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Is China going to have its own blockchain network? I think it still needs to be studied carefully. Most likely, it will use blockchain networks to integrate existing information systems and replace the previous methods of information storage, such as applying it to government agencies, banks, etc., to achieve data sharing between departments, trade verification, joint standard setting, and cross-border trade. Cryptocurrency only uses blockchain technology, so developing blockchain networks and developing cryptocurrency are two different things and cannot be equated. $BTC After looking around, there’s no good or bad news, just technical analysis of ETH and BTC, each one more serious than the last.
Some say there’s a volume node near 2500 for ETH, ATR is only 31, and the 4-hour candle’s average volatility is pitifully small, so a breakout is likely fake. Another says BTC bounced back from 81k, the uptrend line is still holding, with a target liquidity at 87k.
Mainstream coins are grinding in a narrow range, altcoins are playing dead, and all the funds are concentrated in mainstream coins doing technical work.
This actually indicates that altcoins lacking heat often aren’t at the bottom, it’s just that no one wants to catch the fall.
When technical posts cluster like this, I usually keep my hands in my pockets.
Did you open any positions today? Or like me, are you just watching the show around 82k?
$ETH $MAGIC $BTC "Market Observations"
Here are some genuine insights from today's market watch, casually recorded.
First, leverage is truly a double-edged sword. When the market is stable, it seems to amplify profits, but once volatility hits, the first to be wiped out are the high-leverage users.
Ethereum ETFs have seen net outflows for 8 consecutive days, totaling over 640 million USD; the entire network liquidated 147 million USD yesterday, with shorts being heavily wiped out. Facing the overall market, our margin is really not enough to withstand the turmoil.
Second, never go head-to-head with macro trends.
BTC retraced nearly 3% this week, currently oscillating around 82,700. Crude oil remains high, US Treasury yields stay elevated, and capital is clearly withdrawing from high-risk markets. Focusing only on candlesticks can lead to self-deception, ignoring real signals of market cooling.
Third, at this stage, staying alive is more important than making money.
With continuous ETF outflows and weak buying, the market lacks strong support. There's no need to force trades in such conditions; reducing positions, holding more cash, and cutting down frequent operations is the best defense.
Markets come and go every day, but once your principal is lost, it's truly gone. $BTC $ETH #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
⚠️Personal insights, not investment advice【On-Chain Trading Update｜SUI】
Monitored address 0x24fb opened a long position:
▪ Execution price: $1.13
▪ Transaction amount this time: $62,629.03
▪ Leverage: 10x
Do you think opening a long position at this point is early or not?
Note: This address has made over $246,000 profit in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +9.21% $MUBARAK such air coins have no practical application scenarios, yet some people still use Zhao Changpeng to hype them. What is the point? Is it because there are fewer people trapped?Simply put, ZEC is currently priced around $1234.
The 15-minute chart looks slightly bullish, with moving averages trending upward, but there is resistance at 1240-1242 and support at 1223-1228.
In the short term, it's a consolidation with a bullish bias. For a big rally, volume needs to break through 1242; otherwise, it will likely oscillate back and forth.
The capital flow is not strong. The 5-minute net inflow is only 1.34 ZEC, which is almost negligible; daily capital flow alternates between red and green, indicating significant disagreement between bulls and bears, with no large funds continuously entering.
So don't expect a quick surge in the short term.
Fundamentally, the biggest event is the NU7 upgrade.
The testnet was activated on October 5, and on October 20, the mainnet launch date will be decided, targeting November 5.
After the upgrade, block time will decrease from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, tripling the speed, which is a solid positive expectation.
Additionally, the Grayscale Zcash ETF, Winklevoss's spot ETF application, and institutions holding over 290,000 ZEC all provide medium-term support.
However, there are risks: Grayscale ETF redemptions continue, some question ZEC's market cap as inflated, the EU may ban privacy coins in the future, and the weekly chart is overbought.
So, in the medium term, "positive expectations" and "selling pressure risks" are in conflict.
Summary: In the short term, watch if 1242 can be broken; if yes, look at 1250-1260; if not, expect a pullback to 1223 or even 1210.
The most critical medium-term event is the NU7 decision on October 20. If smooth, it could surge to 1280-1350 before November 5; if delayed or problematic, it might fall back to 1180-1200. Don't hold heavy positions; wait for clarity on the event. $ZEC $BTC
#BTC Current views are as follows
Plan:
1. Sprint to $83K–$88K — Completed
2. Consolidate around $83K–$85K — Completed
3. Altcoin sprint — Completed
3. The last 5th sub-wave before ABC correction — Completed?
4. ABC correction — In progress
5. BTC buy zone: $72K–$80K
6. BTC surpasses $100K in 2027
What’s next?
We are currently in an ABC correction, and I see two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1: $BTC trades sideways in the $80K–$83K+ range before rebounding above $90K+.
