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#Ledger investigation update: thefts currently concentrated in a single channel, trust cracks in hardware wallets unlikely to disrupt Ethereum's own rhythm in the short term. I judge that noise in the news will not change the dominance of the technical side. The price is stuck at a critical point, with direction likely to be confirmed by volume and price. The four-hour chart remains in a downtrend channel, down 7.27% from the high, but the one-hour chart has turned up, 5.39% above the low, showing a clear divergence between short-term bulls and long-term bears. Up 1.9% in 24h to 2545.5, with a volatility of less than 70 points, and volume only 13.34 million, indicating weak momentum. The top ten order book shows 2717 buy orders against 2236 sell orders, with buyers slightly dominant; the funding rate is negative 0.0003%, indicating shorts are paying a small premium, with open interest at 584,000 coin-margined contracts, and short pressure not yet relieved. If support at 2528.7 holds, light long positions can be taken, entry at 2533.5, stop loss at 2517.3, target at 2571.8. If the breakout at 2566.4 fails, reverse to short, entry at 2562.1, stop loss at 2578.6, target at 2519.4. Single position size controlled within 5%, exit immediately on breakout without holding the position.
— Personal opinion only, not investment advice, wishing you successful trading. —
$ETH #Russia-Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress to be confirmed
#Ledger investigation update: thefts currently concentrated in a single channel $ETH ASML's Q3 earnings report highlights EUV orders as the focus, with the semiconductor equipment market sentiment directly influencing tokens like SLX in the industry chain. I judge the short-term bias to be bullish, but there is significant overhead resistance. The four-hour chart remains in a downtrend channel, having retraced 17.11% from the high, but the one-hour chart has already reversed upward and is 4.53% above the low, indicating a short-term long and long-term short pattern. Current price is 0.05935, up 1.5% in 24h, with a trading volume of 1.603 million, showing moderate momentum. The top ten order book buy/sell ratio is 0.90, with slightly heavier selling pressure; the funding rate at 0.0050% is relatively neutral, and open interest at 28 million shows no signs of panic liquidation. Resistance is seen at 0.06012, support at 0.05748. Strategy one: lightly buy on a pullback to 0.05865, stop loss at 0.05735, target 0.06045. Strategy two: if volume breaks above 0.06012, chase long, stop loss at 0.05905, target 0.06160. Position size should not exceed 20%, and decisively exit if support breaks.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$SLX #TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what other highlights are in the October 15 earnings report?
#ASML Q3 earnings report announced on October 14, EUV orders are the focus $SLX ASML's earnings report highlights EUV orders, reflecting semiconductor capital expenditure expectations and indirectly influencing Bitcoin risk appetite. I lean slightly bullish in the short term but avoid chasing too high. The one-hour uptrend is suppressed by the four-hour downtrend, with a clear tug-of-war around 83,600; the top ten sell orders stand at 1,227 versus 549 buy orders, a strength ratio of 0.45. The funding rate is negative at -0.0007%, indicating shorts are paying, and open interest of 29,000 coins reflects cautious sentiment. Strategy one: lightly buy on a pullback to 82,780, stop loss at 81,930, target 84,120; strategy two: add longs if volume breaks above 84,230, stop loss at 83,410, target 85,360. Keep position size under 20%, and guard against spikes under negative funding.
— For personal reference only, not investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$BTC #TSMC Q3 revenue hits record high, what other highlights are in the October 15 earnings report?
#阿斯麦Q3财报10月14日公布，EUV订单成焦点 $BTC #Ledger investigation update: theft temporarily concentrated in a single channel This reminds us that fund security remains the bottom line for holding positions, and the short-term trend of WLD is currently at a turning point. My judgment is a bullish consolidation awaiting a breakout. Current price is 0.5548, up 2.4% in 24 hours, with 1-hour and 4-hour trends both moving upward, but still 8.01% below the 4-hour high, indicating resistance on the upside. Trading volume is 217 million, order book top 10 buy-sell ratio is 1.11, buyers slightly dominant; funding rate at 0.01% shows mild bullish sentiment, open interest at 73.689 million is not overheated, key support is at 0.5402, and breakout confirmation level is at 0.5859. If it pulls back to 0.5495 and stabilizes, a light long position can be taken with stop loss at 0.5387 and target at 0.5831; if volume breaks above 0.5863, add more with stop loss at 0.5678 and target at 0.6124. Position size should not exceed 20%, exit immediately if broken.
— For personal reference only, not investment advice, wishing you successful trading. —
$WLD #Russia-Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress pending confirmation
#Ledger investigation update: theft temporarily concentrated in a single channel $WLD Three days, I shouted for three whole days.
How many brothers treated me like a joke, and now?
What’s the result?
Did it rise or not?
With this breath, I finally came out.
Look, $ZEC just surged straight up with a big bullish candle, reaching a high of 1298.65, now steadily standing at 1288.
Looking back a few days ago, when the price dropped to 1195, the whole network was shouting waterfall, retail investors were frantically shorting.
But I gritted my teeth and told you all the timing, location, and people were all in place, and the probability of breaking below 1100 was extremely low.
Why am I so confident?
Because the moving averages are converged and it can’t fall, because the extremely crowded retail short positions are the best fuel for the whale!
Today’s rally is the whale’s ruthless harvest of the bears!
My current long position has an average entry price of 1137.64, and the floating profit has exploded, reaching +131.63%!
For these three days, under the pressure of the whole network’s bearish sentiment, relying on extreme position control and firm belief, I finally caught the fattest meat of this wave.
Now that the market has come this far, my next strategy is very simple: move the stop loss up! Set the floor at 1195, or directly push it to 1240 to lock in profits.
Take profit first looks at 1300, if it breaks strongly then look at 1350. Never get carried away just because of doubling profits, still no heavy positions, no all-in, only disciplined trades.
$BTC
$MAGIC
#Institutions continue to build positions, why is BTC still under pressure?
#CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test Starting with a single $EIGEN observation order, no preset direction in the middle of the range
$EIGEN has gained a net 15.15% in the past 24 hours, but I recorded the observation order at 0.2782 USDT. The 5-minute candle just closed at 0.2777 USDT, basically right at the starting point. With a reference high of 0.2846 USDT and a low of 0.2631 USDT, the current position is exactly in the middle of the range, with room both up and down. In this kind of position, I usually don’t rush to judge the breakout direction.
The recent 15-minute trading volume is 1.11 times the average of the previous 3 hours, so the activity is only slightly higher, not a significant volume anomaly. Considering the price is still in the middle of the range, I tend to treat this as a consolidation phase that needs further observation rather than immediately betting on either side. $HYPE 30-minute level analysis
This ID's viewpoint
After HYPE dropped sharply from the high of 95.267 down to 82.613, the downtrend has paused. Currently, it is in a recovery rebound following a major decline, with the market grinding back and forth around the bottom consolidation zone. The short-term bias is slightly bullish, but the rebound strength is not very strong, so avoid blindly chasing highs. Enter positions after waiting for a pullback to the 85.4‑85.8 support range to stabilize before setting up long positions; if the price reaches the resistance zone at 88.6‑89.2 and fails to rise further, gradually take profits and exit. If it effectively breaks below the 84.2 stop-loss level, abandon the long strategy immediately.
