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$ETH This ID's view: Enter the market when the 2500 level stabilizes, stop loss at 2460.
From the perspective of Chan theory structure: The rebound from the bottom at 2405 to the high point at 2578.97 shows sufficient rebound strength and has formed a support center at the bottom. A price pullback into the center is an entry opportunity.
From the Wyckoff volume-price perspective: The buying power at the rebound high is sufficient, and the selling power during the pullback decline has not caused panic selling.$CHIP
After a strong rise, CHIP weakened. Should we first revise the price assessment or the business assessment?
This morning's 24-hour spot observation window: range 0.06134—0.07175 USDT, change -3.13%, trading volume approximately 4.21 million USDT.
The window pullback provides evidence of weakening momentum but does not indicate what has changed in product revenue. Short-term realization, weakened demand, or liquidity changes are all possible explanations; the cause cannot be determined solely from price.
If 0.06134 is breached and the rebound fails to recover, first reduce the trend continuation; if the low holds and 0.07175 is regained and stabilized, then reassess support. Business conclusions await independent disclosure.ZEC has gained 3.23% net in the past 24 hours, but the path has not been smooth. Binance spot 15-minute closing price moved from 1,232.90 to 1,272.72 USDT; the cumulative absolute value of 96 consecutive closing price changes is 36.38%, with a directional efficiency (|net change| ÷ cumulative absolute change) of about 8.88%. This ratio only describes how volatile this trend is, not a buy or sell signal. When encountering this kind of short-term movement, would you wait for trend confirmation first or reduce your position first? #ZEC #TradingWatch #RiskManagement
#CPIPPIHikeWatch
#RussiaUkraineTruceWatch
#TSMCOct15Earnings Honestly, with ZEC having risen to this level, how many people have actually used its privacy features?
Today I checked the on-chain data and found an interesting phenomenon.
Currently, about 4.96 million ZEC are held in the shielded pool, accounting for 29.2% of the circulating supply. Among them, the Ironwood pool alone holds about 4.1 million.
This proportion is actually not low, but it also makes me wonder: why are about 70% of the remaining ZEC still in the transparent system?
Some people might just treat ZEC as a trading asset, keeping it on exchanges to speculate on price fluctuations. Others do need privacy but find wallet operations cumbersome.
So I am actually quite looking forward to the progress after NU7. The block target interval will be shortened from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, and if the mainnet launch goes smoothly, it will at least improve confirmation speed.
I've always thought that for ZEC to go further, relying solely on market hype about privacy is not enough; ordinary people must truly be willing to use it.
I will watch the price, but I more want to see the day when shielded transactions become a natural choice for everyone.
$ZEC #21Shares推出欧洲首只ZcashETP The strategy only added 250 BTC last week, pushing the holdings to 848,000 BTC, but the USD balance dropped by 193 million in a week, leaving only 5.52 billion.
250 BTC at the current price is just over 20 million USD, the remaining over 100 million all went into preferred stock dividends and interest. Collecting a symbolic amount of coins weekly, the checks issued to shareholders end up costing more than the coins bought. When you do the math, who is really working for whom?
$BTC
$ETH Elon Musk's request for Dogecoin 5 years ago has now truly been realized!
Recently, there is a technical news about $DOGE worth paying attention to: Metallicus has launched DogecoinVM, which has entered the Alpha testing phase. The transaction confirmation speed is claimed to be about 300 times faster than the native Dogecoin network.
This story dates back to 2021.
At that time, Musk mentioned that if Dogecoin wants to become a real everyday payment tool, it needs to improve transaction processing capacity and shorten confirmation times.
Now DogecoinVM offers a solution.
According to information disclosed on October 7, the new system uses an independent payment processing layer, with a final transaction confirmation time of about 0.15 to 0.25 seconds, while being compatible with existing DOGE wallets and addresses, requiring no modification to Dogecoin Core.
However, there is a point that can be easily misunderstood: the speedup happens on DogecoinVM, which does not mean the Dogecoin main chain suddenly accelerated by 300 times.
Currently, the project is still in the Alpha stage, with a single deposit limit of 100 DOGE, and the cross-chain bridge has not yet completed an independent security audit. There are still many issues to resolve before large-scale commercial application. $BTC $BZ Today's US stock market! Gold and btc are down, oil is up
Middle East geopolitical risks push up crude oil prices, with the market worried that energy prices will drive inflation higher again; meanwhile, funds are waiting for the US CPI data to reassess the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
Combining today's latest reports, BTC and gold are falling in sync, with a clear common pressure being the strengthening US dollar and market concerns over this week's US inflation data and the Fed's interest rate path. BTC also faces the risk of forced liquidation of leveraged positions.
But here is an important detail: the US Treasury market is closed today for Columbus Day, so the recent decline cannot be directly attributed to a sudden rise in US Treasury yields Summary of tonight's live stream strategy;
$BTC short position at 84000 reached the first target at 82388,
half has been taken profit, the remaining is held for the 81388 target!
$ETH short position at 2563 reached the first target range of 2508,
half has been taken profit, the remaining is held for the 2478 target!$XRP is bearish in the short term, down 1.70% in 24 hours, with the current price at 1.3749, hovering near the intraday low of 1.3689. The main squeeze today was on long leverage, with 290 long liquidations totaling $1.56 million and 112 short liquidations totaling $690,000. However, this volume is very small compared to the $410 million contract open interest; leverage is far from cleared, and most of the previously entered longs are still holding. If the price breaks down another level, new forced liquidations will follow. The funding rates for three periods remain above zero, which is just background information and not used to determine direction. The ascending structure on the chart reflects a higher-level peak and reacts slowly. The short term has already weakened, with volume increasing on the decline and decreasing on the rebound, RSI at 38 in the weak zone, and a 4.2% amplitude closing at the lower edge. Next, I expect it to break below 1.3689 and look for new support lower. The condition to turn bullish is a volume-backed move back above 1.426; if that happens, this view will be invalidated. High leverage ready for the long term
Either have enough margin
Or take profits
Don't be reckless
If you think your head is tough
You'll end up bloodied and bruisedBrothers, pulling up, pulling up again, it's nothing but a dying struggle!
