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About $18.58 million worth of long positions in HYPE were liquidated in the past 24 hours, but the last 4 hours have been tougher for shorts: about $117,000 of short positions were liquidated, while longs only $615. From 13:05 to 13:06 on October 13 (Beijing time), this contrast appeared in the CoinGlass sub-table.
At the same time, ZEC saw about $21.38 million of long liquidations in the past 24 hours; in the last 4 hours, longs were about $62,200 and shorts $900,200. ETH showed a similar pattern: 24-hour long liquidations around $145 million, with the last 4 hours showing $502,500 longs and $21.15 million shorts.
The 4-hour data is included within the 24-hour data, so the two figures should not be added together. The side that lost more over the full day may be opposite to the side currently being squeezed; focusing only on the full-day "long liquidations" headline can overlook short-term short pressure. This statistic reflects the size of forcibly liquidated contracts, not net account losses.
Source: Original CoinGlass sub-table, covering platform statistics but not the entire market; the chart was captured at the above time. The three coins correspond to actual sub-items, with related spot market navigation below. #波动雷达：币种异动观察 $HYPE $ZEC $ETH Big Brother Maji gave back $12.3 million in profits, with only $290,000 left in the account
$ETH fell 4% today, and Big Brother Maji almost entirely gave back the $12.3 million profit accumulated from rolling long positions starting at $1900, leaving only $290,000 in the account.
He currently still holds 3,500 ETH long positions. If $ETH drops about $30 more to $2393, the remaining funds face the risk of being wiped out.ARB/USDT Perpetual Daily Level --> Currently operating in a rebound market; if the resistance level cannot be surpassed, short positions can be opened.
My view: The price peaked and pulled back at 0.25569, currently oscillating within the high-level purple central zone. The overall major trend has shifted from a one-sided rise to high-level consolidation, with short-term pressure. A short can be attempted when the rebound hits the 0.198 resistance zone, targeting the 0.174 support low, with a stop loss set above 0.206. Once the price stabilizes above this level, the bearish idea is invalidated.
Chan Theory Structure: Starting from the low of 0.07040, a daily-level main upward wave was initiated, rising steadily to a high of 0.25569; after the peak, a purple daily central zone was formed on the chart. The current market is within this central oscillation range. The pullback from the high has not yet broken downward out of the central zone, representing a consolidation after the rise, not yet a full transition to a one-sided downtrend.
Wyckoff Volume-Price Observation: The candlestick at the 0.25569 peak showed a large volume phase, indicating concentrated capital taking profits and exiting; after entering the central oscillation, each rebound's volume gradually decreases, the bullish buying strength continues to weaken, while the selling pressure volume on down candles has increased, showing a gradual exhaustion of bullish momentum.
Core observation: Focus on the 0.198 resistance level; if the rebound stalls here with insufficient volume, it is an opportunity to short; if volume breaks out above 0.206, it indicates renewed bullish strength and a breakout upward from the central oscillation, and the short position idea should be abandoned.$BOME secured profits, $BTC along with the overall market shows signs of stopping the decline, likely to fluctuate between 81,000 and 84,000 recently. Under these circumstances, bome is also very likely bottoming out.
Anyway, it still feels like until the PPI and CPI data are released, crypto won't have a clear direction.
Brothers trading $BTC and Ethereum these days should have a feeling: it neither falls nor rises decisively. When you trade the trend, it gives you oscillations; when you try to trade the oscillation waves, it breaks down or up in minutes!
So the best approach is to stop trading for now, wait for the data to come out, and then start trading when things are clearer!
#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 #BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？ Data Week Is Here: What Will Decide Crypto’s Next Move? ⏳ $BTC at 83,406, $ETH at 2,550, $SOL at 111, and $XAUT at 4,171. The market feels frozen, as traders wait for the next major catalyst. ⏸️ Three key forces could determine the next direction: 🌍 Geopolitics and Oil Prices: Disruptions in the Middle East could push energy prices higher and reignite inflation concerns. Gold may benefit from safe-haven demand, but a stronger dollar and rising real yields could also weigh on its price. Safe-刺客社区UEX 日报｜油价冲高，纳指回落，Strategy还在买 我是刺哥，今天这盘面，油价是主角。 美股10月12日分化，道指涨0.38%，标普跌0.06%，纳指跌0.44%。科技七巨头四涨三跌，Meta因为发布新AI模型涨了3.38%，微软涨1.14%，英伟达跌1.29%。Meta这波靠Muse Wonder系列模型撑住了，AI竞争已经从算力往智能体和商业化延伸。 最大的变量是油价。沙特机场遇袭，中东供应风险又往上顶，布伦特涨到106.65美元，近一个月高位。美元指数也创了18个月新高，克利夫兰联储主席Hammack强调要维持限制性政策。高油价加高利率，风险资产两头受气。 加密这边，BTC在82527附近，24小时跌1.57%。ETH在2515，跌0.43%。总市值2.88万亿，24小时变动约0.7%。今天清算地图数据没拿到，所以不瞎猜清算区在哪。 Strategy还在买。10月5日到11日期间增持250枚BTC，均价约86194美元，总持仓升到848250枚，累计成本约640亿，平均成本75444。现价82399，比成本高约9.22%。注意，这周只买了250枚，规模不大，不能单凭Recently, the barber downstairs was all talking about this.
At first, I just listened for fun.
Later, on a whim, I took a few hundred bucks to test the waters.
The first purchase was $BTC.
After buying, it just moved sideways and then dropped.
It dropped so much that I couldn't even eat properly.
A few days later, I tried $ETH.
There’s really a lot going on there.
The fees are also really high.
One wrong click and the whole transaction is wasted.
Then I heard $SOL is fast.
I transferred some small change to roam around on the chain.
It’s really fast.
But the traps are dense too.
Some projects were there in the morning and gone by the evening.
After losing a few times, I gradually calmed down.
I don’t chase hot topics.
I don’t follow pump calls.
I don’t touch what I don’t understand.
I write down my private keys myself.
I don’t give them to anyone who asks.
I don’t click on unknown links.
No matter how tempting the airdrop is, I don’t connect my wallet recklessly.
Now I only hold money I’m okay losing.
Just leave it be.
