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Live trading is hilarious! Big coins BTC and ETH earn steady profits, while ZEC's heavy strike backfires and gets controlled
Honestly, today's market really made me laugh!
The greenhorn is timid on mainstream BTC and ETH, not daring to make big moves. It tries to strike hard on the altcoin ZEC to chase big gains, but ends up being harshly taught a lesson by the market.
Mainstream stable short positions steadily make profits, but ZEC just grinds in place, profits almost zero, the difference is obvious to the naked eye!
Real live trading data from the whole network attached:
✅ ETH 75x isolated margin short
Entry 2782 | Current price 2768
Position 20 | Floating profit +277U
✅ BTC 100x isolated margin short
Entry 87124 | Current price 86868
Position 2 | Floating profit +513U
✅ BTC 100x cross margin short
Entry 86935 | Current price 86868
Position 3 | Floating profit +220U
❌ ZEC 50x cross margin short
Entry 1613 | Current price 1613
Position 11 | Floating profit only +5U
Have to say: altcoins look full of opportunities but are actually the biggest traps.
Play it safe with mainstream coins for stable profits; blindly rushing to strike hard on altcoins will only get you mercilessly controlled by the market!
#LiveTrading #BTC #ETH #ZEC #CryptoMarket #DigitalAssetComplianceAttention 如果把特朗普家族的商业版图看成一张地图，那么小特朗普正在走向一个越来越特殊的位置： 一边是政治影响力，另一边是风险投资、预测市场和科技公司。 而连接两者的一个重要节点，是 1789 Capital。 2024年特朗普重新赢得总统大选前，1789 Capital管理的资金规模约为1.5亿美元。 如今，这家成立于2022年的投资机构管理资产已经超过40亿美元，并正在为第二只成长基金筹集约30亿美元，其中约20亿美元据报道已经来自现有投资者。 不到两年，1789完成了一次极为迅速的扩张。 而最受关注的变量之一，就是： 2024年大选后，特朗普长子Donald Trump Jr.加入了1789 Capital。 从特朗普的竞选助力，到投资机构合伙人 小特朗普并不是2024年才进入政治圈。 从2016年开始，他就频繁替父亲参加竞选活动，随后逐渐成为特朗普阵营的重要政治活动者。 到了2024年总统大选，他不仅参与竞选，还积极推动父亲选择JD Vance作为副总统候选人。 特朗普赢得大选后，小特朗普没有进入政府任职，而是选择进入资本市场。 2024年11月，他宣布加入1789 Capital担任合伙"ETF Funds Turn Around, Another Signal for Bitcoin"
In July, the US spot Bitcoin ETF was still overshadowed by a net outflow of about $5.8 billion; now, the tide has turned — a net inflow of about $800 million. This is not a minor adjustment but a clear portfolio rebalancing.
Price naturally steals the spotlight. Rises, falls, breakouts, pullbacks are always the easiest to discuss. But capital flow speaks a different language: it is quiet yet records true allocation intentions. From outflow to inflow, it indicates that some funds are willing to take on risk again and may also mean that earlier panic selling has marginally weakened.
However, an $800 million net inflow is not enough to declare a trend reversal. It is more like an observation window: if inflows continue, prices get support; if it is just a brief return, the market may still fluctuate. Headlines talk about sentiment, capital talks about action. I am watching how the two verify each other.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 A series of moves fierce as a tiger, but then I see my account is just 250.
The little I earned from $PLTR can't even cover a fraction of $SOXS.
I originally wanted to hedge, but it turned into a "double hit."
The position in SOXS is really awkward—cutting losses risks a rebound, not cutting risks going to zero.
The crypto world cures all kinds of dissatisfaction.125 is sentiment, 120 is stance.
$SOL trend is bullish; do not short unless it breaks 120.
120 has been a major threshold since January and is the watershed of this structural phase.
After ETF inflows, short covering, and Alpenglow expectations piled up, the market repriced.
If it breaks 120, shorts must first face covering; if 120 doesn't hold, bulls need to give way.
Treating 125 as "time to short" mistakes excitement for a turning point.
It's understandable to want to short, but it's not yet the main logic:
▶️ Price doubled quickly from the June low;
▶️ Leverage has increased; after a false breakout, a pullback to 118 or 112 is a common scenario;
▶️ Upgrades are still on testnet, mainnet not launched, so positive catalysts remain to be realized.
So shorting directly at 125 means
short-term gains of a few dollars on pullbacks but losses if the trend extends further, resulting in a poor risk-reward ratio.
Bulls currently dominate, not by slogans but because the structure remains intact:
1️⃣ The US spot SOL ETF still has net inflows; staking products indicate institutions buy for price plus yield;
2️⃣ After reclaiming 120, previous resistance is turning into support;
3️⃣ Narratives like high throughput, settlement, and RWA have not been disproven.
The trend continues, so don't use tactical shorts to fight strategic longs.
In terms of operations,
watch if the daily candle closes below 120;
before that, near 125, at most reduce longs or hedge, do not make shorting the main play.
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 Long-end yields are doing more than tightening financial conditions: they are raising the hurdle rate for every asset priced on distant cash flows.
Treasury buybacks may improve market plumbing, but they do not erase inflation, Fed-policy, or fiscal concerns. With mortgages above 7%, valuation pressure can persist even without a fresh shock.
#USTYieldsPressure 对比了一下中美峰会后双方各自发布针对本次峰会总结的公告： 1，双方版本并未出现明显的矛盾点，显然目前版本双方已经在框架上达成大概率共识，但是双方的表述重点不同 2，双方共同确定的是新的外交关系，300亿美元经贸安排，经贸机制，AI/SI对话，AI事件沟通，伊朗无核，国际水道不收费，G20与APEC互相支持，禁毒合作 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 3，中国重点强调了台湾问题，合作而非全面对抗，合作为主，竞争有堵，分歧可控，军事危机沟通，降低台湾与南海的军事摩擦风险 4，美国方面则强调稀土供应，美国商品市场准入，芬太尼前体，美国印太军事存在，每种额三边军控等。 5，两个版本的区别， a，中方突出台湾问题，美国在清单中并未提及台湾 b，美国版本突出稀土问题仍未解决，中国方面并未把稀土列为本次会谈成果， c，美国披露更多的经贸协议细节，尤其是突出了一条，中国在2027年和2028年每年至少进口1000万吨美国媒体 d，芬太尼问题，双方都承认，但是美国方面更加强硬， e，对于南海问题，双方都选择闭口谈。 总结： 通过对比中美双方的版本来看，此前很多小伙伴认为的中美进入蜜月期这个观点是要Fuel again! ETH liquidations reached $13.1 million in 24 hours, with shorts accounting for 63%, $92.52 million wiped out, yet the price firmly stands at $2,709.
