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🔥Big Brother Maji makes a heavy move, placing $150 million perpetual long bets on BTC, ETH, and SOL, with zero hedging, going all in.
Compared to the previous $93 million position, both capital and leverage have been increased. BTC is the base, ETH is the main position, and SOL is for capturing volatility. But the three are highly correlated, with profits and losses synchronized; a drop hits all three simultaneously.
With PCE and non-farm payrolls coming one after another, frequent Fed speeches, and slight fluctuations in US Treasury yields, huge positions swing dramatically. The market is under pressure; every rally followed by a pullback tests his liquidation defense line.
The big player is used to holding firm and adding margin, relying on ample ammunition and market tug-of-war.
⚠️ Ordinary people must not imitate: you don’t have whale-level tolerance funds; blindly going heavy on one side is gambling with your livelihood. $BTC $ETH $SOL #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 #美债30年期收益率突破5.6%，创2002年来新高 #美伊谈判重启，双方让步空间有限 Unlocks next week: Two are really going to dump, don’t pretend you don’t see it
Conclusion first: Next week is not an ordinary week; it’s the floodgate opening for October’s supply.
I checked the calendar around, most projects don’t even need attention. Linear unlocks happen every month, the market has already digested them. The ones to really watch are just a few.
2Z (DoubleZero) is the harshest. On October 2nd, a batch will be released all at once, accounting for nearly half of its circulating supply. This ratio isn’t "new supply," it’s a wave of chip holders changing hands. The initial big unlock always brings the heaviest selling pressure.
$ENA on October 5th. This batch is the last from early investors, making up over 10% of the circulating supply. The numbers are scary, but I actually think its worst times are almost over; the VC chips are all out, and supply pressure will decrease afterward. This kind of "last time" often sees a drop first, then stabilization.
$HYPE on October 6th, team unlock, the largest dollar amount next week. For the team’s holdings, the key is whether they will dump on exchanges.
On the same day, there’s also $ASTER, with a significant proportion, worth a quick glance.
A word on the macro environment: The Fed just raised rates in September, and on October 7th, the minutes will be released. Liquidity is already tight. Large unlocks at times like this are more likely to cause a dump than during a bull market.
Unlocking doesn’t necessarily mean a price drop, don’t just short based on the date. What really determines a dump is whether the unlocked chips move into exchanges. If you want to position yourself, wait for on-chain transfers during those two days before acting, don’t jump the gun.Big Brother Maji just made 827,000 on PUMP, then immediately threw 5.26 million back in.
9 hours ago, he closed his PUMP long position, pocketing 827,000. Then he instantly opened a new 10x leveraged long position, 900 million $PUMP tokens, worth 5.26 million.
The money he just earned wasn’t even warm before he bet it back in.
This isn’t his first time messing around on PUMP. Over the past week, his $HYPE, $BTC, and PUMP long positions have been cut with losses totaling 3.99 million. His weekly win rate is only 27%, with 11 closed positions and 8 losses. HYPE is currently showing an unrealized loss of 1.25 million, and PUMP had lost over a hundred thousand before.
A person who repeatedly loses money on PUMP, just after making a profit, doesn’t run away — he doubles down.
PUMP is currently at $0.0058, up 11% in 24 hours. Opening a long at this level means he’s betting the trend isn’t over. But his ETH long positions are still underwater, and HYPE is also losing. His account has never been supported by a single coin; it’s propped up by constantly opening new positions to hedge losses from old ones.
When making 820,000, a normal person would think, “Finally got some money back.” He thinks, “This time I can make even more.” That’s Big Brother Maji — always gambling, never running.
Do you think this new 5.26 million long position will let him walk away clean? Discuss in the comments.
The above is compiled from on-chain data and does not constitute any trading advice. Just casually reviewed my opening positions; today marks the 39th day of shorting ZEC, with 51 days left to reach my three-month target. Holding on tightly!!!