Scenario 2: $BTC returns above $83K, then trades sideways in the $80K–$83K+ range, followed by another drop into the $72K–$80K zone. I don’t think it will drop fully to $72K, but it’s possible.
As I warned before, everyone is bottom-fishing and buying, even those who don’t believe in the upward trend. The market needs to cool off, and yesterday we finally had that correction.
Have we bottomed?
I’m not sure, but I’ve started accumulating spot altcoins.🔥 How big is Big Brother Maji's short position this time? Just looking at the position size is shocking: BTC short position valued at about 240 million U, ETH short position valued at about 280 million U, SOL short position valued at about 81.5 million U, with a combined unrealized loss exceeding 50 million U!
🐋 BTC short position holding 2853.38 coins, 5x full position, opening average price 76152.4, currently unrealized loss 19.1163 million U, funding fee income 2.34 million U.
⚔️ ETH short position holding 111,800 coins, 5x full position, opening average price 2322.63, currently unrealized loss 19.4834 million U, funding fee income 3.5235 million U.
📉 SOL short position holding 741,900 coins, 10x full position, opening average price 94.3122, currently unrealized loss 11.528 million U, funding fee income 3.6148 million U.
💰 The combined unrealized loss of the three positions is about 50.1277 million U, with funding fee income about 9.4783 million U. It is worth noting that these figures reflect the position status at a certain point in time and do not represent the final profit or loss. The whale may continue to hold, reduce positions, or adjust strategy; external observers cannot judge the next move based solely on screenshots.
Brothers, what do you think is the most critical variable this time: price trend, funding fees, or subsequent position changes? #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 $STRK is running an independent trend tonight.
In the past more than twenty hours, $STRK has been moving sideways in the 0.070–0.075 range, unaffected by BTC fluctuations, with volatility suppressed to the floor.
Then at 22:00, a 1H bullish candle directly broke through the upper boundary: 0.075 → 0.087, a rise of +15.3%, with a trading volume of 745M units. Immediately after, at 23:00, it pushed further to 0.0919, with a total two-hour trading volume of 1.38B.
This is not chasing a high. This is a breakout.
Direction emerging at the end of convergence is one of the most important signals in technical analysis. The longer the horizontal, the higher the vertical—$STRK demonstrated this today.
The key is volume: before 22:00, the average daily trading volume was < 200M/h; from 22:00 to 23:00, it expanded 3–4 times, without retreating back into the original range. Such large volume is not something retail traders can generate.
As for the catalyst—I haven’t found any clear announcement tonight, and on-chain data is still processing. But the price action has already spoken: the market’s patience with $STRK was rewarded today.
Holding the new support range of 0.087–0.090 changes the short-term structure. If it doesn’t hold, then we continue to watch the original range.
Do you think $STRK can hold steady?The most interesting thing about the market isn't the price itself. It's how differently people react to the same opportunity. When Bitcoin was near $57,000, fear dominated the market. Many people were convinced it would fall further, so they hesitated to buy. Now that BTC is back around $80,000, some of those same investors are suddenly eager to go long, afraid they'll miss the next rally. That's the strange psychology of trading: when prices fall, we fear losing money; when prices rise, we feaStarting capital: 7U Peak account balance: 3,750U Survival expenses: 2,950U Available trading capital: Just 700U+ Fifty days into the challenge, and reality has hit hard. Over the past two weeks, I've barely made any trades. Between daily expenses and trading losses, the capital I can actually use has dwindled to around 700U. Honestly, it hurts. After putting in so much effort, watching the account shrink like this is a tough feeling. But the challenge isn't over. The immediate priority is no loMy tooth has been hurting so badly that I desperately want to see a dentist, but when I check my wallet, I realize I can barely afford the treatment. Money I worked so hard to earn has disappeared into futures trading. The more I think about it, the more it hurts. I finally understand something that nobody can teach you until you experience it yourself: the most frightening thing about leveraged trading isn't losing money. It's losing money and still refusing to stop, believing the next trade wi$ASTS Damn it! ASTS's recent surge gave me goosebumps, clearly a bull trap. There's no fundamental support at all, purely a capital-driven fight, the vibe is way too intense.
Watching the order book for a while, the volume at 50.8 clearly can't keep up, and the sell orders above are as thick as a wall. Simply put, the manipulative traders are staging a shakeout prelude, and the smart money has already quietly slipped away.
I plan to lightly short around 50.8, with a stop loss at 52.2; if it breaks that, I'll admit I'm wrong. Don't go heavy on this, such a volatile coin with sudden spikes can be deadly.
If you want to follow, check the live quotes on the market card below, fast hands get it, slow hands miss out. Don't ask me why, market feel is hard to explain.
👇👇👇
This content is only my personal review and does not constitute investment advice. Control your position size and always use stop loss.Ethereum's recent weakness raises a question worth investigating:
Is ETH simply following Bitcoin lower, or is it experiencing additional selling pressure of its own?