Chan Theory Structure
On the 30-minute timeframe, the downtrend segment starting at 95.267 ended at the low of 82.613, with bearish momentum fully released. After the price turned upward to rebound, it formed a secondary purple consolidation zone at the low level on the chart. The current price is running near the upper edge of this consolidation zone, indicating a consolidation and recovery after the decline. If the price can break above and hold above the consolidation box with volume, the rebound has room to expand further; otherwise, if it falls back into the consolidation zone or even breaks below the lower edge, this recovery phase will face renewed pressure and weaken again.
Wyckoff Volume-Price Observation
The bottoming rebound saw capital entering to support, with volume rising; after entering the consolidation zone, overall volume quieted down. When testing resistance upward, there is no sign of large capital aggressively accumulating; on the downside pullback, selling pressure does not increase, indicating bears no longer have the strength to push sharply lower, and bulls and bears are locked in a stalemate here.
Core Observation
Focus closely on the lower edge of the secondary consolidation zone as a key defense line; there must be no volume-driven breakdown below this level.Ethereum spot ETF saw a weekly outflow of $542 million, with BlackRock's ETHA alone accounting for $477 million; are institutions withdrawing ETH?
Many people only focus on the candlestick charts to guess price movements, but the institutional funds that truly determine the mid-term direction have quietly voted with their feet. The latest SoSoValue weekly data shows that from October 5 to October 9 Eastern Time, the total net outflow of Ethereum spot ETFs across the U.S. was $542 million. The most noteworthy point: the vast majority of selling pressure came entirely from BlackRock's ETHA, which alone had a net outflow of $477 million in one week, with a single fund bearing most of the redemptions in the entire sector.
📊 Key data overview
1. Entire market Ethereum spot ETFs: weekly net outflow of $542 million
2. BlackRock ETHA: weekly net outflow of $477 million, accounting for nearly 88% of total outflows; ETHA's historical cumulative net inflow still reaches a high of $12.79 billion, making it the absolute leading product in the entire ETH spot ETF sector
3. Grayscale ETHE: weekly net outflow of $31.8918 million; since its launch, ETHE has had a historical cumulative net outflow of $5.47 billion, and Grayscale's long-term continuous redemptions trend has not changed
✅ In-depth analysis: why this outflow's core focus is not on the "outflow amount," but on ETHA When buying a cold wallet, the biggest fear is that you think you've bought security, but actually haven't.
#Ledger事件损失近9000万 Currently exposed victims involve users who purchased devices from the Southeast Asian dealer CryptoBilis. Early on-chain estimates put losses close to $90 million, with Bitquery's subsequent investigation estimating about $92.9 million, involving 311 wallet addresses. This figure is still from third-party statistics and not an official final confirmation.
Ledger has requested the dealer to suspend sales and shipments, and reminded users who purchased devices within the past 90 days: do not initialize unused devices yet, and those who have already used them should consider transferring assets to wallets with new devices and new mnemonic phrases. The exact leak method is still under investigation; supply chain tampering is suspected, but it cannot be directly concluded that the chip was hacked.
Tether has frozen some involved USDT, but freezing does not mean the money has been returned to the victims.
The most heartbreaking part of this incident is that users were already seriously protecting against theft. My view is that the security of hardware wallets must cover the entire process from factory, distribution, to initialization. The words "authorized dealer" also need to withstand continuous scrutiny. #Ledger调查东南亚经销商渠道资金损失 @OKX星球 The 5-day net inflow of US spot ETFs has just turned from positive to negative — a net outflow of about $214.7 million over the last 5 trading days, with the latest single-day (October 8) net outflow of $82.3 million. This is the first time in the past month. BTC dropped to $82,715.4 during the same period, down 2.53% over the week. Has the bottom-supporting money really left? Let's look at three numbers first. First, the capital shift: US spot ETFs had a net outflow of about $214.7 million over the last 5 trading days, sharply contrasting with the $2.6 billion net inflow two weeks ago, marking the most obvious directional reversal in this round; second, price pressure: BTC is currently at $82,715.4 (24h -0.19%, nearly one week -2.53%), with the lower bound of the 20-day range raised to 80,400 and the upper bound still at 87,399, the price is moving closer to the lower bound of the range; third, macro tightening: the US dollar index rose to 102.23 (+0.09%), US Treasury yields climbed (the market summary this week repeatedly mentioned "rising yields suppressing Bitcoin"), while spot gold actually rose 1.52% to $4,195.6, and the fear and greed index rebounded from 59 to 64. Why is the ETF shift worth noting? Because it is usually the most "honest" capital channel: ETF subscriptions correspond to real spot purchases, redemptions correspond to real selling pressure, unlike derivatives which can be leveraged or hedged. BTC's ability to repeatedly consolidate around 84,000 in the past month largely relied on ETFs dailyW is really fierce. After checking the news, HYPE is deploying multi-chain through W, and HYPE is expanding transfers through W to Solana, Base, and Unichain.
Additionally, the W 2.0 tokenomics revision canceled the original large one-time unlock every year, changing it to small, continuous token releases every two weeks to reduce market selling pressure, with the lock-up period extended overall to October 2028.
Today it directly surged to double. During the market sideways period, any increase in trading volume and positive news starts to show performance.【Top 10 Crypto Traders' Highlights Today｜ETH October 12】
Conclusion: ETH is not confirming a reversal but is testing recovery after a sharp drop. Only 4 reliable viewpoints were obtained in the past 24 hours; no forced attempt to make it ten.
Cheds/@BigCheds: Original view stated ETHUSD 4H showed a lower high break, accompanied by a candlestick chart. Editorial inference: Binance spot around 2546, 24h high 2564, low 2497; only if it holds above 2565, then look towards 2600.
Daan/@DaanCrypto: Original view was BTC stopped out below 83000 and then retested. Editorial inference: This is an ETH cross-market signal; if BTC loses 83000, ETH's recovery is likely to fail.
Altcoin Sherpa/@AltcoinSherpa: Original view said some coins remain strong after pullback. Editorial inference: Recovery window is still open, but that doesn't mean chasing longs.
Peter Brandt/@PeterLBrandt: Original view warned against dogmatic use of position indicators. Editorial inference: ETH funding rate at -0.003713%, short covering may amplify volatility.
