Orbit Post Sitemap
$BTC is coiling inside a 5,000-point box between 77,200 and 82,200, and the tape is doing something more interesting than the headline range suggests. Every dip toward the lower half keeps getting absorbed, yet the rallies stall before 82,000. That is not a trend. It is a positioning machine. The mechanism is leverage, not conviction. Two days ago, a push to 7.5 on an alt triggered a chase by late longs buying strength. Tonight's sideways drift above 81,000 does the mirror image: it forces that No more updates on strategy after midnight. Those who entered long at the lows have already taken profits and reduced positions. For those who missed it, chasing the rally at this level carries high risk and is not really necessary. During pullbacks is when you consider going long at the lows; if you miss that, then patience is the only option!
Orders placed on Saturday: BTC near 80000, ETH near 2570, both at the lowest entry points. Currently, BTC hourly chart shows a small U-shaped bottom forming, indicators are bullish, indicating upward momentum. Long positions can be held higher; breaking 82000 could push it up to 85000. For short-term traders, take profits as you see fit; previous highs still act as resistance! #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 $BTC $ETH It's interesting when $BTC just sits still and everyone assumes that means something big is coming.
Sitting near $81K, holding this range while sell pressure fades — real setup, sure.
But Sunday volume is thin, and thin-volume breakouts fade fast.
I'd rather watch Monday actually confirm it than guess the direction today.
#CryptoRecoveryBroadens #UNI21%RallyOnSECRule #ZECPositionsDiverge Just checked the market, many people are asking if Bitcoin's pullback is over and if it's about to take off.
There are indeed signs of a bottoming out, but it's still too early to say "take off." Let's break down the current market signals:
✅ Bullish "bottoming" signals:
1️⃣ Three tests of the bottom without breaking: The 80,000–80,300 range has been tested three times without breaking, showing a clear weakening of bearish momentum and effective short-term bottom testing.
2️⃣ Higher lows gradually forming: 80,100 → 80,250 → 80,400, the short-term structure has shifted from "downtrend" to "uptrend."
3️⃣ Strong bullish candle rebound: A long-bodied bullish candle appeared on the 15-minute chart, directly reclaiming the 81,000 whole number level and breaking above the upper edge of the consolidation platform from the previous hours.
❌ But blind chasing of longs is not recommended:
1️⃣ Resistance levels not yet overcome: The first major resistance is at 81,300, followed by a dense trading zone at 81,500–81,600. Until it stands back above 82,000, this can only be considered a rebound, not a reversal.
2️⃣ Poor risk-reward for chasing highs: The current price is right at the lower edge of the first resistance level, making it easy to get trapped at short-term highs if chasing longs here.
3️⃣ Beware of "volume-less rallies": If a breakout is not accompanied by volume, it is likely just short covering, and sustainability will be greatly reduced.
💡 In summary:
81,300–81,600 is the watershed! Only if it stands above and holds this level can it be called a "take off"; if it can't, it's just a "rebound."
$BTC No calls today, just sharing a neglected detail.
The market is still rising, but people in the group have started showing their orders, KOLs are shouting "last chance to get on board," and even friends who never trade crypto are asking how to open accounts. Every cycle reaches this point, and volatility suddenly amplifies.
My only lesson: unrealized profits are not money.
Take some profits off the table when you’re winning, so you have ammo when it falls. Real opportunities don’t come amid the noise, but when others hesitate, curse, and cut losses to exit.
BTC sets the direction, ETH carries the sentiment, altcoins offer returns, but your position size determines if you can take the money away.
A bull market isn’t about who charges hardest, it’s about who’s still standing before the final wave.
#BTC现货ETF大额流入后转负 #ETH触及2500美元后震荡 #Solana主网提速，节点门槛会否上升？ 📒 "Mr. Xiaolong's Trading Review Room"
$NEAR Coin Review: From 3.18 to 4.00, W-bottom reversal realized!
NEAR current price is 4.00. From the last analysis at 3.18 to now, the increase is about 26%, completing the full structure of "breakthrough → pullback → breakthrough again."
On September 18, when NEAR broke through 3.35, our judgment was: 3.35 was the high resistance point over the past several weeks; after the breakthrough, the pullback did not break below it, turning resistance into support, confirming a multiple W-bottom reversal.
The strategy at that time was: wait for the pullback to 3.35-3.40 to confirm support before adding positions. NEAR indeed pulled back to 3.35-3.43 to confirm support, then continued to advance, breaking through 3.95 to reach 4.00. This was our first predicted path. The pullback near 3.4 was the opportunity to add or open positions.
The core driver of the rise remains unchanged: delayed selling pressure from airdrop lockups, Confidential Intents' TVL surpassing $70 million, triggering 330,000 locked airdrop tokens, which can only be redeemed if the VWAP stays above 3.33 for three consecutive days; Chain Signatures launched, NEAR shifting to AI Agent settlement layer; on-chain TVL hitting new highs, NEAR Intents routing volume exceeding $27 billion.
Currently, 4.00 is a new resistance zone. If it holds above, the target is 4.20-4.50; if resisted, expect a pullback to 3.60-3.80 to confirm support. I believe it has already stood above 4 dollars, and is very likely to continue advancing. $UNI surged sharply, but the bigger question isn’t whether tokenized stocks grow—it’s whether that value actually flows to UNI holders.
SEC exemptions may open the door for institutional adoption, but permissions, fees, custody, and token utility matter more than the narrative.
Bullish for the ecosystem ≠ automatically bullish for the token. 👀
#UNIThis wave of pullback is real.
The previous surge hardly gave any chance to get on board; the pace was fierce. The current drop is a one-sided collapse, without even a decent rebound.
$BTC plunged from the 81930 level, $ETH wiped out over a hundred points directly from around 2670, and $ZEC crashed straight down to about 1430 after peaking at 1598, with no buffer in between.
Past pullbacks were always accompanied by fluctuations, leaving some hope. This time, the bears are fully in control, not even leaving a gap to catch a breath. #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 #ZEC高位震荡，多空仓位开始分化 Within less than an hour, $AKE completely overwhelmed the shorts. In just 10 minutes, the token exploded nearly 70%. The move was so aggressive that anyone trying to add into the position without enough margin had almost no room to react. This wasn't a normal breakout. $AKE has multiplied several times in only a few days, with its market cap pushing above the $2B zone. Thin weekend liquidity made the move even more violent, with price briefly spiking toward $0.16 before reversing sharply. And th$CP Last night my hand trembled slightly when setting the stop loss, and this morning I realized it was an unnecessary act of filial piety.