Look at the screenshot, I opened a short position on $MAGIC at 0.15173, current price 0.12001, floating profit 62.71%, the direction is nailed down tight.
Why so confident? When I saw it on the gainers list with over 60% increase in one day, that kind of position is a typical emotional play, built on leverage and short squeeze liquidations, with no real buying support. The harder it rises, the harder it falls. Now this pull-up is just giving shorts a chance to add positions, a dying struggle.
On the chart, MAGIC has been hammered down from the highs, every rally is a bull trap, those chasing the highs are all buried at the peak. Above is all trapped positions, below the support is as thin as paper.
I'm holding the short position entered at 0.15173, with a stop loss above 0.14, looking down first to 0.11, breaking that means 0.10. Find the right position, find the right direction, leave the rest to time.
$BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 Technology Diffusion Curve - Technology Diffusion Curve
SanDisk closed at $1581.82 on October 9 and further dropped to about $1559.79 in pre-market trading on October 12. Chinese memory manufacturer ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) announced progress in advanced DRAM design, triggering market concerns about intensified future competition and pressure on memory prices. SanDisk, Micron, and SK Hynix all weakened simultaneously.
This is used to analyze the process of a technology moving from research breakthroughs to commercialization and large-scale application. For the memory industry, even if new memory architectures or higher-density chip designs achieve breakthroughs at the laboratory stage, they still need to go through yield improvement, mass production validation, customer certification, and cost optimization before truly changing the industry's supply and demand. Investors should distinguish between "technological breakthroughs" and "commercial impact": the former affects market expectations, while the latter substantively changes capacity, pricing, and profit margins. For SanDisk, AI storage demand remains a long-term growth logic, but competitors' technological advances may alter the future supply landscape, so it is necessary to evaluate both demand growth and supply expansion speed.
Regarding capital, the recent decline accompanied by relatively high trading volume indicates expanded chip distribution divergence, but it cannot yet be directly concluded that institutions are continuously net selling. Going forward, key observations include NAND prices, company order fulfillment, and whether the stock price can stop falling and stabilize.
#三星Q3初步利润首破100万亿韩元
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Why has the recent token unlock market collectively "gone cold"? After pulling the real data, I discovered these 3 painful truths 🧵👇
Many people watching the market recently are puzzled: why, even if some tokens slightly rise on the unlock day, is there no overall profit effect? Sometimes the price remains stagnant or even declines steadily after the event?
I pulled the actual market performance data for the batch of tokens unlocked from 10.10 to 10.12 (including PUMP, UB, SOL, APT, RAVE, RYO, CARV, etc.) for the 7 days before and after the unlock. The data reveals very clear game characteristics:
1. The unlock rally was already shorted and overdrawn "7 days before" the unlock
💡 Logic: The current funds and market makers are too smart. When the unlock calendar is clear, funds do not wait until the unlock day to sell; instead, they hedge with contracts, borrow and sell tokens, or withdraw liquidity 4–7 days in advance to avoid risk. What you see as a "weak market" is because the downtrend had already crushed sentiment around D-4.
2. The unlock event is not a "sell-off exhaustion followed by a sharp rally," but a "calm and weak rebound"
Looking at the post-event performance:
💡 Logic: In the past, people always believed "unlock event = sell-off exhaustion = bullish." But currently, the overall market is in a weak and volatile state (BTC mostly weak or slightly rebounding), and incremental buying liquidity is extremely scarce. Even if a dump doesn't happen immediately, no new funds are willing to buy in after the unlock to push prices up, resulting in only a weak pulse of about 0.x%. Damn! It's really taking off! The market makers are awesome! Market makers, smash it hard for me!
Look at this short position, entered at 0.10393, now the mark price is 0.09339! Floating profit +29.54 U, +30.45%! I just finished a long position, flipped to a short and got a big bite again, I even admire myself for this move!
The market makers really listened to me, the dragon's breath really blew out for me! From 0.10 straight down to 0.093, that force, that speed, so satisfying!
2800 contracts, 3x leverage, margin only 97 dollars, now floating profit almost 30 dollars. What does precise control mean? This is it! Finished the long, then took the short, killing both sides, the market makers are completely tamed by me this round.
Previously lost 11,000 on BTC, SAND liquidated, USELESS paid tuition, my account was so green I doubted my life. Now with STRK this round, bought at 0.07382 up to 0.12177, then flipped short to 0.09339, eating both long and short, wave after wave, really damn satisfying!
Market makers, keep smashing! Don't stop! 0.09 is here, next stop 0.088! Bury all those still going long! Smash hard, smash to zero!
Hahaha, these days of eating both long and short are the real life! Market makers, you finally got it!
$STRK #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Adding an ETH delivery order of mine.
I just forgot to send it out earlier.
Repeating these pressures, supports, and the like over and over, maybe I'm deliberately saying it, and you deliberately don't want to listen.
But it doesn't matter, only by thoroughly reviewing and repeatedly reminding yourself can you understand what nagging means in the crypto world?
It means the pitfalls ETH hasn't gone through yet, if you're not careful, you'll fall into them again and again.
So I believe ETH, I said the resistance level at 2566 ten times, but how many really believe it?
Still stubbornly holding short-term ETH long positions, unwilling to give up, still fantasizing about a skyrocket.
Is that possible now? No, it's not.
I have now fully liquidated, I am currently out of position. $BTC 100x short position, opening average price 83,938.9. Halfway through my late-night snack, the market suddenly moved. The whole network was still holding positions waiting for a rebound, but I put down my chopsticks and opened a 100x short at 83,938 directly. The mark price dropped to 82,585.2, and unrealized profit violently surged to +164%. This late-night snack was on the main force.
100x leverage is not gambling; it's absolute domination under volume-price divergence. Others panic to add positions, I calmly enjoy my skewers; the market language had already indicated the bulls were exhausted. I took the whole meal for those who followed; for those who didn't... remember to watch the market next time during your late-night snack.
Currently, do not chase shorts. Listen carefully to your positions: take 80% profit off the table, keep 20% for zero-cost trend speculation, move stop-loss up to lock in profits, don’t let a late-night snack eat away your gains.
