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Institutional buying is still supporting the bottom: As of September 10, spot BTC ETFs have seen a net inflow of $2.8 billion over the previous 8 consecutive trading days, indicating that institutional allocation demand has not faded.
Concentration risk is prominent: One fund under BlackRock's IBIT contributed about 70% of the industry's inflows, meaning that a small amount of redemption could quickly erase weeks of accumulation due to the high concentration of buyers.
Profit-taking pressure emerges: On September 10, exchange BTC inflows surged to about 53,000 coins, with on-chain selling pressure and institutional buying offsetting each other, explaining the sideways price consolidation.
SOPR indicator: SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) has remained above 1 for three consecutive weeks since August 19, marking the longest profit-sustaining period since 2026. The current value is 1.002, structurally similar to early bull market recovery, but more evidence is needed to confirm the bottom $BTC $ETH $ZEC Bitcoin$BTC has been like a steady old captain over the past 24 hours, firmly steering the course amid turbulent waves. The price roughly fluctuated between $76,700 and $77,500, with a 24-hour drop of about 0.5%-1%. Occasional rebounds have failed to break through key resistances. Data shows some pressure from spot ETFs recently due to outflows, and futures open interest volumes are shrinking, indicating that large funds are taking a wait-and-see approach. Sentiment indicators like CryptoQuant show "extreme greed," creating an interesting contrast—prices barely moved, but sentiment was already restless. Looking back over the past few days, it briefly reached close to $80,000, then was suppressed by profit-taking and macroeconomic concerns. Rising oil prices, volatility in bond yields, and market divergence over the September rate path have all put pressure on risk assets. On-chain, active addresses and trading volume are still healthy, but large transfers show some long-term holders reducing positions on high prices. Technically, the $76,000 area has become a short-term lifeline; if it breaks below it, the next support may fall to around 74,000; if it rises, it needs to hold above 78,000 and increase trading volume. As "digital gold," its narrative remains robust. Institutions still use it as a hedging tool, especially when traditional markets experience increased volatility. Personally, I feel the current consolidation is more like the calm before the storm. If the Fed issues a dovish signal or ETF funds flow back again, BTC is likely to test the highs again. Conversely, if macro tightens continues, it may first test the bottom before rising. Regardless of the ups and downs, Bitcoin remains the sameOn the 13th, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that Bitcoin has not reached a new all-time high for almost a year. The number of days since the last peak is now about 342 days, close to a full year. Previously, new highs would come quickly after the halving cycle, but this cycle's pace is slowing down. The next halving is expected around April 2028. Additionally, the interval from the previous peak to the next new high is actually shortening: 1180 days from 2014 to 2017, 1094 days from 2017 to 2020, and 849 days from 2021 to 2024. Based on this, Darkfost infers that if this shortening trend continues, although this cycle has dragged on for a year without breaking the previous high, the new high may come faster than in previous cycles, so there is no need to wait for 2028 following the old "immediate new high after halving" template. The cycle template is failing, but the interval between new highs is shortening and a new high is bound to come.I'm impressed.
Circle's Arc, public network on September 16. The genesis validators directly include BlackRock, DTCC, Visa, Mastercard.
Next door they're still arguing whether CLARITY can gather 60 votes, while they've already put banks on-chain running nodes.ZEN and SAHARA both entered X-Perp. On the surface, it looks like OKX just added two more trading pairs, but in reality, it's more like putting two old narratives back onto the leveraged market for the market to vote. OKX's announcement is very straightforward: ZENUSD UM X-Perp opens at 7:00 UTC on September 11, and SAHARAUSD UM X-Perp opens at 7:15 UTC, covering web, app, and API. Don't automatically translate "launching contracts" as "project getting stronger" here. Contracts are tools, not directions; especially since X-Perp itself carries leverage and expiration structure, early depth, spreads, funding rates, and liquidation lines are more critical than how good the story sounds. For ZEN, Horizen now talks about private DeFi. The official website positions itself as an EVM-native, built on Base privacy finance ecosystem, and even separately features the ZEN Migration Hub. This change indicates that ZEN is not simply relying on the old privacy coin label but is moving towards compliant, composable on-chain financial scenarios. The issue lies here: the narrative sounds more mature, but whether the market truly buys it depends on the usage after migration, ecosystem projects, and whether capital is willing to stay. SAHARA's clues lean more towards AI. Sahara AI's official website focuses on enterprise-level Agents, data services, and verifiable data $BTC current price: reported at 77,370, fluctuating between 74,000-82,000 since September, down about 6% from the September 3 high of 82,262.
ETF fund flows: Spot ETFs have seen net inflows for 8 consecutive days totaling 2.8 billion, with institutional buying still providing support, but one BlackRock IBIT fund accounts for 70% of the inflows, highlighting concentration risk.
Macro pressure: August core CPI month-over-month +0.3% exceeded expectations; CME FedWatch shows a 87.3% probability of a rate hike on September 17; Middle East conflict pushed oil prices above 100/barrel, further heating inflation expectations.
Trend judgment: Short-term direction depends on the FOMC decision—if a rate hike is implemented with dovish wording ("one-time action"), it may trigger a rebound after the bad news is priced in; if it signals the start of a rate hike cycle, $BTC may test the 74,000 support. $ETH $SOL$CORE: The grand narrative remains, but the wounds are not so easily healed
On one side, there is the ambitious blueprint of the BTC power grid, SatPay, and BTC‑Fi continuously fermenting in overseas communities; on the other, the market shows a tangible weak consolidation.
Many family members are still waiting for a complete reversal, treating the vulnerability incident as a simple shakeout.
Undeniably, after that incident, a large number of short-term speculative players did exit. But cleaned chips ≠ immediate rise. The restoration of trust is much slower than the promotion of the narrative.
Many cautious funds still have concerns: exposing the reward vulnerability is not something that can be completely closed with just a statement of "already forked and fixed." People will instinctively be more guarded; every time news causes a rally, the first reaction is whether to take the opportunity to exit rather than rush in to add positions.
Adding to the current macro environment:
Interest rate hike expectations remain high, Bitcoin itself is under heavy pressure, and overall risk appetite is cold. The BTC‑Fi story is good, but it now feels more like a long-term theme, not the main line that current funds are willing to heavily invest in.
CORE is currently in a very awkward stage:
The bulls are betting on future implementation, while the bears focus on current selling pressure and confidence gaps.
