Week 1 winners are here! Congratulations to the top 10 creators on the #OutcomesOnOrbit leaderboard: 300 XP: @irvanyustian 250 XP: @Gat.R 220 XP: @Blockara @CALL XKRUT 200 XP: @Qamxi 180 XP: @Morgan Freeman 150 XP: @Callistemon 140 XP: @Nemo 🪐🥷 120 XP: @BEEN10 @Bigfunzd001 100 XP: @Shinomiya Ciel 40 XP: @Eudosky @Panji Syahputra 20 XP: @Asmodeychik @Bro_Rey @Fahdi756 @Laz Trader @Minhx99 @Minz Trader @aeron29 Want to join the next round? 1. Open the OKX App and go to Orbit. 2. Switch to the Outcomes tab. 3. Choose an active prediction event. 4. Post your prediction position and event insights on Orbit with the topic hashtag #OutcomesOnOrbit Your content should be original and related to an Outcomes event. Screenshots, prediction cards, data charts, and personal analysis are welcome. Important updates: · The hashtag must be active and correctly included in your post. · Posts unrelated to Outcomes events are not eligible. · Copied content is not eligible. · Each user can earn a maximum of 250 XP per week. · A qualifying post earns 20 XP, or 50 XP when it includes an event or prediction position card. · XP is not repeatedly stacked by publishing multiple posts. Winner lists will be announced weekly. Make your prediction, share your reasoning, and see where you rank next week. Which Outcomes event are you watching most closely?

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The Fed just ended three years of stillness. First hike since July 2023. The FOMC voted 12-0 to raise the federal funds rate by 25bps, bringing the target range to 3.75%-4.00%. Chair Warsh said inflation is "too high and has been for too long." The market had largely priced it in, with hike odds near 93% by decision day after hot August inflation data helped flip expectations. But the hike itself is not the story. The dot plot is. The new median dot implies one more 25bps hike before year-end, putting December firmly in play. The updated projections: · PCE inflation is now seen at 3.7% for end-2026, up from 3.6% in June · Core PCE rose to 3.4%, and the Fed does not expect inflation back at 2% until 2029 · Unemployment was revised down to 4.1%, while 2026 GDP growth moved up to 2.3% · The longer-run fed funds rate projection rose to 3.2%, keeping higher-for-longer in the frame Behind the inflation problem is an energy shock tied to the Iran conflict, with oil back above $100 and diesel prices elevated. The White House wants lower rates. The Fed delivered the opposite. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly crossed 5% before the decision, then pulled back toward 4.96%. In H1 2026, US spot BTC ETFs saw about $5.4B in net outflows as BTC fell from the mid-$90K area in January to the low-$60K area in May. The CLARITY Act also failed its Senate cloture vote 49-50 one day before the Fed, pulling a key regulatory catalyst off the table. Bitcoin briefly popped after the announcement, then gave the move back. Nobody heard a Fed that thinks the job is finished. Warsh also avoided committing to a fixed path, keeping the next move data-dependent. The Q4 setup: rates higher, oil elevated, yields near 5%, ETF demand fragile and regulatory progress stalled. That is not an easy soft-landing setup. Which matters more for BTC into Q4: the dot plot, ETF flows, or regulatory uncertainty? #FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23

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Trending on Outcomes League #OutcomesOnOrbit this week: • September Fed rate decision • Premier League & LALIGA Matchweek 6 • Weekly price events on NVDA, AAPL, XAU, WTI & more $600K in Gameweeks and Season rewards in total. Live on Orbit in the OKX app, in eligible regions.

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