Those are two different explanations.
If ETH continues underperforming BTC during a recovery, I'd pay attention.
Relative strength can reveal something that looking at ETH's dollar price alone might miss.$MAGIC The rooftop is packed with people today!
Family, look at MAGIC's 1-hour candlestick chart: from 0.16379 straight down to 0.10216, a big bearish candle grinding the bulls into the ground. The 24-hour gain was cut from +134% to +12%. How do the brothers who chased the high feel now?
What is a pressure-adjusted drop? It means first a vertical surge to create an illusion of getting rich, attracting leveraged traders to wildly add positions; then without giving you time to react, it smashes through support, triggering bull stop-losses, bulls killing bulls, a chain of liquidations. MACD death cross, expanding green bars, explosive volume—this is not a shakeout, this is harvesting.
Market details: MA5, MA10, and MA20 all turning down, price breaking below short-term moving averages, the 0.10 level is precarious. Resistance above at 0.12-0.13 is strong, below watch if the 0.08-0.09 gap can hold. Not to mention 13 million tokens unlocking pressure hanging overhead, fundamentals are unstable, and the Treasure DAO chain shutdown and layoffs haven't been digested yet. #DailyOrbit Macro Perspective: AI Infrastructure Pushes Up Long-Term Interest Rates, New Macro Headwinds Form
① Fed Minutes Signal Hawkish Tone
The September FOMC meeting minutes show that most participants consider another rate hike before year-end may be appropriate. Fed official Waller cited futures data indicating the market prices an 85% probability of at least one rate hike by December and nearly 80% probability of at least two hikes before March 2027.
② AI Infrastructure Boom Becomes New Macro Headwind for Bitcoin
This is the most notable structural change currently. The Fed minutes clearly point out that the massive issuance of private debt for AI infrastructure construction is a key driver pushing up U.S. Treasury yields and long-term bond premiums. During the two meetings, nominal yields on various bonds from 2-year to 10-year maturities rose by about 35 basis points.
The core contradiction is: even if monetary policy turns accommodative, the upward pressure on long-term rates caused by tech giant financing will continue to suppress the risk premium on cash-flow-free assets. Massive investments in the AI sector are reshaping global capital allocation logic, causing Bitcoin to face unprecedented macro headwinds in competing for limited liquidity. $BTC $ETH $MAGIC #美俄达成柴油供应安排，霍尔木兹风险仍未解 Altcoins keep coming one after another, but only Ethereum stands firm.
But if you think carefully, is it really standing firm?
When the market rises, it bounces a little; when the market falls, it crashes even harder. This is not strength, it's lack of direction.
Two signals make me increasingly uneasy.
First, BitMine is going to stop increasing its ETH holdings. It holds 6.016 million coins, accounting for 4.9% of the circulating supply, just 100,000 coins short of the 5% limit, expected to hit the ceiling in 6 to 7 weeks. It used to be the most stable buyer, but now it’s stopping, meaning the demand side loses a major buyer. More troubling, it has an unrealized loss of about 4.5 billion on its books, and the market is starting to worry it might turn into selling pressure.
Second, the validator exit queue has surged fivefold. On September 29, about 166,000 coins were queued to exit; by October 2, it rose to about 851,000 coins, with an exit wait time close to two weeks. A large amount of staked ETH is about to unlock, increasing supply and reducing demand.
The macro environment doesn’t support it either. The 10-year US Treasury yield is 5.33%, the 30-year is 5.715%, and the dollar index stands above 102. Money is getting more expensive, and risk assets are under pressure. The September minutes show most officials think another rate hike before year-end is appropriate.
My short position at 2671 has a floating profit of 605%. Resistance is at 2530-2550; any rebound is an opportunity to add to the position. Support is at 2445, where there are 252 million long liquidations; breaking this could trigger a chain liquidation.
Buying is stopping, supply is coming, and rate hikes are not over. Tell me, what will make ETH rise?
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 [Old Leek Observation] $ARB
There’s a notable change in ARB recently: trading volume has increased, but the price hasn’t recovered to previous highs yet.
On October 9, ARB’s daily trading volume was about $214 million, higher than $149 million on October 7; however, the price remains below the approximately $0.20 level seen on October 6. Increased volume without a price rise doesn’t necessarily mean accumulation; it could also indicate capital rotation. The key is whether it can hold steady afterward.
There’s also a new fundamental catalyst. On October 7, Arbitrum officially confirmed the launch of USDG and its inclusion in the Global Dollar Network. Related governance proposals also suggested using 100 million ARB tokens and treasury assets to promote USDG growth.
But don’t overlook the supply side: about 92.65 million ARB tokens are expected to unlock on October 15, valued at approximately $17 million.
I’m more focused on whether it can hold $0.18 after the pullback and then break through $0.19 with increased volume. No rush to chase before the unlock; first, see if the buying pressure can hold.
