was wrong. I should have waited more, otherwise I would lose money both long and short
Currently, I only have a long position left on one, with a light position. This token is still quite active now, so I plan to hold it for a while to see how it goes.ETC followed the market correction today, with intraday losses expanding but some support emerging, though overall it remains in a defensive stance. ETC's market often correlates with miner narratives, Ethereum ecosystem sentiment, and capital rotation, with relatively few independent positive catalysts, making it more susceptible to amplification during broader market fluctuations. Currently, mainstream coins are maintaining recovery, but ETC has not strengthened in sync, indicating limited capital preference for legacy PoW assets. If the market later re-hypes hashrate, halving, or PoW themes, ETC may gain temporary attention; otherwise, it will depend on changes in overall market risk appetite. $ETC$BTC 🔥 Bitcoin 84.6K, Ethereum 2.68K: PCE softened, non-farm payrolls weakened, but 10Y at 5.28% nailed the ceiling—future is a “slow bull testing resistance, not a crazy bull charging sky-high”
Core PCE 3.0% below expectations → October rate hike probability 38% → about 24–28%, unchanged 62–74%
Non-farm +29K (expected 90K) → soft employment + soft inflation = “no rate hike but no market rescue either”
BTC ETF net inflow on 10/1 +102.7 million, Q3 absorbed 6.34 billion; ETH ETF net outflow same day 55.37 million, three consecutive days outflow
10Y 5.28%, 2Y 4.83%, real yields capped, risk assets dare not run naked
BTC perpetual funding rate 0.0018%/8h (neutral), OI back to 56B but no crazy leverage increase → not a bubble top, nor a launch explosion
BTC outlook:
84K is magnetic, 82.8–83.0K is the lifeline, 85.8K sell wall, 87.1K non-farm spike top.
Macro gives a “no rate hike” bonus → base scenario: 82.8K–87.3K range-bound turnover, only above 87.3K to talk 90–92K, break 82.8K back to 80K psychological level. Uptober historical average +16% is the tail, not a guarantee.
(Not investment advice · for reference only) $BTC ATOM is generally weak today, showing some downward probing followed by recovery, but it still hasn't shaken off the valuation pressure typical of established public chain assets. Cosmos has a solid foundation in technology and cross-chain narratives, but in recent years the market has placed more emphasis on real on-chain activity, application revenue, and value capture, which are ongoing questions ATOM needs to address. Currently, funds are not noticeably concentrating on the cross-chain sector, and short-term movements are more influenced by the overall market rhythm. Going forward, attention should be paid to whether new application growth emerges in the ecosystem chains, improvements in cross-chain liquidity, or new changes in governance—these factors are more likely to drive market revaluation than mere technical slogans. $ATOM$XCH The project team of this coin has been continuously selling coins to build the project. Only when they stop selling coins will there be positive news. The project team initially has 21 million coins for sale.Profit is being eaten away bit by bit, feeling really frustrated!!!
Damn it!!!
Small real position rolling to play the game
Currently holding a long $ETH position, floating profit now only 7.79%
A while ago, the highest profit was still over ten percent, but I didn’t choose to take profits in time, planning to hold through this pullback.
As a result, $BTC failed to break through 87239 and has been under pressure since, with four-hour bullish momentum rapidly weakening, and the market switching back and forth between bulls and bears. When the market turns down, ETH can’t hold an independent rally, and profits are gradually worn down by the market.
Now I fully realize that in a high-level oscillating market, greed is the biggest trap.
If you want to catch a big move, you have to endure profit giving back; if you take profits early, you fear missing out on a big surge later. No matter what you do, it feels awkward.
BTC is now stuck at a key level, 83800 is an important support. Once this level breaks, a deeper pullback will follow. For now, I’m holding this position to observe support, no longer adding to the position, and definitely won’t increase leverage to bet on direction at a high level.
#BTC rallies then falls into consolidation #Major coins follow the market trend
$BTC $ETH$BTC is clearing long leverage: nearly $29.17 million long positions liquidated in the past 24 hours, while shorts only $16.11 million, current price 84,523.1, close to the 24h low of 83,841.9. The outlook is bearish consolidation; the news about gold tariffs does not change this. Policy impacts the import cost of physical gold, with no capital flow channel into the crypto market. Data confirms deleveraging, not bullishness: funding rates for the last three periods are 0.0012%, 0.0046%, 0.0004%, all positive, longs are still paying; contract open interest is $8.26 billion, leverage remains in the market; DVOL is 34.6, options open interest put/call ratio is 0.85, no rush for protection on the options side, indicating an orderly decline rather than panic. Forecast: the next move is more likely to retest 83,841.9 rather than return to 87,249.6. Conditions to turn bullish: reclaim above 87,249.6 and short liquidation amount surpasses long liquidation. If it breaks below 83,841.9 and DVOL rises significantly from 34.6, the decline will accelerate. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 29,000, expected 85,000, unemployment rate soared to 4.2%, previous value was revised down by 60,000
As soon as the data came out, BTC dropped to 84528, ETH retreated to 2678
Why did the market fall despite the good news of rate cuts? Because everyone suddenly realized this is not a soft landing, it's an economic recession!
This is a deadlock: raising rates kills employment immediately, cutting rates makes inflation soar immediately, how to solve it? Only by printing money!
Once a recession is confirmed, the Fed has no choice but to obediently cut rates, flood the market with liquidity, and restart the printing press. When fiat currency devalues, massive liquidity will inevitably flow into BTC and ETH. The current pullback is the main force washing out panic from the recession.
No nonsense, let's get straight to it
1. Hold the spot base position firmly, hold the contract bottom firmly
2. Buy BTC below 85000 and ETH above 2600 in batches on dips!
3. Defend the hard support at 82500 and 2600, if not broken, hold firmly and wait for the Fed to surrender!
Recession is the catalyst for a big bull market takeoff. Since only going long is possible, go all in! Hold full positions and wait for the liquidity flood!
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% PUMP has been quite volatile today, with obvious swings up and down during the session, reflecting that the meme launch platform concept still attracts traffic, but the capital stability is insufficient. The core focus of PUMP is not traditional fundamentals, but the token issuance heat on the Solana chain, community sentiment, and platform revenue expectations. Once market risk appetite rises, it is often quickly driven by capital; but if the hype cools down, the pullback will also be rapid. It now resembles a high turnover speculative phase, where active trading is an advantage, but sustainability depends on platform data and whether a new hit can emerge in the meme sector. $PUMP2026/10/3 "Li Li's Trading Notes" #001
A trader, simply because he refused to accept the first loss,
ended up losing over 800 million pounds, and also caused the collapse of a century-old bank.