Before going to bed last night, CP pushed up once again. Every surge was just short of a breath, volume didn’t keep up, and the resistance above was glaringly obvious. Seeing the high point unable to hold steadily, I judged it as a bull trap. During the repeated intraday fluctuations, I directly signaled a short position strategy. From 0.03914 down to 0.01305, the short position yielded +1333.16%. This wave gave the answer; the previous grind was tough, but now it’s truly satisfying.
The market cures all kinds of arrogance, especially from those who think they are the smartest.
It wasn’t a wasted wait, brothers. When I first opened the chart, the profit was already there. I closed 80% first, pocketing the bulk, and raised the stop loss on the remaining 20% to the break-even point. If it continues to drop, let the profit run; if it rebounds, don’t give the profit back.
For friends who haven’t entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in. Chasing shorts easily gets you stuck halfway up the mountain. Wait for the next move, wait for the new structure to form, then watch again. I will signal immediately. The market is not short of opportunities; it’s short of patience.
$BNB $ETH BTC's $80,000 lost and regained, the real battle is just beginning
The most noteworthy aspect of Bitcoin overnight is not the drop, but whether the rebound after piercing $80,100 can turn into structural repair.
As of 00:04 on September 21 Beijing time, OKEx Bitcoin spot is around $80,868, down 0.77% in 24 hours; the range is from $80,133 to $81,916, with a volatility of about 2.2%, and a trading volume of about 268 million USDT. Over the past day, the price was first resisted near $81,900, then continuously fell, bottoming at $80,133, before recovering above $80,800, showing a path of sharp drop, volume-supported rebound, and slow repair.
On the 15-minute chart, volume near the low point significantly increased, and then the price climbed back above the 5, 10, and 20 period moving averages; however, the current candle has not closed yet, and the short-term moving average turning up only indicates a pause in selling pressure, not a direct reversal. Bulls need to break through the short-term high around $80,930; bears will watch the 20-period moving average near $80,580, and if it breaks, $80,133 may face pressure again.
There are two possible scenarios: volume-backed stabilization above $80,930, then observe if volume contracts on the pullback; or a volume-less spike followed by a drop below $80,580, in which case reduce positions and wait for confirmation in the low price area. When using leverage on $BTC, reserve room for volatility and don't replace trend judgment with a single 15-minute candle.
My judgment is: the rebound has appeared, but repair still requires volume confirmation. Do you focus more on the breakthrough of $80,930 or the defense of $80,580? Brothers, I would call this week's operation an "extreme tug-of-war." Yesterday, we just experienced a terrifying free fall from 1.13 down to 0.91, with huge bearish candles and the screen full of liquidation screams. Today, waking up, FIL is steady at 0.9409, slightly up 1.25%. That gambler who decisively closed a long position at 0.928 last night, earning 877 FIL, is now sipping tea while pretending to be a "rational trader." 📊 Breaking down today's daily chart: still shaken, consolidating and gathering strength. First, 1.13 has become a short-term Everest. The 24-hour high was 1.1334, the low 0.91, a 20% amplitude; the main force's washout tactics were brutal. Fortunately, 0.91 (near the lower Bollinger Band) held, no further slide into the abyss. Second, the moving average system is starting to apply pressure. Looking at the data on the chart, MA5, MA10, and MA20 are all hovering around 1.00, forming a heavy resistance zone overhead. The current price is 0.94; a rebound to 1.00 will face combined pressure from the first wave of stop-loss sellers and short-term bears. Third, MACD momentum is still there but lacks strength. DIFF (0.0490) and DEA (0.0406) remain in a golden cross state, and the red bars (0.0167) haven't turned green, but compared to the violent surge when it hit 1.13, the momentum has clearly shrunk. Fourth, RSI has returned to the "peace zone." RSI6 dropped from an overbought 80+ down to 59.34, and RSI12 and RSI24 are also around 57-59. This means the overbought bubble has already$PEPE Last night my hand trembled slightly when setting the stop loss, but this morning I realized it was unnecessary worry. The short position held until morning, and the cost protection line was never even touched.
The last glance before sleep showed high-level oscillation back and forth; by morning, the downward direction had emerged on its own. The logic for building the position last night was simple: heavy selling pressure, very weak support, and every rebound was soft and weak—this was not a shape that could be held firmly.
Entered at 0.000004319, exited at 0.000003966, a steady +408.65% in hand. The entry was nerve-wracking, but once it played out, I understood what it means to endure without it being in vain. Profit is the realization of understanding, never a gift of luck.
In operation, I first took 80% profit off the table, moved the stop loss of the remaining 20% to the cost basis. Whether the next wave continues down or rebounds, my mindset won’t be disturbed. Not greedy for the last bit of meat ensures profits will stay your friend for the long term.
Have a strategy before the market opens, discipline during trading, and reflection afterward. Being out of the market is not a sin; reckless opening of positions is the mistake. After this trade, I’ll calm down first.
When the next round of rebound stagnation levels appear, I will release new short position entry points. Remember, opportunities always exist. After taking profits this round, don’t rush to prove yourself—just wait quietly for good news. $ETH $AKE #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 $BTC's current position really makes people uneasy—there's a large chunk of liquidity hanging both above and below, like two magnets suspended there.
Below at 75000, above at 83000. Which side is closer doesn't mean which side will move first, but these two numbers could suddenly pull the price sharply in either direction at any time.
BTC is exactly stuck in the middle right now. At 75000, it's a mix of long liquidations and support orders; at 83000, it's all short stop losses and covering orders piled up. No matter which side moves first, once it starts, the speed won't be slow—you won't be able to catch up.
The worst thing about this structure is guessing the direction prematurely. What you should watch is whether spot buying is keeping up and which side short-term leverage is adding to. The heavier the short pressure, the more 83000 looks like fuel for covering; if buying slows down, 75000 will come back into view again.
Both ends have liquidity; which side gets swept first isn't guessed, it's pushed by capital.
75000 and 83000 are both magnets. Which side moves first depends on where the money flows.
Don't bet early; watch spot buying and leverage direction. Whichever side starts to accelerate, follow that side—don't jump the gun. In this kind of market, guessing wrong means getting swept, following right means profiting.
Will it drop to 75000 first or surge to 83000 first?
#BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 Is the oversold rebound starting? Don't rush, the 1-hour J value of ETH has already revealed the truth!
1. Nature of the rebound: oversold recovery, not a trend reversal
① After experiencing a sharp drop, both BTC and ETH have entered a technical rebound. ETH has risen from the oversold zone, but the 1-hour J value has quickly surged to 87, indicating obvious short-term overheating.
② The 1-hour J value of BTC has also rebounded to 84.8, approaching a high level, with the upper resistance zone close at hand. Continuing to chase longs has very low cost-effectiveness.