ZEC current price is 1412, down slightly by 0.33% in the last 24 hours.
After the previous major drop, it is currently in a low-level consolidation recovery phase. RSI6=46.47 has returned to the neutral zone, with no clear overbought or oversold signals; MACD green bars have turned red, indicating a slight bullish counterattack; KDJ indicator is trending upward, showing momentum for a short-term continued rebound.
Key price levels:
Resistance: 1459‑1475, previous rebound highs; breaking through this will open further upward potential.
Support: 1355, an important low in this round; holding this level will maintain the consolidation pattern.
Market characteristics: This is a rebound after a decline, not a strong reversal. It heavily depends on BTC and ETH market trends; if the market strengthens, ZEC’s rebound elasticity is significant; if the market weakens again, it is likely to retest lows. Treat the short term with a consolidation mindset; avoid blindly chasing highs.
The above is only technical analysis of the market and does not constitute investment advice #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 #美债30年期收益率突破5.6%，创2002年来新高 #美伊谈判重启，双方让步空间有限 $BTC $ETH $ZEC Brothers, be sure to pay attention, $ZEC has essentially changed! The independent trend is basically over, now it's in a range-bound mode, with bulls and bears almost balanced. If you don't find the right entry point, it's easy to get trapped.
Looking at the market, ZEC current price is 1,417.84, I opened a short at 1,643.78, with an unrealized profit of 41.23%. Also holding a short on SOL, entered at 120.94, current price 119.62, unrealized profit 3.27%, both are in profit.
Why do I say it has changed? Previously, the rise to 1,660 was mainly driven by short squeeze from liquidations, leveraged push. Now the forces of bulls and bears are balanced, no longer a one-sided short squeeze. In this kind of market, chasing highs and selling lows both get hit; you can only trade swings by accurately identifying support and resistance.
Key pressure points: upper resistance zone from 1,500 to 1,550, a rebound to this area is a shorting opportunity; lower support zone from 1,350 to 1,400, a drop here can be a chance to long for a rebound. The middle area from 1,400 to 1,500 is a meat grinder; don't open random positions in the middle before the direction is clear.
The overall market is weak, BTC is stuck around 82,900, ETH tried three times to break 2,750 but failed, funds are withdrawing. I only trade short-term, take a bite and run, will consider taking profit on shorts near 1,350. $BTC $ETH #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 BTC failed to break higher twice this week; tonight will be the main event. At 20:30 Beijing time, the August PCE will be released. The current market expectation is an overall year-on-year increase of 3.7%, core year-on-year 3.3%, and month-on-month both at 0.3%. The data itself is unlikely to surprise, but the annual PCE revision will also be released tonight—some institutions estimate that the past core annual growth may be revised down by 0.2 to 0.3 percentage points. If the revision is downward, it is a marginally positive signal for BTC. BTC is currently oscillating narrowly around 83,600, with solid selling pressure above. The 30-year US Treasury yield remains near the 5.58% level, the highest since 2002, putting overall risk assets under pressure.
On-chain signals: CryptoQuant data shows that the unrealized profit rate of short-term traders has reached 33%, the highest since December 2024. On September 22, realized profits reached 25,700 BTC in a single day, a record for this year. Glassnode's NUPL also surged to 14.25, the highest since January. The pressure to take profits is real.
Personal judgment: The $82,500 support has not broken, the structure remains intact, but short-term is just a high-level consolidation to digest chips. If the PCE revision tonight truly lowers core inflation expectations, it is a positive signal for BTC. Cautious in the short term, not pessimistic in the medium term. Personal opinion, not investment advice. $BTC $ETH $XAUT #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 $ZEC: Buy on Dip
Strategy:
· Wait for the price to dip to the 1400-1405 range (support marked on the chart and previous small platform) and stabilize before going long.
· The initial target is 1420 (resistance level); if this is effectively broken, hold until 1453 (upper Bollinger Band) - 1459 (24-hour high). Set stop loss below 1383 (lower Bollinger Band).
