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Solana's first ZK privacy coin launches, $SOL market calmer than trending searches
Wow, an hour ago Solana's first ZK privacy coin GAMAL launched, $SOL remained completely still. I'm not chasing more, cutting my position in half, buying back around 110 at a dip.
A personal developer's project, not listed or audited. token2022 privacy extension is running smoothly, privacy narrative is moving towards Solana. But funds didn't vote: price dropped from 117.06 to 116.87, -0.16% after the event.
Market is tougher than Twitter — 7 days +20.63%, RSI 70, MACD golden cross with expanding red bars. But 1h SAR flipped above price at 118.03, momentum is leaking; fear/greed at 78, BTC/ETH fees peak at 0.0001/8h.
Resistance above: 119.99 (24h high)
Support below: 115.54 (today's low) → 110.69 (9/21 low)
Watershed level: 115.54, if broken watch 4h SAR at 109.85.
BTC 85982 (30-day range position 0.882), no breakdown.
Reduce long positions by half at 116.87; clear all if below 115.54, buy back on pullback between 109.85–110.69.
Stay tuned and don't get lost, I'll call out breakouts immediately.
$SOL $BTCBTC widened the market again in this hour, while ETH and SOL both shrank together. During this hour, BTC, ETH, and SOL mentioned 91, 30, and 18 times; in the same window, BTC was about 60% bullish and bearish about 7%; ETH was about 57% bullish and bearish about 3%; SOL was about 39% bullish and 0% bearish. On the non-coin side, META was 10 times, about 60% bullish; OPENAI also had 10 times, but only about 10% bullish and about 20% bearish; HYPE 7 times, about 57% bullish. The previous window was BTC 65, ETH 39, SOL 25; In this window, BTC surged from 65 to 91, ETH dropped from 39 to 30, and SOL dropped from 25 to 18. Among the three major markets, attention is clearly concentrated on BTC. In the previous window, ETH was still overshadowing SOL, and both sides of this window are shrinking. The bullish and bearish bias only describes the tone of the text, not the transaction volume. The surge in BTC buzz may just be driven by news momentum, but it's still uncertain if it will continue. First, remember "BTC dominance + ETH/SOL both shrinking"—check if there's a new snapshot.#BTC spikes to $87000, total crypto market cap returns to 3 trillion
$BTC shot up to 87k in one go, and the total crypto market cap is back at 3 trillion.
This wasn’t driven by retail traders shouting buy signals; shorts were squeezed first, ETFs then covered, and altcoins followed the rally—high beta assets like PEPE/WIF/$DOGE went crazier overnight than BTC.
But don’t get carried away:
Perpetual open interest hit a historic high, with 700–900 million in short positions liquidated in 24h. After this "short squeeze fuel" burns out, the most likely move is a leveraged long squeeze. Holding 85k means bulls still target 90k; if it fails, expect a retest of 80k as a key support.
My own approach:
Don’t chase big green candles; wait for a pullback confirmation before acting; spot > futures, position size < emotion. The deadliest thing in a bull market isn’t the drop, it’s the fear of missing out.
Do you think this wave marks the start of a new cycle, or is it the last phase of a dead cat bounce short squeeze?
Long / Short / Watch, pick your side in the comments SPCX made a quick spike to 158.2 today, and now no one dares to follow.
Yesterday's low was 151.6, the high was 158.1, and it closed at 151.9. Today it opened around 152.7, the high is still hovering near 158, the low is 151.8, and the current price is about 152.6. Volume is average; after the surge up, it slid back down.
The 158.2 level above is resistance; the space above hasn't opened yet. If it breaks below 151.8, it’s likely to test 151.6 first; if that level doesn't hold, the short term could drop to 149.9 to find support.
In the short term, watch if the current price around 152.6 can hold. If it can't hold, treat the spike up and pullback as digestion and don't chase at this price. For those already holding, watch if the low of 151.8 today can hold as support; if not, consider reducing positions. For those looking to buy the dip, wait for a pullback and see if it can break above 158.2 before considering; don't catch a falling knife in midair. $SPCX Below is a more finance-news and value-increment oriented Chinese rewrite:
Crypto treasuries are increasing their holdings
🛒 Corporate crypto treasuries have started "shopping" again, and this time the scale is clearly significant.
Last week, multiple publicly listed companies expanded their digital asset reserves again:
🔸 Strategy resumed buying after about a two-week pause, adding 950 $BTC, bringing total holdings to approximately 846,000 BTC.
🔸 Strive bought another 1,355 $BTC during the same period, with corporate treasuries continuing to lean towards Bitcoin.
🔸 BitMine focused on Ethereum, adding about 27,562 $ETH in one go, with total holdings close to 5.98 million ETH, of which about 5.07 million are staked.
What truly deserves attention is not just "how much was bought," but that different companies are forming distinctly different treasury models:
🟠 BTC treasuries tend to be long-term value reserves and balance sheet allocations;
🔵 ETH treasuries, besides price exposure, can also earn native yield through staking.
This means corporate coin buying is evolving from simply "hoarding assets" to asset allocation + yield strategies + long-term treasury management.
What is more worth watching next is whether these companies' increased holdings can form sustained inflows aligned with spot ETF funds, and whether this treasury model can succeed in the long run.
#BTC87KCryptoCap3T #CryptoTreasuriesBuy #CostcoUnder extreme greed, is this surge of $PEPE driven by real money inflow or a short squeeze impulse? My judgment: slightly bullish, but it’s a "short squeeze" style rally, with both the risk of chasing highs and the risk of a spike increased.
First, look at the capital positioning. 24h +17.02%, trading volume 198.9M USDT, combined with a fear and greed index reading of 78 indicating extreme greed, shows that incremental funds are indeed pushing towards the bulls. MA5=5e-06 has crossed above MA20=4.99e-06, the short-term moving average structure turns bullish, which is a sign of continuous capital inflow. But note two divergence signals: RSI=56.0 is only neutral to slightly bullish, not yet overbought, indicating the rise is rapid but the indicators haven’t caught up; MACD histogram=-4.413e-08 is still negative, momentum not fully confirmed. More importantly, the upper Bollinger band at 5.23908e-06 is just overhead, current price 4.95e-06 is less than 6% below the upper band, with 30 candlesticks amplitude at 27.68%—under such high volatility structure, the probability of a quick pullback wiping out high-leverage longs is not low.