As of September 27, ETH is priced at $2,709, up 0.84% in 24 hours. In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation amount of the top 20 crypto assets reached $92.52 million, with short liquidations at $57.3 million, accounting for 61.93%. Ethereum alone liquidated $13.1 million, with shorts making up 63%—another batch of shorts was taken out.
Whales "clearing out" to take profits. A whale/institution holding ETH for 3 years transferred 30,825 ETH ($83.03 million) to Bitfinex 9 hours ago, with a weekly total sale of 112,053 ETH ($300 million), realizing profits of $72.83 million. This address built a position of 130,000 ETH in 2023 at an average price of $2,026 and is now suspected to be close to fully clearing out.
ETF funds continue to provide support. Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net inflow of $216 million yesterday, with BlackRock's ETHA leading single-day net inflows at $149 million, and Bitwise ETHW net inflows of $29.08 million. The current total net asset value of ETFs is $16.305 billion, with a historical cumulative net inflow of $13.39 billion.
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 $ETH Just saw an address on-chain, quite interesting.
In three weeks, 9,158 ETH, 24.34 million USD. Not bought all at once, but added a bit each time ETH dropped. Average price 2658, currently floating profit of 360,000.
This operation itself is not unusual. What’s unusual is the timing.
What was ETH’s trend in the past three weeks? It dropped from 2800 straight down to 2400, and the group chat was full of “It will go back to 1500,” “ETH is done.” Most people either chased longs at 2800 and got stuck, or panicked sold at 2400. What was he doing? Buying every time it dropped.
He’s not bottom fishing; he’s building a position. Bottom fishers focus on a lowest point and won’t move if they don’t get it. Position builders don’t guess the lowest point, they just make sure they’re in. A drop is an opportunity, a rise doesn’t cause panic. After three weeks, the average price is 2658—not the lowest, but cheap enough.
The most painful part of this is—he’s not doing any sophisticated operation. No insider info, no leverage, no perfectly timed top or bottom. Just buy when it drops, hold when bought. But this “simple” thing, retail investors can’t do. Because retail thinks, “What if it drops to 2000?” “What if it drops further?” He’s not fearless, he just turned fear into position size.
What about you? Would you dare to add on every drop like this? $BTC $ETH Next week's calendar is not a calendar.
It's a list of torture devices.😇
PCE and Nonfarm Payrolls,
one controls inflation,
the other controls employment,
together they hit the crypto circle hard.
Wednesday: PCE + final GDP.
Friday: Nonfarm Payrolls + unemployment rate + hourly wages.
Hot data,
higher interest rates last longer,
BTC/ETH get beaten.
Cold data,
a slight rebound opens,
but don't get too happy too soon.
Fed officials take turns chanting.
Goolsbee, Williams, Kashkari...
One hawkish word, K-line dives;
One dovish word, bears curse.
Sensitivity maxed out,
a pure emotional roller coaster.
Sunday OPEC + more drama.
Production increase, oil price drops, good news.
Production cut, energy pressure mounts, market dips.
Oil bosses are the hidden market makers.
Summary:
Data week, don't bet on one side.
Wait for PCE and Nonfarm to land,
follow the signals.
Hold your hands,
survive,
then you qualify to feast.
$BTC $ETH
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 ADA, SUI, OP: The public chain market is not about who rises fastest, but about who has new narratives.
ADA: The core is technological upgrades + governance. Leios, ZK, scaling, and on-chain governance continue to advance, with market focus shifting from "established public chains" to whether the future ecosystem can regain growth.
SUI: A representative high-performance L1, with logic leaning more towards DeFi, payments, stablecoins, and institutional finance. The ecosystem applications are continuously expanding; what truly deserves observation is whether capital and users can sustainably accumulate.
OP: The core remains Ethereum scaling, but the narrative is extending from pure L2 to Superchain, institutional chains, stablecoins, and asset tokenization.
The three have different logics:
ADA = Technology and governance
SUI = Performance and applications
OP = Ethereum scaling and institutional finance
If capital continues to rotate from Meme to public chains, the upcoming market competition will not only be about hype but about real users, capital, applications, and ecosystem growth.
The true mainline of the altcoin season is often hidden in "value reassessment."
For research and communication purposes only, not investment advice. #BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元
✨Many people get emotionally swayed by BTC's price swings—happy when it rises, anxious when it falls. But this easily disrupts your rhythm.
Instead of fixating on price movements, I now prefer to watch where the funds are flowing. If institutions keep accumulating, the market has a solid foundation; once the funds stop, the market struggles to withstand selling pressure.
Recently, BTC spot ETF funds have been continuously flowing in, with new inflows for seven consecutive days. This week's inflow marks the best single-week data this year. A large amount of coins are leaving exchanges and are slowly being absorbed by funds.
Institutions buying these are holding them long-term in their asset portfolios, not just entering for a quick short-term profit. So every time the price dips, you can see strong support.
However, don’t misunderstand—fund inflows don’t mean an immediate explosive rally. With U.S. Treasury yields attractive, many funds prefer stable interest there rather than rushing entirely into crypto.
To truly understand BTC, you can’t just stare at candlestick charts guessing price moves. The flow of funds is the signal you must not miss. Isn't this a typical case of "ineffective hedging"? 😂
$LQTY happily gained 9%, feeling proud of my sharp eye; then I looked at $GRASS, and it hit me with over 40%! This isn't shorting, it's like handing bullets to the GRASS whales.
The market is so wild right now. LQTY's movement is relatively normal, but this new coin GRASS is totally a trap machine. Shorting it with 10x leverage is really like licking blood on a knife's edge.
Can any experienced traders analyze if GRASS can still hold at this position? Or should I take profits from LQTY to cover the losses on GRASS? This operation is messing with my mindset, I won't be able to sleep tonight again... 🚬Can't scare me, the dog whales can't scare me at all.
Now with any slight fluctuation, I guess many brothers are about to get scared out of their wits.
But they just can't scare me, why?