When it rises, I don’t get cocky.
When it falls, I don’t panic.
There are many opportunities in this field.
But there are even more traps.
Living long is more important than making a quick profit.
Don’t borrow money.
Don’t get carried away.
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits.
Leave the rest to time#台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
#微软发布新一代AI芯片，股价触及年内高点 Order Book Strength Ranking
5-minute median slippage, estimated by order book
After amplifying orders for BLUR and RSR, both buy and sell slippage increased significantly, with BLUR showing the highest simulated buy/sell slippage at the 100,000 scale.
$BLUR simulated buy/sell slippage at 10,000 scale is 0.16%/0.16%, and at 100,000 scale is 0.99%/1.00%.
$RSR simulated buy/sell slippage at 10,000 scale is 0.15%/0.16%, and at 100,000 scale is 0.66%/0.67%.
$W large buy/sell costs both rise, while small sell orders remain almost unchanged. Simulated buy/sell slippage at 100,000 scale increased from 0.38%/0.27% to 0.43%/0.42%. Selling at 10,000 scale remains about 0.09%. $BTC 82,300美元附近，24小时跌1.5%左右，从84,300美元高点回落，下方81,000美元附近是支撑。 $ETH 2,460美元附近，24小时跌3%左右，反弹力度偏弱，下方2,400美元附近先看着。 $ZEC 1,266美元附近，波动更大，下方1,220美元附近是支撑。 市场情绪方面，贪婪指数还在69，但更多是空头被扫上去的轧空，不是真有人在大举进场。 ETF资金还在流出，机构态度谨慎。 散户基本都在观望，不敢重仓，多空来回扫单，操作难度很大。 后续看，今天白天大概率继续震荡磨盘。明天CPI数据出来前，行情更容易反复，别急着当反转。 这轮反弹更像是下跌后的修复震荡，不是真反转。半夜插针如果能接到支撑位，盈亏比还算可以；接不到也别硬追，等明天CPI数据出来再看方向。有实际落地、能产生收益的标的，才是真正值得多看的。 ⚠️个人盘面复盘，不构成投资建议 Where is Bitcoin headed next? Check the liquidation map, Day 2
Compared to yesterday: Price 84,142 → 82,784 (-1.6%)
Yesterday I said $BTC would go up, but I was wrong. Cumulative record: 0 right, 1 wrong.
1. Today's data
Below, the cumulative long liquidation intensity is $1.1 billion; above, the cumulative short liquidation intensity is $2 billion.
2. Key price levels to watch
82,000: Lower edge of the dense long position area; breaking below here will accelerate the first wave of forced liquidations.
79,000: The densest segment of long positions; the buffer starts to thin from here.
84,500: The first cluster of short positions; one of the highest bars on the entire chart.
85,000: The second cluster of short positions; breaking through here will cause the most intense squeeze.
3. Possible trends
Upward: Standing above 83,332 starts squeezing short positions; covering shorts is itself buying → 84,449 → 85,013 → 86,141 with almost no shorts above, resistance is very thin.
Downward: Breaking below 82,000 → 79,467, the densest long position area → once a chain of forced liquidations opens, the buffer is very thin.
4. My judgment
Currently, the cumulative short liquidation intensity reaches $2 billion, while longs are only $1 billion. Data-wise, it's easier to move toward the direction with the least resistance. I think it will rise to $90,000, but current data doesn't allow it yet; it will still oscillate between 81,000 and 85,000 with no clear trend.
What do you think?Unichain has been "sent away," what remains of the $UNI story?
On October 29, Uniswap Labs handed over its own child Unichain to Optimism. This self-owned L2, which was only set to launch in 2025, survived just over a year before being hastily transferred. The announcement was understated, but the strategic contraction is unmistakable—Uniswap is refocusing on its core business.
For UNI holders, this is not good news.
The daily trading volume of the Uniswap main protocol has always been strong, but the "fee switch" sword hanging over it has been discussed for years without being implemented. Token holders watch the protocol's cash flow surge daily, yet they can't get a penny of that cash flow themselves. Unichain was once the only story to tell: a self-built chain, self-controlled distribution, and the possibility of slicing the pie again in the future. Now that story has been torn apart.
What remains? Trading volume data, plus the hope that "the switch will be turned on someday." But relying on hope alone, seven dollars might hold, but going higher is tough. So UNI's market performance is always in waves—pulsed rallies followed by silence.
The real winning move isn't in on-chain trading volume but in how regulators classify the fee switch. Until then, holding a light position isn't too painful, but going heavy and waiting for a rebound risks burning yourself out.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 别急着一句"庄家在洗盘"就翻篇，RSR这波更像是在惩罚所有急着站队的人。 你有没有发现，最近有些币不管做多还是做空，最后都像被同一只手收走了？ 我盯RSR这几天，最直观的感受是：它不是在走趋势，更像在制造波动税。现货买进去，价格往下压；合约开空，资金费率又慢慢啃你。表面看是方向问题，其实市场在交易的是耐心和仓位成本。很多人以为这种小市值老币只要等一个拉升就好，但忽略了一点，当叙事没有新增量、流动性又偏薄的时候，波动本身就会变成收割工具。你看到的每一次急拉急杀，未必是资金要选方向，可能只是深度不够，几笔单子就能把情绪打乱。 往大一点看，这其实是一个风险偏好的温度计。如果BTC和ETH稳住，资金愿意往高 beta 山寨扩散，RSR这种超跌老币会有脉冲机会，因为筹码轻、拉盘成本低，叙事也还在。但如果大盘进入震荡收缩，这类标的会最先被抽走注意力，做多被阴跌磨，做空被费率磨，最后只剩高换手和低信心。所以它现在更像波动阶段的产物，不是趋势阶段的赢家。 偏多的路径也有：一旦出现真实增量，比如生态进展、上所预期、或者BTC带动山寨整体回暖，RSR的低位筹码会变得很轻，反弹速度可能快得让人反应不过来。但XRP BOUNCES, BUT STRUCTURE STILL NEEDS PROOF
I'm watching $XRP at 1.3688 (+1.98%) after pulling back from 1.6583. The 7D is -8.56%, yet 90D remains +22.94%. One green daily candle isn't a trend. I prefer patience over chasing relief.