2. Capital signals: bears retreating, but bulls have not entered
① The long-short ratio has risen from an extremely low level; BTC rebounded from 0.92 to 1.17, ETH rose to 1.28. Bears have started to take profits by closing positions, which is the main driving force behind the rebound.
② However, open interest continues to decline, and the funding rate hovers around zero, indicating bulls have not massively entered. The main players are still watching, so the rebound foundation is not solid.
3. Core contradiction: after recovery is in place, direction still depends on support
① This rebound is an emotional recovery after overselling, not a trend reversal. When the J value fully recovers, longs and shorts will face directional choices again.
② The 4-hour support is the short-term key; if it holds, consolidation and accumulation will occur; if effectively broken, the rebound ends and the search for a bottom continues.
4. Strategy: do not chase the rebound, wait for pullback confirmation
Do not chase highs or overcommit. Partial profit-taking can be done when the rebound reaches resistance zones. Those without positions should wait for a pullback that does not break support before considering entry. Better to miss out than to make a mistake.
Core summary: The market's first bite of profit is often not prepared for the most impulsive. Wait for the best entry opportunity!
$BTC $ETH The most dangerous moment on the chessboard is not the opponent's check, but the moment you think you have calculated all the variations. $WOO is currently in such a situation: a 6.08% surge in 24 hours, a short-term RSI shooting up to 73.1, solidly in the overbought zone, and the price is already stuck at 92% of the upper Bollinger Band — only 0.7% space left above, but 8.9% air below. This is not an offensive; this is a lone advance.
I never count pieces when analyzing the market, only look at the structure. The mid-term Bollinger Band is even more explicit: the price position is 110%, having crossed above the upper band, the lower band is waving 8.1% below, and the upper band is pressed down to -0.7%. What does this mean? It means this piece's advance has broken away from the pawn support chain, a typical bait sacrifice to lure a long — the opponent is waiting for you to greedily take the bait.
Looking at the longer-term RSI, it stands at 61.7, neutral to slightly warm, indicating the big picture hasn't collapsed, only a clear overextension in mid-game tactics. My judgment is: this is not a point to add positions, but a trap set by the bulls. The real profit comes not from chasing this 6.08% rise, but from positioning your pieces at a 10.9% depth when others' emotions are at their peak.
📉 Short:
Entry: 0.01 (current price +3.7%)
Take Profit 1: 0.01 (-10.9%)
Take Profit 2: 0.01 (-7.5%)
Stop Loss: 0.02 (+15.1%)
The endgame logic of this move is clear: the entry is set 3.7% above the current price, waiting for the opponent to push the pawn one more step and fully inflate the overbought sentiment before acting; the first take profit targets a -10.9% return to the lower band, the second take profit at -7.5% is an intermediate support; the stop loss is at +15.1%, accepting a tactical sacrifice but never allowing it to escalate into strategic bleeding. The risk-reward ratio is close to 1:0.7. What I want is not frequency, but structural victory.
The short opens fire at the RSI height of 73.1, with the winning chance coming from the opponent's overconfidence, not my prediction.Glamsterdam aims for about three times the base throughput, provided that nodes are not pushed out of the network
One of the official goals for the new Gas pricing is to create a safety margin for roughly three times the base throughput. This statement is appealing, but the focus is not really on "three times," but on the "safety margin." If throughput increases but ordinary nodes cannot synchronize, verify, and store data, the apparent performance improvement will come at the cost of decentralization.
The hardest part of Ethereum scaling has never been proving that high-performance machines can handle more transactions, but ensuring that enough independent participants can still validate the network. Gas repricing, access lists, and block production structure adjustments essentially address the same problem: how to increase capacity while controlling resource consumption in the worst-case scenario.
Therefore, the threefold throughput should not be directly equated to coin price, nor should it be taken as a mainnet TPS commitment. The theoretical target in the test environment must be jointly verified by client performance, network propagation, and node diversity.
I prefer to focus on whether the minimum hardware requirements after the upgrade have gotten out of control. If throughput increases and home nodes can still remain in the network, then ETH scaling truly has value. Speed can be achieved by stacking servers, but trustworthiness and neutrality must be maintained by a large number of independent validators.• Rapid TVL expansion: from about $1 billion to over $4.3 billion by May 2026, followed by a correction phase. • Core position of OUSG: as a key product in the Ondo ecosystem, it continuously serves the liquidity and infrastructure role for on-chain U.S. Treasury assets. • Ongoing institutional cooperation: Ondo's partnership with Kinexys, a subsidiary of J.P. Morgan, provides more connection pathways for traditional financial assets to go on-chain. • Global Markets layout: tokenized stocks and other Real World Assets (RWA) have become new growth directions. • Ecosystem strategy adjustment: Ondo has shifted from the original L1 route to Ondo Network, focusing more on financial asset issuance, trading, and liquidity infrastructure. 🧠 The core logic is changing: Ondo's story is no longer just about "rebuilding a blockchain," but about trying to bring traditional financial assets like U.S. Treasuries and stocks on-chain, enabling on-chain liquidity to directly connect with real-world capital markets. 🔮 Key points to watch next: • Actual trading volume and activity of Ondo Network • Recovery of TVL after adjustment • Scale and market demand of OUSG funds • Growth rate of tokenized stock business • Regulatory policies and participation of major financial institutions ⚠️ **Main risks:** changes in regulatory environment, competition from traditional financial giants, and short-term capital$OFC was still complaining about the sluggish market during the day, but at night the short positions themselves turned into a money tree.
When the screen was full of rebounds, I didn’t rush to act. After watching for more than ten minutes, I realized OFC was not stabilizing for a counterattack at all; there was simply no capital support above. They wanted to push it up, but volume couldn’t be released, then it fell back again. This kind of market doesn’t require advanced skills, just wait for it to show weakness. I opened a short position around 0.010237 following the trend, without heavy exposure or any extra operations. Just glanced at the current price, it’s already at 0.009469, with an unrealized profit of +150.04%.
Regarding position management, I first pocketed 70% of the profits, and set stop-loss to protect the remaining 30% at cost. I won’t envy the potential further drop, nor let a profitable trade turn into a losing one.
The market cures all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they are the smartest. Most who profited this round had planned their direction in advance; those who missed the ride shouldn’t chase the tail of the train. I will give signals ahead of the next rebound peak. I will call out when it’s time to short, and hold back when it’s time to wait. In short, the opportunity isn’t over yet. Play it safe and wait for a better entry point. $ETH $BTC #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 The white paper is just a rendering; the foundation hasn't penetrated the bearing layer. The higher the building, the louder the collapse will be.
