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The convenience store owner downstairs kept talking about this the year before last.
I took it as a joke.
Later, I got itchy hands and threw in a few hundred bucks.
The first purchase was $BTC.
After buying, it dropped.
It dropped so much that I got up in the middle of the night to check my phone.
Then I tried $ETH.
There are many things on the chain,
and the fees are expensive.
One operation takes a long time and ends up being wasted effort.
Later, I heard people say $SOL is fast,
so I transferred some small money to try.
It’s really fast,
but also really risky.
Some projects disappear without notice.
After losing a few times, I learned my lesson:
Don’t chase hot topics,
Don’t follow trading tips,
Don’t touch what you don’t understand.
Write down your private keys yourself,
Don’t give them to anyone who asks,
Don’t click on unfamiliar links,
No matter how tempting the airdrop is, don’t connect your wallet recklessly.
Now I only hold money I won’t mind losing.
Just leave it there.
Don’t get cocky when it rises,
Don’t panic when it falls.
There are many opportunities in this field,
but even more traps.
Living long is more important than making a quick profit.
Don’t borrow money,
Don’t get carried away,
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits.
Leave the rest to time#台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
#微软发布新一代AI芯片，股价触及年内高点 SOL hit a low of 101.56 yesterday, then quickly bounced back to 108, a strong $7 emergency injection. But it still dropped over 4 points in 24 hours, so don’t mistake the rebound for a turnaround.
Today, Hong Kong listed Pando’s SOL ETF, while on the other side, the US spot SOL fund saw a net outflow of $24.8 million last week, breaking a 14-week streak of inflows. New products open, old money flows out, showing two faces of the market.
The futures contracts don’t give a clear answer either: fees are slightly negative, but open interest actually increased by about 1%. Some are still entering the market, but just looking at open interest doesn’t reveal bullish or bearish sentiment. 101.56 was the recent low, and around 113 is resistance above. Let’s first see if this bounce is supported by spot volume.
For those trading SOL contracts, do you trust the new Hong Kong ETF more, or the US capital retreat? $SOL After playing for so long, through difficult phases, I put in almost half of my demobilization pay, didn't dare to tell my family, didn't dare to tell my girlfriend, I was afraid I really couldn't hold on. I remember the first account had a maximum loss of over 6000u, at that time I lost 2000u in one day, finally I closed the account, deleted all related photo albums and memos, and went out with my girlfriend to relax for a while. There were also many times when small capital was flipped, the trend was right, but I was frustrated, wondering why I didn't go all in, but in the end I still blew up. I also experienced the thrill of making a few thousand yuan in one day.
Until later, I discovered that grid trading is just a simple form of quantification, so I started to study it slowly, began trying with small funds, and finally gained some confidence. With 1500u as the last dance, I broke even, probably just luck, sitting on the market. $DOGE DUMPED TO 0.08005, THEN SNAPPED BACK HARD.
I watched the 1h candles bleed from 0.08813, then a long wick tagged the low. Four green candles later, price sits at 0.08473, up 3.04% today.
Sharp reversals test patience more than entries do. Did you wait for confirmation or chase the bounce?
$DOGE$ETH Ethereum has dropped nearly 15% from 2779, with the mid-term trend having shifted. Now 2514 is a delicate balance period. The upside faces huge selling pressure; without a clear strong bullish breakout candle surpassing key resistance, all upward moves are just rebounds.
From a technical perspective, it is in a 2-hour descending channel, suppressed by EMA7; MACD shows a nascent bullish divergence, indicating that bearish momentum may be exhausted.
The Bollinger Bands middle line at 2525 is strong resistance; below the middle line is the bears' control zone. 2500 is psychological support; breaking below it will head straight to 2450.
Trading strategy:
Wait for a rebound to 2530-2540 and then look for bearish patterns to short, with a stop loss at 2565 and a target of 2460.
Or buy on a pullback to 2460-2470 if it holds and MACD forms a golden cross, with a stop loss at 2435.
A safer approach is to wait for a breakout and stable hold above 2550, then buy on a pullback confirmation, which has a higher success rate! #9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 #台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓 #BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？ ETFs are selling, whales are buying, who is BTC's show really for?
BTC performed a "V-shaped reversal" today. It briefly dropped below $81,500 this morning (down about 3.4% in 24 hours), now back near $83,500. ETH also recovered from below $2,425 to around $2,517. The entire network saw $770 million liquidated in 24 hours, mostly long positions.
But the data reveals divergence: US spot BTC ETFs had a net outflow of $681 million last week, the largest weekly outflow since June; meanwhile, on-chain whales increased their holdings by about 15,000 BTC in 72 hours. Institutions are redeeming, whales are accumulating — bulls and bears are directly clashing.
Tomorrow the US CPI will be released, the next catalyst. ETF money is running out, whale money is coming in. Do you think this rebound is a real stabilization or just a breather after a big drop?
Risk warning: Macro data can fluctuate greatly before and after release, participate cautiously. For reference only, not investment advice.
#Bitcoin$BREV Last night I was still calculating if this month's instant noodle money would be enough, and this morning I was already thinking about whether to add sausage. Thanks to the market for the meal on this short position.
When the market was just smashed in the early session, BREV rebounded around 0.09052, but the volume didn't keep up, and the resistance above was obvious, with a strong bait to the long side. I judged it was just a breather, not a reversal, and at that time I advised to be bearish and enter short positions in batches.
Then it continued to go down, the price hit 0.08387, the short position yield was +146.7%, it was worth the wait. When the rhythm is right, profits speak for themselves. It was really dragging before, but the outcome is really sweet.
Take profit on 80% of the main position first, move the protection to the cost price for the remaining 20%, let the profits run if it continues to drop, and don't give back profits on the rebound.
Being out of position is not a sin; opening positions recklessly is the mistake.
Have a strategy before the market, discipline during the market, and reflection after the market.
For friends who haven't gotten on board yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in; chasing shorts can easily get caught by a rebound. Wait for the next signal before moving, I will notify you immediately.
$ETH $LAB South Korea Takes Action: 27 Exchange Websites Directly Blocked, Including KuCoin and MEXC
South Korea is serious this time. The Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) announced today that after two rounds of review by the Korea Communications Standards Commission on October 6 and 7, it decided to block domestic access to the websites of 27 unregistered virtual asset operators. KuCoin, MEXC, Phemex, Bitrue, CoinW, and BingX are all on the list.