So my trading logic is: do not chase the highs, wait for a pullback. Entry reference is the 4.78e-06 to 4.86e-06 range, which is the support zone between the Bollinger middle band 4.99e-06 and lower band 4.74e-06, close to MA20 support; if the pullback does not break this, it means bullish funds are still defending the price.I didn't expect $SOXS to break even, but it directly brought me profits. This service is top-notch.
Entered short at 38.81, current price 35.76, +157.17% realized. Yesterday afternoon I was still wondering whether to exit early, now it seems completely unnecessary.
During the intraday fluctuations, SOXS faced obvious resistance above, selling pressure was heavy, and volume was low. I said at the time that this kind of structure rebound is an opportunity.
Closed 80% first, brothers pay attention to profits, move the stop loss of the remaining 20% to the cost price, if it continues to drop, let the profits run.
The premise of compounding is survival; the shortcut to getting rich quickly often leads to zero. Risk control done upfront is called rationality; cutting losses after losing is called decisive action.
Chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, and watch for new structures.
$BTC $SNDK #Strategy increases holdings again, treasury adds positions simultaneously
MicroStrategy buys 950 coins, MSCI asks if it counts as a company
▪️ MicroStrategy buys 950 coins, holding 846,000; Strive buys 1,355 coins to 26,355
▪️ BitMine buys 27,562 ETH, holding 5.98 million coins, 98% toward the 5% target
▪️ MSCI proposal: companies with operating assets less than half of total assets undergo five ratio reviews; failing four leads to removal
The disagreement isn't whether the treasury still buys, but that the "treasury" identity is being contested by both sides. MicroStrategy's digital assets account for 94.5%, with a threshold of 50%—it fails the first test, and by FY2025, all five criteria will be failed.
Their rebuttal is an accounting issue: they report the Bitcoin treasury as an "operating segment," recording profit and loss as operations, while "operating" and "non-operating" are undefined in GAAP.
Calendar milestones: 9/30 comment deadline, 10/16 decision, 11/11 announcement, 12/1 effective date.
On the other side is the company's own endpoint: BitMine says the 5% supply target is 98% complete—demands with endpoints come with expiration dates. MicroStrategy has no endpoint; the money is tied up in financing.
Outside converges, inside peaks. Do you bet on rules being set first, or targets being reached first?
$BTC $ETH $FIL is reviving today for old coins.
Today's rise follows the overall market. The real event is on October 15th 00:00 UTC, when FIL's six-year vesting period ends.
Currently, net new issuance is 309,000 FIL/day, with 187,000 from vesting unlocks. After the cliff, daily issuance will be cut by 60%, and annual inflation will drop from 21% to 2.35%. Hard supply switch.
But whose pockets is the money going into?
Filecoin Pay's annualized transaction volume grew from $663 in January to $59,327 by the end of August, with paying addresses increasing from 73 to 119. Growth is real, but the base is poor: five-figure volume supports an $824M market cap.
FIP-0118 Solstice is even harsher: block rewards are only issued if targets are met; if not, they are burned directly.
RSI on 4-hour and 1-day charts both show Sell Warnings; +28% has already priced in some of this.
The cliff is a real catalyst, but demand remains zero. A very important easing signal has just appeared in the Strait of Hormuz.
An Iranian senior official stated that if the US reduces military pressure and lifts the port blockade, Iran can reopen the strait within 7 days. After the news, WTI dropped to about $89, and Brent also fell below $98.
This is somewhat positive for BTC, but not because "the war is about to end," rather because the drop in oil prices will ease inflation and subsequent interest rate hike pressures.
BTC is currently still around 86K, not rushing to surge on the news. Next, I am mainly watching two things: whether the US responds, and whether the oil price decline can continue.
Currently, it is just a diplomatic window opening, not yet an agreement being finalized.
$BTC #特朗普将会晤海湾六国，伊朗局势迎关键节点 $AMD surged past one trillion, what’s next?
Let me put it this way first: don’t rush to get excited at this level. Brothers, AMD’s move is indeed fierce, with its market cap surpassing $1 trillion for the first time, and the stock price once hitting around 627. The gain this year is already close to 185%. Who wouldn’t be envious of such a trend? But the problem also arises: chasing new highs after continuous rallies might earn you the last leg of profit, but you could also bear the brunt of the upcoming correction.
The logic behind this rise isn’t complicated: data center business is clearly accelerating, major client demand continues, and market expectations for future growth keep rising.
However, short-term market sentiment has started to diverge. Unable to break through 627, selling pressure emerged, and now it’s back near 610. Going forward, I’m actually more focused on the 600 level.
My approach is simple: if you’re already in, protect your profits with stop-loss and let the gains run; if you haven’t entered yet, don’t fear missing out, wait for a pullback near 600. If 600 holds steady, I’ll start considering building long positions, with the first target around 615; if 600 can’t hold, don’t rush to buy, there’s still room below, wait for a clear bottoming signal before acting. #AMD市值突破1万亿美元，芯片股集体大涨 #美债短端供给或增万亿美元 Term Structure Radar
$BTC annualized basis increases with maturity: the near, mid, and far-term annualized basis are +1.63%/+4.88%/+5.17% respectively; the near-term contract's raw spread relative to the index is +$11.0. The far-term annualized basis is higher than the near-term, indicating higher annualized relative pricing with longer maturities.
$ETH annualized pricing at three maturities is not monotonic: the near, mid, and far-term annualized basis are +15.71%/+4.34%/+4.57% respectively; the near-term contract's raw spread relative to the index is +$3.37. The mid-term maturity breaks the monotonic pattern, and the difference between near and far terms does not fully describe the entire curve.
$SOL annualized basis decreases with maturity: the near, mid, and far-term annualized basis are +8.73%/+2.14%/+1.25% respectively; the near-term contract's raw spread relative to the index is +$0.08. The near-term annualized basis is higher than the far-term, with higher annualized pricing concentrated near term.
BTC, ETH, SOL: all three maturities are in contango.🚨 $BTC — First look at the structure, no rush to chase
The current trend remains strong, with BTC once surging to about $87.3K, then pulling back to around $85.5K–$86K. The recent rise has been driven by spot ETF inflows and short covering, but after the rapid surge, short-term volatility has also clearly increased.