Single route: defend 2535 and hold above 2565, target 2600; break below 2498 invalidates, then look back to 2460–2400. Leverage carries risks of spikes and false breakouts. #BTC #ETH #OKB W-USDT's 15-minute closing price over the past full 24 hours (as of 03:30 UTC) rose from 0.017211 to 0.029221 (+69.78%). Among them, the single 15-minute candle from 02:30 to 02:45 UTC increased 15.14% from open to close, with a trading volume of approximately 2,131,900 USDT; the interval high was 0.030202, and the latest full close remains below it. After the sharp rally, will you wait for consolidation confirmation or wait for a pullback? #W #AltcoinTrading
The chart is based on 97 confirmed 15-minute candles of OKX spot W-USDT, ending at 03:30 UTC on 2026-10-12.Dogecoin is approaching a critical point. Market reports show that DOGE is about to experience its first daily golden cross in 14 months, with many holders turning their attention back to the $0.10 mark.
The meaning of a golden cross is not complicated: when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average, it indicates that short-term buying pressure has overtaken the long-term average. Traders see this as an early sign that buyers are regaining control. For Dogecoin, this is the first trend-level shift in over a year.
The market is also responding accordingly. $DOGE closed up 1.2% on Tuesday at $0.094, just a step away from the $0.10 resistance level. This threshold has blocked rebounds multiple times before; once buyers push the price past this line, the upside space will reopen, and market sentiment will turn optimistic.
Of course, the signal only indicates a trend change, not a guaranteed outcome. The last golden cross for Dogecoin led to a rally followed by a pullback. Whether history will repeat depends on whether buyers can hold the $0.10 level. At least for now, the scales are tipping in favor of the bulls. I recorded my successes, so naturally I must also record my failures.
Actually, since I’m willing to share this, I’m not afraid of being laughed at. Just a few days after making 100,000 in one night, I was almost on the verge of liquidation.
The pride from a month of consecutive wins made me overconfident, taking heavy positions with high leverage. You could say I made almost every possible mistake.
People always have to pay the price for their recklessness; we must respect the market. No one can win forever.
But the best outcome was that I finally cut my losses instead of stubbornly holding on until liquidation. I still have a chance to make a comeback.
For me, losing 200,000 in profit is not the end; since I earned it once, I can earn it again.
I also ask everyone to remember: in trading, staying alive is the only priority. Slow is fast. I hope to meet you all at the peak.$MET Last night my hand trembled slightly when setting the stop loss, and this morning I realized it was an unnecessary act of filial piety.
Before going to bed last night, I took another look at MET. MET was moving sideways at the bottom, with buyers stepping in below, the buying pressure gradually strengthening, and the support never broken once. I casually suggested going long, entering in batches around 0.4148, though I wasn’t really confident, it just felt like a comfortable position.
This morning when I opened the market, the price had already reached 0.4340, with an unrealized profit of +93.53%. The wait was worth it, the timing was right ✅
Risk control is done upfront, called being rational; cutting losses after losing is called decisive.
Take profits on 70% first, move the stop loss of the remaining 30% to the cost price, hold if it rallies, don’t let the floating profit you have turn into discomfort.
Don’t get greedy with profits, don’t despair over pullbacks.
Now is not the time to rush; chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for a new structure to emerge before deciding.
$SOL $BTC $BTC is making small steps to rebound over the weekend, don't rush to short. The first wave of rebound is not over yet and still has momentum.
Reduce/close short positions between 83500–84000 first, then consider shorting again near 85000. The 80,000 level below is the long position defense line; if it turns into a downward continuation, 75000–76000 will be the most important secondary low point to watch in this round.
If $ETH BTC reaches 85000, ETH will also offer a shorting opportunity.
Altcoins, don't rush to add positions; there is no fear of missing out at this stage, be patient and select quality targets.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 传统认知中，地缘冲突往往推动黄金与原油同步上涨。但2026年的市场给出了截然不同的答案：美以伊冲突爆发后，油价一度飙升逾40%，黄金却不涨反跌，金油比从70.6骤降至39.2。这一罕见的“跷跷板”现象，折射出宏观变化对两类资产的传导机制正在发生根本性分化。 传导路径的差异是理解分化的关键。 原油具有强商品属性，交易的是能源供给。霍尔木兹海峡封锁直接威胁全球约20%的原油运输通道，供给收缩预期推动油价获得“冲突溢价”。黄金则具有强金融属性，交易的是货币信用。油价飙升推高通胀预期，美联储被迫维持高利率甚至释放鹰派信号，实际利率上行大幅增加了持有黄金的机会成本，避险溢价很快被利率逻辑压制。简言之，地缘风险通过“油价→通胀→利率”的链条传导至黄金时，方向发生了反转。 金油比的变化进一步揭示了市场交易逻辑的切换。 冲突初期，市场以“恐慌避险”为主导，资金涌入原油；随着冲突呈现拉锯态势，交易逻辑转向“滞胀博弈”。在这一框架下，油价高位运行对经济的压制效应开始显现，而黄金作为对冲滞胀风险的核心资产，其战略配置价值反而在中期得到强化。高盛预计美联储年内仍有降息空间，仅降息一项就能推动金价每盎司上涨约1$XAU The gold trend on Monday is quite interesting.
Trump announced a Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire over the weekend, and the market began trading on eased crude oil supply, with Brent crude oil falling nearly 1.5% at one point.
Logically, easing geopolitical risks should somewhat suppress gold's safe-haven demand.
But what happened? Gold actually climbed back above 4200, reaching around 4206 during the session.
It seems the market is now more concerned about whether the drop in oil prices can ease inflationary pressure; the most interesting part is that this ceasefire agreement is still controversial, and Ukraine has not fully acknowledged Trump's statement.
I'm not so pessimistic about gold now:
It was previously pressured heavily by the dollar and US Treasury yields, and now that it has finally touched above 4200 again, let's first see if 4200 can truly hold.
#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 $BTC is moving sideways around 83,611.3, up 0.95% in 24h with a 1.7% amplitude. The USD bulls are accumulating quickly, but the market hasn't shown any signs of resistance. In the past 24 hours, short liquidations totaled $12.21 million, long liquidations $7.68 million, with more shorts being wiped out. Funding rates for the last three periods are -0.0010%, 0.0013%, and 0.0006%, hovering near zero, indicating no leverage squeeze on either side. Open interest is $7.8 billion, stablecoin total supply is $312.6 billion; single data points don't reveal capital inflows or outflows. Options show divergence. DVOL at 37.8 is relatively low, put/call open interest ratio is 0.90, but put/call volume ratio reaches 1.45, indicating some short-term buying of downside protection. I lean bullish on a range-bound move; the USD strength hasn't yet impacted $BTC. Bearish conditions: break below 82,751.1, with funding rates turning negative and long liquidations surpassing shorts, which would invalidate this view. Holding above 84,180 with put/call volume ratio returning near 0.90 would add another layer of bullish confirmation.$ETH price is underwater, ETFs are leaking, and someone on-chain is secretly withdrawing coins.