There are two key details: first, previously only apps were blocked (banned from installation and updates in app stores), but this time websites are directly blocked, with servers in Korea shut down and overseas servers cut off from access; second, there is no need to wait for victims—once confirmed as unregistered operators, the block is immediate. The FIU also found that these platforms charge average fees ranging from 1.5% to 10%, up to 62 times higher than the top five domestic Korean exchanges (0.16%).
The FIU also admits that blocking the websites may affect existing users' withdrawals, and will coordinate withdrawal channels through DAXA. Friends using these platforms in Korea should withdraw their coins first.
Risk Warning: Regulatory policies change rapidly; please refer to official announcements. For reference only, not investment advice.
#BitcoinI've been paying close attention to ZEC recently and want to share my thoughts.
$ZEC's current market movement is actually quite interesting.
Most altcoins are now focusing on ecosystems, AI, and RWA, but ZEC is taking a different path—privacy.
Privacy itself isn't a new narrative; Zcash started working on zero-knowledge proofs quite early. The issue was that the market was unwilling to pay a high premium for privacy in the past, but now that expectation is changing.
However, narratives aside, price still needs to reflect the market.
ZEC rose too quickly earlier, so the recent pullback from the highs is not surprising. The profits accumulated from the continuous rise need to be digested, and it's not easy to directly start a second major upward wave in the short term.
Next, I’m mainly watching a few key levels.
On the downside, watch 1110–1130 first; if this area holds, there’s still a chance to retest 1200 upwards.
On the upside, 1220 is the first resistance level; to truly regain strength, it needs to break through 1300.
If 1110 fails to hold, be prepared for further pullbacks to 1050 or even 1000.
Now, about the fundamentals.
What attracts me most about ZEC is its relatively simple value logic. As more financial activities move on-chain, is transaction transparency really what everyone wants?
#ZEC #Zcash#strategy increased holdings by 250 BTC
[Old Chive Observation] Strategy only buys 250 $BTC per week, has the coin hoarding rhythm changed?
Strategy's latest disclosure shows that from October 5 to 11, it bought 250 BTC, spending about $21.5 million, with an average cost of about $86,194. Including this purchase, the company now holds 848,250 BTC.
Looking at the holdings alone, Strategy remains a major player in the Bitcoin market. But if you look at the capital moves this week together, the picture is a bit different: it also repurchased about $192.4 million of STRC preferred shares during the same period, nearly 9 times the amount spent on buying coins.
Previously, everyone focused on how much BTC Strategy bought and whether it would continue to increase its position. Now, besides the amount of coins bought, attention must also be paid to how it allocates funds and arranges financing tools.
Of course, buying less in a week does not mean it is bearish on Bitcoin, nor can it be judged as a shift in long-term strategy. It's just that this increase in holdings is indeed small, and the market doesn't need to equate "continuing to buy coins" directly with "strongly bullish."
For BTC, Strategy's continued large holdings are a long-term supportive narrative; but the short-term market ultimately depends on real buying demand and market liquidity, and cannot be judged solely by a holding announcement. $BTC A while ago, an old classmate pulled me into a group chat
He posts his trades every day
After watching for a while, my hands got itchy
I threw in a few hundred bucks
The first buy was $BTC
After buying, it slowly dropped
It dropped so much I started picking cheaper options for takeout
Later, I tried $ETH
There are many things on-chain
The fees are also harsh
One transaction takes forever and feels like a waste
Then I heard $SOL is fast
So I transferred some small money to try
It’s really fast
But the traps are real too
Some projects disappear just like that
After losing a few times, I became honest
Don’t chase hot topics
Don’t follow trade calls
Don’t touch what you don’t understand
Write down your private keys yourself
Don’t give them to anyone who asks
Don’t click on unfamiliar links
No matter how tempting airdrops are, don’t connect your wallet recklessly
Now I only hold money I won’t mind losing
Just leave it be
Don’t get cocky when it rises
Don’t panic when it falls
There are many opportunities in this field
But even more traps
Surviving longer is more important than making a quick profit
Don’t borrow money
Don’t get carried away
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits
Leave the rest to time#台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
#微软发布新一代AI芯片，股价触及年内高点 Money is moving, but the price hasn't crashed: Who is holding firm above 80000?
Since October, ETF outflows have exceeded $1 billion: BTC $679 million, ETH $542 million, with ETH also recording the largest single-week outflow since January and nine consecutive trading days of continuous outflows.
Interestingly, the coin price only slipped from 84000 to 81500. Despite significant selling pressure, it hasn't crashed—indicating someone is absorbing it. BTC market dominance rose to 59.35%, money is concentrating into Bitcoin, and on-exchange funds are still holding firm.
Don't be fooled by the "no crash." Spot participation is very thin, put options are being aggressively bought, and below 80000 there is a cluster of liquidation points. To translate: the bulls are holding firm above 80000 with thin buy orders, and below that is basically empty air.
There is another key level: 83000. This is the average cost line for ETFs and the dividing line between bulls and bears. If it can't hold, holders start to see unrealized losses, and redemptions will only increase—outflows, price drops, more outflows. The worst scenario in this cycle is breaking below the cost line.
ETH is even worse: nine consecutive outflows, intraday low at 2409, just shy of the previous low. Institutions are much more determined to withdraw ETH than BTC.
In terms of strategy: treat any rebound as just a rebound for now; wait for ETFs to turn positive and for 83000 to hold with volume before making moves. Before tomorrow night's CPI release, those rushing in are just catching knives. Do you think ETFs can turn positive this week?
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？ Dogecoin got a new engine, let an experienced user explain
The most exciting news for me these days: a company called Metallicus has launched a test version of DogecoinVM on the mainnet, making Dogecoin transactions about 300 times faster.
Don't understand?
I'll explain it in a simple way. The original Dogecoin transfers were like an old-fashioned cash register, processing transactions one by one in line—safe but slow. The new solution is like adding a row of self-checkout machines next to it, while the original cash register remains untouched. It doesn't change Dogecoin's underlying layer but wraps an additional parallel network outside: the fast one handles speed, the old one handles security.