The price has already reached the POI area I was originally watching ahead of time, but the order flow has not yet shown obvious signs of weakening.
For me, capital flow and price action are more important than a single price level.
As long as buyers can continue to push the price to new highs without clear absorption, momentum decay, or declining upward efficiency, I won’t rush to short just because the price arrived early.
📍 Current key points: • $87K: short-term resistance/liquidity zone
• $85K: first observation level
• $82K–$83K: more important structural support zone
• Only if the order flow truly weakens will I consider adjusting my approach
🎯 This is not a top prediction, but waiting for trigger conditions.
Either capital flow confirms weakness, or I patiently wait for my entry signal.
#BTC #Bitcoin #BTC87K #Crypto #DailyOrbit Costco's earnings report is about to be released, so why is the crypto community focused on roast chicken sales?
Costco doesn't stockpile Bitcoin, nor does it accept $BTC payments, yet its earnings report has become a sentiment barometer for the crypto world. The reason isn't the roast chicken itself, but the consumers behind those roast chickens.
If Americans are still buying cars full of toilet paper, roast chicken, and daily necessities, it means wallets still have resilience, consumption isn't weak, and inflation won't cool down quickly. The Federal Reserve will be more hesitant to cut interest rates, and after liquidity easing expectations are suppressed, risk assets like Bitcoin naturally suffer.
Conversely, if the earnings report reveals cooling consumption, expectations for rate cuts will rise, and the market will bet in advance on monetary easing. Once liquidity expectations loosen, Bitcoin often rallies first as a salute, even moving contrary to fundamentals.
So the crypto community watches Costco not to study retail, but to use it to judge whether Americans' wallets are still full and whether the Fed's liquidity tap will loosen. Roast chicken is just the surface; liquidity is the core.
$BTC
#财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
#Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 Reminder of the risk: BTC rose 1.61% to 85871, but the resistance at 87374 has not been broken. Chasing higher at this level is very risky; if it fails to break through and pulls back to 84493, that's a 1400-point drop. I have a small 5000U long position with a stop loss at 84493, and will exit at 87374. Currently recovering from a 200,000U loss, I'd rather miss out than chase higher. $BTC #How comfortable it was to take profit on the last big Bitcoin trade is exactly how painful this short position is now 🥲 Opened short at 83,089.4, screenshot taken at 86,036.4, the page shows a single contract floating profit and loss rate of -354.67%, and it’s still not closed.
This trade aimed to catch a pullback after a rebound. From a bearish perspective, the Fed’s 25 basis point rate hike on September 16, raising the rate range to 3.75%–4%, indeed made me doubt how long the rally could last. But that’s already public information; it’s not something to explain every day’s drop anew.
On the other hand, on September 21, the US Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net inflow of about $999 million, so buying didn’t cool off as I had hoped. High interest rates can be a resistance to price increases, but they’re not a switch that forbids upward movement. I think the easiest mistake here is to interpret “this environment isn’t suitable for continuous rises” directly as “it’s worth shorting now.” There’s a key missing piece: whether the buyers have really started to exit.
Looking at the pending orders, the take-profit shown on the chart is 83,000, almost right at the average open price of 83,089.4. Seeing this, I have to ask myself: am I still trading a justified downtrend, or has it become just “let me exit when it comes back”?
And based on the static calculation from the screenshot, the estimated forced liquidation price at 88,092.2 is only about 2.4% above, which is the more immediate issue to address. Now is the time to reduce the short position and clarify the exit conditions for the remaining position, rather than pinning all hopes on breaking even.💰🚨 Bitcoin held strong and pumped despite 4–5 big bearish headlines hitting the market.
But if a bigger bearish catalyst hits, the current strength may not hold.
$BTC is also looking overbought on some timeframes, while significant downside leverage has built up, if it starts unwinding, the move could be sharp.
Considering this, we’re currently swing short on BTC, ETH, SOL & BNB.
#TrumpGulfIranTalks
#ZEC38KShortClosed
#CryptoCapReclaims2.8T A clear rotation from macro-driven large caps into infrastructure narratives like $LINK and $AVAX would likely emerge only if on-chain activity on decentralized finance and Layer 2 networks starts printing sustained higher highs in the coming days. The logic is straightforward: when speculative capital chases yield, restaking, and scaling stories, it tends to funnel first into the tokens that underpin those systems, ahead of the underlying protocols themselves. For $LINK, that means watching oraSaudi Arabia restarts the East-West oil pipeline, Brent and WTI both plunge.
On September 22, international oil prices continued to decline, with WTI crude futures falling more than 2% to $90.4 per barrel, and Brent crude futures dropping 1.05% to $95.2 per barrel. According to three informed sources, Saudi Arabia has restarted operations of the East-West oil pipeline, which may resume oil exports from the Red Sea port of Yanbu on Tuesday night.
This pipeline restart is a key turning point for oil price sentiment. Previously, the pipeline was shut down due to an attack, raising market concerns that Saudi Arabia's alternative export route bypassing the Strait of Hormuz was blocked, pushing Brent prices up to $106. Now with the pipeline restarted, combined with the Iranian president attending the UN General Assembly in New York and Trump not ruling out a meeting, signals of diplomatic easing in the Middle East have emerged intensively, causing the geopolitical risk premium to quickly recede.
However, supply-side pressures have not truly eased. The pipeline is currently operating at low capacity, and Saudi Aramco has notified at least two European refinery customers that no crude oil will be allocated next month. Saudi oil exports in August fell to about 3 million barrels per day, the lowest in at least nine years. Although the throughput at the Strait of Hormuz has rebounded to a six-month high, the inherent fragility of the alternative route means limited supply buffer space.
For traders, the price spread logic between Brent and WTI is being repriced. Previously, Brent was more sensitive to Middle East developments due to its status as the global maritime crude oil benchmark, leading to a significant premium expansion; now with geopolitical tensions cooling, Brent's premium squeeze effect is also faster. The next move in oil prices depends on the progress of pipeline repairs and whether the UN General Assembly meetings produce substantive signals. $CL $BZ On-chain data becomes increasingly clear: large funds are quietly positioning themselves.
