半只猴子
半只猴子
交易员，meme玩家。
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Let's recharge everyone's faith, Bitcoin $BTC How high can this bull market really go?
In the past three times, buying 535 days before the halving and holding until the halving day always resulted in gains.
2015: +185%
2018: +100%
2022: +222%
Median 185%, starting from $80,000, this means about $228,000 by April 2028.
Minimum 100%, starting from $80,000, this means about $160,000 by April 2028.
Maximum 222%, starting from $80,000, this means about $250,000 by April 2028.
So, stop torturing yourself by staring at those few lousy candlesticks all day. From $80,000 to $200,000+, there will inevitably be countless spikes and shakeouts in between, but as long as the big cycle logic doesn't change, there's really only one thing you need to do: make more principal, buy, add positions, go heavy, hold on, and then wait for the wind to come.
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7u challenge to one hundred million!
Day 35
Principal 7u, target one hundred million
Currently: 3850u
Living cost: 1950u
Available funds: 1900u+
Haven't opened many positions these two days, today I don't even want to open my phone or computer. Long-term chain scanning and looking at various consultations have made my eyes uncomfortable. Eye drops and eye exercises don't work well, the only thing I can do is to minimize screen time.
Last night I felt $ENA and $ONDO were pretty good, only bought a little spot. Besides these two, the spot is basically BNB; still holding long contracts on $BTC, continuing to hold; watching PONS for fundamentals, protocol revenue, and whether the new coin issuance can pick up; then fully loaded on meme coins.
Current operation strategy remains unchanged: content creation, contracts, and meme coins.
The strategy still uses a barbell approach, doing mainstream top assets on one side and pure meme on the other.
+178.76%
Snapshot at 25 Sept 2026, 17:54
Wang Chun said: If you sold early at $BTC 60,000 or 70,000 and didn't have the courage to buy back above 80,000, then consider SpaceX.
He said $SPCX is the best investment besides Bitcoin, as you will be investing in the future of humanity's multi-planet development. Also, remember to sell when OpenAI and Anthropic go public, because these two might cause the entire AI industry to collapse.
Who is Wang Chun?
He is the co-founder of Fish Pool (founded in 2013 with Shen Yu), an early Bitcoin miner and a key promoter of mining infrastructure. In April 2025, he invested 200 million USD to complete humanity's first manned polar orbit flight aboard the Dragon spacecraft. In May 2026, SpaceX officially announced it will be the first to truly fly by Mars and then return to Earth.
What is the most profitable business in the crypto circle?
(Excluding Tether and Circle — they earn interest on US debt, not protocol business)
Today's top five by fees:
1. $PUMP 24-hour fees 5.26 million, revenue 1.98 million, retention 38%
2. Polymarket 24-hour fees 3.88 million, revenue 1.12 million, retention 29%
3. $HYPE 24-hour fees 2.52 million, revenue 1.96 million, retention 78%
4. $UNI 24-hour fees 1.88 million, revenue 200,000, retention 11%
5. Papertrade 24-hour fees 1.74 million, revenue 1.74 million, retention 100%
Papertrade is back in the top five again; last week there was a big storm, but now it's back. Its antifragility is getting stronger!
PUMP is still first, but its retention of 38% is not as good as HYPE's 78%. UNI distributes most of its revenue to LPs, with only 11% retention, the weakest.
Bitcoin $BTC What's the next move?
Long position liquidation intensity below: $750 million → $1.15 billion
Short position liquidation intensity above: $1.75 billion → $1.2 billion
The biggest pain point for shorts is 81,400; breaking through here will accelerate the rise.
The biggest pain point for longs is still 79,300; breaking below here will force some longs to liquidate, accelerating the decline.
So the liquidation map is best used to tell you — at key levels, the price will accelerate up or down.
Also, if you look at the direction, remember one principle: most likely, it moves toward the path of least resistance.
For example, yesterday the short liquidation was much stronger than the long liquidation, resulting in Bitcoin breaking below $80,000.