I can eat and harvest at 100x leverage, but you might not. The market is not short of volatility, but it lacks the insight to see through the market at a glance while enjoying skewers. $ETH $ZEC #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 $DOGE perpetual 50x short position, opened at 0.08691, currently at 0.08499, floating profit +110.45%.
Didn't overthink it: consolidation lasted long enough earlier, 0.08691 platform repeatedly confirmed effective, the top pattern is very clear. Entered as soon as a high-volume bearish candle appeared, following the trend, not emotions. 50x leverage, stop loss at 0.09. The drop was fast and steady, leaving no chance for a second entry, big profit secured.
Locked in a safety buffer at 0.087 first. My personal judgment is that there will be support around 0.082; then I'll watch the volume to decide whether to exit or hold, no bottom guessing in advance. $BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
The boss has something to say
Institutions are buying, so why is BTC still falling? The answer is simple: short-term price is determined by marginal selling pressure, not by long-term buying.
ETF data shows a net outflow of $731 million from October 7 to 8, with only $21.13 million flowing back on the 9th, less than 3% of the outflow. Morgan Stanley MSBT holds 10,639 BTC, and Strive also plans to raise funds to increase holdings, but these are slow money. Slow money can't catch fast money, so the price remains under pressure.
The 30-year US Treasury yield is 5.7%, oil prices are high, and CPI is about to be released. Macro pressure hasn't eased, and risk assets are generally suppressed.
Today I closed my 84,000 short at 82,800, locking in a profit of 1,200 points. I still hold a long at 83,000 and a short at 86,500, hedging both sides with a light position. No one-sided bets before CPI release. Long stop loss at 81,500, target 86,000. Short stop loss at 87,500, target 84,500 to 85,000. Whichever target is reached first, reduce that side first.
Institutional layout is a long-term signal; short-term rhythm depends on capital flow. Don't chase highs or kill lows; set stop losses properly. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
The above analysis is time-sensitive; orders must have stop losses set. Good luck.Many times,
when your logic is correct,
we are just afraid of losing continuously!
Just like this short position,
I started shorting since last Friday,
knowing that yesterday it broke the previous small high point and hit my stop loss.
Then I stubbornly continued to short a bit more.
Then I got stopped out again.
Today, I continued shorting at the 84138 level,
and then caught this wave of decline tonight.
Although I haven't taken profits yet,
seeing these gains actually brings some thoughts:
1. Although this time I firmly stuck to my logic, due to the stop losses in previous trades, my subsequent position sizes became lighter and lighter, meaning I became more and more hesitant to increase my positions. So even though the market direction eventually followed the script I predicted, I couldn't earn the confident money from the beginning.
2. The market always deviates from my direction by some points, and at these times, stop losses easily make us doubt ourselves, making execution always challenging.
3. My initial prediction was to see a recent new low, and whether this smooth decline can reach the recent new low? I can only make a simple conclusion before midnight tonight. If I hold overnight, I will also set a breakeven stop loss.$ETH perpetual 100x short position, opened at 2551.7, currently at 2522.63, floating profit +113.92%.
Just betting on a top reversal: 2551.7 tested three times without breaking, volume decreasing stepwise, very typical top characteristics. Enter the market the moment the bearish candle crashes down, never guess the top prematurely. 100x leverage, stop loss at 2600. This wave moved very cleanly, almost no rebound, profits steadily climbing.
For now, do nothing, let the bullet fly a while. Keep 2550 as the defense line to protect principal safety, wait for a clear signal around 2500 before deciding to add or not, no rush. $BTC $ZEC #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 🔥 BTC rebounds near 84,000, have altcoins really caught up?
The most noteworthy thing today isn’t how much BTC has rebounded, but the performance gap among major coins over the past week.
As of October 12, public market data shows BTC down about 1.81% for the week, ETH down about 5.39%, and SOL down about 6.47%. Although the market has recovered from lows, altcoins had fallen even deeper before, so looking at just one day’s gains can easily overlook that the overall recovery is not yet complete.
Next, focus on three key levels: whether BTC can hold near 83,000, whether ETH can firmly reclaim above 2,550, and whether SOL can continue its rebound. Before the US CPI release on Wednesday, the market may continue to fluctuate.
Personally, I’m more concerned about whether the rebound is sustainable. If BTC continues to strengthen but altcoins still lag behind, it indicates that risk appetite among investors may not have truly returned. In the short term, don’t just focus on the gainers list; after the rebound, who can hold their ground is what’s more worth watching.TIA at $0.55, do you dare to bottom-fish?
From 0.47 to 0.63, a 21% increase in a week, everyone is shouting "modular revival," but the on-chain fees are only tens of dollars a day—so is this really a reversal or just the last hurrah of a narrative coin?
Let's look at the surface first: a pullback after a pulse, the daily trend is not broken.
The 0.55 you see on Binance perpetuals is basically the lower edge of this pullback. The 24-hour low is 0.555, spot is hovering between 0.56-0.59. Up 21% in the past 7 days, 64% in 30 days, from 0.47 to 0.63, then retraced. Market cap is 550-570 million. Still down 97% from the all-time high of 20.85 in February 2024.
Candlesticks tell you: bottoming from 0.33-0.44 at the end of September, volume breakout above 0.50 in early October, surged to 0.63 on October 11 then retraced. Daily is still above the 20-day moving average (around 0.49), daily RSI reached 67, strong but no longer cheap. 15-minute chart is weak, 1-hour and daily are bullish—typical "daily trend intact, short-term shaking out longs."
0.55 is a decision point, not a confirmed bottom.
First: Fibre testnet at 3.07 Tb/s, very strong, but still a testnet.
The market interprets this as "data availability layer can handle massive rollups," pushing price and positions up.
Sounds exciting, right?
But what about the mainnet timeline? Not nailed down.
Testnet data can’t be counted as mainnet revenue, PPT can’t be counted as cash flow. You can pay for the narrative, but don’t mistake narrative for financials.
Second: Inflation proposal cut from 5% to 0.25%+ burn, sounds sexy but not activated yet.
The Sustainable Blob Economy proposal revised in late September aims to reduce annual issuance from about 5% to 0.25%, plus fee burning. This is the inflection point for the inflation narrative.
But note: it’s still a proposal, not activated mainnet parameters.
More painfully, fees. Public data shows 24-hour fees as low as tens of dollars, 30-day fees far from matching a market cap of over 500 million dollars.