There are many pulses but little sustainability; plenty of good news, but buying is stingy. Every rally requires new news stimulation; there are very few rallies driven by endogenous buying.$CORE
Why are support levels continuously being broken? At every price point, the buying power of bottom-fishers cannot withstand the continuous selling pressure; liquidity is too thin, and there is no capital to support the bottom.
- Large holders and validators use bot scripts to sell small fixed amounts (e.g., 50 tokens) in batches around the clock, not dumping all at once but slowly leaking supply continuously.
- The team and early investors unlocking tokens create a long-term potential selling supply.
Characteristics: No matter which new support price is reached, sell orders never disappear; as soon as someone enters to buy at that price, a continuous stream of small sell orders immediately breaks through the price level.
Buying power has severely dried up; no large funds are willing to actively support the bottom.
After the hard fork vulnerability incident, the biggest damage was not the short-term crash but the loss of trust:
Institutional funds and large speculative capital have all exited to observe, unwilling to actively buy to defend any support level.
Only retail investors sporadically buy the dip; retail capital is very small and can only temporarily stabilize the price, unable to form a true support wall.
A simple analogy: the support level was originally a wall, now it’s just scattered stones that collapse under continuous water flow.
Several leading exchanges have already delisted CORE perpetual contracts.
The contract market is not just gambling; it is also a source of market liquidity: market makers, arbitrage funds, and hedging funds have all significantly decreased.
Without leveraged funds to absorb the decline, the spot market depth has become extremely thin. Very small sell orders can directly break through one support level after another.
The BTCFi sector is suffering due to failures in the underlying protocol, with competitors like STX.Brothers, BTC and ETH continued to drift down over the weekend, but the capital flow shows a strange divergence.
$BTC $76,927 | $ETH $2,485
Bitcoin dropped about 0.7% in 24 hours, sliding from above $77,400 to $76,927, with a weekly cumulative decline of about 3%. Ethereum weakened in sync, falling from $2,520 to around $2,485. On-chain data shows that in the past 24 hours, $42.44 million long positions on Ethereum were liquidated, accounting for 80% of total liquidations, with longs being cleared out.
BTC ETF lost $460 million, while ETH ETF quietly attracted $216 million
Bitcoin spot ETFs experienced their first weekly net outflow since mid-August last week, totaling $463 million, led by ARKB and GBTC sell-offs. Meanwhile, Ethereum ETFs had a single-day net inflow of $216 million on Friday, with BlackRock's ETHA alone accounting for $149 million, marking 20 consecutive trading days without a single outflow.
There are clear signs of capital rotating from BTC to ETH. BTC's marginal buyers are being repriced by the yield curve—when federal funds futures move 20 basis points within a week, the first to be cut are the highest beta, most crowded institutional positions, and Bitcoin ETFs happen to be that position.
Discuss in the comments, can ETH's independent rally continue? 👇
#PPI、CPI公布后，多家机构上调9月加息预期
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 Bulls haven't surrendered, bears haven't added positions: ETHFI unlocking supply turns every rebound into a selling opportunity
After the $ETHFI event, it bounced from 0.6213 to 0.6255, only +0.68%—I won't chase this rebound, short-term bearish, reduce positions at resistance.
Transmission chain breakdown: 22:00-22:15 (UTC) ETH dropped 0.83% in 15 minutes, at the same time ETHFI unlocking supply hit the market, increasing supply and pushing the price down, with net capital outflow.
24h -11.702% not recovered; long-short ratio 1.3804, fees near zero—every rebound on unlocking supply is a selling point.
Resistance above: 0.6258 (15m first resistance) → 0.6352 (reduce positions once reached)
Support below: 0.6184 (24h low) → 0.6117 (daily K support)
Watershed level: 0.6352. If reclaimed, selling pressure is absorbed, rebound targets 0.651; if not held, retest 0.6184.
Current price, no chasing longs—reduce positions from 0.6333 to 0.6352 on rebound, exit if it breaks below 0.6184.
Like to save time, I'll be here for the next move.
$ETHFI $BTC$BTC ▍₿ BTC Quick Report: Last 48 Hours Before FOMC, Bulls' Trump Card is the Golden Cross
Current price 76,700, weekend slowly dipped below 77K, weekly close at 77,400, down 4% for the week. Don't panic: On September 11, the 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day moving average for the first time since mid-2024, but gains were suppressed by rate hike expectations.
▍📍 Market Overview
Rate hike probability at 87%, Wednesday's decision is almost certain, the question is how hawkish Warsh will be. BTC ETF saw a net outflow of 460 million over four days, with funds rotating fully into ETH (which had a 216 million inflow on Friday). Bull liquidations totaled 230 million, open interest dropped by 2 billion, leverage has already been cleaned out once.
▍🎯 Trading Plan
Entry: Buy on a pullback to 76,000 at the first support level (double bottom this month); conservative traders wait for 74,000; aggressive traders wait for a volume-backed break and hold above 78,500 before chasing.
Targets: First look at 78,500, then 80,000-82,000, and after holding above 83K, target 92K.
Stop loss: Exit unconditionally if daily close falls below 75,800.
▍⚠️ Tomorrow is the CLARITY Act vote + Wednesday's rate decision; a hawkish hike combined with the bill's failure would be a double blow, so halve positions overnight.
Not investment advice, trade at your own risk Brothers, today being the first day of the week, I think the market has likely started to trade in advance based on this week's news expectations.
Currently, $BTC is around 77,000, $ETH around 2,500. Last week's inflation, oil prices, yields, and rate hike pressures have already been partially digested, while the real big news this week is concentrated on the FOMC on September 15–16. The market's rate hike expectations are already very high.
So today, I tend to expect a weak consolidation → waiting for funds to choose a direction. If there is no continued heavy selling volume during the session, a repair might appear early, and some funds might even rush in; but if risk sentiment worsens after the US stock market opens, with BTC falling below 77,000 and ETH dropping under 2,500, it will likely lead to an early bearish expectation for this week.
Simply put: today might be the "test trading day" for this week, and the market may not wait until the FOMC to move. If it falls first then stabilizes today, we should watch out for a rebound after the early digestion of negative news; if it breaks down with heavy volume today, the probability of further declines in the first half of this week will significantly increase.
#PPI、CPI公布后，多家机构上调9月加息预期 #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 #美债收益率逼近5%，回购难缓长期压力 $BTC BTC is stuck at 76500: No signal yet, don't bet on direction for now
The Federal Reserve's rate decision window is approaching, and the latest inflation data has been digested. Macro pressure remains, but the market has entered a low volatility phase, and capital is reluctant to take a stance prematurely.