Entry: $0.178–$0.183 (after pullback stabilizes)
Take profit: $0.192 / $0.198 / $0.205 / $0.214 / $0.225
Stop loss: $0.169 THE FULL SPACE VALUE CHAIN
Really interesting seeing how differently major space companies are positioned across launch, manufacturing, spectrum & services heading into 2028:
• $RKLB combines rockets, satellite manufacturing & defense with Iridium global spectrum and 2.55M+ existing subs
• $SPCX controls launch, satellite manufacturing & Starlink through its vertically integrated network
• $ASTS connects everyday smartphones directly to satellites using large arrays.
#DailyOrbit Originally wanted to cut losses as a sacrifice, but the sacrifice didn't happen, and the meat cooked itself. Yesterday afternoon, I saw the $CT rebound, but the volume didn't keep up, and the resistance above was tight. I directly suggested short positions could be considered and placed a short order. From 0.5063 all the way down to 0.3101, +775.03% gave the answer, feeling great brothers.
The market waits to be timed, profits are held onto. Panic comes from lack of planning, losses come from overthinking.
This short wasn't early, but the rhythm was right. During the intraday rebound, the support was insufficient; every push up lacked strength, and selling pressure pushed it down. Closed 80% first, pocketed the main profit, kept 20% at cost price as protection, if it continued to drop, let the profit run.
Chasing shorts isn't impossible, but you have to wait for the right position. For friends who haven't entered yet, listen to me, now is not the time to rush in; chasing shorts at low levels is easily taught a lesson by rebounds. Wait for the next rebound to the resistance level, wait for the new structure to appear, then I'll notify immediately. The market doesn't lack opportunities, it lacks patience. #DailyOrbit $STRK $STRK Short Selling Grid Strategy Sharing
This time, the $STRK perpetual contract short selling grid uses 100U with 1x leverage, grid range 0.07–0.14, trigger price 0.11405.
1. Market Judgment: This round of sharp rise is a thematic pulse driven by rumors of switching to L1, a short-term sentiment speculation, not a fundamental reversal. There is a possibility of further rally in the short term, but after the rally, profit-taking by bulls will cause a pullback, suitable for using a short selling grid to play the rally and pullback market.
2. Trigger Condition Design: Do not open short positions at the current price directly; wait for a rebound to 0.11405 to start the grid, avoiding premature shorting at low levels and preventing floating losses caused by sustained short-term rallies. The grid upper limit 0.14 serves as an extreme rally defense level; no more short positions will be added once the price reaches it; the lower 0.07 is the target support range.
3. Whale Position Reference: The number of whale long positions far exceeds shorts, with long position costs concentrated around 0.066. After this round of rise, bulls have huge floating profits, creating strong profit-taking selling pressure. Once market sentiment fades, many bulls exit, and the price is prone to correction.
4. Grid Logic: The higher the price, the more short positions are gradually added; during market pullbacks, positions are closed in segments to realize profits. Even if there is repeated high-level oscillation, it can continuously capture swing profits.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
#跟着OKX打卡2049 $BTC is down 4.7% this week, $ETH has lost 8.6%.
Yet US equities are still trading relatively close to their highs.
The divergence is worth paying attention to.
While Nasdaq futures dropped 1.38% in the latest session, they’re still up 1.38% in October. The S&P 500 is also positive for the month at +1.56%.
Crypto is telling a different story:
• $BTC: bounced from the $81.1K support area and its 50-day moving average, recovering toward $82.5K.
• $ETH: briefly touched $2,406.
#DailyOrbit STRK has quadrupled in value. Can we short it now? I'm using a small position to test the waters for everyone. Although this coin has seen volume and price rise together for 3 consecutive days, nearly doubling in that time, we must note that the current price has deviated too far from the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. Such a large divergence is abnormal and a correction is inevitable. Moreover, this surge is driven by news hype, and it's highly likely that the main.
#DailyOrbit $NEAR's candlestick chart is so desperate. Within 20 hours, the 15-minute candlestick never broke below the midline, the open interest increased by 15 million, the long profit ratio reached as high as 99%, and the unrealized profit was 21 million USD, but the bulls are still greedy. This kind of short squeeze is making people cautious and confused
#DailyOrbit Tomorrow marks the one-year anniversary of the "October 11 Crash." At that time, Bitcoin quickly dropped from around $126,000, a historic high, to about $105,000, triggering an epic $19 billion liquidation in the crypto market. On this anniversary, institutional analysts once again review and summarize the impact and lessons of the "1011 Crash" on the crypto market.
Mark Connors, head of Risk Dimensions, stated that the market top formed very quickly, with open interest near historic highs. Many traders bet on Bitcoin continuing its four-year cycle uptrend, but the market reversal ultimately caused losses. The "1011 Crash" was mainly driven by the derivatives market rather than changes in on-chain demand, indicating that leveraged positions can still dominate Bitcoin's price movements in the short term. He noted that leveraged trading such as perpetual contracts remains widespread, and the market still has the foundation for a similar crash to occur again. #DailyOrbit Meta & Microsoft cut internal Claude use ahead of Anthropic's IPO
According to The Information, Microsoft cut its projected internal Claude spend (at least 1B USD/yr) by more than 1/3 and steered staff to GitHub Copilot and OpenAI models.