Lower inflation is good, but a chain without fees is a lonely deflation. Current pricing buys "modular DA becoming standard + issuance dropping + fees eventually rising," not current cash flow.
Third: Unlock noise needs to be separated, don’t be scared by two-year-old news.
There’s still talk online about "1.75 billion TIA unlocking on October 30"—that’s a large unlock in 2024, not 2026.
Current progress is about 93% unlocked; core contributor linear release is nearing the end, ending daily drip of hundreds of thousands, not a one-time dump. The next relatively sizable unlock is about 5.6 million on October 31 (about 0.6% supply).
Selling pressure is an order of magnitude smaller than in 2024, but don’t treat it as "no supply."
Don’t scare yourself with old news from two years ago, but don’t treat 0.6% supply as air either.
Bull vs. bear, you decide:
On one side:
Fibre testnet 3.07 Tb/s, narrative fully loaded
Inflation proposal pushing to 0.25% + burn, expected inflection
Derive V3 selects Celestia as DA layer, a rare production-grade use case
Daily still above mid-to-long-term moving averages, trend intact
Funding rate positive, longs paying
On the other side:
On-chain fees still very small, 24h fees once only tens of dollars
Fierce competition: Ethereum blob, EigenDA competing for budget
BTC oscillating near 80k, altcoin season index falling
Open interest falling after pulse, chasing longs digesting
0.63 not passed, position cost rising under positive funding rate
Key levels
Resistance above: 0.59-0.60 (intraday recovery needed to stop decline) → 0.63 (2026 high, volume breakout needed for new space) → 0.65-0.70 (needs sector support)
Support below: 0.55-0.56 (break means short-term weakness) → 0.50-0.52 (break previous platform, bulls must defend) → 0.47/0.44 (early October start zone, break means this rally ends)
Trading strategy
Short-term:
Around 0.55 only suitable for small positions to observe, not heavy positions. Close (4h or daily) back above 0.58-0.59 to consider light longs, target 0.62-0.63, stop loss below 0.54.
Effective break below 0.55 (preferably 4h close) invalidates short-term long logic, next support at 0.52, then 0.50. Better to reduce or short and wait for pullback, not add on the way down.
Failing to break 0.63 with shrinking volume, reduce at highs. Under positive funding rate, chasing longs’ position cost is slowly getting more expensive.
Swing:
Bull scenario: hold 0.50, Fibre mainnet timeline or blob fees appear for visible jump, then look at 0.70.
Neutral scenario: oscillate between 0.50-0.63, digest October 31 unlock and profit-taking.
Bear scenario: fall below 0.47, this modular narrative trade ends, downside space near 0.40.
Position sizing: single trade risk should be a very small part of total capital, leverage as low as possible. Unlock calendar and market rumors often don’t match, rely on on-chain allocation tables, don’t trade based on "October 30 billion sell pressure."
TIA now is like AR in 2024—
Narrative fully loaded, fees zero. When rising, called modular king; when falling, called no-income ghost.
0.55 is not the bottom, it’s the dealer’s multiple-choice question: cut or bet.
You can bet on the narrative at 0.55, but don’t bet your life at 0.55.
$BTC $ETH $TIA The situation with BTC isn't much better.
Just finished criticizing little E, now it's time to talk about BTC, the big poor thing.
BTC at the 83850 level is like a tall mountain, hard to climb, the path is tough and dangerous. It’s intimidating.
Resistance is resistance; BTC around 83850 to 84400 definitely has too many short-term trapped positions. This is obvious, even a small retail trader like me can see it. Who wouldn’t see it?
But my words don’t have much influence yet, so I have to write desperately, write until my voice can reach the other side of the mountain, so that another group of retail traders like me can hear it.
BTC between 80300 and 82500 is defenseless, basically flat terrain. The problem now is that there’s really no positive news to push BTC forward.
On the contrary, Zelensky said Putin doesn’t listen to Trump at all and hasn’t implemented the energy ceasefire proposal, since the bombing continues.
At the airport in Saudi Arabia, a group of people were killed by bombing, and the attacks continue.
These news are really intense.
Naturally, they wiped out BTC’s slight gains.
Who says crude oil directly determines the quality of CPI data?
Recently, just keep an eye on Brent crude oil futures; if they fall, then BTC’s rebound will follow.
But can it fall? I think it’s very difficult. Even Trump can’t settle it!
So caution is the best strategy!! Is $W the Next $STRK? Beware of Whale Manipulation! ⚠️ Regarding the currently trending $W, I suspect its price action could resemble $STRK, where whales drive sharp pumps followed by sudden dumps. From a fundamental perspective, $W operates in the cross-chain infrastructure sector, which could benefit from the long-term growth of multichain applications, stablecoins, and real-world asset (RWA) tokenization. However, there are several factors worth watching. The top 10 addresses do not appearBTC has performed relatively steadily after the one-year anniversary of last October's largest single-day liquidation event. Despite market concerns over the US government transferring a large amount of BTC and the Ledger hack, the price has remained range-bound. BTC has repeatedly attempted to break through $87,000 without success, but the $80,000 support level remains relatively solid. In the options market, implied volatility stays high, with put option premiums narrowing; the market overall leans towards waiting for a breakout rather than defensive positioning. If BTC effectively breaks through $87,000, the next target could be $94,000. Notably, there is a large-scale call butterfly options long position expiring on October 30 at strike prices of $90,000/$95,000/$100,000, representing the largest concentrated position at the end of the current month. This week, the macroeconomic front faces key tests with the release of US CPI and PPI data, and Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's speech at the IMF-World Bank annual meetings. The market currently prices the probability of an October rate hike at about 17%. These data and policy signals may become important triggers for BTC's directional choice #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC 🚨 Big money is rotating again: selling BTC, buying ETH.
In the past 22 hours, one address swapped UBTC for
16,704 ETH (≈42.46 million)
At an average price of $2541
The path is very institutional:
UBTC → USDC → Wintermute → Uniswap Dutch auction → ETH
Not a retail panic, this is smart money.