In the past 24 hours, centralized exchanges have seen a net outflow of over 26,000 coins, with Binance alone withdrawing nearly 40,000, pushing inventory down to a six-month low; on the staking side, the entry queue still outweighs the exit queue, with about 35% of the total supply locked in staking. On one hand, spot coins are being withdrawn and hoarded; on the other, leveraged longs were just liquidated over 400 million below 2,600, and ETFs have been reducing for nine consecutive days. The ones running and the ones receiving are not the same group.
The money running away is of two types: ETF allocation positions overall at a floating loss and reducing holdings; high-leverage longs getting liquidated sharply. The ones receiving are another type—long-term holders withdrawing coins from exchanges and locking them into staking. Exchange inventories dropping to a six-month low means the floating supply available to sell on the market is decreasing, not increasing.
So ETH is currently split: short-term liquidity is drained by ETFs and leverage, while long-term chips are locked on-chain. Whether the 2,500 level can hold depends on whether the slow money from withdrawals and staking can withstand the daily bleeding from ETFs—if it doesn't stop, the price lacks a spark; if it really stops, the new low inventory could actually become a springboard.$SUI 30-minute level analysis
This ID's view: After SUI tested the low point at 0.9968, it started a recovery trend. Currently, it is in a central oscillation phase following the rebound, with bulls and bears tugging in a game of strength. The short-term outlook is cautiously bullish with oscillation; it is not suitable to chase highs directly. Entry should be chosen on a pullback to the 1.10‑1.108 support zone to stabilize before positioning long; on the upside, if it reaches the 1.145‑1.155 resistance area and shows signs of weakening, take profit and exit. If it effectively breaks below the 1.085 defense price, abandon the idea of going long.
Chan Theory Structure
At the 30-minute level, the downtrend segment starting from 1.2544 completed its bottoming at 0.9968, with bearish momentum fully released. After the price rose steadily, it formed the current purple secondary central zone at the high level. Now the price oscillates back and forth within this central box, digesting chips, representing a consolidation and continuation phase in the upward process. Once the price breaks above and holds above the upper edge of the central zone, the rebound will continue; conversely, if it breaks below the lower edge, this recovery structure will be destroyed.
Wyckoff Volume-Price Observation
When rebounding from the bottom, volume significantly increased, indicating genuine bottom-fishing capital entering the market; after entering the central oscillation, overall volume began to contract, with neither bulls nor bears launching fierce attacks. During upward probes, volume follow-through was moderate without aggressive accumulation; during downward pullbacks, selling pressure was not heavy. This shows the market is in a chip exchange phase, with large funds still watching, and the short-term probability is to maintain box oscillation. I asked the tech team why my monitoring only pushes bullish signals and never bearish ones.
He said: Because I didn't write the bearish logic for it.
Indeed, I only study every day what kind of projects are accumulating, about to launch, and whether they can sustain, but I've never written about what kind of structure can be shorted.
My trading habit is to only want to go long at lows; whenever I short, I always feel something's off in my heart. This is also why I don't like selling coins after buying them. How can I trade well with this kind of habit... I need to change. Brothers stuck with SanDisk don't need to be too anxious. Recently, I noticed many people treat SanDisk and Micron as the same type of AI storage stocks, but actually, their fundamentals are completely different.
Micron MU: Three product lines—DRAM, HBM, and NAND. HBM benefits from AI computing power dividends, and DRAM and NAND cycles can hedge each other. Even if NAND weakens, HBM and DRAM can support the bottom line, making it more resilient and stable.
SanDisk SNDK: Pure NAND player, no DRAM or HBM. Production capacity is tied to the joint venture with Kioxia, so the production rhythm can't be decided independently. The logic is straightforward: large-capacity SSD demand driven by AI inference.
When the market is good, its elasticity far exceeds Micron's, but the risk is highly concentrated. Once NAND spot prices turn down, profits will be directly pressured, and the pullback can be severe. Different tracks, different risk structures—don't lump them together.$SOL generates over sixty thousand new coins every day.
The on-chain inflation rate is currently 3.6%, issuing about 23 million new coins annually, which breaks down to 63,000 coins daily. At the current price, that's roughly seven million US dollars. This rate decreases year by year, down to a minimum of 1.5%.
If the price drops by half, the daily issuance remains 63,000 coins; only the USD value changes. This figure is set in the on-chain parameters and does not adjust with market fluctuations.
Newly issued coins are distributed to stakers based on their staking shares—the more you stake, the more you receive. Rewards are settled once per epoch and paid out every two days. Coins received count as circulating supply; if restaked, they remain in the staking pool, and if sold, they add to the market supply.
Currently, 439 million SOL are staked with validators, accounting for 74.5% of circulating supply and 69% of total supply. There are 674 validators in total, with 7 offline. The gross annual staking yield is about 5.2%, with validators taking a median commission of 5%. Staked coins cannot be withdrawn immediately; unstaking requires waiting for one epoch, approximately two days.
There are only 46.55 million SOL not in circulation, representing 7.3% of total supply, valued at 5.2 billion USD. The total market capitalization is 65.9 billion USD.
Inflation rate, non-circulating supply, and staking amount are updated monthly and publicly available on-chain.The leader has something to say
ASML will announce its Q3 earnings on October 14, with the focus on EUV orders. The company previously guided revenue between €11 billion and €12 billion, with a gross margin of 55% to 57%, and raised its full-year 2026 revenue forecast to €43 billion to €45 billion. The logic is straightforward: demand for AI chips and advanced memory is rising, customers are accelerating capacity expansion, and lithography equipment orders follow.
This earnings report is an indirect signal for crypto. If EUV orders exceed expectations, it indicates AI hardware investment is still accelerating, funds will continue to stay in chips and cloud infrastructure, liquidity from Bitcoin and altcoins will be drained, which is bearish. If below expectations, the semiconductor sector will pull back, risk appetite will shrink, and Bitcoin will also come under pressure. Neither scenario is very friendly.
I still hold long Bitcoin positions at 83,000 and short positions at 86,500, hedging both sides with light positions. No one-sided bets before CPI release. Long stop loss at 81,500, target 86,000. Short stop loss at 87,500, target 84,500 to 85,000. Whichever target is reached first, reduce that side first.
ASML's earnings report is industry validation, not a directional switch. The real market movers remain US Treasury yields and CPI. Set stop losses properly and don't hold through risks. #阿斯麦Q3财报10月14日公布，EUV订单成焦点 $BTC $ETH $STRK
The above analysis is time-sensitive; stop losses must be set properly. Good luck.🔥Key focus of the Federal Reserve this week;
Wednesday's US September CPI is the core inflation data, and Thursday the Fed will release the Beige Book. Several Fed officials will speak from Tuesday to Friday, with Fed Chair Walsh's fireside chat at the IMF annual meeting on Friday as the highlight. His remarks will directly impact interest rate expectations, the dollar, and gold.
