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$STRK transaction list only fluctuates by a few thousand or a few U, so why does the 24-hour trading volume show millions or even tens of millions of U?Brothers, the $TRUMP banquet is coming again!!!
I feel this is one of the few certain opportunities to go long on TRUMP.
As usual, the top 185 holders of TRUMP can attend the banquet, with the top 29 VIPs receiving exclusive reception.
Following the previous pattern, there will be a pump before the snapshot and a dump after; mastering the timing allows profit on both long and short positions. The final snapshot is on November 12.
That means before this date, going long should be relatively safe.
Can we still trust the old Trump? 😅
But I feel we still need to refer to the trends of $BTC and $ETH.
If BTC can stay steadily above $80,000 before the snapshot,
and ETH can remain stable above $2,500,
then the probability of TRUMP pumping is higher.
I'm entering with a light position for now.
I'll add more only when I clearly see an upward trend.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#跟着OKX打卡2049 $BTC $ETH 🥱🥱
Calm and peaceful, history did not repeat itself~
Looking back at 2025 last year, the crypto world experienced the terrifying night of 10.11!
A single day saw $19 billion in liquidations, with 1.64 million people liquidated! 😱😱
Following 3.12 and 5.19, another unforgettable memorial day in the crypto market — 10.11
This day also marked the largest liquidation amount in crypto history! An epic black swan event!
However, 80% of today has passed, and history has not repeated itself; everything is calm and peaceful~
Back to the charts, Bitcoin is currently in a corrective rebound phase after a decline. The daily chart has already started a bearish trend, and the four-hour chart is also showing a downward move without a central pivot~
Bitcoin has not yet broken below the 80,000 level, and its movement is relatively standard.
Ethereum’s movement is more perfect; the four-hour chart has already fallen back to the consolidation range before the previous rise.
Until Ethereum strongly returns above 2630, short positions remain dominant!
You can enter short positions in batches between 2520-2550, with stop loss set above 2598 to guard against false breakouts!
Take profit in batches at 2450-2420-2380
The market is still oscillating, and a big move is expected only by Monday tomorrow~
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#俄罗斯放宽柴油出口，霍尔木兹风险仍支撑油价 [Pharaoh's Market Watch]
Pharaoh directly says, the nature of this matter has changed — it's no longer "bought a counterfeit," but "the genuine product has a bugging device hidden inside."
On October 10, Ledger officially confirmed that at least one affected user's device contains an unauthorized hardware implant and is currently cooperating with law enforcement and SEAL 911 for investigation.
The scariest part is here: this device can pass Ledger's official authenticity check. Because the original secure element is not damaged, the existing Genuine Check cannot detect physical modifications at the hardware level.
Current estimated loss: on-chain investigator Specter estimates over $86 million involved, affecting hundreds of wallets. Among the flagged addresses, about $71.5 million has not been moved.
Pharaoh gives you three practical suggestions:
First, do not use any Ledger bought from CryptoBilis within the last 90 days. If not initialized, do not initialize it; if already initialized, immediately generate a new device with a new mnemonic and transfer your assets.
Second, never enter your mnemonic phrase into any website or app; Ledger official will never ask for your 24 words.
Third, the security boundary of cold wallets has extended from the chip to the delivery box. When buying hardware wallets, only trust the official website; for third-party channels, open the package and check under the screen for any extra components.
$ETH $BTC #Ledger确认一台涉事设备遭硬件植入 $STRK transaction list only fluctuates by a few thousand or a few U, so why does the 24-hour trading volume show millions or even tens of millions of U?🔥No market movement over the weekend doesn’t mean there’s no risk! The long liquidation on October 11 last year is still fresh in memory, but now the market has entered a different phase: prices are moving sideways, making traders more prone to losing patience.
📊 BTC: The 82000–83000 range is repeatedly contested, with the trend temporarily matching previous assessments. There’s no significant volume surge or effective breakout; it currently looks more like waiting for a new catalyst. Instead of guessing the next candlestick, it’s better to observe whether the range boundaries are truly broken.
📉 ETH: The planned reduction near 2450 didn’t happen; Saturday’s low was around 2470, and now it’s oscillating around 2500. This position is neither here nor there—there’s no reason to add more positions, nor is there a need to rush trades just because the target was missed by a little.
⚡ SOL: The previous reduction plan near 108 has been validated by price action, and it’s currently operating mainly within the 108–110 range. Upon reaching the planned zone, the focus should be on managing positions and watching the trend, rather than assuming a continued rise just because of a strong rebound.
🧠 My judgment is to treat the near term as a consolidation phase, waiting for signals from news, volume, and price structure together. The U.S. midterm elections may affect market sentiment, but that doesn’t mean a major move won’t happen.
Remember: controlling your trades when there’s no opportunity is itself part of trading skill.
Brothers, are you currently watching with light positions, or still waiting for a better exit point? #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 $OKB Watching the market obsessively gets annoying; turning it off actually makes things clearer, and my mind stays calm without staring at the screen.
During repeated fluctuations in the session, there was obvious resistance above OKB, no one stepped in to buy at the top, so I signaled a short position setup. From 130.02 down to 123.75, a +96.6% gain—this profit feels good.
Take profit on 80% first, move the remaining 20% to the break-even price for protection, don’t be greedy for the last bit.
Don’t let profits inflate your ego, don’t despair during pullbacks. Have a strategy before the session, discipline during, and reflection after.
For friends who haven’t entered yet, wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, opportunities remain, don’t rush.
$ZEC $SNDK Shorting altcoins $CT these past two days,
In one word, it’s "exhausting."
Just finished enduring $CT’s volatility,
Then turned around to see $MAGIC doubling in a day,
My heart was pounding with the candlestick,
Finally waited for it to drop,
But the unrealized loss in my account barely recovered.
$PONS daily chart closed with a super long upper shadow,
Looking at the trend, hope for a breakout finally peaked a bit.
But before I could breathe a sigh of relief,
$STRK suddenly surged upward,
My short positions were just about to catch a break,
A new critical hit slapped me in the face,
Truly one wave after another.
The $GOGE account, which originally had little room for error,
Got battered in this back-and-forth market, shrinking assets again and again,
Even the confidence to add positions is almost gone.