In the same direction, there have been three recent transactions:
• A whale sold 410 BTC (34.16 million) → bought 14,341 ETH
• Wang Chun sold 235.5 WBTC → bought 7,848 ETH
• The above UBTC → ETH swap
Veteran BTC players are starting to move into ETH.
But don’t get carried away 🧵
The Ethereum Foundation’s related wallet transferred
4,393 ETH (≈11.13 million) into Kraken today
Buying on one side, moving old money to exchanges on the other
This is not a “whole market bullish on ETH”
This is:
Betting ETH will outperform BTC
Not betting on the overall market rising
From now on, only watch three things:
1️⃣ Whether ETH/BTC can hold steady
2️⃣ Whether ETH ETFs see net inflows or just fake hype
3️⃣ Whether the Foundation’s 4,393 ETH is truly sold or a false alarm
The bias can be bullish on ETH
But position sizing should be about "ratio," not "myth."
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 The pottery shards in the ash pit have shattered down to the bottom layer; this is not a shakeout, but the final collapse before the complete destruction of Pompeii.
Reviewing the stratigraphic dating records from 2018 and 2022, there has never been even a single fresh fallen leaf under the sun. Currently, $ADA has fallen below 0.2428, just like countless so-called "public chain totems" that fell from their pedestals into the mud back then, mercilessly crushed by the wheels of history amid human panic selling.
Stratigraphic data does not lie. The 1-hour Bollinger Band lower bound at 0.2459 has been forcibly breached, forming a typical stratigraphic subsidence pattern. The RSI has plunged into the extreme oversold zone at 30.5, which in stratigraphic dating corresponds to typical panic-escape sedimentary rock, where liquidity dries up and selling pressure is released in concentration, often accompanied by a technical fault rebound.
When clearing the ruins of the Acropolis in Athens back then, every collapse of a stone column would raise a cloud of dust. The current oversold rebound is just a blind dust cloud rising from the ruins, leaving a final exit path for the stubborn sacrificial followers.
- Target: $ADA 🟢
- Entry: 0.2410 - 0.2435
- TP1: 0.2485
- TP2: 0.2512
- SL: 0.2370
History shows no mercy to any blind believer; the strata will ultimately bury all arrogance deep. 🏛️🔍
#CoinMoveAlert#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 Please note, this is only a partial arrangement to pause mutual attacks on energy infrastructure, not a full ceasefire. Frontline fighting continues, and currently it is only an intention without formal confirmation from both Russia and Ukraine, with many uncertainties.
The market logic is straightforward: if implemented, the stability of Russian refining and refined oil exports will improve, geopolitical premiums will decline, and oil and diesel prices are likely to face downward pressure. Energy is a disruptive factor in this round of inflation; a drop in oil prices would marginally weaken market expectations for inflation rebound and further Fed rate hikes, theoretically benefiting risk assets like the Nasdaq and crypto indirectly.
However, the key point is that this is currently expectation-driven trading, with a high probability of fluctuating news. If negotiations stall or energy facilities are attacked again, oil prices will quickly rebound, reigniting inflation concerns and suppressing risk appetite.
For the crypto market, this is a macro sentiment catalyst, not a substantial liquidity easing, so the positive impact is limited and unlikely to trigger a sustained, large single-sided rally. Ongoing monitoring of official statements from Russia and Ukraine is necessary to confirm whether a formal written agreement is reached. $BTC $ETH $SOL Big Brother Maji's $60 million position
Long and short intertwined with high leverage
Watching it makes your heart race
HYPE short position floating loss over five million
BTC 40x short earned $130,000
ETH stubbornly holding long position still losing—a typical big whale gamble
Small profits
But losses can be deadly
Margin over five million holding a $60 million position
A single fluctuation could trigger liquidation
Retail investors must never blindly follow
This kind of play is not investing, it's gambling with your life. $BTC $ZEC perpetual 50x short position, opened at 1303.92, now at 1273.32, floating profit +117.33%.
The idea is very simple: the top consolidates with volume shrinking to the extreme, volatility crushed to the floor, indicating that chips are ready to be distributed. A single high-volume bearish candle smashed the price down from 1303.92, a typical breakdown signal, shorting is favored over longing. 50x leverage, stop loss at 1350. The trend goes straight down, giving no comfortable exit point, profits take off directly.
At this position, I plan to take half the position off the table first, and move the stop loss of the remaining half to 1300 to let profits run. If 1250 breaks down with volume, continue holding; if it doesn't break, close all positions. $BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 ETH and BTC remain flat, but it quietly surged 20%
STRK, the token of Starknet, is reported at 0.1249u. While the market has been stagnant for a whole week, it surged 20% in one day, leading the entire Layer2 sector.
The reason can be summed up in one sentence. The CEO of StarkWare announced yesterday afternoon that the team is considering making Starknet independent from Ethereum and turning it into a standalone L1.
This is not a technical upgrade, but a declaration of sovereignty.
The reason he gave is very hardcore — quantum resistance upgrade. Starknet aims to achieve full quantum security by 2027, nearly three years earlier than Ethereum's target at the end of 2029. Based on the STARK proof architecture, wallet accounts can upgrade their signature schemes while retaining original addresses and assets, without requiring a hard fork of the entire network.
But what the market is buying into is not the technical detail of quantum security.
What the market is buying into are the four words "independent from Ethereum." Over the past two years, all Layer2 narratives have been built on the premise of being an "extension of Ethereum." If Starknet truly becomes an L1, it means it will have to maintain its own validators, bear its own security costs, and compete with L1s like Sol and Sui for ecosystem development.
This is an extremely costly bet and a complete narrative turnaround.
$STRK's surge is driven by narrative, not fundamentals. The transition to L1 may not happen until 2027 at the earliest, and it must pass through governance voting, technical verification, and ecosystem migration. Short-term sentiment has already been ignited, and at the 0.1249 level, chasing the high carries significant risk #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
When macro and technical aspects clash, I basically don’t try to guess who will ultimately win anymore; instead, I first reduce my position size.
I used to be easily influenced by macro trends. For example, even when the candlestick was clearly weakening, I would tell myself to wait because "rate cut expectations are still there" and "liquidity will return."
Later, I realized that the market sometimes doesn’t follow the macro logic as you understand it at all.
So now my order of priority is:
Technical analysis decides whether I enter, macro decides whether I dare to hold a heavy position.