The CEO also said this fulfills Elon Musk's vision of using Dogecoin for payments. I like hearing that. In 2019, the first time I used $DOGE to transfer, it was to tip a few cents to a user on a foreign forum, and it took almost ten minutes to arrive. Back then, I thought if this thing could be a bit faster, it could really be used as money.
Now this "a bit faster" has been put into action by someone. Whether it succeeds or not is another story, but this is the direction I've been waiting for seven years.
The joy of old fans is simple: the market can wait, but the ability to "spend" is what really matters.$BTC BTC quickly recovered after the drop, with the 4-hour chart completing two bottom tests, which is a relatively positive signal: it did not break the previous low; even if it later tries to break below the previous low, it will form a 4-hour bullish divergence structure.
However, on the long-term rhythm, the 3-day MACD has already formed a death cross, so at this stage, avoid chasing highs. The current strategy is that shorting on rallies offers better cost-effectiveness.
Once the trend turns, it will not reverse easily. The current market long-short ratio has reached 1.6, with bottom-fishing funds crowding in; even if the market temporarily stabilizes, it is highly likely to continue oscillating with repeated bottom tests.
Today's trading plan:
Short positions can be set up in the 83500–84000 range
Stop loss: 84500
Target: 80800
Position size 5.5, leverage 10x
On the macro level: September CPI data is about to be released, and Harker has stated there is still room for further rate hikes; BTC and ETH spot ETFs continue to see capital outflows, with institutional buying demand clearly weakening.
The market has repeatedly tested support, showing weakness; do not be fooled by quick spike rebounds.It's still the same old talk about near. Over the weekend, taking advantage of low liquidity, it exploded upward to a new high of 6, closing at 15k with an upper shadow. Afterwards, due to the overall weakness of the market, it dropped from 6 all the way down below 4.9 this morning. Bulls and bears diverged at the integer level of 6. Also, the funding rate for the bulls in this coin is at most 0.01, but the bears don't have this cap, right? Isn't that cheap? I've never seen the bulls' funding rate exceed 0.01. The long-short ratio went from less than one to greater than one. Are you telling me there are more shorts? Could it be that the long-short ratio is distorted? I saw this issue in a post last time. Additionally, continue raising interest rates, explode this coin $NEAR, and Chuanzi quickly deploy ground forces to cripple Iran so badly that it won't come out to talk for decades. This is the best.$ETH Today's Market Analysis!!!
Good morning, friends! Did you catch that short position last night?
Reviewing yesterday, ETH rebounded from a low point all the way up to around 2578, then started a continuous pullback. Sister Qin had already advised everyone to watch for shorting opportunities at the high levels, targeting the 2530–2500 range. After the US stock market opened, the rebound remained weak, and the price smoothly reached the target zone!
Unexpectedly, there was another dip around midnight, hitting a low near 2405, catching many long position followers off guard.
However, strong buying support appeared near 2405. After the Asian session opened this morning, the market quickly rebounded, rising over 100 points in a short time. On-chain funds also continued to flow in, indicating that there is still capital paying attention at the low levels.
What’s next?
Sister Qin believes that although the short-term rebound is obvious, it’s still too early to chase longs! Focus on the resistance near 2530 above and observe whether the price can effectively hold above it.
If there is a volume breakout and the price holds steady, the rebound has a chance to continue. If the price struggles to rise and faces pressure again, be cautious of a potential pullback risk.
$ZEC #9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 Brothers, did your heart just drop by half again when you checked the market this morning? 💔$BTC $ETH
$BTC directly broke below the $83,000 mark, hitting a low near $82,900! US Treasury yields soared, the macro situation is tense, and retail investors in the market are crying their hearts out, shouting that “the bull’s quick return” is a scam! The big group chat is full of wails, and some have even started preparing to cut losses and place sell orders... 😭📉
But have you seen the truth behind it?! 💥
On-chain data is so hardcore it’s shocking: the on-chain holdings of the US spot BTC ETF have officially surpassed 2 million coins (over 10% of the global total supply)! Wall Street institutions and giants are still crazily accumulating, and even if the market pulls back in a single week, buying pressure remains strong!
Wall Street is smashing the market with macro sentiment to accumulate, while retail investors are cutting losses and shooting themselves in the foot! Is this a bear trap to shake out weak hands, or the final warning to exit?$ZEC ZEC/USDT perpetual 30-minute chart, bearish pattern, bearish sentiment without shorting due to unclear overall market conditions.
My view: The market initially surged then pulled back, testing a low of 1112.06. Currently, it is a minor recovery rebound after a sharp decline, with the overall trend still weak. Wait for the price to rebound to the 1230 resistance level before attempting a short. The first target is the 1180 support, with a stop loss set above 1245. If this level is broken, the bearish outlook should be paused.
Chan theory structure: The downtrend started from the high of 1383.76, forming a purple downward continuation zone midway. After hitting the low of 1112.06, a rebound occurred forming the second purple zone in the chart; then the price broke down again to a new low. The current rise is just a pullback after the breakdown and does not reverse the main 30-minute downtrend structure.
Wyckoff volume-price observation: The main down phase showed increased volume on the decline, while this rebound’s volume has clearly shrunk. The buying support is insufficient, and funds have not continuously entered to bottom-fish. This is a weak rebound after a decline, with weak bullish attack strength.
Key observation: Focus closely on the 1230 resistance level. If the rebound stalls here with volume shrinking, it is a shorting opportunity; if volume increases and price holds above 1245, it indicates short-term bullish strength and the bearish view should be reconsidered. $ASTER is quite conflicted: the perpetual exchange behind it consistently ranks among the industry's top in daily volume, yet the platform token itself has dropped 70% from its peak, with a market cap now only 1.8 billion.
The usual logic for platform tokens is that good business means a valuable token. Aster indeed captured volume—offering 1000x leverage and nearly free fees, overshadowing many established DEXs. But the market clearly doesn't trust the quality of this volume: the trading driven by subsidies and high leverage depends on whether fees get cut or not. The token price dropping 70% in a year is traders grading this answer.
Even more awkward is the token distribution. Only about 30% is circulating; over 60% is locked in the ecosystem, treasury, and team, untouched. The current 1.8 billion market cap corresponds to a fully diluted valuation of 5.7 billion, meaning today's platform valuation is already prepaid more than twice over by tokens not yet released. The supply looming above the price on the ground is more unsettling.