Only now do I realize,
Altcoins don’t care about technical analysis at all,
The so-called resistance levels are just decorations in front of capital flows,
Holding short positions is a constant test of patience,
Just hoping this rotation ends soon,
So the small account won’t keep getting hit repeatedly.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#跟着OKX打卡2049 $BTC is holding near $83K, but the recovery hasn't convinced me yet
After rejection near $87K, Bitcoin dropped below $81K earlier this week before recovering. Now I'm watching whether buyers can defend the $80K–$81K zone.
If that support fails, $78K and then $71K become areas to monitor. A deeper correction toward $62K is possible in a stronger bearish continuation, but it would require much more downside confirmation
For bulls, reclaiming $86.5K–$87K would change the picture$NEAR perpetual 50x long position, opened at 5.246, now at 5.331, floating profit +80%.
Honestly, this trade was opened very comfortably. It was clear that above 5.246 the price couldn't fall anymore, a double bottom rebound scenario. When the bullish candle pulled up, I went long immediately, setting a stop loss at 5.2. Running a very small position with 50x leverage, the price never looked back and directly surged to 5.331.
+81.01%, moving stop loss to 5.246. In this market, bulls are the way to go, steadily taking big profits.
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$NEAR perpetual 50x long position, opened at 5.246, now at 5.331, floating profit +80%. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 $BTC Many people's first experience of getting carried away often starts with an unexpected windfall.
Entering the market with a few thousand U and doubling it in a short time can easily create the illusion of a quick turnaround, leading to rolling positions. Rolling positions in a trending market can yield considerable profits, but continuous gains can make one overestimate themselves.
After several consecutive wins, it's easy to become confident in understanding the market, continuously increasing position sizes and unwilling to take profits. One drawdown can wipe out previous gains in an instant.
My current rule for rolling positions is simple: survive first, then scale up.
Start with a small position; if the judgment is wrong, exit immediately; after confirming the trend, only add positions with floating profits, never use principal to cover losses. When the account reaches a certain profit stage, proactively withdraw part of the profits to prevent giving gains back to the market.
Also, be aware that rolling positions are very vulnerable to choppy markets. A one-sided trend suits adding positions with the trend, but continuously adding during repeated sweeps causes costs and emotions to spiral out of control.
A skilled trader is not one who dares to heavily bet, but one who can still control themselves after a windfall.
Follow Mark for long-term profits! $BTC #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ A 70% win rate is not the key point; the key is how much she loses when she loses.
One trading address has accumulated about 4.099 million USD in profits.
Out of 81 trades, only 47 were wins, a win rate of 72.4%.
How is this calculated:
The win rate is the number of winning trades divided by the total number of trades.
47 divided by 81 is approximately 72.4%.
But another address has a win rate of only 53.3%, yet still earned 721,000 USD.
The difference is this:
The winning trades were particularly large; one $ZEC short trade alone earned 660,000 USD.
When losing, the position size was small; when winning, the position was held firmly.
So what really determines the result is not how many times you guess right.
It's that when you're wrong, you don't lose all your principal.
Most people do the opposite.
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#OKX以250亿美元估值完成战略融资 #贝森特拟查扣10亿美元伊朗相关加密资产 $ZEC A position is floating a loss of nearly five million U, yet interest is still being collected daily. I had to look at Brother Maji's account twice before I understood it.
Three orders in three directions: BTC short, ETH long, HYPE short, each betting on their own, not all in one direction.
The $BTC order is the only one making a profit. 243.96 coins, 40x full position short, opened at 84,070, floating profit of 259,600 U, funding fee income of 51,200. Liquidation price 105,740, BTC needs to rise to 105,000 to reach it, very stable.
$ETH is the opposite. 8,742 coins, 25x full position long, opened at 2,546.58, currently floating loss of 405,500, funding fee is still a net expense. Liquidation price 1,844, not too close, but the loss is growing.
The real killer is $HYPE. 233,900 coins at 5x short, floating loss of 4,860,000 U, the whole account is bleeding only because of this one.
But the interesting part is here: this short position's funding fee income is 1,020,000 U. Who paid this money? The opposing longs. This shows that on the HYPE side, many are trying to catch the bottom, and he is collecting interest daily holding the short.
So this position is not playing direction, but using funding fees to bear the floating loss. As long as the opposing longs remain, he can afford to hold; the day the longs disperse and funding fees stop, that 4,860,000 hole will have to be filled by himself. $NEAR sector rotation is more useful to talk about than talking about $NEAR itself.
Tonight, several people in the square were thinking about the same question: if this round comes, will there still be a broad rally? My answer is—most likely not.
Everyone remembers how miserable the last round was. The AI sector absorbed all the liquidity, plus the chain liquidation wave on October 11th, cutting off many sectors' stories halfway. It's not that a certain project is bad, but the logic of capital allocation has changed.
What changed? The market dominance of Bitcoin. Previously, when it dropped, altcoins had a chance; this round, it has been hovering between 50% and 60% for a long time, not passing the baton at all. The liquidity is limited, and it’s still holding on to it. Looking at the number of projects, RootData statistics show that thousands of projects have completely died off—there are more coins than money now.
So stop dreaming about "it's my turn." If you want to find long-term targets, focus on those that don’t rely on luck and are still used during bear markets. Capital will no longer be evenly distributed; it will only concentrate in very few places.
$NEAR rose 9% in 7 days, but the volume was only half of usual, basically a hollow rise. $NEAR AI small-cap coin surged sharply at the end of the session, but money has already started slipping down from the peak.
In the low-volume weekend market, funds touched the AI line again. SENT (Sentient), which acts as a decentralized AI agent and tells the DeFAI story, suddenly powered up in this one-hour period, with gains rising from 4% all the way to nearly 12%, reaching a high of 0.02495. However, the current price of 0.0233 has already fallen back to about an 11.7% increase. The 20:30 hourly candle turned red and even broke below the 0.0239 five-day moving average—a classic spike and pullback.
Looking through the news, there’s no solid new cooperation or product today; Franklin Templeton’s strategic investment was old news from January. Just yesterday, it was still falling with very light on-chain transactions. So this move seems more like a rotation of sentiment within the AI sector, where funds picked a heavily oversold, lightly traded small-cap AI coin for a quick shot, rather than a fundamental change.