For example, if BTC’s structure is still rising and key supports haven’t broken, even if the short-term macro outlook is bearish, I might still trade but with a smaller position.
Conversely, if the macro outlook is all positive but the price just can’t rise, or even drops after good news, I become more cautious.
Because this often means: the positive news everyone knows might already be priced in.
Before major events like FOMC, CPI, or Nonfarm Payrolls, I basically don’t suddenly max out my position anymore.
I either reduce my position in advance or clearly plan my stop loss. After the data is released, I first watch how the market moves, rather than relying on news headlines telling me whether it should go up or down.
Macro tells me why it might rise; price tells me whether the market really wants to rise.
When the two conflict, I respect the price first.
Because news can be interpreted in many ways, but the profit and loss in your account won’t reason with you.
@OKX星球 Those wanting to profit, follow up! Brothers!
$ETH shorting opportunity is here, current price 2523, my opening average price is 2534.62, already floating a profit of 1.34%,
Look at the market, above 2523.32 to 2523.22 there are sell orders pressing down, 51.41 units are placed at 2523.22, selling pressure is heavy. Although there are buy orders below, 179.17 units are placed at 2523.21 to support the bottom, but the price can't be pushed up. The long-short ratio is 91% to 9%, long accounts are extremely crowded, retail investors are stubbornly holding long positions — this extreme structure, once broken, will cause a stampede.
Why bearish on ETH? The overall market is already showing signs of weakness, early-stage speculative coins like ZEC and NMR are pulling back, it's hard for ETH to stand alone. The strong resistance zone is from 2530 to 2550, multiple attempts to break above have been smashed back, the double top pattern is becoming clearer. Also, this rebound from the bottom has not been supported by volume, relying solely on small retail orders pushing, it can't withstand a big fund sell-off.
Technically, 2523 is short-term support, if it doesn't hold the next target is 2500, breaking that leads to 2450.
Brothers, shorting at high levels is the hard truth, those wanting to profit, follow up!
$BTC $MAGIC #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 Trend Variety: link
Trend Period: 30-minute trend direction
Review Trend: 30-minute trend triple sell pullback
Current Market Cap: 9.963 billion USD
Market Cap Ranking: NO.13
Popularity Ranking: NO.45
Circulation Status: 76.68% circulation rate
Background Ecology: Industry standard oracle
Image 1: October 9 evening session strategy providing 30-minute trend direction
Image 2: October 12 current 30-minute trend of link, trend rhythm realized
$BTC $SOL perpetual 100x short position, opened at 111.49, now at 108.65, floating profit +254.73%.
The logic is simple: repeatedly pushing up near 111.49 but failing to break through, every rebound is quickly crushed, the upper shadow line gets longer and longer, clearly showing buying exhaustion. Once volume breaks support downward, confirm on the right side, then enter short. 100x leverage, stop loss at 115. This drop was quite smooth, giving no chance for a rebound, profits directly multiplied by 2.5 times.
Now moving the stop loss to 110 to lock in profits. If the volume breaks below 105, can hold a bit more. $BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 🚨 Strategy Latest Update: Increased holding by 250 BTC, but the scale of STRC stock buyback is nearly 9 times that amount!
📊 Latest capital movements worth noting
According to original sources, Strategy's capital operations from October 5 to 11 show a notable contrast:
🟠 Bitcoin Accumulation
- Newly purchased: 250 BTC
- Purchase amount: approximately $21.5 million
🔵 STRC Stock Buyback
- Buyback amount: approximately $192.4 million
- Scale about 8.95 times the BTC purchase amount
💰 BTC Holding Financing Source
Most of the funds for this Bitcoin purchase came from selling MSTR stock.
📌 Current Asset Overview of Strategy
- BTC holdings: 848,250 BTC
- Total purchase cost: approximately $64 billion
- Cash reserves: approximately $4.88 billion
🧠 What signals does this data release?
1️⃣ Bitcoin accumulation continues. Strategy keeps increasing BTC holdings, continuing its long-term Bitcoin reserve strategy.
2️⃣ Capital allocation is noteworthy. The STRC buyback amount is significantly higher than the BTC purchase amount, indicating that the company's capital operations during this period are not solely focused on increasing Bitcoin holdings. Before the interest rate hike meeting takes place, can Ethereum $ETH continue to surge?
My judgment is very clear: it is difficult for this round of the market to continue rising.
First, look at the volume structure. This rebound rose from 2406 to 2564, an increase of more than 150 points, but the 4-hour level trading volume is far less than the previous decline phase, indicating insufficient buying momentum and a lack of capital support for the rise.
The 2560-2600 range above is both a densely trapped area accumulated previously and suppressed by the 30-day moving average. Every time the price touches this range, it tends to trigger short sellers to increase their positions.
Next, look at on-chain capital supply: BitMine has already stopped increasing ETH holdings; the number of validators exiting the queue has surged from 166,000 to 851,000, and a large volume of staked ETH unlocking and selling pressure will arrive in the next two weeks.
On one side, supply continues to increase; on the other, buying demand shrinks.
Combined with the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, most officials tend to maintain the rate hike, and market liquidity will tighten further.
Therefore, this round of rebound essentially looks more like creating an entry opportunity for shorts.
Do I expect a sustained surge before the rate hike meeting? I am not optimistic.
⚠️ Risk warning: Leveraged trading carries great risk. The above is only a personal market view and does not constitute any investment advice.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 Do not blindly short, and do not try to catch the bottom by trading on the left side; patiently wait for signals.
The US stock storage sector continues to adjust, and the crypto market has also experienced significant volatility. I believe the most important thing right now is not to look for trading opportunities, but to control risk.
1. Market Environment
US Treasury yields remain high, with oil prices and inflationary pressures still present. Today, the storage sector was again hit by competitive concerns brought by Changxin Storage's technological progress, increasing market uncertainty.
2. Key Events This Week
October 14, 20:30: US CPI
October 15, 02:00: Federal Reserve Beige Book
October 15, 20:30: US PPI
Additionally, the Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting will be held from October 27 to 28.
These events may change interest rate expectations and risk appetite for funds, making it easy to see sharp two-way fluctuations before and after data releases.