$BTC $ETH $UNI
BTC: On Monday, the spot ETF saw a net inflow of nearly 1 billion USD in a single day, marking the highest recent inflow record. Institutions continue to accumulate, which is the core confidence behind BTC's steady strength.
ETH: Tom Lee's Bitmine increased its ETH holdings by $75.29 million this week. Total holdings reached $16.4 billion, about 6 million ETH. Of these, 85% are staked and locked, accounting for 4.9% of Ethereum's total supply, just shy of 5%. The circulating ETH will only decrease.
UNI: On-chain monitoring detected 3 newly created wallets that collectively bought 782,100 UNI, valued at nearly $6.97 million. Many tokens were withdrawn from major exchanges. Withdrawals from exchanges usually indicate long-term holding rather than short-term trading.
Conclusion: Institutions are snapping up BTC, whales are locking ETH, and funds are positioning in UNI. Capital is being deployed across the entire sector in batches, not just speculating on a single coin.
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
#Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓
#SEC代币化股票创新豁免落地，UNI盘中涨超21% 7. Core Risk Warnings
1. The liquidation danger zone of over 2.7 billion long positions below is the biggest risk: If BTC falls below $82,125, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $2.734 billion, which is 2.4 times the short fuel above ($1.122 billion). The downside risk far outweighs the upside opportunity.
2. On-chain activity not keeping pace with price gains is the deepest hidden danger: New and active addresses are only at the near two-month average level, and transactions over $100,000 are only 1.18 times normal. The price is rising, but no new participants are entering — this is a leverage-driven rally, not a bull market fueled by new capital.
3. Exchange reserves rising to a yearly high while OTC reserves hit a historic low creates a contradiction: Binance reserves have surpassed 700,100 coins, with total exchange reserves around 702,900 coins (the highest this year); however, OTC reserves have plunged 75% to 123,000 coins. Some long-term holders may be transferring assets to exchanges to prepare for selling rather than continuing cold storage.
4. Extremely thin liquidity amplifies volatility risk: The buy-sell depth ratio is only 0.21, with the total depth of the top 5 levels about 0.13 BTC. Any medium-sized order could trigger severe price swings, so a 2.91% price increase should not be overinterpreted under low liquidity.
5. RSI is overbought at 86.88, and the risk of a pullback to the 50-EMA ($80,144) is real: The price is testing the upper Bollinger Band at $86,215.7, and technical indicators suggest a possible pullback to $80,144 before resuming the rise.
6. PCE and employment data lie ahead: The PCE on September 30 and the employment report on October 2 will determine whether this rebound is a "technical correction" or a "trend reversal" final answer. $BTC $ETH $DOGE #Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 $BTC surged to around 87,000, then retreated back to about 85,600 on OKX spot during the midday session.
This move looks more like a short-term short squeeze pushing the price up: the past day saw a high proportion of short liquidations, and the price pulled back a bit from the intraday high. Institutional side net bought about $180 million BTC this week in listed companies, but spot ETF weekly net inflows are actually quite thin — Friday patch-up doesn't mean continuous accumulation.
#OKX.ai $34.5 million worth of ETH just left a certain platform. What does this number hide behind it? Have you noticed the recent rhythm of large on-chain withdrawals? I've been watching this transfer for a long time. An internal wallet outside the exchange withdrew ETH worth $34.5 million from the platform, and the timing of the withdrawal highly overlaps with previous purchase points. The on-chain address overlaps with the purchase address, most likely the same group of people. But what really made me stop is another set of numbers: Bitmine has marked 978 million ETH on-chain, and nearly 10 billion ETH is in staking. What does this mean? The freely circulating chips are actually much less than many people think. Most people only see "whale withdrawals" and shout bullish, but I think what's more worth watching here is the sentiment on the derivatives side. Staking lock-up has taken away some of the spot selling pressure, but the positions and funding rates in the contract market are the real switches for short-term rhythm. If the withdrawal party only transfers the coins into a cold wallet, then the direct buying pressure on the market is almost zero, more of a signal of sentiment. Conversely, if this batch of ETH is used as collateral to borrow stablecoins or structured arrangements are made off-exchange, it could instead become potential selling pressure. The bullish path is clear: fewer circulating chips, staking ratio continues to rise, and once spot buying returns, price elasticity will increase. The bearish risk lies in derivatives—if funding rates remain positive and long positions are crowded, a single spike can trigger a chain squeeze, washing out those chasing highs. I will focus on two things: first,First, let's look at what happened last night. Meta surged 11.43%, adding about $190 billion in market value in a single day. AMD rose 9.95%, with its stock price breaking through $613, and its total market value surpassing $1 trillion for the first time. Intel rose over 12%, Arm over 17%. And Nvidia? It only rose 2.30%. Got it? That night, all the gains were on the CPU side. An app that launched just two weeks ago ignited the CPU market. On September 8, Meta released a personal AI assistant called Muse, which topped the US App Store free chart on its 10th day, surpassing ChatGPT and Claude. After 13 days, the app had about 2.6 million downloads across the web, with about 1.5 million on iOS. Muse is different from previous chatbots. Before, you asked and it answered; now it can open browsers on its own, click web pages for you, and execute tasks across platforms. Meta assigns each user a dedicated virtual machine running in the cloud, equipped with 2 vCPUs, 8GB of memory, and 100GB of storage. What does this mean? Previously, AI consumed computing power mainly with GPUs calculating tokens. But Agents are different—they open browsers, run sandboxes, and schedule tools, all of which rely on CPUs. Analysis estimates that in Agent scenarios, the CPU-to-GPU ratio could shift from the current 1:4 to 4:1 or even higher. If Muse's user base expands to 100 million, just the CPUs alone would require about 1.58 million units. If only 10% After 87500, bearish voices have increased again. Some say it will return to 40,000, while others are waiting for a deep correction to get back in. This article clarifies two questions: how deep this correction will be, and why I judge it to be shallower than the previous one. First, let's look at the position of this round. The trend recovery target is between 85,000 and 90,000; 87,500 has already stepped into the upper edge of this range. Two upward segments, one from 6,700 to 6,800 points and another around 7,000 points, have completed equal distances, placing 87,500 in the reversal zone. The reversal zone is not the top, but it indicates that this upward phase is entering its final stage. If a correction really happens, what is the limit? In the previous box range, each correction was about 5%. A 5% drop from 87,500 is exactly 82,000 to 83,000, and this range is also the top of the previous box, a double confirmation of position. My judgment is that the adjustment will end here, between 82,000 and 83,000. To directly break below 80,000, multiple tops need to form at the high level first, and sentiment needs time to shift from one side to the other. Gains at the ten-thousand-point level rarely break through the gate; after accelerated rises, an immediate deep reversal is a low-probability event within the trend. Why will this correction be shallower than the last? The previous bear-to-bull transition had a large correction of 15% to 20% midway because most chips were still underwater then. This time is different; on-chain data is very clear: Glassnode's proportion of market-wide profitable chips was about 45% near the lowest point of 16,000 in the last bear market, and at the lowest price of 57,800 this time, it was 47%. The two major bottoms overlap, indicating that the bottom area chips...BTC surged to 87.4K today and has now pulled back to around 86K.
