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💥Floating loss of 5 million, yet collecting rent every day? This position is too surreal
Looking at Brother Maji's account is like watching a triple personality.
BTC: 40x full position short, 243.96 coins, opened at 84,070. Floating profit of 259,600 U, funding fee income of 51,200. Liquidation price 105,740, BTC needs to surge above 105k to be in danger. Currently the only top performer. 😎
ETH: 25x full position long, 8,742 coins, opened at 2,546.58. Floating loss of 405,500 U, funding fee is still subsidizing. Liquidation price 1,844, not close but the wound is widening. 😬
HYPE is the main character: 233,900 coins 5x short, floating loss of 4.86 million U. But it collects funding fees daily, totaling 1.02 million U. Who pays? The opposing longs. HYPE is full of bottom-fishers, its shorts collect interest like collecting rent. 💰
So this account is not betting on a single direction, but using funding fees to offset floating losses. BTC profits, ETH small loss, HYPE big loss but collecting interest. As long as the longs don't leave and funding fees keep coming, it can hold on; once funding fees turn negative or longs exit, the 4.86 million hole must be borne alone. 🎢
This is not directional judgment, it's cash flow survival. 📉 Liquidation line is still far, but time may not be on its side.The 84000 gate, BTC knocked three times today but didn't break through
The most interesting part of watching the market this afternoon was BTC at the 84000 gate: charging up, getting pushed back; charging again, pushed back again. The gate didn't open, and many fell first — 211 million liquidated in 24 hours, 62,672 people out, 70% of them shorts.
BTC is now at 83400 (+0.47%), with open interest of 52.5 billion; ETH at 2555 (+2.16%) is stronger than BTC, with open interest of 32.3 billion; SOL at 111 (+1.90%); ZEC at 1306 (+5.66%) continues to steal the spotlight, with open interest up 6.49% in one day.
Here are a few of my views:
The quality of the gate matters more than its height. 84000 is a defensive line for shorts; each time the gate is knocked, the defenders decrease, but before the gate loosens, rushing ahead is the easiest way to get trapped.
The bulls are also starting to pay tuition. The entire network's long liquidations reached 62.6 million, clearly more than at noon; those chasing highs are getting beaten at the gate; funding rates are rising, not yet dangerous, but the heat is definitely increasing.
The ZEC gate has already been kicked open. Up 5.66%, open interest up 6.49%, 85% of its liquidations are shorts. But the path paved by liquidation orders becomes emptier the higher it goes; those chasing highs should weigh this carefully.
The real key is on Wednesday. Before the CPI release, 84000 will most likely remain a tug-of-war level. Watch the first wave of the US stock market opening tonight, don't rush to take a stance.
So the question is for you: Will this gate be kicked open tonight, or is it just another fake knock?"The Wind Has Not Arrived, But the Knife Is Already Hanging"
Bitcoin plunged sharply to 79,200 in the early morning, with leveraged longs being liquidated again; 120,000 people were wiped out, and $780 million evaporated. After Federal Reserve officials turned hawkish, $BTC rebounded to 81,500 but was resisted at 82,800. The Fear & Greed Index fell back to 58, indicating cooling greed; funding rates turned negative, and longs began paying. ETFs saw a net outflow of 340 million over three days, and an ancient whale transferred 5,000 BTC to exchanges, with incremental funds still on the sidelines.
$ETH weakened in sync: sliding from 2,680 to 2,380, then rebounding to 2,450 before consolidating again. ETFs experienced four consecutive days of outflows totaling 380 million; the burn volume only covered 1.6% of new issuance, so net supply continues to expand, forcing the "ultrasound money" narrative into silence.
$SOL resembled an emotional roller coaster: surging to 220 in early October, then a single-day pullback of 12%, bottoming at 158, now hovering around 172. An institutional ETF shifted from inflows to a net outflow of 42 million, while the staking rate hit a historic high. With the December Firedancer upgrade approaching, beware that "good news landing" could turn into a selling reason.
Liquidity has not returned, and sentiment is holding tough. The market is waiting for the wind, and also for the knife.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#PIMCO警告10年期美债收益率或达6% Wanyingjie (J) live trading throughout, dedicated to original content, not wanting OK to be all AI content that looks the same.
Principal 287🛸🛸🛸 currently 8300🚀🚀🚀👍 withdrew 1000
Boring market always needs good food to accompany, medicinal chicken soup highly recommended for everyone to try, very delicious, about 10u.
Currently BTC is showing a fluctuating upward trend, hourly support around 83, resistance near 845.
ETH hourly support around 2500, resistance near 2570-2600.
DOGE has rebounded a bit, but the strength is not very strong.
WLD is still good, the rebound is quite fast.
CFX should be affected by news, rising quickly, normally the continuation won't be very strong.
Currently watching how the US stock market opens on Monday and Tuesday, I am bullish, there will definitely be a rally in these two weeks, aiming for 90k+
Welcome brothers to communicate more, hope everyone can make big money ETH Analysis in the Last Hour: ETFs Are Running, Whales Are Chasing
A counter-signal: ETH spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $542 million last week, with BlackRock's ETHA alone withdrawing $477 million. Meanwhile, a certain whale sold 410 BTC on Hyperliquid and then bought 14,341 ETH on a DEX, worth $36.14 million.
What changed? Institutions are redeeming, whales are absorbing.
Why is this noteworthy? ETF outflows represent sustained passive selling pressure, while whales withdrawing tokens to build positions indicate active locking. In the past 24 hours, ETH short liquidations totaled $26.57 million, showing shorts are under pressure. The long-short ratio is 1.68, with long positions dominant but funding rates only at 0.0012%, so leverage is not overheated.
Which observation is more supported? The current structure leans bullish, but ETF bleeding is a serious weakness. The Ethereum Foundation's associated wallet just transferred 4,393 ETH to Kraken, worth $11.13 million. Between the Foundation's old wallet transfer pace and the whale's buying pace, who will stop first? $ETH Samsung's Q3 profit surpasses 100 trillion KRW, a truly staggering figure. But how high the record is and how much it exceeds market expectations are two different questions.