His name is Nick Leeson.
The story actually starts very ordinarily:
A loss of about 10,000 pounds.
He didn't choose to admit the loss but hid it instead.
Because his thinking was actually very simple:
As long as the next trade makes it back, this never happened.
So, losing, he kept trading.
Still losing?
He increased his position size.
Trying to recover all previous losses in one go.
But what I find most terrifying in this story is not that his losses kept growing.
But—
In the middle, he actually once managed to recover the huge losses.
If the story stopped here, many might conclude:
See, as long as you have enough capital and can hold on, the market will always come back.
But it was precisely this "success" that gave the wrong method the most dangerous positive feedback.
Next time, he would believe even more:
I can still hold on and recover.
Until one day, the market never gave him a chance again.
In the end, losses exceeded 800 million pounds.
—— The breathing of large positions is more worth copying than direction. You think whales are betting on direction, but they're actually controlling the pace? After flipping through that string of position records these past two days, my first reaction wasn't "bullish or bearish," but rather—this person really knows how to reduce positions. On October 1, I bought 2,087,500 USD of BTC at 83,500 with 4.5x leverage. When the price reached 84,100, I immediately sold 2,102,500 USD, pocketing the principal first. The next day, it rebounded to 84,000, only covering 420,000 USD; It surged to 84,890, but only tentative 210 USD was sold, leaving room for imagination above. This morning, 84,469.7 minus 422,250 USD, then 84475.6 bought back 22,500 USD. The whole move was not a "all-in" or "clear" move; it was all sliced. I was a bit dazed watching because my own common mistakes were the opposite: either holding onto tightly and turning floating profits into a roller coaster; or cutting before the start when nervous. His rhythm actually said one thing—real big money doesn't predict tops and bottoms, only manages exposure. After a brief rise, proactively remove some risk; Back at key levels, then buy back in small amounts. This way, even if BTC suddenly inserts a needle, its psychology and margin won't be cornered. This transmission to the market is quite subtle. During those few reductions, short-term pressure will dampen the sharpness of the upward trend, making chasing highs uncomfortable; But every pullback has someone to buy, indicating the downside expectation hasn't faded. ETH and altcoins are even more obvious—as long as Bitcoin doesn't crash, funds dare to seek local flexibility, but once this "pull and subtract" trend turns into a collective trend,🔥 October 3rd $ZEC: Increased 6 times in a month, now paying off debt
Currently at $68.8, 24h +11.8%, daily range 50.2–72.4 — daily volatility over 40%. From $9.3 in early September, it surged wildly to $122 on October 1st, a 6-fold increase in a month, then dropped 40% in two days. This is not a correction, this is a crash.
① Why the rise? The privacy coin narrative collectively revived, Monero and Dash rose simultaneously; institutional side Grayscale's ZEC trust long product started trading, providing a compliant capital entry.
② Why the crash? Three words: no foundation.
RSI once surged to 92, extremely overbought, purely emotion-driven.
Whales dumped 5,000 coins (about $360,000) around $75, directly crashing the market.
Futures open interest dropped from 150 million to 90 million, 40% of long leverage was liquidated.
③ The most dangerous point: ZEC's current price is far above the mining breakeven point. Miner cost is about $310 per coin, and ZEC halves every three years, next in November — the halving expectation has been prematurely priced in.
Support: 50–55 (first line) → 35–40 (collapse level)
Resistance: 72.4 → 90
In short: don't catch this falling knife. A coin that rose 6 times in a month and halved in two days, no matter how strong the rebound, is a desperate escape wave
$BTC $ETH The 2TB hard drive is just a reference for today; the node threshold will continue to change depending on the condition
Common recommendations ethereum.org current node running guides include 2TB NVMe SSDs, with reminders that it may exceed this by 2027. Hard disk capacity is only one of the thresholds; random read/write performance, durability, memory, bandwidth, and synchronization methods all affect whether nodes can stably keep up with the chain. Buying consumer-grade drives with sufficient nominal capacity but consistently poor performance may expose problems during initial synchronization or state growth. Historical expiration and gas repricing can ease some storage pressure, while increased network usage brings new states; hardware requirements are not fixed forever. For $ETH demobilization, the key is not to keep nodes stuck in a single configuration forever, but that protocol growth speed must not suddenly leave ordinary operators behind. Node guidelines, client optimization, and state management must progress together. Assessing network health should also focus on synchronization times and device diversity, rather than just counting the number of online nodes.
Hardware costs should also be calculated over several years, not just the initial purchase. State growth, write lifespan, and backup requirements will determine whether nodes can remain long-term. The client's pruning ability also affects actual occupancy.#The US-Iran situation remains tense, and the G7 will release up to 100 million barrels of reserves
When I saw this news, my first reaction was not "oil prices will fall," but rather: the situation has become so serious that the G7 is starting to use strategic reserves to prop up the market.
On October 2, the G7 announced a coordinated release of about 100 million barrels of oil and diesel reserves through the IEA, starting immediately and lasting for 4 months, with a large amount of diesel concentrated in the first 20 days.
This indicates one thing:
What the market lacks is no longer sentiment, but real energy supply.
The US-Iran situation continues, the Strait of Hormuz is under pressure, and energy supply is beginning to affect diesel, transportation, and inflation.
And this is not the first time.
In March this year, the IEA already coordinated the release of 400 million barrels of strategic reserves, and about two-thirds of that round has been released so far.
So this 100 million barrels is essentially continuing to consume the global energy security buffer.
Short-term to suppress oil prices, long-term to buy time.
If Hormuz returns to normal, this 100 million barrels will be a buffer;
but if the situation continues to deteriorate, this 100 million barrels may be just a drop in the bucket.
And for $BTC, what’s more worth watching is:
Energy → Inflation → Interest rates → Liquidity → Risk assets.
So what I’m really focusing on now is not how much more oil the G7 can release, but:
When will Hormuz return to normal navigation.
Inventory can be released, but the supply gap will not disappear out of thin air.Thanks to the market finally giving back some old blood
Continuing to work tonight
Took a look at the chart below
This data just makes me mentally exhausted
But finally recovered some today
+1360.1
Went from -7600 down to -8827 then pulled back
The curve is finally turning upward
Feels good
October started off okay
1st +968
2nd -7600
3rd +1400
Big ups and downs
But today is finally in the green
This wave of short positions
The timing was pretty good
SAND dropped from 0.082
Caught a wave following it
Continuing to work tonight
Take profit when there’s gains
This month’s goal
First recover half the losses
Then talk about doubling up
Brothers
The feeling of recovering is really good
Keep steady
See you tonight
$SAND
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 #US September Nonfarm Payrolls Increase by Only 29,000, Unemployment Rate Rises to 4.2%
On the night of October 2, the U.S. Department of Labor released the September nonfarm payroll report, showing an increase of only 29,000 jobs, significantly below the market consensus range of 84,000 to 90,000. The unemployment rate climbed to 4.2%. Meanwhile, the combined nonfarm data for July and August was revised downward by 60,000, further confirming that the labor market is cooling faster than previously expected.