The biggest question this morning was how much of this move came from short squeezes. The answer is a bit clearer now: over $800 million in shorts were liquidated in the past 24 hours, but on Monday, the US spot BTC ETF recorded nearly $1 billion in net inflows.
So this rally isn’t purely leveraged; real money is indeed coming in.
However, the macro environment isn’t easy. Oil prices have climbed back above $100, US Treasury yields are nearing 5%, and expectations for further Fed rate hikes are rising.
Tonight, I’m mainly watching if 85K–86K can hold. If the positions after the rally can be digested here, it’s healthier than pushing straight up to 90K.
$BTC #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 $GRASS $BTC $ETH GRASS: Up 18%, market cap 300 million but only 67.7% in circulation. Current price 0.4406, 24h +18.44%, trading volume 2.92 million USD. Volume expanded 10.62 times. Technicals: 1-hour and daily charts both bullish. 1-hour RSI 60.6, daily RSI 72.8. 7-day range 0.3006 to 0.4666, current price at 84.3% position, resistance above at 0.461934, 4.8% away; 1-hour moving average 0.422823 (-4.0%), EMA50 0.395959 (-10.1%). ATR 4.6%. On-chain dynamics: GRASS is an SPL token on Solana, with two key on-chain figures—market cap about 300.07 million USD, fully diluted valuation (FDV) about 443.22 million USD. The ratio of these two numbers is 67.7%. Meaning: currently only about two-thirds of tokens are in circulation, about 32% (worth approximately 143 million USD) remain unreleased. This is the so-called "unlock pressure"—it won't immediately crash the market, but it is a clear fact written on-chain and in the contract: the market will need to continuously absorb this new supply over time. The on-chain transaction structure is also worth noting: DEX 24-hour trading volume about 1.28 million USD, liquidity about The higher the market rises, the more you need to control your impulses
In these nearly ten thousand point market moves over the past three days, the most dangerous thing is not missing out, but watching others flaunt their profits and then increasing your leverage and trading frequency. In a bull market, over 80% of the time is spent consolidating and shaking out positions. Most of the huge profits shown won't survive the next correction.
The 87500 level is already in the reversal zone, but this is not a reason to call the top. If a correction really happens, the extreme target is between 82000 and 83000. Don't get itchy before it reaches that point.
Do what you are capable of doing; this phrase is more valuable than any price level. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 AMD's market value surged past 1 trillion dollars overnight. Why is BTC likely to benefit first, rather than AI tokens?
On that day, AMD rose nearly 10%, pushing its market cap over the trillion-dollar mark overnight. Intel, Qualcomm, and other chip stocks also rallied collectively. On the surface, it looks like the AI market is heating up again, but I’m more focused on another signal:
Even with interest rates and external risks not exactly easing, capital is still willing to pay a premium for "certain growth."
This is generally positive for the crypto market. Because after risk appetite in the US stock market recovers, some funds may continue flowing into high-volatility assets like BTC. But the sequence is unlikely to be a free-for-all; it’s more probable that BTC is bought first, then projects with real revenue and users are sought.
The chip stocks’ rise depends on orders, computing power demand, and profit expectations. Crypto AI projects wanting to ride the wave must answer three questions: Are their products actually used? Where does the revenue come from? Can the tokens truly capture value?
If it’s just adding AI to the name, it might rise during hype, but usually falls faster when funds retreat.
AMD sells chips worth a trillion dollars.
Some crypto projects have changed their descriptions three times and are also aiming for a trillion.
One delivers GPUs, another delivers PPTs.
#AMD市值突破1万亿美元，芯片股集体大涨 $XRP Last night my hand trembled slightly when setting the stop loss, and this morning I realized it was an unnecessary act of filial piety.
When the screen was full of green, XRP didn’t continue to break down; instead, it hovered at the bottom, with funds quietly entering and selling pressure easing. I advised going long around 1.5156, reasoning that it was consolidating at the bottom without breaking the level, so as long as there was support below, just let it run on its own.
This morning when I checked the market, the price rose from 1.5156 to 1.5354, a return of +131.3%, really satisfying, the previous endurance was worth it. The wait was not in vain, this move was well executed.
The market punishes all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they are the smartest. Being out of position is not a sin; recklessly opening positions is the mistake.
I took profits on 70% first, keeping the remaining 30% at cost price for protection. Don’t be greedy for the last bit; if it continues to rise, let the profits run, and if it falls back, don’t let the gains become uncomfortable. For friends who haven’t entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in, wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, and patiently await good news.
$SOL $SNDK After trading for so long, the biggest insight is: don't treat trading like gambling on highs or lows. BTC is currently at 85871, resistance at 87374, support at 84493; no one knows if it will rise or fall tomorrow. But you know where to set your stop loss, where to take profit, and how much position to hold—that's enough. Lost 200,000 U and recovering now, currently a small 5000 U position, executing at the right time. Trading is not about prediction, it's about response. $BTC #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 Below is the reorganized version of the Chinese financial news flash, emphasizing the logic of "capital effects after index inclusion + fundamental verification + industry cycle judgment":
Writing
📊 Sandisk enters the S&P 100: After capital push, fundamentals are the next test
On the eve of Sandisk's official inclusion in the S&P 100 index, its stock price surged 10.99% in a single day, but after passive funds completed allocation on September 21, the stock price actually retreated about 1.4%.