Do you trade bounces or wait for confirmation?Oversold does not mean someone is buying
$BTC dropped to 82678, down 1.23% in 24 hours.
RSI6 is only 7.6; the smaller this number, the sharper the drop.
What others think: The drop is so severe, it's oversold, it should rebound.
This number only indicates that the recent few candlesticks are almost all bearish.
What I think: Oversold is caused by past selling, not future buying.
It does not generate a buy order, it only records how much has been sold.
What really matters is who is absorbing it. A 15-minute break below all moving averages means the sell orders have been eaten through.
With no support below, a sharp drop just means a slower decline.
Stop-loss orders placed below 82600 have already been cleared.
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
#Strategy增持放缓，企业财库策略生变？ #代币化资产加速扩张，规模化落地还有多远？ $BTC I'm back, brothers, I'm back
Went long on sol at 109 last night
Ten times leverage
Was happily going to sleep
Dreaming of big bullish candles
But unfortunately, the dream was the opposite
Woke up at 7 AM and checked the market
My last bit of drowsiness was scared away immediately
Sol dropped 8% in over ten hours
Damn, almost cried
Really, the lowest this morning was 101
I got liquidated at 98
This almost made me lose the will to live
Asked friends and AI, both suggested cutting losses
Almost did cut losses
In the end, couldn't bear it and gave up a bit
Then it went back up
Now it's almost at the entry point
This storm is about to end
Hope it goes smoothly
When I first started in crypto, I envied others making so much
Now I think, isn't that just paying for mental losses?
Those who shorted sol last night must be really happy 😂
When will I get to feel good for once!
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#September CPI announcement imminent, Hamaak says further rate hikes needed
#TSMC Q3 revenue hits record high, profit performance to be revealed
#BTC and ETH spot ETFs see simultaneous outflows, is institutional demand weakening? Recently, the delivery guys in my neighborhood have been talking about this a lot.
At first, I felt it was pretty far from me.
But later, I couldn't resist and threw in a few hundred bucks to try.
My first purchase was $BTC.
Right after buying, it dropped.
It dropped so much that I even bought fewer drinks.
Then I tried $ETH.
There are many things on the chain,
and the fees are expensive.
One operation wastes half a day.
Later, I heard $SOL is fast,
so I transferred a small amount to play.
It really is fast,
but the traps are real too.
Some projects disappear just like that.
After losing a few times, I learned my lesson:
Don't chase hot topics,
Don't follow tips blindly,
Don't touch what you don't understand.
Write down your private keys yourself,
Don't give them to anyone who asks,
Don't click on unknown links,
No matter how tempting the airdrop is, don't connect your wallet recklessly.
Now I only hold money I can afford to lose.
Just leave it there.
When it rises, stay grounded.
When it falls, don't panic.
There are many opportunities in this field,
but even more traps.
Living long is more important than making a quick profit.
Don't borrow money.
Don't get carried away.
Don't believe in guaranteed profits.
Leave the rest to time#台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
#微软发布新一代AI芯片，股价触及年内高点 Gold $XAU has really been tormenting both bulls and bears these past couple of days😇
It just surged to 4222 earlier, but before it could hold above 4200, it was hammered all the way down, even touching 4156 early this morning
I originally thought it would continue downward, but then funds stepped in at the low, quickly pulling it back near 4190
The US dollar is still hovering at a high level, Fed officials keep emphasizing inflation risks, and with US CPI due Wednesday, life is indeed tough for gold bulls
But the problem is, after all the bear pressure, they still haven't truly broken through this support
Now I’m less inclined to chase shorts
Let’s first see if 4200 can be reclaimed; if it still can’t break above, this rebound will probably struggle for a while longer
Really hope Wednesday’s data gives us a clear direction😂
#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息
@OKX星球 The AI chain has started shorting on rallies; there is currently no suitable entry point. At most, just open a small base position.
Then open a position in gold, which also counts as a disguised short on US dollar assets and has been adjusting for some time. It hasn't dropped below 4000, partly due to risk-off sentiment. So either choose BTC or gold.
Therefore, hold $ZEC and open a position in $XAU. Since gold's volatility is not large, reduce the capital allocation; this leverage will be set to 5. If it doesn't break below 4000, don't move for now. Wait for a good opportunity in the AI chain, then reallocate positions.
#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 Lummis fired another shot.
This time it was aimed at the Democrats.
She said you yourselves requested a seat in the CFTC to represent retail investors, it was clearly written in the CLARITY Act, yet you turned around and voted against it.
I looked at it for a while and felt it was quite absurd.
It's like you ordered a dish, it was served, and you say you don't want to eat it.
For those of us who hold crypto as a long-term position, this is actually nothing new.
The people in Washington argue back and forth, but the core issue has never been about protecting retail investors; it's about who controls this territory.
Today they argue about the CFTC, tomorrow about the SEC, and the day after they change the name and keep arguing.
The actual implemented rules always lag behind the news by half a beat.
So this news basically has no short-term impact, and emotionally it’s even a bit negative—it gives the impression that regulation is still far off.
But looking at it from another angle, at least it shows this matter is still on the table, not thrown into a drawer.
What do you think, will this repeated tug-of-war eventually produce a result, or will it just drag on until no one talks about it anymore?
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
#Strategy增持放缓，企业财库策略生变？ #代币化资产加速扩张，规模化落地还有多远？ $HYPE $XAU Gold has reached 4200, can this wave continue to be profitable?
Brothers, gold has already approached around 4200, not far from the first target we mentioned earlier! What to do next, Old K will get straight to the point!
First, the funds buying gold have not stopped!
The Central Bank of Congo plans to increase its gold reserves from 3 tons to 5 tons by the end of the year. Global central banks continue to increase gold holdings, essentially to diversify risk and optimize reserve structure. Additionally, gold ETF holdings increased by 2.281 tons, institutional funds are still worth watching, and the medium- to long-term logic for gold remains!
Second, the market has already started to offer opportunities!
Gold previously hit a low near 4156, then quickly pulled back, indicating funds are supporting the downside. After a sharp drop, a rebound appeared, and the 15-minute chart is gradually stabilizing, showing signs of short-term bulls gaining strength!