Meta's Claude Code users fell from ~60K to ~30K.
According to Reuters, the Anthropic IPO could value it above 2T USD, after the Nov midterms.
Oct 5-9: MSFT +3.39%, AMZN +4.34%, GOOGL +2.38%, META -1.29%.
Risk: customer concentration.
#DailyOrbit $NEAR's candlestick chart is so desperate. Within 20 hours, the 15-minute candlestick never broke below the midline, the open interest increased by 15 million, the long profit ratio reached as high as 99%, and the unrealized profit was 21 million USD, but the bulls are still greedy. This kind of short squeeze is making people cautious and confused STRK has quadrupled in value. Can we short it now? I'm using a small position to test the waters for everyone. Although this coin has seen volume and price rise together for 3 consecutive days, nearly doubling in that time, we must note that the current price has deviated too far from the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. Such a large divergence is abnormal and a correction is inevitable. Moreover, this surge is driven by news hype, and it's highly likely that the main.
#DailyOrbit First, note the position of $AVAX, then discuss the view: current price 10.527, about 3.89% away from the 1-hour support at 10.117, and about 1.42% away from the resistance at 10.677.
$AVAX is up 3.31% in 24 hours, but the most worth debating now is not the price change but which timeframe, 1-hour or 4-hour, is misleading. The 1-hour is relatively strong, the 4-hour relatively weak, with RSI at 58 and 43 respectively.
I only keep one confirmation for the upward trend — breaking through 10.677; and only one condition to negate the upward trend — falling below 10.117. Other fluctuations are considered noise for now.
If you must pick one validation point first, would you focus on confirming the resistance or the breach of support?
The above is market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.$BTC is down 4.7% this week, $ETH has lost 8.6%.
Yet US equities are still trading relatively close to their highs.
The divergence is worth paying attention to.
While Nasdaq futures dropped 1.38% in the latest session, they’re still up 1.38% in October. The S&P 500 is also positive for the month at +1.56%.
Crypto is telling a different story:
• $BTC: bounced from the $81.1K support area and its 50-day moving average, recovering toward $82.5K.
• $ETH: briefly touched $2,406 and is down $STRK $WLD Real-time Data Kanban (pulled around 2026-10-10 23:47 Beijing Time) | Direction: Slightly bullish OKX Spot: $STRK about $0.08733 (24h +17.57%), transaction volume about 44.07 million, range about $0.06863–$0.09029, daily range position about 86%; $WLD about $0.5602 (24h +13.82%), turnover about 18.34 million, range about $0.4899–$0.5761, position about 82%. OKX Perpetual: STRK funding rate about +0.0050%, open interest about 184 million tokens (nominal about $16 million), contract 24h turnover about 336 million; WLD funding rate about +0.0100%, open interest about 71.9261 million (nominal about $40 million), 24-hour contract turnover about 156 million. Global crypto market cap about $2.82 trillion (24h -2.45%), trading volume about $53.1 billion; BTC accounts for about 59.0%, ETH about 10.8%. On-chain fees remain extremely low (fastest about 1 SAT, half-hour/hour about 1/1 SAT, high 970787). Recent intelligence: $STRK Positive news — Around October 8, Starknet publicly stated it was "actively considering" upgrading to an independent L1 million visits, all aimed at stealing your mnemonic phrase.
A security researcher just issued a warning: a fake Ledger website is pinned at the most prominent spot in Google search results. When you click in, it asks you to enter those 24 words.
In 30 days, over 1 million people have visited it.
Not to mention that in September, malicious ads were already doing the same thing.
Frankly, this scam has almost zero technical sophistication; it’s just betting on your panic.
The biggest trap for newcomers is this: when the wallet has a problem, their first reaction is to search online for "how to recover," and they click the first link they find.
Remember one strict rule: your mnemonic phrase, apart from the paper you wrote by hand, should never be seen by any website, any app, or any customer service.
Ledger official will never ask you for it.
What I admire is not the scammers’ cleverness, but how well they understand what newcomers fear.
Think about it within the community—do you already know someone who almost got scammed?
#Ledger调查东南亚经销商渠道资金损失
#AI与量子威胁下，区块链安全如何升级？ $ETH Opinion: Tom Lee predicts Ethereum could rise to $25,000 to $50,000 in this cycle
Tom Lee from Fundstrat makes a bold forecast: in this bull market cycle, ETH is expected to challenge the $25,000-$50,000 range. The core logic is tokenization, the implementation of AI on-chain applications, combined with continuous institutional capital deployment, leaving room for ETH/BTC exchange rate recovery.