The current state of $WLFI is like a beautifully rendered image paired with a raft foundation that is slowly settling. A 24-hour drop of 2.32%, short-term RSI sliding to 35.7, long-term RSI holding at 42.5—both axes remain in the neutral-to-lower range. This is not oversold; the structure is unloading its own weight.
Looking at the Bollinger Bands elevation: the short-term price is already close to the 6% position of the box, with only 0.2% clearance from the lower band; the mid-term stands at 22%, with a 3.8% buffer from the lower band. In construction terms: the short-span slab shows visible deflection, while the long-span has not cracked yet. The entire structural system is at the elastic deformation threshold, not yet entering the plastic hinge phase.
The key is the 0.05 elevation. This is not a casually drawn reference line but a load-bearing wall repeatedly compacted during previous pours—price hit this level twice without breaking through, indicating the compressive strength here is real, not a superficial illusion. The current price is about 2% away from this wall, marking the entry point: reinforcing the existing structure rather than piling on a patch of backfill.
However, I must point out a hidden issue: the seismic rating of this project depends on whether the bearing layer at the token distribution level can withstand the unlocking load. The concept and narrative are like a curtain wall—transparent and attractive but not load-bearing; the real shear walls are only two things—liquidity depth and whether there are actually people building inside the ecosystem. If the core tube is hollow, no matter how beautiful the facade, it won't pass final inspection.
Trading plan:
📈 Long:
Entry: $0.05 (current price -2.0%, load-bearing wall axis)
Take Profit 1: $0.06 (+4.8%, upper beam)
Take Profit 2: $0.06 (+12.7%, mid-term upper band)
Stop Loss: $0.05 (-13.5%, break means structural failure)
The wide stop loss is not due to conservatism but because the volatility of this asset requires structural redundancy. Wide stop loss with light position means concentrating all the load on a few columns—when it really collapses, the whole building won't fall with it.
Final judgment: $WLFI is a semi-finished product with the main structure not yet topped out, foundation barely passing inspection, and the core tube blueprint not finalized yet. #trumptoutscpiwinNYSE has been secretly testing for a year, speeding up settlement by 30 times! $AVAX surged over 19% in a single day.
The long-dormant AVAX exploded strongly today, breaking through the $11.3 mark in one move.
The trigger for this rally points directly to Wall Street:
The NYSE and its parent company ICE have reportedly been secretly testing Avalanche's underlying technology for a year, planning to integrate it into the ATS system, fully preparing for around-the-clock tokenized stock settlement.
Could the fundamentals be approaching an institutional-level transformation?
Institutions are also accelerating.
Paxos has integrated Avalanche-native $USDC and $AVAX.
New York Life's HYB high-yield bond fund will go on-chain.
Modern Card completed a $20,000 cross-border settlement using real corporate funds in about 7 minutes, whereas traditional banks require 3 to 4 hours.
"Institutional entry - tokenized asset ecosystem prosperity - revaluation of blockchain space" suggests a somewhat positive feedback loop.
On the chip front, a tug-of-war between bulls and bears is brewing beneath the surface.
Smart money is aggressively buying on the Wall Street narrative, with spot buying pushing the short-term main rise.
However, the NYSE has not officially announced a final selection yet; bears are eyeing expectations to front-run, and some major players and high-level shorts are gradually cashing out by selling in batches after the rally.
If the $11 level holds on a pullback, the strong structure remains intact.
Resistance is seen around $12.5.
If volume breaks through $12.5, it could continue to open the main rise expectation for institutional on-chain adoption.On September 18, $ETH broke through 2600 accompanied by about 85 million short liquidations, closing at 2624 on the 19th, currently continuing the late rally. Entry at 2571.87, now 2619.73, 100x unrealized profit 186.09%. With the weekly close approaching, 2672 (previous high Fibonacci level) is the key resistance, and the 50-week moving average at 2542 below has turned into support. The move is driven by a short squeeze inertia, but ETF weekly net outflow is $140 million, volume hasn't followed, 2619 is near the resistance zone, 100x tolerance is only 0.6%, late rally without volume explosion, beware of a pullback to 2542-2570. $BTC $ZEC #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 Term Structure Radar
$BTC annualized basis decreases with maturity: the near, mid, and far-term annualized basis are +6.40%/+5.63%/+5.18% respectively; the near-term contract's raw spread relative to the index is +$66.1.
$ETH annualized basis decreases with maturity: the near, mid, and far-term annualized basis are +5.49%/+4.91%/+4.25% respectively; the near-term contract's raw spread relative to the index is +$1.83.
$SOL annualized pricing at the three maturities is not monotonically ordered: the near, mid, and far-term annualized basis are +12.97%/+1.61%/+1.82% respectively; the near-term contract's raw spread relative to the index is +$0.18. The mid-term maturity breaks the monotonic order, and the difference between near and far terms is insufficient to describe the entire curve.
BTC, ETH: near-term annualized basis is higher than far-term, with higher annualized pricing concentrated near term.
BTC, ETH, SOL: all three maturities are in contango. I didn't experience the 2017 ICO bull run, but friends who entered the circle early told me that back then, the number of coins on mainstream exchanges was not many. Whenever a new coin ICOed and got listed on an exchange, it would be pumped wildly; if a new coin only rose 5 times, the project team would be mocked for not performing well.
But I personally experienced the big bull market from 2020 to 2021. Honestly, although there were coins like UNI and AAVE in DeFi that rose dozens of times, and NFTs that also rose dozens of times, even GameFi in the second half of 2021 had coins that rose over a hundred times. However, I already felt that there were too many coins at that time. In fact, many coins barely rose or their rises were not sustainable, easily becoming Christmas trees.
I had just entered the crypto circle then and was not very bold. I made a little money buying UNI, then turned around and bought 500,000 FIL at a unit price of $90. At that time, family members talked about the big bull market, saying that thousands of coins would take off, like in 2017, so I held the storage leader FIL. In the end, the 500,000 principal dropped to 180,000, and I cut losses and exited.
From 2023 to 2025, I still fantasized about a 2017-style bull run, not rationally realizing that there are simply too many coins in the current crypto circle. Anyone can issue new coins on-chain, so how could thousands of coins take off? As a result, I lost over 1.5 million on altcoins like YGG, STRK, ORDI, PORTAL, ACE, VOXEL, and ACT.
Now I am completely clear that the crypto circle no longer has the wealth effect it used to. Thousands of coins taking off is impossible. Buying altcoins must be done cautiously, with small positions to try for big gains, betting on odds and risk-reward ratio. No more heavy positions on altcoins.