After the data release, market risk appetite quickly contracted. $BTC fell sharply from a high near $86,700, hitting a low around $84,000; $ETH also weakened in tandem, dropping from an intraday high of $2,779 to about $2,648.
Market interpretation suggests that although the weak nonfarm data reduced the implied probability of a Fed rate hike in October from 29% to 17%, investors are more concerned about the drag that weakening economic momentum will have on corporate earnings prospects and overall risk appetite. As a typical high-beta asset, crypto often faces selling pressure first amid such macroeconomic weakening signals. On the capital side, divergence also appeared: Bitcoin ETF flows showed mixed signals, while Ethereum ETFs saw a single-day net outflow exceeding $55 million, indicating some loosening of capital support.
In the short term, the crypto market is in a sensitive phase where macro data and capital sentiment intertwine, and volatility risks remain a concern. From a medium- to long-term perspective, the market's upward cycle has not fundamentally reversed. $BTC $ETH $ZEC Just caught Maji's on-chain moves: BTC stuck at 84,608, ETH steady at 2,676, both major mainstream coins tugging at high critical points. No volume increase on the push up, but support on the decline, a typical pre-event consolidation; he hasn't shaken the base due to volatility at all.
Main positions firmly held: BTC 390 coins, 40x leverage continuing to hold 84,791, won't exit before it stabilizes, with enough margin for forced liquidation; ETH 37,000 coins, 25x leverage completely unmoved, multiple rejections at 2,684, trend positions remain unchanged.
Maintaining nearly 132 million in major mainstream positions unchanged, separately allocating a new leveraged independent target at 1.7 USD — purely speculative track expectations, not shifting the main battlefield.
Strategy in brief: mainstream as base positions, thematic picks for elasticity — first BTC and ETH building momentum upwards, then small positions for individual narratives. Risks tied together: whether 1.7 succeeds depends on the overall market; if BTC and ETH suddenly fail to break or even break support, this position becomes precarious.BTC at $84,600, are you chasing it?
Nonfarm payrolls surprised to the downside, BTC surged to 87,220, everyone shouted bull return — but then it dropped back to 84,600 in two days, with liquidation clusters on both sides. Is this a pullback to pick up buyers, or a manipulation by whales using data to sell?
First, look at the surface: one bullish candle changes your view, one bearish candle ruins everything.
September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, expected 80-90,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and wage growth slowed. Once the data came out, the probability of a rate hike in October dropped from 64% to 20%, and BTC shot up to 87,220. Then what? The 10-year US Treasury yield rebounded from 5.16% to 5.27%, December rate hike is still priced in, risk assets retraced, and BTC returned to 84,600.
Retail investors are confused: who should they trust?
Remember this: Nonfarm payrolls tell you rate hikes will pause, Treasury yields tell you don’t celebrate too early. The market keeps slapping you back and forth between these two signals.
First point: ETF inflows cool down, but Citi calls for 113,000.
Spot ETFs were the core buying force that pulled BTC back from 65,000 this round, but inflows clearly cooled after the September peak. So the surge to 87,000 is not supported.
However, Citi raised its 12-month target from 82,000 to 113,000, citing ETF inflows recovery plus fiscal deficit narrative.
Translation: no ammo short-term, but a story mid-term. If you trade short-term volatility, don’t use long-term narratives to boost your confidence.
Second point: On-chain liquidation clusters, fuel on both sides.
Long and short liquidation clusters concentrate at 83,500, 85,100, and 87,700. What does this mean? Whales can pull either way and trigger a bunch of liquidations. So you’ll see the price sweep back and forth between 83,000 and 87,200, with many fake breakouts.
Don’t guess direction in the middle of the range, that’s gambler’s business.
Third point: Technicals tell you this is a range, not a main downtrend wave.
Daily: Price is above all major moving averages, 50-day > 200-day, RSI 60-63, strong zone but pulled back from overbought. Near Bollinger middle band, upper band at 89,000, lower band at 76,000.
4-hour: After hitting 87,220, it pulled back, now consolidating in a flag between 83,000-87,200. Middle band at 84,200, your current 84,600 is just above the midline.
Key levels:
Resistance: 85,200 → 86,500-86,800 → 87,220-87,700
Support: 84,200-84,000 → 83,100-83,500 → 82,000 → 80,000
A daily close below 84,000 is just weakening; a decisive break below 82,000 changes the structure from "high-level consolidation" to "deeper retracement."
Long-short showdown, judge for yourself:
On one side:
Nonfarm surprise, rate hike probability plummeted, macro neutral to bullish
Weekly and daily bullish structures intact
Citi raised target to 113,000, ETFs still strong mid-to-long term
No new supply shock after halving
On the other side:
US Treasury yields rebounded, December rate hike still priced in
ETF inflows cooled, no volume on the rally
Liquidation clusters sweep both sides, many fake breakouts
Macro pricing fluctuates before October 14 inflation data
Key position 84,600, 2,600 below the upper range edge 87,220, 1,500 above the lower edge 83,100.
Upper resistance: 85,200 → 86,500-86,800 → 87,220-87,700
Lower support: 84,200-84,000 → 83,100-83,500 → 82,000 → 80,000
Trading strategy
Range trading with high sell and low buy:
84,600 is mid-range, risk-reward is average, don’t chase. If rebound meets resistance at 86,500-87,200 and 4-hour candle closes below, short lightly with stop loss above 87,800, targets 84,200 / 83,500. If it falls back to 83,500-83,100 and shows a long lower shadow indicating a stop, then add longs in batches, stop loss below 82,800, targets 85,200 / 86,500.
Breakout trades:
4-hour close and hold above 87,220 with volume, then look to 88,500-89,000, stop loss below 86,500. Daily close below 83,100 and failure to reclaim it, short targets lowered to 82,000 / 80,000.
Wait-and-see conditions:
When price sweeps between 84,200-85,200 with shrinking volume, reduce leverage or stay flat. Before inflation data (October 14), range trading is suitable, not high leverage overnight holding.
Single trade risk control within 1% of account. Don’t heavily bet direction prematurely at 84,600.
BTC now is like a compressed spring —
One side expects rate hike pause, the other side sees Treasury yield rebound. Whoever lets go first triggers the next wave.