The company's preliminary operating profit is 107.4 trillion KRW. Reuters cited LSEG SmartEstimate at 106.1 trillion KRW, so by these two numbers, it exceeded expectations by about 1.2%. The profit scale is huge, but the surprise margin is not as exaggerated as the headline suggests. The market had already been anticipating a very strong quarter.
Using only the year-on-year growth to infer stock price movement misses the expectations investors have already paid for when buying in. The difference between actual results and original expectations must be considered together. I also cannot predict the next rise or fall based on this, at least not assume every purchase price is reasonable just because the company earned more.
I acknowledge Samsung has captured the storage demand, but I also worry whether the market is starting to take sustained high profitability as an unquestioned premise. If prices, shipments, or customer budgets change later, the evaluation may be readjusted.
More detailed business data will be available on October 29. Then we can see which parts of the profit were realized and how management describes future demand. Repeatedly celebrating a record that has already been highly anticipated feels a bit insufficient to me now. Strong performance deserves recognition, but we must also remember the high expectations paid when buying in.
#三星Q3初步利润首破100万亿韩元 ETF outflows have finally stopped: BTC spot ETF saw an inflow of over 20 million on Friday.
After two consecutive days of outflows (nearly 490 million on the 7th alone), it finally turned positive. Whales are also withdrawing coins from exchanges, easing selling pressure.
But ETH is still bleeding: spot ETF outflows have continued for 9 days, with nearly 540 million leaving in the last 5 trading days.
JUP rose over 10% in 24h, nearly 16% for the week.
Lending volume surpassed Kamino to top Solana, with funds flowing to the leaders.
In a weak market rotation, chasing highs is easy to get trapped.
Wednesday's CPI is the last inflation data before the FOMC; ETH upgrade is also counting down, with Hoodi testnet tentatively set for the 27th.
Institutional funds + macro variables are all waiting for confirmation.
$BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ 同一个星期里，黄金现货涨了1.52%到4,195.6美元，BTC却跌了2.53%到82,715.4美元。这是过去一个月里两者分化最明显的一次。资金真的从BTC搬到黄金了吗？ 先看三个数字。第一，分化明显：黄金本周 +1.52%（现货4,195.6美元，COMEX 4,220.3），BTC本周 -2.53%；第二，资金通道反向：美国现货ETF最近5个交易日净流出约2.147亿美元（最新单日10月8日净流出8,230万美元），而黄金的买盘主要来自央行购金与实物需求，对短期资金流不敏感；第三，宏观背景：美元指数102.23（+0.09%）、标普500涨0.59%报7,811.54，恐惧贪婪指数从59回到64。 要判断是不是"搬家"，关键看三件事。**一看美元的走向**：如果美元走强而黄金也涨，说明黄金的买盘不是来自美元贬值，而是来自避险或央行配置需求——这次正是如此。**二看资金通道的方向**：BTC这轮下跌伴随ETF净流出（真金白银在撤），而黄金的上涨没有对应的"资金流出BTC"痕迹，两者更像是各自定价。**三看美股的方向**：标普500同期在涨，说明风险偏好并没有整体崩溃——如果真是避险Another ridiculous scene in the crypto world: losing principal but still making money.
A trader generated 10.1 billion in trading volume on PaperTrade, executing 1,012 trades back and forth, with the trades themselves losing $979,000.
But this platform has a bizarre rule: if you lose money, you get compensated with the platform token PAPER. The more you lose, the more tokens you receive.
He staked a huge amount of PAPER and redeemed 997,000 USDC in rewards. After deducting the loss, he actually netted $17,800.
In simple terms, he’s not here to speculate on coins but to exploit the project subsidies by losing money.
The 10 billion trading volume looks intimidating but is basically fake data generated by wash trading.
This scheme relies entirely on newly minted tokens for funding. Once the price of PAPER can’t hold, the whole game collapses, making it a high-risk gamble.CreditEase crash, the "P2P Godfather" Tang Ning's crypto investment map revealed 💥
From founding CreditEase in 2006 to being subjected to criminal measures on October 12, 2026—the earliest P2P pioneer, the last to explode.
Involving a scale of 30 to 50 billion yuan, tens of thousands of high-net-worth clients got caught in the crash.
Tang Ning's 10 years in crypto (starting 2016, CEIC fund layout):
🥇 The first project was Circle (issuer of USDC)
🔸 Mainly financial: Figure, Matrixport, Archax, Transak
🔸 Infrastructure: Odos, zkPass, Owlto, Avalon Labs
One unavoidable question:
Domestic suspension of redemptions, where did the overseas earnings go? 🤔🚨 Early morning spike, who got tricked into buying again?
$BTC just hit 84,200 and got smacked down, back to 83,625; $ETH jumped from 2,492 to 2,365, now stuck at 2,523. One fake breakout, one just starting to rise, the market is full of drama.
1-hour chart: BTC red bars still there, DIF 195.1, MACD 4.6, golden cross not dead; but J value only 44.2, the throttle is easing. Upper bound 84,244, lower bound 83,320, break either way follows that side. ETH also has a golden cross, J value 56.89, sentiment lukewarm; 2,549 resistance, 2,517 support, don’t get ahead of yourself before the range breaks.
But today’s volatility is just the appetizer. Tuesday, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Citi earnings come in a row; Wednesday, US September CPI is released, annual forecast 3.6%, core month-on-month may drop to 0.2%. This is the real judge. If data is hot, the rebound might quickly turn into a bull trap; if data cools, bears will panic again $ZEC #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 This $CL trade entered near 89.5, exited near 92, a 2.5 point gain.
When Trump speaks, oil prices first crash then rebound; this trade capitalized on the perception gap. The ceasefire was unilaterally announced by Trump, not confirmed by Russia. The market initially sold off out of respect, but the lower Bollinger Band at 89.87 held — holding is a fake fall, breaking it is the real drop. Since it held, buy on the pullback, exit at resistance, no fighting the battle.
There are too many smokescreens in the news, don’t follow emotions, watch if the chart holds. On the road to recovery, stability is more important than speed. Focus on Gongming, we’ll take it step by step. #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 The 84,000–85,000 range is a window for reducing positions, not for adding them. There is no need to bet on a definite breakout—53% of holders have costs above this level, and every rebound will face selling pressure from those looking to break even. Keep a base position, realize part of the risk exposure in the resistance zone, and wait for clearer right-side signals.