What’s the next move?
Keep watching for a pullback opportunity near 4160; consider going long once it stabilizes. 4200 is the key level right now; if it breaks through and holds effectively, the next target is 4230!
It’s already near 4200; if you haven’t entered yet, don’t rush to chase. If you’re already in, keep a close eye on the key levels! Old K is optimistic about the subsequent rebound but won’t lose his rhythm chasing the market.
When the market comes, seize it; if the position isn’t right, wait! In trading, it’s not about who rushes faster but who can hold onto the profits they should take! #9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 $BTC
BTC goes against the weakening trend of tech stocks.
BTC recovers after a decline, contrary to Korean chip stocks and Nasdaq futures ahead of US CPI data.
The movement may indicate that BTC is temporarily decoupling from risk assets.
OKX data: BTC 83,437.00 USDT, -0.82% in 24 hours, volume 583.1M USDT.
Do you think BTC can maintain this independent momentum?
Not investment advice. DYOR.
#SepCPIHikeWatch A little butterfly felt that the colors on its body were not as beautiful as those of its companions, so it asked God to help change its colors. God granted its request and gave it the right to freely choose its colors. Pointing to the colorful flowers, God said to the little butterfly, "Whatever color you like, just 'roll' on the flowers of that color, and then you will become that color." The little butterfly was overjoyed and first 'rolled' on the red flowers, then it didn't want to give up the blue flowers. So it 'rolled' on the blue flowers as well, then it thought the yellow flowers were beautiful. In this way, it 'rolled' on all the flowers, and in the end, it became a black butterfly. It immediately wept bitterly, unable to accept that it had become the ugliest colored butterfly. People's suffering often does not come from having no choices, but from having too many choices and being at a loss. Choice is a trade-off between pros and cons; there is no perfect choice in this world, otherwise it wouldn't be called a choice. When traders face many distinctive trading methods, they usually cannot make a suitable trade-off for themselves. It seems that every method has times when it makes a profit, and also times when it causes losses. At this point, traders may choose to make no choice at all, hoping to gain the advantages of all methods. You can choose one color, but if you absorb all the colors, the result can only be black, which is no color at all! In the process of stacking trading methods, not only are all the advantages of the methods stacked, but also all their disadvantages are stacked.Tomorrow night at 8:30 PM, the September CPI will be released, which is the most important reference before the Federal Reserve meeting on October 28.
Institutions expect that rising energy prices may push the overall CPI year-on-year from 3.4% to 3.7%, but the core CPI month-on-month growth rate may slow from 0.3% to 0.2%. This combination is very critical: overall inflation is driven up by oil prices, but core inflation is cooling down. If the core CPI really slows, it indicates that price pressures have not spread, and the market will strengthen expectations for a pause in rate hikes.
However, officials are not easing. Cleveland Fed President Harker clearly stated on October 12 that inflation pressures remain broad and support further rate hikes. CME data shows the market expects about a 79.5% probability of rates remaining unchanged in October. There is a large divergence between hawkish officials and market pause expectations.
This divergence is the source of volatility tomorrow night. If the overall CPI is relatively hot but core cools, the market will lean toward pause expectations, the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields will fall back, and BTC has a chance to rebound and test 83,500 to 84,500. If both overall and core exceed expectations, the probability of a rate hike in October will rise again, BTC will be under pressure, with support at 81,500 to 82,000, and if broken, look to 80,000.
BTC is now near 82,000, up 0.8%. Many defenders are stacked near 80,000, so this position has short-term support. But the direction is not yet chosen; before the data is released tomorrow night, do not bet heavily.
$ZEC $BTC $ETH 。#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 ✅ Closed $TIA long position 20x
Entry: 0.5102 → Exit: 0.6000
Result: +350% ROE
I post every entry and exit, whether profit or loss. Do you currently hold $TIA?
Not investment advice. #OKXTraderVoices On October 12, Strategy announced the purchase of an additional 250 BTC, while also repurchasing approximately $192 million in STRC preferred shares. The company also disclosed that from October 5 to 11, it used $500,000 in cash to buy Bitcoin.
My interpretation: This time it's not just "buying more coins" but also adjusting the financing structure. Institutional fund arrangements differ from personal accounts, so don't take the increase announcement as a direct signal to buy for yourself. #BTC and ETH spot ETFs see simultaneous outflows, is institutional demand weakening? $BTC $ETH
🚨 【Massive Institutional Withdrawal】BTC/ETH spot ETFs lost $1.2 billion in a single week, how long can this hollow rebound last?
Dual capital drain: From October 5 to 9, the US BTC spot ETF saw a net outflow of approximately $679 million (ending a previous three-week streak of net inflows); the ETH spot ETF had outflows of $542 million during the same period, marking the largest single-week outflow since January and recording nine consecutive trading days of net outflows; combined, the two saw a massive $1.221 billion drained in one week.
Price-volume divergence risk: Against the backdrop of institutional heavy cash withdrawals, the market price once weakly rebounded against the trend, forming a typical "capital exit vs. price illusion" divergence pattern. ETH’s performance was significantly weaker than BTC’s, reflecting that institutions are accelerating their risk aversion toward highly elastic assets.
Market outlook: The large-scale withdrawal before the release of key CPI data essentially represents smart money’s defensive hedge against macro interest rate hikes and persistent inflation. The weak pullback without spot ETF capital support has no defense; before the flow turns back to net inflows, blind left-side bets on a reversal are strictly prohibited.
(Personal review opinion, not investment advice. There are countless trading rules, preserving principal is the first!)Tomorrow we will look at ASML's earnings report; don't wait for a company that no longer discloses order numbers quarterly.
ASML has stopped revealing the amount of new quarterly orders this year. The previous approach of directly comparing EUV orders to expectations needs to be adjusted. The signal given by the company in Q2 is a plan to increase low NA EUV capacity by about 30% by 2027 and to study further expansion in 2028. This arrangement is more specific than just optimistic demand, but it still requires subsequent deliveries to be fulfilled.
Which year's equipment delivery corresponds to the customers' committed purchases? Is capacity expansion progressing as planned? These are the questions I want the management to answer. The amount for lithography machines is large, and whether orders fall at the end of the month or early next month can exaggerate a quarter's numbers. Now that this disclosure is missing, investors need to cross-check customers' expansion plans with ASML's delivery schedule.