84,600 is neither top nor bottom, it’s a slaughterhouse for both bulls and bears.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% Nonfarm data is good, but the market first rises then falls is no coincidence
The US added only 29,000 jobs in September, with an expectation of 90,000.
What is this price level: as soon as the data came out, $BTC surged from 86000 to 87200.
Those chasing in thought the direction was right.
At the moment it triggered: the rally failed to hold and fell back to 85500.
All three moving averages turned downward, indicating short-term buying has withdrawn.
How is this number calculated: August job additions were revised down from 162,000 to 133,000.
Unemployment rate rose from 4.1% to 4.2%.
Both data points indicate the same thing, employment is cooling down.
The worse the data, the more people bet on rate cuts and rush in first.
After the rush, finding no one to catch, they have to come down themselves.
Stop losses placed below 85500 have already been swept.
#非农降温难压美债收益率，长期利率压力仍在
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 $BTC The first time I heard someone talk about virtual currency was at the small shop downstairs.
That guy bought $BTC and earned a phone.
After hearing that, I was itching inside.
On the way home, I downloaded the app.
Registered and verified until midnight.
After buying, my palms were sweaty.
Then I stared at the screen.
When it rose a bit, I smiled foolishly.
When it dropped a bit, I cursed myself for being reckless.
Later, $ETH seemed more stable.
I moved some money into it.
But it just stayed flat.
It stayed flat enough that I wanted to uninstall every day.
Then $SOL surged hard.
I couldn't resist chasing it.
It pulled back right after I entered.
I was stuck and even muted the group chat.
Some in the group shouted "take off."
Others shouted "run fast."
I was sometimes confident, sometimes panicked.
I also tried contracts.
Once I used leverage, my heart pounded like a drum.
The night of liquidation, I sat on the balcony to cool off.
Later, I slowly figured it out.
This thing can't be a way of life.
Now I only use spare money.
Losing it won't affect paying rent.
If I earn a bit, I withdraw it.
Buy some barbecue.
Or add something for the family.
If I get itchy hands, I walk around downstairs.
When tired of walking, I don't want to buy anymore.
When others show off profits, I just swipe away.
When others shout about hundredfold gains, I treat it like listening to a comedy show.
There’s too much noisy news.
Good news today, bad news tomorrow.
Anyway, the market has beaten me.
Now I don’t watch the market every day.
Set a reminder and leave it there.
Being able to sleep soundly is better than anything.
Everyone dreams of getting rich quick.
But you have to survive first.
Don’t borrow money.
Don’t get carried away.
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits.
These words sound corny.
But they come from losses.
I still watch the market now.
Just for fun.
No longer fantasizing about turning it all around in one shot.
Take it slow.
Be steady. #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备
#英伟达股价再创历史新高，市值逼近6万亿美元 Following a minor bounce from the $1.45 low, $XRP is testing the short-term resistance zone around $1.53 - $1.55. With current volume remaining thin, buyers lack the momentum for a clean breakout.
📊 Short Plan
– Entry Zone: $1.530 - $1.550
– Stop Loss: $1.570
– Targets: $1.480 | $1.450
⚠️️ If price breaks above $1.53 on strong volume surge, cancel this short setup immediately.$PONS Looking at this PONS chart, I really want to curse. It dropped from 0.65 to 0.42, a 16.5% decline, clearly using us bulls as an ATM again.
The project team has truly taken the word "disgusting" to the extreme.
The situation is simple: they promised buyback and burn, but analysts yyy exposed that for a full 5 days no money was sent to the fund pool, even though there was clearly $440,000 lying in the custody account.
During those 5 days, without buyback support, the shorts ruthlessly smashed the price, and my account was directly hit hard.
The most infuriating part is that when this was discovered and could no longer be covered up, the founder Ozzy came out tweeting that "the burn rate hasn't been adjusted yet" and "the contract is being upgraded," euphemistically calling it "changing to claim once every 7 days."
What kind of mechanism upgrade is this? It's obviously that they don't want to spend money when pumping the price, play dead when the price crashes, and wait until all retail investors are wiped out before coming back to say "I'm changing the rules."
All that talk about "anyone can trigger the bot to get rewards" is just nonsense to fool people.
Current price is 0.4299, but I've completely seen through the true colors of this project team.
They even treat the core "buyback and burn" as a joke. What bottom line does this project even have?
Relying on empty talk to pump the price will eventually backfire. I will definitely blacklist this project team and never look at it again! Truly disgusting!It's called a dog dealer because it really is a dog!
This wave was clearly played by the dog dealer.
I opened a long position at 0.07929, but was brutally hit down to 0.07258 by a single spike, stopped out at -22.71%. And then? Right after the spike, it immediately reversed back up to 0.075, a typical "targeted blast," specifically hitting long stop losses!
Look at the previous trade, also SAND, shorted at 0.07932, got stopped out within 1 minute, then reversed to long and got liquidated again. Both long and short positions wiped out, precise harvesting, this dog dealer is really ruthless!
Short-term fluctuations are completely irregular.
For coins like SAND that just had a pump and dump, the dog dealer is distributing chips, deliberately stabbing up and down to harvest retail traders. Better not touch it for now, wait until it fully bottoms out and stabilizes.
The profits made from ETH yesterday were largely lost today on SAND.
$SAND
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $NIGHT's direction looks smooth, but the trading volume is casting doubt on this trend.
I'll look at the position first, not guess the direction. The current price is 0.05019, about 12.15% away from the 1-hour support at 0.04409, and about 5.90% away from the resistance at 0.05315. Here, what’s lacking is not directional speculation, but the sustainability after the price truly breaks through the boundary.
The current 1-hour trading volume is only 0.21 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars; both the 1-hour and 4-hour volumes are relatively strong. The direction seems consistent, but participation is low; a breakout without volume support often requires the next candlestick to confirm.
There are only two conditions that would make me change my judgment. My observation line is clear: only by standing back above and holding 0.05315 can the short-term initiative be regained; if it breaks below 0.04409, then attention should shift to the 4-hour support at 0.03035. If pressure continues above, the 4-hour resistance at 0.05315 is temporarily just a distant reference, not a preset target.
To continuously track this segment, just remember 0.05315 and 0.04409. I will come back in the next round to check if my judgment has been overturned by the market.
When direction consistency and insufficient volume conflict, which do you trust more?
The market is volatile; the above is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.Mainstream coins are all stuck in deadlock; you're not the only one waiting for direction
$BTC: Macro data shows funds choosing defense; exchange balances have dropped to a four-month low. Long-term holders are still locking up, but whale transfer activity adds uncertainty. Spot ETFs attracted over 2.6 billion in September, yet the price remains stagnant, indicating heavy selling pressure above. Short-term logic: neither bulls nor bears dare to move, waiting for a macro breakthrough.