82,000 is a better observation point. If the price tests 82,000 without breaking it and ETF outflows slow down, it can be seen as a trial-and-error opportunity for phased accumulation; if it breaks below, patiently wait for support confirmation in the 77,000–79,000 area. Currently, chasing a rise at 84,000 carries an unfavorable risk-reward ratio.
One macro variable that cannot be ignored:
On October 14 (tomorrow), the US September CPI data will be released, which is the most important inflation reference before the Fed's October meeting. Energy prices are the main driver of current inflation; if CPI exceeds expectations, interest rate expectations will heat up again, putting pressure on risk assets. Before the data is released, any large directional bets carry a gambling element.
The key to the holding strategy is "wait for confirmation, don’t rush." Watch the quality of the breakout at 84,000–85,000, the strength of support at 82,000, and the macro direction from CPI. Before these three become clear, controlling position size is the strategy itself. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ #PIMCO警告10年期美债收益率或达6% ETH 2555, to be honest, made some profit, but not a lot.
My base position cost is around 2390, reduced once at 2722, then bought back some at 2480, now at 2555, the short-term position has floating profit, and the base position has somewhat recovered.
Glanced at the OKX order book, $ETH just stood above 2550, the buying pressure isn't fierce, selling pressure piles up at 2580-2600, volume hasn't expanded, indicating this wave is still just riding along with BTC, ETH itself hasn't shown strength. Key levels I mark: support at 2520-2530, breaking below looks at 2500 or even 2480; resistance at 2580-2600, only with volume breaking above can we look at 2650.
My operation: reduced part of the short-term position around 2555 to take profit, the rest is set with a trailing stop, fully exit if it breaks below 2520. Base position continues to hold, no movement. ETH has fallen harder than BTC this wave and rebounds slower, don't rush to be a hero. Bitcoin has surged back above $84,000, but I think it's still too early to call the bull market back.
Over the past week, Bitcoin once dropped to $80,000 before rebounding.
However, there are three data points worth watching.
First, the US spot Bitcoin ETF saw a cumulative net outflow of about $681 million last week, marking the largest single-week outflow since June.
Second, although the ETF recorded a net inflow of about $21.1 million on October 9, this is far from enough compared to the over $700 million outflow in the previous two days.
Third, this rebound was accompanied by concentrated short covering, indicating that part of the upward momentum comes from shorts covering their positions rather than new spot buying.
Next, I am focusing on three key levels:
$82,000, an important short-term support.
$84,000, to see if it can truly hold.
$87,000, a previous resistance area.
There is also a critical date: October 14, when the US will release the September CPI inflation data.
If inflation exceeds expectations, US Treasuries and the dollar may once again pressure risk assets.
So what really matters now is not how much Bitcoin has rebounded, but whether there is sustained capital inflow behind the rebound.
Personally, I prefer to wait for confirmation from both ETF funds and price structure, rather than chasing a single bullish candle.
What do you think? Is this a technical rebound after a decline, or the start of a new upward trend? ZEC Recent Market Brief:
· Current price 1309.33, 24h +6.79%, 4H eight consecutive bullish candles, in the recent 20K candles 15 bullish and 5 bearish, short-term momentum is strong.
· Moving averages bullish: MA5 1282 > MA10 1254 > MA20 1238; price is about 6.68% above MA20 and about 2.68% above MA60. MA60 at 1286 turns into short-term support.
· Volume is relatively weak: the average volume of the last 6 bars is only 1.19 times that of the previous 30 bars, price rises with flat volume, caution is needed when chasing highs.
· RSI 65.8, strong but not overbought, close to the sensitive zone.
· Resistance levels: 1347.83 / 1365.67 / 1384.39; Support levels: 1305.25 / 1289.34 / 1278.00.
· Key level 1347.83: a breakout with volume will continue upward; low volume stagnation or pullback to 1305 for confirmation. Holding above 1350 will turn it into support.
· Strategy: Strong coin, try to keep distance to prevent sharp pullbacks. Recent market cap data not provided. "Shorting a skyrocketing coin, and still getting trapped?"
Who would have thought that a coin that doubled in price could still cause losses when shorted? It's really absurd.
Everyone says leveraged shorts on altcoins make money fast, but both $MAGIC and $STRK, with 3x full-position short orders, are both showing floating losses. STRK is down nearly 26%, MAGIC down 20%. Looking at the account, it feels unpleasant.
Looking at STRK's chart, the 15-minute candlesticks keep rising, moving averages all support the price upwards, and MACD is above the zero line with bullish momentum continuing. On the news front, the privacy pool expansion is a positive catalyst, pushing the price from a low of 0.072 directly up to 0.131, a 7-day increase of over 125%, with short-term sentiment extremely bullish.
Originally, I judged that the rally would meet resistance and pull back, so I opened a short on STRK at 0.115. MAGIC was the same idea, hoping for a pullback. But the market stubbornly surged higher, and the short positions got buried. Fortunately, the margin ratio remains high, so no immediate liquidation worries.
Now I can only patiently hold on. The more aggressively altcoins rise, the bigger the potential pullback later. No rush to cut losses; wait for bullish sentiment to fade. Once the upward momentum weakens, that's the opportunity for shorts. But also be mentally prepared—fund-driven pumps have no ceiling, so be ready to stop loss and exit at any time.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#俄罗斯放宽柴油出口，霍尔木兹风险仍支撑油价 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认
For personal record only, not investment advice.$APT
After APT's high point expansion, can its leading performance directly support valuation?
Today's early morning spot 24-hour observation window: range 0.8376—0.9655 USDT, change +3.91%, trading volume approximately 5.96 million USDT.
The increase in trading range and the rise in the window indicate a short-term recovery in buyer participation. Network performance determines the usage ceiling but does not equal actual paid demand; subsidy-driven activity and sustained economic usage need to be separated, and price cannot independently identify them.
If after the 0.9655 peak the lows continue to decline, maintain the trading-driven explanation; if real paid usage and revenue follow up and the pullback no longer breaks the new range, then increase the fundamental weight.A Cool Reflection Amid AI Frenzy: Unclear Accounts, Unpredictable Market 💸
The hottest topic in the tech world recently is none other than OpenAI's "Revenue Roshambo." Is it 70 billion or 50 billion? The missing 20 billion isn't due to business collapse but a battle over accounting standards—should we count the total cloud platform revenue or only the net income that actually lands in their pockets? This "confusing account" has directly pulled back the curtain on the overheated AI investment hype.