Trump announced a "energy ceasefire" agreement between Russia and Ukraine, stating the agreement takes effect immediately. Crude oil $CL dropped in response. Yesterday, short positions were scared off by the Houthi attack on the Saudi airport. Too much news increases uncertainty, and combined with the cost of shorting oil, the short positions that remain can take partial profits in the target range of 88.5-86.5 for intraday short-term goals.
$XAU is fluctuating in the 4200-4220 range, also awaiting Wednesday's CPI data. Although the long position at 4128 was missed, I choose to wait for the data to settle before entering. The resistance zone above is 4250-4280, which requires positive news to break through.
$BTC short positions near 83700 were still held last night. The rebound met resistance around 84000, and a quick breakthrough is unlikely in the short term. I still hold all short positions. Ethereum was warned last night that around 2520 is not a good time to short; those wanting to short can do so in the 2563-2573 range. Today's high of 2563 arrived as expected. Let's see how the US stock market performs tonight before deciding how long to hold the short positions.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 First, record the position of $PUMP, then discuss the viewpoint: current price is 0.005693, about 5.62% away from the 1-hour support at 0.005373, and about 3.46% away from the resistance at 0.00589.
The direction of $PUMP is not ambiguous; the real difficulty is whether the current position is still worth continuing to bet on the direction. The 1-hour is slightly strong, the 4-hour is slightly strong, with RSI values of 54 and 64 respectively.
I only keep one confirmation for upward movement — breaking through 0.00589; and only one condition to negate downward movement — falling below 0.005373. Other fluctuations are considered noise for now.
If you must choose a verification point first, would you focus on confirming the resistance or the breach of support?
The above is market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Coin Circle NiuNiu.$BTC
【Weekly Level】
Last week closed with a bearish candle, dipping down with a wick, but the weekly candle body did not break below 83000. The observation point remains at 83000.
1) If the weekly close is below 83000, a weekly pullback is expected; otherwise, there is still potential for a rally with a target of 90000.
2) Weekly support is between 73000-69000. This range is a long-term buy zone; it may not reach this level, but if it does, buying is a must.
【Daily Level】
1) The daily chart can be seen as a double top pattern, and the neckline at 82500 has been broken. The double top bearish target is 77500.
2) Daily resistance is between 84900-87200. Price rebound to this area can be an opportunity to short.
Note ⚠️: The double top pattern is invalidated if price breaks above 87200.
【4-Hour Level】
Last week, a rebound expectation was given on the 4-hour chart, which played out smoothly. The price rebounded from below 81000 to now 83800. I think this rebound will be about 84300 or above, entering the daily resistance zone, and long positions can be exited.$ZEC 30-minute level analysis
This ID's view: After ZEC's early deep drop probing the low at 1112, the market gradually stabilized and rose. The short-term trend leans toward oscillating bullishness, but overall it is a recovery phase following a major decline. There is still previous resistance above, so do not be overly optimistic about chasing highs. Enter the market waiting for a pullback to the 1255‑1262 support zone to stabilize before adding long positions; if the price reaches the 1300‑1310 resistance zone, once upward momentum weakens, take profits in batches and exit. If the price effectively breaks below the 1240 defense level, abandon the long strategy immediately.
Chan Theory Structure
On the 30-minute timeframe, the downward segment starting from the high of 1383.76 fully released bearish momentum at the low of 1112.06. After the market bottomed and rebounded, it formed a rally segment, during which a purple secondary minor consolidation zone was built on the chart. Subsequently, the price moved upward leaving this consolidation box, and during the pullback phase, it did not fall back into the consolidation zone, forming a third buy structure. Now, the focus is on the continuation strength of this upward move. If the price falls back into the consolidation zone again, this bullish buy point will be invalidated, and the market will enter a sideways grinding phase.
Wyckoff Volume-Price Observation
From the low rebound, volume remained stable during the back-and-forth oscillation inside the consolidation, indicating slow chip exchange; the breakout from the consolidation was driven by incremental funds pushing the price up. However, after the surge, volume quickly shrank, showing that few active funds outside are chasing the rise. Most are trapped positions recovering, with no signs of large capital entering aggressively.
Core Observation
Focus closely on the upper support edge of the secondary minor consolidation.$BTC Bitcoin currently does not have a high cost-performance for going long; the rebound is a shorting opportunity, and the margin of safety is still quite high. After the CPI on the 14th, the overall market is still bearish. The market won't easily sustain a one-sided upward trend. From the bottom rebound of over fifty thousand to nearly eighty-eight thousand, a 10-20% correction is normal. It might even dip to around 7.8-7.5 with a wick before the end of the month when the interest rate announcement is made, then a new round of upward trend will start again.First, let's put last week's prediction here, no hindsight bias:
Sanpao dared to clearly express a short position view at 85500-87000 last week when the price was 84500, and it eventually dropped to 80344, a nearly 7000-point decline fully realized. Before the crash, he also advised everyone not to go long at 82600.
This time, I directly give a clear view that 83600 is a buying opportunity, and you can go long anywhere in the 82900-83500 range. I have my reasons for this view:
The uptrend has quietly appeared.
1. 4-hour candlestick chart: Calculating from the high point 87385, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of this decline is exactly around 83000, a classic retracement support with natural buying power.
2. Institutional data doesn't lie: From October 7 to 8, ETF net outflows exceeded 700 million USD, but the net inflow of 6.3 billion USD over the past three months remains, indicating the base position is still there. The long-term logic of allocating Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs hasn't changed.
3. After rising to 87000 on October 2, all sell orders have been exhausted. 80344 is the low point tested by the downtrend. Now going long near 83000 is a well-calculated upward strategy considering support, stop loss, and risk-reward ratio.
Buy at the low point between 82900-83500.
First target: 85500-86000, reduce most positions to lock in profits, and hold the rest waiting for the previous high at 87000.
If the 4-hour level breaks below 82500 effectively, stop loss immediately and exit.
Trading is never about stubbornly holding one direction.
Nor is it a reflex to go long when it falls or short when it rises.
I dare to short above 85500 and also dare to call long near 83000.
The core focus is on three things: Is the position good enough? Is the risk-reward ratio high enough? Is the logic solid enough?
This position is worth taking action on Conclusion first: $S (Status/SNT) rose 29% in 24 hours, from 0.046 to 0.069 — no news, it's a rotation in the low market cap Memecoin sector.
At 8 AM today, the 4H candle with a volume of 73.89 million tokens (5 times the previous candle) pushed the price to a high of 0.069, then quickly fell back to close at 0.060 in the evening.
Huge volume at the top + long upper shadow = someone is selling, retail investors can't pull off a single candle with 73.89 million tokens.