This actually provides a noteworthy observation window:
👉 Can the passive buying brought by index inclusion be converted into sustained fundamental support?
Compared to short-term stock price fluctuations, what deserves more attention now is Sandisk's FY2026 data center business — revenue growth year-over-year as high as 437%, showing that AI infrastructure and data storage demand are becoming important growth drivers.
Next, Micron's September 30 earnings report may become a key validation point.
If Micron also releases strong signals of data center and storage demand, the market may further judge: this is not only Sandisk's own growth but an improvement in the entire storage industry cycle.
Conversely, if industry data shows significant divergence, the market will need to reassess how much of Sandisk's current growth comes from the company itself rather than the overall industry prosperity.
📌 Index funds are catalysts; performance growth is the sustainability test.
#Sandisk SanDisk Tonight: Bearish Bias
Straight to the conclusion — the direction tonight is bearish, rebounds are selling opportunities, not reasons to buy.
Reason 1: 1832 was not surpassed, technicals are weakening. Yesterday the high reached 1834 but was pushed back to close at 1766. RSI at 65.57 is near overbought, ADX only 21.60 — a typical "weak trend" signal. Volume shrinks as it approaches resistance, indicating no fresh buying power from bulls. On the 5-hour chart, the 1760-1780 range has very poor odds for longs, considered a "no-trade zone."
Reason 2: The CEO is selling, and it's for real cash. Chairman and CEO Goeckeler sold 33,841 shares through 15 transactions on September 17, cashing out about $53.27 million. Note, this is not a "planned sale," but a completed Form 4 filing. Management choosing to cash out at this price level is more straightforward than any technical indicator.
Reason 3: Sector divergence pre-market, SanDisk is the weakest. Micron down 0.5%, SK Hynix down 0.5%, SanDisk only up 0.5% pre-market, failing to outperform peers. Also, Brent crude oil has climbed back above $102, overall risk appetite is under pressure, and uncertainty before the Trump-Xi meeting is suppressing chip stocks.
Watch tonight: If 1760 does not hold after the open, next support is at 1730 — breaking 1730 means the breakout attempt failed, and the bears' target directly points to 1630. $SNDK Why am I shorting Bitcoin?
First, there are no positive signals. The "Clarity Act" did not pass, the September rate hike took effect, and the only action boosting market confidence is the continuous large net inflows from institutions and whale on-chain withdrawals. But keep in mind, they also chase rallies and sell off; once FOMO is ignited, beware of a dump. October 11 is the best example (it plunged from 126,000 to 100,000 in just 4 days).
Second, even next month's expectations are very high. I don't know when the next era of quantitative easing will arrive; I only know the current trend is tightening.
The lower limit of shorting is zero; the theoretical upper limit of going long is infinity.
Personally, I understand the former as earning time on the left side; the latter as earning space on the right side.
After August 19, it's been tough for bears every day, but I believe the truth is not far away.
Today is Tuesday, continuing to watch for a pullback. I mentioned before the major resistance at 830-860; it broke through on Monday, so I took a break. Next, it may be quiet for a while, but I will definitely come back.
If within the next month, the weekly level can stabilize above the key watershed at 850, I will turn without hesitation. Before that, expect high-level oscillation around 5,000 points, and Ethereum around 400 points.$TAO and BTC continue to break through, market risk appetite rises, AI narrative track returns to the spotlight, and TAO welcomes a second wave of rally. After the initial heat subsided and a deep adjustment, institutional funds are refocusing on the AI track under the bull market environment. Recently, the number of subnets has increased, computing power continues to grow, trading activity has surged significantly, and the willingness for capital relay is very strong.
This type of tech narrative asset has strong bull market explosive power but huge volatility. In the early years, I lost most of my profits due to greed and not cutting losses on AI track coins during a pullback, so now I strictly control position size to participate, enjoy the track dividends, and never heavily bet on the market. If the market remains strong in the next two to three days, TAO is very likely to continue to surge, so set profit-taking points in advance and do not insist on hitting the highest point.#BTC surged to $87000, total crypto market cap returns to 3 trillion
Short positions liquidated 920 million, leverage actually increased by 2 billion
▪️ BTC intraday high 87,381, an 8-month high, now pulled back to 85,100
▪️ Total crypto market cap returns to 3 trillion, perpetual open interest rises to nearly 160 billion
▪️ ETF outflows of 746 million in the previous two days, inflows of 593 million on Thursday and Friday
The disagreement isn’t about "whether to chase this rally," but whether liquidations wiped out positions or just margin. Lucas from BTC Markets said it plainly: a short squeeze usually destroys open contracts, but this time it didn’t — positions were immediately replaced.
The new 2 billion is leverage, not money, roughly 3.4 times the ETF’s two-day net inflow. Open interest is rising faster than price — on 10/10 last year, the crash happened after leverage piled up, about 19 billion positions were liquidated.
ETF investors’ average cost is 82,225, just back to paper profits, this is the first falsifiable point in this rally. Nansen says the speed of price turning bullish has already outpaced positions; whether 87,000 and 90,000 count depends on whether spot and ETF can keep up.
Forced buying is exhausted. Do you bet spot will fill the gap, or that leverage will collapse first? $BTC
so far so good
Price front-ran my ideal POI for now, but I’m not seeing meaningful weakness in the order flow yet.
That matters more than the level itself. As long as buyers keep getting rewarded and there’s no clear absorption / loss of progress,
Still watching the same zone
Either flows confirm weakness, or i wait for my trigger
#BTC87KCryptoCap3T $AXTI $AXTI This chart is quite interesting, jumping up and down around 78, with no news outside, purely relying on the order book to bite each other. The trading volume is not small, a typical move of funds aggressively pushing up and down. It's hard to say if the scythe has been raised, but chasing in at this position is really not cost-effective. Personally, I'll wait for a pullback and won't touch this hot potato, going light and not getting carried away. The candlestick can deceive people even more than the news. What do you think, is this a shakeout or is it really going down? 👇👇👇CRCL (Circle) Analysis on September 22
CRCL: Listed on the NYSE, Circle is the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, stock ticker CRCL, commonly known as the first stablecoin stock.
Market Overview
Current price about $116.3, +4.7% in 24 hours; cumulative increase about 12% this week, market cap about $30 billion.