Compared to HYPE in the same sector, there's a 20x market cap gap. For the same business, the market's discount on Aster is understandable.
Around 0.7 is the level where this rebound has been repeatedly tested; breaking above it would reclaim this week's losses. Below, 0.65 was the recently established bottom. As long as the divergence between business and token price remains uncorrected, every bullish candle is just an oversold reflex. #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
Core Phenomena
1. Macro liquidity is the biggest ceiling; the interest rate environment suppresses risk asset valuations
Bitcoin itself does not generate cash flow; its valuation is highly influenced by real interest rates and U.S. Treasury yields.
Even if institutions continue to allocate, if long-term U.S. Treasury yields remain high, a large amount of capital will prioritize high-yield fixed income assets and be unwilling to assign higher valuations to highly volatile crypto assets.
At the same time, the market is constantly playing a game around the Federal Reserve's rate cut pace: inflation data is volatile, employment remains resilient, and the market keeps delaying rate cut expectations, making it difficult for risk assets to sustain a major rally. As long as rate cut expectations are not truly realized, every rebound is treated as a window to reduce positions.
2. ETFs are a "two-way channel," allowing both buying and continuous selling
Many mistakenly believe ETFs only experience net inflows, which is a major misconception.
Spot ETFs effectively provide Wall Street asset managers, pension funds, and family offices with a high-liquidity outlet for one-click buying and one-click redemption selling.
After an initial wave of large weekly net inflows, profit-taking and large net outflows can easily follow. One wave of large capital comes in, while another wave of earlier investors redeems and cashes out during the rebound, directly offsetting the net inflow buying with redemption selling.
Institutional positioning ≠ all institutions uniformly bullish; some institutions are accumulating in batches on dips, while others are taking profits and exiting on rallies.
3. Heavy selling pressure from whales and high-level trapped positions creates a thick resistance zone aboveWant to know what TSMC will say in advance? Watch ASML on Wednesday morning first
TSMC reports earnings on Thursday, but the real preview airs Wednesday morning—ASML delivers first. The logic is simple: ASML sells lithography machines to TSMC, and EUV orders are a leading indicator of TSMC's capacity expansion.
ASML's current forecast: revenue of €11.66 billion, up 53% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 55%-57%. But the numbers aren't the main point; the focus is on two things: how many new EUV orders there are, and whether the 2027 outlook will be raised. Its EUV capacity is already booked through 2027, with plans to expand capacity by another 30% in 2027.
To translate: if ASML's EUV orders explode, it means an early official announcement that TSMC's capital expenditure will increase, making Goldman Sachs' $85 billion call solid; if orders are weak, TSMC's guidance on Thursday is expected to be cut by 30%.
Interestingly, ASML has already risen 66% this year, and its valuation isn't cheap. "Meeting expectations" might not be enough—same problem as TSMC: expectations are maxed out, and the biggest fear is good news being priced in.
For the crypto community: the sentiment front for AI-themed coins is Wednesday morning, but don't bet heavily. The real main event Wednesday is the 8:30 PM CPI release, where BTC's main storyline still lies. Two big shows, which one will you watch?
#台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓 $ZEC finally drops from $1,348 to $1,230, but my short is still far underwater. 😩
My entry was $816, and this pullback barely helps. Resistance sits near $1,320, with support around $1,200.
All eyes are on tomorrow’s CPI data. Hot inflation could push ZEC below $1,200 toward $1,050, while softer data may trigger a bounce toward $1,320.
For now, this looks more like profit-taking before CPI than a confirmed trend reversal.
Being stuck in a short is exhausting.#BTC and ETH spot ETFs are flowing out simultaneously, has institutional demand weakened?
To give the core conclusion in one sentence first: In the short term, it is a decline in risk appetite and concentrated profit-taking by traders, which does not mean that institutions have completely abandoned allocation in the medium to long term, and it cannot be directly equated with "institutional demand has already weakened."
1. What is the background of this simultaneous outflow?
In the past week, BTC spot ETFs had a net outflow of $681 million, and ETH spot ETFs had an outflow of $542 million, which is a relatively obvious simultaneous redemption, coinciding with several resonating events:
1. Long-term US Treasury yields rose again, inflation data fluctuated, and the market continuously pushed back the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations, causing high-valuation risk assets to be collectively devalued;
2. After a rebound in September, prices reached a heavy resistance zone above, and short-term trading institutions and family offices that rushed in earlier chose to take profits;
3. Geopolitical risks increased, overall market risk appetite contracted, not only in crypto but also Nasdaq and growth stocks were under pressure simultaneously, representing cross-asset risk-off rebalancing rather than a standalone bearish view on BTC/ETH.
2. The most critical misconception: ETF outflow ≠ all institutions are selling
Many people treat ETF fund flows as a unified institutional vote, but here we must separate two completely different types of funds:
✅ One type is short-term trading funds (the main force behind this outflow)
Hedge funds and asset managers doing swing trading use ETFs for trend trading. Prices rise, hit resistance, macro uncertainty appearsIs AI hardware about to change the game?
The storage and optical communication sectors have collectively plunged this round, with SanDisk $SNDK down 5.97%, Micron Technology $MU down 3.88%, and Lumentum $LITE sharply falling 9.78%.
The previous AI infrastructure frenzy pushed related stocks too high, accumulating a large amount of profit-taking. Coupled with market concerns about intensified competition in advanced memory in China and capacity releases, investors quickly chose to cash out when sensing the wrong direction, causing sentiment to collapse rapidly.
This is actually the painful transition period for AI hardware speculation shifting from purely story-driven to performance realization. The market's high growth expectations were overextended, so once any sign of marginal growth slowdown appears, a stampede is inevitable.
In the short term, sector volatility and bottoming are unavoidable, but the giants' moats in AI foundations remain. As the earnings window approaches, companies with real technological barriers and solid orders will differentiate themselves. Next, it depends on whether the earnings reports can withstand the high valuations.
DYOR #闪迪MSCI调仓生效，NAND估值受关注
SanDisk East US close on 10.12 at 1487.33, a single-day plunge of 5.97%, with an intraday low of 1464.43. The storage sector collectively plunged, Micron fell in sync, SK Hynix and Kioxia retreated in tandem. Recent trend characteristics: 6 down days out of 7 trading days, entering a weak consolidation phase of continuous correction.