But $S itself can't support this increase. SNT is a 2017 ICO smart contract messaging app; its narrative has long expired. The real logic: Memecoin season funds are looking for old tokens with low FDV, light supply, and dispersed addresses, which are easiest for speculative capital to target.
The long upper shadow at the top is bearish, but sector sentiment remains. Holding 0.055 could allow for further upward movement.
What do you think about the rally of old Memecoins like $S? Is it sector rotation, or purely speculative capital playing fools? Where is $S's next resistance level?"Are the Three Brothers up to something again? Can they break through this time?" 📈
The market suddenly became active late last night, with BTC and ETH both rebounding. Coupled with the news of a Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire, market sentiment has warmed somewhat, but the details of the agreement remain unclear, so the positive news cannot yet be considered a trend reversal.
$BTC: Retesting around $84,000, with $85,000 still a key resistance. Only a breakout with volume can offer a chance to continue upward.
$ETH: Near $2,550, the rebound momentum has somewhat recovered, but it still depends on whether it can break the previous high and escape the consolidation.
$SOL: Hovering around $111, no clear strong trend yet; whether it can follow the rise is worth watching.
The most critical thing now is not how much it has risen, but whether the gains can be maintained.
The Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire news has boosted sentiment, but whether it can last depends on subsequent developments. With funds returning on Monday, whether the Three Brothers can truly break through depends on volume and key resistance levels. Don’t rush to conclude a reversal just because of a rise.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 Weekends should be spent enjoying life, not staring at the computer watching the market. Hold onto your core beta assets and enjoy life. The stories of hunters chasing alpha for quick riches may be captivating, but most wealthy people are farmer-style investors.
$BTCAlarm sounding, a flash crash could happen at any moment, but my hand uncontrollably reached for the fifty-times leverage valve.
I had just taken off my sweat-soaked fireproof suit, the residual pressure alarm of the air respirator still screaming in my ears. Reason told me that $XRP's current sideways movement is like the strange negative pressure inhalation before a flash fire—seemingly calm, but once the door is pushed open, flames will engulf everything. I swear this is the last time I go high leverage; I was just brutally wiped out last week. That suffocating feeling was like losing the air supply in a fire, but seeing the lower Bollinger Band repeatedly hit, adrenaline instantly overpowered my professional discipline.
Knowing full well there were no water hoses laid out, no safety personnel marking the entrance, rushing in would be a violation that costs lives. Technically, the RSI is tugging at the midline, the Bollinger Bands' upper and lower bands squeezed extremely tight—a typical toxic gas accumulation state. This is not a bottom formation at all, but the groan of a load-bearing structure about to snap. Yet that sick thrill of walking the tightrope on the fire line returned, heart racing to 180, hands faster than the brain. I cursed myself as a gambler while placing a short position before the safety passage completely collapsed.
If an absolute firebreak is not established, the blaze will burn the principal to ashes.
- Target: $XRP 🔴
- Entry: 1.4000 - 1.4150
- TP1: 1.3850
- TP2: 1.3650
- SL: 1.4320
Cylinder pressure is at the bottom, the fire door has deformed, retreat cut off. 🧑🚒
#CoinMoveAlertA certain mysterious whale swapped 410 BTC for 14,341 ETH, with just over thirty million dollars flowing in and out. The ETH purchase was done through an on-chain DEX, not OTC.
Whether this position reshuffle is right or wrong is hard to say. Those holding tens of millions calculate how to arrange the ledger, while those following the news calculate whether the price will rise tomorrow — the same order, two sets of books.
$BTC
$ETH $BTC $ETH $SOL
Most of the coins strengthening today are "news-driven + short covering," not new money entering the market.
Who is rising today
· NEAR: Up nearly 10%, with the direct catalyst being the announcement of support for a quantum-resistant signature scheme.
· Layer 2 / Modular sector: STRK up over 20%, W up over 65%, funds are betting on an upgrade narrative.
· ZEC / XMR: Privacy coins up about 3%, following the rebound trend.
Why bottom-fishing is not recommended
· Poor quality of the rise: $78 million worth of shorts were liquidated within 24 hours, driven by short squeezes, not buying pressure.
· Sentiment is already greedy: The fear and greed index has risen to 69, in the "others are greedy" zone, making short-term chasing less cost-effective.
· Funds have not kept up: BTC ETF saw a net outflow of $680 million last week, institutions are withdrawing, and altcoin rallies look more like "self-rescue."
If you want to act, at least wait until after the 10/14 CPI release to see the direction. Chasing altcoins now is easy to get trapped.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 #台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ $ZEC
After the expansion of ZEC's recovery, can the previous defensive label still be applied?
Today's early spot 24-hour observation window: range 1220.53—1299.53 USDT, change +3.56%, trading volume approximately 32.15 million USDT.
The quotation range is higher than yesterday, and the window return has also expanded, indicating some recovery in support. However, defensive strength needs to be observed during a market downturn; attention to privacy themes does not prove that there is a stable buyer every time there is a pullback.
If next time BTC falls and ZEC breaks below 1220.53 faster, the defensive explanation is downgraded; if it stabilizes at the low point and recovers 1299.53 first, then the relative demand judgment is raised again. $LINK LINK: Why doesn't it fall as hard as SOL, nor rise as sharply as SOL?
Because LINK's holder structure is more "middleware":
Institutions/developers look at adoption
Long-term holders look at CCIP/Traditional Finance partnerships
Retail investors aren't that crazy
So LINK's Beta is lower than SOL's, slightly higher than ETH's. Today, 24h +1.4%, relatively strong among altcoins, indicating money is "buying the pipeline" rather than "buying the casino."
In my portfolio, LINK usually accounts for 4–6%, playing the role of:
More flexibility than BTC
More fundamentals than DOGE
Less drawdown than SOL
More RWA story than ADA
Today the market is neutral, LINK at $13 is neither cheap nor expensive. Don't wait for $5, and don't believe in $100. The value of middleware is "slow money recognition," not "Twitter hype." $LINK #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ $ZEC ZEC 30-minute level analysis
After a deep initial drop to the 1112 low, the market gradually stabilized and rose. The short-term trend leans towards a bullish consolidation, but overall it is a recovery phase following a major decline. There is still previous resistance above, so avoid being overly optimistic and chasing highs. Enter positions after waiting for a pullback to the 1255‑1262 support zone to stabilize before adding long positions; if the price reaches the 1300‑1310 resistance zone, start taking profits in batches once upward momentum weakens. If the price effectively breaks below the 1240 defense level, abandon the long strategy immediately.
Chan Theory Structure
On the 30-minute timeframe, the downward segment starting from the high of 1383.76 fully released bearish momentum at the 1112.06 low. After the market bottomed and rebounded, it formed a rally and built the purple secondary consolidation zone shown on the chart. The price then moved above this consolidation box and during the pullback phase did not fall back into the consolidation, forming a triple buy structure. Now, the focus is on the strength of this upward continuation. If the price falls back into the consolidation zone again, this bullish buy signal will be invalidated and the market will enter a sideways grinding phase.