Brothers, because the despair I've been through is much deeper than these little K-line fluctuations.
Back in the day, I survived startup bankruptcy, a million in debt, and being chased by collectors.
These little up-and-down spikes in the crypto world are nothing!
Look at this trend, $USELESS has crashed all the way down from the highest 0.35879, now stuck oscillating around 0.29711.
Many people see a few small bullish candles on the daily chart, with EMA5, EMA10, and EMA20 still supporting from below, and think maybe it's about to "consolidate and prepare for a second takeoff"?
Big mistake!
Take a close look at the volume below, it's shrunk to an embarrassing level!
From the huge volume during the surge to extreme shrinkage now.
What does this mean?
It means buying power is completely exhausted, there's no new money coming in to take over.
This kind of high-level consolidation is the dog whales slowly cutting their losses with a dull knife, unloading their holdings.
The previous high of 0.35879 can't be surpassed, that's the hardest resistance!
People heavily in debt fear nothing more than enduring.
Long consolidation inevitably leads to a drop, that's an iron rule in crypto!
The longer it drags here, the more the dog whales unload their holdings, and the harsher the subsequent waterfall drop will be.
Many brothers panic at any rebound, that's exactly what the dog whales want to see.
I just quietly watch the show, hold my short positions firmly, waiting for it to break below 0.2!
$BTC
$ETH
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 A $100 million margin deposit has been paid first.
Many people's first reaction when seeing this number is that MARA really has money: a 2 GW project, a $600 million cap, 1,200 acres in Texas, the story sounds quite complete.
My first reaction is something else: a margin deposit is money put down upfront as a hold, not the acquisition payment. In other words, the money has already left, but the land is not yet in hand.
Moreover, the payment terms have changed; the part originally tied to regulatory approval is now split into two installments. To translate, no one dares to guarantee the regulatory approval, so they are slowing down the pace.
Mining companies now all like to talk about HPC stories, AI computing power, and transformation. But whether the 2 GW power capacity will ultimately feed mining rigs or GPUs, no one can say for sure.
Let's first see when they actually connect the power.
#Anthropic签116亿美元合同扩充CPU算力
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #高盛预估2027年AI相关资本开支约1.2万亿美元 $MARA
BTC: Only 10 days left until the cycle node
BTC is only 10 days away from the 365-day cycle node. Historically, the cycle lengths of previous bear markets have fallen within this range. If this round follows the same pattern, the bottom may be near. However, the 57K invalidation level remains the premise for judgment—once it is effectively broken, the above cycle projection will be entirely invalidated, and the conclusion of "the bottom is near" will also become invalid.
At the current stage, what can truly be done is not to predict, but to wait for these 10 days to pass and let the market provide the answer. It is worth noting that the fundamentals are not without warmth: BTC spot ETFs have achieved net inflows for 7 consecutive days, totaling nearly 3 billion USD, showing that institutional funds are still continuously entering, providing support for the bottom area battle.
The cycle, key levels, and capital flow intertwine to form the complex situation at this node. Patience is more important than rushing to bet. #BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元
Damn, so many liquidations even on the weekend! In the past 24 hours, liquidations totaled 156 million, with long positions liquidated for 71.48 million and short positions for 84.5 million. Both sides are almost evenly split, with shorts taking a slightly bigger hit. Globally, 66,222 people got wiped out, losing on average over two thousand dollars each.
The largest single liquidation was on Hyperliquid, with XRP liquidations reaching 3.34 million. Probably some big whale heavily betting on a direction got completely taken out by the market makers.
Bitcoin didn’t move much, with long liquidations at 3.28 million and short liquidations at 11.44 million, totaling less than 15 million. This shows that around the 84,000 level, Bitcoin basically stayed steady, just wicking up and down to slowly clear out leverage. Ethereum is similar, with longs and shorts liquidated totaling 15 million, fluctuating around 2,700.
This data looks scary but there’s no need to panic. The liquidation volume isn’t large, longs and shorts both got hit, which is typical of a shakeout. The market makers want to clear out the weak longs and the shorts chasing highs, then pick a direction once the chips are clean.
Bitcoin is pulling back to 83,500–84,000, I’m lightly buying longs with a stop loss at 83,000 and a target at 85,500. Ethereum I’m buying between 2,680 and 2,700, stop loss at 2,650, target 2,750. SOL I’m buying between 118 and 119, stop loss 116, target 122. #BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 ⚠️84700 BTC! The Fed's hawkish stance can't suppress Bitcoin, old trading logic is completely invalid
The biggest controversy in the market now: US Treasury yields breaking 5.18%, Fed rate hikes, persistently high CPI—this combination of bearish factors is right in front of us, yet $BTC has not crashed. It rebounded from 80,000 all the way up to a high of 87,200, currently pulling back to 84,700 and oscillating at a high level.
Many veteran traders are still using 2022's mindset to analyze the market, waiting for rate hikes to crush the market so they can bottom-fish, but the longer they wait, the less they understand. This resilience is not accidental; BTC has officially decoupled from the old macro cycle.
1. ETF funds violently flowing back, pullbacks are institutional buying windows
As of the week of September 25, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a weekly net inflow of $2.4 billion, marking the strongest single-week record in 2026! Funds have continuously entered for 7 consecutive trading days, reversing the large net outflows from mid-year into positive inflows for the year.
BlackRock's IBIT is the main buyer; during the price surge and subsequent pullback, institutions did not flee but instead kept accumulating amid the volatility.
This is the strongest confidence: long-term capital from traditional finance now treats BTC as an asset allocation target, no longer chasing short-term pumps and dumps.
2. Exchange-held BTC continues to be withdrawn, circulating supply becomes increasingly scarce
On-chain data is very clear: centralized exchanges have continuous net outflows of BTC, and the mainstream market behavior is hoarding, not profit-taking.
Although some miners are reducing holdings and hash rate has slightly declined, selling pressure is fully offset by massive institutional buying.
Fewer spot coins are available to sell, while more funds are waiting off-exchange to enter.
Reviewing Q3 performance, Bitcoin started from 58,500, peaked at 87,000, a 43% range increase, the second strongest third quarter since 2017.
Michael Saylor continues to promote banks' access to BTC custody and collateralized lending; the institutional narrative is still fermenting, not a short-term hype.
3. Technicals: High-level oscillation is not a top, but a consolidation for further rise
This round rebounded strongly from the 80,000 demand support zone, with highs locked between 87,200-87,400, current price 84,700 oscillating and recovering.