Be cautious with the order book: OKEx’s 24h trading volume is about 4.08 million USDT, which is only moderate to thin for a 170 million market cap. This kind of coin can pump fast and dump even faster.
Watch if the upper Bollinger band at 0.0245 and the previous high at 0.02495 can be reclaimed with volume. If it can’t reclaim and falls below the 0.0232 support, it will likely retrace as quickly as it rose. Don’t FOMO chase the spike, DYOR, not investment advice.
#SENT #AI #DeFAI🔥 On October 11 last year, the bulls were caught off guard; this weekend, however, it’s been quietly somewhat boring! But the more directionless the market is, the more you shouldn’t open positions casually.
📍 BTC: Currently fluctuating repeatedly around 82000–83000, basically consistent with the range predicted a few days ago. Short-term lacks new momentum; to form a clear trend next, it may still require news and capital flow to cooperate. Don’t rush to bet on one side before the range breaks.
📉 ETH: Originally watching to reduce positions near 2450, but on Saturday the low was about 2470, just missing the target. Now it’s tugging back and forth around 2500, caught in a dilemma. The worst thing at this position is to hastily reverse to catch the bottom; wait if there’s no signal.
⚡ SOL: On Friday, it was suggested to consider reducing positions near 108; on Saturday it indeed reached the target area, currently oscillating between 108–110. The rebound has reached the planned position; next, watch if the support can hold rather than blindly expecting further rise.
🛡️ With the US midterm elections approaching, news disturbances may increase, but the market could either range-bound or suddenly break out with volume, so don’t prematurely fix the direction. Those with heavy positions should prioritize risk control; those not in the market should keep waiting for opportunities.
Brothers, among these three coins now, which do you favor most: BTC, ETH, or SOL? Share your reasons! #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ Since ARB was just mentioned, I'll review ARB again.
It's been many days since I talked about ARB alone, because on October 7th, I directly lost 15% on ARB, so I assumed ARB was weakening and it was no longer among the coins I review daily.
Let's continue with the charts.
First, ARB still ranks among the top in weekend trading volume. Following it is still feasible.
Conclusion first:
After 5 waves of decline, ARB stabilized with the overall market. Over the weekend, driven by the concentrated attack on L2 across the market, it also rebounded strongly. This is different from its past independent trend; it is now driven by the sector.
When the sector cools down, ARB may continue to fall, and it will likely fall faster than STRK this time. It is no longer the unique leader, just following.
Reason:
ARB's strong resistance is around 0.196. This afternoon there was a brief breakout, but currently on the 4-hour chart it is in a correction phase. Whether it can successfully hold above 0.196 is still unclear. If it can hold, I will continue the analysis tomorrow and provide new market conclusions and practical strategies. Everyone must be alert to a market trap; don't be fooled by the 24-hour net inflow data
BTC, ETH, SOL, ZEC, short-term contract funds are actually collectively fleeing
The big picture is short-term bearish, don't chase longs impulsively on a rebound
Looking at the data, it's very clear that many coins show capital inflow over 24 hours, but in short cycles, funds are all flowing out
$BTC net outflow of 8.07 million in 5 minutes, 172 million outflow in 4 hours, 158 million outflow in 8 hours
Although 24 hours shows a net inflow of 55.51 million, the net outflow over a week is 3.313 billion, with heavy selling pressure above
$ETH similarly, 99.32 million outflow in 4 hours, 127 million outflow in 8 hours
Slight inflow over 24 hours is just a short-term illusion; the mid-term capital situation has not warmed at all
SOL short-term funds are also weak
8.92 million outflow in 4 hours, 13.68 million outflow in 8 hours, 20.12 million inflow in 24 hours
No clear shorting force formed yet, continue to observe mainly
$ZEC is even weaker, 22.77 million net outflow in 8 hours, almost no inflow in 24 hours
Net outflow of 299 million over a week, funds continue to withdraw #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 🔥Brothers, the market this weekend really has nothing much to watch, but don't forget October 11 last year—that was the truly epic liquidation that made the bulls wail! Compared to that, the current market is obviously much calmer.
📊 BTC: These past two days have basically followed expectations, hovering sideways between 82000 and 83000. The price shows no clear direction, trading momentum is insufficient, and whether it continues up or down depends on new news stimuli. Chasing highs or cutting losses now can easily get worn out by the back-and-forth fluctuations.
📉 ETH: I originally planned to reduce positions around 2450, but on Saturday the low only reached about 2470, missing the target. Now the price is tugging around 2500, which is a bit awkward: exiting directly risks selling too early, while bottom-fishing rashly lacks confirmation. My approach is still to wait for direction and not rush to bet.
⚡ SOL: I already warned on Friday that the rebound was quite strong; around 108 is a good point to consider reducing positions, and on Saturday the price did indeed reach this area. Currently it’s oscillating between 108 and 110, having entered the previously watched zone. Next, the focus is on whether it can hold steady.
🧠 With the US midterm elections approaching, the market may pay more attention to policy and macro news, but that doesn’t mean the market won’t move unilaterally. My judgment is to first respond according to the range strategy and adjust the plan after a volume breakout.
Brothers, how long do you think this sideways movement will last? Will BTC break above 83000 first, or fall below 82000 first? #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 $ZEC Take a good rest over the weekend, the trading volume is pitifully low, the whale is still choosing to accumulate sideways, already pulling from the opening position at 830 to 853, really want to keep adding, not sure if it will break a new high.$MAGIC long position 20x leverage, floating profit 250.46%, from 0.107 to 0.1204. Backtest warning: 20x long position with 2.5x floating profit range, high probability of oscillation and pullback at high levels. Strategy: significantly reduce position to lock in profits, stop loss on remaining position to push cost. Do not gamble on the top or chase longs. The profit-loss ratio has severely deteriorated, sideways movement causes erosion. Base position for main position realization.