Capital tycoons, staring at mountains of GPUs and sky-high server rental fees, can't help but ask: Can this crazy burn rate really pay off? 😅 On the surface, AI is booming, but actual profits are as thin as a cicada's wings. Once the news broke, AI concept stocks collectively plunged, and $MU, $SNDK also took a hit 📉. Don't think that just touching AI guarantees easy money; blind charging forward can easily turn you into a high-level bagholder.
Turning to the macro scene, CPI and PPI data are about to be released, with interest rate hike expectations looming overhead. Interestingly, institutions are still positioning, but $BTC remains under pressure. What does this mean? Funds are watching cautiously; no one dares to go all in lightly. Market sentiment is like a roller coaster, shaking violently at the slightest breeze.
In short, AI is beautiful, but don't get carried away. The hotter the market, the tighter you should hold your wallet 👛. In an era where even accounting methods can trigger crashes, refusing to bet heavily is the only way to survive long in this magical market. ☕️#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 🚨 Maji is back with intensity! 25x full position long on $ETH, adding to the position with unrealized profits, nearly $50 million chips on the table!
Showing the brothers Maji Huang Licheng's move, he really dares to bet!
📊 Account data
Historical total loss: $34.9751 million
Loss in the last 7 days: $10.5104 million
Perpetual contract position: $49.8888 million
Total assets: $3.4914 million
Leverage: 25x full position
Available margin: 0
🔥 $ETH Long position
Position: 19,600 ETH
Average entry price: $2545.84
Current unrealized profit: $54,000
Liquidation price: $2509.15
Accumulated funding fee: loss of $1.3546 million
The craziest part is that Maji continues to add to the position while in profit, putting nearly $50 million chips on $ETH.
But note, whether he added to the position must be confirmed by changes in position before and after; conclusions cannot be drawn from current data alone.
My view: This is a high-leverage gamble! Profits are amplified when winning, but risks also quickly escalate when the market reverses. Historical losses have already exceeded $34.97 million; whether this position can withstand the drawdown is more important than how much is currently earned.
The crypto world is not short of people willing to bet, but it lacks those who can walk away alive from the table. Not sure what to buy for the next market wave? Actually, the answer is hidden in this current cycle.
Instead of exhausting yourself searching for the next dark horse, it's better to seriously study which coins have surged the most and which ones are the most resilient in this round.
I choose strong coins based on three main characteristics:
First, when the overall market rises, they clearly outperform BTC and even break new highs first.
Second, when the market corrects, although they fall, their retracement is relatively limited, and key supports are not easily lost.
Third, and most importantly: as soon as the market stabilizes, they rebound first, sometimes recovering losses earlier than BTC.
Leading the rally once might be luck, but leading multiple times is worth paying attention to.
Especially coins that remain relatively strong after several market corrections tend to attract sustained capital interest.
But one thing must be emphasized: strong coins do not mean you can blindly chase highs.
My habit is to pick coins first, then wait for a pullback, observe key supports and capital absorption, and only buy at the right price.
Choosing the coin determines the profit potential; the entry point determines the profit or loss outcome.
True opportunities don’t necessarily require advance prediction; the market often tells us the answer through price movements.
Find the strongest coins, wait for the best positions, and earn money you understand. Let’s go! #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 $ETH current price 2556.48, 24h high 2579.98, low 2498. The 1-hour level just saw a rebound, but it is clearly under pressure near 2580, entering short-term consolidation.
📉 Bearish factors:
• 2580-2600 is a strong resistance zone, with short liquidation pressure above 2600, making a breakout difficult
• Ethereum Foundation-related wallets transferred 4393 ETH to Kraken, increasing potential selling pressure
• US spot ETH ETF recently saw a net outflow of about 201.9 million USD
• October 14 US CPI is the biggest variable this week; the market tends to be cautious before the data
• ETH itself remains weak; before breaking above 2676, it mostly follows BTC
📈 Bullish factors:
• A whale sold 410 BTC and then bought 14,341 ETH, indicating large funds are bottom-fishing at the current level
• ETH staking volume continues to hit new highs, reducing circulating supply on exchanges
• The Fear and Greed Index rose to 69, indicating a warm market sentiment
• Short-term MACD golden cross, RSI moving away from lows, short-term momentum improving
🎯 Key levels:
• Resistance above: 2580-2600
• Support below: 2470-2480
• Strong support: 2400-2420
$BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 I've been targeted; no matter if I go long or short, my position always gets stopped out.
$BTC's candlestick keeps oscillating sideways. Today, the market rose from the 83,000 level to a high of 84,300, then faced resistance and all three EMA lines turned downward. Currently, the market closed in red and has fallen back to around 83,500, fluctuating. In the short term, we'll see if it can hold the 83,000 support level.
$ETH shows stronger resilience, reaching a high of 2,580, but has also pulled back slightly with the broader market. It is currently fluctuating around 2,550. In the short term, it remains to be seen if it can stabilize above the 2,500 support level and continue its upward trend.
$W is experiencing an extreme short squeeze. It surged from 0.017 to 0.03, where a bearish divergence appeared. It’s hanging in midair, clearly unable to rise further. I shorted at 0.029, but miraculously it went up and hit my stop loss. When it dropped, I chased again and got stopped out once more. It's really frustrating. Currently, the market's long-short ratio is severely imbalanced, with bears occupying 75%. This batch of shorts likely needs to be squeezed out before it can drop.
The above are just my personal market insights and do not constitute any trading advice.A rising crypto price and rising investor demand are not always the same thing.
Price can recover while ETF flows remain negative.
That creates an important distinction between a market bounce and a recovery supported by fresh capital.
Neither signal should be viewed alone.
When price action and capital flows disagree, I want to understand why before drawing a conclusion.$BTC Tonight the US stock market opens, can 84300 hold steady?
The market was very flat over the weekend, oscillating back and forth within a range. Then suddenly late last night, there was a sharp upward surge, catching many friends off guard.