Price firmly holds the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, weekly bullish structure intact.
Now it's a typical high-level consolidation, waiting for directional choice:
✅ Volume breakout and hold above 85,200 will challenge previous highs again;
❌ If it breaks below 83,800 effectively, the market will further test 82,300.
Key price references
Upside targets: 85,000~85,200 (first resistance) → 87,200~87,400 (previous high) → 88,000~90,000
Downside support: 83,800~84,000 (short-term support) → 82,300 → 81,000~81,500 (mid-term lifeline)
4. Complete trading plan, both long and short scenarios
✅ Bullish strategy
Plan 1: Wait for pullback to 83,800-84,200 to stabilize and buy low, stop loss below 83,200-83,500;
Plan 2: After volume breakout and hold above 85,200, follow the trend to buy, first target 86,800-87,200, second target 88,800-90,000.
✅ Bearish strategy
If it rebounds to 85,000-85,500 range, price faces resistance, forms long upper shadow, volume shrinks, can try light short positions; stop loss above 85,800, target 84,000-83,800.
Final important reminder
In the past, traders only focused on Fed rate cuts, believing only rate cuts could sustain a bull market.
But now the market has switched logic: supply tightening + continuous institutional allocation + gradually clearer regulation are the core drivers. Rate hikes are just short-term noise.
But remember, high-level oscillations are very volatile, avoid heavy all-in positions.
The bull market base remains, but consolidation and shakeouts will not stop. Be patient for signals and strictly use stop losses.
#BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 #A US military unmanned underwater vehicle was recovered from the strait, which is more eye-catching than the 7.9% drop in oil prices.
Having been through a similar situation: I monitored Middle East news for a while and found that the more these "equipment capture" details appear, the more it indicates that neither side really wants to negotiate.
What he said: Iran's offer is to stop aggression, lift the blockade, and return assets, but Trump directly rejected it on Saturday.
Even more absurd, the WSJ said bombing might only resume after the midterm elections in November. No action before the election means this round is a delay.
Looking back, WTI dropped 7.9% weekly, Brent basically unchanged, with the spread widening so much, the market is clearly not pricing in a war.
What I admire is Iran's move: recovering an unmanned underwater vehicle costs almost nothing, but it adds a solid bargaining chip in negotiations.
Simply put, whoever gets anxious first loses. I'm watching the Brent and WTI spread; when it narrows, that's when real trouble starts.
Positions of the five-guarantee households are still holding, no comment on direction.
#特朗普拒绝伊朗7天方案，霍尔木兹重开受阻 $BTC Green毛 is no longer short.
That short seller who has the word "short" carved into his bones chased long on ZEC last night, ran headfirst into a meme coin, and lost over 1000 U.
Today, everyone in the square is talking about him. Honestly, I have no right to laugh at him—I don't even dare to open a position, I only do calculations.
Here’s something I calculated:
ZEC hovered below 1698 for 18 hours. It surged three times at 1699, 1669, and 1682, each time lower than the last.
At 4 AM, there was a volume of 450,000 contracts; I thought it would break the previous high. But it stopped at 1699.
There’s another strange thing: the ZEC contract fee rate just turned negative. Shorts have started paying longs, but the price hasn’t moved.
Shorts paying but price not rising—means longs don’t dare to add either.
Both sides are waiting for the other to make the first mistake.
The number 1698 blocked three attempts over 18 hours. If it breaks, the story is just beginning.
$ZEC $BTCTo be honest, I don't understand why the more ZEC rises, the more people like to short it.
Shouldn't we just follow the trend? Or is it because ZEC has risen so much that it looks good to short? When shorts lose, they want to add positions to break even.
On the forum, posts about losing money shorting ZEC are even more frequent than the price increases. 1550 was said to be too high, 1697 even more so for shorting. And they're very persistent, repeatedly fighting and losing, then fighting again.
ZEC has already entered an independent market phase; some even call it the "three cakes."
Every time the price steps up, the number of short posts increases. The more posts, the more it looks like consensus. The louder the consensus, the more squeezed the shorts are. The more squeezed the shorts, the more painful it gets if the price rallies again.
ZEC's 24-hour liquidation is about $11.68 million, with shorts liquidated around $10.27 million and longs only $1.41 million. That 1697 level is where shorts are being squeezed.
I really don't dare to short this kind of monster coin.
You who short ZEC, are you betting on it having risen too much, hoping to break even, or just because the screen is full of shorts? As General Liangxi would say: This looks more like a liquidity game than a clean breakout. Price pushes higher, traps late buyers, then quickly gives part of the move back. The key levels are getting tighter: 📉 Resistance: around $2.90–$3.05 🟢 Support: around $2.65–$2.70 🔥 A strong move above $3.05 with volume could change the short-term structure. Until then, I’m not chasing green candles or panic-selling red ones. Late-autumn market, leave a few bulls alive. 😂🐂 I’m still holding $NEAR andBTC has surged back near 85,000! But this time, what worries me most is that the trading volume hasn't kept up.
On the morning of September 27, BTC touched 84,899 again, just a step away from 85,000. It previously dropped from 87,374, shaking market sentiment quite a bit. Now that the price is slowly climbing back, I guess many are starting to call for new highs again.
I checked the daily indicators: 14 moving averages are signaling bullish momentum, BTC is above the main EMAs and SMAs, and the overall trend hasn't clearly deteriorated for now. But the problem is, most oscillators remain neutral, and the recent rebound's volume is lower than that from September 21 to 23.
The price has returned, but the buying strength hasn't fully caught up yet.
I'm focusing on 85,000 now. If this level breaks out with volume and holds on the pullback, I'll consider adding more long positions, first targeting 85,945, then challenging 87,374. If volume remains weak during the breakout, I'd rather wait, wary of a sudden dump after a pump by the main players.
Below, 84,000 is the first line of defense; if it breaks, watch 83,300. Especially for high-leverage positions, don't wait until support fails to set stop losses.
Previously, miners transferred a large amount of BTC to exchanges, and the futures market shows bearish sentiment; both bulls and bears are waiting for a direction.