$BTC $ETH
Trend: floating profit amplifies volatility, sharp rally turning to slow consolidation signals a reversal. Subsequent volume breakout above 0.122 followed by a pullback to lure longs, or a bearish candle retesting 0.118. Prioritize defense under 20x leverage, beware of profit-taking. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 The tweet "$MAGIC breaks the descending channel" was followed with some skepticism for a long position, 20x leverage, from 0.10628 to 0.1204, a +266.84% gain realized.
The hot topic "GameFi sector rotation" is trending in the community. MAGIC, as the core of the Treasure DAO ecosystem, shows clear short-term capital inflow. Technically, 0.12 is approaching previous high resistance, with 0.11 as the new support after the breakout. Volume and price are rising together but volume shrinks at the high level.
The 20x small profit safety margin is still thin; it is recommended to immediately close 70% of the position to lock in profits, move the stop loss to cost for the base position, exit if it breaks 0.11, and watch volume for a push to 0.13. $BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 On Sunday noon, the group of five are all in "idle mode" ( ˘•ω•˘ )
BTC 82904.7, -0.18%, stuck pretending to sleep at the 83000 threshold. CPI and PPI come tomorrow, rate hike expectations like a hanging boot, volume halved. 83000 will just keep grinding, only after passing it will we dare to eye 84000. Weekend liquidity is shallow, don't rush.
ETH 2503.60, -0.28%, barely standing back above 2500. Big bro Maji's liquidation line at 2473 is still behind, tonight 2500 is even more critical than BTC: hold it to see 2550, lose it to see 2473, break it and it's truly the "zeroing script" (｡•́︿•̀｡)
SOL 109.44, -0.95%, lying below 110, the weakest of the three coins, rebound is also stingy. Break 110 to see 105, hold it to see 115. Tokenized stock benefits can't even pull it up, better not touch it at noon (´･_･`)
OKB 124.51, -1.14%, 125 already broken, platform coin grinding with the market. 124 is support, hold to see 128, break to 122.
RE 0.44310, -0.33%, holding 0.44, hold to see 0.46, break to see 0.4. DeFi insurance + small RWA no one listens, after breaking 0.5 it has been grinding (￣▽￣)"
Summary: Weekend liquidity is thin, watch more and move less before data, wait for CPI/PPI to land before getting hyped? (๑•̀ㅂ•́)و✧
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #Institutions continue to build positions, why is BTC still under pressure? Recently, the market has repeatedly mentioned: institutions continue to build positions in $BTC, with major players like Strategy and BlackRock IBIT still increasing or firmly holding their positions. Bitwise reports show that almost no large institutions reduced holdings during the pullback period, some even increased positions, yet Bitcoin's price remains pressured in the $83,000-$86,000 range, struggling to break through. 👉🏻Short-term impact Institutional buying is indeed accumulating; ETFs occasionally see inflows of tens of billions of dollars in a single week, and Strategy continues to make small incremental purchases, providing bottom support for the price and reducing the probability of breaking key levels. However, short-term selling pressure is stronger: high US Treasury yields, macro uncertainties, some early holders taking profits, combined with liquidity not fully catching up, cause funds to be absorbed as soon as they enter, leading to price pullbacks after upward moves and resulting in a frustrating sideways grind. 👉🏻Long-term impact Institutions regard $BTC as a long-term allocation asset, with exit conditions based almost entirely on logic and regulation rather than price fluctuations. The chips are shifting from retail to institutional hands, tightening supply and creating a "lock-up" effect. Once the macro environment improves (better interest rate expectations, increased risk appetite), these base positions could become ammunition for the next rally, structurally healthy. 👉🏻Overall judgment Short-term is neutral to slightly bearish (mainly under pressure), but medium to long-term is bullish. Institutional positioning is a solid bullish foundation, just currently overshadowed by macro factors and profit-taking, making the market look more like bottoming and rotation rather than a one-sided collapse. 👉🏻Tip for beginners Don't be "trapped by the machine" $STRK perpetual 50x long position, opened at 0.10931, now at 0.11549, floating profit +287%.
After stabilizing near 0.10931, it directly made a wave of trend-following rally. I followed the trend to go long, setting stop loss below 0.108. With 50x leverage and a very small position, the movement was much stronger than expected, directly pulling up to around 0.11549, with the yield nearly tripling!
Moved the stop loss up to 0.10931, now watching if it can break the 0.12 whole number level.
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$STRK perpetual 50x long position, opened at 0.10931, now at 0.11549, floating profit +287%. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 $ETH Market is consolidating with shrinking volume, Bollinger Bands continue to tighten, BTC MACD is flattening, ETH RSI is dulling at low levels, rebound lacks volume, volume-price divergence remains uncorrected.
Capital side: Contract open interest is declining, funding rates have returned to neutral or even negative (BTC about −0.00215%, a nine-month low), no new ammunition on the spot market; but retail longs remain crowded, BTC long-short account ratio is 1.45, cleaning of floating chips is just a matter of time.
News: Next week's CPI/PPI is a looming threat, if exceeding expectations, the probability of rate hikes will surge; BTC spot ETF saw a net outflow of 681 million last week, ETH outflows for nine consecutive days, institutions are holding back and watching, combined with Fed's hawkish bias and high US Treasury yields.
Risk point: Coinglass shows that if ETH breaks below 2392, it will trigger liquidation of 475 million long positions—this knife is hanging over the bulls' heads.
Strategy: Extreme volume contraction is a prelude to a one-sided move, with crowded longs the probability of a downward spike is higher. Wait for volume to pick up and stabilize on the right side to follow up, or act after a sharp drop and stabilization, keep light positions with stop loss, do not catch falling knives. The gun is loaded, let the bullet fly.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 🔥Even whales get caught in long-short battles! Boss Shi chooses to adjust his positions, while Brother Maji continues to hold three short orders. The most important focus in this showdown is actually risk control.
🐋 In Boss Shi's September operations, BTC was bought to close shorts on September 21 at an average price of 85700 USDT, with 10x leverage, transaction value 8.57 million U; ETH closed shorts on September 19 at 2598 USDT, transaction value 2598 USDT; ZEC sold to close longs on September 18 at 1518.42 USDT, transaction value 15.18 USDT. The ETH and ZEC trades are very small in scale and should not be overinterpreted.