BTC is quoted at 76520, up 0.12% in 24 hours, trapped between 76280 and 76840; ETH is at 2465, down 0.21% in 24 hours, with a daily range of 2452 to 2488. BTC is slightly stronger, ETH weaker; prices have neither given bulls a clear breakout nor allowed bears a smooth drop.
Hold or break?
The key is not the speculation about "rate cuts or not," but whether capital is willing to actively increase positions before the meeting. Data has been released; the FOMC is the next confirmation point. Low volume and narrow range test positions the most.
Options implied volatility falls before the meeting, indicating reduced directional bets by capital, but low volatility is often unsustainable; if volume breaks out of the range after the meeting, it can easily trigger concentrated stop losses and chasing orders.
If stablecoins and ETFs continue net inflows, they may effectively push the upper boundary back; if exchange-held chips increase and funding rates turn negative, the rebound is more likely a bull trap.
BTC holds 76280, first watch if 76840 can be reclaimed; ETH holds 2452, only then can we talk about revisiting 2488. If both break above the upper range, short-term pressure eases; if BTC loses 76280 and ETH falls below 2452, sideways trading will turn downward.
Don't replace signals with emotions. The market is waiting before the meeting; prices will speak first. Explosive Rally Breakdown
$LSK exploded today, up 31.57% in 24 hours, with a volatility amplitude reaching 368.09 percentage points, skyrocketing straight up.
Current price is $0.399360, with a trading volume of $22.06M, volume at least doubled year-over-year, indicating serious capital involvement.
The 24-hour high is $1.4130, the low is $0.295700, creating a trading range of 368.1 points between high and low.
Belonging to other sectors, this round of explosive rally is not an isolated coin event; at least 3 coins in the same track moved synchronously, showing clear sector linkage effects.
First, looking at the capital side: short-term funds rushed in to push prices up, the second wave saw smart money locking positions with narratives, and at the final stage retail investors FOMO chasing the rally.
Risk points: after continuous rises, profit-taking has at least 63 percentage points of room, chasing at high levels risks becoming a bag holder.
Judgment: Do not chase the anomaly; wait for selling pressure to release and observe the structure. If the structure breaks, don’t stubbornly hold on.
Data comes from public market interfaces, for informational reference only, not constituting buy or sell advice.
The reasoning is clear, the rest depends on execution. $BTC is currently stuck in the 76,000–80,000 range, with momentum clearly weakening after the rebound in August. The key focus is the FOMC on September 16: if rate hike expectations materialize and U.S. Treasury yields rise again, a short-term retest of the 70,000 level is likely; if the tone is dovish and ETFs see renewed inflows, there is a chance to challenge the 81,700 confirmation level. Don't chase highs now; waiting for direction is more important than guessing price points.The macro window is approaching, and the market is focusing on the first interest rate hike expectation since 2023
Morning session on 9/14:
$BTC ｜Lost support at 77,000, falling back to the lower edge of the range
Exchange net inflow slightly biased inward, tracking some whales shifting to distribution, ETF outflows continue for three days
77,100–80,200 remains the supply wall with about 539,000 held long-term this year. Current price is below the wall; reclaiming 77,000 is just a stop to the decline, not a breakout
Support: 75,000–76,000 Holding 76,000 is still a pullback at the lower edge of the range
Resistance: 77,800–78,300
$ETH ｜Short-term weakness following BTC defense
Today is not a buying point; watch the strength of buyers at the 2,450 pullback; breaking 2,360 pauses the rotation narrative
Support: 2,450–2,425, 2,360–2,350
Resistance: 2,508–2,524, 2,544–2,564
$SOL ｜Psychological level 100 temporarily lost
Support: 97.5–98, 95, 90–92.5
Resistance: 100–101.5, 105–107, 110 (near the 200-week moving average)
If it cannot reclaim 100, 99 is a continuation of the decline
Small ETF inflows cannot change the spot supply and demand at 100. On-chain fees and TVL have already dropped significantly in the first half of the year, yet the price is still overextending institutional narratives. A valid break below 97.5 means bulls withdraw #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 Here's a bidirectional signal from the Middle East for those only watching $BTC K-lines—don't rush to bet one-sidedly on oil prices.
On the easing side: Iraq has started gradually reopening border crossings with Iran, the Houthis claim navigation through the Mandeb Strait has basically returned to normal, and air defense alarms in multiple locations in Saudi Arabia have been lifted. On the tightening side: the oil pipeline in Saudi Arabia that was bombed and severed is estimated to have caused about a 4% loss in global oil supply. The US Energy Secretary has made it clear—don't expect a quick breakthrough in the Hormuz situation.
For traders, this means oil prices are more likely to experience a "high-level tug-of-war" in the short term rather than a one-sided decline. And as long as oil doesn't truly ease, the underlying pressure on risk assets from inflation and interest rate hikes remains. Don't jump to call the downside fully priced in just because of one easing news. What’s your take on oil this week? Who is truly making money in the crypto market? TVL (Total Value Locked) may be deceiving, but Revenue (protocol revenue) is not. This is a hard metric for measuring a project's true self-generated ability. Based on the latest 24-hour protocol revenue data, let's take a look at the top 10 "money printing machines." It's not just about who earns the most; it's important to understand their core profit models in one sentence. 👇 📊 Top 10 24H protocol revenue lists and breakdown 🥇 of profit models 1. Tether (USDT) | 24H income: $16.58M Money-making logic: The "central bank" of the crypto world. Relying on massive U.S. Treasury reserves to earn risk-free interest, the larger the circulating supply, the faster the money printing, making it an absolute monopoly overlord. 🥈 2. Circle (USDC) | 24H income: $6.77M Money-making logic: Compliant top student. Its profit model is almost identical to Tether's; although its money-making ability is only 40% of its big brother's, it emphasizes compliance 🥉 3. GMGN | 24H Income: $1.37M Money-Making Logic: On-chain "sniper rifle." In today's highly competitive PvP environment, it relies on providing fast meme coin copy trading and trading services to charge high-frequency "toll fees" to enthusiastic retail investors 4. $PUMP | 24H revenue: $1.28M Money-making logic: Meme manufacturing machine. Lowers the issuance threshold to an extremely low level, whether retail investors get rich overnight or lose everything in the market, it$BTC $ETH
The most dangerous thing in a macro event isn't volatility.