I still lean bullish, but what’s most needed now is volume confirmation. Repeated sideways moves around 85,000 mean chasing pumps and dumps will only feed the exchange’s fees.No matter how beautifully the blueprint is drawn, if only 60% of the pile foundation is completed, I still won't sign the acceptance form. The $WLFI now on my desk is a construction log showing the pile foundation hasn't met the standard yet—24-hour overall settlement is 2.32%, settlement is uniform, no panic; but it has already pressed down to the lower edge of the short-term Bollinger Band, just 0.2% away from hitting the rebar, positioned at the 6% percentile within the band. This is not a collapse, it's the slab touching the ground, and below that is the cushion layer.
I read the RSI as the stress reading of the structure: short-term 35.7, long-term 42.5. Both cycles fall in the neutral to slightly cool range, showing no signs of brittle fracture; the shear walls are still intact, and the load path is unbroken. From my experience, when the short-term stress reading drops below 38, it often means the load has been transferred to a level it shouldn't be, which is the workable construction window.
What really makes me willing to enter the site is the mid-term bandwidth. The price is at the 22% percentile, with a 3.8% concrete protective layer down to the foundation, and a 12.7% clearance up to the top slab. The design redundancy of this structure is upward, not downward—the margin for upward modification is more than three times the risk of downward failure. This is the valuation determined by the foundation. The white paper is just a design drawing; renderings never bear weight—the load-bearing is the underlying architecture, development capability, and long-term scalability.
Entry is set at $0.05, 2.0% below the current price, waiting for it to compact the last layer of loose soil. This elevation is within the 3.8% range above the mid-term lower band and is the only position where concrete can be poured directly without adding anchor rods.
The market shows no cracks, no abnormal settlement rates, and no signs of rebar corrosion. Whether the seismic rating is sufficient will only be known when the main structure is up, but for now, I acknowledge this foundation.
📈 Long:
Entry: $0.05 (current price -2.0%)
Take Profit 1: $0.06 (+4.8%)
Take Profit 2: $0.06 (+12.7%)
Stop Loss: $0.05 (-13.5%)
The +12.7% for Take Profit 2 exactly matches the clearance height left by the upper mid-term Bollinger Band; this is no coincidence, it's the structure's built-in elevation line. The stop loss at -13.5% means allowing it to settle to the pile end bearing layer; dig one inch further down, and the foundation of this building is no longer my responsibility.
I can accept construction joints, I can wait for post-pouring strips, but I acknowledge every beam and column below ±0.00; for every additional floor above, the reinforcement must be recalculated. #fearandgreedindexAnalysts say that in this bear market, $BTC has only retraced as much as 53% at its deepest.
Still waiting for the 25% to 30% deep corrections that used to appear frequently during past bull market rallies?
That almost never happens anymore. According to volatility compression, such large pullbacks are a thing of the past.
Some try to apply the 2014 or 2018 price trends to the present, but back then $BTC was just a micro asset with a market cap of only a few billion dollars, whereas today its market cap has reached about 1.5 trillion dollars.
You can't equate an asset that has undergone such a fundamental and disruptive leap with its past self. It's like comparing a micro-cap stock to a multinational mega-cap blue chip and expecting them to exhibit exactly the same price behavior—utterly absurd.
Real valuable trading advice?
On the way to the ATH, it's hard to get a pullback that lets you comfortably enter a long position.
The underlying structure has already been completely transformed, but the market's outdated mindset is hard to change.Spend five minutes this weekend to clearly see next week's landscape. Next week can be called the "data nuclear bomb week": Wednesday brings the US Q2 GDP final value plus core PCE, Friday directly hits non-farm payrolls, and in between, a bunch of Federal Reserve officials will speak one after another. Any number that surprises could rewrite interest rate expectations and then slam high-beta assets like $BTC.
My stance? I keep contracts empty and don't bet on direction before the data comes out. Many people treat "being out of position" as having no view, but I think the opposite—the core of low-frequency big bets is not betting every day, but accumulating chips and waiting for a hand truly worth betting heavily on. This weekend's thin market is not my hand.
Which data are you most afraid of next week? Today's market is quite interesting, with the top gainers mostly old faces catching up, while the trend list has a fresh batch of newcomers. $QNT 24h +53.5% is the fiercest mover, an old quant concept coin suddenly surging—either big players are building positions or the news is being priced in early; chasing high requires caution to avoid getting cut. $GLMR 24h +44.9% Polkadot ecosystem hasn't been this strong in a while, with clear follow-up capital, but whether the ecosystem's heat can sustain is key—don't be fooled by a single bullish candle. $AUDIO 24h +39.5% The music sector has been rediscovered; such old coins suddenly pumping is usually capital rotation seeking lows, not a fundamental turnaround—those in the know understand. $QI 24h +25.6% Small-cap coins pump hard because of light supply, but such gains are a game—quick in and out, don't get attached. $WLD 24h +16.4% No need to explain this one, AI plus identity narrative; as long as the market is hyping AI, it has potential. A pullback is actually an opportunity; personally, I'm watching for a retracement. $W 24h +15.4% An old cross-chain project, rising steadily and calmly; this kind of trend is healthier and more reliable than those that spike suddenly. $TRUMP is a regular on the trend list, with political narrative plus meme attributes; its heat depends on news flow, highly volatile, so keep positions light. $NEAR represents AI public chains on the trend list, with recent ecosystem activity; it's the type you might not check daily but is always active. $EDEL trend listHas the correlation between Bitcoin and the US dollar finally been broken?
Bitcoin and the US dollar have never been friends.
When one rises, the other should fall.
This has been a formula written in many people's minds for ten years.
But now, they are both moving up together.
Staring at the screen, my heart skips a beat.
Is it time to rewrite the rules?
Not so fast.
Rising together does not mean the relationship is broken.
They have synchronized before.
But every time, in the end, they went their separate ways.
This time feels more like a brief cooling-off period after a breakup.
What really matters is not how aligned they are today.
But whether Bitcoin can hold its ground if the dollar continues to strengthen in the coming weeks.
If it can hold, that’s the real signal.
If it can’t, it’s back to the old script.
Remember?