📉 Brother Maji still holds three short orders on BTC, ETH, and SOL, with BTC short average price at 76152, ETH short average price at 2322. According to the provided data, the combined unrealized loss of the three positions is close to 50 million U, and funding fee income can only offset part of the cost.
⚠️ But don't rush to conclusions: Boss Shi closing shorts does not necessarily mean profit, and Brother Maji continuing to hold positions does not necessarily mean final loss. Without complete data on position size, margin, and account changes, it is impossible to accurately judge their real profit, loss, and risk levels.
💡 For ordinary people, the most dangerous thing is not making one wrong market call, but having no exit mechanism after a wrong call. The volatility whales can endure is not necessarily suitable for small capital accounts.
If you had to choose between the two, would you prefer actively adjusting positions or sticking to your original trading logic? Let's discuss in the comments! #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ Index left out? DOGE tore down the door twelve years ago
CME and CF Benchmarks have launched a new crypto index with 10 slots. Coins ranked by market cap behind DOGE made it in, except for DOGE itself. The official reason: institutional custody requirements and protocol utility standards not met.
In plain language: DOGE has no corporate entity, no foundation stamp, so it can't fill out the institutional form.
But this is exactly what makes it most valuable. A standard designed for "coins with issuers" obviously can't accommodate an old chain without an issuer. DOGE has no backer, so no one can choke it.
While all projects are desperately trying to comply and get incorporated, DOGE chose a different path twelve years ago—extreme decentralization, no door at all, so naturally it can't be locked out. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 $ETH short position 100x leverage, floating profit 177.91%, from 2548.98 to 2503.63. Backtest warning: 100x leverage with nearly 1.8x floating profit, probability of drawdown sharply increases. Strategy: significantly reduce position to lock in profits, stop loss on remaining position to push cost. Do not bottom fish or chase shorts. Profit-loss ratio has severely deteriorated, sideways movement causes fatal wear. Base position for game, main position to realize profits. $BTC $MAGIC
Trend: floating profit amplifies volatility, slow decline turning sideways signals reversal. Subsequent volume increase breaking below 2500 then rebound to trap shorts, or bullish rebound testing 2520-2540. Defense is priority under 100x leverage, beware of rebound. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 -3.5%?
$PONS has been performing well these past couple of days,
there's a bit of an illusion of a bottom.
It's like a failing student suddenly scoring 59 points and feeling like they've made great progress.
It seems like it’s not incapable of rising,
and when it does, it doesn’t hold back,
showing a fierce momentum.
Now the market is fluctuating,
let’s wait and see how it behaves when the market turns.CORE's Recession Moment: Exchanges Turning Off the Lights💡
CoinEx announced the permanent closure of CORE/USDT and plans to disable withdrawals on December 18; KuCoin (Kanga) shut down the CORE-USDT market, and both deposits and earning products have also stopped; Phemex delisted CORE/USDT spot trading; Bitget removed COREUSDT futures and related services.📉
A series of moves, like reefs exposed after the tide recedes. The once lively activity, narratives, and candlesticks now only leave cold words like "delisting," "closure," and "suspension." Some joke: in two months, shorting might "make a fortune"; others lament: if delayed further, CORE might really become a commemorative coin next year.🪙
What hurts more is that retail and large investors are getting hurt in the game, while rumors say the project team has successfully cashed out over 20 billion. If this number is true, then this game has long ceased to be a technical battle and has become a harvest and exit.
When the tide goes out, you see who's swimming naked. CORE's story may be heading toward its final chapter.⚠️ This does not constitute investment advice; don't let emotions make decisions for your positions. 🔥 Don't just focus on how much the whales have earned, but pay more attention to how they handle mistakes! The September operations of Boss Shi and Brother Maji show that the biggest highlight is not whose direction is more accurate, but the obvious divergence in position management.
📊 On Boss Shi's side, the BTC short position was bought to close at 85700 USDT, with a transaction value of 8.57 million U, using 10x leverage; the ETH short position was closed at 2598 USDT, but the transaction value was only 2598 USDT; ZEC was sold to close a long at 1518.42 USDT, with a transaction value of 15.18 USDT. The last two trades are very small and should not be overinterpreted.
⚠️ Especially for the BTC short close, just looking at the price cannot determine whether it was profit-taking or stop-loss exit. On-chain transaction records can tell us what happened, but they may not fully explain why the trader acted this way.
📉 Brother Maji still holds three short positions in BTC, ETH, and SOL, with BTC opening average price at 76152, ETH at 2322, and the total unrealized loss reportedly close to 50 million U. Funding fee income can partially offset costs but cannot guarantee a price reversal, nor eliminate the risk of unrealized losses.
🧠 What ordinary traders should really learn is not to imitate a big player going long or short, but to set position limits, stop-loss conditions, and exit plans in advance. If the direction is wrong, timely adjustment is more important than proving oneself right.
Brothers, do you think Brother Maji is sticking to his judgment or taking on excessive risk? #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ $STRK 50x long position, opened at 0.08687, current price 0.11519, unrealized profit +1630.02%. The price actually rose about 32%, but with 50x leverage it exploded into a thousandfold gain, yet the more beautiful this number looks, the more it feels like poison.
Recently, "Starknet ecosystem airdrop" and "ZK track recovery" have been trending in the community, funds are indeed rotating, and around 0.115 has become a meat grinder for longs and shorts. On-chain data shows intense high-level turnover; when retail investors FOMO chase the highs, it is often the window for the main force to distribute chips.
Under 50x leverage, even with 1600% unrealized profit, a 2% price reversal is enough to wipe out most of the gains; a single wick can bring it back to the original state. The 0.12 whole number resistance is very heavy, and 0.10 below is the last line of defense.
You must immediately close 90% of the position to lock in profits, and move the base position stop loss to 0.08687 to absolutely break even. The 50x thousandfold profit is a market gift; pocketing it is your own, never hold overnight. $BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 🔥The difference between whales sometimes isn't about who predicts correctly, but who knows when to exit! In the on-chain data for September, the trading strategies of Boss Ten and Brother Maji took two completely different paths.