E$ETH: Price is stuck within a range with intense internal chip exchanges. Short liquidations fuel momentum; ancient whales transferred out $356 million worth of ETH, but over the past week, whales have overall increased holdings by about 60,000 coins against the trend. ETFs saw a net inflow of 3.1 billion in Q3, the third highest in history, but recently experienced single-day net outflows. Short-term logic: old money is rotating, new money is slowly entering via ETFs, trend awaits completion of chip exchanges.
$SOL: The structure is the most dangerous. Spot active buy/sell ratio is only 0.65; sellers outnumber buyers by 3 times, but long positions are extremely crowded—65% of retail is long, and 66% of top accounts are long. Everyone is holding, but no one is truly buying—this is a typical precursor to a liquidity sweep. Fundamentals are strengthening, ETFs have had net inflows for 11 consecutive weeks, but the longs are too crowded and need a cleanup. $ETH
A new face has joined the top smart money on Ethereum.
On-chain data shows that the address with the largest unrealized profit holds 81.96 million U worth of long ETH positions, with an entry price of 2134.45.
Current price is 2682.18, down 2.35% intraday, with the overall market showing weakness.
The bias is bearish; if it can't hold 2700, don't cling to the position, and if it breaks below 2650, look to the next support level.
$ETH $500,000 for one $BTC, $3 million by 2050.
I just finished reading this VanEck report, and my first reaction wasn’t excitement, but a bit of laughter.
Not laughing at their boldness, but laughing because such targets sound like stories from another planet to outsiders.
Breaking down the details: they set the mid-term target at half the market cap of gold.
Gold is currently just over 20 trillion, so half is 10 trillion.
How much is $BTC now? Still far from that.
But Sigel’s logic isn’t just shouting randomly; he’s focused on institutions continuously buying through ETFs, and mining companies’ power and energy contracts starting to gain value.
In short, the real value of this report isn’t the $3 million target, but that it tells you: institutions are still moving in.
As for the price target, just take it with a grain of salt.
Insiders shout about millions every day, but outsiders only ask: if I get in now, am I catching the falling knife or boarding the train?
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 #SEC加密资产托管新规，拟放宽机构自托管限制 $BTC $ETH This ID's viewpoint
ETH daily chart is consolidating at a high level. After surging to 2806.76, it faced resistance and pulled back, representing a mid-range consolidation after an uptrend. Entry: Wait for a secondary-level pullback to stabilize and a bottom fractal signal before considering going long. Stop loss: Place below 2629 (21-day moving average); breaking this level would invalidate the current upward structure.
Chan Theory Structure
The daily-level uptrend starting from the low of 1503.60 remains intact. After reaching the high of 2806.76, a daily-level consolidation zone is forming. The upper boundary (ZG) is at 2806.76, and the lower boundary (ZD) is near 2629. Two possible paths follow: if the secondary-level pullback does not break below ZD, a third buy setup forms to challenge the previous high; if ZD is effectively broken, the consolidation zone expands and the market will enter a deeper correction.
Wyckoff Volume-Price Observation
During the prior rally phase, volume was strong. After touching the 2806.76 high, upward momentum clearly weakened. Volume on pullback candles gradually shrinks, selling pressure is not severe, indicating a rest phase after the rise without a high-volume distribution long bearish candle. Recent candle bodies have narrowed, bulls and bears are in a stalemate, awaiting capital to choose direction.
Key Observation Points
Focus on the previous high at 2806.76. A volume-backed break and hold above this high would continue the bullish trend; multiple failed attempts to break through and an extended consolidation period should raise caution for a downward test of the consolidation zone lower boundary ZD.BTC surged to 87220 then fell back to about 84600, with spot ETFs net inflow this week only around 82.9 million, compared to about 2.39 billion last week.
Observed: 24-hour high around 87220, low around 83888, current price about 84590, down about 2.1%.
On Thursday, spot BTC ETF still had a net inflow of about 102.7 million, with BlackRock's IBIT buying about 195.6 million in one day.
During the same period, ETH spot ETFs had a net outflow of about 118 million this week, while last week they had an inflow of about 690 million, showing clear capital divergence.
Simply put: prices are pushing higher, but institutions have shifted from "aggressive buying" to "selective buying"; don't mistake the market's liveliness for hot money still pouring in aggressively.
My view: don't take the 87,000 surge as trend confirmation; the drop in weekly inflow from about 2.39 billion to about 82.9 million is a more glaring signal.
I will observe first and not chase; if it breaks below about 83880, consider it invalid, and if it holds, see if it can retake about 86500.
If it breaks the low, admit this rebound failed and don't stubbornly hold on.
Are you going to hold on with IBIT, or wait for weekly inflows to recover before acting?
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#US September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2% #BTC and ETH spot ETFs simultaneously turned to outflows, cooling capital enthusiasmThe first time I encountered this stuff was when a colleague pulled me into a group.
Every day in the group, someone was shouting trade signals.
I didn't understand anything.
I just got jealous seeing others make money.
So I bought $BTC first.
My hands were shaking after buying.
I smiled foolishly when it went up a bit.
I cursed when it dropped a bit.
Later, I chased $ETH.
After buying, it just moved sideways.
It moved sideways so much I wanted to uninstall.
Then I saw $SOL surge fiercely.
I got impulsive and jumped in.
Once in, it pulled back.
I got stuck and felt miserable.
During that time, I watched the market every day.
Even at work.
Even while eating.
I even checked before sleeping.
When I lost, I added more positions.
The more I added, the more I lost.
I also cut losses.
After cutting, it went up.
I was so angry I slammed the table.
I also tried contracts.
Leverage made my heart race happily.
I couldn't sleep the night I got liquidated.
Later, I learned my lesson.
Only use spare money.
Losing it doesn't affect my life.
When I make some profit, I withdraw it.
Buy some good food.
When the group shouts about 100x gains, I just watch.
When someone shows off profits, I don't believe it.
This industry has too much mixed information.
Good news today, bad news tomorrow.
Now I don't watch the market every day.
I set an alert and leave it alone.
If I get itchy hands, I go for a run.
When I'm tired from running, I stop thinking about it.
Everyone dreams of getting rich quick.
But you have to survive first.
Being able to sleep well is better than anything.
Don't borrow money.
Don't go all in.
Don't believe in guaranteed profits.
These words sound corny.
But they come from losses.
I still watch the market now.
Just for fun.
No longer fantasizing about turning it all around in one shot.
Take it slow.