The reason behind this is that a whale placed a large buy order near 82975, with a total size of 22.89 million USD, equivalent to 275.84 BTC. Part of the order has already been filled, with a transaction amount of 1.86 million USD and 22.37 BTC, directly driving this rebound in the market.
So how should we operate at this stage?
The 83000-83500 range has accumulated 30 million USD in pending orders, which is a solid strong support. The one-hour candlestick has also turned bullish from bearish, showing that there is major capital supporting the market from below.
Old Li's view: On a pullback to 83500, you can set up long positions, targeting 85000 on the upside. $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 TSMC is going to release its latest earnings report this Thursday✨
Actually, a 50% year-over-year revenue growth is nothing new; the market already got preliminary data last week making this clear. What really holds the market's pulse are three key numbers hidden in the earnings report: gross margin, full-year performance guidance, and next year's capital expenditure.
TSMC's preset range for Q3 gross margin is 65%-67%, but last quarter's gross margin even touched a high of 67.7%. Now the entire market is betting on the upper end of the range, confident that the high foundry premium for AI chips can steadily offset the cost increases from the 2nm process ramp-up. However, if the final number falls in the lower half of the range or even touches the 65% lower limit, the stock price will most likely be hammered down by profit-taking🤷♀️
Even more interesting is the options market trend: funds have already bet in advance that the stock price volatility after the earnings report will reach ±5%, but TSMC's average volatility after the past four earnings releases was less than 2.9%. Expectations are fully stretched; at this point, the biggest risk is "good news being priced in"—even if the core numbers look good, if the guidance is slightly soft, funds will not hesitate to sell off.
Looking at it from the crypto world perspective, the logic is simple: just don't heavily bet on AI-themed coins in advance✅TSMC's stock price fluctuations only affect the sentiment around AI altcoins; the real core storyline for BTC remains the US CPI data released Wednesday night and the capital flow of spot ETFs.
TSMC's earnings call is Thursday morning, CPI data comes out Wednesday night, two major events packed closely together, making it really tough to position.🪙BTC Market Forecast
🟢 Bull Scenario: Stabilizing near 83120 with a stop-loss candlestick, no new lows, and reclaiming 83750 on the 1-hour chart, then retesting the high at 84360.
🔴 Bear Scenario: The 4-hour candlestick body breaks below 83120 with increased volume, indicating this upward push is a false breakout to lure bulls, and the market will further probe 82956, possibly falling back below 82600
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 When macro and technical signals conflict, which one do you trust?
Actually, this is a rather "skeletal" issue, with macro and technical signals in conflict.
Personally, I think technical signals are more like "pre-programmed routines," running along "preset orbits" like satellites in the sky, while macro is more like regulatory "instructions" or traffic control signals.
When the two conflict, I tend to lean more towards macro rather than technical signals. For example, if the Federal Reserve is preparing for consecutive rate hikes and introduces some restrictions on crypto market inflows, even though the daily trend of $BTC $ETH still shows room for growth, there may be a "lagging" effect.
In that case, the strategy needs to change, and the "market" is very likely over.
I have to mention the market around July to October 2025. Although market confidence was relatively strong and there was anticipation for BTC to rise with some capital inflows in the early stages of the rally, what followed was a "bear market" triggered by macro factors such as Trump imposing 100% tariffs on China and stablecoin de-pegging, causing the market to change direction into a "bear market".
@OKX星球
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Everyone has their own unwillingness, and so do I. Even seeing it become like this, I still can't bear to abandon it.
$SOL: Opening price 109.93, current price 111.41, isolated 3X, margin 701.48U, floating profit 28.4U, ROI 4.03%. After finishing work, this position is still lukewarm.
$BCH: Opening price 282.9, current price 285.4, isolated 20X, margin 1451.63U, floating loss 150.11U, ROI -17.27%. This position turned red, still red, I don't know what to say. I think I have given up.
$DOGE: Opening price 0.084763, current price 0.0868384, isolated 20X, margin 841.21U, floating loss 405.44U, ROI -48.96%. The most painful thing about this position is the old saying—it once earned so much, but I didn't exit. Now even regret seems superfluous; either reduce the position or stop loss, it can't be allowed to free fall anymore.
Made profits but didn't exit, deep drawdown and stuck, the market repeatedly teaches me discipline with the same lesson, yet I never learn.
Finally, I wish everyone profits! #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 #Securitize推出12只链上美股 "Position CT: Who is transfusing, who is drawing blood"
Big Brother Maji's ledger is like an emergency room.
BTC is the printing machine still running: 40x full position short with 243.96 coins, entry at 84070, liquidation only at 105740.41. Floating profit of $259,600, funding fee adds another $51,200, temporarily responsible for transfusion.
ETH lies on the observation bed: 25x long with 8742.06 coins, cost 2546.58, liquidation line at 1844.71. Still some distance from danger, but floating loss of $405,500, funding fee missed $9,867.82, like a wound not big but never scabbing over.
The loudest is HYPE: 5x short with 233,900 coins, opened at 63.9481, liquidation at 106.59. Floating loss of $4,861,700, the biggest hole in the account; although funding fee recovered $1,021,900, shorts are too crowded, volatility too fierce, subsidies like throwing sandbags at a breach.
Overall, BTC supplies blood, ETH struggles, HYPE bleeds. Are multi-million positions qualified enough? The numbers are fierce, the heartbeat fiercer. The real risk is not at the liquidation line, but at the next needle for HYPE.DOGE 0.087｜The quiet Meme starts to test a rebound? 🐶
DOGE has risen from around 0.084 to near 0.087, with short-term selling pressure easing somewhat, but it is still one step away from truly reversing the weakness. Notably, in the past week, DOGE saw a net outflow of about $57.2 million from exchanges, which may indicate some holders are moving assets; however, exchange outflows alone do not prove that funds are bottom-fishing, and the price still needs to confirm.
On the chart, 0.087–0.089 is the current resistance zone. If it can hold above 0.089, there is a chance to further challenge 0.090–0.092; if the rebound is blocked and falls back below 0.085, then support around 0.084 or even 0.082 should be watched.
The most interesting thing about Meme coins is that sentiment comes fast and goes fast. We cannot yet conclude the market has returned just because of a rebound; the key is whether DOGE can break through the resistance zone and truly convert short-term sentiment into sustained buying.