📊 Boss Ten chose to close short positions at high levels: On September 21, BTC shorts were closed at an average price of 85700 USDT using 10x leverage, with a transaction value of 8.57 million U. On September 19, ETH shorts were closed at 2598 USDT, but the transaction value was only 2598 USDT, indicating a very small position. On September 18, ZEC was sold to close long positions at 1518.42 USDT, with a transaction value of only 15.18 USDT, having limited impact.
⚠️ Note, closing shorts does not necessarily mean making a profit; it could also be a stop-loss exit. Looking only at transaction records, we cannot determine Boss Ten's final profit or loss. But at least it shows he is adjusting positions rather than stubbornly holding all directions.
🐋 Now looking at Brother Maji, BTC shorts averaged 76152, ETH shorts averaged 2322, and he also holds SOL shorts. According to this data, his three positions combined have an unrealized loss close to 50 million U, and funding income can only partially offset the pressure.
🧠 One adjusts positions, the other continues to bear unrealized losses—this is the real difference between two trading styles. But whale capital size, margin, and risk tolerance differ, so you can't just copy their positions.
Brothers, do you think the most important thing in trading is to judge the direction or to admit mistakes and exit in time? #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 Cayman Litigation Concludes: CORE Removes Biggest Black Swan, BTCFi Leader Lightens Load
The Cayman Islands litigation between $CORE and Maple Finance, ongoing for over half a year, has officially concluded with a comprehensive settlement. Both parties have mutually withdrawn all claims and counterclaims, and the court proceedings have been terminated. The biggest black swan risk hanging over the CORE and BTCFi sectors has been resolved.
Previously, CORE sued Maple, accusing them of using confidential cooperation information to develop the competing product syrupBTC. The Cayman court once issued an injunction, and project resources were entangled in the lawsuit. The market's biggest concern was a liquidation cascade of the underlying BTC assets. After the settlement, BTC assets worth $150 million were successfully redeemed, and lenders' principal was safely secured.
With the legal burden completely lifted, CORE can now redirect all resources back to Satoshi Plus consensus, quantum resistance upgrades, and BTCFi ecosystem development. However, objectively speaking: Maple's injunction has been lifted, and syrupBTC will officially launch, forming a direct competitor; meanwhile, CORE still faces existing pressures such as continuous token release and market correlation.
The removal of litigation risk only clears external obstacles and represents a phased positive development. Whether the sector's dividends can be realized ultimately depends on on-chain data and the ecosystem's real adoption rate. Do not place heavy bets solely based on the end of negative news. Is a large trading volume equivalent to money staying in the market?
$HYPE had a trading volume of about $580 million in the past 24 hours, with the price rising about 1.3%, but still down about 8.4% over the week. There’s a lot of trading, but the losses during the week haven’t been recovered yet. You can’t directly interpret this trading volume as the same amount of new money coming in.
The same money being traded repeatedly also increases the trading volume; every time someone buys, someone else sells. So I pay more attention to whether the price gradually moves upward after the trading. If trading remains active but the price keeps retreating to the original level, it’s not enough to raise expectations for now. For now, let’s see if the losses can be recovered; the activity itself doesn’t guarantee a trend.
$SUI rose about 51% in a month, fell about 7.1% in a week, and only rose about 0.9% in the past 24 hours. It’s not surprising to see trading during a pullback after a big rise, but trading volume alone can’t tell if people are still optimistic or just leaving during the rebound.
I will watch if the next rebound can go further. A gradual price increase provides a better basis for judgment; if it keeps rising a little then falling back, then we have to accept that the recovery is still insufficient.
$WLD rose about 3.7% in the past 24 hours, but is still down about 2.3% over the week. The recovery is a step ahead of fully regaining losses. There is upward movement now, which is worth attention, but it can’t be concluded that selling pressure has disappeared.
If the subsequent pullback is limited and the price can resume rising, expectations can be raised. If trading remains lively but gains can’t be maintained, it’s better to watch more and act less. Being willing to trade and being willing to buy at higher prices are two different things. The core point of this passage is: The author believes that BTC, despite a series of negative news, still holds around $83,000, indicating that the market may have already digested some bad news and there is a short-term opportunity for an upward breakout; he is particularly optimistic about ZEC and what he considers the more resilient ZCAT.
However, this is clearly a bullish, strongly personal belief market commentary, not a verified market forecast.
1. Why does the author think BTC might rise?
The most critical original sentence is:
"Reaction to news > actual news"
Meaning: The market's reaction to news is more important than the news itself.
For example:
#GoldETFsVsHighRates #SamsungQ3ProfitKRW100T 🔥The easiest time for people to make mistakes in the market is after a drop and a few days of sideways movement, when everyone starts guessing the bottom!
Brothers, BTC is currently in a sideways consolidation phase, with limited volatility expected over the weekend. The CPI data next Wednesday is worth close attention; don’t rush to bet on direction before the data is released, continue to wait according to the established plan.
📊 BTC: Watch the 81500—80000 range for initial positions, observe 77000—75000 for potential additional entries. Hold positions if already entered; if it rallies near 84000 but faces resistance, you can try light short positions, with 85000 as a stop-loss reference.
📉 ETH: Watch resistance at 2560—2600, consider shorting if the rebound is pressured, stop loss promptly if it breaks above 2600. On the downside, watch 2450—2400, with 2350 as an extreme observation point.
⚡ SOL: Watch resistance at 113—116, stop loss promptly if it breaks above 116; on pullbacks, watch 107—105, with 100 as an extreme observation point.
⚠️ But one thing is more important than predicting the market correctly: don’t gamble your life on the market. 100,000 yuan is, for many families, years of savings, not chips you can afford to lose casually. Living expenses, mortgage, and children’s costs should never be risked, and don’t keep adding positions just because of floating losses.
If trading contracts, be even more cautious of leverage amplifying losses. The above price levels are just observation ranges for trading, not guarantees that prices will reach them, nor assurances of rebounds or declines.
Brothers, you can miss the market, but don’t casually lose your principal. Will you choose to keep waiting, or prepare to enter in batches? Stop staring at the charts, the machines are running loud at DOGE's construction site
This week everyone is debating who isn’t buying DOGE. I took my eyes off the candlestick charts and took a walk around the testnet construction site—the machines there are running loud.