If I had understood these principles earlier instead of learning through personal trial and error, I might have achieved financial freedom. The money spent on altcoins, if invested in Bitcoin, would have kept me from struggling in the crypto circle now, with sleepless nights and anxiety.Starknet ($STRK) faces continuous monthly token unlock selling pressure (about 127 million tokens per month, lasting until March 2027), and its token economic model is criticized by the market. The huge inflationary pressure deters buyers, the price approaches historical lows, and bears completely dominate the market.
Following the trend, shorted STRKUSDT perpetual contracts on OKX. Opened position at an average price of 0.04804, holding with 50x leverage, the mark price dropped to 0.04675, with an unrealized profit of 134.26%.
Unlocking bearish pressure looms. However, the 50x leverage tolerance is almost zero; a slightly larger reverse spike will face liquidation. Avoid blindly chasing shorts and pay attention to risk control. $ONE $ZEC #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 $NEAR This return makes me feel both anxious and cautious, afraid that the market will react tomorrow and blacklist me.🤯
While others are panicking and fleeing, I noticed that NEAR's volume seemed off—it stopped falling, sell orders became sparse, and there were always large buy orders supporting below. So I tentatively bought a bit around 3.492, purely following the flow of funds.
When it climbed to 4.04, with a +784.65% return right there, I finally understood the saying: the bottoming process is really slow, but the breakout is truly rewarding. This wave was worth the wait; everyone on board should be comfortably profiting.
Here's my profit-taking plan: take the big portion first, sell 75% to lock in profits, and move the stop loss of the remaining 25% up to the cost price. If it continues to rise, let the profits run; if it crashes back, I won't lose principal.
This is not the right position to chase now; a second rally needs new volume support. When the next better entry opportunity comes, I'll call it out in time. The premise of compounding is survival; shortcuts to getting rich often lead to zero. Don't rush. $ZEC $AKE #SEC代币化股票创新豁免落地，UNI盘中涨超21% $BTC $ETH $SOL
KillaXBT: Bitcoin's reaction to negative news turns positive, trend may have shifted to a bull market
On September 20, according to the "Everything Is Priced In" chart analysis released by well-known trader KillaXBT on platform X, Bitcoin is often suppressed downward by negative news during bear markets, but once entering a bull market, the same negative news turns into "bull market FUD," used to force investors to cut losses and exit before the rise. He stated that this round has seen negative factors such as interest rate hikes, Clarity Act hype and its subsequent failure, and the "Third World War" narrative fermenting, yet Bitcoin cleared lows and strengthened, contrary to negative reactions in bear markets. This is one of the clearest signals of a trend reversal in the analyst's view. He believes the confirming catalyst for this round will be the Clarity Act, whereas the previous round was the approval of the spot ETF. $BTC $ETH $SOL pumped over the weekend, but by Monday morning, it all got dumped back — the script from the whales is way too familiar.
Brothers, watching the market over the weekend is pure self-torture. They pump it up on Saturday, then dump it all on Sunday, playing retail investors back and forth like a game.
BTC at 82000 and ETH at 2650 are really strong levels, impossible to break through no matter what. I guess the whales have two main tactics:
First, a fake breakout to really harvest. They let retail think 82000 and 2650 are iron ceilings, then suddenly a big bullish candle breaks through, BTC surges to 85000, ETH to 2800, tricking all the long chasers, then they reverse and dump the market, BTC crashes down to 60000, ETH to 1500, liquidating all the longs.
Second, a choppy, stealthy decline. It pumps then dumps, with lower highs each time, slowly bleeding you out without letting you get a good run, cutting your losses daily.
Why isn’t there a direct bull market start?
Because I don’t believe there will be a bull market in ’26. The macro hasn’t shifted, liquidity hasn’t loosened, so why would there be a bull run? Right now it’s a zero-sum game, whales sweeping back and forth, retail getting hit repeatedly.
Watch the market less on weekends, sleep is the best. Wait until BTC truly holds above 82000 and ETH breaks 2650 before making moves, otherwise you’re just handing over your head.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散
#美联储10月再加息概率破55%
#SOL延续涨势，资金与链上需求共振 First time trading contracts and it's this intense? This coin surged so high in just a few minutes and then crashed down, I casually went short!
---
【Current Position Status】
🎯 Pair: AKEUSDT
📈 Direction: Short 3x
【This candlestick is just ridiculous】
Within minutes, it spiked up and down, surging and crashing over 200%!
This kind of movement is definitely not normal market behavior; it's clearly a case of extremely poor liquidity where the main funds are blowing up contracts. Although the 24-hour trading volume shows 545 million, the market cap is small and depth is poor, so even a small amount of capital can pump it up and crashing down happens instantly.
【Why do I dare to short?】
1. There will definitely be a pullback after the spike
0.16 was an instant pump, it simply can't hold.
2. Moving averages have already pushed down
MA5 (0.05185), MA10 (0.05274), MA20 (0.05172) are all tangled near the price, creating huge short-term resistance above. Shorting at this level has a very favorable risk-reward ratio.
3. Negative funding rate
Data indicates an "extreme negative funding rate" — too many shorts, which although means crowded shorts, also indirectly confirms the market sentiment is extremely bearish on this coin.
【Trading Plan】
· Stop loss: 0.057 (exit if it pulls back above the moving averages)
· Target: 0.048 → 0.045
I'm cautious, just taking a 3x position to catch a wave and then run.
$AKE $BTC
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $81,000, intraday increase of 0.11%. Two years ago, this amount could hold three press conferences; now it only draws an almost invisible horizontal line on the K-line.
Those holding long-term probably feel the same: breaking through a round number used to be news, now they’re too lazy to even open the notifications.
The price is indeed going up, but it’s getting quieter and quieter. Volume hasn’t exploded, discussion hasn’t picked up, indicating it’s not new money driving it, but the people still in the market who haven’t left.
The most ironic thing about this market cycle is this. When the shouting was loudest, it didn’t rise; when no one was talking, it actually held steady.
The blunt truth is, the more boring the rise, the more solid the hold.
#BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散
#摩根大通称比特币或跑赢黄金 #美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 $BTC ETH finally moved, but I’m actually hesitant to get too excited right now.
In the last update, I said the hardest thing about ETH wasn’t the drop, but the grinding.
But unexpectedly, this time it really moved.
It pulled from around 2563 all the way above 2620, releasing all the pent-up emotions from before in a short time. The most interesting thing is, those who were just saying "Is ETH done for?" are probably now asking: Is it about to take off?
This is exactly what the market loves to do — when you’re desperate, it gives you no hope; just as you’re about to give up, it suddenly hits you with a big bullish candle.