It's conviction without confirmation.
Everyone will have an opinion on what the Fed should do.
Few will know how BTC and ETH actually respond.
That's why I'm keeping the framework simple:
Level → Reaction → Confirmation → Entry.
Not:
Headline → Emotion → FOMO.
The market will give opportunities.
You don't need to catch the first candle.
#DailyOrbit The news is all noise, no need to pay attention. BTC current price is 76854, the market is tugging back and forth between 76000 and 77500 with long and short funds, no clear direction. Volume continues to shrink, indicating that the main players are also waiting. The upper resistance is at 78200, the lower support at 74500; these are key watershed levels on the daily chart. From the four-hour structure, 76800 is a short-term dense chip area, repeatedly tested but not broken, indicating bulls are still defending.
Just finished half a box of fried noodles left from last night in the security booth, and casually wiped the walkie-talkie on the table.
In terms of operation, do not chase at the current price of 76854. Wait for a pullback to the 74500 to 75000 range to lightly buy long positions, set stop loss at 73500, and accept loss if broken. The target is first 78200, if it holds, add positions and look at 80000. If it directly breaks below 73500 with volume, reverse to short, target 72000. Keep contract leverage within five times, don’t be greedy. This market is grinding; whoever is impatient loses money.
$BTC
#美国柴油价格首次突破6美元
@OKX星球 🚨 Is 4% of the world's oil supply really starting to run short?
Brothers, I think this Middle East situation can't just be seen as an ordinary geopolitical conflict.
A 1200-kilometer east-west oil pipeline in Saudi Arabia was temporarily shut down after a drone attack.
This pipeline recently transported about 4–5 million barrels of crude oil daily, equivalent to 4%–5% of global oil supply.
What's more troublesome:
The existing inventory at Yanbu port may only last 5–7 days.
If it can't be repaired quickly, the real problem begins.
Step one:
Oil prices continue to rise.
Brent has broken above $100 again, recently nearing $108, and WTI also surpassed $100. Oil prices have risen more than 8% in the past week.
Step two:
Oil prices → inflation expectations.
With energy prices rising, it becomes even harder for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
The market starts trading again:
High oil prices + high inflation + high interest rates.
Step three:
U.S. Treasury yields continue to be under pressure.
If 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields keep climbing, the first to suffer are often not energy stocks but high-valuation assets supported by future cash flows.
Tech stocks, growth stocks, commercial real estate, including the crypto market, will all be affected.
Step four:
BTC's 76000 support line.
Right now, I'm less concerned about "whether BTC will crash immediately."
Instead, it's whether 76000 can hold.
If oil prices keep surging, yields keep rising, and BTC falls below 76000 and fails to recover, then market trading is no longer just about technicals.
It becomes:
Geopolitical risk → energy crisis → inflation → interest rates → liquidity → risk assets.
Once this chain truly forms, bears will feel more comfortable.
So my thinking is simple:
Short-term bearish bias, but no chasing the downside.
If 76000 doesn't break, don't bet on a waterfall drop.
If it really breaks and confirms, then consider following the trend.
As for the mid-to-long term?
I actually wouldn't be outright bearish during the worst panic.
Because historically, many big opportunities appear precisely when everyone starts to fear.
Right now, the most important thing is not predicting exactly how far BTC will fall.
But to watch three things closely:
Whether oil prices can stay above $100.
Whether U.S. Treasury yields will continue to hit new highs.
Whether BTC's 76000 support can hold.
These three things are much more important than guessing a single candlestick.
Do you think 76000 can hold, or is it really going down to 72000 this time? $BTC $ETH $CL Let's talk about an increasingly surreal AI ledger. Looking at the news from this weekend together: Anthropic is set to list on Nasdaq, rumored to have a gross margin over 80%, and has turned operating profit positive after two consecutive quarters of adjustments; meanwhile, Nvidia is rumored to be its anchor investor for the IPO, potentially investing up to 10 billion, and domestic Zhipu has raised 5 billion USD through zero-interest plus premium convertible financing.
The numbers on paper are all impressive, but if you connect the dots, you'll find a lot of money circulating within the same circle: chip manufacturers investing in model companies, and model companies buying chips back. This cycle acts as an accelerator during an uptrend, but if any link in the chain can't sustain its cash flow, it will also act as an amplifier.
I don't deny that AI is a real demand, but the fact that "80% gross margin" and "burning money to gain revenue" can both hold true indicates that too much imagination has been stuffed into the valuation. Do you believe this round is a perpetual motion machine? $BTC is currently stuck around $77,000, neither lively nor clean. It touched $81,000 on September 3, then gradually slid down, reaching $76,700–$77,100 on the 13th. Compared to the peak of $126,000 last October, it has retraced just over 30%. Daily fluctuations don't reveal a clear direction, but the weekly trend is clearer: it can't hold the highs, and the lows haven't collapsed either.
Macro is the main theme. Core CPI is a bit hot, and rate hike expectations have been reignited, with the FOMC meeting this week. The stock market can bet on a "bad news priced in" rebound, but Bitcoin is more sensitive: when real interest rates rise, liquidity is first drained from risk assets. This isn't a sudden on-chain issue; pricing power is still in the Fed's hands.
Structurally, it's still oscillating within a large range. The $80,000–$82,000 range above is a recent supply wall, around $76,000 below there are repeated buyers, and further down is the stronger $72,000–$75,000 line. If it can't reclaim $80,000, any rebound is just a correction; breaking below $76,000 will shift sentiment from sideways to accelerating decline.
Don't mistake sideways movement for bottom confirmation. Before the rate decision lands, volatility will only increase. Staying alive with your position is more important than guessing the short-term direction tonight.
#BTC #BitcoinSingle Coin Capital Movement Ranking
$IOST price and active transactions show a weak combination: The 15-minute K-line dropped 0.64%; in three sets of 5-minute statistics, buyers account for 34.1%, sellers 65.9%, with active sell amount about 1.93 times the active buy amount; open interest increased by 0.99%, open interest value changed by +0.25%, confirming expansion in open interest, with quantity and value changes moving in the same direction. The price decline and dominant selling mutually confirm each other, indicating a currently weak performance. Bitcoin deserves better utility than just sitting idle. That’s what makes BitcoinFi on Starknet interesting to me. Instead of simply holding BTC, strkBTC gives Bitcoin holders a way to access supported DeFi applications while keeping BTC exposure. And when privacy matters, shielding gives users more control over what activity becomes publicly visible. For me, the interesting combination is: BTC utility + optional privacy + Starknet DeFi. Bitcoin doesn’t necessarily need to hide everything. It juHere's a reminder for those watching the FOMC that is easy to overlook in the betting. Hassett said last night that he and Trump both believe "there's no reason to raise rates"; meanwhile, brokerage research reports almost unanimously say—nonfarm payrolls bombed, oil broke $100, CPI exceeded expectations again, and the probability of a rate hike is pushed up to 90%.