The core logic behind the decline mainly includes the following points:
1. Capital begins to speculate that profit growth has peaked, NAND price increase slope slows; mid-to-long-term fundamentals, 93.9 billion long-term contracts, and 14 billion buyback plans remain unchanged, but the market no longer blindly trades high growth.
2. ChangXin Memory's 4F² architecture breakthrough, the market prices in intensified future NAND competition in advance.
3. Japanese and Korean storage leaders' buyback plans ended early, lacking buying support, capital concentrates on cashing out high-level AI storage targets.
4. Federal Reserve officials' hawkish statements delay rate cut expectations, suppressing high-valuation growth stocks. This correction's most critical threshold. If volume breaks below 1420 = continuation of the bearish trend, opening further downside space. As long as this level holds, there is a short-term chance to brew a recovery rebound #闪迪美光下跌，长鑫技术进展受关注 #OKX百万规划师 【On-Chain Trading Update｜STRK】
Monitored address 0x0c1f opened a long position:
▪ Execution price: $0.08802
▪ Transaction amount this time: $118,665.58
▪ Leverage: 5x
Does anyone share the same view on this long position?
Note: This address has earned over $358,000 in profit in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +76.31% A while ago, an old classmate pulled me into a group chat
He posted profit charts every day
I kept watching and got tempted
I took a few hundred yuan to try
The first purchase was $BTC
Right after buying, it dropped
It dropped so much I was still checking my phone late at night
Later I tried $ETH
There are many things on the chain
The fees are also high
One operation wasted half a day
Then I heard people hype $SOL as fast
Transferred a small amount to play
It’s really fast
But also really risky
Some projects disappear just like that
After losing a few times, I learned my lesson
Don’t chase hot topics
Don’t follow trading signals
Don’t touch what you don’t understand
Write down your private keys yourself
Don’t give them to anyone who asks
Don’t click on unknown links
No matter how tempting an airdrop is, don’t connect your wallet recklessly
Now I only use money I can afford to lose
Just leave it there
Don’t get cocky when it rises
Don’t panic when it falls
There are many opportunities in this field
But even more traps
Surviving longer is more important than making a quick profit
Don’t borrow money
Don’t get emotional
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits
Leave the rest to time#台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
#微软发布新一代AI芯片，股价触及年内高点 On the eve of CPI: 1.16 billion liquidations, the market falls first out of respect
Last night the crypto market fell first out of respect: BTC broke 82,000, 1.16 billion liquidations with over 90% longs, ETH dropped over 5%.
But this wave isn't just about crypto: Nasdaq 100 -0.71%, Philadelphia Semiconductor -2.67%, KOSPI intraday -4%. Falling together — all tied to the same rope called US Treasury yields.
30-year US Treasury at 5.70%, highest since 2002. Who still holds BTC when you can earn 5%+ risk-free? Tech stocks and crypto are similar assets: they rely on "future" stories, and when rates rise, everything gets discounted.
Options are counterintuitive: put options pile up at 76,000/78,000/80,000 strikes, but 7-day implied volatility dropped from 34.5% to 32% — volatility falls as price falls, no one really expects a big event tomorrow night. Defense is maxed out, but no bullets loaded.
Biggest divergence: Harker hawkish, CME bets 79.5% on no rate hike in October. Who's lying? We'll see at 20:30 tomorrow night.
Three numbers: Core CPI month-on-month expected 0.16%-0.21%, a 0.1% deviation equals the difference between 80,000 and 75,000; BTC resistance at 83,500-84,500, support at 81,000; ETH breaks 2,401, 553 million long positions liquidated.
Trading advice: don't heavily bet on direction before the data, reduce leverage on rebounds if your position is heavy. Tomorrow night at 20:30, will you be watching the market or waking up to see the results?
#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 First, record the position of $ENA, then discuss the viewpoint: current price is 0.2136, about 6.93% away from the 1-hour support at 0.1988, and about 15.12% away from the resistance at 0.2459.
There are reasons for both bulls and bears in $ENA, but looking at the upper and lower boundaries, the comfortable space is actually not much. The 1-hour is slightly weak, the 4-hour is slightly weak, with RSI at 37 and 46 respectively.
I only keep one confirmation for the upward trend — a breakout above 0.2459; and only one condition to negate the upward trend — a drop below 0.1988. Other fluctuations are considered noise for now.
If you must choose a verification point first, would you focus on confirming the resistance or the breakdown of support?
The above is a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.Brothers, ZEC has dropped to 1212, down another 4.7% in 24 hours.
$ZEC $1,212
From the high of 1698, the pullback has exceeded 28%. But what’s really worth watching today isn’t the price, it’s the on-chain activity and the ETF moving in opposite directions.
Whales are buying, ETFs are selling.
Last week, a whale withdrew 26,070 ZEC from Binance and Kraken in one go, worth $31.93 million. Another big player was even more aggressive, doubling their position to $66.75 million during the dip, sweeping 54,400 coins off the exchanges.
But the institutions are acting completely differently. The US ZEC spot ETF saw $124 million withdrawn, and Grayscale’s ZCSH turned from buying pressure into selling pressure. Whales are taking coins off exchanges, ETFs are offloading coins — two groups parting ways at this point.
NU7 upgrade is the next card. The testnet is already live, block time cut from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, with the mainnet target set for November 5. The old Sprout pool’s ZEC will become invalid after the upgrade, so holders of old addresses need to act in advance.
Technically, 1,200 is the short-term lifeline; if it breaks, look for 1,100. Only if it holds can we talk about a rebound.