But this time, I actually don’t want to chase the excitement.
ETH has now retaken 2600, with short-term momentum clearly stronger than before. On the 15-minute chart, it’s even pushed close to the upper Bollinger Band, and MACD is expanding upward again. However, the more sudden the acceleration, the more you have to guard against market sentiment flipping from "nobody wants it" to "afraid to miss out."
So what I’m more focused on now isn’t whether ETH can surge another few dozen points tonight, but whether the funds are willing to stay after this rally.
If it can hold steady after the rise, it means this isn’t just an emotional spike; if it gets smashed back down right after the high, it means the market is still playing range-bound games.
In the last update, I said I wasn’t ready to remove ETH from my watchlist.
This time, it has come right up to me.
Those who follow, enjoy the gains! #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 $ALGO The most unusual point today: a 24h increase of 12.47%, with the price at 0.1136 already standing beyond the Bollinger upper band at 0.112318, but the MACD histogram is only +0.0009673 — a serious mismatch between the rise and momentum histogram, a typical "price leads, indicator lags" structure.
Technical breakdown: MA5=0.10968 crosses above MA20=0.104775, establishing a short-term bullish alignment, so the trend direction is fine; however, RSI=75.6 has entered the overbought zone, and the price is hugging/pushing beyond the Bollinger upper band, indicating an overheating signal within a strong trend. The funding rate +0.0078% is positive, indicating longs are paying to hold positions, showing crowded sentiment. The Fear and Greed Index is 71 (Greed), further confirming the market is in a chasing-up state. Conclusion: the direction remains bullish, but do not chase the highs; wait for a pullback.
Entry reference range: 0.1090–0.1110. The reason is MA5=0.10968 is the core support; a pullback to this area can confirm the validity of the moving average support and allow RSI to cool down from 75.6.
Take profit 1: 0.1180. Reason: after breaking through the Bollinger upper band at 0.112318, based on a 30-candle amplitude of 14%, there is still room for extension above; this level is a short-term profit-taking point.
Take profit 2: 0.1245.#UNI21%RallyOnSECRule UNI's 21% rally looks like more than a regulatory relief trade 👀
The SEC's five-year exemption could let eligible venues bring tokenized stocks into permissioned AMMs, including Uniswap v4 pools.
What caught my attention is the shift in UNI's story. Uniswap may be moving beyond crypto swaps toward infrastructure for trading real-world assets.
The next test is simple: do tokenized stocks create real volume, fees and protocol revenue?$CNPY perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.5369, currently at 0.4194, floating profit +437.69%. Before opening the position, I looked at the 4-hour chart where the price formed a standard descending triangle around 0.53, with horizontal support at the bottom, gradually lower highs, and the lower support line at 0.5369.
At the end, a large-volume strong bearish candle broke decisively below the triangle's lower boundary, confirming the main downtrend wave has officially started. After the breakout confirmation, I lightly entered a short position, setting the stop loss above the triangle's upper resistance. The 20x leverage strictly controls position risk.
The downward space after breaking the descending triangle has been fully released, and the trend is smooth. Now moving the trailing stop to around 0.45 to lock in profits. $ETH $BTC #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 Yesterday the market was competing on who could rise faster; today it starts to compete on who can hold out longer. BTC continues to hold at 81,000, ETH is still around 2,630, while SOL has dropped from above 113 back to around 110. High Beta assets have already begun to release pressure ahead of the broader market.
#BreakoutMarketEnteringPullback
#MainstreamCoinsStrengthReordering
$BTC is currently around 81,400, with 80,500–81,000 as the first support zone, and 80,000 remains the most important defensive line for this breakout. As long as 80,000 holds, the structure does not show obvious weakness; only after breaking above 81,800–82,000 again will there be a chance to open new upside space.
$ETH is currently about 2,634, with 2,600–2,610 continuing as the first support, and 2,645–2,650 still acting as short-term resistance. Only after firmly holding above this level should we look toward 2,680–2,700. If ETH can hold 2,600, that is more important than just a simple rally.
$SOL is currently around 110–111, having been the fastest to rise earlier but now the first to experience a pullback. 108–110 is the first support; after reclaiming 113 above, look toward 115; if 108 fails, watch out for an expanded pullback.
This lineup: BTC holds 80,000, ETH holds 2,600, SOL holds 108. The first round tests resilience, the second round tests defense. Truly strong coins will not easily give back all the gains from a recent breakout.#BTC holds at $80,000, crypto market recovery spreads #SEC tokenized stock innovation exemption implemented, UNI surges over 21% intraday #ZEC oscillates at high levels, long and short positions begin to diverge
$BTC Teachers, I'll report my position first: my short order is still open, $BTC at 81319, $ETH at 2625.
This market is quite frustrating now, the price keeps brushing against my short order back and forth. Bitcoin is hovering between 81100 and 81500, Ethereum around 2630, my account is basically break-even, neither up nor down.
Honestly, this wave is quite unexpected. On the 15th and 16th, the Clarity Act procedural vote failed, and the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points, so logically it should have dropped.
But on the 18th, it jumped straight from around 76000 to 81000, shorts were liquidated for four to five hundred million, my palms were sweating then.
By the weekend, volume shrank, the candlesticks flattened, a typical pullback to catch breath after a rally.
The news is a bit conflicting now. The rate hike landed but the market didn't panic, the bill failed, but the SEC gave an innovation exemption for tokenized stocks.
$ETH Ethereum is even more energized. On Friday, Bitcoin ETFs still netted over 400 million in inflows, the money hasn't fully left.
But I know the score. Historically, September tends to be bearish, and the resistance above 82000 is solid. This rebound is too sharp, I don't believe it can go up in one go.
I'll hold the short for now, wait for Monday's open to see the direction, stop loss is already set, if wrong I'll admit it.
After trading for a long time, you understand: not afraid of losing, afraid of losing without a plan. Big Brother Maji's position moved, and I watched it closely for a long time.
ETH long position is 67.75 million, floating profit 1.81 million, opened at 2526.
BTC long position is 15.02 million, floating loss 30,000.
HYPE long position is 12.44 million, floating loss 160,000.
Reduced ETH and BTC, increased HYPE.
Simply put, he feels the mainstream isn't as profitable this round and wants to switch tables.
But at the HYPE table, he opened at 92.64 and is currently at a floating loss.
Even veterans get hit.
Short-term traders fear moments like this the most: holding mainstream feels too slow, chasing altcoins gets beaten, caught between two unfavorable choices.
My stance is simple: if he reduces ETH, I don't follow; if he adds HYPE, I definitely don't follow.