This is interesting: the White House is publicly pressuring not to raise rates, but the market is pricing in a hike. The real focus on Wednesday isn't whether to hike or not, but how Powell will handle the ball passed by the White House at the press conference—will he stubbornly defend independence, or leave a dovish opening as a way out?
Traders, don't just focus on the interest rate decision number; the statement wording and the press conference are the real sources of volatility. Are you betting Powell leans hawkish this time, or dovish?$BTC BTC is now at 76,700–77,000 dollars, down about 0.6% in 24h, touched 77,400+ early morning then dropped back to 76,800, a typical spike and retreat with shrinking volume.
1. In a nutshell
Short-term is weak recovery, not a reversal; 77,500–78,000 is the ceiling, 76,000–76,500 is the lifeline.
2. Key levels
Support: 76,500–76,200 → if broken, look at 75,200 / 74,000
Resistance: 77,500–77,700 → next up 78,500–79,000
Holding above 78,500 with volume: bearish structure breaks, target 80k+
Daily close below 76,000: oscillation turns weak, don’t chase shorts at low levels, wait for a rebound to decide
3. Market status
Volume is light, no incremental funds
Funding rate near 0 (about +0.006%), no crazy bullish sentiment
Spot ETF net outflow recently, institutions are cautious
Before this week’s FOMC (9/16), market is hesitant to pick a direction
4. My trading strategy
Spot: hold base position, no chasing near 77k
Futures: wait for boundaries
If it pulls back to 76,200–76,500 and stabilizes → small position to test long, stop loss at 75,800
If it bounces 77,500–78,000 with no volume → don’t chase, reverse to reduce/try short
If it breaks 76,000 don’t rush to short, wait for rebound confirmation before acting
Do you think this week will break 76k first or touch 78k first? Press 1 / Press 2
BTC #Bitcoin #LiveTradingReview #NotInvestmentAdvice
$BTC $BTC
If BTC gets rejected around major resistance, don't automatically call it a crash.
A rejection can simply mean:
→ More consolidation
→ Liquidity building
→ Another attempt later
The important thing is whether BTC loses major support afterward.
One failed breakout doesn't destroy a market.
Structure matters more than one candle.
#DailyOrbit Looking at my position card, that $BTC short is a single leg, unhedged position. People in the comments often call this "naked shorting." Taking advantage of FOMC week, let's talk about how I manage this kind of exposure.
Many people misunderstand: the real danger is not "unhedged," but "full position with tight stop loss." When your position is maxed out, a normal countertrend fluctuation can trigger your stop loss, and even if your direction is right, you won't survive until the day of realization. My approach is the opposite—leave nominal exposure with some margin, place stop losses at wide levels where the trend truly fails, preferring smaller profits to ensure I can withstand the first wave of shakeout.
Holding onto a thesis is never about stubbornness; it's about the breathing room your position size and stop loss give you. Do you have enough room this week? After a day of travel, $BTC slipped from around 78,000 to 76,650, $ETH lost 2,500 and held up at 2,470. Who's selling?
The selling pressure at the market isn't fierce, and buying is rare—in short, no one is taking it. Negative drops are the most exhausting; if you don't get a quick break, you take a bite every day.
The 76,800 level was repeatedly considered a lifeline for short-term bulls, and now it's being held there. Whether it breaks or not will be revealed tonight. ETH is even more straightforward; both 2478 and 2500 have been lost. This rebound is considered to have stalled.
Key levels are in place: $BTC below 76,000-76,200, breaking below reduces positions; Above 77,200-77,500 is rebound pressure. ETH below 2450-2460, and if 2500-2520 above cannot be reached, it is weak.
Staring at these numbers, I want to ask: with this kind of unsupported market, who are they waiting for to be the first to lose their chance?
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4 50 million USD
#加密财库分化: Buy coins or buy back? #ZEC机构资金入场, high-level leverage began to clear $BTC $ETH Nvidia is going to be installed in space, so the narrative about computing power on the ground has to change again
Market makers fear this kind of news the most; the direction hasn't changed, but expectations get disrupted first
What I did: My first reaction to the news was to reduce some short-term exposure to $BTC
Result: The market didn't care at all; it still fluctuated as usual
Lesson: I'm holding liquidity, not a viewpoint; jumping the gun is just giving away profits
Key rule: Moving computing power to the sky doesn't change any on-chain cash flow in the short term
Trigger condition: Actual deployment depends on next year's launch schedule and power solutions
Just watch one number: Can the trading volume of AI concept coins surpass $BTC for three consecutive days?
If not, it's just news, not a market trend
Wall Street's dogs have jumped ahead again this time
#英伟达拟向Anthropic投资最高100亿美元
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 #SpaceXCFO称有信心实现1000亿美元ARR $BTC $NVDA $BTC Thunderstruck! Don't bet on direction this week, just survive first
September 14: US PPI leads the way. If month-on-month exceeds expectations, inflation transmission concerns will rise, US Treasury yields will climb, and BTC's rally is likely to be interrupted; if weaker, easing expectations will revive, and short-term sentiment will recover.
September 15: US CPI takes over. The market expects inflation to slowly decline, with the real risk in a rebound of the core components. If above expectations, rate cut trades cool down, the dollar strengthens, and BTC faces pressure; if below expectations, risk appetite warms up, but beware of a pullback after good news is priced in.
September 16: ECB decision. Rate cuts or not are not the core issue; the wording on inflation stickiness and the subsequent path in the statement is key. Hawkish tone strengthens the euro, weakens the dollar, and causes risk asset divergence; dovish tone improves liquidity expectations, with high-beta assets like ETH more sensitive.
September 17: Quarterly options expiry. Concentrated nominal positions and market makers' rebalancing will amplify volatility. If BTC holds above the max pain point, shorts will cover and push prices up; if it breaks below, longs' stop losses and hedges may create negative feedback.