Don't treat "strong long-term demand" as a universal answer. Any lag in factories, components, or installation teams can push expected revenue back. The market buys future profits; a delay of a few months can significantly impact valuation. I remain interested in EUV demand and do not want to lower my expectations for the earnings report just because of its special status. What I really want to see on October 14 is a clearer delivery timetable. No one can track order enthusiasm daily, but at least let external investors know when the expanded capacity is expected to start generating revenue.
#阿斯麦Q3财报10月14日公布，EUV订单成焦点 $AGLD Damn it! Looking at AGLD's chart makes me shake my head. Outside it's quiet, but inside the market is dog-eat-dog. The 0.1901 level is obviously a manipulative pump-and-dump by the big players. The upper shadow on the candlestick looks like a sickle, practically screaming "I'm about to dump." Even a shakeout doesn't play out like this—do they really think retail investors are blind? 🔥
Technically, everything signals to sell. The capital flow is hollow, don't expect any good news. Short positions for the short term, set stop loss at 0.1980; if it breaks, accept it, don't hold on. The target is around 0.1780 first; once there, decide for yourself to reduce.
Don't get carried away in this market, whether to follow or not is up to you. If you want to secretly ambush with me, click the card below and do it yourself, control your position size, and always bring a stop loss. 🚀
This content is only my personal review and does not constitute investment advice.
👇👇👇Today $ETH dropped, and the current price is around 2507 USD, down 1.44%.
Moreover, the volatility within 24 hours was especially large, with a high of 2578 and a low of 2407, fluctuating 170 USD within one day.
Simply put: it had risen continuously for 5 days before, rising too fast, and today it started to pull back, with a fairly significant correction.
What changed compared to yesterday?
Let me tell you a few key changes.
First change: the pullback really came.
Yesterday I said the short-term rise was too fast, the 4-hour RSI reached 100, so a pullback was inevitable. As a result, it really dropped today, from 2565 to 2507, a drop of about 2.3%.
And the lowest even touched 2407, just 2 USD above the previous low of 2405, indicating a quick dip that washed out those who chased the highs earlier.
Second change: the overbought condition has been fully digested.
Yesterday the 4-hour RSI was still 100 (extremely overbought), today it has dropped to 40; the 2-hour RSI fell from 82 to 43. This means the bubble accumulated from the rapid rise has mostly been squeezed out, now returning to a neutral zone.
Third change: the big trend signal is still intact.
Although the price dropped, the daily KDJ golden cross remains (K is still above D), and the MACD green bars are still shrinking. This indicates the major rebound trend has not been broken; this is just a normal pullback during the upward process.
Fourth change: short sellers are still exiting.
Open interest decreased again, from 580,000 to 560,000. This shows short sellers are closing positions and running, reducing the selling pressure above.
Should you buy or sell now?
I think this is a position where you can consider light positioning, but not heavy, because tomorrow night there is CPI data.
Why say it’s a position to consider?
First, the overbought condition has been digested, so short-term it won’t fall much more.
Second, the price is now at 2507, right near the 5-day moving average (2514), which is a short-term support level.
Third, the big trend signal is still intact, the daily KDJ golden cross remains.
Fourth, below that is the 60-day moving average (2492) and the lower Bollinger Band (2450), strong supports that are hard to break.
But why say don’t go heavy?
Because tomorrow (October 14) at 8:30 PM the CPI data will be released, which is very important. Before the data comes out, no one can predict what will happen. If the data is bad (inflation higher than expected), there might be another drop; if the data is good (inflation lower than expected), the price will continue to rise.
So at this position, you can buy lightly first, then add more after the data clarifies the direction.
What will happen next?
I think there are three possibilities.
First possibility (highest probability, 50%): oscillate between 2490 and 2550, waiting for tomorrow’s CPI data.
For the rest of today and tomorrow daytime, it will likely fluctuate in this range, everyone waiting for the evening data, no one daring to act rashly.
Second possibility (30% probability): good CPI data, continue to rebound.
If tomorrow night’s inflation data is lower than expected, indicating less pressure to raise rates, Ethereum will continue to rise, targeting first 2580, then 2625.
Third possibility (20% probability): bad CPI data, second dip.
If tomorrow night’s inflation data is higher than expected, indicating more rate hikes, Ethereum may break below 2490 to test 2450 or even the previous low of 2405.
It rose too fast before, today is a normal pullback, the overbought condition has been digested, now 2500 to 2520 is a position for light positioning, but don’t go heavy because tomorrow night’s CPI data will decide the direction. Good data means continue rising, bad data may cause a second dip. Participate lightly, set stop losses, and add positions after the data is out.
The above is just my analysis based on data and does not constitute investment advice. This market is volatile, so be sure to control your position size.$NEAR This ID's view: The 30-minute chart shows a bearish pattern, but the long-term uptrend remains unchanged. Do not enter the market for the next couple of days.
NEAR peaked at 6.024 in this rally and then pulled back, representing a secondary correction after a strong rise, short-term bearish outlook. A short position can be tried on a rebound to the 5.32 resistance zone, targeting the 4.98 support, with a stop loss above 5.45; if it breaks above, abandon the bearish idea.
According to Chan theory, the rise started from the 4.3 low, forming an upward consolidation zone. The 6.024 level formed a 30-minute top fractal, currently undergoing a corrective move. The long-term bullish trend remains, but short-term correction risks are evident.
According to Wyckoff volume-price analysis, the high volume at the peak indicates profit-taking, and the rebound volume continues to shrink, showing weak buying support.
Key observation: Stagnation at 5.32 is a shorting opportunity; a volume-supported close above 5.45 indicates the correction is over, and the short position idea should be abandoned immediately.Koreans are better at kneeling, who will save the deposits 🙀🙀
$SKHYNIX $SKHY $SNDK 🙀
#闪迪美光下跌，长鑫技术进展受关注 Has the AI computing power battle spread to BTC mining farms?
On October 11, according to The Information, Anthropic signed a multi-year, previously undisclosed cloud contract with cloud service provider IREN. After Barron's follow-up report on October 12, IREN's stock price surged about 4% in pre-market trading, reaching $36.57.