Discuss in the comments: whales bottom-fishing and ETFs retreating, which do you trust?👇
#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？ Bitcoin 4-hour bearish signal reignites, ADX stands above 20
$BTC current price around 83410. 4-hour EMA20≈83088 pressing down EMA50≈83423, ADX≈20.5, bearish momentum just returned; range still between 80961–84348. If it can't hold 83400, look for 83100→82280/81700; if it stabilizes and recovers moving averages, and ADX cools down again, then consider bullish. Don't lock in direction before Wednesday's inflation data.You really made me laugh. I shorted at the highest point, but after hitting my stop loss, it kept dropping without missing a single dollar... Then I went long again, and it was just a few dollars off from liquidating me. Hilarious 😂 Roller coaster 🎢RSR Long Position Strategy | ≤5x Leverage
Core Logic: Accelerated deflation narrative + RFC-1269 expected to burn 30% of supply, Burn Gauge already effective with zero unlocking, daily volume breakout past previous high
📍 Ambush Zones (divided into 3 levels)
① $0.0021- → 40% (current price/breakout retest zone)
② $0.00205- → 35% (intraday support + EMA7 overlap)
③ $0.00190- → 25% (deep pullback/previous platform defense line)
→ Average cost ≈ $0.00218
🛡️ Hard Stop Loss: $0.00178 (daily close below invalidates structure)
Stop loss range about 18%, leverage recommended ≤5x
🎯 Step Targets
• TP1 $0.00265 (+22%, previous high concentration zone) reduce 40%
• TP2 $0.00295 (+35%, psychological level) reduce another 35%
• TP3 $0.00340+ (+56%, RFC-1269 approval speculation) let the rest run
⚠️ Key Events/Observations
• RFC-1269 approval to burn 30 billion tokens = main uptrend trigger
• Burn Gauge reinvests quarterly, may front-run next voting
• Daily ATR about 15%, high volatility, control position size well $BTC
• RSI is hot, high risk chasing short-term highs, wait for pullback to buy more $RSR $Across the entire market, 235 fell / 35 rose, $BTC $-0.7%, $ETH $-1.9%, $SOL $-4.4%——
$RSR rose 29% in 24 hours, currently at 0.0021.
This is not a catch-up rally, it's a breakthrough.
Yesterday, RSR leveraged sector rotation to surge 47%, with 175 million tokens traded—200 times the normal average volume. Usually, when such volume appears, the next day is for selling off and crashing the price.
But today, not only did it not crash, it rose another 29%. The latest 4H candle (starting 12:00 CST) has already traded 10.5 million tokens, 40 times the average volume. This means: those who rushed in yesterday didn’t run away today, and some even added more.
During the same period, the entire altcoin sector was falling—this shows RSR is following its own independent logic.
Looking at the 4H structure: 0.0020 has become a new support platform. Last night’s 0.0023 upper shadow was initially judged as selling pressure, but now it looks like accumulation and rotation. $RSR made a new high against the trend on the weakest day in the entire market, a signal worth watching closely.
Do you think RSR can break 0.003 this wave? You are trading your own viewpoint.
Early in the morning, BTC dropped a bit over 1 point, ETH plunged 5 points, and the market was all red.
I instinctively wanted to trade along with the market. After some selection, I finally chose $STRK.
Unfortunately, I wasn't very satisfied with its position.
But I thought, trust the feeling, a slightly poor position doesn't matter.
Then I entered with 10x leverage at a relatively poor position.
As it turned out, my dissatisfaction with the position was justified.
Within minutes, a 4% reverse big green candle almost blew me up.
Watching the losses accumulate, unable to bear the inner pressure, I finally exited at a 30% loss.
I washed my face, calmed down, checked market news, wanting to know why ETH dropped so much.
Later I found out it was influenced by a UK court ruling.
Personally, I feel that at this level, such a big drop was really unwarranted.
It was purely the market's pessimism these past two days, emotions were amplified.
Logically, it should be corrected.
So I turned to the market's highest symbol $CT, entering at six points.
It did not disappoint my expectations, rising to eight points.
At this point, looking at the chart, I felt it was about time for a pullback, so I chose to close the position, thinking to re-enter after the pullback.
But it stubbornly did not fall back.
I thought: doesn't my closing action basically mean bearish?
I asked myself, dare I open a short now?
I didn't dare.
Then dare I continue going long?
I didn't dare either.
I could only watch $CT surge to 20 points $SNDK stopped loss twice yesterday, and today I replenished some long positions. I really didn't expect SanDisk to drop so much overnight. I originally thought it would stop falling at 1520, but it kept dropping below 1500. Recently, AI development has been below expectations, dragging down storage, but I think these are just small fluctuations in a high-growth industry, and it will return to normal later. So even though SanDisk fell from 1900 to 1400 this time, I still dare to add positions against the trend. From a short-term perspective, a rebound should come soon. This morning, Changxin Technology dropped 5 points but is now about to turn positive. Ideally, SanDisk should also follow with a rebound tonight. Swing traders should seize the rebound opportunity tonight. Officials call for rate hikes, but the market just doesn't buy it! Tomorrow's CPI release will show who's right
Tomorrow at 8:30 PM sharp, the September CPI will be announced. The most interesting thing now isn't the data itself, but rather—on one side, Fed officials hawkishly say "we still need to raise rates," while on the other side, the market votes with real money saying "you dare to raise?"
Cleveland Fed President Mester just dropped a statement yesterday: inflation is still hot, so rate hikes will continue without question. But CME data slapped that in the face: the probability of holding steady in October has shot up to 79.5%.
In other words: officials say "I think we should raise," the market says "I bet you won't." Both sides are arguing fiercely, just waiting for tomorrow's CPI to be the judge.
Institutions are also being quite sneaky in their forecasts: overall CPI might jump from 3.4% to 3.7% due to rising oil prices, which sounds scary. But core CPI month-over-month might actually drop from 0.3% to 0.2%—basically "scary on the surface, cooling underneath." This kind of data is neither clearly up nor down; how to interpret it depends entirely on investor sentiment.
As for me, I've already unloaded my leverage. Betting heavily on direction at this critical moment is like crossing the street blindfolded. You think the data will be mild, but it surprises on the upside; you think a bombshell is coming, but it meets expectations. Either way, you're right only half the time, so better to sit on the sidelines and watch.
Honestly, every CPI release in recent months has felt like New Year's Eve, with everyone glued to their screens waiting for the announcement. And the result? Prices neither rise much nor fall much—just a lot of volatility. The real money is never made by betting on the data, but by acting after the dust settles.
Tomorrow at 8:30 PM, the whole nation will be watching the big show start on time. I've got my little stool ready, just waiting to see which side this CPI will support—whether it props up Mester or smacks him hard in the face.
Three takeaways I've figured out:
1. Officials can talk tough all they want, but don't take it too seriously. The market's real-money odds are more reliable than any speech.