September 18: Michigan consumer confidence and inflation expectations. If inflation expectations rise, rate cut paths become more uncertain, pressuring risk assets; if they fall, the dollar weakens, and ETH shows greater elasticity.
Five events linked: inflation, US-Europe policy divergence, derivatives positioning, consumer expectations. Strategy: deleverage before events to avoid heavy one-sided bets; wait for price confirmation after data. Watch for BTC to break volume above previous highs for continuation, ETH to follow without rushing. This week, don't bet on outcomes, just respond. The difference between a 1% drop and a 0.5% drop is more worth noting than the numbers themselves.
Nasdaq futures are falling twice as much as the S&P, indicating that selling pressure is concentrated on tech-heavy stocks. This is not a broad-based risk-off move; someone is specifically adjusting positions in tech stocks. Short-term funds that chased the highs last week will have to face this gap before Monday's open.
The more likely chain is: tech loosens first, the index follows, and sentiment then transmits to risk assets. So far, this is all that can be confirmed; evidence is still lacking for the cross-market link.
Keep an eye on whether the Nasdaq can recover this 1% tonight. If it doesn't, it means the repositioning isn't over; if it does, it's just thin weekend liquidity. What’s your plan?
#PPI、CPI公布后，多家机构上调9月加息预期
#美债收益率逼近5%，回购难缓长期压力 #日银年内再加息成焦点 $ETH $LSK This surge is not due to a sudden fundamental improvement, but a riot caused by chain shutdown, supply reduction, and short squeeze combined. On the 13th, it was pulled from around $0.1 to $1–2, then quickly gave back gains, with thin order books and leverage, trading volume hitting astronomical levels.
Lisk's own chain will shut down on October 31, with DAO and staking ending together. The token won't disappear but will be converted into loyalty points for the corporate treasury platform. The official statement says 100 million tokens, about 25% of total supply, will be burned, and about 47 million tokens will be transferred to the company for operations.
Burning tokens is understandable, but the business hasn't proven that anyone is willing to pay for these points. There are still tokens on-chain; un-staking and cross-chain transfers will take at least ten days, and after the window closes, recovery is basically impossible.
Those buying at the high are driven by sentiment, not by a product that has already been proven. Don't mistake a one-day surge for a reversal.
#LSK #LiskA lot of people focus heavily on macro, policy and economic data to predict where an asset will move next.
But in seven years of trading, four of them full-time, I have never relied on news to justify an outcome. To me, most narratives are simply distractions. Stories used to convince people that price must do X before it can do Y.
$BTC often moves before the reason becomes obvious. By the time the macro environment shifts and the herd recognises it.
#DailyOrbit At Monday's open, the market hit me with a sucker punch.
$BTC fell below 77,000, with 312 million liquidated in 24 hours.
Long positions liquidated 94.01 million, a bloodbath.
$ETH dropped back to 2474, $SOL broke below 100 directly.
Panic selling everywhere, my social circle is full of wails.
I glanced at my five ETH long positions at 1882.
At the highest, the unrealized profit was 785 points.
Now looking back, only 592 remain.
A shrinkage of 193 each, five equals 965U.
Painful. Really painful.
But then I thought, the cost basis is set.
The ones who should panic are those who chased above 2000, not me.
The Fed's rate hike probability is up to 85%, all said to be bearish.
If you wait for the bearish news to land before running, isn't it already too late?
Falling doesn't feel good, rising can't get up.
I just have five long positions entered at 1882.
You all can shake as you want.
At worst, I lose all profits, but the principal is intact. The Federal Bank is not called that casually
Geoff Kendrick, Head of Global Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered, wrote plainly in his report: Sky plays the role of a central bank in the on-chain world—issuing currency (USDS and DAI), setting governance rules, and lending to “commercial banks” at wholesale rates.
Those “commercial banks” are called Agents in the Sky system, currently mainly three: Spark, Grove, and Obex. They have borrowed USDS from Sky, totaling $5.9 billion, with a total borrowing limit of $17.5 billion. They pay Sky a base interest rate of 3.8%, then seek higher-yield strategies to earn the spread.
Spark is engaged in crypto lending, with a TVL of about $6.8 billion, deploying funds through Aave and Morpho. Grove deals with real-world assets, managing about $2.6 billion, including $1 billion invested in AAA-rated CLOs, partnering with BlackRock, Janus Henderson, and Apollo. Obex is operated by Framework Ventures, holding about $2.5 billion USDS.
Sky prints money, Agents earn the spread, and Sky takes a cut from the spread.
This is not a concept; it is an already operating revenue model. $SKY $BTC $ETH #PPI、CPI公布后，多家机构上调9月加息预期 #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 Good morning, last week I focused on the high-level range oscillation trend and strictly traded according to the oscillation rhythm. At the beginning of the week, I gave a high-level short position, but there was no opportunity. Towards the end of the week, I went long continuously at 77500-76800, with a stop loss around 75800. On Friday, the CPI met expectations, first dropping to around 76000 and then surging to 79800. Our long positions also gained well, with a risk-reward ratio reaching 1:2.
Currently, although the range has not been broken, there are a few points to note. The bottom has been tested continuously without breaking the range, and with the CPI meeting expectations, the price surged then fell back, indicating serious selling pressure at the high level. This may be due to the market preemptively digesting holiday expectations. Several important announcements are scheduled for this week, so the trend is more uncertain and requires more right-side confirmation signals before trading.
The price is still near the bottom of the range, but for now, do not blindly go long because the weekly chart shows resistance near the upper boundary with a bearish close. This week may see some minor pullbacks and tests. The key focus is on the range low at 75550; a solid break below this point would lead to further declines to fill the previous upward gap. The most critical support lies in the 72000-70000 area, where a valid test would be a good secondary buying opportunity.
If the price breaks below 75550 but quickly recovers, that is also a very good buying opportunity—a typical range oscillation pattern where liquidity is captured at the low before another rally. We are currently in the sideways consolidation phase of the second wave of the range rally, and a third wave rally is reasonable. The important issue is the size of the correction. In the short term, it is a small range oscillation, with the key being the true or false break of 75550. The overall direction still depends on the Federal Reserve's situation.