A trader is going long on Ethereum and is about to be liquidated!
A $ETH long position worth 112 million USD was opened at a price of 2,610 USD, already losing 15.05 million, with a liquidation price at 2,256 USD, just 43 USD away from liquidation.
If this 43 USD drops, the 112 million long position will turn into a 112 million short position.
Crying! $HYPE's biggest long position has lost over 30 million USD in the past month.
Just checked his position: 5x leverage contract, holding 1.38 million HYPE tokens, cost basis at 38.6 USD. On September 23rd last month, total profit exceeded 80 million USD. Since opening the position, he has already paid 6.81 million USD in funding fees.
Not sure how this brother feels now, after a 30 million USD drawdown. He might be waiting for $HYPE to break the 100 USD mark, but it's just a bit short. Looking at his social media, he hasn't spoken for a long time.
Big Brother Maji's Ethereum long position has been liquidated again, with a cumulative loss of 37.05 million USD
Just now, Ethereum fell below 2300 USD, and all of Maji's $ETH long positions were liquidated, resulting in a cumulative loss of 37.05 million USD. Now, there is only 5,357 USD left in the address.
Two months ago, his account had 150,000.
Then: 150,000 → 12,000,000 → 800,000 → 10,000,000 → 100,000 → 560,000 → 150,000 → 20,000 → 300,000 → 5,357 USD.
Previously, every time, he managed to recover by "rolling positions," but now with only 5,367 USD left, it seems he is a bit unwilling to give up and has continued to go long on Ethereum, currently profiting 300 USD.
Current long liquidation intensity below: $750 million
Short liquidation intensity above: $1.75 billion
In most cases, the price moves in the direction of least resistance.
This morning it was said that $80,300 would accelerate the decline; currently, long positions across the network have liquidated over $600 million. The biggest pain point for the bulls right now is $79,500.
I see some people shouting again about bottom-fishing Bitcoin at $50,000 or $60,000, which is completely baseless. As long as it stays above $74,000, it is still considered a bull market.
Why $74,000? I believe it is the dividing line between bull and bear markets:
1. The maximum micro-strategy cost line for Bitcoin bulls is around $75,000
2. $74,000 is the position where the leader was elected, breaking through the ceiling
Don't panic at this level; opportunities in a bull market are all created by dips.
半只猴子
Bitcoin $BTC What’s the next move?
Long liquidation strength below: $850 million
Short liquidation strength above: $1.35 billion
The biggest pain point for shorts is at 82,200; breaking through here triggers forced short liquidations, turning into buying pressure and accelerating the rise.
The biggest pain point for longs is still at 80,300; breaking below here triggers partial forced long liquidations, accelerating the decline.
So the liquidation map is best used not to tell you the direction, but to show you the key levels where price will accelerate up or down.
SpaceX is now the most traded stock on Solana
On $SOL, the most traded stock in October is not Nvidia, but SpaceX.
The tokenized stock of $SPCX has a trading volume of $333 million so far in October.
$NVDA (Nvidia) has a trading volume of $255 million so far in October.
Nvidia's market cap is much larger than SpaceX's, but on-chain, more people are willing to trade SpaceX. Nvidia, with a market cap of 4 trillion, loses in popularity to a company that has been listed for only four months.
The question is: Do on-chain players have more faith in SpaceX's potential, or has Nvidia's narrative become less appealing in the crypto community? Share your thoughts in the comments—did you contribute to the $333 million?
The inventor of perpetual contracts has liquidated all positions in $ETH, $ENA, and $UNI.
Arthur Hayes, the inventor of perpetual contracts, dreams of becoming a writer. In the Chinese community, he's called Lao Hei or Hei Ge. Today, he posted that he has liquidated all various altcoins.
I remember when he was recommending trades, he highly praised ENA and UNI, saying they could go up more than 5 times. It hasn't even been a month, and today he started calling for liquidation.
He is no different from ordinary KOLs, even though he is one of the designers of this market's infrastructure. So when it comes to trading, you can only rely on yourself.