2. Don't bet your net worth before the data is out. An 80% probability sounds safe, but the 20% surprise is what really kills.
3. Being a bit slow to react won't lose you big money; betting on the wrong direction will. Instead of nervously shaking, better to wait for the results before making a move. Short sellers were "reverse liquidated," with BTC and ETH as the main battlegrounds
In the past 24 hours, the liquidation scale has clearly tilted toward the short side. BTC total liquidations reached $52.5 million, with shorts accounting for $42.71 million, over 80%; ETH total liquidations were $53.78 million, with shorts at $42.42 million, nearly 80%. On a shorter timeframe, ETH's 12-hour short liquidations hit $18.63 million, surpassing BTC's $9.67 million, making it the fiercest battleground in this round of "short sweeps." Combined, shorts were wiped out by over $85 million.
XRP's volume is small, with 24-hour liquidations at $2.07 million, shorts at $1.49 million, still biased toward the short side. Although the absolute value is limited, the structure indicates this is not a single-coin anomaly but a concentrated effort to squeeze out short positions in the market.
The problem follows: intensive short liquidations often bring passive buying, driving price pulses upward. But is this kind of rise a true reversal or a liquidity hunt-induced bull trap? If the bulls cannot continue to absorb volume after the liquidation peak, the risk of a short-term pullback remains. In the next few hours, whether BTC and ETH can hold the dense liquidation zones will determine if this round marks a trend start or just another trap.Thanks to my fellow players for the concern. If I can break even before this evening, I will definitely treat myself to a pork knuckle rice meal!
Good afternoon, brothers, October 13th, 12:30.
The market finally pulled back a bit this morning, and the floating losses on my three deeply trapped long positions have finally narrowed, temporarily out of ICU.
I saw a message from a fellow player this morning: "Whether you hold or not doesn't matter, if you hold on, you deserve a bowl of pork knuckle rice." That hit me hard! To get into the crypto circle, I drank plain water in the morning, ate fast food at noon, and usually just steamed buns with pickled vegetables.
If I can really hold on today, I must grit my teeth and add a pork knuckle rice dinner!
Regarding operations: I closed my $CL short position this morning. Although the direction was right, the funding rate was too high, which cost me 20% of my profits. Such low liquidity tokens are not worth holding; better to run first.
The current strategy remains unchanged: hold tight and wait for the CPI! As long as tomorrow night’s CPI surprises on the downside and inflation cools, short covering will give me a window to escape. Holding positions is not reckless; it’s waiting for the data to land before deciding life or death.
If you successfully hold your positions, what will you reward yourself with?
Feel free to share.
I think pork knuckle rice is a good choice, Longjiang pork knuckle rice!
$BTC $ETH - Upper resistance: 2,566 (MA10) and 2,578 high point, above that is the dense moving average zone of 2,610-2,626
- Lower support: 2,480-2,500, followed by the low point at 2,407
- Holding above 2,500, the rebound is likely to continue; if it falls back below 2,480, the rebound is considered a failure
🧠 Midday insights
1. Yesterday mentioned that oversold conditions would lead to a rebound, which was confirmed today, but be more cautious at resistance levels during the rebound and avoid chasing the rally
2. The search bar hotspot mentions the upcoming September CPI release, with Federal Reserve officials stating further rate hikes are needed, causing potential volatility around the data. Additionally, Tom Lee warned that the sharp drop in the South Korean stock market might bring short-term shocks to the crypto market, so watch out for a pullback this afternoon
3. Manage risk first during the rebound, and don’t increase your position size just because prices have risen
⚠️ The above is only a personal review and does not constitute investment advice. Contract trading carries very high risk, so please control your position size!XDP is indeed the hottest on Base today, with trading volume surging to over 100 million dollars, while the market cap is only a bit over 20 million. This ratio looks somewhat absurd.
From what I see, it’s essentially something built around xRP yields. After the token was issued on Base, it got hyped up.
Trading is very active, with buying and selling roughly balanced, but the pool liquidity is only about two million. This volume can easily crash the price badly at any time.
From my perspective, it seems more like short-term funds chasing hotspots on Base rather than having deep fundamental support.
The hype is understandable, but if you really want to get in, you have to weigh the risks yourself. Don’t just get carried away by the trading volume. ￥￥￥$XDP ARB is weaker than BTC and ETH in the updated data. Positive news for the ecosystem includes integrations related to xStocks and the USDG stablecoin; however, good news about the network does not automatically create buying pressure for the ARB token.  Recovery scenario: Holding the recent bottom near $0.184 and breaking back above $0.20. Downside scenario: Losing the bottom near $0.184, opening the risk of continuing to test lower price levels. What to watch: Volume, altcoin money flow, network activity, and token unlock schedule. Perspective: there is no basis yet to call this Midday Summary｜V-shaped rebound recovers 83,000, but it's not time to call a reversal yet
Account update: Total assets back to 100.36U, today's profit +1.49U (+1.50%). Rebounded from last night's low of 64.35U, but this is a recovery after a pullback, not a turnaround. The account hasn't returned to principal yet, so stability remains the focus today.
📊 BTC ｜Current price 83,479
Intraday low touched 80,961, then pulled back to recover 83,000, up 2.04% in 24 hours. MA5 and MA30 around 82,900 have been reclaimed, KDJ at 38-39, RSI6 back to 51, bearish momentum temporarily eased. But the upper MA10, MA20 (83,700-83,960) and 24-hour high of 84,348 have not been broken, so this counts as a rebound, not a trend reversal.