In summary, we are still in a high-level range oscillation. Although near the bottom area, last week's surge and fall broke the upward expectation. There is excessive selling pressure above, and the market is digesting the impact of rate hikes. The focus recently is near 75550; a break and recovery here is a buy signal with a stop loss below the previous low, offering a very good risk-reward ratio. If there is a solid break with a short lower shadow on the daily chart, then a short rebound trade can be made, targeting 74000-72000. The most important buying support below is in the 72000-70000 range.#美国柴油价格首次突破6美元 #财报观察员：甲骨文AI云收入增121% #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元
After the non-farm payrolls, the market looks like it lost its soul. Brothers, that big bearish candle from the non-farm payrolls the day before yesterday hit hard, and today everything looks like a rebound.
BTC current price 76,480. Lowest after data was 74,120, then pulled back to 78,950, drawing a gate shape. On the 1-hour chart, it retook MA5/MA10, but MA30 and the upper Bollinger band at 79,200 are tightly capping above. MACD is converging below the zero line, volume has shrunk as if trading was suspended.
ETH current price 2,488, more resilient than BTC. Moving averages are flattening, MACD green bars shortening, indicating capital inflow. The downward wick during the data night did not break the previous low, then reversed to touch 2,610.
ZEC current price 1,124, oscillating between 1,080-1,190. Moving averages twisted like a braid, KDJ stuck at 52. The residual momentum from the previous violent surge has completely dissipated.
My confusion: Interest rate cut expectations postponed to next year, US dollar index surged to 107, ETF net outflows for three consecutive days, all pressure. But after the non-farm payrolls, the wick plunged but didn’t crash, BTC even touched back 79,000, ETH also rebounded. Today everything fell back again, returning to the starting point.
Strategy: Don’t bet on direction. This kind of wick action after data is a cure for stubbornness, with two rounds of long and short blowouts. You can’t make much money working one day, if you don’t understand, just watch and wait for it to choose its own direction.
For those itching to trade, tie your hands $BTC $ETH $ZEC The rhetoric from institutions and leaders hasn't brought real money; the market depth is more honest. BTC current price is around 76811, with hourly candles showing consecutive upper shadows near 77200, indicating unresolved overhead resistance. There is a dense cluster of limit sell orders between 76950 and 77350, while buy orders below are passive and defensive.
Just now, while waiting at a red light, I glanced at the tick-by-tick trades: active sell volume above 76900 continuously consumed the best buy orders. Funding rate dropped from 0.008 to 0.004, showing perpetual longs have no intention to add positions. Open interest increased but price did not rise, indicating shorts are opening positions to suppress the price.
On the naked candlestick structure, 76800 to 77300 is the resistance zone from the previous breakdown rebound; failure to reclaim this zone means further downside exploration. The first support below is at 75800, and if broken, look to 74800.
Main strategy is short. Entry range is 77100 to 77450, stop loss above 78200, first take profit at 75700, second take profit at 74800. If price breaks below 76500 directly, light short entries can be chased with stop loss above 77200.
$BTC
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元
@OKX星球 I am very excited these days about X Layer's tweets supporting RWA Memes and the incentive activities launched.
On one hand, I am a loyal user of the OKX platform, X Layer chain, and OKX wallet, and on the other hand, I am a fan of Meme. I used to often play dog on Bsc, but on X Layer, I have only bought Xdog before. The development of memes on X Layer was not very good in the past.
In recent months, BSC has turned the launchpad into a battlefield. Flap, Brew, and Four compete for narratives; whoever first turns the stock into a base pool can collect hundreds of thousands to millions in fees per day. It used to be said that one day in crypto is like a year in the real world. On BSC, one hour of Meme is like a year in the real world. Various meme coins keep launching nonstop, with all kinds of angles and hot topics every day, but only a few people make money. We retail investors have all become liquidity. I really can't stand this high-intensity PVP, so my attention has shifted to X Layer.
The memes on X Layer feel like a different playstyle from BSC. I think X Layer's attitude towards RWA Meme is very clear: they want Memes, but they must be tied to real assets, not pure air projects. Currently, the infrastructure on X chain is still in its early stages, so it feels like there should be some opportunities. Recently, I bought some $Starlink and $IGNIX, looking forward to a beautiful performance of memes on X Layer. $BTC has a huge liquidity pool around $75,000 below the price, and it is now difficult to find momentum. Most of the nearby liquidity is below; if the bulls cannot generate a strong rebound here, $75,000 may be swept, losing that area, and the range from $64,000 to $60,000 will come back into view.
$ETH has finally broken through the downward trendline that has limited the price for months. The current movement is a strong support rebound, with a significant expansion after breaking the macro trendline, staying above the breakout point. This is the first real confirmation indicating that the long-standing bearish structure is being broken, maintaining above the trendline, confirming a trend reversal. From here, the next major upward level is near $2700. #CLARITY替代修正案公布，贝森特呼吁参院推进 #BTC加速拉升，资金还能继续接力吗？ #加密财库分化：买币还是回购？ $BTC $ETH
Here's the sequence I'm watching:
BTC stabilizes
↓
BTC breaks resistance
↓
ETH confirms strength
↓
Risk appetite returns
↓
Altcoins start attracting attention
That's the bullish rotation I'd want to see.
Until BTC and ETH confirm the move, chasing smaller coins carries additional risk.
Follow liquidity, not hype.$LAB I placed an order, and the rest was just the market putting on a show.
Just after lunch, when watching the market, LAB was always short of a rally, volume didn't keep up, no one took it up, selling was strong. I judged that the pressure at the high level hadn't changed, the short logic remained valid, and the warning not to chase longs was more comfortable. Taking short positions near 0.07635 was more comfortable.
From 0.07635 to 0.05551, short positions +273.47%. This piece of meat is comfortable to eat, ready for a good meal. Everyone in the car must have laughed awake.
Better to miss a limit-up than to catch a flying knife and get a full stack of losses.
Even if you only earn a single point, as long as you can take it away, it's yours; No matter how much profit you gain, it's the market.
Break 80% first, then use the remaining 20% for cost protection. Keep cutting and let profits slip away. For those who haven't bought yet, listen to me: wait for a more comfortable position in the next round. The market isn't short of opportunities, but what it lacks is patience. I'll give you tips right away.
$BNB $ETH 9.14 ETH Market Daily Report
ETH remains in a weak oscillation, with volatility greater than BTC, highlighting its high Beta characteristic.
BTC spot ETF has seen nearly $450 million in net outflows over three consecutive days, with institutions cashing out in the short term. Although ETH ETF funds have not experienced a significant simultaneous outflow, macro liquidity constraints suppress bullish momentum. With U.S. Treasury yields approaching 5%, funds are shifting to fixed income for risk aversion, putting pressure on crypto assets, and ETH shows stronger retracement elasticity.