Enemies don’t eat from the same pot.The day after the 1000u surged to 10000u
Still seeing two k in zec
Went long two more last night, took partial profits in batches, tried isolated margin long in the afternoon but the pressure was too high, so stopped $ZEC
This round, BTC entered a high-level digestion phase after surging to a high of 87385, with the price still firmly above the 5-day, 10-day, and 30-day moving averages. The large-scale bullish trend is not yet broken, but volume has shrunk and the bullish momentum has clearly slowed; combined with the current expectations of eased China-US diplomacy and the two major macro variables of US-Iran geopolitical friction, the market is at a crossroads of bulls and bears: once China-US releases better-than-expected positive news or the Middle East situation eases, coupled with renewed expectations of rate cuts, the market is expected to expand volume and challenge previous highs again; but if negotiations fall short of expectations or conflicts escalate, pushing inflation concerns higher, it may trigger a pullback to test key support below. The current market is likely to enter a range-bound tug-of-war between 83800 and 87400, and geopolitical news can easily cause rapid spikes and stop-loss sweeps. Operations must be cautious of extreme volatility caused by sudden news.#21Shares launches Europe's first ZcashETP 21Shares, a European asset manager, officially launched Europe's first physical Zcash ETP, ticker ZCASH, listed on the pan-European Paris and Amsterdam exchanges. The product uses physical underlying pledged ZEC, custodied by institutions such as BitGo. Investors can participate through traditional brokerage accounts without managing private keys themselves. The product's annual fee is 2.5%, significantly higher than similar BTC and ETH ETPs.
This listing marks an important milestone in the privacy coin sector, meaning ZEC has a compliant investment channel in Europe, enriching the alternative crypto asset product line beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, boosting sentiment in the privacy coin segment. However, the product's first-day volume was only about $100,000, a very small scale.
There is a core contradiction here: Zcash emphasizes private transfers, while the ETP is a regulated product, with the underlying assets subject to risk control audits by custodians. The EU's new AML regulations will impose restrictions on enhanced anonymity tokens starting July 2027, which is the biggest long-term risk for this product, creating future compliance uncertainty.
From a market perspective, positive news can easily trigger impulsive rallies but rarely sustain a continuous one-sided trend. Privacy coins are highly sensitive to regulation; once the EU advances privacy token restriction policies, ZEC prices will face significant selling pressure.
Key points to follow up on: changes in ETP subscription scale and the implementation of EU privacy token regulatory details. Do not chase the price solely based on the ETP listing news. Privacy coins are extremely volatile with prominent regulatory risks; position sizing must be strictly controlled. $BTC $ETH The inertia of a trend is far more stubborn than you imagine.
There are always people in the market trying to perfectly time the bottom and the top, but reality is harsh. Once a trend forms, it's like a fully loaded heavy truck hitting the brakes — even if the brakes are fully applied, inertia still pushes it forward. The stronger the trend, the harder it is to reverse instantly.
Currently, every $BTC correction is interpreted as "preparing to rise even higher." This sounds mystical, but behind it lies the simple logic of trend continuation: a weekly-level breakout above previous highs, the downtrend structure has been reversed, and hoping for a new low is not cost-effective in terms of risk-reward. The essence of trading is not to gamble on a windfall, but to slowly accumulate profits through countless "decent risk-reward" trades.
Interestingly, the whole market is waiting for a pullback, but the pullback is delayed. When the last group of onlookers finally can't resist and rush in, the pullback quietly begins. Candlesticks don't read minds, but they always manipulate collective psychology. This is not superstition; it's a game — the "opportunities" you see are often traps set by others.
Every initial bull breakout pattern feels familiar: hesitation, doubt, breakout, pullback, then another breakout. By the time most people confirm "the trend is here," the best entry point has long passed. Don't always aim to buy at the lowest point; after a trend reversal, going with the trend is safer than against it; when the risk-reward is reasonable, action is more valuable than waiting.
A heavy truck won't stop immediately because of your anxiety, and a trend won't easily turn back because of your expectations. Instead of guessing tops and bottoms, acknowledge the power of inertia — then stand on the side of inertia. #BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 The order book is as thin as a sheet of paper; even slightly larger orders cause severe slippage. Without structure and liquidity, don't stubbornly sit there looking for trading opportunities—it's pure self-torture. Keep your principal safe and wait for the right moment.
$DOGE $PEPE $WIF The current P&L positioning is seriously unbalanced. 📈 Long positions in profit: 84.17% 📉 Short positions in profit: only 18.27% Everyone is talking about a bull market, but there’s another side to this setup: If so many longs are already sitting on large unrealized gains, where does the next wave of buying come from? Reportedly, bulls are sitting on nearly $150M in unrealized profits. And there’s one important difference: Unrealized profit isn’t realized profit. The moment large holders beginWhy do poor people lose more in the crypto space?
Because they simply can't afford to wait. The rich have 10 million in their accounts; catching a 10% market move means earning 1 million. Meanwhile, KOLs have unlimited resources—they finish one round and then take on ads to start anew.
But poor people only have 100,000; even if they earn 10,000, it can't fill the gaps in their lives, so they have to trade desperately, which leads to bigger losses.
What truly destroys them isn't the market, but the pressure and anxiety of life. They mistakenly think trading is like a job, needing to make money every day just to survive.
But the rhythm of experts is never winning daily; it's about fighting once every three years and feasting from that one battle. When the trend comes, they strike with full force; after the tide recedes, they stay out of the market to refine themselves.
A gentleman keeps his tools close and acts at the right time. The poverty that comes from impatience is like a terminal illness—hard to cure. Only a wealthy mindset can reverse one's fate.Fundamentals: 99.9% of NU7 votes turned ZEC into a “Bitcoin with privacy features”
On September 14, the community voting results for the NU7 upgrade were announced, with 2.4 million ZEC participating, accounting for two-thirds of the eligible token supply.
Key results:
· 99.9% support shortening the block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, doubling throughput.
· 98.9% support retaining the Bitcoin-style halving mechanism, with the next halving at the end of 2028.
· 96.6% support postponing NSM recycling to 2031, so the deflationary effect of fee burning over the next four-plus years will not be offset.
Put these results together: a hard cap of 21 million + halving + fee burning + faster block times. The NU7 mainnet upgrade is scheduled to activate on November 5.
$ZEC $BTC $ETH #BTC现货ETF连续7日净流入近30亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 $ARX Looking at ARX's surge from 0.22 straight up to 0.2892, I think "it can still rise"
Behind this is a solid heavy positive news: Thoma Bravo consortium's $4 billion all-cash acquisition, with no higher bids after the bidding period ended, directly locking in the deal. The 22% increase is capital scrambling and competing.