Wyckoff Volume-Price Observation
Since rebounding from the low, volume remained stable during the back-and-forth consolidation within the zone, indicating slow chip exchange. The breakout from the consolidation was driven by incremental funds pushing the price higher. However, volume quickly shrank after the rally, showing that few active funds outside the market chased the rise; mostly it was trapped positions being released and repaired. There is no sign of large capital entering aggressively.
Key Observation
Focus closely on the upper support of the secondary consolidation zone #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 The Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire doubt: crude oil first falls as a sign of respect, but the real risk has not yet been lifted After Trump announced on social media that Russia and Ukraine had reached an energy ceasefire, international oil prices fell during Monday's Asian trading session. Brent crude December futures dropped to a range of $102.88 to $103.18 per barrel, WTI crude November futures fell below the $90 mark, and ICE diesel futures declined by 3%. The market expressed its expectations for "supply improvement" with real money, but the foundation of this expectation remains very fragile at present. First, look at the agreement itself. Trump claimed that both sides had agreed to enter an energy ceasefire state but did not disclose any specific terms, enforcement mechanisms, or duration. Ukrainian President Zelensky then publicly stated that this was the first time he had heard of the agreement and added that Ukraine would be willing to accept it if Russia agreed. This directly contradicts Trump's claim that "both sides have agreed." The Russian side has not yet officially confirmed it; the Russian presidential spokesman previously stated that Russia hopes not only to stop attacks on refineries but also to lift sanctions restricting global energy supplies. In other words, this seems more like a unilaterally announced intention rather than a finalized agreement. The market still reacted with a price drop because the geopolitical premium in oil prices has been too high in recent weeks. Russian diesel exports have decreased by about 500,000 barrels per day, while the supply of refined products and crude oil in the Persian Gulf region has declined even more. Any news that could ease supply tightness would trigger profit-taking by bulls The fault zone in the stratigraphic profile has already appeared; this is by no means a revival of civilization, but rather the last illusory flare of Pompeii before its fall.
At 3:17 AM, the cold coffee on the workbench had long formed a layer of grease, and the ancient Roman decline history documents spread beside me were dog-eared from frequent reading. The screen glowed faintly, stretching my withered figure long; only I and the $ZEC K-line stared at each other in this dead silence. I originally thought today I could dig out a magnificent relic continuing the main upward wave, but what I actually unearthed was just a pile of bricks and tiles that couldn't withstand scrutiny, utterly disappointing.
There is never anything new under the sun. The daylight floods the city, the night devours it; all rises and falls are cyclical marks of human nature. The current price is capped near 1283.61, with the 1-hour Bollinger upper band at 1297.89 like a precarious white marble dome—seemingly majestic but already showing structural cracks. The 1-hour RSI has climbed to 63.0, approaching the critical weathering point of overbought. The so-called bullish narratives of the bulls, in the face of millennia of cyclical sedimentation, are nothing but another doomed Ponzi tulip bubble.
The brush in my hand gently sweeps over this stratum, stripping away the restless bubbles; the bedrock beneath has long loosened. If the upward attack cannot pierce the hard basalt resistance of the upper band, this will be the best place for burial; history never pities the late-stage revelry.
- Target: $ZEC 🔴
- Entry: 1280.00 - 1295.00
- TP1: 1258.60
- TP2: 1220.00
- SL: 1308.00
The night outside the window is as heavy as a freshly unearthed bronze coffin; the upper shadow of this K-line is like a rusty broken sword, firmly nailed to the tombstone at 1298.
#CoinMoveAlert 🏛️🔍OKX is launching Changxin Storage, Yushu, and triple Nasdaq perpetual contracts this afternoon, opening at 16:30 and all settled in USDT.
OKX is consecutively listing four US stocks and unicorn perpetual contracts this afternoon. Changxin opens first at 16:30, followed by BSP, TQQQ, and Yushu every 15 minutes. Funding fees are charged every 8 hours. All four contracts use USDT margin, so there's no need to get an overseas card to open a US stock account; you can directly place orders by searching the codes on the mobile app.
For unicorns like Changxin or Yushu that are not yet publicly listed, it's basically impossible to get allocations in the primary market; trading leveraged ETFs like TQQQ used to require waiting for US market open or wire transfers. I searched on OKX this morning, and these new codes are already in the contract list, so you can place orders directly using the U in your spot account.
However, TQQQ itself is a 3x leveraged ETF, so adding leverage again in perpetual contracts will accelerate liquidation speed exponentially. I just checked the market: Bitcoin spot turnover is at $83,709.1, with a fee rate at -0.0004%. The platform's total perpetual open interest is $7.737 billion, and the fear and greed index is stuck at 69. US stock spreads tend to be wider during off-hours than at market open. I added these to my watchlist first and will observe the initial matching depth when the first batch opens at 16:30.
These four new contracts will open one after another this afternoon. Will you place orders first for unicorns like Changxin and Yushu, or wait for the US market open tonight to trade TQQQ for Nasdaq swing trading? Why did $W see a 60% increase today?
Fundamental expectations: The "W 2.0" fee switch narrative resurfaces
The "W 2.0" tokenomics reform launched by Wormhole in September 2025 has recently been repriced by the market. Core expectations include: the introduction of the Wormhole Reserve strategic reserve, a 4% base staking yield, and changing the annual large unlocks to biweekly unlocks to smooth selling pressure. Although these mechanisms are not newly released, during sector rotation, capital began to trade ahead on the expected value capture from the "protocol fee switch".
Institutional cooperation and ecosystem integration: intensive recent developments
· October 6: Announced cooperation with AMD to use its FPGA hardware accelerators to advance the zero-knowledge proof (ZK) roadmap, improving speed and scalability of multi-chain applications.
· September 29: Asset tokenization platform Securitize selected Wormhole as its official interoperability provider for all current and future tokenized assets.
Derivatives market: short squeeze provides direct fuel
On-chain monitoring shows a whale address going long 28.88 million W tokens with 5x leverage (position value about $643,000). Previously, this address profited over $1 million by going long $STRK. This large leveraged long entry, combined with price breaking key resistance levels, triggered concentrated short liquidations (about $1.12 million liquidated shorts within 24 hours), forming a "short squeeze" rally. The myocardial enzyme spectrum has already sounded the alarm; the coronary artery of $NMR is in spasm.
In 24 hours, it has only slightly increased by 2.41%, but don't be fooled by this seemingly stable ECG—the real lesion lies in the microcirculation. The short-term RSI has surged to 65.3, approaching the overbought threshold, while the long-term RSI remains stuck at a neutral 45.5. This divergence between short and long cycles is like the ventricles and atria beating independently, potentially triggering hemodynamic collapse at any moment.