This round of rise is highly correlated with Bitcoin's short squeeze rebound, with the crypto sector's US stocks collectively strengthening, and Coinbase rising simultaneously.
Fundamentals
1. Main Business
Core product USDC, the world's second largest US dollar stablecoin. 95% of the company's revenue comes from interest generated by buying US Treasury bonds with USDC reserves, essentially highly tied to US Treasury yields and Federal Reserve interest rate policies.
Interest rate hike cycle benefits Circle: the higher the rate, the higher the Treasury interest income, the better the earnings report profit; if rates fall in the future, interest income will directly decline, which is the biggest fundamental risk.
2. New Growth Point: ARC Public Chain
Circle is launching its own layer-one public chain ARC, focusing on asset tokenization and cross-border payments, aiming to move away from solely earning interest and transform into a Web3 infrastructure company. September is a critical window for ARC mainnet launch, which is the main theme of this round of speculation. The progress of ARC launch will determine whether the mid-term valuation can open up.
3. Significant Institutional Divergence
- Bullish investment bank Bernstein target price $190, optimistic about global stablecoin expansion and ARC ecosystem implementation.
- Bearish JPMorgan target price $80, viewpoint: business overly reliant on Treasury interest.#BTC surged to $87000, and the total crypto market cap returned to 3 trillion. Many people are calling for a bull comeback with today's rally. I, on the other hand, feel that now is actually the easiest time to lose money.
$BTC has climbed back above 85,000, $ETH broke through a key resistance level, and the entire market saw over 1 billion liquidations in 24 hours, most of which were short positions. Short-term sentiment ignited instantly, and the group chat is in a frenzy again.
But what really matters is not the price, but where the money is flowing. With Ethereum strengthening, high Beta tokens like SUI and DOGE are starting to catch up, indicating that risk appetite is indeed recovering. However, the faster the rise, the greater the volatility, and those chasing the rally panic at the slightest pullback.
My own rule is simple: chasing highs is easy, holding positions is harder. During the Fed's rate hikes, when BTC dropped near 75,000, I advised holding 76,000 and aiming for 84,000. Now that 84,000 is surpassed and 85,000 is held, the gains have been made. But the more this happens, the less I want to chase.
In a bull market, you make money on the trend, not on emotions. Don't go all in because of one bullish candle, and don't doubt the bull market is over because of one bearish candle. Manage your position size well, lock in profits, and let the market take its course. Are you chasing now or waiting for a pullback? Let's discuss in the comments.
#AMD market cap surpasses 1 trillion, chip stocks rally collectively
#ZEC giant whale closes 38,000 short positions, losing over 35 million dollars What allows BTC to remain relatively resistant to decline amid extreme greed? The answer lies in the relative strength compared horizontally within the same sector—$BTC 24h +1.57%, while $ENA -7.71%, $UNI -2.22%. In the same long-crowded environment with positive funding rates, BTC is the only one closing higher; this is the answer chosen by capital.
From a technical perspective, $BTC current price is 85939.1, with MA5=85933 and MA20=85993.9 almost overlapping, price consolidating narrowly along the moving averages. Bollinger Bands have tightened to 85085.1–86902.7, with 30 candlesticks showing a volatility of only 6.98%, the most convergent among the three candidates; RSI=60.7 is in a neutral to slightly strong zone, not reaching overbought; MACD histogram = -158, although negative, price has not broken down, indicating a typical low-volume pullback rather than a trend reversal. The real risk signal comes from sentiment: the Fear and Greed Index at 78 is in extreme greed, funding rate +0.0075%, long positions pay a high cost, so chasing highs requires caution.
Directionally, I lean bullish but only trade on pullbacks, not chasing highs. Recently, listed companies have once again triggered "treasury accumulation" actions, and the logic of institutional coin holding is undergoing changes. 📌 Strategy's latest disclosure shows the company added about 950 BTC, bringing total holdings to 846,000 BTC, with an investment of approximately $75.7 million this round. (Strategy) 📌 Strive continued to increase by about 1,355 BTC during the same period, raising holdings to about 26,355 BTC, and the pace of corporate treasury expansion remains noteworthy. (The Block) 📌 BitMine also saw a large increase in ETH holdings, adding about 27,562 ETH in the latest week, with total holdings reaching about 5.984 million ETH, of which over 5.067 million ETH have been staked. The company currently holds about 4.9% of the ETH supply, very close to its 5% target. (The Block) 🔥 What truly deserves attention is not how much a single company bought in a week, but whether: corporate treasuries + ETF funds can form a sustained dual capital inflow? If companies continue to absorb BTC and ETH, while ETF funds also maintain net inflows, then the tradable supply in the market may gradually decrease, and changes in supply and demand could become an important variable for subsequent market trends. However, there is also a key question here: ⚠️ After the price rises, can companies maintain the current pace of purchasing? The 950 BTC scale from Strategy this time is obviously lower #BTC surges to $87000, total crypto market cap returns to 3 trillion The total crypto market cap has climbed back above the $3 trillion mark. BTC leads the charge, with major assets like ETH, SOL, and XRP following upward. ETF funds, after continuous outflows, are flowing back in; shorts have been liquidated, and new leverage is flooding in wildly.
But let me tell you, despite the market's fiery momentum, this wave of structure already hides dangers. Shorts have been fully liquidated, and now it's the bulls' turn.
Looking at these coins separately: BTC is supported by ETFs and institutional base positions, making it the most stable, but heavy selling pressure above means the rally and pullback indicate profit-taking; chasing highs is easy to get cut down. ETH rises along but its staking yield still can't compete with US Treasury bonds, a persistent issue; its rise is purely a tide lifting all boats, rising slowly and falling fast. SOL has high volatility and on-chain ecosystem support, but as a high-beta asset, if the market weakens, it will be the first to get trampled in a bull stampede. XRP is relatively stable, but when funds don't deliberately chase it, its gains are sluggish.
The core question now is whether the new leveraged positions can hold. If the rally falters, a bull stampede could happen anytime.