- Resistance above: 83,700-84,000, then 84,348
- Support below: 82,900, then the low of 80,961 and the 80,000 level
- A volume-backed hold above 84,000 is bullish; falling below 82,900 remains bearish
📊 ETH ｜Current price 2,515
ETH is stronger than BTC, up 2.81% in 24 hours, rebounded from intraday low of 2,407, retook MA5 and MA60 (around 2,497), key levels 2,480-2,500 reclaimed yesterday. KDJ still low, RSI6 at 42, repair space remains From 2020 to 2026, the crypto world has repeatedly proven: buying coins is just the beginning; being able to keep them safe and accessible is what really counts. On CEX: Fear of theft, freezing, and misappropriation; if you use leverage, you also have to worry about liquidation. You think the assets are in your account, but when trouble comes, they might actually be debts. Using a hardware wallet: If it's not open source, you worry about a black box; even if it is open source, you can't guarantee the physical device hasn't been tampered with. Components might be added! You buy a safe, but someone installs a bugging device inside. There are also fake devices, swapped devices, preset mnemonic phrases, physical attacks, and fake companion software. Add blind signing, malicious authorizations, forgotten PINs, lost backups, forgotten passphrases. You might defend against others but end up successfully defending against yourself. Using a PC wallet: Fake installers, trojans, remote control, clipboard hijacking take turns attacking. Wallet files get stolen, weak passwords are cracked offline; hard drive failure or system reinstall without backup is another dead end. Problems with random number generation can happen again; a long mnemonic phrase might not save you. Using a Web wallet: Custodial ones require trusting the platform; non-custodial ones still require trusting the code delivered to your browser. Fake domains, search ads, official site tampering, malicious scripts can all turn "restore wallet" into "hand over secrets." You think the webpage looks the same, so it must be the same wallet. Using plugin wallets: Fake ones steal, real ones can be poisoned. In 2023, Ledger Connect Kit had issues; at the end of 2025, Trust Wallet's official plugin version 2.68 was compromised.Leveraged longs got crushed today 😵
Yesterday, before the US stock market even opened, the crypto market was already down on its knees. Once the US market opened, selling pressure intensified, and the scene got pretty ugly.
In the past 24 hours, the entire network saw liquidations totaling $785 million, with longs accounting for 88% — on average, 9 longs went down for every 1 short. BTC liquidations hit $165 million, ETH $167 million, and SOL over $60 million. Leveraged longs were collectively taken out (╥﹏╥)
Key levels:
· $BTC low at 81,032, just $632 above the previous low of 80,400
· $ETH broke below 2500, hitting a low of 2,409
· $SOL low at 101, with the 100 mark right ahead
The most dangerous thing isn’t the drop itself, but the negative feedback loop of “price drop → liquidations → intensified selling pressure.” Once the cascade of forced liquidations starts, prices are driven by leverage rather than fundamentals for the time being.
That said, liquidation data ≠ spot market exit, and definitely ≠ a bottom signal. After contracts are cleaned out, the spot market will still do what it’s going to do. Calling a bottom now is almost like catching a flying knife 🗡️
What do you think, will it keep dipping? 🤔#BTC and ETH spot ETFs are flowing out simultaneously, is institutional demand weakening? What is the impact on $BTC and $ETH?
📊 Outflow scale
In the first week of October, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of about $681 million, while Ethereum ETFs experienced net outflows for 9 consecutive trading days, totaling about $635 million. However, Bitcoin ETFs still have a cumulative net inflow of $57.6 billion this year, with net assets exceeding $100 billion, indicating that institutional holdings remain solid.
🔍 Core reason: Interest rate pressure
The direct driver of this outflow is the surge in U.S. Treasury yields. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is approaching 5.5%, with oil prices breaking $100 and a stronger dollar, all suppressing high-risk assets. The capital withdrawal is an active reduction by investors amid macro uncertainty, not forced liquidation. Once yields fall, the willingness for capital to return is usually strong.
⚠️ Main impacts
· Short-term price pressure: ETF redemptions convert into spot sales, directly depressing coin prices. BTC briefly tested a two-week low, ETH dropped near the $2400 support level.
· Sentiment contagion: Institutional fund outflows combined with large on-chain holders transferring tokens can trigger "resonant selling," amplifying market panic.
· Key observation signals: If the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remains high, outflows may continue; conversely, if yields fall and Bitcoin holds support near $80,000, institutional demand is expected to recover. The CPI release matters less as a single inflation verdict than as a test of breadth. Energy may lift the headline rate while a slower core monthly reading points the other way. With pause odds near 79.5%, the data could force markets to reassess whether policy restraint is enough, with rates and the dollar likely setting the first reaction.
#SepCPIHikeWatch $RSR SPIKED TO 0.003150, THEN PULLED BACK TO 0.002178. One giant green 4h candle left the 0.001473 low far behind, and red candles followed. I respect where price settles more than where it spikes.
Is 0.002178 a base forming, or just a pause?10.13 Tuesday Yang Fan's BTC and ETH Analysis
BTC is currently around 83,200, ETH around 2,507. Last week, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $681 million, and Ethereum ETFs have had net outflows for 9 consecutive trading days, totaling 542 million. BlackRock's ETHA had a weekly outflow of 477 million, the largest source of selling pressure. Institutions are still withdrawing, and funds have not returned.
On the macro side, the September FOMC minutes were hawkish; 9 of 18 members believe another rate hike is needed this year. Wednesday (October 15) September CPI is the biggest variable this week. If core CPI month-over-month reaches 0.3%, rate hike bets will revive, and BTC may further decline.
Technically, the 84,500-85,000 range is a strong short-term resistance for BTC, with multiple rejections confirming its validity. There is a need for short-term oversold correction, but no reversal signals are seen yet, so it can only be considered a rebound.
Trading reference:
BTC: Short directly at 83,400-84,000, target 82,500; if broken, look to 81,500; if further broken, look to 80,500.
ETH: Short directly at 2,540-2,520, target 2,480; if broken, look to 2,440; if further broken, look to 2,400.
$BTC $ETH #9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 $ZEC crashed through 200 dollars overnight, and I chose to add to my position
Last night ZEC dropped from 1,348 to 1,122, 200 dollars gone just like that. Others' stop-loss points became my entry points: position size increased from 0.03 all the way to 0.8, with 50x leverage, liquidation price at 1,126 — only 4 dollars away from this morning's lowest point.
At the time of writing, ZEC bounced back to 1,218, with an unrealized profit of +12.7U, the biggest gain this week. But to be honest: this is not skill, it's gambling. The cost of winning once is developing a habit of losing everything.
On the chart, the low of 1,122 did not break the previous low from 10/8, so the bulls still have support; 1,237 is the next key level, only if it holds above this will this correction be considered over.
My discipline: no more adding to the position before holding above 1,237; stop-loss set at cost 1,194, the worst outcome for this trade is breaking even, no turning into a losing trade.
How much leverage have you used at bottom-fishing at most? Let's discuss in the comments.
Risk warning: personal live trading record, not investment advice, high leverage can lead to liquidation at any time, please do not copy trades.