But as a veteran who has been beaten by the market, I must see through this logic
$4 billion all cash, and privatization and delisting won't complete until H1 2027
What does this mean? It means this is a protracted capital tug-of-war
The current explosive rise is a short squeeze and speculative premium triggered by the news, not an instant realization of fundamentals.
From the chart, a 1-hour level volume breakout, with a large inflow of CVD, indicates both main forces and momentum traders are competing
The resistance at 0.29 is the previous high; once volume supports a stable hold above it, a push to 0.35 is entirely possible
But chasing the high is extremely risky because the acquisition news is already public, and short-term "good news fully priced in" sell-offs can easily occur.
My strategy is very clear: absolutely no chasing above 0.28; if it pulls back to 0.25–0.26 to confirm support, I will board without hesitation to catch the second main wave
Stop loss strictly at 0.22; if it doesn't give a chance and rushes straight up, I'd rather watch than catch the last baton
In the capital game, I want to be the clear-headed hunter, not the impulsive chump.Why I stopped treating every meme coin like a long-term investment
The meme coin market can make you believe that every new token is the next big opportunity.
One coin starts trending, the community gets louder, the chart moves fast, and suddenly everyone is talking about 10x, 50x, or even 100x.
But I’ve learned that price action and long-term value are two different things.
That’s why I look at $DOGE, $SHIB, and $PEPE differently from random meme coins.
$DOGE has the advantage of being one of the most recognized meme assets in crypto, with a long history and a huge community.
$SHIB built a much broader ecosystem around its brand, moving beyond the original meme narrative into products and applications connected to its community.
$PEPE represents the newer generation of meme-driven speculation, where attention, liquidity, and community activity can move the market extremely quickly.
But there is one thing I never forget:
A strong community does not remove risk.
Meme coins can move faster than almost anything else in crypto, in both directions. The same excitement that creates a huge rally can disappear just as quickly.
So I don’t buy a meme coin simply because everyone is talking about it.
I watch liquidity. I watch momentum. I watch market sentiment. Most importantly, I know when I am trading a narrative rather than investing in a long-term business.
For me, meme coins are opportunities to manage — not assets to become emotionally attached to.
Take the trade when the setup is there.
Protect the profit when the market gives it to you.
And never let a meme become more important than your capital.#BTCETF7DayInflows3B #USTYieldsPressure #MicronEarningsAhead 💵 The dollar is going on-chain.
The Trump administration is reportedly exploring ways to push U.S. dollar stablecoins overseas. 🌎
The bigger story: more stablecoins = potentially more demand for U.S. Treasuries. Tether alone reportedly holds around $114.9B in Treasuries. 👀
This isn’t just hype — it’s about expanding the dollar network on-chain. 🔗
$BTC around $85K. Slow build, big picture. 🔥
#Stablecoins #BTC #Crypto#BTCETF7DayInflows3B #USTYieldsPressure Spread out the amplitude overnight — $BTC today swept from 83818 to around 85200, spot is now about 84900, still grinding near the daily high.
European and US spot traded about 3100 BTC today (around 260 million USDT), just over half of the 5000+ BTC on Friday; daily amplitude was nearly 1400 dollars. The hourly volume pushing to the daily high reached over 180 BTC, but the whole day was still a weekend low-volume market. The contract account long-short ratio remains around 1.25, slightly bullish, with nominal open interest about 2.4 billion dollars. $ETH is hovering around 2706.
Volume didn’t keep up with the amplitude, don’t take Sunday’s spike as trend confirmation — first watch if 84500/84150 can hold, then 85200 needs to be retested with more volume.
$BTC $ETH #BTC #Bitcoin #ETH #Volume #DataAnalysis #LongShortRatio #WeekendMarket #RiskWarning
The above is personal observation only and does not constitute investment advice. The market has risks; decisions should be made cautiously. 🔥 Apple & Nvidia just became DeFi collateral.
Tokenized U.S. stocks can now be deposited on Aave to borrow USDC — bringing traditional equities directly into 24/7 on-chain markets. 👀
But here’s the challenge: stocks close, DeFi doesn’t. Weekend volatility, liquidations, dividends, and stock splits could make the infrastructure fascinating.
TradFi meets DeFi — and the real test begins now. 🔗
#Aave #RWA #DeFi #TokenizedStocksOnAave $ETH
Today I traded $ETH with mini capital, 50x leverage, isolated margin
Sold out after a 14% loss
Reasons for the loss:
1. I didn't follow my past trading rules. My trading rules are to determine the trend by looking at the 15-minute and 1-hour charts, and enter on the 3-minute chart.
2. High leverage. 50x leverage is too high, afraid of instant liquidation, so I sold quickly
Mini capital is for training discipline and mindset, not for making money. Making money is unrealistic刚刚在 SNDK 上先拿了一波小利润，随后反手调整仓位，同时布局多单和空单。结果行情来回震荡，两边仓位暂时都被卡住了。 先复盘一下近期战绩： ✅ ZEC 50倍空单：小仓位顺利止盈，落袋约 81U； ✅ SNDK 多单：前一笔仓位成功平仓，盈利约 710U； ⚠️ ZEC 另一笔空单：行情反向后出现较大浮亏，目前约 1660U，基本吞掉了前面的部分利润。 现在最关键的不是急着扳本，而是观察 SNDK 的方向选择、关键支撑阻力以及成交量变化。 多空同时被套的时候，越想快速回本，越容易放大风险。先看结构，再决定是否调整仓位。📉📈 #SNDK #ZEC #CryptoTrading #加密货币 #交易复盘Although there was an increase in August-September 2026, I have been reducing my positions, cutting down on $OKB, $SOL, and $BTC. Although I earned a bit less, I do not regret it for the following reasons:
1. There might be an interest rate hike or a rate hike cycle.
2. OKB was extremely popular during that period, with buyers everywhere in the comment section.
3. My sixth sense felt a bit anxious and fearful, so I proactively reduced leverage.
After this round of position reduction, my debt ratio has dropped to 25%, which is considered within the safety line. If Bitcoin rises to 90,000, I will further reduce my positions until the debt ratio reaches zero. Seven days of net ETF inflows still matter, but the deceleration is the more useful signal. Demand has remained resilient while BTC eased from roughly $87K toward $84K and Treasury yields pressed higher. That gap suggests allocation demand is absorbing macro pressure, not erasing it; durability now matters more than the headline total.
#BTCETF7DayInflows3B Why I stopped chasing every altcoin and started focusing on $BTC and $OKB
The longer you stay in crypto, the more you realize that owning dozens of coins doesn’t automatically mean you have more opportunities.