In the next two weeks, focus on two major events: the Federal Reserve interest rate decision on September 16, which will directly impact market liquidity expectations; and the concentrated expiration of BTC and ETH quarterly options on September 25. BTC options have a notional value of $14.39 billion, which will cause significant position disturbances, with strong ETH correlation.
Technical analysis: The first resistance above is $2580, strong resistance at $2650, and a rebound requires increased volume. The core support below is $2420, strong support at $2360; a valid break below will open the way for a deeper correction. Currently, the market is a stock game with weak rebound sustainability and a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.
The market is in a news-waiting window, with volatility prone to amplification. Avoid chasing highs or selling lows, and continuously monitor U.S. Treasury yields and ETF fund flows.
What do you think? Before the Federal Reserve decision lands, will ETH first retest support or probe resistance?
#美债收益率逼近5%，回购难缓长期压力 $BTC $ETH
The most dangerous thing in a macro event isn't volatility.
It's conviction without confirmation.
Everyone will have an opinion on what the Fed should do.
Few will know how BTC and ETH actually respond.
That's why I'm keeping the framework simple:
Level → Reaction → Confirmation → Entry.
Not:
Headline → Emotion → FOMO.
The market will give opportunities.
You don't need to catch the first candle.Middle East oil pipeline bombed, meeting postponed! Oil prices soar, will BTC have to pay for inflation again?
Key message breakdown:
① Saudi Arabia's critical oil pipeline (7 million barrels per day capacity) was attacked by drones and forced to shut down urgently; extent and duration of damage unknown.
② The diplomatic meeting between Iran and Gulf countries originally scheduled to discuss the Strait of Hormuz situation was suddenly postponed.
③ Another oil tanker was attacked and caught fire in the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, security situation is precarious.
④ In Asian early trading, WTI and Brent crude oil gains both expanded to over 3%.
Impact logic on crypto market:
① Pipeline shutdown + Strait obstruction cause substantial energy supply disruption, soaring oil prices directly push up global inflation expectations.
② Persistent inflation → higher threshold for Fed rate cuts, possibly strengthening rate hike expectations, macro liquidity continues to tighten.
③ Geopolitical risk spillover, rising risk aversion, funds flow into USD and gold, BTC/ETH and other risk assets face short-term pressure.
④ Market volatility will sharply increase, any rebound may be suppressed by macro negative factors.
In short: When the Middle East sneezes, inflation catches a fever, and BTC becomes a casualty of macro struggles again—hold tight and wait for the storm to pass.
$BTC $ETH
#美国柴油价格首次突破6美元 Top industry leaders have gathered to call for a slowdown in AI development, seemingly for "human safety," but in reality, it's a PR move and a reshuffling of interests. Anthropic aims to seize the "compliance" niche to gain B2B premium and control the standard-setting power; OpenAI uses this opportunity for PR damage control, but more importantly to raise regulatory barriers, strengthen its moat, and stifle startups; Musk is pleased to see the frontrunners hitting the brakes. The market sees through this "prisoner's dilemma," with AI-related US stocks falling 3-5% in pre-market trading, and OpenAI's off-market valuation plummeting 10.6%. The giants are cutting themselves to cash out and cool down, while those hyping AI continue to hype it—US stocks might be doomed. #美债收益率逼近5%，回购难缓长期压力 #The Hormuz meeting between Iran and Gulf countries was postponed at the last minute, Saudi Arabia's alternative oil pipeline was attacked, and the Red Sea's Yanbu port oil storage could only last 5 to 7 days. The Houthis took Pilin Island, and the U.S. only provided intelligence but not military aid. Trump declared he would "stay after the war to preserve oil."
After reading all this, I felt a chill down my spine. This is no longer just about "whether something will happen," but about "something has happened, but it hasn't reached the market surface yet."
The market is watching the Fed closely, but overlooking another thread—if the Saudi pipeline is suspended for a long time and Hormuz faces another crisis, up to 4% of global oil supply could be cut off. If oil prices surge, inflation becomes uncontrollable, and the Fed's room for rate cuts is completely blocked. This is the real hidden mine.
Geopolitics is becoming the biggest X factor in this macro cycle. Energy shocks are driving up inflation, the Fed is forced to keep interest rates high, and risk assets will inevitably be under pressure in the end. Crypto now looks independent, but once liquidity tightens, none escape.
2022 is a living textbook. The Russia-Ukraine conflict pushed up oil prices, inflation skyrocketed, the Fed was forced to aggressively raise rates, and BTC plunged from $69,000 to $16,000. It's not the crypto sector's own problem—it's the macro sector that drained the water. The energy crisis has never been just about energy.
Crude oil is now the key player in this game. If oil prices surge, rate cut expectations will be dashed, and the crypto world will be unaffected.
Keep a close eye on crude oil and the US dollar. $BTC Target 76,000, $ETH Target 2400. Even if you hold on, don't go all in—cut decisively if it falls below the limit. Pricing geopolitical risks is often a matter of an instant.$ETH has the most complete technical setup. The ETF channel has recorded net capital subscriptions for four consecutive weeks, with the price rising more than 55% from the June low, and all major moving averages have been reclaimed. The 2500 level is the breakout threshold; once effectively surpassed, the upward space opens up; 2350-2400 serves as a moving support zone.
$BTC still faces macro pressure. The 10-year US Treasury yield is climbing toward 5%, and the spot ETF experienced a net redemption of $463 million last week, interrupting four consecutive weeks of net inflows. Institutions are actively shrinking risk positions, which is a defensive hedge rather than panic selling. 76,000 is the short-term defense level.
XRP whale addresses continue to offload. Over the past three weeks, the price has dropped 20%, large holders have sold about 90 million tokens, and daily active addresses have fallen from 380,000 to 38,000, shrinking by over 90%. The 1.30-1.39 range is an important support zone.
$SOL network activity is stronger than its price. Although it lost the psychological $100 level, its decentralized exchange daily trading volume has returned to the top among all chains. The Solana Summit is being held today in Washington, with the SEC Chair delivering the closing speech; regulatory trends are shifting.
Chips have not exited the market; positions are just being adjusted ahead of the FOMC. After tomorrow night’s rate decision announcement, the market will choose its direction.
#PPI、CPI公布后，多家机构上调9月加息预期 #从降息到加息，联储分歧全公开 #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元