Do you think DOGE can retake 0.09 this time, or will it need another round of consolidation?
For market analysis only, not investment advice. $DOGE #阿斯麦Q3财报10月14日公布，EUV订单成焦点 Behind CORE's Emergency Hard Fork: Can a Minority of Nodes "Steal" Tokens? 8 Exchanges Implement Emergency Risk Controls, Full Analysis of Underlying Vulnerabilities
Recently, the emergency hard fork event of CORE has ignited the community, with rumors that "nodes stealing tokens" are not exaggerated falsehoods. The project team discovered a fundamental reward distribution vulnerability: a few malicious validator nodes can bypass protocol rules to claim excess CORE tokens. If left unchecked, this would lead to continuous token inflation, diluting the holdings of all token holders.
To patch the vulnerability, Core DAO initiated an emergency hard fork upgrade. Eight leading exchanges simultaneously suspended CORE on-chain deposits and withdrawals as a proactive risk control measure; this was not due to exchange downtime, and on-chain spot trading remains normal. This hard fork is a forward upgrade without rolling back historical transactions, so ordinary users' wallet assets are safe and no manual action is required.
Although this incident did not directly result in user asset theft, it exposed serious defects in the public chain's underlying code. The project team has yet to fully disclose the total amount of excess token issuance or the duration of the vulnerability, reflecting insufficient transparency.
In the short term, market confidence was shaken, causing sharp price fluctuations. The completion of the hard fork only patched this vulnerability, but the underlying code risks remain a concern. For CORE, which promotes a BTCFi narrative, public chain security is fundamental. This incident serves as a wake-up call to all holders: risks in the underlying protocol are far more fatal than market volatility.🚨 STRK surged about 129% in three days, and 127 million tokens will unlock again at 8:00 on October 15. Is this a real pump or just wash trading?
Trading volume is $948 million, higher than the market cap of $837 million; the official statement only says "considering it," with no proposal.
Three signals tell you what to watch for
📌 Event timeline:
· October 8: StarkWare CEO said they are considering transforming into an L1, aiming for quantum resistance by 2027
· October 11: He responded "we have heard the market's voice," still no proposal or testnet date
· October 15, 8:00: Unlock about 127 million tokens, approximately $14.3 million, about 1.7% of circulating supply
📊 Three signals:
1️⃣ Trading volume exceeds market cap (about 113%), high risk of inflated volume
2️⃣ No governance proposal, no launch date, narrative outweighs facts
3️⃣ Unlock comes after a big surge, increasing supply
🎯 Watchpoint: Whether trading volume on the unlock day still exceeds market cap, and if the price can hold at 0.10.
⚠️ Small coin contracts are highly volatile, avoid chasing with high leverage.
Do you think STRK can hold through the unlock? Reply A for yes / B for no in the comments 👇
$STRK $ETH $BTC #ARK将13亿美元风投基金代币化 #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 Why is the coin that rebounds the strongest after a crash not necessarily the most worth buying?
When I first entered the crypto space, I was especially superstitious about the strength of rebounds.
After a market crash, whichever coin first rallies 20% or 30%, I would think it’s the strongest and that the main funds have already returned ahead of others.
Later I realized that the ones that fall the hardest often rebound the most fiercely.
Once, after a full market liquidation, I chased a small coin that rebounded 40% in two hours. It seemed much stronger than BTC, but in reality, it had previously dropped 70%. The short sellers taking profits, bottom-fishing funds, and liquidity replenishment after forced liquidations together created a sharp rebound.
When the sentiment stabilized a bit, the real spot buying didn’t follow through, and the price quickly fell back to the low point.
A rebound after a crash shouldn’t be judged only by the percentage increase, but also by where it’s rebounding from and what it’s relying on. If a coin falls from 10 to 3, then rises to 4.2, that’s a 40% increase but still far from the original price; if open interest (OI) rises quickly during the rebound but spot trading volume doesn’t increase correspondingly, often it’s just new leverage piling up again, not a trend recovery.
True strength means relative resistance during a big drop, holding higher lows after the rebound, and continuously outperforming BTC—not just creating a pretty percentage by overselling.
Remember: rebound magnitude measures short-term elasticity, not asset quality; the first to bounce up might be the strong one, or it might just be the one that fell the hardest.[Urgent Reminder] Don't chase the pump just now! This is a typical "fake breakout trap," and a big waterfall drop is coming soon!
Take a look at the real-time data from the recent twitch:
$BTC: Just got sharply pulled from 83,400, touched around 84,100, but above 84,500 is heavy intraday trapped sell pressure;
$ETH: Passively pulled down to around 2,565, couldn't even reach 2,600;
$SOL: Rebounded to around 113 following the trend, but volume severely shrank.
Why do we say this recent pump is a pure bull trap?
* Pure contract short squeeze, spot market didn't follow at all: This several hundred point rebound was entirely to force out low-position short sellers with high leverage, a typical "short stop loss + algorithmic order sweep." Big spot funds didn't enter at all, US market negative premium still hanging overhead, the buying is completely fake.
* Typical prelude to a fake breakout: This sharp pump had no sustained volume increase; once the liquidity of these short chasers is swept out, the selling pressure above will immediately counterattack, and the price will be slammed back to the original point in minutes.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ #Russia-Ukraine May Reach "Energy Ceasefire" Agreement, Progress Pending Confirmation
[Trump says ceasefire, so ceasefire? Oil prices fell first; the market no longer trusts Trump's big talk]
Trump announced a Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire, Brent crude oil $BZ briefly dropped over 1%, latest reports near $103. The market is first trading on the expectation that energy supply may resume and diesel supply increase could ease inflation.
This matter is actually a bit uncertain. Zelensky said Russian forces are still attacking energy facilities, and Russia has not officially confirmed the ceasefire. More troubling, attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz continue, so Middle East supply risks remain unresolved. The oil price drop reflects expectations, not restored supply.
For $BTC, falling oil prices help ease inflation pressure and reduce concerns about the Fed maintaining high interest rates. But don’t rush to see this as a crypto market reversal signal; easing macro pressure does not mean funds will immediately flow back.