Here are my thoughts. Tom Lee has always been a crypto bull, and his target price is based on a series of premises including a fully realized bull market, loose liquidity, and continued friendly regulation.
This target represents an optimistic scenario, not a guaranteed outcome. To reach this range, multiple positive factors must align: the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, sustained large inflows into $ETH spot ETFs, and a large-scale explosion of on-chain tokenization business. If U.S. Treasury yields remain high and institutional capital entry falls short of expectations, the forecast will be difficult to realize.
Many people tend to directly use the target price to heavily long-term invest. It is crucial to distinguish that long-term targets do not represent short-term market movements, and there will be multiple sharp corrections in between. ETH’s volatility is much greater than BTC’s, and its drawdowns are often more severe.
Trading approach: Do not heavily bet directly on the $25,000~$50,000 target. Strictly control leverage on contracts, prioritize monitoring the ETH/BTC ratio, ETF capital flows, and U.S. Treasury yields. This view can be used as a long-term market reference but should not be the basis for immediate trading decisions.$US Token Analysis
Direction Judgment: Slightly Bullish (Long)
Execution Status: Waiting for trigger, no entry for now
Current price reference is the latest complete 1H close at 0.024179 USDT; EMA20 is 0.028203, EMA50 is 0.02477, price and moving averages still diverge; volume ratio is 0.43. Currently leaning towards long, confidence is low. The hourly close has not yet broken through 0.036398; volume is less than 1.20 times the average volume of the previous 20 hours; the latest price is not within the planned entry range, waiting for trigger, no entry for now.
My strategy:
Entry: Limit long between 0.036398–0.037159 USDT, no chasing outside this range.
Trigger: Latest complete 1H close ≥ 0.036398, EMA20 > EMA50, volume ratio for that hour ≥ 1.20 (average volume of previous 20H); 1H price rising.
Funds: Net active transaction difference for 1H/4H both > 0, large holder position ratio ≥ 1; when funding rate is positive, the ratio of all market accounts < 2, and 1H OI increases, 4H does not decrease, funding rate can be verified.
Stop Loss: Exit immediately if the latest contract transaction price after entry ≤ 0.033346 USDT, no waiting for close.
Take Profit: T1 0.042879 USDT; T2 0.044785 USDT (calculated as 1.5R/2R from the worst entry price). 7u challenge to 100 million!
Day 50
Principal 7u, target 100 million
Currently: 3750u
Living cost: 2950u
Available funds: 700u+
Basically no operations in the past half month, all spending money or losing money, principal now only 700u. So painful!
Need to quickly find a way to earn some principal, overall strategy remains unchanged. Write content to earn some precious principal, only with principal can I play contracts to chase meme.
1.$ENA and $ONDO have been closely watched recently, still feeling not good; #DailyOrbit 🔥 $BTC vs $ZEC : Smart Money is heavily long on both.
$BTC: $1.76B longs vs $790M shorts. Longs hold +$20.7M in profit.
$ZEC: $255M longs vs $91M shorts. Longs are sitting on +$55M.
👀 Here's where it gets interesting.
Fresh 30m flow: $BTC: $8.11M buying vs $4.23M selling. $ZEC: $455K buying vs $1.98M selling.
My take: BTC looks stronger in the short term. ZEC has impressive long profits, but selling pressure is building.#DailyOrbit I'm watching $SOL closely at $110.58 after a sharp daily pullback from the $120 area. Price is trading below the MA5, MA10, and MA20, keeping short-term pressure bearish. I'd like to see SOL reclaim $112 and build momentum before considering a stronger recovery. If sellers stay in control, the recent low near $108.45 is worth watching. I'm staying cautious until buyers show real strength.
#DailyOrbit The high-level short strategy remains unchanged; after a sharp rise, the pullback is often more intense.
MAGIC: Funding rate is relatively low, trading volume exceeds circulating supply, and the market battle is complex. RSI has surged above 80; currently, chasing longs or shorts is prone to stop-loss triggers due to spikes. Wait for a rebound to 0.126-0.130 resistance before shorting, stop loss at 0.145, first target 0.09876, if broken look to 0.08. This round of MAGIC's rally is basically topping out and has started to decline.
BTC bottomed at 82285, now oscillating between 82500-82900. Resistance above at 83000-83500, support below at 80500 and 80000. Light long positions can be tried on a pullback to 82400 with stop loss at 81900, targets at 82900 and 83400; if it rebounds near 83000 and weakens, consider shorting briefly. No operation in the middle of the range; wait for price to approach boundaries.
ETH faces heavy resistance at 2500, 15-minute moving averages turning down, hourly chart weak, limited rebound space. Short can be tried at 2490-2510 resistance, target 2440-2450; if it breaks below 2460, look to previous low at 2400. If volume supports a steady hold above 2510, cancel short plans.