Core Basis:
1. Short squeeze expectation from the chip perspective: The whale's nominal long-short ratio is as high as 514%, with the average short entry price at 1420.07 close to the current price. If the price breaks 1420, shorts will be fully at a loss, likely triggering a panic closeout and driving a short squeeze rally.
2. Bottom structure formation: After a deep V reversal from 1355 on the 1-hour chart, lows have been rising continuously, forming a support platform above 1400. The price is currently attempting to stand above the Bollinger middle band (1418), indicating strong bottom support.
3. Capital flow favors bulls: The funding rate is positive (0.01%), and 30-minute net buying (730,000 USDT) exceeds net selling, showing signs of accumulation by bulls. The 1420-1459 zone above is a previous crash resistance area with trapped positions, making a direct breakout less likely. A dip to consolidate and digest selling pressure before advancing is more stable.
#ZEC再创本轮新高，逼近1700美元 #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 US Treasuries sound the alarm again!
The 30-year yield soared to 5.61%,
hitting a new high since 2002, with the 10-year also reaching 5.27%.
Long-term bonds are being sold off,
with rising rate hike expectations + oil prices pushing inflation + expanding fiscal deficits,
investors demand higher returns.
This is real pressure on BTC—
the higher the risk-free yield, the less appetite for risk assets.
5.6% is not an ordinary fluctuation,
for BTC to rally again, the current US Treasury sell-off needs to pause first.
#美债30年期收益率突破5.6%，创2002年来新高 #美伊谈判重启，双方让步空间有限 #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 #美债30年期收益率突破5.6%，创2002年来新高
The US and Iran held another round of talks brokered by Qatar, with the Strait of Hormuz passage issue still on the table, but the focus of the game has clearly shifted towards the nuclear deal and sanctions relief. A US official hinted that as long as there is some easing on the nuclear issue, Trump might consider relaxing some sanctions and unfreezing some assets, but before the statement faded, Trump himself denied it. However, the market ignored this; once the news broke, oil prices, which had previously surged over 4%, quickly gave back gains, with WTI sliding 0.83% and Brent down 0.27%.
For BTC, this is a short-term relief. As oil prices retreat, inflation expectations can ease, and the necessity for a Fed rate hike in October seems less urgent. BTC had been suppressed by macro factors, with oil prices and US Treasury yields acting like two slabs of stone; now one shows signs of loosening, allowing sentiment to breathe. BTC is currently tugging around 84,000, with 85,000 forming short-term resistance and support around 82,000.
But don’t rush in. The negotiations are not settled, core terms remain unresolved, and both Trump and Iran deny concessions, so uncertainties could return at any time. If talks collapse, oil prices will rebound, rate hike expectations will rise again, and BTC will face pressure once more. In the medium term, US Treasury yields remain above 5%, the high interest rate environment persists, and it won’t be easy for BTC to break out into a one-sided trend $BTC $ETH $ZEC Chainlink 的机构化布局持续推进，从合规基础、CCIP 安全升级，到 DTCC 相关合作以及 CCIP 2.0，生态基础设施正在不断完善。 但市场最终还是要看真实采用率。$LINK 目前约 $14.8，相比此前 $26.75 高点仍回撤约 45%。利好消息很多，但价格尚未完全反映这些基本面变化。 📍 关键位置： • $13.50：重要支撑，失守后需警惕进一步回落 • $15.70–$16.00：短线情绪转强的第一道确认区 • $17.50附近：若放量突破，才更值得关注后续趋势延续 接下来重点观察的不只是合作公告，而是 CCIP真实使用量、跨链交易规模、协议费用与收入增长。如果机构采用能够持续转化为实际经济活动，市场才可能重新给予更高估值。 目前更适合观察和等待确认，而不是盲目追涨。 #Chainlink #LINK #CCIP2 #Crypto #DailyOrbit #DYORSeeing the long-short ratio data, I was stunned. I didn't expect this dog whale to really know how to play clever tricks.