3. My Trading Approach
A decline does not mean it will continue to fall; blindly shorting can easily encounter a rebound. Likewise, a large drop does not necessarily mean cheap; catching the bottom on the left side may just be buying halfway up the slope.
Currently, I prefer to preserve capital, wait for the market to stop falling and for funds to flow back, then consider participating with small positions and low leverage.
My view:
Investing does not require trading every day. Getting the direction right does not mean the timing of entry is correct.
Compared to short-term profits, I value principal safety and long-term accumulation more.
There are always opportunities in the market, but if the principal is lost, the opportunities become meaningless.
$BTC $SNDK $ETH Technical structure: The middle axis of the box is under pressure, with dense support below
Daily level — After a 3-day rebound, the price touched the middle axis of the box at $83,888 and then was resisted and fell back. The daily Bollinger Bands are narrowing and flattening, MACD fast and slow lines crossed downward but the volume bars are shrinking, indicating a consolidation and recovery period after a major drop, with the direction still unclear.
4-hour/hour level — The price is moving within the box range of $82,500-$83,888, with the lower edge support around $81,200. The current price has fallen below the middle axis of the box and is testing the strength of the lower edge support.
Key structure: CryptoQuant's cost distribution analysis clearly points out that $84,000-$85,000 is the core resistance zone above, and $77,000-$79,000 is the core support zone below. $82,500 is in the "middle ground" between these two key zones. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ Brothers, what coin is this? It dares to surge so much in one day. If you dare to push it up, I dare to short it!
Look at the screenshot, $W surged 35.21% today, current price 0.024051, with a considerable 24-hour trading volume. The long-short ratio is 34% longs to 66% shorts, shorts dominate. I opened a short at 0.024101, 2100 units, full position 3x leverage, current price 0.024051, floating profit 0.62%, moving close to the cost line. On the order book, from 0.024059 to 0.024060 there are heavy sell orders of 214.24K and 238.28K, strong selling pressure; below from 0.024044 to 0.024048 the buy orders are sparse and thin like paper.
Why dare to short? This coin’s 35% surge in one day is purely driven by sentiment and short squeeze liquidations, with no real buying support. The sharper it rises, the harder it falls. Who else to short at this position if not it? Above are all trapped positions, below the support is as thin as paper, it won’t hold when it falls.
I continue to hold the short opened at 0.024101, defense set above 0.026, looking down first at 0.022, breaking below means 0.020.
$BTC $MAGIC #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ Folks, with TSMC's revenue data out, the trump card for AI hardware is revealed. Q3 revenue hit 1.49 trillion New Taiwan Dollars, up about 50% year-over-year, setting a new record. September alone surged 54.6%. These numbers show that demand for computing power and storage has never stopped.
But don't just get excited about revenue; the full report on the 15th has some tough points. First, gross margin: TSMC's own guidance is 65% to 67%, lower than Q2's actual 67.7%. This indicates rising cost pressures. If the actual margin falls, market expectations for profit distribution in the AI hardware chain will need adjustment. Second, management's stance on capital expenditures for Q4 and next year. An increase signals continued prosperity, while holding back is another signal.
For our big coin, no matter how strong the AI hardware logic is, it can't save the short-term macro liquidity. Next week, CPI and PPI data will come in clusters, US Treasury yields remain above 5.5%, and BTC is still pressured around 83,000. Everyone needs to be cautious. $BTC Bitcoin's problem is at 85,000
Ethereum's problem is even more troublesome
Bitcoin has risen again, standing above 84,000.
This weekend's rebound, both sides are moving up.
Let's talk about Bitcoin first, because everyone is watching it.
There is a large cost resistance above it.
The densest is between 84,000 and 85,000.
Those who entered at this price back then have just broken even now.
Those who just broke even tend to sell.
So this area naturally has selling pressure.
85,000 is not just a randomly drawn line.
If it can't break through, below is 77,000 to 79,000.
I'm a bit sleepy.
...Where was I just now?
Right, selling pressure.
Further down is 75,000.
It's not that it can't rise, but someone is quietly withdrawing.
The snapshot on October 10th showed there are still 10.58 million ETH open contracts.
This number shows the money is still in the market. But the bulls are decreasing.
Positions haven't left, but the direction has changed first.
This kind of structure is usually fine, but once there's volatility, trouble happens.
Liquidations trigger in chains.
My judgment:
On Bitcoin's side, it's those who are breaking even who are pressing down.
On Ethereum's side, the bulls' direction has softened first.
The former fears it can't rise, the latter fears a sudden drop.
Honestly, I think this rebound has peaked.
No, what I just said is that Ethereum is more fragile.
Don't chase either of them.
What do you think? SanDisk's sharp plunge!
The most provocative truth in crypto: your liquidation price is remembered more clearly by the exchange than you.
SNDK, 50x leverage, opening price 1746.7, liquidation price 973.6. The price dropped from 1604 to 1582, and the margin in the account went from 10.26 to 10.12. With every fluctuation, the funding rate quietly drains my funds. Maintenance margin ratio is 753%, looks like there’s room, but with 50x leverage, a 2% adverse price move triggers "warnings".
Today BTC hovers around 83500, ETH around 2533, slightly up 0.7% and 0.86%. But in the past 24 hours, the whole network liquidated $95.85 million, with shorts liquidated at $78.15 million, accounting for 81.54%. BTC short liquidations account for 90%, ETH shorts 79%.
The Fear & Greed Index is 69 today, still in "Greed". Prices haven’t risen much, but sentiment surged first. The market tells you: don’t be afraid, it can still go up. And you believe it.
So the deepest truth in crypto is never "hold to get rich quickly."
It is: you think you’re betting on direction, but actually you’re betting on whether the exchange’s liquidation engine will hesitate. Some bet right on direction but with heavy positions, some bet wrong but hold on lightly. The difference is, the former is in ICU, the latter is waiting for a rebound.
#CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ #PIMCO警告10年期美债收益率或达6% $BTC $ETH $ZEC Captured $W short position with 393.47% gain.
The rapid rise creates a strong illusion, many worry about missing out and choose to enter at high levels.
Price repeatedly hits resistance and is blocked, showing weak upward momentum, the short window is slowly appearing.