The market keeps flowing, but capital is limited. Be patient and wait for target prices; don’t open positions recklessly out of fear of missing out, to avoid turning missed opportunities into losses. #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
⚠️Personal market record, not trading advice Watching the market late at night, $STRK stabilized and rebounded at 0.08687, and the 50x long position caught this opportunity.
Recently, Starknet ecosystem TVL has warmed up, combined with an overall oversold rebound in the L2 sector, making STRK a short-term speculative target for funds. "STRK bottom reversal" has become a hot topic in the community.
Opened a long at 0.08687 to 0.0877, with an unrealized profit of +51.80%. Although the increase is only about 1%, the 50x leverage amplifies it by nearly half. 0.088 is short-term resistance, and 0.085 is key support. Earning 50% with 50x leverage warns against greed; it is recommended to take significant profits and keep the base position with break-even stop loss. $BTC $ETH #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 After 12 years as a "tip," DOGE is switching careers to become fuel
After twelve years, DOGE is gaining a new identity: fuel.
DogeOS public testnet is live. An application layer compatible with mainstream virtual machines, it can support transactions, lending, and games, with the key point that transaction fees are paid in DOGE. Previously, this coin had only two uses: tipping and transfers. Once applications take off, it will be the fuel, burning the coin.
I've seen DOGE's earliest "application." In 2014, the tipping bot tossed coins in comment sections, starting from a thousand coins, filling the screen. Back then, no one talked about ecosystems, it was just for fun. Who would have thought that twelve years later, someone would seriously build an application layer on this chain.
I'll also play the skeptic: the mainnet launch date is not set, and there are many hurdles between the testnet and real usability. It's too early to draw conclusions if this cake doesn't get baked.
But I hear the voices mixing the dough. Some are writing contracts for it, some are building virtual machines for it, and the fees are still recognized in $DOGE. The coin has a new destination, not just lying in wallets as a souvenir.
The chain is growing, and I can wait. #DailyOrbit There are signs of easing in energy supply, but the risk in the Strait of Hormuz may still impact the crypto market.
If the diesel supply arrangement can increase the energy available to the market, it may alleviate some supply pressure; however, if the navigation risk in the Strait of Hormuz does not substantially improve, crude oil prices may still maintain a high risk premium.
For BTC, the key lies in whether oil prices drive inflation expectations and U.S. Treasury yields to continue rising.
For spot ETFs, macro pressures may weaken capital inflows; for ETH and other major coins, changes in risk appetite may amplify price volatility.
What truly affects the market is not the supply agreement itself, but whether it can reduce energy prices and interest rate pressures.
#美俄达成柴油供应安排，霍尔木兹风险仍未解 #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 $BTC $ETH $MAGIC 🔥 Whale "Maji" is deep underwater: shorts on BTC, ETH & SOL show ~50.13M USDT unrealized loss.
📉 $BTC : short 2,853 @ 76,152 | 5x | loss ~19.12M
🧨 $ETH : short 111,800 @ 2,322.63 | 5x | loss ~19.48M
⚡ $SOL : short 741,900 @ 94.31 | 10x | loss ~11.53M
💰 Funding income: ~9.48M total, but cross margin risk remains. Study whales, don't copy blindly.
If the market rebounds, will Maji hold or
cut risk? 👇
#SepFOMCMinutesHikeWatch #BTCETFBiggestOutflow 🔥 $BTC vs $ZEC : Smart Money is heavily long on both.
$BTC: $1.76B longs vs $790M shorts. Longs hold +$20.7M in profit.
$ZEC: $255M longs vs $91M shorts. Longs are sitting on +$55M.
👀 Here's where it gets interesting.
Fresh 30m flow: $BTC: $8.11M buying vs $4.23M selling. $ZEC: $455K buying vs $1.98M selling.
My take: BTC looks stronger in the short term. ZEC has impressive long profits, but selling pressure is building. Hedge funds have now pushed their net long positions on the "Big Seven" U.S. stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta, Tesla) to 22%, setting a historical record.
To compare specifically:
The highest was only 21% in June 2024; around 15% in July this year, and now it has suddenly jumped 7 percentage points; during the worst of the 2022 bear market, this figure was only 8%!
On the surface, these big institutions seem very optimistic about these tech giants. But in reality, the hidden risks are very high; if the trend reverses, the selling pressure could be terrifying. Like BTC, which follows tech stocks, it is hard to avoid a deep drop.
The bigger the storm, the pricier the fish! Holding short positions, stopped out at break-even! $STRK brothers, how is this yield?
$MAGIC short position
Almost shorted at the highest point
90% profit
$ETH long position
Long at 2487
100x leverage
30 points to double, but currently no 30 points
Already 88% profit
$MET short position
Short at 0.5
40% profit
Really just a small gain
All three positions are small bets to test the waters $BTC This 100x short BTC position achieved a 246.30% unrealized profit, firmly holding the decline phase dominated by high-level selling pressure.