At this position, those whose hands are faster than their brains end up paying tuition to the market.
#BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散
#美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 #摩根大通称比特币或跑赢黄金 $ETH $BTC $UB perpetual 20x long position, opened at 0.12463, currently at 0.13185, floating profit +115.86%. Before opening the position, monitored the perpetual funding rate; retail traders on the market are heavily shorting, and the rate remains continuously negative.
The price stabilized firmly above 0.12463 without breaking down, with solid support below. I entered a light long position at the stabilization level, setting a stop loss below 0.124. The 20x leverage is strictly controlled at a 2% position size. In a negative funding rate environment, short squeezes are easily triggered, allowing bulls to force shorts out and push the price up, initiating a trend.
Now moving the trailing stop to around 0.13 to lock in profits. $AKE $BTC #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 Reviewing DOGE's recent wave movement, the price had been consolidating sideways for a while, with the CR energy indicator operating at a low level, indicating insufficient market upward momentum. As sector funds flowed back, the price stabilized and rebounded, with the CR indicator steadily rising, showing continuous accumulation of bullish energy and confirming the start of this rebound phase.
After the CR bullish energy was released, DOGE rose from 0.08425 to 0.08631, with a 50x leverage long position gaining a floating profit of 122.25%. The CR indicator clearly demonstrated the entire process from energy accumulation to gradual release, serving as a reference for assessing the strength of the rebound.
Currently, the CR indicator is at a temporary high level, and there is a risk of bullish energy depletion. If the price continues to rise but the CR does not reach new highs, a bearish divergence will form, increasing the pressure for a pullback. From an operational perspective, no new positions should be added to protect existing floating profits, and stop profits should be tightened promptly when the CR turns downward. $DOGE $ZEC This wave was purely due to good market sentiment, casually throwing some gold coins, and they just happened to hit my head😅
During the repeated oscillations in the market, many people got worn out. I kept an eye on ZEC, funds were quietly coming in, the pullback didn't break the support, so I got in at 1,010.24.
Now at 1,452.29, +2186.46%. Feeling good, brothers.
Take profits on 70% first, move the stop loss on the remaining 30% to the cost price. If it keeps going up, let the profits run; if it pulls back, don't give back what you've already gained.
The premise of compounding is staying alive; the shortcut to getting rich often leads to zero.
Waiting for good news. Move again when the next signal comes out. The market is not short of opportunities, but it lacks patience.
$ETH $ADA Many people reflexively shout "overbought, time to short" as soon as RSI shoots above 75, which is the most typical single-indicator misjudgment. Overbought only indicates concentrated buying pressure; it does not mean the trend is over—the health of the trend should be judged by the moving average structure, not by the oscillators' mood.
Take $EPIC as an example. MA5=0.53432 is clearly above MA20=0.488705, with moving averages in a bullish alignment and expanding gap, which is the first evidence of a healthy trend; MACD histogram=+0.007952 maintains bullish momentum without weakening, which is the second evidence. What really needs caution is that the price has broken above the upper Bollinger Band at 0.55242, with the current price at 0.5774 running outside the band, indicating short-term overheating and low cost-effectiveness for chasing highs. Looking at the funding rate +0.0050%, longs are paying but it’s not extreme; the fear and greed index at 71 is in the greed zone but not yet at frenzy.
Conclusion: The bullish trend remains unchanged, but wait for a pullback. A reusable method is—use moving averages to set direction, Bollinger Bands to set position, and RSI plus funding rate to set sentiment; only act when all three resonate. Entry reference is 0.5400–0.5520 (pullback to the confluence zone of the upper Bollinger Band and MA5), take profit 1 at 0.6200 (extension of previous high), take profit 2 at 0.6800 (equal amplitude estimate of 27.56%), stop loss at 0.5120 (if it breaks below MA5 and loses the upper Bollinger Band, the bullish structure deteriorates).In a recent interview, BlackRock executives revealed industry realities that many veteran investors are reluctant to face. The world's largest asset management giant openly stated that after lowering the physical redemption threshold to $1.5 million, original large holders have been frantically exchanging real Bitcoin for trust shares. Their core motivation is not the institutional-grade custody security, but an urgent desire to fully financialize hard currency.
These original large holders have held their chips through several bull and bear cycles, with their wealth already fully invested in crypto. Their biggest demand is to use collateralized loans to buy houses and cars and to configure options for rental income. As long as on-chain assets are wrapped in Wall Street's compliant shell, it not only avoids the heavy tax erosion from direct liquidation but also seamlessly integrates into the traditional credit system. The classical coin holders who once believed "code is law" have ultimately bowed to the financial leverage of the real world.
An even harsher qualitative change is that volatility has been sharply discounted. With institutional buyers flooding in and derivatives market-making deepening, Bitcoin's historical volatility has been halved from around 80 to about 35. Wall Street only treats Bitcoin and Ethereum as base allocations, while thousands of altcoins are simply ignored. Bitcoin is silently being packaged and listed, becoming an unremarkable inflation-resistant screw in traditional asset portfolios.
When the decentralized dragon-slaying youth voluntarily walks into the gilded cage of traditional finance to obtain lower borrowing costs and cash flow, has Bitcoin's original rebellious spirit been completely bought off? Facing Bitcoin's permanently collapsed volatility but more stable foundation, do you miss the wild, explosive rally era, or are you glad to have boarded the giant ship of the regular army? $AEON perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.05841, currently at 0.05346, floating profit +169.49%.
Before opening the position, I looked at the volume distribution chart; around 0.058 is the upper edge of the previous dense trading area. The price repeatedly faced resistance and stagnated here, with ample turnover between bulls and bears. After breaking below 0.05841, there is almost no dense trading area down to about 0.053, fully entering a chip vacuum zone.
I lightly followed the short position after breaking below the dense area lower edge, with a stop loss set above 0.06. Using 20x leverage to strictly control position size, risk is manageable. The drop in the vacuum zone has no supporting catch; the bears face almost no resistance moving downward. Now I am moving the stop loss to 0.055 to lock in profits. Understanding the chip distribution is understanding the market rhythm. $ZEC $ETH #ZEC高位震荡，多空仓位开始分化 $CNPY Watching the market late into the night until my eyes got sore, I came across a short position record and couldn't help but say a few more words — this trade wasn't a guess, it was patiently waited for.
Entry: The mark price repeatedly failed to break above around 0.5061, volume increased but price stagnated, so I placed a short here, a light 20x test position. Someone asked, "How do you decide to short?" Just look at volume-price divergence: price hits new highs but volume doesn't keep up, even the bulls lack confidence.