DogeOS public testnet has been online for about ten days, and a list has already been drawn up: liquidity engines, lending platforms, stablecoins, perpetual contracts, prediction markets, and a few gaming projects. What caught my eye the most was a charity crowdfunding app, the kind that collects donations. All these applications share one thing in common: the transaction fees are all burned in DOGE.
This scene is very familiar to me, but reversed. Back in 2014, we were still mocking Dogecoin as just a joke, but now it has quietly built its own EVM application layer. While everyone else is fixated on price speculation, the real builders are already laying the groundwork at the base layer.
Don’t just watch the price rise and fall, go to the construction site and listen to the sound of the machines—that is the echo of the future. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 Survived the darkest hour! CORE reconciliation finalized, BTCFi leader reborn
$CORE and Maple Finance's Cayman litigation, which lasted over half a year, has officially concluded. This major black swan hanging over the BTCFi sector has finally landed. Both parties have mutually withdrawn all claims, terminated arbitration and court proceedings, and secured the safe repayment of approximately $150 million in BTC assets, eliminating principal risk for lenders.
The core conflict previously was CORE accusing Maple of using cooperative secrets to develop the competing product syrupBTC. The court once issued an injunction, and the project’s development was hampered by the lawsuit. Now that the legal burden is lifted and all negative factors have been cleared at once, the team’s resources can fully return to Satoshi Plus consensus, quantum resistance upgrades, and BTCFi ecosystem development.
Having endured the dispute winter, CORE is now able to move forward unburdened and return to the main BTCFi narrative. However, blind optimism is unwarranted: after Maple’s injunction is lifted, syrupBTC will officially launch, creating direct competition; meanwhile, CORE still faces pressure from original token unlocks and market correlation.
The reconciliation only clears external legal obstacles. Whether the benefits materialize ultimately depends on real on-chain data and ecosystem integration progress. The negative news being resolved does not mean the market will automatically rally. Competition in the BTCFi sector is fierce, so do not heavily bet based on a single positive factor alone.$PONS
PONS has recovered to the upper half zone; is there finally evidence to support the catch-up rally judgment?
This morning's 24-hour spot observation window: range 0.3437—0.3767 USDT, change +2.88%, trading volume approximately 4.07 million USDT.
Compared to yesterday's observed quote, the price has increased, and this window has regained more room, which is price evidence. The catch-up rally still cannot identify long-term demand; short-term trading imbalances and market-driven momentum can also cause a rebound.
If 0.3767 cannot be broken through and the pullback continues to decline, it reduces the explanation of independent relay; if relative strength continues to improve, and after the breakout maintains higher lows, then the judgment of sustained pursuit is further enhanced. One trader studies support, resistance, volume, and market structure. Another studies ETF flows, interest rates, institutional demand, and Bitcoin's supply dynamics. Both believe they have the edge. Both can still be wrong. Technical analysis can help identify market setups. Fundamental analysis can help explain the bigger picture. But neither guarantees the next move. 🔥 If you were forced to use only ONE for the next 90 days, would you choose technical analysis or fundamental analysis? Choose 🔥Brothers, truly mature trading is not about making money every day, but knowing when to hold still!
📉 After BTC's decline, it is temporarily consolidating sideways; don't expect too much action over the weekend. The focus next is on Wednesday's CPI data. Before key data is released, stick to your original plan and don't change your strategy just because of a few candlesticks.
📍 BTC: 81500—80000 is the first key area to build positions, 77000—75000 is the follow-up replenishment observation zone. Those already in the market should hold according to the original plan; if a rebound near 84000 is blocked, consider light short positions, with 85000 as the stop-loss reference.
📍 ETH: The resistance zone above is 2560—2600; only consider short positions if a clear rejection signal appears on the rebound. If it breaks through 2600 effectively, don't stubbornly hold on. On the downside, watch 2450—2400, with 2350 as the extreme observation point.
📍 SOL: Short-term resistance at 113—116; if it breaks 116, stop loss promptly. On pullbacks, observe 107—105, with 100 as the extreme reference area.
🛡️ Beyond trading, it's more important to protect your life. It's not easy for an ordinary family to save 100,000 yuan; don't feel you must enter the market immediately just because others are showing profits. Only invest spare money, do not borrow, do not touch essential family expenses, and never rely on high leverage to try to turn things around.
Remember: wait if the price is not right, don't act if the signal is unclear. Do you find it harder now to find opportunities or to control your own hands? #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 Woke up to profits! Applied to join the short squad, altcoins will eventually go to zero!
The overall market is just slightly in the green, but one guy is glaringly red — that’s $MAGIC, which dominated the gainers list yesterday.
Looking back at this move, it was a heart-pounding and profitable ride. In the morning, it surged over 60%. I initially went long and made 6U but didn’t take profits. Then the market suddenly reversed, forcing me to set a stop loss and exit with a 3U loss. But I didn’t hesitate and decisively went short. By evening, when the gains dropped to 17%, my unrealized profit shot up to 17U! To lock in gains, I partially closed my position.
This morning when I opened my eyes, the surprise continued — the price dropped another 8%! Wow, this feeling of "waking up to money" is just delightful.
This victory has further strengthened my belief: I will always believe that all altcoins will eventually go to zero. Although there will be crazy pumps and traps along the way, over the long term, the vast majority of altcoins’ value will return to nothing. In crypto, shorting might require more courage than going long, but it’s closer to the harsh truth. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 Today, it means nothing to outsiders.
But for people in the crypto circle,
it is considered the most fearful, darkest days.
On 10.11, many people lost everything and went bankrupt on this day.
That big crash was so terrifying, still vivid in memory.
But in 2025, when BTC surged to 126,000, I insisted on shorting, helped a group of people avoid this massacre.
That was one of my proudest moments.
I still remember a few idiots shouting BTC would hit 180,000, 200,000, then telling you to buy the dip at 120,000, and another going all in around 100,000.
Then they led a bunch of people to get wiped out.
Anyway, the memory is deep, one called "Prince", another called "Principal". They blocked me, so they couldn’t see what I said.
Actually, trading is like this: when everyone is passionate and excited, that’s when the manipulator is about to harvest.