Looking back, entry was at 85079.8, where bullish momentum and buying power exhausted, and active selling triggered a bull stampede. It dropped to 82984.3, nearly 2100 points lower, generating 2.4x returns on 100x leverage, fully capturing the main downtrend.
Now at 82984.3 approaching the 82000 level, low-level support is showing, with shrinking volume. With 100x leverage combined with 246% unrealized profit, the profit buffer is thick, but extremely high leverage at peak levels is prone to deep V-shaped spikes and stop hunts, making the tail risk very high.
Following the trend is easiest to relax. Currently, close out over 80% of the position to lock in profits, set stop loss on the remaining base position at cost line, and watch the 82000 level closely. If it breaks with volume, leave the base position floating; if volume shrinks and price stagnates or spikes, exit fully. Protecting real capital is the key; 100x leverage should only target the body of the move, not the tail. Steady rhythm is the way to keep playing. $ETH $ZEC #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 Unintentionally challenged the other's bottom line
One step short of happiness, just holding hands and drifting apart
One step short of falling into the abyss with no chance of survival
Unwilling, life is short but no one is a deity
In the end, I still missed a trade. I must find the reason why small positions can be managed to top escape but large positions often get liquidated to zero
There must be something wrong inside. It can't really be a ghost, right? Heavy positions get liquidated, small positions surge #OKX百万规划师 Brothers, this $WLD 50x trade directly hit 176%! I'm not bragging, this is exactly the moment when the sentiment exploded.
Look at the entry price 0.5417, the market was as cold as an ice cellar at that time, retail investors were all cutting losses, but what I saw was "the decline is losing momentum, funds are secretly accumulating at the bottom." The result? A direct intraday surge, once funds assign value to this altcoin market, the rally is like a mad dog!
Now the price has surged to 0.5608, floating profit 176%. Although the 1-minute chart is still creeping up, with 50x leverage and such a thick profit, I know clearly: the fattest meat is already in the belly. After such a sharp rise, high-level divergence is bound to come, and profit-taking selling is just a matter of time.
Now I'm just holding the base position, watching if funds will continue to support. If the support is strong, hold on; if weak, run immediately. Altcoin sentiment comes fast and goes fast, don't be greedy! What we want is steady happiness, protect the profit, there will be plenty of opportunities to get back in later. $BTC $ETH #跟着OKX打卡2049 This blueprint has been flawed from the foundation up. $DOGE rose another 5.43% in 24 hours. On the surface, it looks like a peak and a good sign, but having done structural inspections for twenty years, what I fear most is this kind of beautiful facade without load-bearing walls—the short-term RSI has climbed to 67.9, approaching the overbought red line, while the long-term RSI is only 50.3, completely propped up temporarily by an emotional scaffold like a makeshift shed. Looking at the Bollinger Bands: the short-term price is already at the 72% position, with 2.6% margin to the lower band and only 1.0% left to the upper band—this means the beams and columns have reached their maximum deflection; the mid-term is even more absurd, with the price stuck at 92%, and the upper band just 0.7% overhead, equivalent to adding a top floor without rechecking the pile foundation's bearing capacity.
This kind of structure will tilt with the slightest wind. My judgment is demolition and reconstruction, not renovation to extend life.
📉 Short:
Entry: 0.08 (current price +3.4%)
Take Profit 1: 0.07 (-4.9%)
Take Profit 2: 0.07 (-7.7%)
Stop Loss: 0.08 (-14.3%)
Note this stop loss is set at +14.3%, not conservatively, but to leave a blast safety margin for emotional bottom-fishers. The real problem is: the developer of this building lacks long-term operational capability, the whitepaper is just a rendering, the community heat is artificial lighting from the sales office, and the foundation has no scalability. After the price touches the upper Bollinger Band, it will inevitably retract the load-bearing structure, first breaking below the mid-band, then testing the lower band—this is mechanics, not prediction.
I don't speculate; I only do structural inspections. This tower fails inspection.If it rises a bit more, it will liquidate, but luckily I have a tiny position. The continuous email and app alerts before sleep really startled me.
ETH entry price was 2494, now it has pulled up to 2508. It makes sense to be bearish without shorting, but seeing it consistently press below a key level, I couldn't resist opening a position.
100x leverage looks scary, but the position is very small; this trade is just for testing. Next, I'll see if it can reach 2550; if it stabilizes there, I'll admit my mistake and exit without adding margin. If it can't break through, I'll watch if it can return to 2480, and below that, keep an eye on 2450.
However, I must remind myself that the higher the leverage, the smaller the margin for error. Even with a tiny position, I can't relax on stop-loss. If the market suddenly spikes, it can disrupt plans in seconds, so I'll only follow the plan for this trade—no adding positions on the fly, and no holding on out of stubbornness.
The most frustrating thing about this recent market is that the direction might be right, but the price is first pushed away by volatility. Having a smaller position means at least I can still sleep if it liquidates.