$ZEC
Exit: Closed the position at a mark price of 0.4179, with a return of +348.54%. The percentage sounds impressive, but the actual principal wasn't large, don't be dazzled by percentages — how much you earn is arithmetic, how long you survive is the real skill. I always set my stop loss above 0.52; if it breaks, I accept it and don't argue with the market.
$SOL
Regarding the trend, the four-hour chart just completed a bearish alignment, with the EMA crossing downwards, serving as a technical "death cross" example — after the death cross is confirmed, shorting with the trend is much more comfortable than trying to guess the bottom. CNPY has a small circulating supply and volatile swings; it pumps quickly and dumps even faster, suitable for disciplined traders doing swing trades, not for heavy positions to hold long-term. #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 ₿ $BTC Holding above $80K keeps the structure constructive, but I want to see follow-through before calling the next leg. Ξ $ETH Around $2.6K now. If volume starts expanding, $2.8K becomes the level I’m watching next. ◎ $SOL Still defending the $108 area. For me, $120 needs more than price action — volume and fresh inflows have to show up. My current read: 📊 BTC → Trend confirmation ⚡ ETH → Breakout watch 🔥 SOL → Support + volume test The market is showing strength, but strength without confir$WLD perpetual 50x long position, opened at 0.3648, currently at 0.4339, floating profit +947.09%. Before opening the position, I looked at the daily chart level; the price formed a standard “cup and handle” pattern in the first half, with the bottom rounded and stabilized, then built a tight cup handle consolidation range around 0.3648.
A strong bullish candle at the end broke through the cup handle high point. I entered a light long position at the breakout moment, setting a stop loss below the cup handle low. Using 50x leverage with strict position control. The main upward wave after the cup handle breakout was strong, with profits nearly tenfold.
Now moving the trailing stop above the cost to lock in profits. $ZEC $BTC #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 Dogecoin is still the same as before, with the price hovering around $0.085-$0.09, struggling to break $0.10, and buyers stepping in when it drops to $0.08. There was a slight rebound in the last 24 hours, but volume didn’t keep up; the market looks like a stagnant pool, occasionally bubbling. Whales are quietly accumulating at low levels, throwing tens of millions of dollars in; however, institutions show little interest, with little capital flowing into related products, some even preparing to shut down. One buys while another withdraws, sending mixed signals.
Technically, it’s mediocre: moving averages are tangled, MACD is near the zero line, RSI is oscillating in the middle, bulls and bears are stubborn, but long positions are heavy, so a real drop could trigger a stampede. $0.09 is the short-term lifeline; if it can’t hold, it will retest $0.08. Don’t expect celebrity endorsements to help anymore—the hype is over, and the price will soften as it should. Without a market rally, new stories, or capital inflow, DOGE is just following the trend with almost no independence. Now is not the time to rely on faith; watch key levels, accept breakouts, and don’t chase rebounds without volume.
On-chain data is also weak: active addresses haven’t exploded, transaction volume is flat, and there’s no sign of the frenzy seen in altcoin seasons. News is even quieter, with no new use cases or evidence of sustained big capital inflows. Short-term moves are just emotional pulses—people sell on rallies and buy on dips. There’s a lot of trapped positions above $0.10, while below $0.08 is the recent cost zone. To establish a trend, first see if volume can support a stable hold above $0.09, then watch $0.10; otherwise, it’s just back-and-forth chopping.
In short, $DOGE currently has no trend, only a range. Chasing highs risks getting trapped, and panicking on drops isn’t necessary. Wait for a volume breakout before making moves.#ZEC high-level oscillation, long and short positions begin to diverge
After ZEC surged near 1600, it started oscillating at a high level, and long and short positions quietly began to diverge.
First, an interesting point. One address holds 38,000 ZEC short positions with an unrealized loss exceeding $33 million, but at the same time it also holds 202,000 ZEC spot, valued at $320 million. This short position is most likely not a pure bearish bet but a hedge against the spot holdings. In other words, they have the coins in hand, and the short is just protection, not a directional gamble.
The real loser is another whale who closed a $24.43 million short position directly, taking a loss of $10.68 million and exiting. On the short side, some couldn't hold on and withdrew first. On the other side, someone opened 9,810 ZEC long positions at $517, now with unrealized profits close to $10 million. Early longs have frighteningly thick profits, shorts are realizing losses, and the whale hedging structure is also emerging.
Next to watch is whether these profitable longs will concentrate on taking profits. If everyone wants to run, selling pressure will come out quickly. Coupled with leverage position adjustments, ZEC, as a highly volatile asset, can have sudden spikes up or down at any time. At this level, chasing highs is not cost-effective; shorts have just been cleared once, longs are also getting crowded, making it easy to become a mutual harvest.
My view is, don't rush in when emotions are hottest. Wait for a pullback to confirm support, or wait for position divergence to finish before deciding the direction. During high-level oscillation, staying alive is more important than how much you earn. What do you think, will this wave of ZEC continue to surge or take a break first? $BTC $ZEC $ZEC The hype around the small-cap token ONE is heating up, with concentrated buying activity on the market. After breaking through the previous consolidation range, the price quickly surged, as short-selling pressure was continuously absorbed and bulls took control of the market. For the current ONEUSDT perpetual contract with 10x leverage on long positions, the opening average price was 0.0015666, and the current mark price is 0.0040062, resulting in an unrealized profit of 1557.25%, with bullish gains significantly increasing.
Observing the ARBR popularity and willingness indicators, the market was previously sluggish, with both AR and BR values at low levels, indicating insufficient market sentiment. As the thematic heat started, AR rose rapidly, BR increased simultaneously, and both popularity and willingness continued to warm up, driving a volume breakout and price rally.
Currently, ARBR has entered a high-level zone, with market sentiment leaning towards overheating. There is a short-term risk of sentiment cooling off and price pulling back after the surge. Existing positions can set trailing take-profits; it is not recommended to chase higher to avoid rapid erosion of unrealized profits after sentiment fades. $ONE The XRP short position won big this time, hitting 1.454 with no buyers, then dropping back to 1.38.
Yesterday opened at 1.386, peaked at 1.454, bottomed at 1.375, closed at 1.431, volume 92.32 million. Today opened at 1.431, highest 1.446, lowest 1.368, current price about 1.380. Volume 37.19 million, volume halved over the weekend.
Resistance is still between 1.380–1.446, with 1.454 even heavier above. On the downside, watch 1.368 first, if broken, 1.288 is likely.
Don't chase 1.446 in the short term. Those holding should watch if 1.368 support holds; if not, reduce positions. The weekend volume contraction can be seen as digestion; wait for volume to return Monday to see if it can hold above 1.43 again. $XRP