At such a high price, they actually managed to turn most of the brothers from bearish to bullish. That truly is a technical operator.
Everyone can take a look at the contract long-short ratio; bulls are 54.45%, bears only 45.55%.
Brothers, do you understand this data?
$GRASS, a coin that rose 30% in one day, a shitcoin, has so many brothers bullish at such a high price level.
Once this data came out, I knew what the dog whale was up to.
That big bullish candle at 4 AM yesterday directly pulled it up to 0.8191, blowing out all the shorts.
Then retail investors saw such a big rally and all rushed in to chase longs.
The number of bulls instantly crushed the bears. This is exactly the effect the dog whale wanted: first blow out shorts, then lure longs, and finally dump.
Whether from the current retail investor psychology or from this price movement, this rally has already reached its end.
Look, it peaked at 0.8191 and has now fallen back to 0.7412.
The top left a long upper shadow, EMA5, EMA10, and EMA20 are all pressing above the price, a standard bearish alignment has formed.
After high volume at the top, volume quickly shrank, and the buying side simply can't hold.
Although it is currently consolidating, it’s already a bit like the last breath of a strong bow.
I know many people are still bullish now, thinking it can rally again.
But think about it, when retail investors are collectively bullish, would the dog whale kindly make money with you?
No.
The more crowded the retail investors, the closer the harvest.
My short at 0.69 is currently down 17.81%, many laugh at me for being foolish.
But I tell you, I am heavily in debt, have failed countless startups, and am least afraid of this kind of short squeeze trap.
The more crowded the retail investors, the more determined I am.
When this fuel for chasing longs burns out, the bull stampede will be a waterfall.
$BTC
$ZEC
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 Recently worth paying attention to $ZHIPU
Positive news:
1. Year-end ARR guidance raised to $3 billion, currently about $1.8 billion, management says computing power is no longer the main short-term constraint
2. Revenue in the first half of the year increased nearly 4 times year-on-year, API call volume increased more than 40 times since the beginning of the year, average price simultaneously raised by about 101%
3. GLM-5.3/Flash programming is close to first-line closed source, dual track of open source + hosting; 100,000-card domestic cluster has already run real traffic
4. Overseas cloud revenue share expected to be confirmed in October, Co-work orders exceeded 1 billion in one month; OKX has already listed ZHIPUUSDT perpetual
Current trading idea: can buy lightly long today, low leverage and low entry. 1h shows long signal, hold about 1% position, left-side layout 表面在反弹，底下却在偷偷换气，ZEC这波卡得有点微妙。 热闹回来了，可为什么它偏偏跟不上？ 昨晚看盘时我第一反应是，BTC重新站回84000上方、ETH守在2700以上，几乎把前两天的跌幅都收了回来，情绪像被重新点亮。但ZEC的反应明显慢半拍，只弹了几个点，像在1400附近被什么拽住。表面是普涨修复，底层结构却不太一致。 我盯的不是价格，是衍生品那层。反弹里如果持仓量继续堆、资金费率还是正的，说明追多的人没退，反而在加。这种结构最怕的不是跌，是横。横久了，多头自己会先没耐心。ZEC现在给我的感觉就是这样：想往下走，但大盘不给空间；想往上冲，又没有自己的叙事接力。 跨市场那边也在施压。美债收益率创2007年来新高，黄金单日跌超3%，这不是普通的风险偏好回升，更像是资金在重新算折现率。非农和PCE又卡在本周，美光财报也临近，AI存储需求会被拿来当风险偏好的温度计。这些宏观变量一动，BTC和ETH的波动会先传导，再压到ZEC这种高beta标的。 偏多的路径也还在：只要BTC稳在84000上方、ETH不丢2700，ZEC守住1400，那这波就只是消化，不是破位。山寨的情绪会跟着修复，挤压空头的