Short-term it favors risk assets, but it’s not yet a trend reversal. If the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire is truly implemented and oil prices continue to fall, BTC may benefit from subsequent gains; if the ceasefire is just verbal and another Middle East incident occurs, today’s optimism could be quickly reversed. $BTC $ETH $FIL Just think about how the price once soared to over 200, and now look at next week's price of 1.2, almost zero. Back in 2021, FIL mining companies were flourishing all over the country. I remember visiting a company in Shanghai; it was a standard office building with three floors, each floor having 1800 square meters of office space, and a team of thousands working on distributed storage business. And now, looking at the price, it’s heartbreaking.Looking for a good position to short Nvidia. Today on Bilibili, I saw a big short seller shorting Nvidia. The US AI industry is spiraling upward with money moving from one hand to the other. Nvidia invests in OpenAI, and OpenAI in turn buys Nvidia's computing power chips, mutually propping each other up and hyping the AI bubble. Moreover, some people are packaging and reselling bonds issued by AI companies, which is very similar to the mortgage loans in the subprime crisis. They are betting on general AI but have yet to receive positive feedback, continuously losing money with input exceeding output. This mutually binding and continuously externally dependent model will quickly spread if one company collapses.#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 The energy ceasefire has been announced, but oil prices are not convinced
What is the biggest fear in trading? Placing an order right after reading the headline, without checking the details, and filling the position first.
On October 11, Trump announced that Russia and Ukraine reached an "energy ceasefire," but no specific arrangements were disclosed. Zelensky said they are still waiting for details, and the Russian side did not confirm the report at the time of release. The Ukrainian side also reported that energy facilities were still attacked after the announcement. This news has some easing significance, but there is still a long way to go before it is truly implemented.
What is more worth watching is the market reaction. On October 12, after falling in early trading, crude oil prices turned up. As of 17:23 Beijing time, Brent was at $105.41, up 0.7%; WTI was at $92.42, up 0.6%. Expectations of improved supply did not suppress Middle East risks.
The reason is straightforward: even if Russia and Ukraine stop attacking each other's energy facilities, the transportation issue in the Strait of Hormuz remains. Over the weekend, two oil tankers were attacked again. Producing energy is one thing; whether it can be safely transported out is another.
My view is that the crypto community should not rush to interpret this news as "inflation cooling, accelerated rate cuts, and risk assets taking off." First, watch whether attacks decrease, shipping resumes, and oil prices continue to fall. The news can bring a wave of sentiment-driven trading, but what truly supports the market will be the follow-through. @OKX星球 After the 15-minute afternoon surge, I felt the bulls were a bit powerless.
BTC peaked at 84276, ETH touched 2571, ZEC surged to 1348, but all were smashed back down, with 15 consecutive bearish candles.
I reversed with three short positions: BTC 100x at 84051 entry, now 83730, floating profit over 38%; ETH 100x at 2561 entry, now 2553, profit over 32%; ZEC 50x at 1343 entry, now 1324, floating profit nearly 70%. ZEC rose over 5% today, up 145% in 90 days, but volume at the high was large yet price stagnated, indicating buying pressure is starting to fade; BTC and ETH also failed to break previous highs, volume-price divergence, the shorts are the ones deflating this.
100x leverage has very little margin for error, margin is just over 9 dollars, liquidation price looks far but a 1% intraday move can halve the position. Floating profits are just a few dollars, so this afternoon I will close half to withdraw, and set stop loss at cost for the base position. Never hold 100x shorts overnight; the pullback after the bulls' frenzy only captures the middle segment.
Friends, how many hours do you usually hold 100x short positions?
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认
#台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ ZEC Analysis in the Last Hour: The Whale's "No Turning Back" Signal
A notable move: In the past 24 hours, ZEC short positions liquidated over $172 million, current price $1282.51, just 1.34% below the 1-hour resistance at $1299.66.
What changed? A whale withdrew 26,070 ZEC worth $31.93 million from Binance and Kraken within minutes, directly transferring to a self-custody wallet. The chips are leaving the exchanges.
Why is this significant? Exchange balance decline means a shrinking sellable circulating supply, while the price only slightly retraced and volume shrank to 0.24x, indicating selling pressure is not genuine. The whale chose to "relocate" rather than cash out at this level, which is worth pondering.
Which observation is more supported? The current structure is bullish-biased, but insufficient volume is a major weakness. $1220.61 is the strong support below, $1299.66 is the immediate gate, and the position determines which side acts first.
Next focus: Will the batch of coins withdrawn by the whale flow back to exchanges before the NU7 mainnet launch? If they return, all is well; if not, the story is just beginning. $ZEC Going all in short on $W!!
Dog whales, don’t you like to pump?
Come on! Keep pumping! My position is right here!!
Please just blow me up with a margin call!!
Today's market really makes me laugh
$W pumped 68 points in one day
The highest shot straight up to 0.030887
Before that, it was lingering around 0.017
Then suddenly a few big bullish candles took off
If you didn’t know, you’d think some huge good news came out
I just want to ask one thing
Are there really that many people willing to take this price?
Anyway, I don’t believe it
I just opened a short at 0.029965
20x leverage, full position
2000 $W
Now the price is hovering around 0.0299
Floating profit only 0.03U
Feels like I didn’t open a position at all
But this time I’m not in a hurry
Look at this 4-hour candlestick
It was consolidating for so long before
Suddenly several big bullish candles pulled it up
No decent pullback at all
This kind of move easily stirs up emotions
When it’s rising, everyone thinks it can keep going up
When it really reverses
Those who are slow to exit suffer
Nearby $STRK is also interesting
Daily high reached 0.1268
Now back near 0.10522
Dropped over 14 points in one day
$MAGIC previously surged to 0.16379
Now also back to 0.12461
What does this mean?
Just because it rises sharply doesn’t mean it can keep rising
Especially coins that double in a short time
The hotter it gets going up
The more miserable it can be coming down
Of course, $W hasn’t really broken down yet
Bulls are still holding near 0.03
If it can reclaim 0.030887
There might be another short squeeze above
My short position will also face pressure
But I want to see
How much real buying is behind this pump
Or if it’s just attracting all the chasing buyers
Waiting for someone to take the bags later
Right now I’m most focused on around 0.027
If that level doesn’t hold
There’s a chance to revisit 0.023 below
Further down is the dense trading zone near 0.017
But these are just my judgments
If the market disagrees, there’s nothing I can do
20x full position is definitely risky
Even if the direction is right, it doesn’t guarantee profit
If you can’t handle volatility, you can still get liquidated
So even if I’m shouting for the whales to keep pumping
When the market turns, I have to accept it
$W’s drama tonight is just beginning
Will the bulls keep squeezing shorts?