An even more dangerous signal comes from the Bollinger Bands. The current price has already pierced the upper band of the short-term Bollinger Band, positioned at an extreme 112%, just -0.4% from the upper band—this is a typical precursor to "myocardial stunning": surface contraction continues, but actual pumping efficiency has failed. The mid-term Bollinger Band is at 71%, with the price still 4.0% above the lower band, indicating that mid-term support has not completely collapsed, but the short-term overbought condition is like a guidewire piercing a plaque, leading to a thrombus cascade next.
The current market looks exactly like a preoperative angiogram: the 24-hour amplitude has narrowed, but RSI1H > 64 has triggered a SELL signal, a clear indication of declining coronary flow reserve fraction. The price still has 1.5% room to rise from the entry point at 9.31, but this 1.5% is not profit—it's the last compensatory phase of myocardial ischemia.
The surgical plan is set and will be executed step-by-step:
📉 Short:
Entry: 9.31 (current price +1.5%)
Take Profit 1: 8.63 (-5.9%)
Take Profit 2: 8.82 (-3.9%)
Stop Loss: 10.16 (+10.7%)
Note that the stop loss is at 10.16, which is 10.7% above the current price. This effectively reserves a 10.7% risk of ventricular aneurysm rupture for the heart. Once the price breaks this level, it indicates that the aortic dissection has torn into the pericardium, and the operation must be immediately terminated.
Target 1 is set at 8.63, which is 5.9% below the entry point, representing the expected recovery zone of myocardial stunning after coronary reperfusion. Target 2 is at 8.82, a more conservative 3.9% pullback, representing the establishment of collateral circulation. These two take-profit levels act like backup pumps in extracorporeal circulation, ready to take over the native heart at any time.
The current price at 9.18 is in the upper-middle region of the Bollinger Bands, with short-term overbought combined with long-term neutrality. This combination is called "critical stenosis" in hemodynamics—no intervention leads to myocardial infarction, but too aggressive intervention risks perforation. Therefore, the SELL signal is not emotional; it is diagnostic.
The aorta has been clamped, and cold crystalloid cardioplegia is being perfused. #strategyplaybookLedger has further clarified the scope of the investigation: As of 01:13 Beijing time on October 12, in the incident disclosed on October 9, all confirmed cases of stolen coins involved devices sold by the Southeast Asian distributor CryptoBilis. The company stated that its own systems and direct sales channels were not affected, and the investigation is ongoing.
This update also requires authorized distributors to purchase only from official channels and not to reshelve returned products. It was previously confirmed that one device had hardware added; "confirmed cases are concentrated in a single channel," but it cannot yet be concluded that the cause of all device thefts has been identified.
CryptoBilis has ceased all hardware wallet sales. The official recommendation is that devices bought from this channel but not yet initialized should not be set up; users who have already set up their devices should switch to new devices from Ledger with brand new recovery phrases. Contact should only be made through the official support website; Ledger will never ask for the 24-word recovery phrase via phone or private message.
In the same case, Bitquery has recorded losses of BTC, ETH, BNB, and other assets. The three coins below correspond to these records and are provided only as spot navigation. Further updates will depend on the affected batches and the complete investigation results.
Source: Ledger October 12 72-hour update, Bitquery investigation of the same case; the image shows the official original post and date, not the amount of newly stolen coins. #Ledger调查新进展：失窃暂集中单一渠道 $BTC $ETH $BNB Conclusion first: Don't chase the highs today, see if 84200 can hold. Overnight was quite strange. BTC rose to 83976, +1.16% in 24h, with a high touching 84200; ETH at 2548 up 1.63%, SOL at 111.83 up 1.64%, all turning green. But BTC and ETH rates actually turned negative, BTC -0.0018%, ETH -0.0019%, basically the bulls aren't even willing to pay interest. SOL rate +0.0065%, that side is a bit hotter. Price up, rates weak, this combination usually means spot is pushing, contracts haven't caught up. BTC OI is 2.46 billion USD, no surge, leverage not crazy. Today just focus on one thing: can BTC hold above 84200. If it holds, there's still momentum to test higher; if it breaks up but falls back below 82800, my judgment is void, it's a false breakout, better hold back before Wednesday's CPI. Do you think 84200 can hold today? $SUI SUI: Survival Rules for New Chain Players
Three Don'ts for New Chains:
Don't treat airdrop expectations as cash flow
Don't mistake inflated TVL for adoption
Don't take KOL shoutouts as research reports
SUI is at 1.10 today; the ecosystem has potential but lacks depth. A single large order can pump it 5%, a single negative news can drop it 10%. Suitable for:
Those who know how to take profits
Those who check the unlock calendar
Those who monitor TVL and stablecoin net inflows
Not suitable for:
Those who play dead after losses
Those who become their own Buffett after gains
Today's market fear and greed index is 57; new chains haven't reached a frenzy stage. For coins like SUI, the biggest gains come during the "BTC sideways end + risk appetite recovery" phase, not by guessing direction now. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ Grid trading only yields steamed buns, but the STRK short position surged 27%! Finally got a chicken leg 🤡
I originally thought I could only survive on steamed buns today, but just now I checked my positions and managed to add a chicken leg for myself! 🍗
——————
First, let's review this frustrating $CL crude oil short grid (Fig. 2):
Unconsciously running for nearly 4 days (3 days 22 hours 59 minutes), with a total investment of 200U.
The arbitrage annualized return of +163% looks impressive? But the total profit: -0.01%!
The bot worked hard to arbitrage 428 times, earning 1.78%, all swallowed by unmatched losses, purely working for the platform. I was so annoyed that I could only eat boiled eggs with plain steamed buns at noon (Fig. 1).
But! As the saying goes, when the east doesn't shine, the west does (Fig. 3):
My manually opened $STRK short position performed well today! 3x leverage, current price 0.11014, floating profit soared to +27.27% (earned 20.48U).
The profit from this short position just made up for the grid's loss, so today's lunch finally got a chicken leg!
——————
💡 Monday macro outlook and reflections (key takeaways):
1. Never use grid trading in a trending market: Recently, macro funds have been fiercely competing, crude oil jumping up and down, grid trading is like boiling a frog slowly, wasting time without making money. I must find a chance to close it this afternoon!
2. Following the trend to short is the way to go: For strong coins like STRK in the early stage, once the market lacks upward momentum, following the trend to short is much safer than trying to guess the bottom and go long against the trend.
💬 Brothers, what delicious food are you having for lunch today?
Have you ever been trapped by grid trading and ended up recovering losses manually?
For my STRK floating profit, should I take profits this afternoon or keep holding?
Let's chat in the comments, open to advice! 👇
#STRK #CrudeOilCL #OKX #ContractGrid #TradingInsights #RetailTraderDiary