My stance is clear. If you have short-term profits, lock them in. You can try shorting, but only with light positions and tight stop losses; exit at the first sign of pullback, never hold stubbornly. Protect your principal and wait for this wave of leverage to be cleaned out before making moves. Don't give back all your previous gains during the peak of the frenzy. $BTC $ETH $SOL Account Position Divergence Radar
$WIF top accounts are more bearish in number, but long-biased in position distribution: top accounts long-short ratio is 0.565, top positions long-short ratio is 1.136; overall market accounts long-short ratio is 1.955; price dropped 1.56%, position value changed -0.74%.
$DOGE top accounts are more bullish in number, but short-biased in position distribution: top accounts long-short ratio is 1.468, top positions long-short ratio is 0.820; overall market accounts long-short ratio is 2.460; price dropped 0.47%, position value changed -0.91%.
$WLD top accounts are more bullish in number, but short-biased in position distribution: top accounts long-short ratio is 1.135, top positions long-short ratio is 0.857; overall market accounts long-short ratio is 2.560; price dropped 0.63%, position value changed +0.18%.
WIF, DOGE, WLD: The side dominant in account numbers is opposite to the side dominant in positions, indicating divergence between account structure and position distribution.
DOGE, WLD: The overall market account structure is long-biased, which also differs from the top position bias.Circle Sells Binance $100 Million Stock at a Discount: Five-Year Incentive ≠ More Interest in Your Wallet
Circle filed an 8-K today: On September 17, it renewed the USDC promotion agreement with Binance for five years and simultaneously sold $100 million worth of stock at a discount. Don't misunderstand this as "Binance controlling" or "your wallet's USDC immediately gaining an incentive."
The agreement states: For USDC held by Circle's modular smart contract wallet infrastructure, Circle will pay Binance a monthly incentive fee proportionally; the two old agreements from November 2024 and August 2025 will be voided. During the five-year term, either party can terminate early upon agreed events.
Private placement on the same day: 1,237,011 Class A shares at $80.84 each, totaling $100 million, discounted relative to the pre-close market price, and the transaction has closed. The stock is generally locked until two years after delivery—or Binance may terminate the commercial agreement under certain conditions—but exceptions exist for related party transfers or tender offers. The private placement is unregistered and not available for follow-on investment via the app.
My takeaway: Big players use incentives for reconciliation; retail investors should not interpret the equity news as an airdrop signal. 🔥 SHORTS ARE UNDER PRESSURE
$BTC, $ETH and $SOL are pushing higher, and late shorts are getting caught.
But I’m not ready to call this a trend change yet.
Was this just liquidations helping price move higher, or are buyers actually taking control?
The next pullback should tell us more. If buyers defend the move, that matters more than the squeeze itself.
#BTC87KCryptoCap3T
#CryptoTreasuriesBuy With today's surge, many people are once again shouting "The bull market is back." I actually feel that now is the easiest time to lose money.
BTC has reclaimed $85,000, ETH has broken through a key resistance level, and the entire crypto market has seen widespread short liquidations, with over $1 billion liquidated in 24 hours, the vast majority being shorts. Short-term sentiment was instantly ignited.
What really deserves attention is not the price, but the flow of funds. ETH strengthening, and high Beta assets like SUI and DOGE starting to catch up, indicate that market risk appetite is recovering, but the faster the rise, the greater the volatility.
My only rule is this: chasing highs is easy, holding positions is harder. In a bull market, you make money from the trend, not from emotions. Don’t go all in because of a single bullish candle, and don’t doubt the bull market is over because of a single bearish candle.
#BTC #ETH #SUI #OKB #cryptocurrency
@cz_binance @VitalikButerin @SuiNetwork @OKX @CoinDeskHere's my trading plan: BTC is currently at 85871, with resistance at 87374 above and support at 84493 below. The plan is simple: if it pulls back to around 84493 and stops falling, I'll open a small long position with 5000U, setting a stop loss below 84493; if it rallies to 87374 but can't break through, I'll reduce my position, and if it breaks through, I'll add more. No guessing the direction, just following the plan. I'm recovering from a 200,000U loss, so I won't hold positions without stop losses. Writing down the trading plan is a hundred times better than making snap decisions during the session. $BTC #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 $BTC has surged this much, and there are still people blindly chasing longs?
Wake up!!!
Be careful not to get trapped again
Don't be afraid
Keep shorting for me
The daily range 86000-90600
It's not ordinary resistance, it's a minefield, an options wall, profit-taking zone, and sentiment zone all waiting for you.
Chasing longs here is like running into the barrel of a gun
The key watershed is just one:
80000. If the price is above it, the fifth wave isn't over yet, bulls can still tussle repeatedly
Once it breaks down effectively, don't be stubborn, a major correction might just be starting.
Currently, volume, funding rates, and ETF inflows are all fighting
$ETH
My approach:
Only observe near resistance zones, don't catch falling knives
Watch the structure above 80000, adjust with the trend if it breaks down.
The market can deceive, but positions won't.
For this BTC wave, the short position is still held, no participation in longs today
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
#Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 Here's a version with a stronger "Financial News + Crypto Influencer" vibe, tighter logic, and more obvious information increments:
Earnings Watch
🔥 Costco's earnings haven't landed yet, but the crypto world is already eyeing that "roast chicken"!
Costco neither stocks $BTC nor accepts Bitcoin payments, so why does the market still pay attention every time their earnings come out?
Because what they’re really selling isn’t roast chicken, but the temperature of the American consumer’s wallet. 👀
If Costco’s performance is strong and consumption remains robust, it means American households still have the capacity to keep shopping. The stronger the consumption resilience, the greater the pressure against inflation easing, and the Fed’s room to cut rates may be limited.
Conversely, if the earnings show consumption cooling off, the market might reprice the logic of "economic slowdown → rising rate cut expectations → improved liquidity environment."
For $BTC, a risk asset highly sensitive to macro liquidity, what truly matters isn’t how many roast chickens Costco sold, but whether Americans’ wallets are still fat.
📌 Key earnings points to watch: 1️⃣ Whether same-store sales growth remains resilient
2️⃣ Whether consumer spending shows clear signs of cooling
3️⃣ Management’s guidance on the future consumption environment
A retail earnings report could become a window to observe U.S. consumption, inflation expectations, and the Fed’s policy path.
Roast chicken is just the surface; liquidity is the real answer the crypto world cares about. 🧐
$BTC
#EarningsWatch #Costco #FederalReserve