Or will those chasing at the top be the first to break?
I want to see!
#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 🚨CFX Short Squeeze Alert! Funding rate plunges to -0.011, major players' shakeout hides deadly intent!
Brothers, look at CFX's chart, it reeks of "bloodshed"! Current price 0.06339, down -7.94% in 24 hours, crashing from the high of 0.07268, bulls seem powerless to fight back, but the truth is often hidden in the details.
Key point: The funding rate has dropped to -0.011! What does this mean? Shorts are extremely crowded, everyone is frantically borrowing coins to short. This abnormally negative funding rate is often a signal that the major players are about to explode the short side. This seemingly terrifying bearish candle is essentially the major players violently shaking out weak hands in cooperation with retail traders, aiming to flush out the undecided chips.
Looking at the 1-minute and 15-minute charts, K value is 21.5, D value is 26.4, the short term has entered oversold territory. Although the 30-day moving average still shows a +32.14% gain, today's selling pressure is indeed very heavy. So brothers, don't hold any illusions today expecting a big rally; market sentiment needs time to recover, and catching the falling knife now is extremely risky.
Be patient, wait for this wave of frantic selling pressure to completely exhaust. Once the selling pressure ends, with shorts extremely crowded, it is very likely to trigger an unprecedented retaliatory counterattack by the bulls! Hold your bullets, wait for the real charge signal!🚀$BTC $CFX #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 Don't know what to buy next? The answer is hidden in this round.
Strong coins only look at three points: outperform BTC when rising, limited pullback when falling, and rebound first when stabilizing.
Once is luck, three times is consensus.
But strong ≠ chasing highs. First verify authenticity with the "coin/BTC" ratio curve, then wait for it to return to the support level to see if funds are absorbing.
Choosing the coin determines the potential, the buying point determines profit or loss, and the position size determines how long you can survive.
The market has long written the answer in the K-line, but most people only look within their own holdings.
Find the strongest coin, wait for the best position, and earn money you can understand. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 Starting from October 9, the native token B of the Layer 2 public chain Starknet, STRK, continued its upward trend. After rising about 13% the previous day, STRK surged another 16% intraday, once breaking through $0.064, hitting an eight-month high. Since mid-August, STRK has rebounded nearly 200% in total. What drives market attention is not only the price breakthrough but also a new concept proposed by Stark's founder: exploring the possibility of transforming Starknet from an Ethereum Layer 2 public chain into an independent Layer 1 public chain.Really frustrating!
$BTC V-shaped rebound still lacks strength
Waiting quietly for the US stock market to open
Hoping for a boost to trigger a violent surge!
Currently, Bitcoin long positions have unrealized profits of 8152.80U
$ETH unrealized profits +6994.49U
The profits from these two trades are quite considerable.
But after the market consolidates
The volume has been insufficient
The bulls clearly lack momentum
Let's keep watching the market performance
If the volume continues to be weak
And the US stock market opens like this
Then I'll take the opportunity to lock in paper profits.
$STRK
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认
#台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ BTC, as usual, starts to face resistance and pull back at the maximum pressure point of 84000 as per the script.
In the next 60 hours, CPI data will be released, and now it will definitely be a period of chaotic fluctuations.
I don't want to participate in this 60-hour game, so I'll take a break first. THE COST OF WAITING 14 DAYS.
A flaw in $XRP Ledger's payment engine could have created spendable XRP beyond its 100B supply cap.
The fix shipped Sept. 25, bypassing the usual amendment process. XRPL Foundation says waiting could have exposed the vulnerability to attackers.
No unauthorized XRP was found. Validators later approved the required upgrade through the normal process.
Security won the race. The governance debate continues.
#XRP #XRPL #DailyOrbit ZEC: ETF is bleeding, whales are locking tokens
An abnormal signal: ZEC spot ETFs have seen a net outflow of $124 million over two consecutive weeks, and Grayscale ZCSH had a single-week redemption of $93.56 million. Meanwhile, on-chain monitoring detected whales withdrawing 26,070 ZEC from Binance and Kraken within minutes, valued at $31.93 million.
What has changed? On one side, ETF funds are continuously fleeing; on the other, whales are moving their holdings from exchanges into self-custody wallets. The directions are completely opposite.
Why is this worth attention? ETF outflows represent passive selling pressure, while whale withdrawals mean the circulating supply is shrinking — tokens are moving from a "readily sellable" state to a "long-term locked" state. The collision of these two forces raises the key question: who is dominating the pricing?
Which observation is more supported? Short-term sentiment is cautious, but the on-chain structure is not pessimistic. Whales choosing to build positions and withdraw tokens at this point indicates some funds see something that ETF holders do not.
Next, watch for the NU7 mainnet launch on November 5, which will reduce block intervals from 75 seconds to 25 seconds. Before the mainnet goes live, which will change first: the ETF redemption speed or the whales’ withdrawal pace? $ZEC #ZEC巨鲸3.8万枚空单平仓，亏损超3500万美元 🚨 Early morning spike, who got tricked into buying again?
$BTC just touched 84,200 then got hit hard, dropping back to 83,625; $ETH jumped from 2,492 down to 2,365, now stuck at 2,523. One fake breakout, one just lifting its head, the market is full of drama.
1-hour chart: BTC red bars still there, DIF 195.1, MACD 4.6, golden cross not dead; but J value only 44.2, the throttle is easing. Upper boundary 84,244, lower boundary 83,320, break either way follows that side. ETH also has a golden cross, J value 56.89, sentiment lukewarm; 2,549 resistance, 2,517 support, don’t get ahead of yourself before the range breaks.
But today’s volatility is just the appetizer. Tuesday, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup earnings reports come in a row; Wednesday, US September CPI is released, annual rate expected at 3.6%, core month-on-month may drop to 0.2%. This is the real referee. If data is hot, the rebound might quickly turn into a bull trap; if data cools, bears will panic again. $ZEC #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验