Whether it’s the stock market, crypto, gold, or oil.
The essence of trading never changes.
When others are greedy, I am fearful; when others are fearful, I am greedy.
Human nature is the best technical indicator.
Look, this BTC wave surged to 88,000, I didn’t buy the dip either.
From my technical analysis, there was a chance it could drop to around 48,000.
But BTC reversed sharply with a V-shape, and on low volume, I was stunned.
We talk about volume, price, and time-space; low volume means less capital entering or no major institutional involvement,
but one thing was forgotten: now most BTC chips are in the hands of manipulators, they don’t need huge funds to pull out a big bullish candle. Brent has risen above $104, and BTC has been hovering around $82,000 for a whole week. The more you watch the candlestick chart, the more anxious you get: afraid to bottom-fish in case it falls further, afraid to miss out if you don't. Pause for a moment; what you really need to focus on now are not the prices, but three signals.
BTC dropped from 87,000 to 80,427, falling nearly 3% in a week, now stuck oscillating between 82,000 and 83,000. The Fear & Greed Index fell from 71 to 56. The spot ETF saw a net outflow of $485 million in a single day, the largest single-day outflow since June, indicating clear phased profit-taking by institutions.
On the other hand, Brent crude oil is at $104.72, up 2.4% for the week. The September FOMC minutes were hawkish; most officials believe further rate hikes may be needed before year-end. Inflation has been above target for over five consecutive years, and the Federal Reserve has no plans to ease. The short-term macro environment is unfavorable for risk assets.
But don't rush; three supply-side variables are accumulating: Russia announced a partial lifting of the diesel export ban, starting with 300,000 tons, with gradual increases to follow; the G7 is discussing releasing strategic reserves; China's recent refined oil export pace has also changed. Both bearish and bullish factors are fermenting simultaneously, making this the hardest time to trade.
So don't guess the direction; focus on these three signals:
Signal One: Diesel crack spread.
It has fallen from about $85/barrel last week to around $70. In normal years, it is $15-30; although still historically high, the direction is downward, indicating the tightest phase for refined oil may be marginally easing.
$BTC
$ETH $
$MAGIC 🔥Capital inflow returns to the storage sector, AI demand diffusion drives the entire industry's prosperity, not just Micron and SanDisk📈 $MU $SNDK
✅Key positives
AI demand spreads from HBM outward, boosting server DRAM and enterprise SSD demand. Morgan Stanley is optimistic about DRAM shortages throughout the AI cycle, Bernstein is bullish on storage. Institutions estimate Q4 DRAM and NAND to rise 15%-20% quarter-on-quarter, with HBM continuing to increase in price.
✅Capital & supply chain
JPMorgan: Last week retail investors net bought $150 million in SanDisk and $135 million in Micron. Penguin's orders are fully booked for 4 quarters. Previously, the sector broadly rose, with Micron, SanDisk, SK Hynix, and Western Digital all strengthening simultaneously.
📊Monday night US stock forecast
▪ Optimistic: Slightly higher open pre-market, leaders lead gains, storage sector outperforms the market
▪ Neutral: High open with fluctuations, digesting profit-taking, stock differentiation
▪ Risk: Market weakens, highly elastic storage sector collectively pulls back
⚠️The sector has risen significantly recently, positives may have been priced in early, volatility is very high. Information shared does not constitute investment advice
👉At Monday's open, do you think storage will surge higher or open high and then pull back? Avoided volatility over the weekend, but there's still a test on Wednesday
The US September CPI will be released at 20:30 Beijing time on October 14.
When looking at the data, don't just focus on whether inflation is rising or falling; the key is whether the actual value exceeds expectations, especially the core CPI.
If inflation is hotter than expected, the market might worry about rate hikes again; if it cools down, don't rush to call it good news—also consider how much it dropped and what the market had already priced in.
In the minute the data is released, the candlestick might spike both ways first.
My approach is simple: first look at the difference between the number and expectations, then see if the price can hold steady; don't rely on the first spike to guess the direction for the whole night.
The calendar tells us when to hand in the test, but it doesn't take responsibility for who scores full marks on the bulls or bears.🔥 Brothers, the more directionless the market is, the more you shouldn't rush to make money! After BTC's decline, it has entered a sideways consolidation phase. Limited volatility is expected over the weekend. The real focus is the CPI data to be released next Wednesday. Before the data is out, my approach remains unchanged: patiently wait for the right position, do not prematurely bet on direction.
📍 BTC: Primary position focus at 81500—80000, additional buying range 77000—75000; those already in the market should hold for now. Short-term resistance at 84000; if it rises and faces pressure, consider light short positions with a stop loss at 85000.
📉 ETH: 2560—2600 is the upper resistance zone; consider shorting again if the rebound is blocked, with a timely stop loss if it breaks above 2600. Support at 2450—2400, with 2350 as the extreme observation level.
⚡ SOL: Short-term resistance at 113—116; consider shorting again if it rises and faces pressure, with a timely stop loss if it breaks above 116. Support at 107—105, with 100 as the extreme observation level.
🛡️ Finally, a sincere word: it's not easy for an ordinary family to have 100,000 yuan of spare money. Never invest your living expenses, mortgage, or family expenses. Also, don't blindly follow others just because they are making money, and don't keep adding positions just because of floating losses.
The market offers opportunities every day, but your principal is only one. The above price levels are observation plans, not guaranteed trade signals; be even more cautious with contract leverage.
Brothers, are you choosing to stay out and wait now, or have you already started building positions gradually? #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 $OKB 20x short, from 126.87 down to 123.76, up 49.02%. The underdog grabbed nearly fifty big gains, luck is not bad. But knowing the rules, 49% floating profit at 20x leverage is also a danger zone. Quickly take half the position off the table, keep the rest to break even and float. The spike and fall is the most treacherous, thinking it's stable but it grinds down before a rebound. When fortune smiles, take it without greed, leave the rest to fate, the main line is already full.
$BTC $ETH
Trend: near 123.76 bottoming and slowing, support at 123 below, resistance at 125-126 above. Chasing shorts is risky, high probability of oscillation rebound. 20x wear remains, trend not broken yet, beware of reversal. Main position taken off, base position for play.