Be steady. #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备
#英伟达股价再创历史新高，市值逼近6万亿美元 Watching the market at 6 PM tonight: BTC $84,600, down 2.05% in 24 hours, intraday high at 87,200, lowest at 83,900, ETH at $2,682, down 2.34% (Binance Market Data 2026-10-03, around 18:00). To start with the conclusion: yesterday I hit 87,000 and today it went back. It surged at the high and then reversed, which means the selling pressure above was thicker than expected. I think there are three reasons for the drop: first, it rose too fast last night—around 87,000 was already the resistance level ahead Today's high of 87,200 didn't hold, and those who chased in were sent back halfway up. Second, liquidity was thin over the weekend, with no data catalyzion. Even a small amount of selling could trigger a bearish candlestick. Third, the rate hike cycle hasn't ended yet, and the Fed might raise rates again in October. Risk assets naturally lack the confidence to sustain upward movement. There are positive factors too. Yesterday, the SEC proposed new crypto custody regulations, allowing self-custody under certain circumstances and allowing state trust companies to act as custodians. The entry threshold for institutions has been lowered by a bit, but this is just a proposal There are still 60 days left after the Federal Register is published, and it's still far from being realized. The market clearly didn't see it as an immediate positive for realization. It's like going on a blind date—the other party says, 'We can add you on WeChat first.' You're already thinking about who to invite for the wedding, but they just want to chat first. The news is real, but the pace is slow. Don't treat proposals as results for trading. Outlook for tomorrow: Around 84,000 is today's low area. Holding it means consolidation. Be careful if it falls below 83,000, then look for support downward. Move up$NEAR
The news has been quite lively recently.
NEAR officials stated that the stolen funds have been fully returned by the hacker, and the related investigation has been halted.
On-chain monitoring also shows that some smart money has strategically positioned itself during the pullback.
Current price is 4.719, down 3.95% intraday, with trading volume reaching 123 million USD.
The trend is bearish, with resistance above 4.9, and only a break below 4.5 would suggest a further decline.
$NEAR While everyone is applauding the 5.09% bullish candle, I have quietly pushed my piece to the opponent's second horizontal line — because in the endgame, the truly fatal factor is never that good move, but the empty pawn chain behind it.
First, look at the position. A 5.09% rise in 24 hours sounds impressive, but the short-term Bollinger Bands only allow +0.4% upward space, and the long-term Bollinger Bands have already reached 116% — meaning the price not only touched the upper band but also exceeded 1.1%. To me, this is not a breakout; it's a trespassing pawn: the pawn has advanced too far, and the supporting pieces behind haven't caught up. The 95% short-term percentile is the same — it looks close to the king but can't move a single step.
RSI short-term is 68.1, long-term 61.8, and the triggered sell condition only requires above 64. This is not a textbook extreme overbought, but I never wait for extremes — extremes are for gamblers; I only wait for structure. When the position is set, momentum dulls, and space is sealed off, the combination of these three is a standard restraint; every move of the opponent is already in my calculation tree.
So I don't act at the current price. $2.19 is the central grid; everyone is fighting for it, but the grid won by fighting is the easiest to be exchanged away. I will wait for a pullback, for it to walk into the grid I preset.
📉 Short:
Entry: 2.26 (current price +3.4%)
Take Profit 1: 1.98 (-9.5%)
Take Profit 2: 2.00 (-8.5%)
Stop Loss: 2.51 (+14.6%)
Look closely at the tactical logic here: the two take profit levels differ by only about 0.5%, almost falling in the same grid. What does this mean? It means the lower Bollinger Band area below still has 7.2% space from the current price; once the price falls back from above, the first wave will directly hit it, with no effective resistance in between. I set two targets not out of hesitation but to leave myself an exit for exchanging pieces.
As for the 14.6% stop loss, spectators might say it's too wide or that the risk-reward ratio is unfavorable. This is exactly the difference between amateurs and professionals: stop loss is not for calculating ratios but for protecting the king's wing. I place the stop loss at 2.51 — if that grid is taken and held by the opponent, my entire midgame plan collapses, and I will concede defeat without anyone needing to remind me. To make this wide stop loss feasible, I use a small position size, trading piece quantity for error tolerance space.
True masters see the endgame twenty moves ahead before placing a piece. For this $SSV move, I'm not waiting for the price but for the opponent's mistake.
Now, the board is quiet. I'm waiting for him to walk into 2.26. #strategyplaybookTokenized stocks are becoming a new segment of RWA, but their development is limited by liquidity.
The tokenized stock market is valued at $3 billion, but only about 6% of this value is actually used in DeFi — as collateral for loans or to earn fees.
The rest of the assets mostly remain idle or are quickly resold.
The tokenization process itself has become simple. The issuer buys a real stock through a broker and issues a token that tracks its price.
The company itself may not participate.
Therefore, several versions of the same asset appear.
Tesla, for example, is already represented by at least five different tokens on various networks and platforms.
But the same price does not mean the same liquidity.
This is critically important for DeFi.
If tokenized stocks like $NVDA are used as collateral and the price drops, the protocol must quickly sell the asset.
Without a buyer, there is a risk of loss. The quote can disappear within seconds, while redeeming the token takes more time.
Therefore, the next stage of the market is on-chain liquidity operating 24/7.
Market makers place capital directly on the blockchain and maintain quotes around the real stock price. Pools allow trades without searching for a counterparty.
An additional mechanism is the exchange of a tokenized stock for a real stock and vice versa at a 1:1 ratio.
This creates arbitrage. If the token becomes cheaper than the real stock, a trader can buy it, redeem it, and sell the underlying asset for more. They become buyers when liquidity is scarce.
In the future, competition between tokens of the same stock will be determined not only by the issuer or blockchain.
More important will be market depth, DeFi usability, redemption speed, and 24/7 liquidity.
The main question for tokenized stocks is changing.
The market has already learned to bring stocks on-chain.
Now it must prove that these assets can work on-chain: be used as collateral, generate income, provide liquidity, and participate in financial operations.【Two Major Illusions in the Crypto Circle】
First illusion: "I'll rest after this rally."
Second illusion: "I'll bottom-fish after this drop."
The result:
Afraid to chase when prices rise,
Afraid to catch a falling knife when prices drop,
Annoyed by the lack of movement during sideways trading.
In the end:
Not sure if making money or not, but have checked the candlestick chart 300 times a day.I've dismantled too many projects that only have renderings but no load-bearing walls, and $RON is exactly this kind of structure—an impressive facade, but the core is already signaling alarms.