Neither company has responded to requests for comment.
Interestingly, during IREN's earnings call in August this year, they mentioned signing with a "leading cutting-edge AI lab" without naming it. Now it seems very likely to be Anthropic. If the rumor is true, won't IREN's stock price skyrocket?
IREN's predecessor was a Bitcoin mining company; in 2024, it rebranded and transformed into an AI cloud provider, effectively converting mining electricity and data centers directly into AI computing power. Last year, it signed a $9.7 billion AI cloud deal with Microsoft, and in May this year, it partnered with NVIDIA to deploy 5GW of computing infrastructure—now it has teamed up with Anthropic, making its transformation story increasingly compelling.
This contract is just the tip of the iceberg.
But the strangest thing is:
Last night, IREN not only erased all the gains from the day before yesterday but also dropped several points, hitting a recent low!
The truth of the news is uncertain; let's wait and see. Bold investors might open a small long position to bet on IREN.
#IREN首个微软AI云项目交付，矿企转型受关注 The convenience store owner downstairs kept talking about this the year before last.
I took it as a joke.
Later, I got itchy hands and threw in a few hundred bucks.
The first purchase was $BTC.
After buying, it dropped.
It dropped so much that I got up in the middle of the night to check my phone.
Then I tried $ETH.
There are many things on the chain,
and the fees are expensive.
One operation takes a long time and ends up being wasted effort.
Later, I heard people say $SOL is fast,
so I transferred some small money to try.
It’s really fast,
but also really risky.
Some projects disappear without notice.
After losing a few times, I learned my lesson:
Don’t chase hot topics,
Don’t follow trading tips,
Don’t touch what you don’t understand.
Write down your private keys yourself,
Don’t give them to anyone who asks,
Don’t click on unfamiliar links,
No matter how tempting the airdrop is, don’t connect your wallet recklessly.
Now I only hold money I won’t mind losing.
Just leave it there.
Don’t get cocky when it rises,
Don’t panic when it falls.
There are many opportunities in this field,
but even more traps.
Living long is more important than making a quick profit.
Don’t borrow money,
Don’t get carried away,
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits.
Leave the rest to time#台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
#微软发布新一代AI芯片，股价触及年内高点 SOL hit a low of 101.56 yesterday, then quickly bounced back to 108, a strong $7 emergency injection. But it still dropped over 4 points in 24 hours, so don’t mistake the rebound for a turnaround.
Today, Hong Kong listed Pando’s SOL ETF, while on the other side, the US spot SOL fund saw a net outflow of $24.8 million last week, breaking a 14-week streak of inflows. New products open, old money flows out, showing two faces of the market.
The futures contracts don’t give a clear answer either: fees are slightly negative, but open interest actually increased by about 1%. Some are still entering the market, but just looking at open interest doesn’t reveal bullish or bearish sentiment. 101.56 was the recent low, and around 113 is resistance above. Let’s first see if this bounce is supported by spot volume.
For those trading SOL contracts, do you trust the new Hong Kong ETF more, or the US capital retreat? $SOL After playing for so long, through difficult phases, I put in almost half of my demobilization pay, didn't dare to tell my family, didn't dare to tell my girlfriend, I was afraid I really couldn't hold on. I remember the first account had a maximum loss of over 6000u, at that time I lost 2000u in one day, finally I closed the account, deleted all related photo albums and memos, and went out with my girlfriend to relax for a while. There were also many times when small capital was flipped, the trend was right, but I was frustrated, wondering why I didn't go all in, but in the end I still blew up. I also experienced the thrill of making a few thousand yuan in one day.
Until later, I discovered that grid trading is just a simple form of quantification, so I started to study it slowly, began trying with small funds, and finally gained some confidence. With 1500u as the last dance, I broke even, probably just luck, sitting on the market. $DOGE DUMPED TO 0.08005, THEN SNAPPED BACK HARD.
I watched the 1h candles bleed from 0.08813, then a long wick tagged the low. Four green candles later, price sits at 0.08473, up 3.04% today.
Sharp reversals test patience more than entries do. Did you wait for confirmation or chase the bounce?
$DOGE$ETH Ethereum has dropped nearly 15% from 2779, with the mid-term trend having shifted. Now 2514 is a delicate balance period. The upside faces huge selling pressure; without a clear strong bullish breakout candle surpassing key resistance, all upward moves are just rebounds.
From a technical perspective, it is in a 2-hour descending channel, suppressed by EMA7; MACD shows a nascent bullish divergence, indicating that bearish momentum may be exhausted.
The Bollinger Bands middle line at 2525 is strong resistance; below the middle line is the bears' control zone. 2500 is psychological support; breaking below it will head straight to 2450.
Trading strategy:
Wait for a rebound to 2530-2540 and then look for bearish patterns to short, with a stop loss at 2565 and a target of 2460.
Or buy on a pullback to 2460-2470 if it holds and MACD forms a golden cross, with a stop loss at 2435.
A safer approach is to wait for a breakout and stable hold above 2550, then buy on a pullback confirmation, which has a higher success rate! #9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 #台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓 #BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？ ETFs are selling, whales are buying, who is BTC's show really for?
BTC performed a "V-shaped reversal" today. It briefly dropped below $81,500 this morning (down about 3.4% in 24 hours), now back near $83,500. ETH also recovered from below $2,425 to around $2,517. The entire network saw $770 million liquidated in 24 hours, mostly long positions.
But the data reveals divergence: US spot BTC ETFs had a net outflow of $681 million last week, the largest weekly outflow since June; meanwhile, on-chain whales increased their holdings by about 15,000 BTC in 72 hours. Institutions are redeeming, whales are accumulating — bulls and bears are directly clashing.
Tomorrow the US CPI will be released, the next catalyst. ETF money is running out, whale money is coming in. Do you think this rebound is a real stabilization or just a breather after a big drop?
Risk warning: Macro data can fluctuate greatly before and after release, participate cautiously. For reference only, not investment advice.
#Bitcoin$SOL This round of decline, the ones who lost the most are not those who chased at the high, but those who tried to catch the rebound halfway.