A big surge can easily mislead people; learning to identify market bubbles is key to catching reversal trends. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 $BTC $ZEC Watching the market in the early morning, BTC firmly defends 83,000, tonight is a night of offense and defense
$BTC current price 83,000, down 0.15%. BTC fell all the way from 86,000, bottoming at 80,427, barely climbing back to 83,000. 162 million liquidated in 24 hours, with shorts accounting for 113 million. ETF net outflow last week was 681 million — institutions are withdrawing, I'm stepping in. 83,000 is the ETF cost zone; if it can't hold, next support is 80,000.
$ETH current price 2,550, up 1.68%. ETH slowly climbed back from 2,496 to 2,550. But RSI is only 44.6, and the SMA50 at 2,557 presses down like a ceiling. It did rise, but last time I chased at 2,550 and watched it drop to 2,405.
$ZEC current price 1,235, down 6.48%. Last night it hovered above 1,300, then suddenly broke down. 1,347 failed to break higher, down two days in a row, 1,300 turned from support into resistance. A whale withdrew 26,070 coins, about 31.93 million USD. On-chain activity is moving, price is falling. I bought above 1,300, currently down 5% — purely a bag holder. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ Morgan Stanley says tokenized assets will reach $3 trillion to $10 trillion by 2030.
First, let's talk about how uncertain this forecast is. For the same matter, four investment banks have these figures:
· McKinsey (base case): $2 trillion
· Morgan Stanley: $3-10 trillion
· Citi: $5.5 trillion
· Boston Consulting: $16 trillion
The difference between the lowest and highest is 8 times. Morgan Stanley's own range spans 3.3 times—
one institution reporting both $3 trillion and $10 trillion means "we're not sure either."
So what is the actual current size?
Total on-chain RWA protocol scale: $3.2 billion (excluding stablecoins).
If stablecoins are also counted as tokenized assets, it's $306.2 billion.
From $3.2 billion to $3-10 trillion means a 960 to 3200 times increase.
Even using the broader $309.3 billion figure, it still needs to grow 10 to 32 times.
My judgment: numbers like "reaching X by 2030" shouldn't be memorized; the divergence itself is the information—
it shows the growth path of this market is extremely uncertain, and no one is confident.
Where do you think it will land by 2030—McKinsey's $2 trillion, Morgan Stanley's $3-10 trillion, or Boston Consulting's $16 trillion? For those wanting to bottom-fish tonight, hold on a bit:
BTC, ETH, SOL, ZEC — which buy orders will actually catch the dip?
I just thought ETH's buy orders looked good, but after updating the data, I need to adjust my watchlist order.
Right now, I'm more inclined to observe SOL and ZEC's support. BTC has some short-term buyers, while ETH's spot selling pressure is still quite obvious.
BTC: In the last hour, spot net buying was $16.21 million, contract net buying $8.94 million — finally some hands reaching out. But in the past 4 hours, contracts net sold $716 million; now it depends on how long this buying wave can hold.
ETH: Contracts net bought $48.69 million in the last hour, but spot is still net selling. In the past 4 hours, spot net sold $46.36 million; only when spot buy orders return will I feel more confident.
SOL: 24-hour spot net buying is $24.12 million, with $2.24 million net buying in the last 4 hours — that makes me want to keep a closer eye. However, in the last hour, spot net sold $2.97 million again; let's see if anyone continues to catch the dip.
ZEC: 24-hour spot net buying is $17.27 million, and net buying over the past week is $106 million. Contracts also turned to net buying $4.27 million in the last hour. I'm more focused on whether this spot buying momentum can continue.
My order tonight is: first see if BTC can hold steady, then watch SOL and ZEC's dips, and wait for ETH's spot buy orders to come back. $STRK's recent losses have all been recovered on STR. I currently hold two short positions on STR.
One position I started holding from 0.11. This one was quite tough to hold, but it also confirmed that my market intuition was correct. During this period, after a pullback, I added to my position with floating profits, and then experienced a rapid profit retracement caused by a pump-and-dump (weren't you scared off? 😛🖕). Finally, the price broke through as expected, and it couldn't hold 0.1, triggering a rapid decline. The second position, I originally planned to open a single isolated short at 0.097, but the price dropped quickly, making me FOMO, so I opened a short during the rapid decline. Then, after the rapid drop, there was a quick rebound back to 0.097. The rapid changes affected my emotions, so I closed the first position and added margin to the second. Fortunately, the downtrend continued, and when the price returned to my level, I took profits and exited. When you make a mistake, you admit it. I originally wanted to hold the first position down to 0.07, but I'll treat it as a penalty for an operational error. Strategy bought another 250 $BTC for $21.5M, but spent nearly 9X more on STRC share buybacks, repurchasing $192.4M between October 5 and 11.
Most of the Bitcoin purchase was funded through MSTR stock sales. The company now holds 848,250 $BTC , acquired for roughly $64B, with a $4.88B cash reserve.500u challenge to 10,000u｜Today's review: a day of pullback, admit mistakes, summarize, and stay calm
First, the result: today's account looks bad. Total assets 94.86U, today's profit -12.76U (-11.85%). The intraday high reached 118.81U, then gradually gave back gains. The biggest lesson today is not taking profits when prices surged and not controlling the pullback. No hiding, on the challenge path there are gains and losses; reviewing is more important than showing off profits!
📊 Bitcoin $BTC
This morning I mentioned 83,000 as a key support, which didn't hold today. Current price 82,428, daily candle closed down about 1.5%. Currently stuck near MA5/MA30 (82,600-82,700), with clear resistance around 84,000 (MA10, MA20) above.
- Only above 83,000 can we expect a rebound
- Breaking below 82,000 means continuation of the bearish trend, with the next support at the 80,000 round number
📊 Ethereum $ETH
Current price 2,518, daily down 0.67%, more resilient than Bitcoin but still weak overall in 7-day trend. Resistance above at 2,590-2,640 (dense moving averages), support below at 2,480-2,500 (MA60) is the key dividing line between bulls and bears.
- Holding 2,480 could mean sideways recovery
- Breaking below 2,400 likely means revisiting the 1,000-level for Ethereum
Tomorrow focus on Bitcoin at 82,000 and Ethereum at 2,480. No predictions, just follow the market.