It only climbed 2.78% in 24 hours, which sounds calm, but when you measure it against the Bollinger Bands, the short-term price is stuck at 112% of the band, with only -0.3% clearance left on the upper band and +2.8% buffer on the lower band. This is not a peak; it's an overhanging cantilever, with the rebar already stretched to its yield point. The short-term RSI has surged to 70.3, the overbought zone sign is already up; meanwhile, the long-term RSI is only 40.5, still lying in the neutral-to-lower foundation—stress between the upper and lower structural layers is completely disconnected. Anyone who understands static equilibrium knows this stress model will crack sooner or later.
So the signal is 🔴SELL, and I have signed off on it. Position design is as follows:
📉 Short:
Entry: 0.05 (current price +1.6%)
Take Profit 1: 0.05 (-4.6%)
Take Profit 2: 0.05 (-4.3%)
Stop Loss: 0.06 (-13.3%)
Note the skeleton of this trade: the take profit space is just over 4%, but the stop loss is open to over 13%, a risk-reward ratio close to an inverse 1:3 structure—that means I must precisely place the entry point on the last beam of the rebound, exchanging ±1.6% entry deviation for structural safety, with almost zero tolerance for error. RSI1H is above 64 and still pushing down; short-term overbought combined with no support in the long term is a typical sign of top cantilever instability, not a shakeout.
True project value never depends on how pretty the whitepaper looks—that's just the design drawing; what matters is whether the underlying structure can bear its own weight, whether development progress can pour on schedule, and whether the ecosystem can continue to build upward. $RON's current load-bearing performance does not deserve a long-term construction permit.
My judgment is straightforward: the upper structure of this building has already shown measurable deformation. First, dismantle this section, and wait until it falls back to a place with a foundation before discussing reconstruction. #coinmovealert8 million ZRO tokens transferred to Coinbase Prime, spot trading on OKX at $1.7394 with a fee rate maintained at 0.0034%
Today, ZRO spot trading on OKX reached 9.07 million USDT in turnover. On-chain monitoring detected that 8 million tokens were just transferred into Coinbase Prime. Those holding positions should first see if $1.7394 can hold. The on-chain records uncovered by Yujin are very clear: two addresses are old acquaintances who received 40.57 million ZRO from the LayerZero strategic multisig a year ago, worth $73.02 million at the time. This morning, they directly pushed 8 million tokens (about $14.98 million) to the deposit address.
I checked OKX's order book; ZRO-USDT spot is trading at $1.7394, having fallen from a daily high of $2.0037. In 24 hours, 4.96 million ZRO tokens were traded (equivalent to 9.07 million USDT). Although a large amount of tokens were transferred on-chain, OKX's ZRO perpetual funding rate is hanging at 0.0034%, with the last settlement at -0.0078%. The short positions on the exchange have not clustered to cause a significant discount.
Over the next month, tokens worth more than $1.913 billion will be unlocked network-wide, with a single large ZRO unlock accounting for over $10 million. Once large amounts of tokens enter institutional custody accounts, the spot market usually needs some time to stabilize.$PEPE
Why can't a low unit price reduce risk?
The 24-hour price range observed this morning was 0.000004085—0.000004752, with a trading volume of about 25.79 million USDT.
The number of decimal places in the quote does not affect the percentage loss of the same amount of funds. The morning window saw a drop of over 4%; having more tokens does not mean it's easier to profit.
I will observe whether the volume increases to surpass 0.000004752 and then pull back to hold; if this structure appears, it will increase the judgment for continuation. The downside risk is insufficient support and failed rebound; if it breaks below 0.000004085 and the rebound cannot recover, the judgment will be downgraded. The above boundaries come from the morning window, and subsequent market changes need to be rechecked.Sharing a trade: Today I opened a long position on SAND (The Sandbox)
This is not a trade call, just a record of my actions and thoughts for reference, don’t copy my trades.
Why SAND:
Today SAND surged directly to the top of CoinGecko’s trending list, reaching as high as 0.084 in a single day, currently at 0.076, up about +20% for the day. More importantly—blockchain games/metaverse tokens moved together today (GALA and MANA are also trending), it’s not a solo coin rally but a sector sentiment rebound. The Metaverse has been quiet for over half a year; a low-level rebound has a better risk/reward than chasing high-level coins.
My rules (key points):
• Small position, only using money I can afford to lose
• Entry cost at 0.07529, stop loss set at 0.07225; if broken, exit immediately, no holding on
• No chasing highs to add positions; will consider adding only after a pullback around 0.07 is confirmed
If it rises, that’s luck; if it falls, I follow my rules. It has now dropped nearly 10% from the intraday high, so be careful not to catch a falling knife if you want to enter.
What do you think about this SAND move? Is it a genuine recovery or a fake spike? Let’s discuss in the comments.
#SAND #TheSandbox #CryptoCommunityTalk #SharingNotCalling
⚠️ This is just my personal trading record and does not constitute investment advice. Please set your position size and stop loss according to your own risk tolerance. LITLITLIT fell about 8.2%, with contract open interest increasing nearly 70% in one hour, but still about 76% lower than the intraday peak.
As of 18:06 Beijing time, OKEx spot price was about $3.5481, with a 24-hour high of $3.8686 and a low of $3.416, amplitude about 13.3%; trading volume was about $14.39 million, approximately 1.28 times the median of the past 7 full trading days.
OKEx hourly statistics show nominal open interest value about $1.405 million, about $834,000 an hour ago, an increase of about 68.4%; compared to 24 hours ago, it only increased about 3.5%, and is still about 76.1% lower than the intraday peak of about $5.879 million. Current funding rate is about 0.005%, with perpetual contracts trading at a discount of about 0.06% compared to spot.
My judgment is that this looks more like a rapid rebound after significant deleveraging, and cannot yet be considered a trend reversal to strength. The easiest misjudgment is to chase the rebound seeing the short-term surge in open interest; the current price is still in the lower half of the intraday range, and new positions may first bear the price testing the bottom again.
Next, watch $3.416 and $3.60. If it reclaims the latter, with open interest maintained and the discount narrowing, the support can be considered stable; if it breaks the low while open interest remains higher than an hour ago, new leverage may amplify the next round of position reductions. $LIT There are always some things that require courage (Part 8)
"Nine Yang Manual"
The principal is the dantian, the position size is the true qi. When qi is sufficient, it generates itself; when the position is heavy, it burns itself. Leverage is like fire; it can refine gold or burn the body. Set a stop loss before opening a position; never open a position without a defined stop loss. The direction can be wrong, but life cannot be lost.