After seeing a drop, they think it's "oversold," rush in to bet on a rebound, but the rebound lasts less than two days before hitting a new low again, leaving long positions stuck halfway down the mountain.
In a downtrend, the most deceptive phrase is "oversold rebound."
We entered a short position at 113.64, currently at 108.13, with an unrealized profit of 484.44%.
We never tried to guess the bottom or catch the rebound, just followed the trend, added shorts when the rebound faced resistance, and held when the price broke down.
The dumbest move in trading is to look for bottom signals every day in a downtrend, bottom-fish every time and get stuck every time.
It's never too late to switch to long once the bottom is formed and the trend turns. $BTC $BREV Last night I was still calculating if this month's instant noodle money would be enough, and this morning I was already thinking about whether to add sausage. Thanks to the market for the meal on this short position.
When the market was just smashed in the early session, BREV rebounded around 0.09052, but the volume didn't keep up, and the resistance above was obvious, with a strong bait to the long side. I judged it was just a breather, not a reversal, and at that time I advised to be bearish and enter short positions in batches.
Then it continued to go down, the price hit 0.08387, the short position yield was +146.7%, it was worth the wait. When the rhythm is right, profits speak for themselves. It was really dragging before, but the outcome is really sweet.
Take profit on 80% of the main position first, move the protection to the cost price for the remaining 20%, let the profits run if it continues to drop, and don't give back profits on the rebound.
Being out of position is not a sin; opening positions recklessly is the mistake.
Have a strategy before the market, discipline during the market, and reflection after the market.
For friends who haven't gotten on board yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in; chasing shorts can easily get caught by a rebound. Wait for the next signal before moving, I will notify you immediately.
$ETH $LAB South Korea Takes Action: 27 Exchange Websites Directly Blocked, Including KuCoin and MEXC
South Korea is serious this time. The Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) announced today that after two rounds of review by the Korea Communications Standards Commission on October 6 and 7, it decided to block domestic access to the websites of 27 unregistered virtual asset operators. KuCoin, MEXC, Phemex, Bitrue, CoinW, and BingX are all on the list.
There are two key details: first, previously only apps were blocked (banned from installation and updates in app stores), but this time websites are directly blocked, with servers in Korea shut down and overseas servers cut off from access; second, there is no need to wait for victims—once confirmed as unregistered operators, the block is immediate. The FIU also found that these platforms charge average fees ranging from 1.5% to 10%, up to 62 times higher than the top five domestic Korean exchanges (0.16%).
The FIU also admits that blocking the websites may affect existing users' withdrawals, and will coordinate withdrawal channels through DAXA. Friends using these platforms in Korea should withdraw their coins first.
Risk Warning: Regulatory policies change rapidly; please refer to official announcements. For reference only, not investment advice.
#BitcoinI've been paying close attention to ZEC recently and want to share my thoughts.
$ZEC's current market movement is actually quite interesting.
Most altcoins are now focusing on ecosystems, AI, and RWA, but ZEC is taking a different path—privacy.
Privacy itself isn't a new narrative; Zcash started working on zero-knowledge proofs quite early. The issue was that the market was unwilling to pay a high premium for privacy in the past, but now that expectation is changing.
However, narratives aside, price still needs to reflect the market.
ZEC rose too quickly earlier, so the recent pullback from the highs is not surprising. The profits accumulated from the continuous rise need to be digested, and it's not easy to directly start a second major upward wave in the short term.
Next, I’m mainly watching a few key levels.
On the downside, watch 1110–1130 first; if this area holds, there’s still a chance to retest 1200 upwards.
On the upside, 1220 is the first resistance level; to truly regain strength, it needs to break through 1300.
If 1110 fails to hold, be prepared for further pullbacks to 1050 or even 1000.
Now, about the fundamentals.
What attracts me most about ZEC is its relatively simple value logic. As more financial activities move on-chain, is transaction transparency really what everyone wants?
#ZEC #Zcash#strategy increased holdings by 250 BTC
[Old Chive Observation] Strategy only buys 250 $BTC per week, has the coin hoarding rhythm changed?
Strategy's latest disclosure shows that from October 5 to 11, it bought 250 BTC, spending about $21.5 million, with an average cost of about $86,194. Including this purchase, the company now holds 848,250 BTC.
Looking at the holdings alone, Strategy remains a major player in the Bitcoin market. But if you look at the capital moves this week together, the picture is a bit different: it also repurchased about $192.4 million of STRC preferred shares during the same period, nearly 9 times the amount spent on buying coins.
Previously, everyone focused on how much BTC Strategy bought and whether it would continue to increase its position. Now, besides the amount of coins bought, attention must also be paid to how it allocates funds and arranges financing tools.
Of course, buying less in a week does not mean it is bearish on Bitcoin, nor can it be judged as a shift in long-term strategy. It's just that this increase in holdings is indeed small, and the market doesn't need to equate "continuing to buy coins" directly with "strongly bullish."
For BTC, Strategy's continued large holdings are a long-term supportive narrative; but the short-term market ultimately depends on real buying demand and market liquidity, and cannot be judged solely by a holding announcement. $BTC A while ago, an old classmate pulled me into a group chat
He posts his trades every day
After watching for a while, my hands got itchy
I threw in a few hundred bucks
The first buy was $BTC
After buying, it slowly dropped
It dropped so much I started picking cheaper options for takeout
Later, I tried $ETH
There are many things on-chain
The fees are also harsh
One transaction takes forever and feels like a waste
Then I heard $SOL is fast
So I transferred some small money to try
It’s really fast
But the traps are real too
Some projects disappear just like that
After losing a few times, I became honest
Don’t chase hot topics
Don’t follow trade calls
Don’t touch what you don’t understand
Write down your private keys yourself
Don’t give them to anyone who asks
Don’t click on unfamiliar links
No matter how tempting airdrops are, don’t connect your wallet recklessly
Now I only hold money I won’t mind losing
Just leave it be
Don’t get cocky when it rises
Don’t panic when it falls
There are many opportunities in this field
But even more traps
Surviving longer is more important than making a quick profit
Don’t borrow money
Don’t get carried away
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits
Leave the rest to time#台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
#微软发布新一代AI芯片，股价触及年内高点 Money is moving, but the price hasn't crashed: Who is holding firm above 80000?