Every cycle brings a new narrative. AI, memes, DeFi, gaming, L2s, RWA — something is always being promoted as the next big thing. But when the market turns, many of those stories disappear faster than the liquidity that came with them.
That changed how I look at my portfolio.
For me, $OKB stands out for a different reason.
It still has the volatility and upside people look for in altcoins, but it is connected to an established exchange ecosystem rather than depending purely on hype. The fixed 21M supply also gives the token a very different supply structure, while its role within the OKX ecosystem and X Layer gives it utility beyond speculation.
Then there is $BTC.
Bitcoin remains the asset I separate from everything else. I don’t need to chase every narrative when I already have exposure to the asset that created the entire market.
My approach is simple now:
$BTC for long-term conviction.
$OKB for exposure to the growth of the OKX ecosystem.
Other altcoins? I can trade them when the setup makes sense, but I don’t need to marry them.
One of the biggest mistakes in crypto is confusing a good trade with a long-term investment. Just because a coin made you money once doesn’t mean you have to hold it forever.
Take profits. Protect your capital. Let opportunities come to you instead of forcing yourself into every narrative.
Crypto rewards patience, but it also punishes emotional attachment.
I’d rather hold a smaller number of assets I understand than own 30 different coins simply because someone told me they could do a 100x.
The goal isn’t to own everything.
The goal is to still have capital when the next big opportunity arrives.ETH around $2,715 is giving one of those confusing setups. Price isn’t really pushing higher, but it isn’t breaking down either. Meanwhile, around 73% of retail traders are reportedly long, with sentiment looking almost as if the next bull run has already started. But here’s the part I’m watching closely: 📊 Funding Rate: +0.0100 ➡️ Longs are paying shorts. 🐋 Large-holder share: 62% 👥 Retail positioning: 73% That’s roughly an 11-point gap in positioning. When too many traders crowd onto the saMid-term trader challenges 800 RMB to do $BTC and $ETH to 100,000 to buy a new car on the 27th day Trading draft: The countless good roots planted by countless Buddhas: Where does the trader's “pure faith” come from? In the Diamond Sutra, Subhuti asked the Buddha: Will future beings who hear these verses develop true faith? The Buddha told Subhuti: Do not say so. After the Tathagata passes away, five hundred years later, those who keep precepts and cultivate blessings will be able to develop faith in these verses. Know that such a person does not plant good roots with one, two, three, four, or five Buddhas. They have already planted countless good roots with countless Buddhas, and even a single thought of pure faith arises. This passage, when applied to trading, hits every word to the heart. Many people think trading comes from a big win, a magical indicator, or some guru’s call. But true “pure faith” — that kind of faith that makes you decisively enter a trade when the signal appears, stop losses without hesitation when losing — is never built from one or two successes. It comes from “countless good roots planted by countless Buddhas”: countless reviews, countless stop losses, countless breakdowns, countless times controlling your hands amid temptation. These seemingly countless tedious repetitions are the accumulation of good roots. What does “keeping precepts and cultivating blessings” mean? In trading, keeping precepts means sticking to discipline: strictly controlling single trade losses, staying out when direction is unclear. Cultivating blessings means accepting losses, accepting missed opportunities, accepting that you are not a genius. Every stop loss according to the rules, every rule-based abandonment, is planting good roots. The more you plant, the more confidence naturally rises. This confidence is not blind optimism that the market will rise, but firm certainty that you can follow the rules. “Even a single thought of pure faith” — that thought is the decisive moment to enter when the signal appears. This thought does not come from nowhere; it is earned from countless previous times of discipline. Without the “countless good roots planted by countless Buddhas” before, there would be no pure confidence at this moment. Conversely, those who trade frequently, go all-in heavily, stubbornly hold losses, do not lack confidence but misplace it. They trust their luck, the market’s mercy, and “this time is different.” This kind of faith is “deluded faith,” not “pure faith.” In the end, trading is not about who is smarter, but who planted good roots first. Good roots are discipline, patience, and reverence. The earlier you plant, the thicker the accumulation, the easier it is for a single pure faith to arise. When that time comes, you no longer need to ask “can I have faith,” because faith is already in every action you take according to the rules. #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 The dream is simple: One day, $DOGE breaks $1, the community goes wild, the internet explodes, and everyone who survived the crashes, FUD and ridicule finally gets rewarded. For many holders, the strategy is equally simple: Buy the dips. DCA every month. Hold. Wait for $1. It sounds convincing. But there are some hard realities underneath the story. ⚠️ 1. DOGE HAS NO FIXED SUPPLY CAP Dogecoin continues adding new coins to circulation every year. That means reaching and maintaining $1 requires suThe previous public note set 84,700 as the confirmation level above $BTC, and 83,600 as the invalidation level; the public market price is about 84,859, still above the confirmation line, but no closing or pullback evidence has been provided yet, so I will not write "standing above" as a successful validation.
The original condition was: only follow the trend if there is a volume-increased close and a pullback that holds; otherwise, a drop back to 84,700 is only considered a false breakout risk. Now I will continue to observe whether the volume synchronizes; if it falls back, whether 83,600 holds is more important than the intraday volatility.
$ETH is about 2,705.03 USD, $SOL is about 122.89 USD, the follow-through is not weak but has not changed the judgment. My approach is to keep the previous round's judgment on the watchlist and not chase in the middle price range. Will you wait for a pullback to 84,700 for confirmation, or wait for 83,600 to give an invalidation signal? For information sharing only, not investment advice.#Anthropic signs $11.6 billion contract to expand CPU computing power Agentic AI is driving computing demand to shift from GPU to the entire CPU and storage industry chain. Anthropic has signed a $11.6 billion CPU computing power order, confirming the structural trend of the CPU-to-GPU ratio switching from 1:4 to 1:1. The surge in CPU demand directly drives shortages across DRAM, HBM, enterprise-grade SSDs, and NAND, with global storage chips experiencing the most severe supply shortage in 15 years.
Focus on two main lines: first, the CPU recovery chain (Intel, AMD, Arm, and domestic companies like Hygon, Cambricon, etc.); second, the storage supercycle chain (HBM/DRAM/NAND manufacturers and modules, interfaces, distribution links). Under the trend of edge distributed cloud spillover, CDN/MSP service providers also benefit.