Let others pull as they will, the breeze brushes the hills; let others smash as they will, the bright moon shines over the great river. When the trend is unclear, being flat is winning; when rumors fly, stay still like a mountain. Do not chase highs, do not catch bottoms, do not hold losing positions, do not average down. Take profits in batches, never add to losing positions. Whenever there is profit, first withdraw the principal; securing profits is true yang.
When emotions rise, step away from the screen for 45 minutes; after three consecutive losses, rest for the day. Divide funds into three parts: trial and error, waiting for the trend, and survival. Do not envy hundredfold gains, only seek longevity. The market always has the next wave; those who are liquidated have no next round.
Others may be ruthless and evil, but I have a mouthful of true qi. This qi is not leverage, but discipline, position sizing, stop loss, patience, and respect. The Nine Yang is not about getting rich quickly, but about staying alive. Contracts are high risk, do not gamble with your life. This is not investment advice.Another 0.29% life-or-death line! BCH and SOL are making crazy profits, ETH is still dragging, this market is driving me nearly insane!
Brothers, open your accounts, looking at the bright red BCH and SOL, but feeling chills in my heart. This isn’t trading, it’s like sleeping with a bomb!
Position update:
BCH: The brightest star on the field! Full 10X leverage, entry at 261.02, mark at 311.38, unrealized profit +313.75U, ROI up to +161.64%! From deep loss to doubling now, this "living on the edge" really paid off.
SOL: Steady as an old dog! Full 20X leverage, entry at 115.63, mark at 119.29, unrealized profit +193.54U, ROI +61.36%. Holding up half the sky.
$ETH: The eternal drag! Full 5X leverage, entry at 2718.24, mark at 2679.07, unrealized loss -31.84U (-7.31%), hopeless.
Honestly speaking: two winners and one loser, total unrealized profit over 470U, looks great on paper. But the overall margin ratio is stuck at 0.29%! Not even 0.3%! Any random spike up or down, this 470U profit plus principal will instantly go to zero, no time even to manually close positions.
From deep losses in LTC, to a comeback in ZEC, and now BCH doubling, I wake up in the middle of the night watching forced liquidations, heart racing like a roller coaster with the K-line, I’ve really had enough! Rationally, I tell myself: liquidate immediately to lock in this 160% profit! But the gambler’s mind is acting up: what if BCH surges to 320? Getting off now would be like breaking my own leg?
Brothers, this 0.29% position, should I keep it tonight or not? Tell me if I should reduce my position immediately to save myself? Wake me up in the comments!
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 I got into the crypto world because my colleague kept talking about it at his desk every day.
He said buying some $BTC casually could make a profit.
Listening to him, I got tempted.
I went home, downloaded the app, registered, and linked my card.
I fiddled with it until midnight to get it done.
The first time I bought, my fingers were stiff.
After buying, I kept staring at the screen.
When it went up a bit, I smiled foolishly.
When it dropped a bit, I cursed myself for being reckless.
Later, I saw $ETH seemed a bit more stable.
I moved some money into it.
But it just stayed flat.
Flat enough that I wanted to uninstall the app every day.
Then $SOL surged.
I couldn’t resist chasing it.
As soon as I got in, it started to pull back.
I got stuck and even quit the group chat.
Some in the group shouted "take off."
Others shouted "run fast."
I was sometimes confident, sometimes panicked.
I also tried contracts.
Once I used leverage, my heart pounded like a drum.
The night I got liquidated, I smoked half a pack on the balcony.
Later, I slowly came to understand.
This thing can’t be treated as a meal ticket.
Now I only play with spare money.
Losing it doesn’t affect paying rent.
If I make a little, I withdraw it.
Buy some barbecue or add something for the family.
If I get itchy hands, I walk a couple of laps downstairs.
When tired, I come back and don’t want to buy anymore.
When others show off profits, I just swipe away.
When others shout for hundredfold gains, I treat it like listening to a comedy show.
There’s too much noisy news.
Good news today, bad news tomorrow.
Anyway, I’ve been beaten by the market.
Now I don’t watch the market every day.
I set a reminder and leave it there.
Being able to sleep soundly is better than anything.
Everyone dreams of getting rich quick.
But you have to survive first.
Don’t borrow money.
Don’t get carried away.
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits.
These words sound corny.
They all come from losses.
I still watch the market now.
Just for fun.
No longer fantasizing about turning it all around in one shot.
Take it slow.
Be steady. #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备
#英伟达股价再创历史新高，市值逼近6万亿美元 I admit, I was really wrong yesterday Just pure luck. Went all in with 100x isolated margin, At night $ETH just shot up for me. Marked price went up to 2777.7 My stop loss was stuck tightly at 2778.5. A distance of just 0.8U! The tip of a needle almost pierced my stop loss line! At that moment, I really didn't even dare to breathe hard. I thought I was going to fall. But what happened? FakeBinance controls 50% of tokens, $MarsCoin has been trading sideways for a month. The storm should be approaching—let's take a look at the data to get the latest updates! As of October 3, 2026, #MarsCoin Changes in data from the top 40 holding addresses: Binance Spot: 47 million inflows; Gate1: 310,000 outflows; Gate5: 6 million outflows; Mexc: Inflows: 120,000 coins. New entries: 5 people, 4 people have moved up, 1 has opened a new position. Falling out of the top 40: 5 people, 3 deposited into Binance, 1 person cleared their position, 1 significantly reduced their position. Top 40 add positions: 2 people, both transferred in. Top 40 reduce positions: 2 people in total. MarsCoin Daily highlights: Among the addresses newly entering the top 40 this time, 4 saw normal increases. Notably, 1 person opened a new position. Of the 5 who fell out of the top 40, 3 deposited into Binance, while the other two reduced their positions significantly. The number of new and decreasing positions in the top 40 was relatively small, and the number of tokens involved was small. The most important exchange data came from Binance, with inflows reaching 47 million, while Gate saw 6 million outflows, which is quite large. After the token price surged to a high last time, It has already dropped about 35%, indicating some selling pressure. The large inflow into Binance's spot is most likely related to the announced holding dividends. These tokens are unlikely to be sold off; Binance currently holds about 50% of the tokens, while Marscoin is the main reason for the inflowSaifedean Ammous, author of "The Bitcoin Standard," poured cold water on the matter:
He believes that apart from Michael Saylor's Strategy, other "Bitcoin treasury companies" find it hard to compete.
Strategy holds 847,666 BTC with a cost basis of $63.95 billion, plus $5.02 billion in reserves covering preferred stock dividends and debt interest; large scale, strong cash position, and lower borrowing costs.
When BTC fell below $60,000 this summer, Strategy raised the STRC preferred stock dividend to 12%, repurchased shares, and built cash reserves.
"Buying coins" is easy, but "maintaining the treasury structure" is difficult.