Since October, ETF outflows have exceeded $1 billion: BTC $679 million, ETH $542 million, with ETH also recording the largest single-week outflow since January and nine consecutive trading days of continuous outflows.
Interestingly, the coin price only slipped from 84000 to 81500. Despite significant selling pressure, it hasn't crashed—indicating someone is absorbing it. BTC market dominance rose to 59.35%, money is concentrating into Bitcoin, and on-exchange funds are still holding firm.
Don't be fooled by the "no crash." Spot participation is very thin, put options are being aggressively bought, and below 80000 there is a cluster of liquidation points. To translate: the bulls are holding firm above 80000 with thin buy orders, and below that is basically empty air.
There is another key level: 83000. This is the average cost line for ETFs and the dividing line between bulls and bears. If it can't hold, holders start to see unrealized losses, and redemptions will only increase—outflows, price drops, more outflows. The worst scenario in this cycle is breaking below the cost line.
ETH is even worse: nine consecutive outflows, intraday low at 2409, just shy of the previous low. Institutions are much more determined to withdraw ETH than BTC.
In terms of strategy: treat any rebound as just a rebound for now; wait for ETFs to turn positive and for 83000 to hold with volume before making moves. Before tomorrow night's CPI release, those rushing in are just catching knives. Do you think ETFs can turn positive this week?
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？ Dogecoin got a new engine, let an experienced user explain
The most exciting news for me these days: a company called Metallicus has launched a test version of DogecoinVM on the mainnet, making Dogecoin transactions about 300 times faster.
Don't understand?
I'll explain it in a simple way. The original Dogecoin transfers were like an old-fashioned cash register, processing transactions one by one in line—safe but slow. The new solution is like adding a row of self-checkout machines next to it, while the original cash register remains untouched. It doesn't change Dogecoin's underlying layer but wraps an additional parallel network outside: the fast one handles speed, the old one handles security.
The CEO also said this fulfills Elon Musk's vision of using Dogecoin for payments. I like hearing that. In 2019, the first time I used $DOGE to transfer, it was to tip a few cents to a user on a foreign forum, and it took almost ten minutes to arrive. Back then, I thought if this thing could be a bit faster, it could really be used as money.
Now this "a bit faster" has been put into action by someone. Whether it succeeds or not is another story, but this is the direction I've been waiting for seven years.
The joy of old fans is simple: the market can wait, but the ability to "spend" is what really matters.$BTC BTC quickly recovered after the drop, with the 4-hour chart completing two bottom tests, which is a relatively positive signal: it did not break the previous low; even if it later tries to break below the previous low, it will form a 4-hour bullish divergence structure.
However, on the long-term rhythm, the 3-day MACD has already formed a death cross, so at this stage, avoid chasing highs. The current strategy is that shorting on rallies offers better cost-effectiveness.
Once the trend turns, it will not reverse easily. The current market long-short ratio has reached 1.6, with bottom-fishing funds crowding in; even if the market temporarily stabilizes, it is highly likely to continue oscillating with repeated bottom tests.
Today's trading plan:
Short positions can be set up in the 83500–84000 range
Stop loss: 84500
Target: 80800
Position size 5.5, leverage 10x
On the macro level: September CPI data is about to be released, and Harker has stated there is still room for further rate hikes; BTC and ETH spot ETFs continue to see capital outflows, with institutional buying demand clearly weakening.
The market has repeatedly tested support, showing weakness; do not be fooled by quick spike rebounds.It's still the same old talk about near. Over the weekend, taking advantage of low liquidity, it exploded upward to a new high of 6, closing at 15k with an upper shadow. Afterwards, due to the overall weakness of the market, it dropped from 6 all the way down below 4.9 this morning. Bulls and bears diverged at the integer level of 6. Also, the funding rate for the bulls in this coin is at most 0.01, but the bears don't have this cap, right? Isn't that cheap? I've never seen the bulls' funding rate exceed 0.01. The long-short ratio went from less than one to greater than one. Are you telling me there are more shorts? Could it be that the long-short ratio is distorted? I saw this issue in a post last time. Additionally, continue raising interest rates, explode this coin $NEAR, and Chuanzi quickly deploy ground forces to cripple Iran so badly that it won't come out to talk for decades. This is the best.$ETH Today's Market Analysis!!!
Good morning, friends! Did you catch that short position last night?
Reviewing yesterday, ETH rebounded from a low point all the way up to around 2578, then started a continuous pullback. Sister Qin had already advised everyone to watch for shorting opportunities at the high levels, targeting the 2530–2500 range. After the US stock market opened, the rebound remained weak, and the price smoothly reached the target zone!
Unexpectedly, there was another dip around midnight, hitting a low near 2405, catching many long position followers off guard.
However, strong buying support appeared near 2405. After the Asian session opened this morning, the market quickly rebounded, rising over 100 points in a short time. On-chain funds also continued to flow in, indicating that there is still capital paying attention at the low levels.
What’s next?
Sister Qin believes that although the short-term rebound is obvious, it’s still too early to chase longs! Focus on the resistance near 2530 above and observe whether the price can effectively hold above it.
If there is a volume breakout and the price holds steady, the rebound has a chance to continue. If the price struggles to rise and faces pressure again, be cautious of a potential pullback risk.
$ZEC #9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 Brothers, did your heart just drop by half again when you checked the market this morning? 💔$BTC $ETH
$BTC directly broke below the $83,000 mark, hitting a low near $82,900! US Treasury yields soared, the macro situation is tense, and retail investors in the market are crying their hearts out, shouting that “the bull’s quick return” is a scam! The big group chat is full of wails, and some have even started preparing to cut losses and place sell orders... 😭📉
But have you seen the truth behind it?! 💥
On-chain data is so hardcore it’s shocking: the on-chain holdings of the US spot BTC ETF have officially surpassed 2 million coins (over 10% of the global total supply)! Wall Street institutions and giants are still crazily accumulating, and even if the market pulls back in a single week, buying pressure remains strong!
Wall Street is smashing the market with macro sentiment to accumulate, while retail investors are cutting losses and shooting themselves in the foot! Is this a bear trap to shake out weak hands, or the final warning to exit?